Upload
others
View
1
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
FORTUMExperiences in district heating andCHP business operations
EPHA 15: District Heating For the Cleaner Future12th of May 2010
2
Disclaimer
This presentation does not constitute an invitation to underwrite, subscribefor, or otherwise acquire or dispose of any Fortum shares.
Past performance is no guide to future performance, and persons needingadvice should consult an independent financial adviser.
Fortum today
European power markets
Russia
Baltic Rim
Heat service at competitive conditions
What makes investors to invest: ... legal framework, credibility of the localpolicy, price regulations, subsidies, EU targets, market conditions, ...?
Content
4
TGC-1 (~25%)Power generation ~6 TWhHeat sales ~8 TWhOAO FortumPower generation 16.0 TWhHeat sales 25.6 TWh
Russia
PolandHeat sales 3.7 TWhElectricity sales 20 GWh
Baltic countriesHeat sales 1.3 TWhElectricity sales 0.1 TWhDistribution cust. 24,100
Our geographical presence today
Nordic countriesGeneration 48.1 TWhElectricity sales 54.9 TWhHeat sales 18.0 TWhDistribution cust. 1.6 millionElectricity cust. 1.2 million
Nr 1
Nr 3
Heat
Electricitysales
Distribution
Powergeneration
Nr 1
Nr 2
TotalElectricity 77 TWh/aHeat 53 TWh/a
5
Foreign investors 30.5%Finnish State 50.8%
Other Finnish investors 8.9%
Households 7.1% Financial and insurance institutions 2.7%
• Listed at the Helsinki Stock Exchange 1998• Approximately 90,000 shareholders• Among the most traded shares in Helsinki stock exchange• Market cap ~17 billion euros
A power and heat company
28 February 2010
6
Climate change is the most imminent challengeof our planet
We, at Fortum, don't want to be part of the problem,but
part of the solution
7
Fortum's carbon exposure among the lowest in Europe
Source:PWC & Enerpresse , 2009Changement climatique et Électricité
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200D
EI
Dra
x
RW
E
CEZ
Nuo
n
EDP
Sco
ttish
&So
uthe
rn
Vatte
nfal
l
Ene
l
Uni
on F
enos
a
E.O
N
Don
g En
ergy
GD
F S
uez
Eur
ope
Iber
drol
a
PVO
Brit
ish
Ene
rgy
EDF
Verb
und
Fortu
m
Sta
tkra
ft
g CO2/kWh electricity, 2008
Average 350 g/kWh
41
8
Fortum’s investment programme– Nordic region, Poland and Baltic countries
Electricity capacity over 900 MW~95% CO2-free
Project Electricity, MW Heat, MW Commissioned
Olkiluoto 3, Finland 400 2012Swedish nuclear upgrades 260 by 2013- Forsmark 3 upgrade (to be decided) 30 post 2013Refurbishing of hydro power 20-30 annuallyCzęstochowa, Poland 65 120 Q3/2010(coal/biomass CHP)Pärnu, Estonia 20 45 Q4/2010(coal/biomass CHP)Brista, Sweden (to be decided) 20 60 2013?(waste CHP)Klaipeda, Lithuania 20 50 2013(biofuel/waste CHP)
Total by ~2013 >900 ~300
Fortum today
European power markets
Russia
Baltic Rim
Heat service at competitive conditions
10
Competitiveness Sustainability
Securityof supply
• Implementation ofinternal energy markets
• Energy efficiency +20%(2020)
• Increased resources fortechnology development
• Development of cross-border transmission• Increase in own production• Enhancement of external energy relations
• Minimum reduction of EUCO2 emissions 20% (2020)
• Renewables 20% (2020)• Development of CO2
capture and storage
Key EU objectives by 2020
11
New capacity, except nuclear, will requireover 60 EUR/MWh power price
Other costs ( variation)CO2 cost
Coal Gas Nuclear Hydro Wind Cleancoal
EUR/MWh
Estimated lifetime average cost in nominal 2014 terms.Large variations in cost of new hydro and wind due to location and conditions.
0102030405060708090
100110
0102030405060708090
100110
Source: Nord Pool
EUR/MWh
Futures28 April 2010
1995 -97 -99 -01 -05 -07 -09 -11 -13-03 -15
12
New interconnections coulddouble the capacity to over
8000 MW by 2020
Nordic and Continental markets are integrating –interconnection capacity could double by 2020
Additional 700 MW cableNO-NL, as well 1400 MW
NO-DE links studied
EU financial support for 700MW DK-NL link to connect
offshore wind, too
EU support to connect KriegersFlak offshore wind area to
DK&DE; new 400 kV AC cableSE-DK by 2017
Jylland – DE capacity to beincreased by 500 MW in 2012
and by further 500 MW by 2018 LitPol Link of 1000 MWto connect the Balticmarket to Poland by
2015/18. It would opena new transmission
route from the Nordicmarket to the Continent
New internal Nordic gridinvestments provide for
increased availablecapacity for export to the
Continent and Baltics
EU’s European EnergyProgramme for Recovery tocofinance to Estlink 2 and
NordBalt
1400 MW link to the UK could connect offshorewind, too; North Seas Countries’ Offshore GridInitiative launched for supergrid development
In the EU's Second Strategic EnergyReview the Commission focuses
strongly on interconnecting the Balticstates and Poland to form an electricity
market around the Baltic Sea
Fortum today
European power markets
Russia
Baltic Rim
Heat service at competitive conditions
14
"Power industry law" approved 2003Establishment of Russian power exchange (ATS) 2001Launch of the free-trade sector of the wholesale market
in European & Urals 2003in Siberia 2005
Launch of balancing power segment 2006Launch of new wholesale market model 2006Restructuring of regional "energos" (P&H companies) completeFormation of new companies completeCapacity market – transitional model 2008Long term capacity market model 2010Competitive market of ancillary services 2010Financial derivatives market 2010Full liberalisation of the wholesale market 2011 onwards
Key steps in the reform Time
Russian power industry reform has progressed well
15
• Further liberalisation of energymarket increased to 60% inJanuary 2010
• 80% in 1 July 2010
• 100% in 1 January 2011
• The sales to households willremain regulated still after2011
Share of liberalised trade for existing capacity
5 %10 %
15 %25 %
30 %
50 %60 %
80 %100 %
0 %
10 %
20 %
30 %
40 %
50 %
60 %
70 %
80 %
90 %
100 %
Jan2007
100 %
July2007
Jan2008
July2008
Jan2009
July2009
Jan2010
July2010
Jan2011
Power market liberalisation– wholesale power market will be 100% liberalised in 8 months
16
.... major foreign investments in Russia as a result
Fortum in Russia
TGC-10
Surgut
Tyumen
TobolskMoscow
St. Petersburg
Chelyabinsk
NyaganKhanty-Mansisk
TGC-1
OAO Fortum
SurgutSurgut
TyumenTyumen
TobolskTobolskMoscow
St. Petersburg
MoscowMoscow
St. PetersburgSt. Petersburg
ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
NyaganNyaganKhanty-MansiskKhanty-Mansisk
-1
OAO Fortum (former TGC-10)• OAO Fortum operates in the heart of Russia’s oil and gas
producing region• OAO Fortum’s power generation ~16 TWh/a and heat
generation ~26 TWh/a
TGC-1• Slightly over 25% of territorial generating company TGC-1
operating in north-west Russia• ~6,250 MW electricity production capacity (appr. 50% hydro),
~24 TWh/a electricity, ~30 TWh/a heat
17
Over 80% increase in power generation capacity by2015 through the investment programme
Power generation capacity (MW)
Plant Fuel type Existing Planned Total
Tyumen CHP-2 Gas 755 450 1,205Tyumen CHP-1, Q3/2010 Gas 472 190 662Tobolsk CHP, Q3/2010 Gas 452 210 662Chelyabinsk CHP-3, Q4/2010 Gas 360 220 580Chelyabinsk CHP-2 Coal, gas 320 320Argayash CHP Coal, gas 195 195Chelyabinsk CHP-1 Coal, gas 149 149Chelyabinsk GRES Gas 82 82Nyagan GRES Gas 3x400 1,200Boilers -
Total 2,785 2,270 5,055
(CHP/Condensing)
(CHP/Condensing)(Condensing)
(Condensing)
(Condensing)2007 2015
MW
+82%+2,270 MW
2,785
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
5,055
Fortum today
European power markets
Russia
Baltic Rim
Heat service at competitive conditions
19
Fortum's heat business in the Baltic countriesOutsourced energy service (BtoB) and district heating• Customers
– industry– services and commerce– public buildings– real estates
• Energy sales in Estonia– heat 1.1 TWh/a– electricity 140 GWh/a– gas 200 GWh/a
• Energy sales in Lithuania– heat 64 GWh/a– fuels 50 GWh/a
• Energy sales in Latvia– heat 210 GWh/a– electricity 32 GWh/a
• Personnel: 400
• Production capacity– 144 heating plants– Fuels: natural gas, oil, biomass,
peat– CHP power plant of 25 MWel/ 50
MWth in operation in Tartu,Estonia, by peat and bio fuels
– CHP power plant of 4 MWel/ 4,8MWth in operation in Jelgava,Latvia, by natural gas
– CHP power plant underconstruction in Pärnu, Estonia, 23MWel/45 MWth by bio fuels andpeat
– CHP power plant underconstruction in Klaipeda,Lithuania, 20 MWel/50 MWth bymunicipal and industrial wastes
– CHP development in Jelgava,Latvia, 23 MWel/ 45 MWth by biofuels and peat
– CHP development ...
20
Fortum's heat business in PolandDistrict heat to 30 cities and towns
• Heat sales volume 3.6 TWh• Heat and electricity production in
• 100 heating plants• One gas engine CHP power plant• Fuels: coal, natural gas, oil
• Personnel: 800• Past acquisitions:
• DZT, a privately owned DH company in2004
• Czestochowa, a state owned DH companyin 2005
• Wroclaw, a stock listed DH company in2006
• Plock, a municipal DH company in 2006• CHP plant of 65 MWel/130 MWth under
construction in Czestochowa Fortum DZT and Fortum CzestochowaFortum WrocławFortum Płock
Płock
21
Fortum's heat business in Finland
• Energy sales– heat 10.7 TWh– electricity 3.2 TWh– industrial cooling 0.05 TWh– gas 0.9 TWh
• Personnel around 400
• Production capacity– 199 heating plants– 9 CHP plants
22
Fortum's heat business in SwedenDistrict heatCHPIndustrial co-op.City gasDistrict cooling
Igelstaverket
HMC
HögdalenverketHammarbyverket
SkogåsFarsta
VärtaverketHässelbyverketLidingö
Järfälla
SundbybergSolna
Bollmora
Drevviken
Fittja
Akalla
BristaverketValsta
Vilunda
Rotebro
80 percent of business in the great Stockholm area
Delsbo Näsviken Sörforsa
Hudiksvall IdenorIggesund
Hofors
Torsby
ArvikaAvesta
Kopparberg/BångbroHällefors/Grythyttan
Stockholm
Nynäshamn
Örebro
LaxåGullspång
Grums/Gruvön
Säffle/NPKristinehamn
Karlskoga
23
Case Stockholm: District heating an environmentalsuccess story
Fortum Värme's reduced emissions in Stockholm since 1980:
-60% of CO2 >95% of SO2 >80% of NOx
24
Case Stockholm: Key issue is change of fuel mix
Production 5202 GWh (4432 heat, 771 electricity)CO2 1200 KtRenewable 20 % (EU's goal 2020!)
Production 10200 GWh ( 8565 heat, 1635 electricity )CO2 400 KtRenewable > 70 %
Fossil oil 44%
Electricity 12%
Waste 10%Sea water 12%
Coal 22%
Coal 14%
Fossil oil 3%Electricity 11%
Bio oil 13%
Waste 12%Seawater 16%
Industrialwaste 9%
Bio fuel 22%
1986 2006
25
050
100150200250300350400
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
Case Stockholm: Energy efficient District Cooling ispart of the sustainable development
GWh
The largest system in the world for districtcooling with 7 000 000 m2 connected
26
Case Stockholm: New waste to energy CHP-plant atBrista, sister plant to Klaipeda
• Fuel 240 000 ton waste
• 57 MW heat
• 20 MW electricity
Bristaverket"Waste to energy a win win solution for business and society"
Fortum today
European power markets
Russia
Baltic Rim
Heat service at competitive conditions
28
Fortum's experiences of heat service at market conditionsMarket based District Heat service in Finland, Sweden and Norway• No centralized price regulation• Consumer protection and competition laws protect Customers against misuse of the
dominant market positionDH companies are in good shape; financially, technically and environmentally• Profitable and able to invest for future competitiveness
– ... in productivity improvements, growth, heat production with optimal fuel mix (bio fuels, wastes,peat, natural gas, coal), and co-generation of heat and power; Competitive service (customerservice, quality, price)
Profitability of investments is based on market conditions– Opportunities to benefit from high efficiency of the CHP plants, optimal fuel mix, reduction of CO2
emissions priced by CO2 allowances market, green and CHP certificates priced at marketInvestment decisions are based on understanding the future market and competitiveness of
the DH service– All opportunities to improve competitiveness of the service will be utilised, for benefit of the
customers and investorsPrice of heat is competitive towards customers' own alternatives (natural gas, electricity, heat
pump, wood, pellets, ...)– Prices are transparent and price changes are reasoned by the DH companies to the Customers
• ... if not competitive, no-one can help but the market is lost for alternatives!!!
29
Indifferent, market conditions or regulated market!!
Source: Oil prices SCB, Electricity prices Nordpool, Woodchips STEM
SEK/MWh1 200
1 000
800
600
4001996 1998 2000 2002 2004
Electric boiler
Oil
Woodchips
Heat pump
District heating
2006
Total heating cost, normalbuilding with new installation (193 MWh)
Price development of district heating in Stockholm
Anyway1.) product must be competitive towards Customers' own alternatives and2.) price must not be much lower to enable DH companies to invest in the futurecompetitiveness
Congratulations to theEstonian Power and Heat Association
due to the 15th anniversary