Information and Communication Technologies

EPIWORK

Developing the Framework for an Epidemic Forecast Infrastructure

http://www.epiwork.eu

Project no. 231807

D 8.3.1 Organization of Mid-Term Workshop

Period covered: Months 13th – 20th Start date of project: February 1st, 2009 Due date of deliverable: Month 24th Distribution: public

Date of preparation: Duration: Actual submission date: Status:

Project Coordinator: Alessandro Vespignani Project Coordinator Organisation Name: ISI Foundation Lead contractor for this deliverable: ISI

2011 © Copyright lies with the respective authors and their institutions

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Work package participants

The following partners have taken active part in the work leading to the elaboration of this document, even if they might not have directly contributed writing parts of this document:

• ISI • FCG-IGC • TAU • MPG • AIBV • SMI • KULeuven • CREATE-NET

Change log

Version Date Amended by Changes

EPIWORKD8.3.1 3

Organization of Mid-term Workshop To reach the ambitious goal of creating computational epidemic forecast infrastructures able

to provide reliable, detailed and quantitatively accurate predictions of global epidemic spread,

resources as well as knowledge need to be accessed, shared and integrated among researchers

working in this area – epidemiologists, computer scientists, mathematical biologists,

information scientists, medical scientists.

Strong collaboration, shared information and integration of different expertise are the crucial

backbone of the Epiwork project and the key to address a complex problem that involves

elements non-trivially interacting with one another at different time and length scales, from

virus to host to population to environment.

To foster the progress in knowledge production and understanding of the spread of human

infectious diseases, the Epiwork Consortium has envisioned the organization of an

International Conference at the end of the third period of the project. In the initial proposal,

the Mid-term workshop was planned for Month 24 of the project second period. Motivated by

outreach and dissemination considerations, the Consortium has decided to move the planned

workshop from Month 24 to Month 36. The plan is to organize a bigger event than foreseen in

order to have a major resonance in the public health environment and emphasize the integration,

multidisciplinary effort and collaborative interactions among the stakeholders of the various

research fields. Such a meeting will have a much bigger impact and benefit for the project. The

original Deliverable 8.3 was split into Deliverables 8.3.1: Organization of the Mid-term

Workshop (month 24) and 8.3.2: Mid-term Workshop (month 36).

The title of the Workshop will be:

2nd International Workshop “Facing the Challenge of Infectious Diseases – Integrating mathematical modeling, computational thinking and ICT applications” The workshop will be organized in collaboration with EPIFOR (E.C. ERC Grant Agreement

n. 204863), a one-partner project, hosted by ISI Foundation and whose beneficiary is Dr.

Vittoria Colizza. The two projects, EPIWORK and EPIFOR, share the common goal to

advance the ability of the European scientific community of forecasting the unfolding and

spreading of already existing and new infectious diseases.

2011 © Copyright lies with the respective authors and their institutions

4 EPIWORKD5.3

Dr. Vittoria Colizza co-organized in 2008 the First International Workshop “Facing the

Challenge of Infectious Diseases – Integrating mathematical modeling, computational

thinking and ICT applications” hosted at ISI Foundation. We are also securing additional

funding from local foundations and discussing the cooperation with other European projects.

The theme of the Conference is described in the following:

“The challenge of fighting the 2009 H1N1 has brought together the effort of the international

scientific community giving tremendous boost to the development of epidemic models,

computational and simulation tools and ICT infrastructures. The research community has

been faced with the need of addressing in real time the public health and medical science

issues arisen with the world-wide spreading of a new influenza virus. This threat has kicked

off an unprecedented use of computational power, innovative Information and

Communication Technologies (ICT) and sophisticated modeling approaches informed by

detailed data sets collected in the early stages of the pandemic aimed at predicting a variety of

possible scenarios, evaluating treatment and control strategies in real time. Thanks to this real

time effort, policy makers and public health officers have been supported in the decision

process at the scientific, medical and public health level.

The aim of the Workshop is to bring together experts in the field of infectious disease

modeling to compare, evaluate and assess the advances reached during and after the pandemic

with the use of sophisticate modeling, computational approaches, and ICT applications and to

assess and evaluate the preparedness and timeliness of reaction of the scientific and public

health community.”

The session topics will be:

Large Scale Stochastic Simulations Networks The Impact of Population Structure on Transmission Surveillance Combined Models of Evolution and Epidemiology

EPIWORKD8.3.1 5

Organizing Committee: Vittoria Colizza, INSERM, Universite Pierre et Marie Curie & Hōpital Saint-Antoine, Paris, France. Gabriela Gomes, Instituto Gulbenkian de Ciencia, Oeiras, Portugal. Daniela Paolotti, ISI Foundation Turin, Italy. Alain-Jacques Valleron, INSERM, Universite Pierre et Marie Curie & Hōpital Saint-Antoine, Paris, France. Alessandro Vespignani, Indiana University, Indiana, USA & ISI Foundation, Turin, Italy.

The chosen location is Courmayeur (Aosta, Italy) at the Le Grand Hotel Cour Maison

(http://www.courmaison.it/it/hotel/index.php ) which will provide a meeting room able to

which can hold up to 140 people. The large hall, which can be flexibly divided into three parts

due to a system of sliding walls, is equipped with full audiovisual capabilities such as audio

and video systems, video projector, presentation board, overhead projector linkable to pc and

professional microphone.

In the below figure, the poster for the Conference is shown:

Here is the preliminary list of invited speakers:

Epidemiology and modeling 1. Neil M. Ferguson, neil.ferguson@imperial.ac.uk

(Azra C. Ghani, a.ghani@imperial.ac.uk Christophe Fraser, c.fraser@imperial.ac.uk Simon Cauchemez, s.cauchemez@imperial.ac.uk Christl A. Donnelly, c.donnelly@imperial.ac.uk)

MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, Faculty of Medicine, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK.

2. Peter J. White, p.white@imperial.ac.uk Modelling and Economics Unit, Health Protection Agency Centre for Infections, 61 Colindale Avenue, London NW9 5EQ, UK. MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College Faculty of Medicine, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK.

3. Pierre-Yves Boelle, pierre-yves.boelle@u707.jussieu.fr (Fabrice Carrat, fabrice.carrat@u707.jussieu.fr)

Université Pierre et Marie Curie–Paris 6, Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM) U707, Paris, France.

4. Jacco Wallinga, jacco.wallinga@rivm.nl Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), 3720 BA Bilthoven, Netherlands.

5. Ira M. Longini Jr, longini@scharp.org (M. Elizabeth Halloran, betz@u.washington.edu)

2011 © Copyright lies with the respective authors and their institutions

6 EPIWORKD5.3

Center for Statistics and Quantitative Infectious Diseases, Vaccine and Infectious Diseases Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center and the University of Washington, Seattle, Washington. Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington.

6. Stephen Eubank, seubank@vbi.vt.edu (Madhav Marathe, mmarathe@vbi.vt.edu)

Virginia Bioinformatics Institute, Virginia Polytechnical Institute and State University, Blacksburg, VA 24061

7. Joshua Epstein, jepstein@brookings.edu Center on Social and Economic Dynamics, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, 1775 Massachusetts Avenue NW, Washington, D.C. 20036

8. Gerardo Chowell, gchowell@asu.ed (Castillo-Chavez, ccchavez@asu.edu)

Mathematical, Computational & Modeling Sciences Center, School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287-2402, USA.

9. Marc Lipsitch, mlipsitc@hsph.harvard.edu Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Department of Epidemiology and Department of Immunology and Infectious Diseases, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115

10. Steven Riley, steven.riley@hku.hk, (Ben Cowling, bcowling@hku.hk)

Department of Community Medicine and School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Special Administrative Region, People's Republic of China.

11. Ab Osterhaus, a.osterhaus@erasmusmc.nl Department of Virology Erasmus MC, s'Gravendijkwal 230 Rotterdam, Netherlands

Surveillance

12. Caterina Rizzo, Istituto Superiore di Sanità, caterina.rizzo@iss.it 13. Giovanni Rezza, Istituto Superiore di Sanità, giovanni.rezza@iss.it 14. John Brownstein, Children’s Hospital Informatics Program at the Harvard-MIT Division of

Health Science & Technology, john_brownstein@harvard.edu

Networks, contacts 15. Leon Danon, L.Danon@warwick.ac.uk

Department of Biological Sciences, University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL, UK. 16. Ken Eames, Ken.Eames@lshtm.ac.uk London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine 17. Piero Manfredi, manfredi@ec.unipi.it

Dipartimento di Statistica e matematica applicata all’Economia, Università di Pisa, Italy. 18. Fredrik Liljeros, fredrik.liljeros@sociology.su.se

Department of Sociology, Stockholm University, SE-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden. 19. Babak Pourbohloul, babak.pourbohloul@bccdc.ca

University of British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver (British Columbia), Canada V5Z 4R4.

20. Marta Gonzalez, martag@mit.edu Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 77 Massachusetts Avenue, Cambridge MA 02139, USA.

21. Alberto Tozzi, alberto.tozzi@gmail.com Epidemiology Unit, Bambino Gesù Hospital, Piazza S. Onofrio 4, 00165 Rome, Italy.

22. Lauren Meyers, laurenmeyers@mail.utexas.edu

EPIWORKD8.3.1 7

Section of Integrative Biology, Institute for Cellular and Molecular Biology, 1 University Station, C0930 Austin, Texas 78712.

(Shweta Bansal, shweta@sbansal.com 510C Mueller Lab, Penn State University)

23. Alex (Sandy) Pentland, sandy@media.mit.edu Media Laboratory, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, USA.

Ecology

24. Katia Koelle, katia.koelle@duke.edu Department of Biology, Duke University, PO Box 90338, Durham, NC 27708, USA.

25. Eddie Holmes, ech15@psu.edu Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics, Department of Biology, Mueller Laboratory, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania 16802, USA.

26. Mercedes Pascual, pascual@umich.edu Howard Hughes Medical Institute, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.

27. Maarten Boerlijst, m.c.boerlijst@uva.nl Theoretical Ecology, Institute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

28. Philippe Lemey, philippe.lemey@uz.kuleuven.be Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.

Tools

29. Ciro Cattuto, ISI Foundation ciro.cattuto@isi.it 30. Markus Schwehm, markus.schwehm@uni-tuebingen.de

CEO of the ExploSYS GmbH, the Institute for Explorative Modeling (Germany) 31. Dennis Chao, dchao@fhcrc.org,

Center for Statistics and Quantitative Infectious Diseases, Vaccine and Infectious Diseases Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center and the University of Washington, Seattle, Washington

32. James Kaufman,kaufman@almaden.ibm.com manager of the Public Health Research project in the Department of Computer Science at the IBM Almaden Research Center,

33. Didier Guillemot didier.guillemot@pasteur.fr (INSERM) 34. Erik van der Goot, erik.van-der-goot@jrc.it , Action Leader in the Global Security & Crisis

Management Unit of the Institute for the Protection and Security of the Citizen at the Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy (Optima Action)

35. Tommy Asikainen tommi.asikainen@ecdc.europa.eu European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control

36. Nico Stilianakis, nicolaus.stilianakis@jrc.ec.europa.eu Joint Research Center, European Commisssion, ISPRA, Italy

37. Lara Wolfson (WHO) wolfsonl@who.int Animals

38. Matt Keeling, m.j.keeling@warwick.ac.uk Department of Biological Sciences, University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL, UK.

39. Rowland Kao enquiries@vet.gla.ac.uk University of Glasgow School of Veterinary Medicine

40. Caterina Scoglio caterina@ksu.edu , Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, College of Enginereeng, Kansas State University(Kansas, USA)

41. Lara Savini, l.savini@izs.it

2011 © Copyright lies with the respective authors and their institutions

8 EPIWORKD5.3

Istituto Zooprofilattico sperimentale dell’Abruzzo e del Molise “G. Caporale”, Teramo, Italy. HIV

42. Peter Sloot P.M.A.Sloot@uva.nl, Faculty of Sciences, Section Computational Science, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

43. Sally Blower sblower@mednet.ucla.edu, David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA.

Varicella 44. Alessia Melegaro alessia.melegaro@unibocconi.it Dondena Centre for Research on Social

Dynamics Bocconi University 45. Philippe Beutels philippe.beutels@ua.ac.be Centre for Health Economics Research &

Modeling Infectious Diseases (CHERMID) at the University of Antwerp (Antwerp, Belgium), P van Damme

46. Marc Brisson mbrisson@uresp.ulaval.ca Unité de recherche en santé des populations, Centre de recherche FRSQ du CHA universitaire de Quèbec, Hopital du Saint-Sacrement (Quebec, Canada)

47. Kari Auranen, kari.auranen@thl.fi Department of Vaccination and Immune Protection, National Institute for Health and Welfare, Finland.

EPIWORKD8.3.1 9