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European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities 23 October 2003

European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

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Page 1: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

European Motorways ForumOddo Securities23 October 2003

Page 2: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

2

VINCI, a construction and concessions company whereconcessions are:

A key assetA growth business

VINCI Concessions: a major player in Europe due to its widerange of complementary skills in concessions business

VINCI Concessions: an undisputed benchmark in roads andmotorways

Cofiroute, A86, Toll Collect, Prado-Carénage, Rion-Antirion, etc.

VINCI Concessions: goals and outlookIn FranceOutside France

Contents

Page 3: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

3

2002 operating income€1.1 billion

2002 net sales€17.6 billion Concessions

Construction andrelated services

53%47%

88%

12%

2002 net income€478 million

89%

35%

65%

11%

2002 capital employed€7.7 billion

VINCI: a construction and related services,and concessions company

Page 4: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

4

Concessions: a key asset for VINCI

0

3 000

6 000

9 000

12 000

Revalued netassets

Enterprise value

Construction andrelated services,holdings

Concessions

62%

38%

71%

29%

In €m

(*) Source: analyst studies of VINCI published in 2003

Page 5: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

5

VINCI Concessions: a growth businessin an expansion strategy

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

Change over first half 2003:Net sales: +3% (+4% excluding airport services)Operating income: +2% (+5% excluding airport services)Operating margin: 28% (38% excluding airport services)Net income: +23% (+24% excluding airport services)

99 00 01 02 03E 99 00 01 02 03E 99 00 01 02 03E 99 00 01 02 03E

Gross operatingsurplus

CAGR 00-03E : +4%

CAGR 00-03E : +12%

Operating income Net incomeNet sales

CAGR00-03E : +6%

CAGR00-03E : +16%In €m

Page 6: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

6

Bridge over the Tagus

Construction:1994 to 1998

Concession:until 2030

Page 7: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

7

Strong presence in France and the rest of Europe

Diversified portfolio, mainly in the transport sector

Developments based on the strengths of a constructioncompany

A company that considers concessions as a business inits own right

VINCI Concessions: key features

Page 8: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

8

VINCI Concessions in France: a major playerin motorways and car parks

No. 1 in car parks:450,000 spacesmanaged(30 June ’03)

No. 4 in motorways:1,100 km underconcession(Cofiroute)

Cofiroute network (65%)

ASF network (18%)

VINCI Park car parks

Airports

Page 9: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

9

VINCI Concessions: principally a European playerbut with operations in the rest of the world

Cofiroute network: 1,100 kmASF network: 3,100 km450,000 car park spacesPrado-Carénage tunnelA86 westStade de France: 80,000 seatsGrenoble airportAirport services at 4 airports

Toll Collect (motorway toll system)Airport services at 1 airport

2 bridges over the Tagus14,500 car park spaces

13,400 car park spacesAirport services at 4 airports

Rion-Antirion bridge

Severn crossingsNewport bypass (south)Dartford: 150,000 vehicles/day150,000 car park spacesAirport services at 2 airports

5,700 car park spacesAirport services at 1 airport contract

8,400 car park spaces

Chillan-Collipulli motorway: 165 km3,400 car park spaces

22 airports: 22m passengers

SR91 express lanes: 17 kmAirport services at 72 airports

Confederation bridge: 13 kmFredericton-Moncton motorway: 200 km43,000 car park spacesAirport services at 8 airports

29,800 car park spacesAirport services at 1 airport

2 airports: 1.5m passengers

22,800 car park spaces (incl.Luxembourg)Liège airport: 200,000 passengersAirport services at 15 airports

Page 10: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

10

Car parks Motorways Structures Airports

VINCI Concessions: a diversified, logicalportfolio with good growth prospects

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

65% of Cofiroute(1,100 km)18% of ASF (3,100 km)3 motorways outsideFrance (380 km)

750,000 spaces7 bridges andtunnelsStade de FranceA86

26 airports underconcession1 airport managedAirport services inover 120 airports

Growth parallels trends in modes of transport

Page 11: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

11

An entrepreneurial culture:

Decentralised managementCustomer focusProfit and risk control culture

Direct access to essential technical skills:

Cost and delivery schedule controlProject management know-howService know-how

A company with operations world wide: Brand image and financial soundness

Network of operations in potential markets:

Commercial presence in over 80 countries

VINCI Concessions draws on the strengths ofa construction company

Page 12: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

12

Cofiroute: Saint-Arnoult en Yvelinestoll booths

Page 13: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

13

Cofiroute: historical overview and network

1970: creationof Cofiroute

1980: 700 kmof which476 km built

Today:1,100 kmof which900 km built

No. ofkm-lanes:4,280 kmat 30 June ’03

*

*

(*) Under concession

Page 14: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

14

Cofiroute: a fine track record

580635 677 711 741

787

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

537504

407 466443361

68%68%

64% 65%66%

62%

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

61%

63%

65%

67%

69%

71%

73%

75%Gross operatingsurplusGross operatingsurplus/net sales

216

195

136

189175

121

27%26%

21%

26%27%

21%

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

20%

22%

24%

26%

28%

30%

32%

34%

36%

38%

40%Net income

Net income/net sales

Net sales (toll receipts)CAGR 97-02: 7%

Gross operating surplusCAGR 97-02: 10%

Net incomeCAGR 97-02: +16%

Traffic growthCAGR 94-02: 2.6%

100

120

140

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Base 100 at31 Dec. ’94

121

Page 15: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

15

Cofiroute: active and effectivedebt management

Change in net debtsince 1970 (€m) Change in gearing since 1970

0

200

400

92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02

Change in capital expenditurefrom 1992 to 2002

Active debt management€2.5 bn gross long-term debt at30 Sept. ’0353% at fixed rateAverage cost of debt (after hedging):4.91% at 30 Sept. ’03

Rating: A+ (S&P)

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

1 600

1 800

2 000

1 97

0

1 97

1

1 97

2

1 97

3

1 97

4

1 97

5

1 97

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1 97

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1 97

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1 97

9

1 98

0

1 98

1

1 98

2

1 98

3

1 98

4

1 98

5

1 98

6

1 98

7

1 98

8

1 98

9

1 99

0

1 99

1

1 99

2

1 99

3

1 99

4

1 99

5

1 99

6

1 99

7

1 99

8

1 99

9

2 00

0

2 00

1

2 00

2

2003

for

ecas

t

2002 net debt: €1,636m

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

1970

1971

1972

1973

1974

1975

1976

1977

1978

1979

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

20

03 f

orec

ast

2002 gearing: 1.60 2003 gearing forecast: 1.52

Page 16: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

16

Cofiroute: efficient human resourcesmanagement

Peaceful workforce factor

Year 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002Strike days 0 4 0 0 0 5 2 4Participation - NS - - - 30%* NS NSNS: not significant, national strike order* RTT negotiations

Productivity factor

1,5

2

2,5

3

3,5

4

4,5

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

CofirouteASFEscotaGroupe ASFAutostrade

People/km

Page 17: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

17

Cofiroute: a dynamic company focusedon the future

A young, multidisciplinary management team (men and women)

A mushrooming network

200 km under construction€3 bn capital investment to 2010Road opening schedule:

Dec. ’05: Tours–MontabonAug. ’06: Ecommoy–MontabonOct. ’06: Langeais northern bypassOct. ’07: Angers northern bypassOct. ’07: A86–VL1Nov. ’07: Saint Romain–EsvresFeb. ’08: Esvres–Druye

Constant quest for innovationAida (on-board signalling and vehicle tracer)

Diva (CCTV detection of stationary vehicles)

Average speed verification (Allainville 2003)

IVHW (inter-vehicle hazard warning)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

03E04E

05E06E

07E08E

09E10E

11E

M€

A86

Intercity

Forecast capital investment(excl. widening & maintenance)

Page 18: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

18

A86: an innovative, ambitious developmentfor Cofiroute

Project history:

1972: route studies byFrench government

1990: government awardedthe concession to Cofiroute

1994: public inquiry

1998: Conseil d’Etat decision;work suspended; Europeantender

1999: work re-started

25 Aug. ’00: governmentissued tunnel safety circular

14 Oct. ’03: exit of tunnelboring machine from VL1

Innovative project:Stringent safety requirements

Unique toll-setting approach Concession period: 70 years fromopening of final section

Page 19: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

19

14 October 2003: TBM exits VL1

Page 20: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

20

A86: a vector for growth as traditionalconcessions reach maturity

Projected toll receiptsGrowth in toll receipts, traffic andtoll prices (contract)

Estimated capital investment

East 1

East 2

West

Total

0.9

0.5

0.4

1.8

In € bn

Road opening schedule

East 1

East 2

West

2007

2009

2011

Outlook for sales and profits

Net sales in 2020: over €110m

Margin in 2020: gross operatingsurplus/net sales > 75%

Page 21: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

21

Cofiroute: widely recognised expertiseas an operator

A few contracts in progressSR91 in California, USASevern crossings, UK165 km in ChileDartford tunnel and bridge, UKToll Collect,Germany

Potential business that draws broadly on thedevelopment of VINCI Concessions

Ireland, Greece, etc.Eastern Europe, North America

A profitable complement to the core concession business:Contribution to Cofiroute’s operating income within 3 years:almost €15m, i.e. 3% of total operating income

Page 22: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

22

Toll Collect: 2004 = a new toll collectiontechnology suitable for existing motorways

Principle:A toll of €0.124/km for HGV > 12 tonnes (app. 1.4 million HGV/year)Toll charged on 12,000 km of German motorwaysAn automatic sytem (vehicle tracking by GPS, data transmission by GSM)A manual route reservation system at 3,600 points of sale, through acall centre or over the Internet

Financial terms:Tolls received by the German government over 12 years: €52 bnCollection costs paid by the government over 12 years: €7.0 bnExpected profit of about €9m a year for Cofiroute from 2008

An adaptable system that can be implemented:In countries with or without existing toll infrastructureIn the form of a concession or outsourced management contractWith a flat rate or variable toll based on period, section or vehicleIn major cities (huge potential)

Page 23: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

23

Toll Collect

One of the 280 controlvehicles

One of the 150 controlgantries

One of the 450,000 OBUOne of the 3,600reservation points

Reservation over theInternet at toll-collect.de

Page 24: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

24

Prado-Carénage: forerunner of city centre tollsin France

A benchmark tunnel in Europe in terms of safety

Traffic115 million vehicles since 19939 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002Change:

Financial performanceTotal investment: €173m, of which €116m constructionConcession period: 32 years, i.e. until 2025Main financial indicators:

2002 net sales: €24m

2002 operating income: 50%

First profit expected in 2003

EVOLUTION TRAFFIC / RECEIPTS ( 1993 not full year)

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

35 000

40 000

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

MJA

véhic

les/da

y

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

annu

al re

ceipt

s in

M Eu

ros

TRAFIC

RECETTE

Page 25: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

25

Rion-Antirion: drawing on all VINCI’s strengthsfor a major feat

Technical prowess:The biggest infrastructure site currently under constructionin Europe: €800m projectSeismic constraints, sea floor at a depth of 65 metresOn schedule and within budget

Excellent financing:EIB loan: €362mGreek government subsidy: €335m, i.e. 43% of total costEquity: €69m, o/w VINCI 53%

Operating prowess:Expected traffic: 11,000 crossings/day, i.e. will take over ferrytraffic from first year of operationBreak even in 2005Dividends from 2012

Page 26: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

26

VINCI Concessions’ goals and outlook

Page 27: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

27

Continue to pursue growth of concessions through:

A diversified portfolio

From the Stade de France and VINCI Airports to road infrastructureand car parks

Recognised legal and financial expertise

A dozen financial engineering specialists

Legal teams experienced in negotiations with partners andconcession awarding authorities

VINCI’s visibility and reputation

Portfolio with many flagship projects

Capacity to promote realistic forms of PPP

Quality of service image projected by VINCI Park

Its experience as an operatorCofiroute, Prado-Carénage Tunnel, Dartford Crossing

VINCI Concessions’ goals

Page 28: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

28

To become a major player in the emerging mobility marketTwo observations:

The car park and motorway businesses share the same customers:motoristsConcession awarding authorities are pushing increasingly towards amore global approach to the geographical mobility market

Our strategy:Define products and services targeted at motorists: Infotrafic

Innovate to meet the expectations of local authorities:n Toll Collectn Use of unique car park/motorway payment methods

Our strengths:

Sound customer references in urban and suburban areas

Good knowledge of the fabric of local authorities

VINCI Concessions’ goals

Page 29: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

29

Outlook in France

VINCI Concessions is participating in two projects in France:A19 Artenay–Courtenay: 100 km motorway (100% VINCI)A41 Annecy–Geneva: 19 km motorway (25% VINCI, with Ferrovialand ASF)

Synergies between our motorway and car park businesses:development of products/services by adopting an integratedapproach

Examples include:InfotraficSales of Liber-t in Orléans and Tours car parksCommon payment technology

Perpignan–Figueras high speed train line

... while awaiting the privatisation of motorway concessioncompanies in France

Page 30: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

30

Outlook outside France

Capitalise on our know-how as an operator

Toll Collect

SR91 in California

BATA: management of toll bridges in San Francisco

Development of greenfield concessions:

PFI in the UK

Motorway widening in Germany

Motorway construction in Eastern Europe

Greece:MotorwaysThessalonica tunnel

Page 31: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

31

Rion-Antirion: a flagship project in a country offeringgood prospects for concessions

Page 32: European Motorways Forum Oddo Securities - VINCI...9 million since the beginning of 2003, i.e. up 5.3% on 2002 Change: Financial performance Total investment: €173m, of which €116m

European Motorways ForumOddo Securities23 October 2003