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⠺ Charles E. Robert * | Christian von Savigny | Heinrich Bovensmann | John P. Burrows ⠗ Institute of Environmental Physics, Bremen University
Evidence of a
27-day signature in noctilucent cloud occurrence frequency
⠺ Matthew T. DeLand ⠗ Science Systems and Applications Inc. (SSAI), USA
❶Noctilucent Clouds?
H2O T CN✖ ✖
Noctilucent clouds (NLC)
=~135 K3-6 ppmv ???
⠺ www.spaceweather.com/nlcs | Gerd Baumgarten (IAP) ⠗
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
Frequency of Occurrence
⠺ Robert et al | JASTP | 2009 ⠗
Global Change
Radiative cooling of the upper atmosphere
CO2
CH4
H2O H2O
Increased water vaporin the mesosphere
Ω
⠺ DeLand et al | JASTP | 2006 ⠗
Solar Activity
NH
SH
Evidence of a
27-day signature in noctilucent cloud occurrence frequency
‣ Important to understand WHICH processes affect NLC and HOW
‣ Already evidence of a connection between solar activity (11-year) and NLC properties
‣ Challenges of the task:
‣ Signal buried within other variability
‣ Few 27-day periods in a 90 days season
Is there a 27-day signal in NLC ?
❷Instruments & Data Sets
Limb
7 years
NadirSBUV
28 years
Composite Lyman-alpha
Solar proxy
State of the atmosphere
H2O + Temperature
+Superposed EpochsCross-correlation ❷❶
+
Analysis tools
❸27-day signal in NLC⠺ Cross-Correlation ⠗
Cross-Correlation
NH
SCIAMACHY
NLC
occu
rren
ce ra
te a
nom
alie
s
Lyman-alpha anom
alies
Cross-Correlation
LagTime
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
NLC
occu
rren
ce ra
te a
nom
alie
s
Lyman-alpha anom
alies
Cross-Correlation
LagTime
SH
Cross-Correlation SCIAMACHY2002/3
2003/4
2004/5
2005/6
2006/7
2007/8
2008/9
Time
NH
Anom
alie
s
SH
One Long Record...SCIAMACHY
NH
α=5% α=5%
α=23.0%
α=0.29%
SH
One Long Record...SCIAMACHY
Corr
elat
ion
Coef
ficie
nt
Lag Lag
SBUV
Time
NH
Anom
alie
s
SH
One Long Record...SBUV
NH
α=5%α=5%
SH
One Long Record...SBUV
Corr
elat
ion
Coef
ficie
nt
Lag
α=4.9%α=0.13%
Lag
❹27-day signal in NLCSuperposed
Epochs ⠺ ⠗
Time
ForcingSignal
Superposed Epochs
Time
Forcing
Superposed Epochs
ForcingForcing
Forcing
Time
Superposed Epochs
Time
Superposed Epochs
Forcing
N�
i=1N
N�
i=1N
N�
i=1N
N�
i=1N
-5 -3 0 3 5 7
Superposed Epochs
Superposed EpochsSCIAMACHY
NH
Lag
Superposed EpochsSCIAMACHY
NH27-day27-day
Lag =0 day
α=0.1%
Superposed EpochsSCIAMACHY
NH SH27-day27-day 26-day
Lag =0 day Lag =? 4 day
α=0.1%
SBUV
NH
Lag
SH
Lag
Superposed EpochsSBUV
α=0.1% α=0.7%
=0 day =0 day
28-day 27-day 25-day25-day
SensitivitySBUV
★ Nice feature of this approach: sensitivity of NLC property on 27-day solar forcing
SensitivitySBUV
Albe
do a
nom
aly
[10-
6 ]
Lyman-α anomaly [1011 photons s-1 cm-2] Lyman-α anomaly [1011 photons s-1 cm-2]
★ Nice feature of this approach: sensitivity of NLC property on 27-day solar forcing
NH SH
27-day
SensitivitySBUV
11-year VS
Sensitivity Comparison11-year VS 27-day
11-year* 27-day
NH
SH
-0.706 ± 0.022 -0.61 ± 0.1
-0.406 ± 0.026 -0.46 ± 0.1
*Deland et al., 2007
❺Temperature & H2O
Lag [days] Lag [days]
Altit
ude
[km
]
NH SH
Temperature Responselatitude: 60°- 80°
[K] [K]
★ Amplitude of SH is 3 times larger than NH★ Maximum occurs at different altitudes
★ The lag response is NOT the same.
Lag [days] Lag [days]
Altit
ude
[km
]
NH SH
H2O Responselatitude: 60°- 80°
[ppm] [ppm]
★ Amplitude of SH and NH are about the same: 0.1ppm★ The maximum response is at different altitudes★ The lag response is unexpected: OPPOSITE in both hemispheres
Lag [days] Lag [days]
Altit
ude
[km
]
NH SH
H2O Responselatitude: 60°- 80°
[ppm] [ppm]
★ Amplitude of SH and NH are about the same: 0.1ppm★ The maximum response is at different altitudes★ The lag response is unexpected: OPPOSITE in both hemispheres
❻Conclusions
Noctilucent cloud properties sensitivity to the 11-year and 27-day solar forcing are in very good agreement, suggesting that the mechanisms responsible for the response could be the same.
❷
Temperature response, NOT water vapor, can explain the noctilucent cloud variation with solar activity
❸
❶ Evidence of a ~27-day modulation in NLC occurrence rates anti-correlated with lyman-alpha solar irradiance using 2 different approaches
Conclusions
Thank you