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GBG
Reducing greenhouse gas emissions whilst furthering poverty reduction and sustainable development goals:The co-benefits of Environmental Fiscal Reform measures for climate change mitigation in non-Annex 1 countries.
Jacqueline CottrellProject Manager, Green Budget Europe
GCET 2010, Bangkok
GBG19/04/23© Jacqueline Cottrell Green Budget Europe – Exhibit 2
Structure of this presentation
1. Climate change mitigation and poverty reduction
2. Mitigation potentials in the 2007 IPCC Fourth Assessment Report
3. The single most important barrier to mitigation– market distortions
4. The co-benefits of EFR – showing the way forward for overcoming barriers to climate change mitigation
GBG19/04/23© Jacqueline Cottrell Green Budget Europe – Exhibit 3
Climate change and non Annex 1 countries
Rapidly industrialising economies are accounting for an increasing share in global GHG emissions
Growing global consumer class of 1.7 billion, 600 million in Asia-Pacific region
Increasing affluence leads to increasing consumption of energy- and resource-intensive products and thus higher GHG emissions
If current trends continue unabated, the IPCC has predicted that GHG emissions are predicted to increase by 25-90% on 2000 levels by 2030
It is in rapidly industrialising countries that the greatest potentials for emissions reductions can be found
GBG19/04/23© Jacqueline Cottrell Green Budget Europe – Exhibit 4
The Global GHG Abatement Cost Curve (beyond BAU to 2030)
Source: McKinsey 2009
GBG19/04/23© Jacqueline Cottrell Green Budget Europe – Exhibit 5
Poverty reduction and climate change mitigation
short-term achievements in poverty reduction will be undermined if the impacts of climate change are not mitigated
while climate change mitigation is not a policy priority in many developing countries, it can be regarded as a co-benefit of measures that yield other direct and immediate benefits
cost savings through enhanced resource and energy efficiency
revenues raised as a result of EFR measures for poverty reduction, pro-poor investment, pollution control
increased energy security improved access to (renewable or low-carbon) energiesreduced pollution (air, water, soils)reduced levels of deforestation improved natural resource management
GBG19/04/23© Jacqueline Cottrell Green Budget Europe – Exhibit 7
Structure of this presentation
1. Climate change mitigation and poverty reduction
2. Mitigation potentials in the 2007 IPCC Fourth Assessment Report
3. The single most important barrier to mitigation– market distortions
4. The co-benefits of EFR – showing the way forward for overcoming barriers to climate change mitigation
GBG19/04/23© Jacqueline Cottrell Green Budget Europe – Exhibit 8
The IPCC report – global sectoral emissions (2004)
Source: IPCC 2007
GBG19/04/23© Jacqueline Cottrell Green Budget Europe – Exhibit 9
The IPCC report – global mitigation potentials
Source: IPCC 2007
GBG19/04/23© Jacqueline Cottrell Green Budget Europe – Exhibit 10
Structure of this presentation
1. Climate change mitigation and poverty reduction
2. Mitigation potentials in the 2007 IPCC Fourth Assessment Report
3. The single most important barrier to mitigation– market distortions
4. The co-benefits of EFR – showing the way forward for overcoming barriers to climate change mitigation
GBG19/04/23© Jacqueline Cottrell Green Budget Europe – Exhibit 11
Market distortions – the single most significant barrier to mitigation (1)
In relation to energy supply and use Fossil fuel subsidies are creating upward trend in carbon
intensity of energy mix in non-OECD countries Global fossil fuel consumption subsidies were worth
US$557 billion in 2008 Phase-out 2011-2020 would reduce CO2 emissions by 7%
(IEA 2010) Cheap fossil energy encourages wasteful behaviour,
supports upward trend in carbon intensity of energy mix in developing countries
Reform often faces strong opposition, but compensatory measures can protect the vulnerable
GBG19/04/23© Jacqueline Cottrell Green Budget Europe – Exhibit 12
Market distortions – the single most significant barrier to mitigation (2)
In the forestry sector - value of environmental services provided by forests are not
reflected their price e.g. timber, watershed protection In the waste sector – low prices of resources do not encourage recycling or reuse e.g. few market incentives for reduction of methane
emissions from landfill In agriculture – many states support intensive agricultural practices by
subsidising fertilisers or pesticides or product prices
GBG19/04/23© Jacqueline Cottrell Green Budget Europe – Exhibit 13
So why is EFR not more widespread in developing countries?
Lack of capacity to identify where EFR measure could be applicable and to design EFR measures
Weak financial governance, leading to poor enforcement, so too few positive experiences to encourage new measures
Reluctance of governments to take the lead and risk the competitiveness of domestic industry
Political resistance within ministries, policy-makers, civil servants
Resistance from industry and other stakeholders Generally felt mistrust of taxation measures Even in OECD countries, where EFR has been tried and
tested, scepticism can be high
GBG19/04/23© Jacqueline Cottrell Green Budget Europe – Exhibit 14
Structure of this presentation
1. Climate change mitigation and poverty reduction
2. Mitigation potentials in the 2007 IPCC Fourth Assessment Report
3. The single most important barrier to mitigation– market distortions
4. The co-benefits of EFR – showing the way forward for overcoming barriers to climate change mitigation
GBG19/04/23© Jacqueline Cottrell Green Budget Europe – Exhibit 15
The ANEEL energy efficiency programme, Brazil
Third-party subsidy paid by utilities for energy efficiency projects (worth up to US$200 million/yr)
Environmental education, light bulb and refrigerator substitution, improved electric showers, electric motors, HVAC, water heating, renewables
e.g. Coelba’s fridge and bulb replacement programme: 13,000 fridges replaced, 93,000 bulbs distributed safe electricity connections set up in homes supplied 40% energy savings reduced energy costs reduced CO2 emissions (7,000 t CO2–eq/yr over 10 years) regenerates fridges CFC-12-filled cooling systems (high GWP) revenues from recycling fridges fund income generation projects
GBG19/04/23© Jacqueline Cottrell Green Budget Europe – Exhibit 16
The National Fund for Energy Conservation (FNME) gives customers 20% of the initial cost of solar water heaters
Part-funded by environmental taxes – a car registration duty and local production and import duties on thermal units in air conditioning systems
Additional cost subsidies, subsidised interest rates Customers pay only 10% in cash for the initial cost Monthly loan repayments are recovered in energy bills over a 5
year period In 2007 alone, 60,000m2 of solar panels were installed Estimated GHG emissions reductions of 11,000 tCO2-eq/yr Households have better, cleaner access to hot water Air pollution reduced
PROSOL, Tunisia – solar water heating for households
GBG19/04/23© Jacqueline Cottrell Green Budget Europe – Exhibit 17
Differentiated electricity pricing in China
preferential grid price for desulphurized electricity end-user price for desulphurized electricity was raised to
spread cost between plants, grid and consumers following introduction, SO2 emissions fell by 1.8 million
tonnes/yr environmental damage costs saved US$5 billion improved air quality power industry welcomed move as it could save on
pollution levy payments (reduced by US$150 million) desulphurization facilities worth well over US$ 1 billion
GBG19/04/23© Jacqueline Cottrell Green Budget Europe – Exhibit 18
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!
ANY QUESTIONS?
More information at: www.green-budget.eu
Email: [email protected]