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DNB Group Deutsche Bank conference, June 3rd 2015 Rune Bjerke, CEO of DNB
> 12 per cent
Min. 14% CET1 ratio*
as capital level
> 50% dividend
Once capital level is reached
Return on equity
Financial ambitions - 2016 and 2017
* Based on transitional rules 2
Four most frequently
asked questions by investors
3
I
Are you on track to meeting your
current and future capital
requirements?
4
5 * Fully-loaded Basel III estimate ** As at 31 June 2012
Strong capital accumulation driven by gross earnings
8.6 9.2 9.3
10.6
11.9 12.7
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
10.6
12.1
14.2 14.6
2012** 2013 2014 2015
4.1 4.3
5.1
5.7
2012** 2013 2014 2015
CET 1 capital ratio, transitional rules
as at 31 March, per cent CET 1 capital ratio, Basel III*
as at 31 March, per cent
Leverage ratio, Basel III as at 31 March, per cent
5.50
6.00
6.50
7.00
7.50
8.00
8.50
9.00
1.4
.201
4
1.7
.201
4
1.1
0.2
01
4
1.1
.2015
1.4
.2015
USD/NOK*
6 *Updated as of May 29th 2015,
Capital ratios are sensitive to currency fluctuations
Currency
effects
USD/NOK
EUR/NOK +15%
- 45 bps
Factors affecting the CET1 ratio 2016 effect, bps
+31%
USD/NOK
EUR/NOK - 15%
45 bps +
7
The minimum 14% CET1 capital target remains firm - identified capital efficiency measures in the range of 80-100 bps*
Financial restructuring Realisation of capital gains
IRB approvals
(Do not apply under
transitional rules)
Capital-efficient
products Asset disposal
CET1 ratio CET1
RWA
Active portfolio
management
*up to 2016 under transitional rules
8
DNB – the relative winner?
DNB risk
weights –
transitional
rules
???
Future risk
weights –
Basel 4 ? ???
Current
IRB
risk weights
9
II
Will growth in quality
earnings continue?
10
Continued growth in net interest income
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Net interest income NOK million
Expected lending growth of 3-4
per cent
Stable development in volume-
weighted spreads
Net interest income expectations for 2015
CAGR
8.5%
11 * Personal customers and SMEs, ** Large Corporates and International
Deposit repricing potential across customer segments
Total = NOK 522 billion
Deposits in retail banking* LCI** maturing volumes and spreads public clients NOK billion, bps
62%
38%
Deposits with repricing potential
Low-yielding deposits / other
Total
NOK 536 billion
May March April Average
maturity
12
Sound growth in other quality earnings
Corporate finance Revenues in NOK million
168
316
Expect underlying growth of 5% in net commissions and fees
35 46
10
27
2012 2013 2014 Q115
CAGR
55%
20
36
2012 2013 2014 Q115
Private banking Assets under management, NOK billion
New pension products Assets under management, NOK billion
Investments Deposits
13
III
Will DNB be able to compete in a
new digital banking reality?
Our customers prefer digital banking
Digital 86 %
Manual 14 %
Savings agreements
Digital; 64%
Manual; 36%
Consumer loans
Digital; 50%
Manual; 50%
Car loans
Digital 11 %
Manual 89 %
Insurance
Sales digital vs. traditional Share of customer traffic
14
Text message banking:
25 %
Online banking:
30%
Branch office: 1%
Call Center: 2%
Mobile banking:
42%
15
Key takeaways Number of manual transactions in branches
Modernising the way we do banking
• Fundamentally changing the way we
operate our branches:
o Eliminated manual cash handling
o Moving manual banking transactions to digital
channels
• Continued reduction in number of branches
Reduction so far:
67% Goal:
75%
16
Keeping our best-in-class cost-efficiency position
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
European banks (top 50)* Nordic peer group DNB
Cost/income DNB vs peer groups Per cent
C/I ambition for 2017
~40% Combination of
top-line growth and
cost focus
* Based on total assets Source: SNL Financial
17
IV
Lower oil price
- Is there any sign of secondary effects for
Norway and DNB ?
18 Source: Statistics Norway/DNB Markets forecasts
3.5 %
4.1 % 4.4 % 4.5 % 4.4 %
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015e 2016e 2017e 2018e
Mainland GDP growth Unemployment rate
GDP growth and unemployment Year on year, per cent
Economic growth in Norway is slowing down - but the landing is soft and at a comfortable level
Fiscal policy
Large public wealth gives ample leeway to
smooth business cycles
19 Source: Thomson Datastream, DNB Markets
Two powerful tools to ensure a stable macroeconomic development
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015e
Structural, non-oil deficit
4 per cent return on the fund capital
88
National budget structural, non-oil deficit 2015 prices, NOK billion
Monetary policy
Higher interest rates in Norway
than in the rest of Europe
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
ECB Sweden Norway
Central bank rates Per cent
20
The statements contained in this presentation may include forward-looking statements such as statements of future
expectations. These statements are based on the management’s current views and assumptions and involve both
known and unknown risks and uncertainties.
Although DNB believes that the expectations reflected in any such forward-looking statements are reasonable, no
assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct.
Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those set out or implied in the forward-looking
statements. Important factors that may cause such a difference include, but are not limited to: (i) general economic
conditions, (ii) performance of financial markets, including market volatility and liquidity (iii) the extent of credit
defaults, (iv) interest rate levels, (v) currency exchange rates, (vi) changes in the competitive climate, (vii) changes in
laws and regulations, (viii) changes in the policies of central banks and/ or foreign governments, or supra-national
entities.
DNB assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement.
DISCLAIMER
CAUTIONARY NOTE REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS