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Efficacy and Effecveness of Rotavirus Vaccine on Incidence of Diarrhoea among Children: A Meta-analysis Katayi Mwila-Kazimbaya 1,2* , Samuel Bosomprah 1,3 , Michelo Simuyandi 1 , Caroline C Chisenga 1 , Roma Chilengi 1,4 and Sody Munsaka 2 1 Center for Infecous Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka 2 Department of Biomedical Sciences, School of Health Sciences, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia 3 Department of Biostascs, School of Public Health, University of Ghana, Legon, Accra, Ghana 4 School of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, North Carolina, U.S * Corresponding author: Kazimbaya KM, Centre for Infecous Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Department of Biomedical Sciences, School of Health Sciences, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia, Tel: +26 0211 242257-63; E-mail: [email protected] Received date: January 18, 2018; Accepted date: January 31, 2018; Published date: February 2, 2018 Citaon: Kazimbaya KM, Bosomprah S , Simuyandi M, Chisenga CC, Chilengi R, et al. (2018) Efficacy and Effecveness of Rotavirus Vaccine on Incidence of Diarrhoea among Children: A Meta-analysis. Pediatric Infect Dis Vol.3, No.1: 4. Copyright: ©2018 Kazimbaya KM, et al. This is an open-access arcle distributed under the terms of the Creave Commons Aribuon License, which permits unrestricted use, distribuon, and reproducon in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Abstract Background: Introducon of rotavirus vaccines has resulted in a decrease in rotavirus related mortality and morbidity. We sought to conduct a meta-analysis to esmate the effect of rotavirus vaccine on incidence of diarrhoea. Methods: The MEDLINE database was searched through PubMed interface using both textword and subject headings (MeSH). The search strategies were [“rotavirus vaccine effecveness or “rotavirus vaccine efficacy or “rotavirus vaccine eff*]. The reference lists of the most recent studies idenfied by the search were checked for addional studies (if not already retrieved). We included both randomised trials and observaonal studies, which invesgated the effect of rotavirus vaccine on incidence of diarrhoea. Results: There was strong evidence of vaccine efficacy (70%) on incidence of diarrhoea (Pooled risk rao (pRR)=0.30; 95% confidence interval (CI)=(0.24,0.38); p<0.0001), with much lower vaccine efficacy (63%) in low-middle income countries (LMICs) (pRR=0.37; 95% CI=(56,69); p<0.0001). When restricted to severe diarrhoea outcome, we found 74% vaccine efficacy (pRR=0.26; 95% CI=(0.19,0.24); p<0.0001). For vaccine effecveness in LMICs, we found 53% vaccine effecveness (pRR=0.47; 95% CI=(0.36, 0.62); p<0.0001) for 1 dose; 61% effecveness (pRR=0.39; 95% CI=(0.32, 0.47); p<0.0001) for 2 doses and 72% effecveness (pRR=0.28; 95% CI=(0.14, 0.56); p<0.0001) for 3 doses. Conclusion: Incomplete dose series had lower vaccine effecveness than vaccine efficacy in LMICs where health system capacity is low. However, a 3-dose series had similar effecveness to vaccine efficacy, suggesng that a booster dose could present a potenal benefit in LMIC. Keywords: Meta-analysis; Efficacy; Effecveness; Rotarix; RotaTeq; Rotavirus vaccines Introducon Rotavirus associated diarrhoea has been a key contributor to the morbidity and mortality among children under 5 years of age worldwide [1] and low-middle income countries (LMICs) bear the greater burden. This problem has led to the widespread introducon of Rotarix (GlaxosmithKline Biologicals, Belgium) and RotaTeq (Merck, USA) vaccines into naonal immunizaon programmes. As of December 2017, 93 countries have done so at either naonal, sub-naonal or began phased introducon of the vaccines [2]. The World Health Organizaon (WHO) made this recommendaon aſter randomised clinical trials showed efficacy in high income countries (HICs) of between 80-95% [3-6]. Although subsequent trials from low and middle income countries (LMICs) showed much lower efficacy rates between 40 and 60% [7-10], the public health impact in these high burden sengs was sll compelling enough to connue the immunizaon campaigns. Several other vaccines are in the developmental and licensure phase such as Rotavin and RotaVac which have paral or restricted licensure in China, Vietnam and India [11,12]. Rotasil is another vaccine currently under development and was recently tested in Niger [13]. All have shown similar vaccine efficacy and effecveness trends in LMICs [11-14]. Much data on post licensure effecveness of rotavirus vaccines has been published on HICs which sll indicate how well rotavirus vaccines have worked. LMICs researchers are now also beginning to generate more informaon on vaccine effecveness in their respecve locaons that has shown that Research Article iMedPub Journals http://www.imedpub.com/ DOI: 10.4172/2573-0282.100060 Pediatric Infectious Diseases ISSN 2573-0282 Vol.3 No.1:4 2018 © Under License of Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License | This article is available from: https://pediatric-infectious-disease.imedpub.com/ 1

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Page 1: Efficacy and Effectiveness of Rotavirus Vaccine on ... · Efficacy and Effectiveness of Rotavirus Vaccine on Incidence of Diarrhoea among Children: A Meta-analysis Katayi Mwila-Kazimbaya1,2*,

Efficacy and Effectiveness of Rotavirus Vaccine on Incidence of Diarrhoea amongChildren: A Meta-analysisKatayi Mwila-Kazimbaya1,2*, Samuel Bosomprah1,3, Michelo Simuyandi1, Caroline C Chisenga1, RomaChilengi1,4 and Sody Munsaka2

1Center for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka2Department of Biomedical Sciences, School of Health Sciences, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia3Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Ghana, Legon, Accra, Ghana4School of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, North Carolina, U.S*Corresponding author: Kazimbaya KM, Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Department of Biomedical Sciences, School ofHealth Sciences, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia, Tel: +26 0211 242257-63; E-mail: [email protected]

Received date: January 18, 2018; Accepted date: January 31, 2018; Published date: February 2, 2018

Citation: Kazimbaya KM, Bosomprah S , Simuyandi M, Chisenga CC, Chilengi R, et al. (2018) Efficacy and Effectiveness of Rotavirus Vaccine onIncidence of Diarrhoea among Children: A Meta-analysis. Pediatric Infect Dis Vol.3, No.1: 4.

Copyright: ©2018 Kazimbaya KM, et al. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License,which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

AbstractBackground: Introduction of rotavirus vaccines has resultedin a decrease in rotavirus related mortality and morbidity.We sought to conduct a meta-analysis to estimate the effectof rotavirus vaccine on incidence of diarrhoea.

Methods: The MEDLINE database was searched throughPubMed interface using both textword and subject headings(MeSH). The search strategies were [“rotavirus vaccineeffectiveness” or “rotavirus vaccine efficacy” or “rotavirusvaccine eff*”]. The reference lists of the most recent studiesidentified by the search were checked for additional studies(if not already retrieved). We included both randomisedtrials and observational studies, which investigated theeffect of rotavirus vaccine on incidence of diarrhoea.

Results: There was strong evidence of vaccine efficacy (70%)on incidence of diarrhoea (Pooled risk ratio (pRR)=0.30; 95%confidence interval (CI)=(0.24,0.38); p<0.0001), with muchlower vaccine efficacy (63%) in low-middle income countries(LMICs) (pRR=0.37; 95% CI=(56,69); p<0.0001). Whenrestricted to severe diarrhoea outcome, we found 74%vaccine efficacy (pRR=0.26; 95% CI=(0.19,0.24); p<0.0001).For vaccine effectiveness in LMICs, we found 53% vaccineeffectiveness (pRR=0.47; 95% CI=(0.36, 0.62); p<0.0001) for1 dose; 61% effectiveness (pRR=0.39; 95% CI=(0.32, 0.47);p<0.0001) for 2 doses and 72% effectiveness (pRR=0.28;95% CI=(0.14, 0.56); p<0.0001) for 3 doses.

Conclusion: Incomplete dose series had lower vaccineeffectiveness than vaccine efficacy in LMICs where healthsystem capacity is low. However, a 3-dose series had similareffectiveness to vaccine efficacy, suggesting that a boosterdose could present a potential benefit in LMIC.

Keywords: Meta-analysis; Efficacy; Effectiveness; Rotarix;RotaTeq; Rotavirus vaccines

IntroductionRotavirus associated diarrhoea has been a key contributor to

the morbidity and mortality among children under 5 years of ageworldwide [1] and low-middle income countries (LMICs) bearthe greater burden. This problem has led to the widespreadintroduction of Rotarix™ (GlaxosmithKline Biologicals, Belgium)and RotaTeq™ (Merck, USA) vaccines into national immunizationprogrammes. As of December 2017, 93 countries have done soat either national, sub-national or began phased introduction ofthe vaccines [2]. The World Health Organization (WHO) madethis recommendation after randomised clinical trials showedefficacy in high income countries (HICs) of between 80-95%[3-6].

Although subsequent trials from low and middle incomecountries (LMICs) showed much lower efficacy rates between 40and 60% [7-10], the public health impact in these high burdensettings was still compelling enough to continue theimmunization campaigns. Several other vaccines are in thedevelopmental and licensure phase such as Rotavin™ andRotaVac™ which have partial or restricted licensure in China,Vietnam and India [11,12]. Rotasil™ is another vaccine currentlyunder development and was recently tested in Niger [13]. Allhave shown similar vaccine efficacy and effectiveness trends inLMICs [11-14].

Much data on post licensure effectiveness of rotavirusvaccines has been published on HICs which still indicate howwell rotavirus vaccines have worked. LMICs researchers are nowalso beginning to generate more information on vaccineeffectiveness in their respective locations that has shown that

Research Article

iMedPub Journalshttp://www.imedpub.com/

DOI: 10.4172/2573-0282.100060

Pediatric Infectious Diseases

ISSN 2573-0282Vol.3 No.1:4

2018

© Under License of Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License | This article is available from: https://pediatric-infectious-disease.imedpub.com/ 1

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vaccine responses have continued to be sub-optimal[7-10,15-17].

We will focus on consolidating vaccine efficacy andeffectiveness data for globally licensed vaccines Rotarix andRotaTeq in HICs and LMICs as well as some of the steps andareas that still need to be addressed in order to improve vaccineeffectiveness in LMICs.

Methods

Search strategy for identification of studiesThe MEDLINE database was searched through PubMed

interface using both textword and subject headings (MeSH). Thesearch strategies were [“rotavirus vaccine effectiveness” or“rotavirus vaccine efficacy” or “rotavirus vaccine eff*”], whichretrieved 858 studies. The reference lists of the most recentstudies identified by the search were checked for additionalstudies (if not already retrieved).

Criteria for including studies for the reviewIn the efficacy analysis we included randomised clinical trials

reporting efficacy of Rotarix (RV1) and RotaTeq (RV5). In theeffectiveness analysis we included observational studiesreporting population effectiveness of Rotarix (RV1) or RotaTeq(RV5) against hospital admission for rotavirus gastroenteritis(RVGE) or acute gastroenteritis (AGE) for incomplete andcomplete doses in all countries regardless of whether they areincluded in national immunisation programmes or privatelyoffered. Duplicates were removed, as were cost effective,genotype specific, impact, methodological and review articles,leaving 68 articles for inclusion in the analysis. Efficacy dataincluded overall efficacy and severe rotavirus relatedgastroenteritis, whilst effectiveness data included efficacyagainst hospital admission. All studies published until October2017 was eligible for inclusion.

Data extractionTwo authors (K.M-K, SB) extracted data from the studies using

data extraction form designed to capture relevant data for thispurpose and the differences (if any) were reconciled. For theefficacy studies, the measure of effect for the meta-analysis wasrisk ratio (RR), which measures cumulative incidence moreaccurately. For studies that reported odds ratio, we recalculatedrisk ratios by reconstructing the 2×2 tables from data in theoriginal paper because odds ratios usually overestimate riskratios especially where the incidence of the outcome is common(>10%).

The recalculation was convenient because efficacy studies arerequired to report the unadjusted result as primary analysis [18].For the effectiveness studies, we did not recalculate themeasure of effect because the primary analysis was adjustedeffect. All studies measured diarrhoea severity using Vesikariscores of 11 [19] or Clarke score of 16 [20]. We followed the

preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analysis (PRISMA) in the conduct of this review. Severediarrhoea was defined as Vesikari score of 11 or greater. Anydiarrhoea was defined as mild or moderate or severe.

Statistical analysisWe calculated a weighted average of the effect measures

across studies using ‘metan’ command in Stata. Forest plot wasalso presented. The ‘metan’ command is flexible for anymeasure of effect because it requires either the frequencies ofevents in exposed and unexposed group (the approach we usedin the efficacy studies) or the logarithm of the effect measureand its standard error (the approach we used in theeffectiveness studies). For studies that reported zero events, wereplaced the zeros with 0.5 before performing the meta-analysis.For the effectiveness studies, we calculated the standard errorof the log-risk ratio or log-odds ratio by back-transforming therelevant confidence intervals as reported in the papers. Studiesconducted in different epidemiological settings are likely to vary,so we performed a chi-squared test of heterogeneity.

If there was evidence of heterogeneity, the individual studyeffect estimates were combined using random effects meta-analysis, which incorporates between-study variability in theweighting. P-values less than 0.05 were considered to showstrong evidence of association. Published studies may not berepresentative of all valid studies undertaken and this can biasmeta-analysis. We assessed publication bias using Harbord'smodified test for small-study effects [21]. All analyses wereperformed using Stata 15 MP (StatCorp, College Station, TX,USA).

Results

Overview of included studiesThe search identified a total of 858 studies out of which 228

were duplicates (Figure 1). Of the 630 non-duplicated studies,we excluded 98 cost-effectiveness, 67 genotype specific, 13impact, 21 reviews, and 7 methodological studies leaving a totalof 424 studies. After applying the eligibility criteria, we furtherexcluded 357 studies leaving a total of 67 full text articles foranalysis out of which 16 were severe RVGE efficacy, 4 overallefficacy, and 47 efficacy against hospital admission studies(Figure 1).

Characteristics of included studies27 studies investigated the efficacy of rotavirus vaccine on

incidence of diarrhoea, out of which 7 studies investigated theoverall efficacy of the vaccines [22-31] while 20 studiesinvestigated efficacy on severe diarrhoea (Table 1) [4,5,31-45].23 studies were in LMICs while 4 studies were in HICscontributing a total sample size of 135,486 (Table 1). Data fromthe HICs included data from multicenter trials that was not

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disaggregated by country. 13 investigated RV1 and 6investigated RV5 (Table 1).

Table 1: Features of studies included in vaccine efficacy analysis

Reference

Country/Region Demo

VaccineType

SampleSize

Loss toFollow Up

StudyDuration(months)

Efficacy

VaccinatedNoDiarrhoea

VaccinatedDiarrhoea

Non-VaccinatedNoDiarrhoea

Non-VaccinatedDiarrhoea

Araujo etal. [82] Brazil LMIC RV1 2155 1 8 64.5 460 22 130 19

Armah etal. [10]

Ghana, Maliand Kenya LMIC RV5 5468 134 17.5 64.2 2712 21 2735 58

Armah etal. [10] Ghana LMIC RV5 5468 134 18.2 65 3255 15 3235 42

Armah etal. [10] Mali LMIC RV5 5468 134 18.2 1 2835 4 2844 4

Armah etal. [10] Kenya LMIC RV5 5468 134 16 83.4 1892 2 1876 12

Bhandariet al. [26] India LMIC Rotavac 4532 101 20 56.3 4298 56 2123 64

Cunliffeet al.[27] Malawi LMIC RV1 9 19 49.7 989 41 445 38

Feikin etal. [33] Kenya LMIC RV5 1308 185 7 83.4 569 2 552 12

Iwata etal. [28] Japan HIC RV5 762 4 7 100 355 0 346 10

Lau et al.[31]

China, HongKong LMIC RV1 3025 20 100 1494 0 1491 8

Li et al.[32] China LMIC RV1 3333 13 24 75 1567 8 1541 32

Linhareset al. [32] Latin America LMIC RV1

14286 248 20 83.1 7195 10 7023 58

Madhi etal. [94] SA and Malawi LMIC RV1 4939 206 12 61.2 2918 56 1373 70

Madhi etal. [94] South Africa LMIC RV1 973 206 12 81.5 1929 15 928 32

Madhi etal. [94] Malawi LMIC RV1 505 206 12 49.7 989 41 445 38

Mo et al.[35] China LMIC RV5 4040 1 12 78.9 1916 11 1885 52

Phua etal.[29,31]

Hong Kong,Singapore andTaiwan HIC RV1

10519 155 21 96.1 5261 1 5205 51

Ruiz-Palacioset al. [4] Latin America LMIC RV1

20169 239 12 84.8 8997 12 8781 77

Sow etal. [22] Mali LMIC RV5 1960 36 12 1 782 41 754 71

Tregnaghi et al.[38] Latin America LMIC RV1 6568 34 7.4 81.6 4204 7 2080 19

Vesikariet al.[101] Europe HIC RV1 3994 23 5.7 95.8 2567 5 1242 60

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Vesikariet al.[101] European HIC RV1 3874 23 5.7 95.7 2568 4 1254 48

Zamanet al. [25]

Bangladeshand Vietnam LMIC RV5 2036 7 21 51 953 38 907 71

Zamanet al. [25] Bangladesh LMIC RV5 7 21 45.7 953 17 907 31

Zamanet al. [25] Vietnam LMIC RV5 7 21 72.3 953 2 907 7

Zamanet al. [25] Bangladesh LMIC RV1

12318 42.8 5784 53 5066 101

Zamanet al. [25] Bangladesh LMIC RV1

12318 7 24 41.5 5735 102 4995 172

47 studies investigated vaccine effectiveness (Table 2)[5-16,40-77]. 29 studies were from HICs[5,47,48,60-62,72-74,78-84] and 18 were from LMICs (Table 2)[7-16,40-47,50-54,67-79]. 20 studies evaluated RV1, 10 studiesevaluated RV5 and 11 studies evaluated the use of either RV1 orRV5. The total sample size across all the studies was 777,809(Table 2).

Figure 1: Flow diagram for identification of eligible trials.

Vaccine efficacy on incidence of diarrhoea (severeand/or any)

There was evidence of substantial variability between studies(I2=74.4%, p<0.0001) with about 74.4% of the pooled between-study heterogeneity attributable to the variability in the trueeffect (Figure 2A). There was strong evidence of vaccine efficacy(70%) on incidence of diarrhoea (Pooled risk ratio (pRR)=0.30;95% confidence interval (CI)=(0.24, 0.38); p<0.0001) (Figure 2A).

Table 2: Features of studies included in vaccine effectivenessanalysis.

ReferenceCountry/Region

Demo

SampleSize

VaccineType

Abeid et al. [52] ZanzibarLMIC 805 RV1

Adlhoch et al. [59] Germany HIC 368 RV1/RV5

Araki et al. [65] Japan HIC RV1/RV5

Armah et al. [101] GhanaLMIC 657 RV1

Beres et al. [7] ZambiaLMIC 529 RV1

Boom et al. [48] USA HIC 205 RV5

Braeckman et al.[45] Belgium HIC 431 RV1

Cardellino et al. [75] NicaraguaLMIC RV5

Castilla et al. [57] Spain HIC 6792 RV1/RV5

Chang et al. [55] China HIC 1088 RV1

Chang et al. [55] China HIC RV5

Cortese et al. [44] USA- RV1 HIC 593 RV1

Cortese et al. [44] USA-RV5 HIC 593 RV5

Cotes-Cantillo et al.[42] Colombia

LMIC 974 RV1

de Palma et al. [40] El SalvadorLMIC 323 RV1

Desai et al. [63] USA HIC 122 RV1/RV5

Field et al. [72] Australia HIC 459 RV5

Fujii et al. [62] Japan HIC 244 RV1/RV5

Gastanaduy et al.[83] Botswana

LMIC 610 RV1

Gastanaduy et al.[83] Guatemala

LMIC 1417 RV1/RV5

Gheorghita et al. [85] MoldovaLMIC 957 RV1

Gosselin et al. [60] Canda HIC 11203 RV1/RV5

Groome et al. [81] South AfricaLMIC 1974 RV1

Ichihara et al. [46] BrazilLMIC 2176 RV1

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Justino et al. [54] BrazilLMIC 1045 RV1

Leshem et al. [69] Israel HIC 515 RV5

Marlow et al. [64] Portugal HIC RV1/RV5

Martinon-Torres etal. [58] Spain HIC 467 RV1/RV5

Mast et al. [71,73] NicaraguaLMIC 1092 RV5

Muhsen et al. [53] Israel HIC 327 RV1

Patel et al. [67] NicaraguaLMIC 975 RV5

Patel et al. [67] BoliviaLMIC 2318 RV1

Payne et al. [68] USA HIC 904 RV1

Payne et al. [68] USA HIC 2961 RV5

Perez-Vilar et al. [80] Spain HIC 174744 RV1

Perez-Vilar et al. [80] Spain HIC 174744 RV5

Pringle et al. [10] BoliviaLMIC 776 RV1

Sahakyan et al. [81] AremeniaLMIC 486 RV1

Snelling et al. [41] Australia HIC 208 RV1

Staat et al.[68] USA HIC 833 RV5

Tate et al. [84] RwandaLMIC 200 RV5

Tharmaphornpilas etal. [61] Thailand HIC 2893 RV1/RV5

Vesikari et al. [101] Finland HIC 509 RV5

Wang et al. [71] USA HIC 59307 RV5

Wang et al. [71] USA HIC 146237 RV5

Yang et al. [76] Taiwan HIC 201

Yeung et al. [66] Japan HIC 404 RV1/RV5

When stratified by country income status, we observed strongevidence of vaccine efficacy (96%) in HICs (pRR=0.04; 95%CI=(93, 98); p<0.0001) while an efficacy of 63% was observed inLMICs (pRR=0.37; 95% CI=(56, 69); p<0.0001) (Figure 2A). Weobserved evidence of publication bias in terms of small-studyeffect (bias=-2.55; Harbord’s modified test p=0.017) (Figure 2B).When restricted to severe diarrhoea as the outcome, we alsofound strong evidence of vaccine efficacy (74%) (pRR=0.26; 95%CI=(0.19,0.24); p<0.0001) (Figure 3). For any diarrhoea outcome,the efficacy was 53% (pRR=0.47; 95% CI=(0.36,0.60); p<0.0001)(Figure 4).

In a secondary analysis to assess the efficacy of specificvaccine type, we found similar results. RV1 showed an efficacy of76% (pRR=0.24; 95% CI=(0.17, 0.33) while RV5 showed anefficacy of 60% (pRR=0.40; 95% CI=(0.31, 0.53) (Figure 5).

Figure 2A: Efficacy of rotavirus vaccine on incidence ofdiarrhoea (severe and any) by country income status. ESrepresents the estimated risk ratio, I2 is a measure ofheterogeneity between studies. LMIC represents low andmiddle income countries and HIC represents high incomecountries. RV1=Rotarix and RV5=RotaTeq.

Figure 2B: Funnel plot assessing small-study effect for thevaccine efficacy studies.

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Figure 3: Efficacy of rotavirus vaccine on incidence of severeRVGE by country income status. ES represents the estimatedrisk ratio, I2 is a measure of heterogeneity between studies.LMIC represents low and middle income countries and HICrepresents high income countries. RV1=Rotarix andRV5=RotaTeq.

Figure 4: Efficacy of rotavirus vaccine on incidence of anydiarrhoea by country income status. ES represents theestimated risk ratio, I2 is a measure of heterogeneity betweenstudies. LMIC represents low and middle income countriesand HIC represents high income countries. RV1=Rotarix andRV5=RotaTeq.

Vaccine effectiveness on incidence of diarrhoeaIn assessing the effect of rotavirus vaccine in real world

setting, we found strong evidence of about 78% reduction inincidence of diarrhoea due to the vaccine (pRR=0.22; 95%CI=(0.18, 0.28); p<0.0001).

This effect was influenced by the number of vaccine doses;we observed that as the number of dose increases so does thevaccine effectiveness (Figures 6A-6C). For 1 vaccine dose, thevaccine effectiveness in LMIC was 53% (pRR=0.47; 95% CI=(0.36,0.62); p<0.0001) (Figure 6A). For 2 doses, the effectiveness inLMIC was 61% (pRR=0.39; 95% CI=(0.32, 0.47); p<0.0001)(Figure 6B). For 3 doses, the effectiveness in LMIC was 72%(pRR=0.28; 95% CI=(0.14, 0.56); p<0.0001) (Figure 6C).

Figure 5: Vaccine efficacy by vaccine type. ES represents theestimated risk ratio, I2 is a measure of heterogeneity betweenstudies. LMIC represents low and middle income countriesand HIC represents high income countries. RV 1=Rotarix andRV5=RotaTeq.

Figure 6A: Vaccine Effectiveness analysis by Income status for1 Dose of Vaccine. ES represents the estimated risk ratio, I2 isa measure of heterogeneity between studies. LMICrepresents low and middle income countries and HICrepresents high income countries. RV1=Rotarix andRV5=RotaTeq.

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Figure 6B: Vaccine Effectiveness analysis by Income status for2 Doses of Vaccine. ES represents the estimated risk ratio, I2 isa measure of heterogeneity between studies. LMICrepresents low and middle income countries and HICrepresents high income countries. RV1=Rotarix andRV5=RotaTeq.

Figure 6C: Vaccine Effectiveness analysis by Income status for3 Doses of Vaccine. ES represents the estimated risk ratio, I2 isa measure of heterogeneity between studies. LMICrepresents low and middle income countries and HICrepresents high income countries. RV1=Rotarix andRV5=RotaTeq.

DiscussionResults from both the efficacy and effectiveness trials show

that rotavirus vaccines have been effective in reducing thescourge of rotavirus associated diarrhoea. Our analysis was ableto consolidate data that shows HICs have consistently higher

efficacy and effectiveness rates than LMICs; and is true for bothRV1 and RV5.

Effectiveness data from real world setting results have alsoindicated that incomplete vaccine series are able to providesome protection to infants though to a lesser extent than acomplete series. The incomplete series had a much lowereffectiveness in LMIC than vaccine efficacy in LMIC. Incompleteseries is common in LMICs where inadequate health facilitiesand long distances to health facilities exist. We found that a 3-dose vaccine series had effect similar to vaccine efficacy in LMIC,making it a logical argument for a booster dose especially inLMICs.

Improved vaccine effectiveness: Terrain à forteThe differences in efficacy and effectiveness in HICs and LMICs

however still remain the main discussion point as there is needfor further reduction in rotavirus associated mortality andmorbidity [85]. Various factors have been postulated ascontributing to this observed effect. Host factors such asgenetics, malnutrition, enteric environmental dysfunction (EED),maternal factors such as antibodies passed onto the infant,various components of breast milk, exposure to HIV and otherenvironmental factors including poor sanitation, concurrentinfection with other pathogens have all been postulated toinfluence vaccine effectiveness [86-97].

Another factor postulated to possibly have an effect is straindiversity in HICs and LMICs. Both RV1 and RV5 are vaccinesoriginally designed by HIC researchers from strains present inHIC regions. However, research has indicated that the vaccinesare not strain specific but cross-cutting without evidence ofvaccine induced selection pressure [43,98,99]. Nonetheless, theincreased strain diversity being observed in many LMICs requiresseroepidemiological vigilance to ensure tracking of any emergingstrains such as P[4]G2 that may account for reduced efficacythrough limited cross protection [100-104].

Despite greater understanding of contributing factors toreduced vaccine efficacy, we are faced with the fact that a lot ofthese factors are almost impossible to resolve. The highmaternal immunity that is passed onto the child is aconsequence of where one lives and poor water, sanitation andhygiene (WASH) that cannot easily be changed. Unless this isaddressed, mothers will continue to pass these, on to theirinfants. The same applies to the EED; in order to change themicro biome that exists in individuals, it will requireinterventions that address which organisms are first introducedinto the system. Additionally in low income settings with lowavailability of funds, the use of formula is not a feasible solutionto address the issue of maternal antibodies passed onto thechild during breast feeding.

Genetic makeup has also been included in the list of factorsaffecting vaccine effectiveness. Despite advances in science,genetics is still a growing area and we have not yet reached apoint where we can change ones genetic code if one is pre-disposed towards a disease even in the developed settings.Thus, genetic predisposition is another unsolvable in the questfor better vaccine effectiveness. Another key area is that of

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mal(nutrition) in LMICs. Again, despite great efforts being madeworldwide, the magnitude of this problem renders it unsolvablefor years to come. Unless we can find a world in which allchildren are able to have sufficient food and the right kind offood, this too shall remain a hindrance to our efforts to obtainbetter vaccine effectiveness.

Future perspectivesDespite the many hindrances to achieving better vaccine

effectiveness in LMICs there are still many other areas that areavailable to work on. The next generation of vaccines can betargeted to areas that maybe within our control such asalternative routes of administration; short course full doseregimen. The ease of use and lower cost of oral vaccines is themain reason for their inclusion in national immunisationprogrammes. However, the large number of interfering factorshas led us to reassess their use. As is the case with Polio, we mayhave to go the parenteral route to effectively circumvent theproblems encountered via the oral route [105].

Another way of dealing with interference is the adjustment ofthe vaccine schedule; a neonatal dosing schedule has beenproposed as potentially beneficial to improved vaccineimmunogenicity [106,107]. A booster dose has also beenproposed as viable option for enhanced vaccine immuneresponses of current vaccines in use [108]. While use of theexpanded programme on immunization (EPI) was recommendedin order to reach as many infants as possible, there may belarger benefits in offering immunization options outside of thisschedule. This could be in the form of changing the time to oneat which maternal antibodies are waning or as early as possibleto ensure adequate protection from early exposure.Nonetheless, these options need to be weighed against thechallenge of low coverage in LMIC [109], when venturing outsideof the EPI.

Lastly, use of effective adjuvants has not been fully exploredin rotavirus immunology [110]. This is particularly key whenconsidering neonates in whom the immune system is naïve[111,112]; and yet it’s a practical window to beat the earlyexposure of infants to pathogens [88].

ConclusionWhile current rotavirus vaccines have saved many lives in

LMIC settings, there are still clear gaps in vaccine performance.This paper has comprehensively shown the differences and needfor concerted effort to improve vaccine performance in theseareas where in fact, vaccines are most needed.

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Pediatric Infectious Diseases

ISSN 2573-0282 Vol.3 No.1:4

2018

© Under License of Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License 11