Upload
others
View
1
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
A(H1N1)pdmCVDCOPDAsthmaImmunosupressionDiabetesRenal diseaseRhematologic disNeuromuscularNeoplasmCirrhosisAutoinmunePregnancyObesity
A(H3N2)CVDCOPDAsthmaImmunosupressionDiabetesRenal diseaseRhematologic disNeuromuscularNeoplasmCirrhosisAutoinmunePregnancyObesity
B/YamagataCVDCOPDAsthmaDiabetesRenal diseaseRhematologic disNeuromuscularCirrhosisAutoinmunePregnancyObesity
factorsStrain/Risk
2.16 (1.56, 2.99)2.59 (1.85, 3.62)3.13 (2.01, 4.89)1.31 (0.39, 4.37)3.72 (2.58, 5.34)3.12 (1.87, 5.20)1.78 (0.23, 14.05)0.54 (0.16, 1.77)2.03 (1.10, 3.73)2.88 (1.44, 5.76)3.29 (1.28, 8.41)4.66 (1.74, 12.47)3.11 (2.18, 4.43)
1.57 (1.18, 2.09)0.73 (0.50, 1.08)1.99 (1.33, 3.00)3.47 (1.80, 6.70)0.86 (0.54, 1.35)1.75 (1.06, 2.88)4.80 (1.62, 14.22)1.67 (0.92, 3.04)0.93 (0.48, 1.79)1.63 (0.82, 3.27)2.56 (1.08, 6.07)3.76 (2.27, 6.22)1.47 (1.02, 2.11)
1.23 (0.65, 2.33)1.49 (0.77, 2.86)3.32 (1.63, 6.79)1.12 (0.43, 2.91)2.25 (0.77, 6.60)19.39 (5.71, 65.84)1.50 (0.35, 6.45)0.98 (0.13, 7.31)5.24 (1.14, 24.11)3.70 (1.09, 12.55)0.97 (0.38, 2.48)
ratio (95% CI)Adjusted odss
8079313672813151161867
9044351329245141310710047
131310544212335
Influenzaadmissions withNumber of
2.16 (1.56, 2.99)2.59 (1.85, 3.62)3.13 (2.01, 4.89)1.31 (0.39, 4.37)3.72 (2.58, 5.34)3.12 (1.87, 5.20)1.78 (0.23, 14.05)0.54 (0.16, 1.77)2.03 (1.10, 3.73)2.88 (1.44, 5.76)3.29 (1.28, 8.41)4.66 (1.74, 12.47)3.11 (2.18, 4.43)
1.57 (1.18, 2.09)0.73 (0.50, 1.08)1.99 (1.33, 3.00)3.47 (1.80, 6.70)0.86 (0.54, 1.35)1.75 (1.06, 2.88)4.80 (1.62, 14.22)1.67 (0.92, 3.04)0.93 (0.48, 1.79)1.63 (0.82, 3.27)2.56 (1.08, 6.07)3.76 (2.27, 6.22)1.47 (1.02, 2.11)
1.23 (0.65, 2.33)1.49 (0.77, 2.86)3.32 (1.63, 6.79)1.12 (0.43, 2.91)2.25 (0.77, 6.60)19.39 (5.71, 65.84)1.50 (0.35, 6.45)0.98 (0.13, 7.31)5.24 (1.14, 24.11)3.70 (1.09, 12.55)0.97 (0.38, 2.48)
ratio (95% CI)Adjusted odss
8079313672813151161867
9044351329245141310710047
131310544212335
Influenzaadmissions withNumber of
Less risk More risk0.25 0.75 2 5
Adjusted odds ratio
1
Epidemiology of admissions with influenza and the impact of underlying patient characteristics on the risk of admission with influenza during the 2013/14 season in the GIHSN participating sites
The study was funded by Sanofi Pasteur
Joan Puig-Barberà1, Angels Natividad-Sancho1, Svetlana Trushakova 2, Anna Sominina3, Maria Pisareva3, Meral A. Ciblak4, Selim Badur 4, Hongjie Yu5, Benjamin J. Cowling6, Clotilde El Guerche-Séblain7, Ainara Mira-Iglesias1, Lidiya Kisteneva2, Kirill Stolyarov3, Kubra Yurctu4, Luzhao Feng5, Elena Burtseva2 for the Global Influenza Hospital Surveillance Study Group (GIHSN)
1 Fundación para el Fomento de la Investigación Sanitaria y Biomédica de la Comunidad Valenciana (FISABIO), Valencia, Spain;; 2 D.I. Ivanovsky Institute of Virology FGBC “N.F. Gamaleya FRCEM”Ministry of Health of Russian Federation, Moscow, Russian Federation;; 3 Research Institute of Influenza, Saint Petersburg, Russian Federation;; 4 National Influenza Reference Laboratory, Istanbul Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul University, Istanbul, Turkey;; 5 Div is ion of Infectious Disease, Key Laboratory of Surveillance and Early-Warning on Infectious Disease, Chinese
Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China;; 6 School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China;; 7 Sanofi Pasteur, Lyon, France
Abstract : 492
Influenza was associated wit h di sea se needingadmi ssion in per son with and wit hout ri skfactor s. Underlying com orbidity incr eased therisk of infl uenza and pregnancy was anout standing ri sk fa ctor. Our result s supportinfluenza vaccinat ion as a risk reducingmeasure.
ResultsBackgroundThis was a multicentric study performed by the GlobalInfluenza Hospital Surveillance Network (GI HSN). Atotal of 9,507 consecutive eligible admissions werescreen ed for inclusion in 19 hospitals in Russia, Turkey,China and Spain, following a prospective, activesurveillance, approach aimed to describe theepidemiology of admissions with influenza.
Sixty perc ent of influenza admissions were in patients
with no comorbidity.
Fundación para el Fomento de la Investigación Biomédica y Sanitaria (FISABIO), Valencia, SpainPhone: +34 961 925 968; e-‐mail: [email protected]
Methods
Keywords: Epidemiology, Hospitalization and Immune response
Conclusions
Epidemiological data was collected in consecutive
admissions using a common case definition. Influenzawas confirmed by R T-‐PCR. We used multivariatelogistic regression models to estimate influenza
admission adjusted odds ratios (aOR).
Patients with cardiovascular disease aOR, 1.6 (95%CI,1.3 to 2), asthma, 2.3 (1.7 to 3.0),immunosuppression, 2.3 (1.2 to 4.1), renal disease,2.1 (1.5 to 3.0), liver disease, 1.9 (1.2 to 3.2),autoimmune disease, 3.9 (1.6 to 5.6), and pregnancy,3.8 (2.5 to 5.9) were at an increased risk regardless ofinfluenza virus. For chronic obstructive pulmonarydisease, 2.6(1.9 to 3.6), diabetes, 3.7(2.6 to 5.3), andobesity, 3.1 (2.2-‐4.4), the risk of severe diseas e waspreferentially related to A(H1N1)pdm
We included 5,303 admissions, 1086 were influenzapositive: 534, A(H3N2), 362, A(H1N1), 130, BYamagata lineage, 3, B Victoria, 40 and 18, A and B,were not subtyped.
http://gihsn.org/
Eligible'patients'considered'for'inclusion:
All#consecutive#admissions#for#an#acute#processAdmitted#in#the#previous#48#hours
Chief#complaints#for#admission#possibly#related#to#a#previous#influenza#infection
Residents#in#the#predefined#study’s#catchment#area#(study#population#or#study#base)
Complies'with'inclusion'criteria:
Able#to#communicateInformed#consent#to#participate
Is#a#permanent#resident#(as#defined#in#the#site#protocol)
Not#institutionalizedNot#discharged#from#a#hospital#in#the#last#30#daysILI#symptoms#within#7#days#to#admission#(≥5#y#old)Admission#symptoms#within#7#days#to#admission#
(<5#y#old)
Study'procedures:
Common#standardized#questionnaire#Combined#respiratory#swabs
Site’s'reference'laboratorySemi;quantitative'real;time'reverse'
transcription'PCR
Influenza)positive
Influenza)subtype)or)lineage
Influenza)negative
Eligible:( 9,507
Excluded: 4,204 (44%)
No(consent:(591, (6%)
No(ILI:(1,781,(19%)
Symptoms(>(7(days:(1,006,,(11%)
Included:(5,303,(56%)
Negative:4,217,(80%)
Influenza:1,086,(20%)
Recruited(outside(season:(279, (3%)
0510152025303540
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2013)50
2013)52
2014)02
2014)04
2014)06
2014)08
2014)10
2014)12
2014)14
2014)16
2014)18
2014)20
2014)22
Percent'positive
Epidemiological'week
All'sites
B_nosubty Victoria Yamagata A_nosubty H3N2 H1N1 %?positive
05101520253035
0
5
10
15
20
25
Num
ber'o
f'cases
Epidemiological'week
St.'Petersburg
05101520253035
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2013
&50
2013
&52
2014
&02
2014
&04
2014
&06
2014
&08
2014
&10
2014
&12
2014
&14
2014
&16
2014
&18
2014
&20
2014
&22
Epidemiological'week
Moscow
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0
5
10
15
20
25
Percen
t'positive
Epidemiological'week
Turkey
0510152025303540
0246810121416
Num
ber'o
f'cases
Epidemiological'week
Beijing
05101520253035
010203040506070
2013
&50
2013
&52
2014
&02
2014
&04
2014
&06
2014
&08
2014
&10
2014
&12
2014
&14
2014
&16
2014
&18
2014
&20
2014
&22
Epidemiological'week
Valencia
We observed a non significant trend for influenza A(H1N1)pdmto increase the need of intensive care and for A(H3N2) the riskof in-‐hospital death.
Respiratory failure was more common inadmissions with A(H3N2).
Influenza vaccination, 0.6(0.4-‐0.8) loweredthe risk of confirmed influenza.
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
Prob
ability
of IC
U ad
miss
ion du
ring a
dmiss
ion
0 - 5 mo
6- 11 mo
1 - 4 y
5 - 17 y
18 - 49 y
50 - 64 y
65 - 74 y
75 - 84 y
≥ 85 y
Age group
Negative
A(H1N1)pdm09
A(H3N2)
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
Prob
ability
of de
ath du
ring a
dmiss
ion
1 - 4 y
5 - 17 y
18 - 49y
50 - 64 y
65 - 74y
75 - 84 y
≥ 85 y
Age group
Negative
A(H1N1)pdm09
A(H3N2)
0 - 5 mo
6- 11 mo
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
Prob
ability
of IC
U ad
miss
ion du
ring a
dmiss
ion
0 - 5 mo
6- 11 mo
1 - 4 y
5 - 17 y
18 - 49 y
50 - 64 y
65 - 74 y
75 - 84 y
≥ 85 y
Age group
Negative
A(H1N1)pdm09
A(H3N2)
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
Prob
ability
of de
ath du
ring a
dmiss
ion
1 - 4 y
5 - 17 y
18 - 49y
50 - 64 y
65 - 74y
75 - 84 y
≥ 85 y
Age group
Negative
A(H1N1)pdm09
A(H3N2)
0 - 5 mo
6- 11 mo
AnyICU admissionDeath in hospitalPneumoniaCOPDRespiratory failureAsthmaBronchiolitisARDSRenal failureFluid electrolite imbalanceUpper respiratory infection
A(H1N1)pICU admissionDeath in hospitalPneumoniaCOPDRespiratory failureAsthmaBronchiolitisARDSRenal failureFluid electrolite imbalanceUpper respiratory infection
A(H3N2)ICU admissionDeath in hospitalPneumoniaCOPDRespiratory failureAsthmaBronchiolitisARDSRenal failureFluid electrolite imbalanceUpper respiratory infection
B/YamagataPneumoniaCOPDBronchiolitisUri
Complication
0.95 (0.60, 1.52)1.22 (0.60, 2.44)0.92 (0.76, 1.13)0.75 (0.51, 1.12)1.67 (0.99, 2.81)1.79 (0.90, 3.58)1.02 (0.70, 1.49)1.17 (0.55, 2.46)0.99 (0.47, 2.05)0.59 (0.26, 1.36)0.23 (0.19, 0.27)
1.40 (0.69, 2.83)1.15 (0.42, 3.15)0.96 (0.73, 1.26)1.03 (0.66, 1.59)1.27 (0.68, 2.37)1.90 (0.86, 4.19)0.30 (0.13, 0.72)1.22 (0.54, 2.74)1.00 (0.39, 2.61)0.40 (0.13, 1.19)0.57 (0.40, 0.80)
0.92 (0.49, 1.72)1.32 (0.53, 3.28)0.94 (0.69, 1.27)0.27 (0.10, 0.77)3.22 (1.45, 7.15)1.44 (0.46, 4.53)1.49 (0.91, 2.43)1.06 (0.23, 4.83)1.04 (0.38, 2.88)1.38 (0.39, 4.86)0.17 (0.13, 0.21)
0.73 (0.42, 1.25)0.39 (0.08, 1.91)1.96 (0.86, 4.44)0.21 (0.14, 0.32)
ratio (95% CI)Adjusted odds
31151944225164110108261
14795311512586542
17879610424243176
2051243
0.95 (0.60, 1.52)1.22 (0.60, 2.44)0.92 (0.76, 1.13)0.75 (0.51, 1.12)1.67 (0.99, 2.81)1.79 (0.90, 3.58)1.02 (0.70, 1.49)1.17 (0.55, 2.46)0.99 (0.47, 2.05)0.59 (0.26, 1.36)0.23 (0.19, 0.27)
1.40 (0.69, 2.83)1.15 (0.42, 3.15)0.96 (0.73, 1.26)1.03 (0.66, 1.59)1.27 (0.68, 2.37)1.90 (0.86, 4.19)0.30 (0.13, 0.72)1.22 (0.54, 2.74)1.00 (0.39, 2.61)0.40 (0.13, 1.19)0.57 (0.40, 0.80)
0.92 (0.49, 1.72)1.32 (0.53, 3.28)0.94 (0.69, 1.27)0.27 (0.10, 0.77)3.22 (1.45, 7.15)1.44 (0.46, 4.53)1.49 (0.91, 2.43)1.06 (0.23, 4.83)1.04 (0.38, 2.88)1.38 (0.39, 4.86)0.17 (0.13, 0.21)
0.73 (0.42, 1.25)0.39 (0.08, 1.91)1.96 (0.86, 4.44)0.21 (0.14, 0.32)
ratio (95% CI)Adjusted odds
31151944225164110108261
14795311512586542
17879610424243176
2051243
Positive
Less risk More risk .25 .75 1 2 5
Ad usted odds ratio
020
4060
8010
0
Num
ber o
f adm
issio
ns
2013
-49
2013
-50
2013
-51
2013
-52
2014
-01
2014
-02
2014
-03
2014
-04
2014
-05
2014
-06
2014
-07
2014
-08
2014
-09
2014
-10
2014
-11
2014
-12
2014
-13
2014
-14
2014
-15
2014
-16
2014
-17
2014
-18
2014
-19
2014
-20
2014
-21
2014
-22
2014
-23
Epidemioogical week
H1N1 (362) H3N2 (534) A nosubtyped (40) B Yamgata (130) B Victoria (3) B nosubtyped (18)