Economic Development and MDG Achievement Efforts in Indonesia and Malaysia

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    Economic Development and MillenniumDevelopment Goal Achievement Efforts

    in Indonesia and Malaysia:A Comparative Study

    Group D

    Nidya Kartikasari MEP06055

    Yasir Niti Samudro MEP06069Etjih Tasriah MET06072

    Mochammad Hadi Pratomo MET06080

    Meenachi Muniandy MEY06123

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    Economic Development and MillenniumDevelopment Goal Achievement Efforts

    in Indonesia and Malaysia:A Comparative Study

    Outline

    1. Culture and Historical Background

    2. Profile of Indonesia and Malaysia in 1970

    3. Profile of Indonesia and Malaysia in 2004

    4. Political Comparison

    5. Economic Development Comparison

    6. Achieving Millennium Development Goals

    7. Challenges and Prospects

    8. Conclusion

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    World Map

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    Geographical Location

    Indonesia

    Area: 1,919,400 sq Km (5x of Japan)Population: 225 millions (300 ethnics,742 languages & dialects)Archipelago (17,508 islands)

    Climate: Tropical, Humid

    Malaysia

    Area: 329,750 sq Km (1x of Japan)Population: 25 millions (Malay,Chinese, Indian)Peninsula, 2 main landscape

    Climate: Tropical, Monsoons

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    Commons and Similarities Language Malayo-Polynesian

    Majority Muslim population Culture Influenced by a number of religions such as Islam,

    Hinduism and Buddhism.

    Natural resources (agriculture, minerals, forestry)

    Colonized by European (Anglo-Dutch Treaty in 1824)

    - VOC/Dutch Indonesia and British Malaysia

    http://travel.yahoo.com/p-travelguide-191501632-action-pictures-bali_vacations-i-tgphotoid-990674;_ylt=ArUECGt1JjCRAviscp4oL3RAFWoL
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    Indonesia

    Various autonomouskingdoms existed basedon ethnics.

    War and conflict amongkingdoms Trade of Spices &

    Agricultural product asmain income

    Migration of the Indian,Arabian, and Chinese intoIndonesia attracted bytrade & religion

    Malaysia Some autonomous

    kingdoms existed

    Relatively stable

    Trade of Spices &Agricultural product asmain income

    Migration of the Arabian,Indian and Chinese intoMalaysia attracted bytrade & religion

    Period of Pre-Colonialism

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    Period of Pre-Colonialism

    Prosperity Period of Nusantara

    Spice Trade

    Strategic Location between the East and West

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    Period of Pre-Colonialism

    Prosperity Period of Nusantara

    attracted Europeans to invade Indonesia and Malaysia Anglo-Dutch Treaty in 1824- VOC/Dutch Indonesia and

    - British Malaysia

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Vascodagama.JPG
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    Indonesia

    Migration of the Chinese,Arabs and Indian

    Social hierarchy ranks

    Development of plantationeconomy (Cultivationsystem)

    War and conflict

    Introduced of basicmodern governmentaladministration

    Migration of European intoIndonesia

    Malaysia

    Migration of Chinese andIndian

    Divide and rule betweenthe ethnics

    Structured reform

    Relatively stable

    Introduced well-designedand modern governmentaladministration

    Migration of European intoMalaysia

    Period of Colonialism

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    Indonesia

    Declare independence in

    1945

    Lost decade (1945-1955)

    Revolution Period Autocrat and Revolutionary

    leadership style

    First democracy electionsin 1955

    Began to focus oneconomic development inthe1960s

    Major exports of rubber,

    palm oil, tea, pepper

    Malaysia Independence was

    granted by British in1957

    Economic reform pre

    independence MalayaPlan 1956

    First democracy electionwas in 1951

    Focused on stateinvestment in industry andinfrastructure

    Major exports of rubber,

    tin and palm oil.

    Period of Post-Colonialism

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    Indonesia(Soehartos Era)

    Malaysia

    Government Type Presidential democracy Parliamentary democracy

    GovernmentsFocus

    Anti-communism, pro-West,ASEAN+3

    to stabilize the country, pro-growth

    Pro-West, ASEAN+3, Mainaim to maintain the ethnicharmony

    Governments

    Characteristics

    State-military control and autocraticleader

    Democracy (Present)

    Autocracy with strongexecutive branch

    Governments

    Functioned

    Co-opting the unions andcontrolling the indigenous elite

    Providing growth and stiflingcriticism

    State-Laborrelations

    Antagonistic, co-opted Antagonistic; union powermostly eviscerated

    Post-Independence

    Political Environment Comparison

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    Indonesia

    Population: 134.4 million

    GDP growth: 7.55%

    Population below poverty

    line: 54.2 million (1976) Population below poverty

    line (%): 40.1% (1976)

    Unemployment: 7.8%

    HDI Index: 0.464

    Malaysia

    Population: 12.3 million

    GDP growth: 7.1%

    Population below

    poverty line: 6.06 million

    Population belowpoverty line (%): 49.3%

    Unemployment:7.4%

    HDI Index: 0.615

    Key Indicators in 1970s

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    Indonesia

    Population:223 million

    GDP: US$ 254.3billion

    GNI per capita: US$ 1,130

    GDP growth: 5.6% Population below poverty

    line: 36.2 million

    Population below poverty

    line (%): 16.7% Unemployment: 10.3%

    HDI Index: 0.711

    Malaysia Population: 25.6 million

    GDP: US$ 118.3 billion

    GNI per capita: US$ 4,520

    GDP growth: 7.2% Population below poverty

    line: 1.46 million

    Population below poverty

    line (%): 5.7% Unemployment: 3.5%

    HDI Index: 0.805

    Key Indicators in 2004

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    Indonesia Malaysia

    Overall regime State-controlledindustrialization

    Private sector driveneconomy with thegovernment as facilitator

    Foreign DirectInvestment

    Yes Yes

    Market Reform Deregulation and marketliberalization

    Deregulation and marketliberalization

    Monetary Policy Price stabilization and defenseof foreign reserves

    State spending throughdomestic borrowing

    Exchange RatePolicy

    Dual rate that favoredexporters; managed peg XR;managed float

    Before 1997 free float1997 pegged to US dollar

    2005 - managed float

    Tax Policy Manipulated regularly to targetspecific sectors or industries

    identified by government

    Excise duties on petroleumexports; tax policy used as a

    tool to target sectors.

    Economic Policy Comparison

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    Government DevelopmentExpenditure (%)

    Sector 1969 1979 1989 2000 2004

    Social 6.0 15.5 19.6 20.3 21.6

    Health 2.6 3.5 3.4 4.1 3.8

    Education 6.8 9.0 10.9 10.8 14

    Sector 1970 1980 1990 2000 2003

    SocialServices

    11.2 15.9 24.5 39.6 45.0

    Health 2.8 1.1 4.3 4.6 6.8

    Education 6.1 7.5 15.3 25.4 25.9

    Indonesia

    Malaysia Sources: Hill, H. 1996, Bappenas

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    Achieving MDGsSuccess & Challenges

    Goal 1 Eradicate poverty and hunger

    Malaysia

    Reduced poverty from49.3% in 1970 to 5.1% in

    2004 Strategies:-Agriculture and ruraldevelopment

    -Labor-intensive export

    industrialization

    - Channeling of publicinvestment into education,health and basicinfrastructure

    Indonesia

    Reduced poverty from 40.1%in 1976 to 16.7% in 2004 Strategies:-Broad rural development-Food self-sufficiency program-Wealth distribution (pro-equity)development-Govt expansion on public

    infrastructure esp. oneducation, health, road, energyChallenges-Increasing inequality betweencities and rural areas- Lower HDI compared to

    neighborhood countries

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    Relationship of Growth and Poverty inIndonesia

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    Achieving MDGsSuccess & Challenges

    Goal 2 Achieve Universal Primary Education

    Malaysia

    In 1970, 1/3 neverattended school By 1990, 97% completedprimary education

    Strategies:- Provision of educational

    infrastructure to ensureaccess of the rural poor toeducation

    Indonesia

    In 1971, only 25.1% of populationattended primary schoolBy 2002, 96.1% attended primary

    education

    Strategies:- Massive investment in primary

    education infrastructure based ondemographics.

    - Achieved in 1984Challenges-Low education quality andoutcome- Unequal distribution of educationfacilities

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    Achieving MDGsSuccess & Challenges

    Goal 3 Promote Gender Equality and Empower Women

    Malaysia

    gender gap in education

    improved significantly now the womenoutnumbered the men 2:1 inpublic universities

    Establishment of Ministry

    of Women, Family andCommunity in 2001

    Indonesia

    In education, woman

    participation ratio is around 100 Increasing literacy ratio forwoman to man from 97.9% in1990 to 99.7% in 2004

    Strategies & Challenges-Improving law and regulationto prevent bias gender-Unsatisfactory womanparticipation in public sector

    A hi i MDG

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    Achieving MDGsSuccess & ChallengesGoal 4 Reduce Child Mortality

    Malaysia

    Child mortality ratedropped from 57 per 1000

    live births in 1970 to 0.5 in2005

    Strategies:- well-developed primaryhealthcare system

    - infant immunization- child nutrition- better education

    IndonesiaChild mortality rate fell from 216 per1000 in 1960 to 43.5 per 1000 in 2000Strategies-Substantial investment in primary

    healthcare (Puskesmas) started in1978- Campaign on family planning- fertilityrate reduced from 5.6 in 1970 to 2.6 in1990-Mass immunization and improving

    babies nutritionChallenges- Low access of poor people to healthservices (cost barrier)- Low education for healthy life

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    Achieving MDGsSuccess & Challenges

    Goal 5 Improve Maternal Health

    Malaysia

    Maternal Mortality Ratiodeclined to 30 per 100,000live births in 2005 from 141per 100,000 in 1970

    Strategies:

    -Improved access to qualitymaternal health services

    -Skilled health personnel

    Indonesia

    Maternal Mortality Ratio decreasedfrom 450 in 1986 to 307 in 2002 per100,000

    Strategies:- Family Planning campaign- Improving pre-natal health education- Increasing skilled midwivesChallenges

    - Insufficient budget to provide adequatehealth facilities

    - Availability of skilled midwives inremote areas

    - Affordability of health care- Awareness of importance of skilled

    midwifery during birth

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    Achieving MDGsSuccess & Challenges

    Goal 6 Combat HIV/AIDS, Malaria, and Other Diseases

    Malaysia

    remarkable strides incontrolling infectious

    diseases such as malaria Strategies:-Safe drinking water- child immunization- improved healthcare

    services

    still not achieve the targeton HIV/AIDS

    IndonesiaHIV/AIDS prevalence below 0.1%

    Strategies:

    - Built clinics, improved nutrition byplacing price controls on staple

    foodsChallenges- Increasing threat for HIV/AIDSinfection

    - Malaria prevalence is still high

    about 850 of 100,000 in 2001- Inadequate health servicepersonnel

    - Prevalence for tuberculoses is stillhigh about 786 of 100,000 in 1998

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    Achieving MDGsSuccess & Challenges

    Goal 7 Ensure Environmental Sustainability

    Malaysia

    Preserve forest

    - retained at 59.5%

    Clean water supply- 87% to rural population- 98% to urban population

    Palm oil industry achievedtarget of zero discharge of

    pollutants

    Indonesia Ratio forest of the land is

    63.4% in 2004

    Strategies Illegal logging eradication Import restriction of CFC Improving basic sanitationChallenges

    Deforestation Increasing CO2 emission Low access to clean water

    supply for poor families Limited budget & low

    participation of private sector

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    Achieving MDGsSuccess & Challenges

    Goal 8 Develop A Global Partnership For Development

    Malaysia

    Continue efforts to developa global partnership

    RM343.3 million in 8MP toADB, IDB, UN and WTO

    knowledge sharing throughMTCP

    regional cooperation suchas ASEAN, ASEAN+3,APEC, NAM and OIC

    Indonesia

    Continue efforts to developglobal partnership

    Initiating Debt Swap to MDGAchievement from MDC to LDC

    Jakarta Declaration for MDGsounds the importance for

    regional partnership andcooperation

    Actively participated in NonAlignment Movement

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    Malaysia to Become a Developed Nation by 2020

    Knowledge-driven

    Productivity-driven

    Investment-driven

    Labor-driven

    Labor-driven

    1960 1970 2000 & Beyond19951980

    Primary

    Commodities

    MSC

    Medium-techmanufacturing &services

    High-techmanufacturing &services

    Assembly-typemanufacturing

    Knowledge-

    based

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    Sum of Indonesia Development

    increaseproduction ofstaple food &infrastructuredevelopment

    agriculture,employment,

    and regionallyequitable

    development

    developmentof

    agriculture-related and

    otherindustry

    basicindustries

    transport andcommunications

    big bangdecentralizatio

    n

    increase welfare,maintain security& peace, equality

    & democracy

    reform era

    1969-1973

    1974-1978

    1979-1983

    1984-1988

    1989-1996

    1998

    2001 2004-beyond

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    Asian Financial Crisis

    IndonesiaPre-Crisis

    High annual growth (7%-8%)

    1.1 million individuals wereescaping poverty every year

    Currency rate US$ 1 = Rp.2,400.-

    IndonesiaDuring Crisis

    negative growth of 13.1 percent in1998

    plunging 25 percent of Indonesiasnon-poor population back intopoverty

    Currency rate US$ 1 = Rp.18,000.-

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    Asian Financial CrisisMalaysia

    Pre-Crisis

    Top investmentdestination

    High growth rate Vision

    2020

    KLSE Composite Index

    was above 1,200

    The ringgit trading atUS$2.50

    Overnight rate below 7%

    Malaysia

    During Crisis

    Growth in all sectorsdeclined

    GDP fell to -6.2%

    KLSE fell below 270points

    ringgit value decreased tobelow 3.80 to dollar

    Overnight rate jumped toover 40%

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    Asian Financial Crisis

    IndonesiaMeasures Taken

    Macroeconomic & Socio-cultural Free float exchange rate regime Banking restructuring &

    recapitalization Supra-structure & Political

    infrastructure reformation Big-bang decentralization Repositioning of military function

    For the Poor's Social safety net Subsidies focused on staple food

    for the poor Intensify microfinance programs

    for agricultural sector

    MalaysiaMeasures Taken

    Fixed exchange rate regime

    Capital controls

    CDRC dealt with corporateloans

    Danaharta discounted andbought bad loans from banks

    Danamodal recapitalized banks

    Merging banks

    After reaching pre-Crisis level

    in 2005 removed peg

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    -15

    -10

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    88-97 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

    Indonesia Malaysia

    GDP Growth (%)Indonesia and Malaysia

    9.3%

    -7.4%

    5.8%6.1%

    6.9%

    -13.1%

    0.8%

    6.0%

    (%)

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    Indonesia

    Today

    Effectiveness ofInstitution

    High level of corruption

    Low total productivityfactors compare toneighboring countries

    Ahead

    Preserve harmony andpeace among ethnics &regions

    Remain competitive

    Malaysia

    Remain Competitive

    Urban poverty

    New Sources of Growth

    Brain Drain

    Retain peace andharmony among ethnics

    Challenges Today & Ahead

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    Some elements as lessons:

    Good governance is crucial factor in economicdevelopment

    Sustainable growth needs strong institutions as much

    as clear rules and regulations

    Sense of social cohesion and sense of ownership playimportant roles

    Peace and stability as key elements

    Creative and entrepreneurial spirit is essential

    Most important, Human Development as fundamentalroles.

    Which Model is better?

    There is no single model would fitly apply in every countries

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    Thank You

    Terima

    Kasih

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    References:Bappenas (2005). Laporan Perkembangan Pencapaian Tujuan Millenium Indonesia .

    Jakarta Indonesia

    Bappenas (2007). Rancangan Pembangunan Jangka Panjang Nasional. JakartaIndonesia.

    Hill, H. (1996). The Indonesian Economy Since 1966. Cambridge University Press.Australia

    Millenium Development Goals Indicators, United Nations (2006)

    Prawiro, R. (1998). Indonesias Struggle for Economic Development: Pragmatism inAction. Oxford University Press. USA

    Todaro, M. & Smith, S. (2006). Economic Development. 9th Edition. Pearson AddisonWeasley. USA.

    United Nations (2005). Malaysia Achieving The Millennium Development Goals. KualaLumpur, Malaysia

    Wood, R.S. (2005). Strategies of Development: Indonesia and Malaysia 1960 Present.SAIS I-DEV Integrating Seminar. Professor Frank & Douglas

    World Bank (2006). Making the New Indonesia Work for the Poor. Washington USA.