4
February 2016 Performance of the main stock indices Source: Snam on the Bloomberg data The financial markets pag. 1 The sectors performance pag. 2 Snam shares and its peers pag. 3 2015 results pag. 4 The oil markets Thanks to the strong improvement seen in the latter half of the month, oil prices rose in February, following consideration of potential cuts in production by Russia and OPEC countries, and the reduction of shale oil pro- duction in the United States. The increase was more muted for the U.S. crude bench- mark WTI (+0.4% closing the month at $33.8/barrel), as it was negatively affected by an increase in reserves, whilst Brent crude registered a stronger increase (+8.3% closing the month at $35.6/barrel). Snam S.p.A. Investor Relations The financial markets Stock markets registered broadly negative trends in February, with falls of -0.4% for the US S&P 500, -2.4% for the European Stoxx 600, -5.5% for the Italian FTSE MIB, and -5.9% for the Stoxx Europe 600 Utilities. Apart from a slight improvement in the se- cond half of the month, stock markets have been adversely affected by signs of a global economic slowdown and by falling crude oil prices. The US stock market’s negative per- formance was lessened by some better than expected macroeconomic signs, however the European stock markets, and in particu- lar the Italian stock market, were impacted by tensions in the banking sector over the “bail-in” legislation and the management of non-performing loans. From a macroecono- mic perspective, positive signs came from the United States (with reference to Janua- ry’s data, on a monthly basis) from durable goods orders (+4.9%), from industrial pro- duction (+0.9%) and from retail sales (+0.2%). US GDP was revised upward for Q4 2015 (+1.0% QoQ annualised from the initial estimate of +0.7%). In the Eurozone (December data, on a monthly basis), nega- tive signs came from industrial production at aggregate level (-1.0%). The OSCE down- graded its predictions on global economic growth in 2016 from its previous predictions in the half-yearly outlook (+3.0% from the previous +3.3%); it did the same for the US (+2.0% from +2.5%), the Eurozone (+1.4% from +1.8%), Germany (+1.3% from 1.8%) and Italy (+1.0% from +1.4%). -17.7% -7.6% -8.7% -5.5% -5.5% -5.9% -2.4% -0.4% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% Stoxx Europe 600 S&P 500 Stoxx Europe 600 Utilities FTSE MIB February ‘16 YtD ‘16 The Snam stock closed down Negative performance on the stock markets, mainly impacted by fears of a slowdown in the global economy Oil prices closed up

FMR febbraio eng - Snam · The oil markets Thanks to the strong improvement seen in the latter half of the month, oil prices rose in February, following consideration of potential

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    1

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: FMR febbraio eng - Snam · The oil markets Thanks to the strong improvement seen in the latter half of the month, oil prices rose in February, following consideration of potential

February 2016

Performance of the main stock indices

Source: Snam on the Bloomberg data

The financial markets pag. 1 The sectors performance pag. 2

Snam shares and its peers pag. 3 2015 results pag. 4

The oil markets

Thanks to the strong improvement seen in

the latter half of the month, oil prices rose in

February, following consideration of potential

cuts in production by Russia and OPEC

countries, and the reduction of shale oil pro-

duction in the United States. The increase

was more muted for the U.S. crude bench-

mark WTI (+0.4% closing the month at

$33.8/barrel), as it was negatively affected

by an increase in reserves, whilst Brent

crude registered a stronger increase (+8.3%

closing the month at $35.6/barrel).

Snam S.p.A. Investor Relations

The financial markets

Stock markets registered broadly negative

trends in February, with falls of -0.4% for the

US S&P 500, -2.4% for the European Stoxx

600, -5.5% for the Italian FTSE MIB, and

-5.9% for the Stoxx Europe 600 Utilities.

Apart from a slight improvement in the se-

cond half of the month, stock markets have

been adversely affected by signs of a global

economic slowdown and by falling crude oil

prices. The US stock market’s negative per-

formance was lessened by some better than

expected macroeconomic signs, however

the European stock markets, and in particu-

lar the Italian stock market, were impacted

by tensions in the banking sector over the

“bail-in” legislation and the management of

non-performing loans. From a macroecono-

mic perspective, positive signs came from

the United States (with reference to Janua-

ry’s data, on a monthly basis) from durable

goods orders (+4.9%), from industrial pro-

duction (+0.9%) and from retail sales

(+0.2%). US GDP was revised upward for

Q4 2015 (+1.0% QoQ annualised from the

initial estimate of +0.7%). In the Eurozone

(December data, on a monthly basis), nega-

tive signs came from industrial production at

aggregate level (-1.0%). The OSCE down-

graded its predictions on global economic

growth in 2016 from its previous predictions

in the half-yearly outlook (+3.0% from the

previous +3.3%); it did the same for the US

(+2.0% from +2.5%), the Eurozone (+1.4%

from +1.8%), Germany (+1.3% from 1.8%)

and Italy (+1.0% from +1.4%).

-17.7%

-7.6%

-8.7%

-5.5%

-5.5%

-5.9%

-2.4%

-0.4%

-20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5%

Stoxx Europe 600

S&P 500

Stoxx Europe 600 Utilities

FTSE MIB

February ‘16

YtD ‘16

The Snam stock closed down

Negative performance on the stock markets, mainly impacted by fears of a slowdown in the global economy

Oil prices closed up

Page 2: FMR febbraio eng - Snam · The oil markets Thanks to the strong improvement seen in the latter half of the month, oil prices rose in February, following consideration of potential

All sectors registered a negative performan-

ce in February, apart from the raw materials

sector (+16.7%), which benefitted from the

partial improvement in the price of crude and

other raw materials. The tourism and leisure

sector also saw a positive performance

(+2.2%), boosted by the decrease in fuel

prices and the increase in passenger traffic.

Amongst the other sectors, the highest falls

were in the insurance sector (-6.4%), impac-

ted by the negative performance of some

companies (in particular Allianz), in the utility

sector (-5.9%) and in the banking sector

(-5.1%), the latter mainly affected by the

coming into effect of the legislation on bank

bailouts.

In February, the utility sector saw a signifi-

cant decline (-5.9%), mainly due to the inte-

grated companies subsector (-7.5%).

Amongst these, the fall was particularly mar-

ked for EdF (-19.2%), following the signifi-

cant decrease of net profit and the reduction

of the dividend, for RWE (-18.2%), following

the suspension of the dividend, and for For-

tum (-15.4%), due to its worse than expected

results. The “Others” subsector also registe-

red a negative performance (-5.2%), as did

the Regulated Utilities subsector, albeit less

pronounced (-2.8%), because of its defensi-

ve profile and dividend visibility in a period of

high volatility in the financial markets.

Sectors in the Stock markets

Source: Snam on the Bloomberg data

Main sector performance, February 2016

Sector and subsector performance, February 2016

-5.2%

-7.5%

-2.8%

-5.9%

-10% -5% 0% 5%

Regulated Utilities

DJ Utility

Integrated Utilities

Others

The Utility sector performance

Financial Markets Review February 2016 Snam S.p.A. Investor Relations

DJ Ut i l i ty ; -5,9%

DJ Insur ance; -6, 4%

DJ T el ecom; -3, 6%

DJ Heal th Car e; -3, 9%

DJ M edi a; -0,7%

DJ Real Estate; -3,8%

DJ T r avel &Lei sur e; 2,2%

DJ Chemi cal s ; -0, 3%

DJ Food&Bev; -4, 0%

DJ Const &M at er ; -1, 6%

DJ Inds Good; 0, 3%

DJ Oi l &Gas; 1, 0%

DJ Per s&Househol ds; -1, 2%

DJ Aut opar ts ; -0,4%

DJ T ech; -4,6%

DJ Fi nanci al Ser v i ces; -1,9%

DJ Ret ai l ; -2, 3%

DJ Banks; -5, 1%

DJ Basi c Resour ces; 16, 7%

-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

Source: JP Morgan

Page 3: FMR febbraio eng - Snam · The oil markets Thanks to the strong improvement seen in the latter half of the month, oil prices rose in February, following consideration of potential

3.1%

1.0%

-0.1%

-4.0%

2.8%

-1.9%

-1.1%

-7.6%

-17.7%

-8.7%

-3.6%

-2.6%

-2.8%

-1.7%

-2.3%

-2.4%

-3.2%

-5.9%

-5.5%

-2.4%

-20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5%

The Snam shares and its peers in the Stock markets

The Snam stock closed the last session of

February at -3.6% (€4.98 per share), a much

smaller fall than the decline seen by the

Utility sector and by the Italian market. The

stock’s performance was impacted by the

general decline across the stock markets

and by profit takings following the outperfor-

mance in the previous month.

The stock’s average daily trading volume

totalled 15.1 million units, down from 15.5

million of the previous month.

Storage: approved revenues for 2015

Corporate News

Snam and its peers

Source: Snam on the Bloomberg data

YtD ‘16

February ‘16

FTSE MIB

Stoxx Europe 600

Stoxx Europe 600 Utilities

United Utilities

National Grid

Severn Trent

Red Electrica

Enagas

Snam

Terna

The Regulatory Authority for Electricity Gas

and Water has approved on 2 February the

allowed revenues for 2015.

Reference allowed revenues has been set at

455.3 million euro. RAB for natural gas stora-

ge business has been set equal to 4 billion

euro.

Resolution is available on the web site of the

Regulatory Authority for Electricity Gas and

Water (www.autorita.energia.it).

Financial Markets Review February 2016 Snam S.p.A. Investor Relations

March

Agenda

17 Consolidated financial statement 2015. Press release and Conference call 30 Strategic Plan 2016-2019. Press release and Strategy presentation

Snam: Silver Class award

CSR performances worldwide. The Dow

Jones Sustainability Index was establi-

shed in 1999 with the aim of tracking the

financial performance of shares that

stand out due to excellent results from an

economic, social and environmental point

of view. It includes 317 companies (10

from Italy) from a total of over 2,500 eligi-

ble companies.

At the end of January, RobecoSAM, one of

the world's most prominent sustainability

rating agencies, has confirmed Snam in its

“Sustainability Yearbook”, with the Silver

Class distinction, for the second year in a

row.

The cluster lists, within the Dow Jones

Sustainability World Index, companies with

outstanding performances in terms of cor-

porate sustainability. In the Gas Utilities

sector, Snam is one of the top scoring

companies, thus confirming its ability to

combine business goals and social respon-

sibility.

This recognition follows the confirmation of

Snam in the Dow Jones Sustainability

World Index (DJSI World), one of the most

important global stock exchange indexes

which awards companies with outstanding

Page 4: FMR febbraio eng - Snam · The oil markets Thanks to the strong improvement seen in the latter half of the month, oil prices rose in February, following consideration of potential

Snam and its peers: 2015 results

Snam will present the 2015 results on 17th March

On 25th February Red Electrica presented the 2015 results

(million euro) 2014 2015 Change

Total revenue 1,847 1,939 +5.0%

EBITDA 1,385 1,458 +5.3%

EBIT 949 989 +4.2%

Net profit 718 606 (15.6%)

Investments 957 447 (53.0%)

Net debt 5,409 4,906 (9.3%)

Financial Highlights

On 16th February Enagas presented the 2015 results

Financial Highlights

Snam SpA

Piazza Santa Barbara 7 - 20097 S. Donato Milanese (Mi) Italia

www.snam.it — [email protected]

tel: +39 02 37037272- fax: +39 02 37037803

Financial Markets Review February 2016 Snam S.p.A. Investor Relations

On 17th February Terna presented the 2015 preliminary results.

On 21st March will present the 2015 results

Financial Highlights

(million euro) 2014 2015 Change

Total revenue 1,996 2,070 +3.7%

EBITDA 1,491 1,530 +2.7%

Investments 1,096 1,100 +0.4%

Net debt 6,966 8,000 +14.0%

(million euro) 2014 2015 Change

Total revenue 1,234 1,222 (0.2%)

EBITDA 940 900 (4.2%)

EBIT 590 602 +2.1%

Net profit 406 413 +1.5%

Net debt 4,059 4,237 +4.4%

Investments 625 530 (15.0%)