Forecasting Sustainable Urbanization:

Inception and Data Collection Workshop

Support For Sustainable Infrastructure Planning In Cities

17-18 February 2020State Institution, Dushanbe Plaza

Dushanbe, Tajikistan

Reviewing urbanization, resource flows, and environmental trends in DushanbeSession 2

Dushanbe

Tajikistan

North and Central Asia subregion

Asia-Pacific region

Urbanization

Population of Dushanbe

0.60.6

0.70.8

0.91.0

1.2

1.4

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

Mill

ions

Source: World Urbanization Prospects: The 2018 Revision

Percentage of Population Residing in Urban Areas

26.5 26.5 26.5 26.7 27.5 28.830.8 33.3

36.439.7

43.0

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Perc

enta

ge

Tajikistan Central Asia Asia

Source: World Urbanization Prospects: The 2018 Revision

Average Annual Rate of Change of the Urban Population (Urban Growth Rate)

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035

Perc

enta

ge

Dushanbe Tajikistan Central Asia Asia

Source: World Urbanization Prospects: The 2018 Revision

Economic growth

Tajikistan GDP (2011 PPP dollars)

7,334

10,964

14,560

18,584

24,131

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Mill

ion

(201

1 PP

P do

llars

)

Source: ESCAP Online Statistical Database

Tajikistan GDP change per annum(2011 PPP dollars)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

% c

hang

e pe

r ann

um

Source: ESCAP Online Statistical Database

GDP per capita (2011 PPP dollars)

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

2011

PPP

dol

lars

per

cap

ita

Tajikistan North and Central Asia Asia-Pacific

Source: ESCAP Online Statistical Database

Material use

Domestic material consumption (DMC) in Tajikistan

10.2

31.2

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Mill

ion

tons

Source: ESCAP Online Statistical Database

Domestic material consumption (DMC) per capita

02468

1012141618

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Tons

per

cap

ita

Tajikistan North and Central Asia Asia-Pacific

Source: ESCAP Online Statistical Database

Material intensity (DMC per GDP)

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Kg p

er 1

USD

(201

0) G

DP

Tajikistan North and Central Asia Asia-Pacific

Source: ESCAP Online Statistical Database

Solid waste generation

Municipal solid waste generated in Tajikistan

2.0

3.1

5.6

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2016 2030 2050

Mill

ion

tons

per

yea

r

Source: World Bank, What a Waste 2.0

Energy consumption

Energy consumption in Tajikistan(Total final consumption)

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Mill

ion

tons

of o

il eq

uiva

lent

Source: ESCAP Online Statistical Database

Energy consumption per capita(Total final consumption)

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Kg o

f oil

equi

vale

nt p

er c

apita

Tajikistan North and Central Asia Asia-Pacific

Source: ESCAP Online Statistical Database

Energy intensity (consumption per GDP)(Total final consumption)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Kg o

f oil

equi

vale

nt p

er 1

,000

dol

lars

GD

P (2

011

PPP)

Tajikistan North and Central Asia Asia-Pacific

Source: ESCAP Online Statistical Database

Water consumption

Water intensity

2.61

0.11 0.120.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Tajikistan North and Central Asia Asia-Pacific

m3

per 1

US

dolla

r

Source: ESCAP Online Statistical Database