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Exponential Technologies and Sustainable Humanity Finnsight 2016, Helsinki © Center for Curriculum Redesign [email protected] #4DEdu @CurrRedesign

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Page 1: Exponential Technologies and Sustainable Humanity · MOLECULAR CARTOGRAPHY: 2,898 proteins (nodes) by 5,460 interactions (edges). ... Good news: Computers unlikely capable of radical

Exponential Technologies and

Sustainable HumanityFinnsight 2016, Helsinki

© Center for Curriculum Redesign

[email protected] #4DEdu @CurrRedesign

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

40 years of friendship with Suomi

1970’s:

1980’s:

1990’s:

2000’s:

Low/Medium value-added goods

High value-added goods

High value-added IP/services

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Whatshould students learn for the

21st century?

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Question

What will the world be like 20 years from now?

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Climate change Personal privacy

Financial instability Political partisanship

The road ahead is challenging…

Inequities

Technological disruptions

Religious intolerance

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

At the mercy of the weakest link

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Impact of Migration

50˚ C in MENA

summer 2016

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Human Interdependency…

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Second Question

What will the world be like 20 years from now?

What will you need to be successful in that world?

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

The Power of Exponential Technologies

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Role of Technology – Leverage, if used well

"Give me a lever, a fulcrum, and place to stand,

and I will move the world." Archimedes of Syracuse (287-212 BC),

quoted by Pappus of Alexandria, Synagoge, c. 340 AD

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

And if not used well…

"Technological progress is like an axe in the hands of a pathological criminal.“

Albert Einstein

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

On the road to ExoBrain

Source: Moravec/Kurzweil/SU

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

One-Two-Three-Four punchesSyNAPSE (chip) + BlueBrain (system) + Watson (software) + Cloud Computing (infrastructure)

SyNAPSE

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Augmented Reality - Video

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Emotions detected in the body

.Source: Lauri Nummenmaa at al., Bodily maps of emotions, PNAS, 646–651, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1321664111 (open access)

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Virtual Reality - Video

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Music exercise – Audio

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

“1950”

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Enjoying artistry

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Computers can sketch too !

• Seven artists generated about 8,000 pen strokes

• Disney's software analyzed distance between facial features

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

WikiBots

42% of Wikipedia is edited by 12 bots !

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

https://x.ai/about/

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Artificial Intelligence applied everywhere

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Robots learning from each other

• Knowledge and experience shared worldwide

• Computing tasks carried out in the Cloud

Hyperbolic improvement

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Our Limited Imagination

Source: Jean-Marc Côté, 1899

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Robot Serves Up 360 Hamburgers Per Hour

• Pays for itself in a year

• No cashiers or servers

• Will never forget to ask “do you want fries with your order?”

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

3-D Printing

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Brain Enhancers

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Internet of Things

Page 31: Exponential Technologies and Sustainable Humanity · MOLECULAR CARTOGRAPHY: 2,898 proteins (nodes) by 5,460 interactions (edges). ... Good news: Computers unlikely capable of radical

© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Quantified Self

Page 32: Exponential Technologies and Sustainable Humanity · MOLECULAR CARTOGRAPHY: 2,898 proteins (nodes) by 5,460 interactions (edges). ... Good news: Computers unlikely capable of radical

© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Nanomaterials

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Biotech

MOLECULAR CARTOGRAPHY: 2,898 proteins (nodes) by 5,460 interactions (edges). Science, 303:540–3, 2004.)

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Sequencing costs dropping faster than Moore’s Law

Page 35: Exponential Technologies and Sustainable Humanity · MOLECULAR CARTOGRAPHY: 2,898 proteins (nodes) by 5,460 interactions (edges). ... Good news: Computers unlikely capable of radical

© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Genome Sequencing

From $1.5B to $1k in 15 years; @10c in another 15?

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Genome Editing

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

STEM Cells

Miniature 'human brain' grown in lab

…will transform the understanding of neurological disorders.

The pea-sized structures reached the same level of

development as in a nine-week-old fetus…

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Synthetic Biology

“BioBricks” that produce for instance:

• Arsenic biodetector: to detect arsenic contamination in water.

• BactoBlood: cost-effective red blood cell substitute constructed from engineered E. coli.

FIRST SELF-REPLICATING SYNTHETIC BACTERIAL CELL

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Unintentional vs Intentional?

The Beijing Genomics Institute’s Cognitive Genomics

Project is currently doing whole-genome sequencing of

1,000 very-high-IQ people around the world, hunting for

sets of sets of IQ-predicting alleles… Kids produced by

any one couple typically differ by 5 to 15 IQ points. So

this method of "preimplantation embryo selection" might

allow IQ within every Chinese family to increase by 5 to

15 IQ points per generation…Geoffrey Miller, Evolutionary psychologist, NYU in EDGE 2013

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

A combinatorial explosion of possibilities Accelerating change!

Page 41: Exponential Technologies and Sustainable Humanity · MOLECULAR CARTOGRAPHY: 2,898 proteins (nodes) by 5,460 interactions (edges). ... Good news: Computers unlikely capable of radical

© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Good news – 2016 Innovation Index

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Innovation follows patterns automatableSource: Invention Machine “IM Labs”

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Incremental vs Radical Innovation

• Incremental innovation = improving existing “state”

• Radical innovation = inventing completely new “state”

Good news: Computers unlikely capable of radical innovation soon

Bad news: Incremental innovation is estimated at 95% of total (Clayton Christensen)

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The Race between Technology and Education

Inspired by “The race between technology and education” Pr. Goldin & Katz (Harvard)

Industrial Revolution

Social pain

Social pain

Prosperity

Technology

Education

Digital Revolution

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“Event Horizon”: What if formal education cannot catch up ?

Page 46: Exponential Technologies and Sustainable Humanity · MOLECULAR CARTOGRAPHY: 2,898 proteins (nodes) by 5,460 interactions (edges). ... Good news: Computers unlikely capable of radical

© Center for Curriculum Redesign

BREAK

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Present/Future world Adaptability Versatility as key strategy

Page 48: Exponential Technologies and Sustainable Humanity · MOLECULAR CARTOGRAPHY: 2,898 proteins (nodes) by 5,460 interactions (edges). ... Good news: Computers unlikely capable of radical

From T-shaped to m-shaped

mTBroad Knowledge

Single Multiple

Deep Expertise

STEM AND Humanities AND ArtsKnowledge AND Competencies

Source: Jim Spohrer, IBM

Page 49: Exponential Technologies and Sustainable Humanity · MOLECULAR CARTOGRAPHY: 2,898 proteins (nodes) by 5,460 interactions (edges). ... Good news: Computers unlikely capable of radical

© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Goal of Education: Fulfilled Individuals andSustainable Humanity

Employability

Page 50: Exponential Technologies and Sustainable Humanity · MOLECULAR CARTOGRAPHY: 2,898 proteins (nodes) by 5,460 interactions (edges). ... Good news: Computers unlikely capable of radical

© Center for Curriculum Redesign

10 Jobs that did not exist 10 years ago

Job Pay level

App developer High

Social media manager Medium

Uber driver Low

Driverless car engineer High

Cloud computing specialist High

Big data analyst/data scientist High

Sustainability manager Medium

YouTube content creators Medium

Drone operators Medium

Millennial generational expert MediumSource: World Economic Forum “Future of Jobs”

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Fastest-growing in the USFastest growing jobs Pay level

Wind turbine service technicians Medium

Occupational therapy assistants Medium

Physical therapist assistants Medium

Physical therapist aides Low

Home health aides Low

Commercial divers Medium

Nurse practitioners Medium

Physical therapists Medium

Statisticians High

Ambulance drivers LowSource: US Bureau of Labor Statistics: occupations with the highest percent change of employment between 2014-24

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Disconnect between youth, employers and educators

Page 53: Exponential Technologies and Sustainable Humanity · MOLECULAR CARTOGRAPHY: 2,898 proteins (nodes) by 5,460 interactions (edges). ... Good news: Computers unlikely capable of radical

© Center for Curriculum Redesign

“Please, may I ask where you’re going with all this?”

Students beg for Relevance

Source: New Yorker

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

We agree

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Subject Evolution - slow

History

Music

Art

Philosophy & Ethics

Hu

man

itie

s

Arithmetic

Geometry

Astronomy

Biology, Chemistry, Physics

Algebra, Trigonometry, Calculus ST

EM

Reading, Writing

Literature

Oratory

Rhetoric

Grammar, Handwriting, Spelling

Greek, Latin

Contemporary Languages incl. 2nd language

Lan

gu

age

Ancient Greece & Rome

Early Christianity & Middle Ages

Renaissance & Enlightenment

Modern Industrial

EraToday

© 2013 Center for Curriculum Redesign – All Rights Reserved

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Making Education Relevant

A LOT MORE>

© Center for Curriculum [email protected] Charles Fadel, Founder

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Human Potential

Societal Wellbeing

Collective Prosperity

The Benefits of Education

Page 58: Exponential Technologies and Sustainable Humanity · MOLECULAR CARTOGRAPHY: 2,898 proteins (nodes) by 5,460 interactions (edges). ... Good news: Computers unlikely capable of radical

with key global players

International

Organizations

International

OrganizationsInternational

Organizations

Jurisdictions

International

OrganizationsAcademia

International

Organizations

Foundations

& Non-Profits

International

OrganizationsCorporations

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Jurisdictions face many “asks”

citizenship/civics… creativity…

entrepreneurship…

robotics…

mathematics… ethics…

global literacy…

courage…

“grit”…

leadership… collaboration…

How does one make sense of it all?

Etc.

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Modern world needs deeper understanding

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Introduce Modern Knowledge

and Harness Interdisciplinarity

Robotics

Entrepreneurship

Wellness

and more…

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Embed Cross Cutting Themes

Global LiteracyInformation LiteracyEnvironmental LiteracyDigital LiteracySystems ThinkingDesign Thinking

Photo: Radek Szuban

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Learn skills

4 C’s

• Creativity

• Critical Thinking

• Communication

• Collaboration

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

Build Character

• Mindfulness• Curiosity• Courage

• Resilience• Ethics• Leadership

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

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© Center for Curriculum Redesign

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Matrix between Knowledge & other Dimensions

Competencies are expressed through Knowledge domain

Some Competencies will need out-of-school development

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“Clear and actionable, first-of-its-kind organizing framework of competencies needed”

Andreas Schleicher,

OECD

“Educators worldwide [need] to rapidly operationalize these dimensions”

Todd Rose,

Harvard Universityhttp://bit.ly/4DEdu

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So…

What do we remove ?

Deep re-examination of every single discipline’s branches, topics, items…

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Will we need to learn a foreign language?

Demos

iPhone app: Speech-to-speech translator for 95% of world population (23 languages)http://www.ustar-consortium.com/

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Change Management - Inertia

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Shaping (globally caring) Leaders

Are we doing so decisively, deliberately, and time-wise?

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Brighter Future via Education

• To shape a better world/Finland via its youth

• To export intellectual property

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Kiitos !“The future is already here – it's just

not very evenly distributed.”

William Gibson

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www.curriculumredesign.org @CurrRedesign

Let’s shape education for the

future we want!

[email protected] #4DEdu