Upload
morris-cross
View
219
Download
0
Tags:
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
FY 2007 ANNUAL INVESTMENT REPORT
MARTHA O. HAYNIE, CPACOUNTY COMPTROLLER
2
Investment Objectives
• Safety• Liquidity• Yield
3
Agenda• Highlights• Benchmarks • Portfolio & Fed Rates• Treasury Yield Curves • Economic Conditions• Investment Committee• Committee Discussions• Recommendations• FY 2006 Portfolio Composition• FY 2007 Portfolio Composition• SBA Crisis
4
Highlights
(in millions) 2007 2006
Interest earned $67.2 $48.8
Effective rate of return 5.07% 4.38%
Average daily balance $1,325 $1,115
5
BenchmarksBenchmark FY 2007 Variance FY 2006 Variance
Portfolio 5.07% 4.38%
3-Month Treasury 4.86% 0.21% 4.57% -0.19%
6-Month Treasury 4.96% 0.11% 4.78% -0.40%
Merrill Lynch 0-1 Treasury Index 4.93% 0.14% 4.66% -0.28%
1-Year Treasury 4.86% 0.21% 4.76% -0.38%
2-Year Treasury 4.67% 0.40% 4.72% -0.34%
State Investment Pool 5.43% -0.36% 4.73% -0.35%
Effective Federal Funds 5.21% -0.14% 4.65% -0.27%
Committee Benchmark 5.00% 0.07% 4.71% -0.33%
6
Portfolio and Fed Rates
PORTFOLIO AND FEDERAL FUNDS RATES
0.25
1.25
2.25
3.25
4.25
5.25
6.25
7.25
Oct-03 Apr-04 Oct-04 Apr-05 Oct-05 Apr-06 Oct-06 Apr-07 Oct-07
Orange County
Fed Funds
7
Treasury Yield Curves
AVERAGE U.S. TREASURY YIELD CURVES
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
Fed Funds 3 Mo 6 Mo 1 Yr 2 Yr 5 Yr 10 Yr
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
8
Economic Conditions• Deteriorating housing market• Slower economic growth• Decline in payrolls• Low consumer spending growth rate• Eroding consumer sentiment• Federal Reserve reducing interest rates• Tight credit conditions• Recession concerns• Rising Treasury prices• Below trend GDP growth forecasted in 2008
9
Investment CommitteeCommunity Volunteers
Ed ManningRetired Managing Partner of Ernst and Young, CPA
John Cheney, DBAAssociate Professor of Finance, University of Central Florida
10
Committee Discussions
•Pooling of enterprise funds•Increased liquidity•Inverted yield curve•Asset allocation•Sub-prime crisis•Commercial paper markets
11
Recommendations• Increase maximum investment in
the noncurrent portfolio
• Increase diversification
• Reduce SBA investment
• Add commercial paper (CP)
• Add bankers’ acceptances
• Limit financial CP maturities to 30 days or less
12
FY 2006 Portfolio Composition
FY 2006 AVERAGE PORTFOLIO COMPOSITION
Treasuries17.18%
Instrumentalities26.06%
SBA37.09%
Money Markets6.56%
BAs0.21%
CDs2.67%
CP6.58%
FLGIT3.65%
13
FY 2007 Portfolio Composition
FY 2007 AVERAGE PORTFOLIO COMPOSITION
Treasuries16.55%
CP10.63%
Instrumentalities28.92%
SBA29.93%
Money Markets5.28%
BAs5.05%
CDs3.64%
14
Current Portfolio Composition
JANUARY 14, 2008 PORTFOLIO COMPOSITION
BAs1.56%
Instrumentalities8.82%
Money Markets14.32%
CDs4.35%
Treasuries62.59%
CP8.36%
15
SBA Crisis• 10/31 – 3.4% of assets downgraded• 11/14 – Bloomberg article• 11/15 – Withdrew all County funds
•Asset quality concerns•Lack of clear communications from SBA
• 11/29 – State froze pool• 12/06 – Reopened with two funds
•Fund A: 86% of assets – High quality•Fund B: 14% of assets – Riskier assets•Redemption limit of the higher of $2 million
or 15% of assets
16
FY 2007 ANNUAL INVESTMENT REPORT
Interest earned $67.2 millionEffective rate of return 5.07%
The 2008 effective rate of return?
17
REPORT ONLINE
FY 2007 ANNUAL INVESTMENT REPORT
WWW.OCCOMPT.COM