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1 24-Feb-20
Financing Infrastructure Projects - PPP
Mubeen Rafat
2 24-Feb-20
Definition of Infrastructure
Rangarajan Commission
Rakesh Mohan Report
RBI
Income Tax
Ministry of Finance – Economic Survey
World Bank
Decision of Empowered Committee of CoI
3 24-Feb-20
Characteristics of Infrastructure Sectors
1. Natural monopoly
2. High-sunk costs
3. Non-tradability of output
4. Non-rivalness (up to congestion limits) in consumption
5. Possibility of price exclusion
6. Bestowing externalities on society
Source – Rangarajan Commission
4 24-Feb-20
Characteristics of Infrastructure Projects…1
Features Attributes
Longer Maturity • Maturities greater than 10 years • Reflects both the length of the construction period and the life- span of the underlying asset
Large Investments • Great deal of money (Investments) • Depends on number of Kms in case of Road / MW in case of Power
Higher Risk • Demand uncertainty • Environmental transformations • Technological obsolescence (Telecom sector) • Political and policy related uncertainties
About Infrastructure Financing
5 24-Feb-20
Characteristics of Infrastructure Projects…2
Features Attributes
Non-recourse or limited recourse financing
• Lenders to be repaid from revenues generated by the projects
High initial capital and low operating cost
• Mix of complex and varied contractual arrangements
Uncertainty in Financial Projections • Changes in law, policies etc can never be accurately captured in financial projections
Lower Incentives for Private players • Projects are uncertain and returns are lower on risk adjusted basis • Additional incentives are necessary to attract private investment. Ex: VGF schemes
About Infrastructure Financing
6 24-Feb-20
Sector Rangarajan Commission
Rakesh Mohan Report/CSO RBI
Income Tax IRDA
Ministry of Finance
World Bank
Empowered Sub Committee of COI
Electricity Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Yes (incl. R&M of Power Stns)
Water Supply Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Sewerage Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Yes (incldg SWM and Street Lighting)
Telecommunications Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Roads & Bridges Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Ports Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Yes (incldg inland waterways)
Airports Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Rail (rolling stock) Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Railways Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes ( incldg MTS)
7 24-Feb-20
Sector Rangarajan Commission
Rakesh Mohan Report/CSO RBI
Income Tax IRDA
Ministry of Finance
World Bank
Empowered Sub Committee of COI
Wind Energy Yes(CSO) Yes (Solar Energy)
Irrigation Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes (Watershed Dev)
Storage Yes Yes Yes (at ports) Yes
Housing Yes
Urban services; as Yes Yes Yes (SWM) Yes
Street lighting, No(CSO) Solid Waste Management
Oil production & pipelines Yes Yes Yes (oil pipelines onlly)
Mining Yes
Gas distribution Yes Yes Yes (gas pipelines onlly)
Aircrafts Yes Yes Vehicles, trucks, buses etc (Road Transport System) Yes Yes
Industrial Park/ SEZ Yes (RM) Yes Yes Yes Educational Institutions Yes Yes Hospitals Yes Yes Posts Yes
8 24-Feb-20
9 24-Feb-20
10 24-Feb-20
Definition of Infrastructure
Physical Infrastructure
Technology Infrastructure
Human Infrastructure
11 24-Feb-20
Economic Infrastructure
It directly supports economic system from inside.
It improves the quality of economic resources and thus raises the production.
Increases physical capital of a nation
It is directly correlated with the GDP.
It indirectly supports the economic system from inside.
It improves the quality of human resources and thus, improves the efficiency of man-power.
Increases the human capital of a nation.
It will help in the development of human capital.
Difference Between Economic & Social Infrastructure
Social Infrastructure
Budget 2020
₹100 lakh crore to be invested on infrastructure over the next 5 years • National Infrastructure Pipeline:
• -Rs. 103 lakh crore worth projects; launched on 31st December 2019
• -More than 6500 projects across sectors, to be classified as per their size and stage of development
• ₹1.7 lakh crore proposed for transport infrastructure in 2020-21
• National Logistics Policy to be released soon:
• To clarify roles of the Union Government, State Governments and key regulators.
• A single window e-logistics market to be created
• Focus to be on generation of employment, skills and making MSMEs competitive
• National Skill Development Agency to give special thrust to infrastructure-focused skill development opportunities
-Project preparation facility for infrastructure projects proposed
-To actively involve young engineers, management graduates and economists from Universities
-Infrastructure agencies of the government to involve youth-power in start-ups
13 24-Feb-20
14 24-Feb-20
15 24-Feb-20
Infrastructure Financing: Factors
Factors
Project viability
Realizat-ion of user costs
Avoiding time and
costs overrun
Contract enforce-
ment
Efficient utilizatio
n of funds
Critical role of Infrastructure in India’s development most of the state and local governments in India are not in a position to undertake these investments
- Therefore ,various flagship programs had to be dependent on central assistance.
16 24-Feb-20
INFRASTRUCTURE IN INDIA
17 24-Feb-20
Domestic Capital Market
Euro Market & Foreign Capital
Market
Multilateral Development
Banks
Foreign Suppliers
Credit
Commercial Banks/ Specialised Financial Institutions
Leasing
Project participants - Contractors
- Equipment vendors
FUNDING OPTIONS
18 24-Feb-20
19 24-Feb-20
2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19
2.1 Mining & Quarrying (incl. Coal) 1.67% 1.55% 1.42% 1.35% 1.43% 1.29% 1.53% 1.45%
2.2 Food Processing 4.86% 5.26% 5.81% 6.45% 5.50% 5.43% 5.76% 5.44%
2.3 Beverage & Tobacco 0.78% 0.74% 0.73% 0.70% 0.66% 0.64% 0.58% 0.51%
2.4 Textiles 8.23% 8.23% 8.04% 7.60% 7.54% 7.32% 7.78% 7.05%
2.6 Wood & Wood Products 0.32% 0.34% 0.37% 0.37% 0.35% 0.39% 0.40% 0.41%
2.7 Paper & Paper Products 1.29% 1.27% 1.30% 1.28% 1.30% 1.22% 1.13% 1.05%
2.8 Petroleum, Coal Products & Nuclear Fuels 3.16% 2.88% 2.58% 2.11% 1.88% 2.22% 2.41% 2.19%
2.9 Chemicals & Chemical Products 6.56% 7.14% 6.61% 5.81% 6.03% 6.43% 6.04% 6.64%
2.1 Rubber, Plastic & their Products 1.54% 1.40% 1.47% 1.42% 1.37% 1.46% 1.57% 1.59%
2.11 Glass & Glassware 0.32% 0.33% 0.35% 0.33% 0.33% 0.30% 0.31% 0.34%
2.12 Cement & Cement Products 1.91% 2.06% 2.14% 2.11% 1.99% 2.02% 1.95% 1.93%
2.13 Basic Metal & Metal Product 13.51% 14.08% 14.34% 14.50% 15.23% 15.71% 15.41% 12.88%
2.14 All Engineering 5.83% 5.76% 5.82% 5.79% 5.65% 5.58% 5.75% 5.84%
2.15 Vehicles, Vehicle Parts & Transport Equipment 2.67% 2.64% 2.64% 2.57% 2.53% 2.75% 2.92% 2.77%
2.16 Gems & Jewellery 2.65% 2.74% 2.78% 2.70% 2.66% 2.58% 2.69% 2.50%
2.17 Construction 2.51% 2.34% 2.49% 2.80% 2.73% 3.07% 3.34% 3.45%
2.18 Infrastructure 32.52% 32.72% 33.24% 34.79% 35.33% 33.82% 33.01% 36.59%
2.18.1 Power 17.08% 18.65% 19.35% 20.98% 21.24% 19.61% 19.25% 19.72%
2.18.2 Telecommunications 4.85% 3.94% 3.51% 3.46% 3.34% 3.17% 3.13% 4.01%
2.18.3 Roads 5.73% 5.89% 6.27% 6.35% 6.50% 6.72% 6.17% 6.47%
2.18.4 Other Infrastructure 4.86% 4.25% 4.11% 4.00% 4.25% 4.33% 4.45% 6.39%
2.19 Other Industries 9.28% 8.11% 7.47% 6.92% 7.12% 7.36% 7.00% 7.00%
Industries 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Source : Reserve Bank of India.
Sr. No. Industry Outstanding as on last reporting Friday in March
20 24-Feb-20
Multilateral Aid
In 2018-19
World Bank committed over $1000 mn towards 3 projects
Asian Development Bank extended financial assistance to the tune of $2199 mn to 10 projects
Japan International Cooperation Agency provided ODA of around $3146 mn to 7 projects
21 24-Feb-20
Bond Market Higher uptake for bond issues in the past 15-18 months
Private placements through private companies
Most of the bond issues from road and power sector
SBI raises $650 mn through green bond issue in September 2018 for environment friendly projects
• Muncipal bonds 8.7 bn were raised in 2018-19, from 5 issues
Pune, Hyderabad and Indore
22 24-Feb-20
Fiscal stresses Cutbacks in investments – affecting asset acquisition
Dilapidated and failure-prone assets
Inefficiencies of public provision of infrastructure services
Technological changes
Developments of financial markets and innovative products
Increased ability of private operators and their financiers to assume risks
RATIONALE FOR PPP
23 24-Feb-20
The Vicious Circle
Low Collection/ Recovery
Low Maintenance
Low Service Level
Low Level of Infrastructure
Low Capacity to Pay
Low Investments
Low Equilibrium
Cycle
24 24-Feb-20
Some infrastructure segments are difficult to put in PPP
Below cost user charges do not permit commercial viability of standalone operations
Inherent risks deter private investments
Even in activities that can be put in PPP “access” for poor need to be ensured
Optimal balance of equity with efficiency considerations
LIMITATIONS
Therefore, the Government will continue to play a role in providing services …
25 24-Feb-20
ROLE OF THE GOVERNMENT
Leading private capital into projects
Catalysing investments in projects which are bankable
Rationalising policy frameworks
Risk mitigation
Bridging the financing gap to make projects viable
VGF
Maintaining and promoting “access”
Commercial providers will not deliver to the poor
… but, there needs to be a change in the way
these services are provided. How?
26 24-Feb-20
Need for Alternative Models
Commercialisation - cost recovery & sustainability Privatisation - finance, technology & management capacity Community participation - responsiveness and sense of ownership/ involvement Risk Sharing mechanisms Regulatory authorities to ensure fair play
27 24-Feb-20
Public Private Partnerships
“A long-term contract between a private party and a Government entity, for providing a public asset or service, in which the private party bears significant risk and management responsibility, and remuneration is linked to performance".
PPP Knowledge Lab World Bank
Public procurement projects - service contracts or turnkey construction contracts
Privatisation – public sector gives up legal title
28 24-Feb-20
PPP is a win-win relationship between the government and various private sector players for the purpose of delivering a service by sharing the risks and rewards of the venture under a contractual obligation.
29 24-Feb-20
29
PPP mode Development of assets of world class
standards
Improved maintenance and management
of assets
Provision of efficient services
Risk Sharing
Affordable prices through greater
competition
Win win relationship
30 24-Feb-20
Different modes of Pvt Sector vs Govt
Mode Asset
Ownership
O&M Capital
Investment
Commercial
Risk
Duration
(Years)
Management
Contract
Public Public &
private
Public Public 3-5
Lease Public Private Public Shared 8-15
Concession Public Private Private Private 25-30
BOT Private/
Public
Private Private Private 20-30
Divestiture Private/ Pvt.
& Public
Private Private Private Indefinite
31 24-Feb-20
“Value for the Public’s Money” is a combination of PRICE AND RISK
Average
PPP
Tariff
Level of Sector RISK Borne by Government
PPP Option
#1
Public “Utility” Curves
The Private
Sector’s
Price-Risk
Offer Curve
PPP Option
#3
PPP
Option #2
P’ P’’
P’’’
Lowest-priced bid is often not the best bid
Low High
32 24-Feb-20
Optimal vs. Minimal Public Risk-Sharing
Public Support High Pub. Risk Low Pub. Risk
Public’s
Value
For
Money
Private Sector’s
Price-Risk Offer Curve
Low VfM
High VfM
PPP Price (Cost/ Output Unit)
Minimal Public
Support, But Low VfM
Moderate Public
Support, => Optimal
VfM
Low PPP Price
High PPP Price
VfM
Public VfM
Utility Curves
Operating/
Avail. Risk
Technology/
Eq. Install. Risk
Market/
Demand Risk
Land
Acq.
Political
Risk
33 24-Feb-20
Govt Support for PPP projects
34 24-Feb-20
Way Ahead India moving towards a $4-$5 trillion economy in the next decade from the current $2 trillion plus economy Massive infrastructure needs – gap of $526 bn by 2040 Exploring alternative source of funds and creating and enabling environment Securitisation of Infrastructure loans Maintaining macroeconomic stability to keep the country on the high growth trajectory
35 24-Feb-20
Seawoods Railway station
The 520,000-square-foot Sea woods rail station
1.5 million square feet of world-class retail space
3.1 million square feet of Class A office space
1.4 million square feet of parking and support space
36 24-Feb-20
Seawoods Railway Station
37 24-Feb-20
38 24-Feb-20
Alternative Funding Sources Infrastructure Investment Trust (InvIT)
IPO of IRB’s InvIT had a lacklustre performance Sterlite Power Indigrid IndInfravit in May 2018, Canada Pension Plan Invetsmnet Baord and allianz Capital Partners acquire 30% and 25% stake respectively
National Investment Infrastructure Fund Partnered with DP World to create paltform for invetsmnets in ports, tarnsportation and logistics Partnered with HDFC in an invetsment paltform for mid income and afforadbale housing Secured invets,ents of up to % 400 mn from Temasek Acquired IDFC Infartsrcutue Finance Ltd from IDFC Received approval for $100mn equity invetsment from AIIB
New developemnt Bank Asian Infratsrcuture Invetsmnet Bank Indian pesnsion and insurance funds contricbute much less Foreign sovereign wealth funds , pension funds and PE players are ishwoin interets in strssed assets in power and raod sectors.
39 24-Feb-20
Tax Incentives
Integrated business of handling, storage, and transportation of food grains.
Commercial production or refining of mineral oils.
Processing, preservation, and packaging of fruits or vegetables.
Operating and maintaining a hospital in a rural area.
40 24-Feb-20
Financing infrastructure in 11th five year plan
41 24-Feb-20
42 24-Feb-20
Financing Mix
XI Plan Government – 45% Banks/ NBFC/ Fis/LIC – 35% Equity/FDI – 14% Others - ECB etc – 6%
Private sector in India, unlike US and other countries where bonds play a bigger role, till now has been sourcing its funding by way of internal accruals, equity raising and bank financing – debt.
Bond market has not grown.
43 24-Feb-20
Bond market in various countries play major role in funding of Infrastructure
SOURCE : DIPP – Discussion paper on financing requirements of infrastructure and industry
Country Sector-wise Total
Govt. FI’s Corporates
China 1,500.80 (49%) 974.60 (32%) 572.20 (19%) 3,047.60
France 1,834.00 (54%) 1,300.60 (38%) 286.90 (8%) 3,421.50
Germany 1,817.70 (65%) 593.60 (21%) 403.30 (14%) 2,814.60
India 610.40 (86%) 75.50 (11%) 25.10 (4%) 711.00
Japan 11,579.90 (85%) 1,127.50 (8%) 867.70 (6%) 13,575.10
Singapore 105.50 (81%) 23.20 (18%) 2.00 (2%) 130.70
South Korea 512.80 (44%) 257.70 (22%) 404.60 (34%) 1,175.10
UK 1,394.80 (81%) 311.60 (18%) 20.70 (1%) 1,727.10
USA 11,403.40 (45%) 11,134.70 (44%) 2,937.20 (12%) 25,475.30
USD bn
Indian Bond market is very shallow as compared to other countries
Most of the Bond issuance is done by Govt of India
Countries like China, France, USA, South Korea, etc. have a vibrant bond market where FI’s raise capital
44 24-Feb-20
Infrastructure Lending
Domestic financial sector – banks, NBFCs, FIs, insurance
Cos. – has provided almost 35% of the funds during 11th
plan.
Banking sector exposure has increased more than fourfold
from Rs. 1.43 lakh cr as of March, 2007 to Rs. 7.86 lakh cr
as of March 2014
Power – 4.03 lakh cr Roads and ports – 1.31 lakh cr
Asset quality – Gross NPA Ratio has increased from 0.61 in
Mar 2009 to 1.45 in Mar 2014. Power and telecom being
0.57 and 3.23.
45 24-Feb-20
Infrastructure Lending With increased participation expected from the
private sector in the 12th plan, debt and equity
requirements will multiply several times, almost
3X.
Infrastructure lending has been mainly through
vanilla term loans offered at floating rates i.e.
bank’s Base Rate + Spread, usually with triggers
(covenants) for change of the interest rate due to
deterioration in financial parameters like DSCR,
Debt Equity ratio, default in other terms and
conditions, etc.
46 24-Feb-20
Bond Market - Profile Issuances are dominated by banks and public sector companies. Private sector, nonfinancial corporate issuers represent a smaller proportion.
Issuers with triple-A ratings raise funds with ease from the markets as compared to firms with lower ratings - ~ 70%
Private placements mostly dominate the primary segment of the corporate debt market accounting for more than 98 per cent of the total issuance of corporate debt (2013-14) in India.
The issuance process is also impacted by costs, such as, stamp duties, transfer costs, etc. which needs rationalisation.
47 24-Feb-20
Sectoral Breakup of Projected Investment
Sector XI Plan XII Plan
Electricity 658630 165 32% 1289946 322 31%
Roads & bridges 278658 70 14% 500977 125 12%
Telecommunications 345134 86 17% 1095550 274 26% Railways incldg MRTS 200802 50 10% 320361 80 8%
Irrigation incl Watershed 246234 62 12% 387808 97 9% Water supply & Sanitation 111689 28 5% 173730 43 4%
Ports, 40647 10 2% 63452 16 2%
Airports, 36138 9 2% 65656 16 2%
Storage, 8966 2 0% 29376 7 1% Oil & Gas pipelines 127306 32 6% 258482 65 6%
2054204 514 100% 4185338 1045 100%
48 24-Feb-20
49 24-Feb-20
Magnitude of Problem Issues & Suggestions
Issue: Our target of at least Rs 51 lakh cr investment is ambitious against proven capacity
Suggestions
Budgetary limitations imply that Government needs to seriously build capacity for offering PPP projects for participation to both domestic and foreign investors – there is no substitute to FDI and ECB
At any point in time US$ 270-350 million worth of projects have to be on offer and Government machinery needs to gear up this capacity with professional advice from World Bank (PPIAF) and Consultants
Finance Ministry, Planning Commission and RBI need to work out strategy of how funds could be made available for infra development
50 24-Feb-20
Financing Issues & Suggestions Issue: Long term funds up to & beyond 15 years are limited and only from banking sector (who face risk of ALM mismatch)
Suggestions
Channelize long term resources with Insurance & PF
ECBs in theory are possible, but lenders are risk averse due to legacy (Enron). ECB lenders can be attracted in Securitization/ refinancing deals which are not allowed by RBI.
ECB cap of US$ 18 billion is also a limiting factor
An ideal structure, subject to RBI approval would be a Take-Out structure with Domestic lenders being replaced by ECB post COD
Develop capital markets as sources for funding Infra projects either on individual basis or on a pooled finance basis
51 24-Feb-20
Policy / Regulatory Issues & Suggestions
Issues:
Allocation of risks in an equitable manner (Govt authorities are tending to pass on risks of land acquisition, environmental approvals, right-of-way clearance, etc on to developer)
Separation of conflict of interest when policy maker, regulator and operator is one entity.
Suggestions:
Apply the principle of allocation of risks to the party which is best placed to manage it economically and efficiently
Incorporate stake-holder consultations in design of concession agreements
Provide a grievance mechanism to resolve disputes quickly
Create independent sector regulator to sit on judgement
52 24-Feb-20
Implementation Issues & Suggestions
Issues:
Inordinate delays in conception to award, inefficient or “managed” competitive bidding process
Suggestions:
Expedite process – rope in competent advisors if necessary
Offer of infra tax benefits should be with a long term view – reinstate
If benefits are withdrawn, compensation to be automatic
53 24-Feb-20
Project financing
Prof Mubeen Rafat
54 24-Feb-20
Project Cost - Funding
Project cost is the sum total of all funds required to be infused by providers of long-term capital until the time a project starts generating net positive cash flows
This includes any working capital that may have to be funded by long-term funds
This includes the interest on loans during the above period
Any funds inflow or revenues or subsidy during this period go towards funding of project cost and reduce the peak funding requirement for equity and debt.
55 24-Feb-20
55
Sources of funding projects
Own/Direct Indirect
Sources of funds
Kind • Government
Guarantees
Savings & Sell-down
• Improvement in revenue,
productivity or cost control
• Sell-down of assets/cashflows,
licenses
PPP • BOT/BOOT • O&M and
Agency Contracts
• Privatization
Cash • Equity/
Internal generation
• Budgetary allocation
• Borrowings
56 24-Feb-20
56
Sources of long term finance Over 15 years
5 to 10 years
Upto 5 years
Multi-lateral funding (ADB, World Bank, USAID, etc.)
Direct
Through FIs
Insurance firms (LIC & GIC)
Pension Funds
Financial Institutions & Banks with suitable resets
Commercial Banks
57 24-Feb-20
57
Project Finance lenders
Lead players (yesterday)
IDBI
ICICI
IFCI
IL&FS
(emerging)
SBI
IDFC
Punjab National Bank
UTI Bank
Participants (at all times)
SBI
LIC
HUDCO
Public sector Banks
Private sector Banks
(emerging)
SIDBI
L&T Infrastructure Finance
Yes Bank, SREI
Citi Bank, ADCB, etc.
58 24-Feb-20
58
Project Finance: Characteristics of Infrastructure projects
Substantial capital investments
Long gestation periods
Investments may not yield any return for initial few years (back ended cash flows)
Typically highly leveraged transaction
59 24-Feb-20
What is project finance
Project Finance is a technique of non-recourse or limited recourse financing in which the project lender principally
look to the cash flow of a single project as security for their long-term loans.
In India the term Project Finance was generally applied to long term loans given by Term Lending institutions (Fis) to new (or modernisation/ upgradation) industrial projects as compared to working capital facility extended by commercial banks.
60 24-Feb-20
60
Extent of sponsor recourse
Full-recourse Akin to corporate finance
Non-recourse finance Extremely rare
Limited recourse finance Completion guarantees
Undertakings to cover cost overruns
61 24-Feb-20
61
Limited recourse financing...
Insulates sponsors from project debt and risk of project failure
Enables them to share some risks in a large project with other participants
Overcome the inability to borrow through a corporate loan as balance sheet cannot support the project debt
62 24-Feb-20
62
Future cash flows from the project are the primary source of debt repayment
Project finance is cash flow based
Cash flow based financing for infrastructure projects
Significant value of the project is derived from intangibles and not from the assets created
Estimation of debt requirement of the project depends on the future cash flows of the project as against the capital expenditure incurred in conventional projects
63 24-Feb-20
63
Project finance needs strong security structure
Security structure needs to be more stringent than a normal project assistance and typically includes -
Legal mortgage of all assets, including receivables (as opposed to the normal equitable mortgage)
Pledge of promoter shareholdings in the project company
Escrow mechanism for cash flows of the company
Assignment in favour of lenders of all the project contracts
64 24-Feb-20
64
Project finance vs. corporate finance
Project Finance Corporate Finance
(balance-sheet funding)
• Recourse limited to
identified pool of assets
• Recourse to all the assets
of the borrower
• Contracts/license
agreement/Take-or-Pay
contract is key security
• Physical assets are the
key security & market
value may be realisable
65 24-Feb-20
Lenders’ approach to financing Focus on economically strong projects
Back strong sponsors with successful track record in implementing large projects
Comprehensive due diligence on all counterparties (incl. EPC contractor, O&M contractor, Licensor, etc)
Insist on complete financial closure before commitment of any funds
Arranging project finance requires substantial time and cost
66 24-Feb-20
KSFs for Project Financier …1
Deep knowledge of the sectors to understand the various risks
Structuring capabilities for appropriate risk mitigation in the context of limited recourse financing
Ability to take and manage large exposures to meet the funding requirements
67 24-Feb-20
67
Deep knowledge of each of the sectors is critical to understand and mitigate risks
KSFs for Project Financier …2
Infrastructure projects are complex as compared to conventional projects
Service providers - often monopolistic
Investments are typically bulky and lumpy
Typically highly leveraged projects
Long payback periods
Influence of externalities
Variation in risk profile across different infrastructure sectors
68 24-Feb-20
68
Basis for lenders’ risk aversion Lenders have the maximum money on a project rated at “BBB” and the minimum returns
whereas The developers put a small money as equity and aspire for
supernormal profits
The Users get a facility for which they can pay if they so wish (or protest/use alternatives, etc.)
The Government puts no money but has the right to intervene, take over if it is dissatisfied
yet
the lenders’ lenders are not so easy on them and besides expecting a “AAA” rating also face stringent RBI/SEBI regulations
69 24-Feb-20
Project preparation & development
Establishing independent commercial viability of the project: demand, revenues & costs
Identification of risks, allocation & mitigation
Project structuring & role of private sector
Comprehensive information memorandum covering studies & draft contract agreements
Designing transparent competitive bidding process
Transparent & fair procurement process
Co-ordination issues: Identification of nodal agency and defining roles of other agencies
70 24-Feb-20
Stakeholder concerns
Capacity building of government / public agencies
Interest and capacity among private sector operators
Addressing financing issues of lenders and investors
Ensuring adequacy of services at affordable rates by the users
Building awareness for “pay for use” principle among consumers
71 24-Feb-20
Government/Local Authority
Sustained improvement in provision of Infrastructure
Conserving scarce public resources
Creation of facilities and provision of efficient services
Transparency and fair process
Protection of Social/Developmental commitments
71
72 24-Feb-20
Developer/Investor
Commercial viability of project
Freedom & flexibility in conduct of business
Avoidance of risks beyond control
Fairness in transaction
Delays in approvals
72
73 24-Feb-20
Consumers/Users
Availability of facilities & services
Acceptable levels of tariffs/taxes/tolls
Delivery of promised level of service
Appropriate grievance redress system
24-Feb-20
73
74 24-Feb-20
Project Financiers/Lenders
Financial viability
Degree of certainty
Risk mitigation measures
Freedom to exercise step-in-and-cure-rights
Protection against defaults by Government and developer
75 24-Feb-20
75
Toll road securitization Project Cost : Rs. 280 million (funded by equity & corporate loan)
Status : Completion in two months time
Concession : 13 Years
NPV of toll receipts: Rs.600 million
Interest rate : 13.0%
The promoter proposes to securitise toll receivables up-front i.e. prior to start of project operation
Will you lend? If yes, then
What amount?
Under what conditions?
For what tenure?
76 24-Feb-20
76
Securitisation Debt can be given, based on outcome of due diligence
Comprehensive traffic count and willingness to pay study
Proper security structure
Safeguard against initial teething trouble events like slow traffic buildup, litigations and other Force Majeure events
Against termination due to FM events and event of default
Trust and Retention Account to regulate project cash flows
Amount to be based on comfort of project cash flows
Over collatarisation of atleast 25% be maintained
Tenure of debt should be such that there should be a residual concession period of 2-3 years for contingencies
77 24-Feb-20
Project Company
Indian FIs & Banks
EPC Contractor
EPC Contract
PPA
O&M Contractor
Fuel Supply Contractor
Sponsor
ECAs SEB
Guarantee
Rupee Debt
Sponsor Shareholder's
Agreement ECBs
Guarantee
Typical contractual structure: Power
78 24-Feb-20
Securitisation - Concept
Providing loan today for receipts tomorrow
Fairly predictable and reliable stream of revenue net of all associated costs
However, a cushion is kept for
All incidental & other costs
Margin of error (volatility in the cash flows)
A positive tail at the end of the period
Provide contingent recourse to sponsors against any unpredictable events
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Conditions for securitisation
Project characteristics
Project to have been implemented and operational (most risks are behind now)
Revenue stream well established & predictable
Project doing better than expected
Project lenders willing to accept prepayment
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Applications of securitisation
Road projects that have higher toll receipts than expected
All annuity projects of NHAI
Power projects (after creditworthiness of SEBs has been established beyond a shadow of doubt!)
Pooled infrastructure assets
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OBJECTIVE OF TAKEOUT FINANCE
To expand sources of finance for infrastructure projects by
facilitating participation of new entities
To address sectoral /group/entity exposure issues and asset liability
mismatch concerns of lenders
To boost the availability of longer tenor debt finance for projects
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TAKE OUT FINANCE SCHEME In case of Take-out Financing, IIFCL direct lending to the
project does not exceed 10% of the project cost and total
lending including Takeout Financing by IIFCL shall not exceed
30% of total project cost.
On the Scheduled Date of Occurrence of Takeout, the takeout
will be executed in respect of only those loans, which are
classified as standard assets in the books of the Lenders who
have signed the Takeout Agreement.
On the Scheduled Date of Occurrence of Takeout, the takeout
will be executed if the project has achieved an average Debt
Service Coverage Ratio (1 y ear of operation) of at least 1.10.
Once takeout is effected pursuant to the Takeout Agreement,
IIFCL’s security interest in the project’s assets and cash flows
shall rank pari passu with senior debt extended by the
Lender(s).
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PPP mode
Maximizing investment
Budgetary constraints
Development of assets of world class
standards
Improved maintenance and management
of assets
Provision of efficient services
Affordable prices through greater
competition
Risk Sharing
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CREDIT ENHANCEMENT SCHEME
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Role of IIFCL
IIFCL – 2006
IIFCL is an apex financial intermediary for purposes of the development and financing of infrastructure projects and facilities in the country.
IIFCL renders financial assistance through: • Direct lending to eligible projects
• Refinance to banks and financing institutions (FIs) for loans with a tenor of 5years or more
• Any other method approved by the Government of India (GOI)
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Measures taken by the Govt
Public-Private Partnership Projects
Setting up Committees to simplify procedures
COI. CCoI, PPP Appraisal Committee, Empowered Committee
Viability Gap Funding
FDI – 100%
Setting up of IIFCL
Setting up of Infrastructure Debt Funds
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Scheme for financing viable infrastructure projects through India Infrastructure Finance Company Limited (IIFCL)
Empowered Committee
IIFCL
Lead Bank
Long Term Debt
Private Sector Company
Project Company
Project Term
Public Private Partnership (PPP) Project
Public Sector Company
Total Project Cost
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Setting up Subsidiary at UK
Participation in Special Funds- IIIF
DMIC - Western Corridor- pass through Loan from
JBIC
MOUs with 28 banks/ FIs for backward & forward
linkages – for Project Development, Syndications,
Debt, Equity.
Refinance Scheme for Banks.
INDIA INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCE
COMPANY LTD. - INITIATIVES
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Funding of IIFCL Apart from its equity, the IIFCL ussually funded through long-term debt raised from the open market. This debt can be any or all of the following:
[a] Rupee debt raised from the market through suitable instruments created for the purpose; the IIFCL would ordinarily raise debt of maturity of 10 years and beyond.
[b] Debt from bilateral or multilateral institutions such as the World Bank and Asian Development Bank.
[c] Foreign currency debt, including through external commercial borrowings raised with prior approval of the Government.
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• Offtake guarantee
• Domestic fuel availability
• Discom turmaround
• Strenghtening isntitutionsl capcity
Power
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Challenges
Increase in Central Govt spending but difficult to accelerate from current levels
Banl lending to infra is down
Immediate term challenges to UDAY bonds and froam laon waivers
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Incraese private invetsments and reduce
burden on Govt spending
Tein balance sheet problem – allevaite stressed assets
BoradecaIm[prove producitivity and efficieny in spending
Isntituiotnliase capital market innovations
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IDFs
Naitoan; bond markey
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State Level
Restore fiscal helath and create space tp expand infra spedning
Nodel infra funds and empoered sectoral impleemnatation agnecies ot access orvate capital and invst
Support cities thru municpal binds
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Infrastructure – Scenario Infrastructure spend as a percentage of GDP and in absolute terms has been on the rise –
10th Plan 5.01% of GDP(Rs.9.14 lakh cr),
11thPlan 7.27%of GDP(Rs.19.57 lakh cr),
12th Plan – 9-10% of GDP Plan projected about Rs. 51 lakh cr
Almost two fold increase every plan period
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Infrastructure – Scenario
India has adopted private sector led model for infrastructure development
22.1% (Rs. 2.02 lakh cr) in 10th plan, 37.3% (Rs. 7.3 lakh cr) in 11th plan and almost 47% projected for the 12th plan
(Rs. 24 lakh cr)
Almost 3 fold increase every plan period.
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Highway Projects Highways projects worth Rs 200 crore have been approved for improving connectivity between Gujarat, Maharashtra, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Diu for approx Rs 200 crore have been approved.
Nearly 33,000 kilometres of National Highways have been constructed in the last four years & work is underway on another 53,000 kilometres.
Government aims at completing two lakh kilometres of National Highways by the year 2022.
Minister of State for Road Transport and Highways Mansukh Lal Mandaviya Sept 2018.
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•Infrastrcuture Invetsment gap of $526 bn by 2040 •India moving towards a $4-$5 trillion economy n the next decade
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Equity Financing
Private Equity during 2018-19 (till Nov 2018), 28 PE deals worth Rs 475 bn up from 21 PE deals worth Rs 172 bn in the corresponding period last year. (In 2017-18, 34 deals worth around Rs 348 bn
Renewable energy and logistics attracted maximum funds
IPOs – 7 IPOs raised funds of Rs 14 bn as compared to 10 IPOs in same period in 2017-18 raising Rs 60bn
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Alternative Funding Sources Infrastructure Investment Trust (InvIT)
IPO of IRB’s InvIT had a lacklustre performance
Sterlite Power Indigrid
IndInfravit in May 2018, Canada Pension Plan Investment Board and Allianz Capital Partners acquire 30% and 25% stake respectively
National Investment Infrastructure Fund
Partnered with DP World to create platform for investment in ports, transportation and logistics
Partnered with HDFC in an investment platform for mid income and affordable housing
Secured investments of up to $400 mn from Temasek
Acquired IDFC Infrastructure Finance Ltd from IDFC
Received approval for $100mn equity investment from AIIB
New Development Bank
Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank
Indian pension and insurance funds contribute much less
Foreign sovereign wealth funds , pension funds and PE players are showing interest in stressed assets in power and road sectors.
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Infrastructure Investment Trusts (InvITs)
Conceptualised three years ago and one of the fastest financial products
Three InvIT listings have raised capital of Rs 100 bn
Better than debt instruments due to lower volatility, higher returns and lower leverage
Success in Japan , Singapore, Hong Kong , US and UK
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Way Ahead
India moving towards a $4-$5 trillion economy in the next decade from the current $2 trillion plus economy Massive infrastructure needs – gap of $526 bn by 2040 Exploring alternative source of funds and creating and enabling environment Securitisation of Infrastructure loans Maintaining macroeconomic stability to keep the country on the high growth trajectory
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Anticipated Expenditure to go on an over-drive in the XII Plan
5.0%
6.4% 7.2% 7.5% 7.9%
8.4% 7.9%
8.4% 8.9%
9.6% 10.4%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
0.00
50.00
100.00
150.00
200.00
250.00
300.00
XPlan
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
Spend as % of GDP(RHS)
Spending plan for infrastructure during the XI and the XII plan