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Epidemiology of Hepatitis C in Pennsylvania
Sameh Boktor
Charlie Howsare Pennsylvania Department of Health
C Change: A Leadership Summit on HCV Policy in
Pennsylvania May 1st, 2015
“surveillance is the neurologic system of public health that leads the public health in an effective and efficient way”
Donald Henderson (The leader of smallpox eradication in 1970s)
Surveillance of HCV in Pennsylvania
Hepatitis C is a reportable condition in Pennsylvania
Most of the hepatitis C reports received in PA NEDSS come
through Electronic Laboratory Reporting (ELR) and lack
demographic and risk information; therefore these data should be
carefully used for programmatic design and evaluation.
Only reports with acute hepatitis C diagnosis are investigated
PA NEDSS receives ~ 10,000 new cases of hepatitis C PPI annually,
however the distribution of cases has significantly changed.
“There is insufficient understanding about the extent and seriousness of this public-health problem, so inadequate public resources are being allocated to prevention, control, and surveillance programs”
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Inci
denc
e (c
ases
per
100
,000
po
pula
tion)
Year
Incidence in 15-34 age group
Incidnce in other age groups
Hepatitis C PPI incidence rate among 15-34 age group vs. all other age groups, Pennsylvania, 2003 – 2010*
*PA-NEDSS data
Hepatitis C PPI reported to Pennsylvania NEDSS by age and sex, 2003*
*PA-NEDSS data
*PA-NEDSS data
Hepatitis C PPI reported to Pennsylvania NEDSS by age and sex, 2014*
Hepatitis C PPI Incidence by County Age 15-34, Pennsylvania, 2003 and 2014
*PA-NEDSS data
2003 2014
Matching PA-NEDSS STD cases against HCV cases, 2000-2014
*PA-NEDSS data
0123456789
1 to 3 4 to 7 8+
perc
ent
Times of STD infections
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.45
AGE 0 TO 12 AGE 13 TO 19 AGE 20 TO 29 AGE 30 TO 39 AGE 40 TO 49 AGE 50 ANDOLDER
0.7% 3.6%
20.5%
26.6% 30.0%
18.8%
0.0% 1.1%
9.3%
19.5%
41.8%
28.3%
Perc
ent o
f Cas
es
Age at Diagnosis
HIV WITHOUT HCV
HIV WITH HCV
Distribution of HIV With and Without HCV Co-infection Cohorts by Age, Pennsylvania, 2003-2012
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.45
0.50
MSM IDU MSM & IDU Adultheterosexual
contact
UnknownRisk factor
Perinatalexposure and
others
39.8%
10.3%
2.1%
31.5%
15.5%
0.8%
12.2%
48.8%
6.7%
22.4%
9.5%
0.1%
Perc
ent o
f Cas
es
Transmission Category
HIV WITHOUT HCV
HIV WITH HCV
Distribution of HIV With and Without HCV Co-infection Cohorts by Transmission Category, Pennsylvania, 2003 -2012
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500
35-44
45-54
55-64
65-74
75-84
85+
Age specific rate
Age F
M
Total
Matching against PA Cancer registry Age specific incidence of liver cancer among NEDSS population with HCV
diagnosis, 2003 to 2010*
PA cancer registry and PA NEDSS*
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
201420132012201120102009200820072006200520042003
Ahn: Type C
Alcoholic Cirrhosis With Hepatitis C
Plm: Hepatoma (Hcc) And Cirrhosis
Plm: Hepatoma -. Hepatocellular Carcinoma
HCV related Liver transplants Performed in Pennsylvania 2003-2014*
*Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Perc
ent
Year
Unadjusted percent of Hospital admissions for cases with primary or secondary hepatitis C diagnosis, Pennsylvania,
2000-2013*
* Pennsylvania Health Care Cost Containment Council (PHC4) data
Hospital visit rate among virally co-infected persons relative to mono-infected persons within the PHC4 hospital billing
database, Southeastern Pennsylvania, 1996 - 2010.
L. E. Finn et. al., CSTE conference, 2013
Conclusion
- HCV rates are increasing among adolescents and young adults,
investigating this new trend is needed to identify risk factors and
racial/ethnic groups with higher risk
- Data from additional sources are needed to help us better understand
the epidemic (such as commercial lab data, EMR, ….etc)
- Access to these data sources may need policy change
- Most of the discussed consequences of the HCV are readily preventable,
if cases are identified and linked to care early in the course of infection.
Hepatitis C Surveillance at the Philadelphia Department of Public Health
Kendra Viner, PhD, MPH
C Change: A Leadership Summit on HCV Policy in Pennsylvania
May 1st, 2015
Formation of the Hepatitis Epidemiology Program (HEP)
o 2013 – Hepatitis surveillance grant awarded • HEP investigation forms and protocols created • HEP team expanded to include a surveillance coordinator, epidemiologist, and 3 investigators (HEPIs) • A Health Alert about HEP sent to all local health care facilities. • Case investigation initiated!
o 2005– First Viral Hepatitis Prevention Coordinator • Emphasis on collaboration to align local efforts with national Action Plan
o 2012 – The Hepatitis C Allies of Philadelphia (HepCAP) formed • Mission: To team up with local HCV specialists and community members to
improve the continuum of HCV prevention, diagnosis, care and support in Philadelphia.
o 2015 – HEP now has 2 years of robust surveillance data
Hepatitis surveillance
Communicable Disease
Management System
Workflows created with a line list of patients for
each hepatitis investigator
Letter sent to newly
reported HCV+ patients and
their providers
patient and provider calls made
(4 attempts)
Field visits made, if
necessary Demographic, Clinical,
Risk Factor Information
obtained
Data entered into CDMS
Completeness of chronic confirmed HBV and HCV Investigations
o Newly identified hepatitis-infected individuals reported to PDPH each year
Fields Completeness
2012 2013 (investigated)
Demographics gender age race/ethnicity
98% 99% 8%
99% 99% 82%
Clinical HIV diabetes
1% 1%
87% 84%
Risk Factor IDU incarceration tattoo employed med/dent field health insurance
8% 8% 7% 0 0
87% 87% 87% 87% 48%
Philadelphia DPH Hepatitis Surveillance Findings
Investigated HCV cases by race: Philadelphia, 2013-2014
0 100 200 300 400 500
Hispanic
Other
Unknown
Asian/PI
White
Black
Number of Cases
• ~ 2,500 HCV Ab+ individuals newly reported to Health Dept each year
• ~50% are investigated
Investigated HCV cases by age and gender: Philadelphia, 2013-2014
Number of Cases
1
3
89
177
545
73
0 150 300 450 600
0-1
1 - 18
19 - 30
31 -44
45 - 64
>= 65
1
6
90
85
252
73
0150300450
0-1
1 - 18
19 - 30
31 -44
45 - 64
>= 65
Female
Male
Age group
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 73 76 79 82 85 88 91 94
2003
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 73 76 79 82 85 88 91 94
2005
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 73 76 79 82 85 88 91 94
2007
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 73 76 79 82 85 88 91 94
Coun
t
2009
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 73 76 79 82 85 88 91 94
2011
Age
Num
ber o
f Ind
ivid
uals
A new population of young HCV cases is emerging in Philadelphia
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 73 76 79 82 85 88 91
2013
Investigated HCV cases by age and risk factor: Philadelphia, 2013-2014
• Behavioral risk factors (injection drug use and incarceration) account for most of the hepatitis C cases
*Medical includes blood/organ transplants, dialysis, needlesticks, work in medical/dental field
20%
35% 21%
8%
16%
<=30 years
MedicalIDUIncarceratedSexualTattoo
16%
32% 27%
11%
14%
31-44 years
26%
26% 26%
12%
10%
45-64 years
42%
22%
19%
13% 4%
>=65 years
How is the Philadelphia DPH hepatitis surveillance data being used?
To understand patterns of HCV testing and positivity
• HCV screening may not be appropriately targeting all at-risk populations in Philadelphia
HCV Positivity HCV Testing
2012-2014
• As HCV rates increase among young IDU, there is increased risk for vertical transmission.
To understand current protocols for perinatal HCV testing in Philadelphia
• 5 - 10% of infants born to HCV-positive mothers are unable to clear the infection by 18 months of age.
• CDC recommends screening all pregnant woman with HCV risk factors.
• AASLD and ACOG recommend screening infants born to HCV(+) women for anti-HCV antibody after 18 months
• HCV treatment is approved for children ≥3 years of age.
55,623 Philadelphia Births 1/1/2011-7/1/2013
568 Births to HCV(+)
Women
5,288 HCV(+) Women 12-44
yo in Registry
31 Infants Died or
Moved 537 Infants Survived
84 Tested Infants
4 Infants Tested HCV
RNA(+)
Most HCV-positive infants are not being screened or linked to care
• Assuming a rate of 5.8%, an additional 27 infants would be expected to have developed chronic HCV infection
453 Untested Infants
5.8% of infants born to HCV(+) women
27 Infants Expected to be HCV RNA(+)
*Unpublished data – not for distribution
To assess racial disparities in disease outcomes: Philadelphia, 2003 - 2012
1,886 Liver Cancer Diagnoses N = 989
• HCV surveillance data (2003-2012) was linked to PA Cancer Registry and PA Death Certificate data on name, address and DOB.
• Cancer Registry data was limited to liver cancers (LC). • HCV outcomes were assessed by non-Hispanic black or NH
white race/ethnicity.
4,791 Philadelphia
Deaths
40,247 Chronic HCV
Cases
50
55
60
65
70
Age at HCV Age at Cancer Age at Death
Age
(yea
rs)
White - LC only
Black - LC only
There are marked disparities in age at event between NH blacks and whites
50
55
60
65
70
Age at HCV Age at Cancer Age at Death
Age
(yea
rs)
White - LC only
Black - LC only
White - LC + HCV
Black - LC + HCV
White - HCV only
Black - HCV only
14
8
5
73
Liver Disease
Drug Overdose
Cancer
Other
19
25
4
52
NH White
NH Black
• Non-Hispanic blacks die from liver cancer at a younger age than whites, while NH whites with HCV die at a younger age than blacks (likely due to ⇑ drug overdose)
*Unpublished data – not for distribution
Type of Testing
Facility
# Clients receiving HCV Ab testing, 2011 - 2014
1 Test
2 Tests
3+ Tests
Total Duplicate
Tests Est $ Lost
MATs 724 (36%) 500 (25%) 815 (39%) 2,960 $59,200
Other clinics* 8,557 (74%) 2,201 (19%) 878 (6%) 4,379 $87,580
TOTAL 9,281 2,701 1,693 7,339 $146,780
*hospitals, health centers, community based organizations
To assess HCV testing practices in Medication Assisted Treatment (MATs) centers
• Duplicate HCV Ab testing is common in Philadelphia’s MAT centers, but few clients are RNA confirmed.
47
53
23
77
RNA confirmed
Unconfirmed
MAT Centers Other clinics
Proportion of HCV-Infected Individuals Reaching Successive Stages
Total HCV Ab+ estimate
Reported HCV Ab+ estimate
Surveillance findings
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
HCV infected(estimate)
HCV Ab HCV RNA HCV inmedical care
HCV antiviraltreatment
Num
ber o
f Ind
ivid
uals
47%
22%
6% 3%
2010 – 2013
To provide a ‘real-life’ snapshot of how HCV is being managed in a major U.S. urban center (ie. Phila)
• HCV-positive individuals are being lost at all stages of the HCV testing, referral to care, and treatment cascade
In Conclusion
• Our data show that in Philadelphia: 1. HCV testing may not be appropriately targeted, both geographically
and demographically. 2. HCV testing is not being efficiently regulated (especially in drug
treatment centers). 3. There are profound racial disparities in age at liver cancer and death. 4. HCV is on the rise among young, white, injection-drug users. ** A very low percentage of HCV seropositive patients are getting the testing, care, and treatment they require.
• Alex Shirreffs will discuss how these issues are being addressed . . .
Improving the Cascade: Challenges of Moving from Testing toTreatment
Alex Shirreffs, MPH
C Change: A Leadership Summit on HCV Policy in Pennsylvania
May 1st, 2015
Proportion of HCV-Infected Individuals Reaching Successive Stages
Total HCV Ab+ estimate
Reported HCV Ab+ estimate
Surveillance findings
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
HCV infected(estimate)
HCV Ab HCV RNA HCV inmedical care
HCV antiviraltreatment
Num
ber o
f Ind
ivid
uals
47%
22%
6% 3%
2010 – 2013
Today’s Dialogue: How do we improve the cascade in PA?
Hepatitis C Screening
• Patient Attitudes • I’ve been tested… haven’t I? • I don’t need to be tested.
• Provider Attitudes • My patients aren’t at risk • I have enough to do in 20 minutes!
• Knowledge • Tools to support testing (EMR) • New screening guidelines
• Stigma • Drug use, “bad” behavior
Confirmatory Testing
• Knowledge • Testing Algorithm
• It Takes Two! • AB and RNA not always packaged
together • Resources
• Rapid Hep C Test: $20 • RNA Test: $50-$100+ • Access to Reflex testing
• Testing Policies • Rapid testing protocols • Institutional settings
• Jails, Prisons, Drug Treatment
Linkage to Care
Too many steps to get there • Challenges of navigating the systems
Knowledge • Where to refer people for hep C
care • What will insurance cover??
Resources • Support for Care Coordination
Attitudes • Everyone has it, it’s not a big deal • My doc told me not to worry • I’m just a carrier
Treatment (CURE!)
• We can treat everyone…in theory • Cost • Restrictions
• Capacity • Long process to get tx • Do we have enough clinicians to
treat everyone with hep C in PA?
• Knowledge • AASLD Guidelines
• How they get translated by different stakeholders
Proportion of HCV-Infected Individuals Reaching Successive Stages
Total HCV Ab+ estimate
Reported HCV Ab+ estimate
Surveillance findings
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
HCV infected(estimate)
HCV Ab HCV RNA HCV inmedical care
HCV antiviraltreatment
Num
ber o
f Ind
ivid
uals
47%
22%
6% 3%
2010 – 2013
Goes back to the issue of data and surveillance!
Once we start improving… how do we measure??