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© 2011 IBM Corporation
Smarter Resources to Fuel a Smarter Planet
Ulisses T Mello, Ph.D.Global Research Leader – Petroleum IndustryIBM Research
© 2011 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Smarter planet: Thinking and acting in new ways to make our systems more efficient, productive and responsive.
GREEN AND BEYOND
SMARTWORK
NEW INTELLIGENCE
DYNAMIC INFRASTRUCTURE
+ +INSTRUMENTED INTERCONNECTED INTELLIGENT
© 2011 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
A smarter planet empowers organizations to do more, using less.
Stockholm, Sweden: An intelligent toll system in the city center resulted in 20% less traffic, 40% lower emissions and 40,000 additional users of the public transportation system.
IBM’s Carbon Tradeoff Modeler: Manages and performs analytics to help companies reduce emissions and make smarter, more cost-effective energy choices.
River and Estuary Observatory Network: Will create the first technology-based real-time environmental monitoring and forecasting network to guide better policy, management and education for the Hudson River and estuaries worldwide.
U.S. power company: Saves $1.2 million annually by using an RFID-based fleet optimization system to reduce the amount of repair work on their vehicles.
© 2011 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
What smart things are happeningin the oil and gas industry today?
Where are the greatestopportunities for progress?
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Risk and Compliance Pressures
Climate Change and Environmental Concerns
Volatility of Energy Supply and Demand
Operational Transformation
Advances in Technology
Industry Challenges & Opportunities
Global market forces require new approaches for the oil & gas industry
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Upstream Petroleum
IntegrationOptimization
Analytics
EXPLORATION:FIND OIL AND GAS MORE QUICKLYSpeed overall time to locate and evaluate fields, plan field development and begin drilling operations.
PRODUCTION:EXTEND THE LIVES OF OIL AND GAS FIELDSIntegrate oil and gas production operations across the entire field to support enhanced recovery methods that increase recovery factors and extend the life of existing oil and gas fields.
ASSET MANAGEMENT:MAXIMIZE RETURN ON ASSETSReduce planned and unplanned asset shutdowns in order to maximize asset utilization and production.
WORKFORCE COLLABORATION:SHARE KNOWLEDGE ACROSS THE ORGANIZATIONImprove work efficiency and reduce safety and reliability issues through workforce collaboration.
To survive in today’s changing oil and gas environment, smart organizations are working to…
6
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
SMART ISExtending the lives of oil and gas fields by achieving best-in-class recovery of oil-in-place.
SMART ISFinding oil and gas more quickly by integrating and processing geophysical and other data while developing new models to find and analyze previously inaccessible reserves.
SMART ISMaximizing return on assets through improved asset availability and reliability that increases production rates and reduces cost and safety risk.
Smarter oil and gas: Enabling upstream petroleum.
1
3
2
SMART ISSharing knowledge across the organization to facilitate high impact teaming among highly skilled experts.
4
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Exploration: Setting the context.
Although oil exploration methods are improving, they still may have only a 10% success rate for finding new oil fields.
10%Oil and gas exploration efforts are now searching for resources as far down as 4-5 miles beneath the earth’s surface.
5 miles 33%In general, for every three wells drilled, only one yields commercially viable quantities of oil or gas.
Sources: See notes
1
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Smarter exploration: Integrating and processing geophysical and other data while developing new models to find and analyze previously inaccessible reserves.
Oil and gas exploration: two key components.
1
Locate the oil or gas. Determine development viability.Find Evaluate / Appraise
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Smarter exploration: Integrating and processing geophysical and other data while developing new models to find and analyze previously inaccessible reserves.
Three fundamental processes span both of these components.
1
Apply advanced
research and
development to
generate new,
increasingly complex
models―reducing risk
and increasing
accuracy.
Leverage supercomputing
technologies and expertise
to make
sense of data
more quickly.
Enable experts
to literally see
historically invisible
factors, globally
and in real time.
Model
Process
Interpret
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Smarter exploration: Integrating and processing geophysical and other data while developing new models to find and analyze previously inaccessible reserves.
The process is ongoing and iterative, with a spectrum of modeling, processing and visualization driving further assessments and more accurate risk profiles.
1
Seismic processing
Proxy models
Expert collaboration
History matching
Visual interpretation
Geological models
Simulations
Forecasting
Property models
Automated framework models
Petrophysical Analysis
Full reservoir models
ModelProcessInterpret
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Steps to take:
Smarter exploration: Integrating and processing geophysical and other data while developing new models to find and analyze previously inaccessible reserves.
1
Collaborate across geographical boundaries to most effectively interpret results.
Acquire geophysical, seismic and other data.
Process data using high-powered computing for rapid cycle time.
Visualize data to uncover new insights.
The benefits:• Reduced modeling and processing times• Faster identification of oil and gas
in difficult locations
• Faster time to oil production• Lower risk of dry-hole
How will you do it?Integrate seismic and geologic data from multiple sources and apply supercomputing technologies to analyze it.Use advanced research, modeling and visualization to improve decision making, reduce exploration risk and cost, and achieve faster “time-to-oil.”
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
ENI, an integrated energy company in Italy, implements supercomputer technology to augment its seismic imaging capabilities to tackle ever more complex exploration projects, and at the same time improve its drilling success rate and shorten the timeframe to “first oil.”
13
Smarter exploration: IBM is partnering with oil and gas companies around the world to implement innovative solutions.1
Repsol is breaking new ground in improving the accuracy of deep-sea oil exploration by reducing by 85% the time required to run the highly accurate—and compute-intensive—seismic algorithms.
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Smarter exploration: These solutions are powered by our unique expertise spanning all facets of the upstream petroleum sector.
Deep computing expertise: In algorithms as well as parallel and multicore processing to maximize supercomputing capabilities for oil and gas. Discrete offerings include BlueGene systems, POWER7 systems and IT power-management solutions.
IBM Research and centers of excellence:For oil and gas exploration and production, which include proprietary
IP for areas like basin modeling.
Workforce collaboration solutions: Integrate processes and technologies such as Web-based tools, real-time messaging, conferencing and networking for real-time decision making.
1
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Supercomputing peek speed trend - Moore Law
2008Petaflop 11yrs 2019
Exaflop
RR
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Interconnected and interdependent models will provide the intelligence to predict outcomes and exercise closed loop control
Command & ControlCentralized; Distributed;
Peer-to-Peer
Control Platform
Actions
Capturing(Devices, Sensors, Imaging, Cell
Phones)High fidelity, continuous, human assist
Real world
Data & Measurement Platform
Distributed Energy Supply-Chains Water Systems
Simulation & Prediction
(What if Analysis)Multi-Modal, Multi-domain
Decision Model
(Optimum/ robust action)
Data validation,Interpolation and
ExplanationPoint detection Field
Reconstruction Connectingthe Dots
Context & constraints
PotentialOutcomes
Observedworlds
Modeling & Orchestration Platform
Action(s)
High-Quality Trusted Data
(Regulation & Policies)
16
assimilation / inversion
UncertaintyAssessment
Oil & Gas
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
C&P: Large-scale Basin Modelling Improved modelling of the complex geological processes
Client Petrobras & EniRequirement Reduce the risk involved with finding new oil fields. Provide a better
understanding of basin evolution including salt motion
Problem / Issue The dynamics of the geological basins are not directly observable.Complexity lurk inside – Mobile Rocks (Salt) behave like fluids under pressure.Conditions can change the rock properties and impact in well prospects.Need to understand those issues. Therefore basin simulation models are used to visualise the evolution of basins. The better the model, the better the petroleum systems definition and exploration.Current numerical basin models are not able to handle such structural complexity
Solution New large-scale, multiphase, numerical simulator Using unstructured (tetrahedral) meshes Provide unprecedented simulation of complex geological structures. Designed from the scratch using object-oriented technologies using C++ and FortranNew algorithms for dealing with compaction in unstructured tetrahedral meshes Used XML technology to integrate related systems.
Simulating the interaction of complex geological processes Such as geological basin formation, compaction, salt motion and fault displacement As well as multiphase fluid flow in porous sediments during the evolution of sedimentary basins. Better numerical models improve significantly the risk assessment of new prospects in new frontiers as well as in mature basins requiring rejuvenation
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Gulf of Mexico Basin Modeling – Target 1 billion cells
Mello et al, 1998
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
temperature
pressure
Solution in minutes using 1024 cores
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
226108 vertices 1213920 elements
32 processors
15.2 secs wall clock HYPRE PILUT preconditioner7 iterations
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Seismic Imaging – Reverse Time Migration using GPUs (Cell Processor)
Cell provided 10x average performance for some algorithms Several collaborations with 3DGeo, Panorama Technologies The Kaleidoscope Project is a good example in which Repsol YFP, 3DGeo
(Stanford Univ.), Barcelona Supercomputer Center (BSC), and IBM. Reverse Time Migration (BP Model):
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Repsol Kaleidoscope Project
MareNostrum,Europe’s thirdmost powerfulcomputer, residesin a chapel inBarcelona
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Smarter production: Extending the lives of oil and gas fields by achieving best-in-class recovery of oil-in-place.
The five key components of Integrated Operations Services are critical to oil recovery.
Production and Performance
Reporting
Condition-based Monitoring
Intelligent Alerts and Event
Management
KPIs and Production
Calculations
Collaboration for Decision
Making
2
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Smarter production: Extending the lives of oil and gas fields by achieving best-in-class recovery of oil-in-place.
These processes take place in a centralized control room, where users and systems are integrated.
Production and Performance
Reporting
Condition-based Monitoring
Intelligent Alerts and Event
Management
KPIs and Production
Calculations
Collaboration for Decision
Making
Mail, SMS and other human alerts
ERP, EAM and other systems
Control Room
Maintenance Supervisor/Engineer
Platform Engineer
Production Supervisor
Operator HSE Engineer Field and Asset Owner
2
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Assimilate data to improve modeling and increase efficiency.
Integratedata across wells and fields.
Analyze historical trends to create a sense-and-respond environment.
Optimize operations across assets.
Instrument operations to gain performance and productivity data.
Implement “virtual” collaboration capabilities.
Smarter production: Extending the lives of oil and gas fields by achieving best-in-class recovery of oil-in-place.2
• Increased overall recovery factor• Extended field life• Increased operational efficiency
• Reduced production costs• Reduced environmental
and safety risks
The benefits:
How will you do it?Optimize your recovery of oil-in-place across the planet by analyzing and integrating processes at a single site, repeating across multiple sites and even entire fields—and then leveraging your methods and findings on a global scale.
Steps to take:
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Smarter production: IBM is partnering with oil and gas companies around the world to implement innovative solutions.
26
Shell, through a collaborative project with IBM, is exploring advanced techniques for reconciling geophysical and reservoir engineering field data. The project integrates proprietary Shell software for reservoir simulation and prototype software for optimization, using an HPC infrastructure for application workloads. The data reconciliation process is being reformulated and automated to increase the cost-effectiveness and improve results.
Statoil links advanced real-time sensing capabilities in the field to collaborate and analyze resources across the enterprise for Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOH) resulting in significant increased production and improved operational efficiency at reduced cost.
2
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Business analytics tools: For oil and gas support trend-based well performance analysis, predictive maintenance and optimized operations.
Smarter production: These solutions are powered by our unique expertise spanning all facets of the upstream petroleum sector.
Integrated operations services solutions: That help integrate and manage specific functions including event early warning, rotating and static equipment monitoring, predictive/proactive maintenance tracking, data validation and well-performance and production-target monitoring.
IBM Research:For oil and gas exploration and production, which includes proprietary intellectual property for areas like reservoir management. In addition, IBM has recently launched a research facility in Brazil primarily focused on natural resources and working collaboratively with key industry clients.
2
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Case: – Extending the life of oil and natural gas fields by the joint inversion of well and 4D seismic data for history matching IBM's long-standing analytics and
simulation experience will meet Shell's strong subsurface and reservoir expertise to create a more efficient, more accurate picture for reservoir modeling.
The companies will explore advanced techniques for reconciling geophysical and reservoir engineering field data.
As a result of applying improved algorithms, analytics and accelerated simulations, Shell can reduce the educated guesswork and extract natural resources with more certainty and efficiency, thereby optimizing the recovery of oil and gas.
HOUSTON & ARMONK, N.Y. - 26 Feb 2010:An example of the type of modeling image Shell uses to represent a very complex set of data. The collaboration with IBM is expected to bring even greater clarity to reservoir modeling.
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
History Matching is an Inversion problem and can be cast as an optimization problem
Forward: given parameter and model, estimate observationsInverse: given observation and model, estimate parameters
SimulatorPROD4
Time (day)
Water Rate SC
(m3/day)
1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,5000
50
100
150
caso1a_opt40.irfhist_r10.fhfcaso1a.irfcaso1a_opt40_8.irf
porosity, permeability Source: Echeverría Ciaurri, D. et al 2008
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
C&P: Joint Inversion of Reservoir Field Using 4D SeismicReservoir Management / Integrated Operations
reservoir parameters m
reservoir simulation
well performances + gradients w.r.t. m
petro-physical model
seismic attribute change
(impedances)
geological model
well observations history -productions
rocks
mismatch
Reservoir Seismic
fluidschanges in saturation
& pressure
saturation & pressure
dynamic well log data
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Challenges and Technical Innovations Expected
Uncertain spatio-temporal data (reservoir characterization)
Data with different space and temporal scales
Very large number of variables
Large-scale optimization problem
Non-convex objective function and nonlinear constraints
Exploitation of problem structure - physical and computational
Sparse representation – a model can be represented compactly by a small number of parameters by choosing an appropriate representation that exploits the spatial resolution of the reservoir
Model reduction – the model large dimensionality can be reduced by using techniques as multi-level formulation, which targets efficient computation and robustness
Regularization – modern regularization techniques are expected to be used to represent a-priori information more reliably and ensure coupling of data relationships
Coupling - Improve degree of coupling between seismic and well data using information- and physics-based coupling
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
3 Asset management: Setting the context.
Average active rotary drilling rigs in the U.S. as of June, 2010.
1,527Employee deficit needed to run the vast, remote oil and gas operations by 2030
1.7 million $1 millionCost of some type of pumping trucks needed at well sites
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Smarter asset management: Maximizing asset availability and reliability to increase production rates while reducing cost and safety risk.
3
Improved operational intelligence enables better management of assets throughout their complete lifecycles.
Turnaround / Shutdown
Design and Engineering
Health and Safety
Maintenance
Operations
CollaborationConvergence
Standardization
Operational Intelligence
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Improve operational intelligence through a single, integrated approach.
Initiate manual or automated processes from asset event alerts.
Ensure regulatory compliance by integrating processes.
OptimizeAsset lifecycle using advanced tools, dashboards and programming.
Smarter asset management: Maximizing asset availability and reliability to increase production rates while reducing cost and safety risk.
How will you do it?Get the most out of your assets through more effective planning, work management and information integration. Achieve greater cost and regulatory management while performing condition-based monitoring and working to integrate your operations.
3
Steps to take:
The benefits:• Improved asset utilization• Reduction in planned and unplanned shutdowns• Lower operations and maintenance costs
• Improved regulatory compliance• Reduced environment and
safety risks
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
An international oil company implemented a first-of-a-kind emergency solution that translates real-time RFID data into actionable, visual information for new plant safety procedures.
An international oil company integrated asset management solution that keeps production levels high and downtime low resulting in greater efficiency, lower costs, improved safety and overall improved oil recovery rates.
3 Smarter asset management: IBM is partnering with oil and gas companies around the world to implement innovative solutions.
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Smarter asset management: These solutions are powered by our unique expertise spanning all facets of the upstream petroleum sector.
Enterprise asset management for oil and gas: Improves safety, availability and compliance of physical assets through a holistic, integrated approach that drives increased operational intelligence through common processes across the organization—but tailored to business segments.
Turnaround optimization:Leverages research analytics combined with asset intelligence and supply chain coordination to optimize planned and unplanned shutdowns.
Health, safety, security and environment solutions: Use digital video surveillance for asset risk management,RFID technology for asset location tracking and implementation of environmental management capabilities.
3
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Smart Integrated Operations – Value Realization
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Statoil Example - TAIL Integrated OperationsA research project with focus on the Industries Challenges
Robotics technology
Mobile ICT infrastructure
Condition and
Performance monitoring
Wirelesscommunication
Collaborativevisualization
Turnarounds and
shutdowns
Concepts for safe and cost-effective
operations of facilities
Common integration
architecture
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Slide 39
Smart Integrated Operations – Condition-based Monitoring Overview
Condition-based Monitoring requires 4 functions all of which have analytics at their core:- Monitoring- Prediction and - Diagnosis- Maintenance planning and scheduling
Monitoring (mainly meant for alerting)- Model-based- Data driven
Prediction (A predictive model of expected behavior)- Data mining and machine learning to pro-actively identify the onset of aberrant behavior
Diagnosis- Root cause analysis- Rule based systems and production systems for diagnostic reasoning- Sequential decision making
Maintenance planning and scheduling:- Long term preventative planning - Scheduling jobs (preventative and repair)
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
How Does Event Analytics Work?
control
raw datasignal cleansing & transformation
Detect temporal clusters
Quantify deviation Combination
function
state-machine reporting
f
T
T
T
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Event Detection/Prediction Example
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Slide 42
0.019
0.0085
0.13690.2099
0.6531
0.95760.9492
0.0318 0.0399
- HIDDEN MARKOV MODEL TO DISCOVER STATES OF THE MACHINARY- CORRELATION MODEL FOR EACH STATE SHOWING INTERACTIONS
Event Detection/Prediction Example – Separator States
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Slide 43
Predictive Modeling and Maintenance PlanningTurnaround Optimization
Repairs Environmental Factors
P*(t)
MAINTENANCE PERIOD
PLANNED DOWNTIME
UNEXPECTED DOWNTIME
AVAILABILITY
DO
WN
TIM
E
ADAPTIVELY LEARNPARAMETERS
PARAMETRIC MODELADAPTATION
OK D1 F
R1
R0
R2
TempR3
p
4 states, characterized by a penalty on production
• OK (as good as new)• Deteriorated • Failed • Temporarily repaired
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Physical Asset ControlReal-time Systems
Enterprise Business SystemsEnterprise Resource Planning (ERP)
OpenO&M™
F O U N D A T I O N
Operations
Maintenance
The OpenO&M™ InitiativeBrings People Processes and Technology Together
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Sources: TK
Workforce collaboration: Setting the context.4
The average retirement age for the industry is 55 years old; The average employee age for a major operator or service company is 48 years old.
55 years oldTwitter processes 1 billion messages per month; How can this type of technology be used to connect Oil and Gas workers?
1 billion 1 terabyteAn oil field can generate one terabyte, or 200 DVDs’ worth, of data daily. An oil and gas engineer can spend up to 60% of theirtime mining this data.
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Smarter workforce collaboration: Facilitating teaming among highly skilled experts.
Regional Support
Local Office
Data and Expertise
Field Office
Field Office
Field Office
4
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Smarter workforce collaboration: Facilitating teaming among highly skilled experts.
Regional Support
Global Support
General Remote Support Center
Data and Expertise
4
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Smarter workforce collaboration: Facilitating teaming among highly skilled experts.
Regional Support
Global Support
Networked Organization
Data and Expertise
GlobalNetwork
4
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Smarter workforce collaboration: Facilitating teaming among highly skilled experts.
Establish a method to track skills competencies and find expertise.
Incentemployees to share their expertise.
Apply technology to facilitate the involvement of remote experts.
Teamsenior and junior resources to speed the flowof expertise.
Implementglobal standard processes and embed collaboration within them.
4How will you do it?Improve work efficiency and reduce safety and reliability issues by connecting experts all over the world and providing them with the tools and capabilities they need to collaborate.
Steps to take:
The benefits:• Reduced operational costs• Improved operational efficiency
• Improved knowledge transfer• Reduced environmental and
safety risks
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
50
4 Smarter workforce collaboration: IBM is partnering with oil and gas companies around the world to implement innovative solutions.
An international oil company created an integrated collaborative environment as part of their intelligent oilfiled initiative enabling workers to work as one team irrespective of location to share real-time data streamed from the field and using collaboration tools, such as video links, with remote team members. The result is optimized core processes, faster decisions, reduced cost and improved performance.
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Smarter workforce collaboration: These solutions are poweredby our unique expertise spanning all facets of the upstream petroleum sector.
Workforce collaboration solutions: Integrate processes and technologies such as field force automation, web-based tools, real-time messaging, conferencing and networking for real-time decision making.
Learning and knowledge sharing: Leverages processes and tools to support the creation, dissemination and utilization of knowledge when and where it is needed in the field, at the production platform and in the refining operations.
Process and organizational design and change management: Helps organizations develop and aligned new collaboration models and the processes and technologies required to enable the networked organization.
4
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Why IBM?
Only IBM can provide you with the unique combination of tools and expertise you need, across all elements of business, technology and research, to build an integrated approach to managing your upstream businesses—speeding time to production and increasing recovery factors while reducing costs and risks to people as well as the environment.
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
The IBM Chemicals and Petroleum Integrated Information Framework underpins our industry business solutions
The framework provides:
An approach to link technology directly with the business goals it supports
Solution accelerators to speed deployment of new capabilities
Re-usable implementation patterns to lower risk and decrease time-to-value
Support for open/industry standards
Choice of business applications and services from IBM business partners
The IBM C&P Integrated Information Framework creates a more flexible foundation for increased growth and efficiency
IBM Chemical and Petroleum Integrated Information Framework
Business partner solutions
IBM Chemical and Petroleum industry Solutions
Consistent C&P Representation
Standardize processes and
Performance Measures
Industry Standards Support
The framework combines market-leading technology capabilities with pre-built solution accelerators, best
practices, and implementation patterns
Visualization in Context of Equipment Operations
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
IBM’s Chemicals and Petroleum Integrated Information Framework enables organizations to start with any solution and build upon it over time to achieve a simplified, strategic infrastructure.
Achieve a simplified, strategic infrastructure.
Choose a project and implement it to achieve immediate ROI.
Build on the value of previous projects, reusing assets and implementation patterns.
1 2 3
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Oil and gas companies achieve significant benefits by deploying solutions on an integrated information Framework.
Improved productivity from real-time visibility of measurements in the context of equipment.
Greater cost control based on performance comparisons across multiple assets.
Reduced planned and unplanned shutdowns achieved through the use of enterprise-wide, event-based information.
Faster decision making with enterprise-wide access to real-time process performance relative to KPIs.
Agility to incrementally expand across additional assets and processes.
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
IBM’s Smarter Oil and Gas Solutions – Overall Approach
Smart Integrated Operations EnablementOne open channel to all data required to operate assets in real time
Semantic Model Standard-Based Standardized Metrics Event Management
INSTRUMENTEDAbility to measure, sense and monitor the condition of
almost everything.
INTERCONNECTEDPeople, systems and objects can communicate and
interact with each other in entirely new ways.
INTELLIGENTRespond to changes quickly and accurately, and get better
results by predicting and optimizing for future events.
Smart Oil and Gas SolutionsComprehensive set of capabilities to enable smarter decisions faster
Visibility Collaboration Analytics Optimization
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event IBM’s Smarter Solutions for Oil and Gas
Exploration RefineryTerminal/
DepotRetail
StationCrudeSupply
SecondaryDistribution
PrimaryDistributionProduction
Upstream Downstream
SupportingResources
Enterprise Resource PlanningEnterprise Resource Planning- Upstream, Downstream (Petroleum, Oil Sands, Natural Gas, Chemicals) Templates - Upstream, Downstream (Petroleum, Oil Sands, Natural Gas, Chemicals) Templates
Smart Integrated Operations Enablement Smart Integrated Operations Enablement Reference Semantic Models, Adaptors, Data Integrity, Visualization, Event Management, Rule ProcessingReference Semantic Models, Adaptors, Data Integrity, Visualization, Event Management, Rule Processing
Smart ExplorationSmart Exploration- Large Scale Basin Modeling,- Large Scale Basin Modeling,
- Seismic Processing / Digitalization- Seismic Processing / Digitalization- Rendering & Visualization - Rendering & Visualization
Smart Performance Monitoring and Remote Operations Smart Performance Monitoring and Remote Operations - Well Monitoring, - Production Target Monitoring- Well Monitoring, - Production Target Monitoring
- KPI Tracking, Virtual Worlds Collaboration - KPI Tracking, Virtual Worlds Collaboration
Smart Asset Management Smart Asset Management - - Condition-Based Maintenance: Early Event Warning, Static, Rotating and Electrical Equipment Monitoring, MRO Forecasting, MRO Inventory Planning, MRO Procurement and Logistics Condition-Based Maintenance: Early Event Warning, Static, Rotating and Electrical Equipment Monitoring, MRO Forecasting, MRO Inventory Planning, MRO Procurement and Logistics
- Turnaround Optimization, Maintenance Planning and Scheduling, Corrosion Monitoring, Field Asset Tracking- Turnaround Optimization, Maintenance Planning and Scheduling, Corrosion Monitoring, Field Asset Tracking- Greenfield Automatic Model Creation, Engineering Design to Commissioning Management - Greenfield Automatic Model Creation, Engineering Design to Commissioning Management
Smart Retail SolutionsSmart Retail Solutions- Service Station Back Office - Service Station Back Office
- Fuel & Convenience Store Solutions - Fuel & Convenience Store Solutions
Smart Operations Upstream Supply Chain Optimization Smart Operations Upstream Supply Chain Optimization - - Supplies (fluids, diesel, chemicals, repair parts, food and water) Planning & SchedulingSupplies (fluids, diesel, chemicals, repair parts, food and water) Planning & Scheduling
- Workforce Scheduling, Emergency Scheduling - Workforce Scheduling, Emergency Scheduling
Smart Operations Downstream Supply Chain OptimizationSmart Operations Downstream Supply Chain Optimization- - Blending Optimization, Refinery Scheduling, Pipeline Scheduling Blending Optimization, Refinery Scheduling, Pipeline Scheduling
- Chemical Plant Scheduling, Tank Truck Scheduling, Workforce Scheduling- Chemical Plant Scheduling, Tank Truck Scheduling, Workforce Scheduling
Level3*
Level4*
Smart Health, Safety, Security and EnvironmentSmart Health, Safety, Security and Environment- Supply Chain Sustainability Management, Compliance Management, Environment Management, Safety and Security, Audit and Inspections, Risk Compliance Monitor - Supply Chain Sustainability Management, Compliance Management, Environment Management, Safety and Security, Audit and Inspections, Risk Compliance Monitor
Cross Cross IndustryIndustry
Strategy & Strategy & TransformationTransformation- Green Strategy- Green Strategy
- Merge & - Merge & AcquisitionsAcquisitions
- Workforce & - Workforce & Talent SolutionsTalent Solutions
AdvancedAdvancedAnalyticsAnalytics
- Customer - Customer AnalyticsAnalytics
(social network (social network analysis, pricing analysis, pricing
optimization)optimization)
- Financial - Financial Analytics Analytics (financial (financial
integrated risk integrated risk management)management)
- Operations - Operations Analytics Analytics (workforce (workforce
analytics, supply analytics, supply chain risk chain risk
management) management)
- Core Analytics - Core Analytics
(data (data governance, governance, master data master data
management, management, enterprise enterprise
content content management)management)
Smart WaterSmart WaterSmart Smart
BuildingBuilding
Production Execution Production Execution Platform Production Management, Refinery Production Management, Petrochemical Production Management, Government Specific Solutions Platform Production Management, Refinery Production Management, Petrochemical Production Management, Government Specific Solutions
Sensors, Actuators and NetworksSensors, Actuators and Networks
Facility Monitoring Systems (FMS), Digital Control Systems (DCS), Historians Facility Monitoring Systems (FMS), Digital Control Systems (DCS), Historians Levels0, 1, 2*
CrudeAcquisition
* ISA-95Level Definition
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Actions to takePrioritize near-term benefit, high-value projects.Business focus areas:
– Exploration– Production– Asset Management – Workforce Collaboration
Apply analytics to support performance management. Integrate analytics results into your business processes.
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Get started: Achieve a smarter exploration and production enterprise.
Uni
que
valu
e re
aliz
ed
Use of smarter planet principles
ManageData1
AnalyzePatterns2
Optimize Outcomes3
Establish foundational elements to enhance exploration and improve production.
Integrate exploration and production capabilities across standalone sites.
Optimize exploration and production operations across entire oil fields/ sites and ecosystem.
Processing times Drilling costs Operation efficiency
Decision making Collaboration Asset/maintenance costs Health/safety risk
Recovery rates Production costs
Measures of Value
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
IBM Research - intellectual capital and tools to solve complex problems in a diversity of new emerging areas to further helpour clients to innovate and achieve competitive advantage
IBM Research The world’s largest private
research institution $6B annual R&D budget 8 research labs around the
world ~ 3,000 researchers 5 Nobel Prize winners 16 consecutive years of IBM
patent leadership Skills in mathematics,
computer science, physics, operations research and many more…
From the labs….…to your
organization
IBM Research Services Advanced research
skills and technology Deep industry
knowledge and consulting expertise
Innovative approaches to problem solving
Breakthrough thinking in business process research
Rich assets Algorithms Models and processes Software and tools
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
IBM Research Laboratories
WatsonAustin
TokyoHaifa
Zurich
India
Beijing
IBM Research Lab
Almaden
Announced June 7th
Brazil
“IBM announces 9th Research lab in Brazil”
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
IBM Research - BrazilMission: To be known for our science and technology and vital to IBM, IBM Brazil, our clients in the region, and globally
Almaden Watson Beijing
Austin
Zurich
TokyoHaifa
Sao Paulo
Rio deJaneiro
India
Brasil
IBM @ Tutoia StreetSão Paulo
IBM @ Avenue PasteurRio de Janeiro
Locations
Leadership team in place and growing team– World class researchers with broad experience
and recognition– Excellent new Researchers
Strategic Focus Areas– Smarter natural resource discovery and
logistics– Smarter devices leveraging IBM semiconductor
technology– Smarter human systems focused on large scale
events– Service Systems
Additional Focus AreasProvide differentiation for customer engagements
in Brazil, Latin America, and West Africa– Focal point for leveraging world-wide Research
technologies and researchers
First Research lab in Southern Hemisphere
First Research lab in 12 years
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Smart Natural Resources AreaArea Leader: Ulisses Mello
Mission: To research and develop technologies for smarter natural resource discovery, exploration and logistics, and addressing the sustainability and safety of the resources industry. To extend IBM’s collaboration with universities, government organizations, and companies in Brazil and across Latin America.
Goal: To create the largest IBM C&P Research group in the world and become a renowned leading group in Natural Resources Management
Computational Geosciences: Large-Scale Basin Modeling, Inversion and Data Assimilation, Seismic Imaging, Highly Scalable Reservoir SimulationIntegrated Operations & Logistics: Streaming Computing Applied to Smart Operations, Condition-Based Maintenance, Numerical Optimization Applied to Smart, Integrated Operations, Offshore Logistics Optimization, Extending the Integrated Operations Paradigm, Resource Constrained Project Scheduling OptimizationBiofuels: GIS-based analytics and logistics.
63
GEO
AM CS+SYS
GEO = Geosciences
AM = Applied Math
CS = Computational Sciences + Systems
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Approach to find right: • location and partners• research areas• business models
Strategic Research
Topics
OpenCollaboration
ExpandGlobalReach
IBMResearch
Value
•Align (overlap) to long term research strategy•Access and hiring local talent
•Key assets and resources•Competitive and available
•Strategic location to IBM, Business Units•Technical infrastructure and readiness•Matching research theme and location
•Each party to get leverage of their investment •IBM investment is a function of strategic alignment
Key Elements of IBM Collaborative Partnerships
FOAK, Joint Development, Collabs, etc
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Smarter Oil and Gas: A Look into the Future
Advanced water managementCarbon capture and sequestration Tracking of long-term environmental impactsStream computing
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
IBM Smarter Solutions for Oil: enabling smarter decisions faster
Predictive AnalyticsReactive
Maintenance
ProactiveMaintenance• Reduce maintenance costs by 20%* by slashing
emergency maintenance – facilitated by predictive systemsReactive
OperationsPlanned Operations• Increase throughput via better use of models to
determine set points before operating conditions change
* IBM industry insights
Real-Time VisibilityEngineers gather data,
then analyze
Engineers analyze, then act• Increase productivity by reducing data
gathering from 75% of workload* to 0% of workload
Effective CollaborationEngineers in each plant
monitor equipment
Equipment monitors equipment and remote engineers are leveraged
• Improve productivity of engineers and operations staff in the plant
Production manages complex events on
their own – external help is by
appointment
Production has help in real time, with experts
• For complex events, reduce event resolution cycle time by 75 – 90% *
Continuous OptimizationOperators
conservatively maintain steady
operations
Operators are enabled to achieve economic and operational optimum
• Improve process unit economics at both local and global level
Typical Way Smarter Way
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Analytics / Intelligence Landscape
68
Degree of Complexity
Com
petit
ive
Adv
anta
ge
Standard Reporting
Ad hoc reporting
Query/drill down
Alerts
Forecasting
Simulation
Predictive modeling
Optimization
What exactly is the problem?
What will happen next if ?
What could happen … ?
What if these trends continue?
What actions are needed?
How many, how often, where?
What happened?
Stochastic Optimization
Based on: Competing on Analytics, Davenport and Harris, 2007
Descriptive
Prescriptive
Predictive
How can we achieve the best outcome?
How can we achieve the best outcome including the effects of variability?
INTELLIGENT
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Examples of R&D activities that are creating technologies to enable the Smarter Oil & Gas vision
Two major domains:
- Smart Exploration and Production using Computational Geosciences and High Performance Computing HCP and Reverse Time Migration (with Repsol) Large-scale basin Modeling (Eni & Petrobras) 4D Seismic history matching (with Shell)
- Smart Integrated Operations / Smart Oil Fields Integration infrastructure - IIF (Statoil) Condition-based Maintenance Turnaround optimization (with Statoil)
© 2010 IBM Corporation
Angola Launch Event
Examples of R&D activities that are creating technologies to enable the Smarter Oil & Gas vision
Two major domains:
- Smart Exploration and Production using Computational Geosciences and High Performance Computing Large-scale basin Modeling (Eni & Petrobras) HCP and Reverse Time Migration (with Repsol) 4D Seismic history matching (with Shell)
- Smart Integrated Operations / Smart Oil Fields Integration infrastructure - IIF (Statoil) Condition-based Maintenance Turnaround optimization (with Statoil)