Eec0808 Ccx Overview

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    1/28

    August 8, 2008Stephen McComb

    Chicago Climate Exchange, Inc. 2007

    conom s

    312-229-5134

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    2/28

    In r i n X

    Structure of the Market

    Example revenue Risk management and project finance

    Chicago Climate Exchange, Inc. 2007

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    3/28

    Proven, least-cost, and comprehensive tool for managing emissions:

    Environmental stewardship that rewards environmental innovationand strate ic lannin

    Flexibility, market efficiencies

    Multiple successes: US SO2, lead phase-out (gasoline), NOx, ETS

    Establish value to scares resource

    Reveals true cost of emissions

    Chicago Climate Exchange, Inc. 2007

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    4/28

    Chicago Climate Exchange (CCX) , , , ,

    European Climate Exchange (ECX) FSA-regulated futures market for European CO2 Allowances Launched April, 2005 accounts for 80-90% of total exchange traded volume in the EU ETS

    Chicago Climate Futures Exchange (CCFE) CFTC-regulated futures exchange for U.S. SO2 allowances

    Launched in December 2004, worlds first environmental derivatives exchange

    Montreal Climate Exchange (MCeX) Joint venture with the Montreal Bourse To host Canadian GHG trading, other environmental markets

    Multi-Commodit Exchan e MCX

    Agreement with MCX to trade European Carbon Financial Instruments in India

    Insurance Futures Exchange (IFEX) Catastrophic event linked futures Launched in 2008

    Chicago Climate Exchange, Inc. 2007

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    5/28

    What is Chicago Climate Exchange?prem er an un que nanc a ns u on es gne o a vance us ness, env ronmen a an soc a goa s.

    Chicago Climate Exchange (CCX) is the worlds ,

    legally binding integrated trading system to reduceemissions of all six greenhouse gases, with offset

    worldwide.

    Chicago Climate Exchange, Inc. 2007

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    6/28

    To create shareholder value

    To limit threats to shareholder liability

    To demonstrate corporate and environmental

    transparency

    To obtain first-mover advantage in emissions trading

    Chicago Climate Exchange, Inc. 2007

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    7/28

    CCX

    Members are leaders in their sectorsA Selection:

    Chicago Climate Exchange, Inc. 2007

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    8/28

    400

    540

    400

    500

    nsCO2

    Live Market

    300

    245

    237

    232

    174

    71

    1200

    300

    edMi

    llionMetricto

    Market in development

    Under discussion

    15

    130

    94

    86

    71

    60

    56

    45

    37

    33

    31

    30

    29

    22

    22

    19

    11

    9 4 3

    15

    0

    100

    X y a d y n eI) c s e d l k a y d a a a a g

    Hund

    C

    C

    German

    Canad

    UnitedKingd

    o

    Polan

    Ital

    Australi

    Sp

    ai

    Franc

    USNEStates(RG

    Califor

    ni

    CzechRepu

    bli

    TheNetherland

    Greec

    Belgiu

    NewSouthWale

    Finlan

    Portu

    g

    Austri

    Denm

    a

    Slova

    ki

    Hungar

    Swed

    e

    Irelan

    Esto

    ni

    Lithua

    ni

    Slove

    ni

    Latvi

    Luxembor

    Chicago Climate Exchange, Inc. 2007

    20122003 start 2009

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    9/28

    Chicago Climate Exchange, Inc. 2007

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    10/28

    Phase I: Members made legally binding commitments to reduce or trade 1% per year from 2003-2006,

    for a total of 4% below baseline.

    Baseline = Avg. emissions from 1998-2001, emissions in 2000 (Phase II)

    Phase II: Members make a legally binding commitments to reduce to 6% below baseline by 2010.

    Chicago Climate Exchange, Inc. 2007

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    11/28

    CCX employs independent verification throughout itsgreen ouse gas re uct on an tra ng system to

    guarantee transparency, rigor and integrity, and to provideMembers with standardized procedures for managing

    .

    Corporate Inventories: et o o og es FINRA Verification

    set ro ects: Accepted Methodologies (CCX, CDM etc.) Approved Expert Verification

    Chicago Climate Exchange, Inc. 2007

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    12/28

    CCX Comprehensive Market Structure

    Electronic Market Registry Comprehensive Rules System

    Emitters: Standard baseline,multi-year allowance stream

    Offset Providers (project credits) Emission audits, project verification Liquidity Providers Associate Members

    Web-

    accessibleElectronic

    Trading

    Chicago Climate Exchange, Inc. 2007

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    13/28

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    14/28

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    15/28

    Verified offset ro ects se uester or eliminate GHGs to

    earn CFI contracts sold on CCX electronic platform toCCX Membership.

    Current pre-defined offset categories:

    Methane destruction: Landfills, agricultural operations

    Carbon sequestration: forests, soils (conservation tillage,grassland planting, rangeland management)

    Energy efficiency Renewable energy

    Chicago Climate Exchange, Inc. 2007

    t ers case y case

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    16/28

    Methane Emissions in Context: US 2006 CO2

    qu va en m ss ons n on e r c ons

    CH4; 555.3; 8% N20; 367.9; 5%

    HFC, PFC, SF6;

    147.8; 2%

    CO2; 5983.1; 85%

    Chicago Climate Exchange, Inc. 2007

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    17/28

    Landfill, coal mine and agricultural methane capture and combustion

    Projects operational on or after January 1, 1999

    Voluntary installation that is not required by law

    Crediting Rate: 18.25 mt CO2 per mt CH4 destroyed

    Chicago Climate Exchange, Inc. 2007

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    18/28

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    19/28

    Afforestation Avoided Deforestation

    ,or degraded

    Commitment 15 years agreement

    Deforestation and Forest Degradation)

    Forest loss accounting for 20% of globalwarming / GHG emissions

    Offsets for increase in carbon 2003- 2010period

    Above and below ground biomass

    Increases in soil carbon

    Must occur in tropical, developing countrywith inadequate institutional support

    Must account for leakage incurred by

    Quantification based tables (DOE 1605btables)

    Maintain 20% of earned offsets reserve pool

    installation of project

    Must have biodiversity and communitybenefits

    reversals

    Verification:

    10% in-field sample of both acreage

    Crediting for counterfactual emissions rateof what would occur had project not been

    implemented

    Chicago Climate Exchange, Inc. 2007

    an enro men

    Beginning, end and periodicverification

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    20/28

    Managed Forests Long Lived Wood

    Baseline stock 2002 or 2006

    Proof of sustainable forest management

    Some carbon remains sequestered in wood

    products after harvest

    Credit for the fraction of stored carbon after, ,

    Offsets issued: Growth Harvest + Long Lived

    Wood

    100yrs

    Proof of sustainable forest management PEFC:ATF, SFI, FSC

    Annual quantification based on CCX approvedmodel

    Carbon rights must be retained through salescontract,

    dispositions, harvesting and catastrophic losses

    20% of issuance place into reserve pool

    Chicago Climate Exchange, Inc. 2007

    Long term maintenance of land under forestry

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    21/28

    Ozone Depleting Substance

    Eligibility: n y t ose p ase -out o

    production

    Offset Issuance: Based in the GWP of the ODS (high

    GWP between 144 and 10,720)

    Resides with party paying for

    destruction

    Verification: Destruction in the U.S. in compliance

    with CAAA and RCRA requirements

    Chicago Climate Exchange, Inc. 2007

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    22/28

    Value of Landfill Gas Capture and

    Hypothetical landfill: 500 scfm or ~0.75 mmcf/da

    50% methane

    2,779 metric tons methane annually* , me r c ons 2 equ va en es roye

    $203,000 annually at a $4.00/metric ton CO2

    *

    Chicago Climate Exchange, Inc. 2007

    ase on a cu a or

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    23/28

    Same H othetical Landfill

    1.4 MW generation capacity 90% Capacity factor

    11,038 MWh/year

    4,415 tons of CO2 awarded Power Revenue ~ $552,000 (at $50/MWh)

    Carbon Revenue ~ $18,000 (at $4.00/mtCO2)

    Carbon revenue increases total return on power projectb 3%

    Chicago Climate Exchange, Inc. 2007

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    24/28

    Risk: Risk Mana ement at CCX:

    1. Market Rules Volatility 1. Standardized, published-

    approval, known

    verification

    2. Market Volatility 2. Use of Futures and

    . ro ec eve opmenCosts

    Chicago Climate Exchange, Inc. 2007

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    25/28

    Hypothetical Project online December 2009 ~ ~ , First full year of verified tons end December 2009

    Toda ou can: Sell short (promise to deliver) 50 futures contracts (each 1,000t) Lock in a price of $4.35 per ton

    Tons delivered in Dec 2009

    Today you can:

    Guarantees floor price of $4.00/ton for a cost of $1.50/ton If price is higher than $2.50/ton in December 2009 you simply let the

    option expire unexercised

    Chicago Climate Exchange, Inc. 2007

    .option and ensure revenue of $4.00/ton less option cost of $1.50 =

    $2.50

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    26/28

    $7.00 30,000,000

    2008Q1

    2008Q2

    $5.00

    $6.00 25,000,000

    $4.00

    15,000,000

    20,000,000

    2006 Q2

    2007Q1

    2007Q3

    2007Q4 2008Q3$2.00

    .

    5 000 000

    10,000,000

    2006 Q1 2006Q3 2006Q42007Q2

    $0.00

    .

    0

    Chicago Climate Exchange, Inc. 2007

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    27/28

    Summary and Conclusions

    Market is here at CCX

    Market may be national and international

    EUA value exceeds US Corn, US Soybean and US Wheatcrop

    EUA is

  • 8/8/2019 Eec0808 Ccx Overview

    28/28

    Stephen McComb- -

    [email protected]

    Chicago Climate Exchange, Inc. 2007