European Power TransmissionEuropean Power Transmission · European Power TransmissionEuropean Power Transmission ... Brasil GDP: 4,1 India ... Dirk Decker Secretary General

EUROTRANS: The European Sector Committee of Associations of Manufacturers of Gears and Transmission Parts

European Power TransmissionEuropean Power Transmission

Theo MaasEUROTRANS President

Page 1 • EUROTRANS San Antonio April 2011

CEO Mechanical Drives, Siemens AG I DT

Agenda

What is Eurotrans What is Eurotrans

Some statistical data about European Machine Builder Industry

Business climate Business climate

Some examples about technical trends and co-operation in Europe


Within the EU the member associations represent the interests of more than 600 enterprises with a collective annual production of morethan 24 billion EURO ( without the automotive business).


Within Europe at least more than 160.000 people are employed by our sector.

Population comparisonEU 27 i th thi d l t l ti i th ldEU-27 is the third largest population in the world.

Th EU h th 493 Milli i h bit t


The EU has more than 493 Million inhabitants –the world third largest population after China and India !

European Union 27 members- A real big market

EUROTRANS representsmore than 80% of the innovation - and production capacity of the European Power Transmission Industry!


Agenda






World machinery turnover, 2010y ,The EU-27 is still the biggest machine builder area

Share in % Others 1 %

EU (27) - Countries 29 %EU (27) Countries 29 %

Asia 49 %

China 27 %

Other Europe 4 %USA 13 %

North America 14 %

Japan 13 %USA 13 %


Source: VDMA

Latin America 3 %

Total: 1.790 bn. € (estimation)

World machinery turnover 2010

in bn. €880880

585

China 309

USA

481309

EU (27)518

Asia Europe America Australia Africa

Japan237

USA238

7 6


Source: VDMA-Estimation

World machinery turnover* Top 10 countriesChina has tripled in the last 5 years

China

Japan

USA

China

South Korea

Italy

Germany

Brazil

United Kingdom

France 2010: 1.790 Mrd. Euro Gesamtumsatz

2005: 1.290 Mrd. Euro Gesamtumsatz

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500

Netherland

Brazil

bn. Euro


Source: National Statistical offices, UN, VDMA-estimation

bn. Euro

European Power Transmission Production„The Crisis is over!“

Billion EURO

35

40 200820092010

20

25

30 2011(2010 data not final2011 forecast)

10

15

20

0

5


German

y

Italy

France

Belgium

UK FIN EU27

Source EUROSTAT

Longtherm Production Trend

100EU27EU27 Gears

Longtherm Production Trend

23 926,8

3630,10

GermanyGermany GearsItalyItaly GearsFrance

Billion Euro

27

10 812

16,1012,4 13,6

19,2 21,2 23,926,8

24,1

9,4 10,311,6

13,2 15,4

10

5,86,4

7,58,9

7,3

9,710,8

4,24,7

5,26

7,3 7,86,4

7,1

4 4,3 4,6

6

3 94,5

6,2

10

3,24 3,9

1 31,5

1,72

2,62,2

1 41,61,7 1,8

2,1 2,2 2,2

2,8

2,12,3


1,3 1,4

12003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source Eurostat

European Power TransmissionProduction Values 2009 (Prodcom 2914…)

BearingsGears45%

Bearings37%

Elements18%


Production: 24 Billion EURO Source EUROSTAT

Important EU Export Countries2009

Power Trans. total Gears and gearboxes

Germany GermanyGermany

Italy

Germany

Italy

France Belgium UK

Italy

Belgium France

Finland

Exports from EU 27 / 2009: 20,5 Billion Euro (-25%) Exports from EU 27 / 2009: 6 Billion Euro (-26%)

S VDMA / t t B d t


Source: VDMA / stat. Bundesamt

World Trade Power Transmission

Germany

Export Nations 2009

y

Japan

China No.3 !In 2010 No. 2 ? Others

World Exports 2009: 36 2 Billion EURO

USA Italy


World Exports 2009: 36,2 Billion EURO(43 reporting Countries)

Agenda






Economic Data of Important Regions and CountriesFuture Key Market‘s B R I C

GDP(BIP), Industrial - and ME-production (real), Growth rates* p.a. in %, 2011-2015

RussiaGDP: 4,2Industry: 5ME 5

USAGDP: 2,7Industry: 4ME: 6

EUGDP: 1,7Industry: 3ME: 6

ME: 5

ChinaGDP: 9,5Industry: 10ME: 17

JapanGDP: 1,7Industry: 3ME: 6

?

BrasilGDP: 4,1

ME: 6IndiaGDP: 8,2Industry: 9ME: 8

,Industry: 6ME: 8

World TotalGDP: 4,5Industry: 6


Industry: 6ME: 9

Source: IMF (BIP), OEF (Industry, ME w/o China), VDMA*Forecast

Development of EUROPEAN Industry sectorsMarch 2011 Tendencies

Additional sectors:

Agriculture: growthConstruction: neutral positivepMaterial handling: neutral positiveTooling Machine: neutralMedicine: neutralAutomotive: growth

General Tendencies: growth


Economic Climate EuropeEconomic Climate Europe


Limitation of production in mechanical engineering due to a lack of ...*

70

50

60

70

%

40

50

20

30

t i l manpower

order

0

10

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

material

technicalcapacity

p


Source: ifo-Institut, VDMA

European Power Transmission

RisksOpportunities

European Power Transmission

RisksOpportunities

Worldwide existing over- capacities,

strong competition from Asia => margin Due to the improving world economic climate

the order intake improves for nearly all industry sectors pressure

Increasing material costs,

lack of technical skilled people

industry sectorsNew business from resource and energy

efficiency trendsEurope has a strong technological basis

Government over-spending

still some uncertainty on the financial

markets;

A close cooperation between suppliers and customers is very good

Europe avails of the key-technology for the future mega trends (Energy Efficiency

Tensions in Northern Africa, unstable

situation in the Middle East

EU: still problems to obtain credits

future mega trends (Energy, Efficiency, Mobility)

Transition from component suppliers to system suppliers


EU: still problems to obtain credits

ForecastsEuropean Power Transmission

2010 2011 Germany +12% +14% (increased 29.03.2011)

France +10% +5%

Italy +17 % +10%

Belgium -19 % +10%

Finland -15,7% +6,8%

EUROTRANS +10% approx 10%


Agenda






European Technology CooperationA b f f tA base for future sucess

Innovation

Technology / Production Know How

Networkingg Fore example:

FVA: European R&D networking – Customers, Suppliers, Universities – along the value chain !


Modern Production Processk f f t- on key for future success

Highspeed cutting (without cooling liquid) , as one example for efficient and cost optimzed

production processes!

Noch falsche Bilder

5 axis tool machine / -centers for gears:- Higher flexibility in the production line- cost efficient


- More working activities without handling the product

FVA - Research Associaton for Drive Technology

The R&D networking platformThe R&D networking platform

of the

EUROPEAN drive train industry25

EUROPEAN drive train industry

FVA – the European R&D Network

All players within the value chain of „Power Transmission T h l “Technology“

2000 industry expertsover 200 companies (German, European, International)ca. 50 Institutes (leading Universities)300 Engineers PHD‘s and Professors from the300 Engineers, PHD s and Professors from the

Universities

d l th t f i d t / hi h l ldevelops the experts for our industry / high level education

from the „basic“ research into the practical application


analysis of the practical production process with new methods

FVA-Workbench is developed by

R&D Association lots of P.h.D’s


European drive train industry !

FVA-Workbench

Is a highly scalable Software platform

number of components

less moreApplicationp

detail

Expe s of sim

u

ert knowled ulation

dge


more

FVA-WorkbenchFVA Workbench

Typical resultstooth geometrytooth geometry

detailed modellingdetailed modellingtooth geometrytooth geometry

bearing resultsbearing results


flank load distributionflank load distribution

FVA-Workbench Supports

The “product development process” of a broad range of applications


Thank you for your attention!Thank you for your attention!

Additional informationDirk DeckerSecretary General EUROTRANSwww.euro-trans.org


gTel.: 0049(0)69-6603-1685Fax: 0049(0)[email protected]

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European Power TransmissionEuropean Power Transmission · European Power TransmissionEuropean Power Transmission ... Brasil GDP: 4,1 India ... Dirk Decker Secretary General