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The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the Asian Development Bank (ADB), or its Board of Directors or the governments they represent. ADB does not guarantee the source, originality, accuracy, completeness or reliability of any statement, information, data, finding, interpretation, advice, opinion, or view presented, nor does it make any representation concerning the same. Project Number: 43207 Philippines: Mitigation of Climate Change Through Increased Energy Efficiency and the Use of Clean Energy Proposed Market Transformation through Introduction of Energy Efficient Electric Tricycles Project

e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

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Page 1: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the Asian Development Bank (ADB), or its Board of Directors or the governments they represent. ADB does not guarantee the source, originality, accuracy, completeness or reliability of any statement, information, data, finding, interpretation, advice, opinion, or view presented, nor does it make any representation concerning the same.

Project Number: 43207

Philippines: Mitigation of Climate Change Through Increased Energy Efficiency and the Use of Clean Energy Proposed Market Transformation through Introduction of Energy Efficient Electric Tricycles Project

Page 2: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

Sohail Hasnie Principal Energy Specialist Southeast Asia Department Asian Development Bank

[email protected] http://www.adb.org/etrike

Page 3: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily
Page 4: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

Source: Annual Report, http://www.adb.org/documents/reports/annual_report/2010/adb-ar2010-v1.pdf#page=6

Page 5: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

Asian Development Bank

Page 6: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily
Page 7: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

Today Asia represents:

• about 60% of world’s population with

• 49 economies, about 20% of land, and

• 28% of world’s economy (lowest point of 15%)

Before industrial revolution, Asia was 60% of world’s

economy

Asia

Page 8: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

Source: IEA

Page 9: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

Source: IEA

Financing?

Page 10: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

Source: IEA

Page 11: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

Source: http://www.npr.org/2011/11/21/142365346/timeline-the-100-year-history-of-the-electric-car

Page 12: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

Source: http://www.npr.org/2011/11/21/142365346/timeline-the-100-year-history-of-the-electric-car

Page 13: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

Lessons from history

• Batteries

• Batteries

•Batteries

Page 14: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

Metro Manila

200,000 tricycles

Philippines

3,500,000

Tricycles and motorcycles

10,000,000 tons of CO2 annually

Page 15: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

Objective is to solve the “problem” using modern sustainable technology that will be affordable and reliable

And not to recreate this…

Source: http://inhabitat.com/german-museum-recreates-the-worlds-oldest-electric-car/

Page 16: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

Solution Space: Electric Vehicles

Range: 35-50 km Speed: 45 km/h NO Air-conditioners

Minimum Safety Standards

Price: $3,000 to 4,000 as

$4 per day 3-years Standard Warranty

24 kWh battery

160 km range

3 kWh battery

45 km range

Range: 350 km Speed: 200 km/h Air-conditioners Best Possible Safety Standards

Price: $35,000 3-years or 100,000 km Standard Warranty

Top of the Pyramid

Bottom of the Pyramid

Page 17: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

Battery Choices Lead Acid

$800 Life: 200 charges

140 kg

slow-charge only

Lithium Ion

$1,500 Life: 2,000 charges

40 kg

slow and fast-charge

Pilot 1

72% lighter

Page 18: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

Daily Fuel Savings (Desktop Study assumptions)

for every 100 km

Base Case:

Assumptions:

20 km per Liter

5 liters for 100 km

50 Peso per liter

E-Trike:

Assumptions:

20 km per kWh

5 kWh for 100 km

>$5 or Peso 250 >$1 or Peso 50

about

P200 10 Peso per kWh

Page 19: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

(Electric Tricycles or e-Trikes)

20 e-Trikes (Lithium-ion batteries)

• Full charge range 40-50 km

• 3 kWh battery (B units)

• Will use public street charging

• Price of e-Trike $1,000 more

• Full charge range 80-100 km

• 6 kWh battery (A units)

Pilot 2

10 Tricycles 10 Tricycles

• Overnight 8-hour charge at home • Fast charging in about 30 min

Page 20: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

Range results (“Continuous" running)

A1: 72.53 km

A2: 90.33 km

B4: 62.21 km

B7: 41.89 km

Page 21: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

Antipolo – Test Drive

Page 22: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

Transformation project is not

about

procuring

100,000 e-Trikes

but

creating a new local industry and

local employment

Page 23: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

100,000 e-Trikes!

Page 24: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

Transformation through Energy Efficient

Electric Vehicle Systems – delivering an

end-to-end infrastructure solution

100,000 electric tricycles

Cost $400.0 million

Savings: $185 million per year

(500,000 liters/ day $500,000 / day)

Avoided CO2 emissions

• 400,000 tons per year

Electricity Demand

(peak-time charging)

Demand: 6-60 MW peak

Energy: 300,000 MWh

Emissions: 160,000 tons

Page 25: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

Battery Leasing

Access to public

Charging Station

E-Trike

Body

Leasing

3,000,000 units

Lease payments from 200 Peso saving

Peso 200

Peso 30-40

Peso 60-70

Peso 10-15 Total payments:

Peso 100 – 125 Net: 100 - 75

Page 26: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

Output of the Project

• Complete e-Trike units delivered to

LGUs with standard 3-year warrantee

• Battery supply, installation, leasing and

support infrastructure established

• Efficient motor supply chain created

• Public Charging stations installed in

selected areas

Page 27: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

Targets (minimum)

By December 2012, at least:

• 2 reputable motor suppliers;

• 2 internationally reputable battery suppliers;

• 6 e-Trikes suppliers with service support; and

•7,000 e-Trikes operating

Page 28: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

Targets (minimum)

By December 2013, at least:

• 3 internationally reputable battery suppliers; and

•15,000 e-Trikes operating

Page 29: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

Targets (minimum)

By December 2014, at least:

• 500 locally made charging stations installed;

and

•50,000 e-Trikes operating

Page 30: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily

Targets (minimum)

By December 2016, at least:

•100,000 e-Trikes operating

Page 31: e-Trike Project: Presentation: Proposed Market Transformation … · 2015-08-05 · The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily