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DSL• Succession• Wildfire• Urban growth• Sea level rise• Climate effect on wildfire: A2, A1B, B1
SERAP• Succession• Wildfire• Urban growth• Sea level rise (DSL)• Climate effect on wildfire
(Coastal Plain): A1FI, B1• Recent fire suppression
Output data characteristics
• Decadal data layers through 2100• Polygons (average size ~10 hectares), converted to
30 m raster• Each polygon labeled with land cover type,
successional stage and structure• Available from NCSU Biodiversity and Spatial
Information Center• DSL: http://www.basic.ncsu.edu/dsl/downloads.html• SERAP: Coming Soon!
Contact [email protected]
+100 years
+10 years+20 years+30 years+40 years+50 years+60 years+70 years+80 years+90 years
Landscape ChangeCharleston, SC
2001
LakeMoultrie
Charleston
Incorporates:disturbance, successionurban growth (SLEUTH),
sea level rise (SLAMM)
Using the data
• Land cover types represent mapped polygon characteristics
• Distributions of age and canopy structure across region match FIA data
• Best for summaries across regions or groups of counties
Example: Projected longleaf pine composition - 2100
• Model states are defined ahead of time, no surprises in characteristics of states, just their composition across landscape
• In vegetation dynamics models, effects of climate change are indirect:• Changes to wildfire regime• Define a new vegetation state based on info from
other models or data• Locations of vegetation polygons static through time
Caveats of modeling approach
• Integrates urban growth, sea level rise, vegetation dynamics
• Explore and compare alternative scenarios of landscape change
• Summarize changes across regions• Use as a communication tool to visualize results• Vegetation dynamics models used by DoD (Eglin AFB)
and VA Tech, US Forest Service, TNC• Good base layer, many more scenarios possible!
Strengths of data and approach
SALCC Introduction
Next steps and how the SALCC will use this product
Questions/Comments
Questions or comments from presentation about Jen’s presentation?
Questions or comments in general about the SALCC, what we’re doing, where we’re going, etc.?
Next SALCC Third Thursday Web Forum
Thursday, November 15 – 10:00am EST
Landscape Conservation Cooperatives and Climate Science Centers: An Evolving Relationship Jerry McMahon (Southeast Climate Science Center)
& Rua Mordecai (South Atlantic LCC)
Contacts
Ken McDermond – [email protected]
Rua Mordecai – [email protected] Cakir – [email protected] Keister – [email protected] Rounds – [email protected] Deason –
[email protected] Costanza – [email protected]