Dividend Policy of Indian Organizations[1]

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    Advanced corporate Finance

    2009 - 11

    Dividend Policy of Indian

    OrganizationsSubmitted by:

    Ajay Simha

    Anupam Chaplot

    Siva Harsha Karra

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    Contents

    INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................................................................... 3

    TABLESAND FINDINGS............................................................................................................................. 4

    REGRESSION ............................................................................................................................................ 6

    MODELSUSED ......................................................................................................................................... 7

    LINTNER MODEL .................................................................................................................................. 7

    Model for dividend pay out ratio ......................................................................................................... 7

    Synopsis of regression coefficients for lintners model ............................................... .......................... 8

    APPENDIX ................................................................................................................................................ 9

    Asset financing..................................................................................................................................... 9

    Bank .................................................................................................................................................. 12

    Communication ................................................................................................................................. 14

    Construction ...................................................................................................................................... 18

    Electricity ........................................................................................................................................... 20

    food beverages .................................................................................................................................. 23

    health services ................................................................................................................................... 26

    Information technology ..................................................................................................................... 29

    metal product .................................................................................................................................... 32

    Mining ............................................................................................................................................... 35

    Textile ................................................................................................................................................ 38

    Wholesale retail ................................................................................................................................. 40

    chemical ............................................................................................................................................ 42

    Hotel.................................................................................................................................................. 44

    Investment services ........................................................................................................................... 47

    Machinery ......................................................................................................................................... 50

    Non-metallic mineral products ........................... ................................ ...................... .......................... 53

    Recreational services ......................................................................................................................... 56

    Transport equipment ......................................................................................................................... 59

    Transport services .............................................................................................................................. 61

    IT industry (company wise analysis) ................................................................................................... 63

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    INTRODUCTION

    The present study examines the dividend behavior of Indian corporate firms over the period 2000 - 2009 and attemptsto explain the observed behavior.

    For this purpose data of 20 different industries has been collected over the period of 10 years to see the variation in thetrend across industry. Given below are the details of the industries and number of companies from each industry thathas been observed for the study for last 10 years. A total of 18,657 companies have been studied.

    Set Description no. of companies

    Asset financing services 583

    Banking services 201Communication services 187

    Construction 1431

    Electricity 354

    Food & beverages 1763

    Health services 119

    Information technology 961

    Metals & metal products 1306

    Mining 178

    Textiles 1501

    Wholesale & retail trading 2046Chemicals 2336

    Hotels & tourism 354

    Investment services 2067

    Machinery 1464

    Non-metallic mineral products 614

    Recreational services 274

    Transport equipment 548

    Transport services 370

    Total 18657

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    TABLES AND FINDINGS

    percentage div paid / PAT

    Industry 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

    Asset financing 63.6% 72.7% 76.5% 41.0% 217.5% 44.1% 42.6% 29.2% 31.5% 30.5%

    Banking Services 19.9% 26.1% 19.3% 17.3% 17.8% 20.1% 20.3% 20.1% 18.9% 18.6%

    Communication services 18.4% 62.1% 42.3% 79.9% 11.4% 15.9% 21.2% 12.5% 16.5% 8.7%

    Construction 47.0% 49.3% 44.7% 51.1% 42.2% 33.5% 16.8% 17.1% 17.5% 14.3%

    Electricity 20.6% 30.5% 26.3% 33.0% 33.0% 57.0% 41.7% 37.1% 41.5% 57.7%

    food beverages 70.5% 60.1% 51.2% 68.4% 53.6% 38.1% 39.4% 36.7% 38.9% 37.6%

    health services -54.8% -131.7% -1857.0% 100.3% -158.3% 51.4% 82.5% 36.4% 66.2% 48.9%

    information tech. 12.6% 11.4% 16.0% 27.5% 46.7% 31.6% 44.9% 24.9% 31.1% 23.9%

    metal product -30.1% -39.0% -17.5% 124.0% 13.8% 17.2% 18.1% 15.5% 16.1% 22.5%

    Mining 47.1% 59.6% 37.6% 43.3% 41.3% 45.0% 41.7% 40.5% 43.1% 41.3%

    Textile -10.9% -8.7% -9.2% -13.3% 37.1%

    -

    2888.9% 23.6% 19.6% 20.9% 14.3%

    Wholesale retail 86.3% -22.5% -32.9% 1469.5% 42.7% 37.9% 26.0% 28.0% 35.4% 56.3%

    Chemicals 49.9% 45.1% 51.9% 52.4% 40.9% 35.7% 34.3% 31.9% 22.8% 28.7%

    Hotels & tourism 65.8% 93.3% -69.5% 154.1% 145.2% 53.6% 33.3% 29.7% 28.6% 31.0%

    Investment services 29.9% -92.4% 34.0% 53.2% 24.9% 17.5% 20.1% 21.2% 15.1% 24.9%

    Machinery 134.5% 205.6% 323.4% 703.6% 99.7% 42.3% 25.6% 21.8% 23.4% 35.2%

    Non-metallic mineral

    products -53.9% -519.8% -238.9% 79.6% 43.4% 33.1% 24.3% 22.3% 18.2% 21.3%

    Recreational services 11.1% 37.6%

    -

    14329.8% 172.4% 164.9% 109.5%

    -

    35.2% -47.3% -87.3% -63.1%

    Transport equipment 55.5% -64.6% 76.0% 48.6% 39.7% 31.3% 29.3% 28.0% 26.3% 34.7%

    Transport services 579.7% 83.0% 88.1% 58.6% 48.1% 22.3% 32.1% 114.8% 49.9% -17.5%

    Below table give the details of the no of companies who gave dividend 0 to 10 times in last 10 years.

    Industry 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 total

    Asset financing 333 29 23 6 13 9 10 8 3 8 20 4

    Communication 149 3 8 3 4 2 2 1 0 0 3 1

    Bank 70 14 11 5 11 14 8 10 3 8 31 1

    Construction 790 44 37 29 28 18 24 14 9 9 27 10

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    Electricity 175 10 12 9 10 6 10 1 2 1 10 2

    food beverages 1036 100 68 37 32 38 30 22 14 28 47 14

    health services 82 4 6 3 3 0 0 2 1 1 2 1

    information tech. 618 87 54 28 20 13 24 13 9 18 22 9

    metal product 790 59 41 39 28 31 22 16 18 21 33 10

    Mining 95 8 6 3 4 5 4 4 3 5 11 1

    Textile 929 55 51 40 35 20 26 17 25 21 34 12

    Wholesale retail 1426 89 69 37 47 32 30 29 15 14 31 18

    Below table give the information of the number of companies in each sector who have gave dividend in each year.

    Industry 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

    Asset financing 70 59 52 55 61 68 65 68 65 54

    Communication 7 5 6 10 9 11 15 14 15 11

    Bank 62 58 67 73 80 66 74 72 71 66

    Construction 72 71 69 79 91 115 137 156 159 123

    Electricity 24 21 22 26 34 38 39 42 43 34

    food beverages 225 180 154 158 169 193 195 196 187 176

    health services 5 4 8 12 11 10 10 8 11 9

    information tech. 123 97 85 96 100 120 130 134 122 106

    metal product 124 109 101 117 135 152 168 187 201 150

    Mining 21 23 22 29 33 38 37 36 40 34

    Textile 149 136 136 154 161 173 193 196 143 93

    Wholesale retail 146 132 134 169 188 190 177 190 167 140

    Below table gives information about the percentage of companies who have paid dividend in each year.

    Industry 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Average

    Asset financing 15% 13% 11% 12% 13% 15% 14% 15% 14% 12% 13%

    Communication 4% 3% 3% 6% 5% 6% 9% 8% 9% 6% 6%

    Bank 34% 31% 36% 39% 43% 36% 40% 39% 38% 36% 37%

    Construction 7% 7% 7% 8% 9% 11% 13% 15% 15% 12% 10%

    electricity 10% 9% 9% 11% 14% 15% 16% 17% 17% 14% 13%food beverages 15% 12% 11% 11% 12% 13% 13% 13% 13% 12% 13%

    health services 5% 4% 8% 12% 11% 10% 10% 8% 11% 9% 8%

    information tech. 14% 11% 9% 11% 11% 13% 14% 15% 13% 12% 12%

    metal product 11% 10% 9% 11% 12% 14% 15% 17% 18% 14% 13%

    Mining 14% 16% 15% 20% 22% 26% 25% 24% 27% 23% 21%

    Textile 12% 11% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 11% 7% 12%

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    Wholesale retail 8% 7% 7% 9% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 9%

    Below table contain the aggregate profit of the industry and the cumulative growth rate of the industry in term of profit. CAGR is not been

    calculated for few of the industries because of negative PAT.

    PAT(in crores)

    Industry 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 CAGR

    Asset financing 1032.92 1013.84 1174.37 2546.44 586.69 3560.91 4024.91 6115.24 8720.34 9572.57 24

    Banking Services 8227.55 7459.26 9019.38 17925.22 24011.16 21454.85 25207.92 31921.64 43197.76 53611.78 20

    Communication services 1729.7 3073.34 7139.71 1080.69 7008.94 11849.18 9575.85 15755.41 14763.76 10647.91 19

    Construction 745.41 703.43 764.05 881.35 1307.62 2487.15 5789.28 11532.58 19889.07 15421.33 35

    Electricity 6565.46 5256.17 6083.58 6748.73 9722.81 7585.08 13277.92 16525.77 16836.68 11828.48 6

    food beverages 1281.25 1448.53 1854.26 1572.04 2557.9 4984.91 6000.62 7187.16 7689.76 9321.02 21

    health services -30.27 -16.89 -1.35 26.74 -19.63 67.88 57.99 143.36 109.4 159.75 29

    information tech. 2956.23 4626.16 3717.5 4085.69 5921.37 10178.31 16337.9 19806.25 22823.57 22918.57 22

    metal product -2654.49 -2528.32 -4817.21 1009.04 9706.32 21415.64 19257.74 32195.98 36611 23558.03 56

    Mining 4535.28 4301.15 8575.01 13991.32 15007.25 21222.95 27800.84 29467.45 34182.84 31768.61 21

    Textile -3532.38 -3919.81 -3621.06 -3267.82 1550.74 -22.34 3375.6 4394.69 3481.8 4717.97 20

    Wholesale retail 302.64 -973.95 -1060.74 23.28 1156.67 1567.34 2423.81 2893.4 2334.52 1264.75 15

    Chemicals 10593.96 12795.81 12275.88 19419.85 26314.19 30420.54 31950.03 46252.94 53499.89 43399.33 15

    Hotels & tourism 271.95 189.02 -189.49 89.25 103.3 422.77 1156.73 1791.43 2123.15 1211.79 16

    Investment services 1991.69 -546.87 1791.78 1773.11 4626.26 5605.94 7016.5 8983.28 10497.28 6716.45 12

    Machinery 740.96 455.37 277.07 142.51 1342.63 4312.57 10135.74 15222.22 16035.62 11227.82 31

    Non-metallic mineral

    products -625.53 -65.13 -146.77 474.6 1443.71 2383.99 5783.18 9964.85 10965 9543.99 35

    Recreational services 385.25 159.65 -0.47 53.25 53.32 156.72 -956.52 -523.12 -407.91 -415.83 #NU

    Transport equipment 1051.85 -687.16 1357.29 2878.14 4834.97 7787.76 9310.45 13218.05 13969.44 8907.37 23

    Transport services 49.08 427.31 464.21 959.22 2561.32 5126.24 3851.5 1182.1 3222.6 -7338.11 #NU

    REGRESSIONWe have done regression between PAT, previous year dividend (independent variable) and dividend this year

    (dependent variable) and tried to find out if the dividend depends on this two variable for which industries. Since

    the regression is done on the aggregate values we have moved one step further and did company wise analysis for

    IT industry taking around 20 companies and try to find out if the result matches the value that we have got for the

    industry aggregate. The result for the two were quiet similar. Hence we can say that the aggregate of the industry

    represent the behavior of individual companies in that industry to a great level.

    Below are the results that we have got for regression of various industries and at the bottom is the analysis that

    has been done for just of the IT industry taking 20 companies.

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    MODELS USED

    LINTNERMODEL

    Lintner (1956) developed a model to study the determinants of the dividend behavior of

    American corporations assuming that the dividend payout is a function of net currentearnings after tax (PAT) and dividend paid during the previous year i.e. lagged dividend

    (Div t-1). Companies decide to payout a fixed proportion of their net profits as dividend tocommon stockholders; but in view of their well known preference for stable dividends

    may try to achieve the target level only by a fraction of the amount indicated by the targetpayout ratio whenever profit changes. The above theoretical formulation of Lintner has

    been used as an estimating equation for corporate dividend in the present study, which isas follows

    Y= + 1X1+ 2X2

    Y- Dependent variabla(dividend for the present year)

    X1- independent variable PAT (current year)X2- independent variable Dividend previous year

    - constant

    Model for dividend pay out ratio

    Y= + 1X1+ 2X2 +1X3+ 2X4+ 1X5

    The variables that have been identified can be stated as follows:

    Y= dividend payout ratio

    X1=earnings before interest and taxes /total assetsX2= cash from operations (Rs. crore)

    X3=corporate tax /profit before taxX4=annual sales growthX5= Market to book value ratio

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    Synopsis of regression coefficients for lintners model

    Sno Industry R square Value t significance

    1 Asset financing 0.916 pat 2.357 0.056

    div_lastyear 1.449 0.198

    2 Communication -0.146 pat 0.915 0.395

    div_lastyear -0.422 0.688

    3 construction 0.983 pat 14.072 0

    div_lastyear -2.645 0.038

    4 Electricity 0.956 pat 1.762 0.128

    div_lastyear 5.491 0.002

    5 Food& beverages 0.991 pat

    div_lastyear

    6 health services 0.906 pat -0.157 0.881

    div_lastyear 3.633 0.0117 IT 0.842 pat 4.088 0.006

    div_lastyear -1.95 0.099

    8 Metal product 0.957 pat 5.649 0.001

    div_lastyear 2.972 0.025

    9 mining 0.99 pat 9.457 0

    div_lastyear -0.852 0.427

    10 textile 0.833 pat 2.191 0.071

    div_lastyear 0.807 0.451

    11 wholesale retail 0.911 pat 3.2 0.019

    div_lastyear 2.899 0.02712 chemical 0.7 pat 1.941 0.1

    div_lastyear -0.425 0.686

    13 hotel 0.988 pat 15.464 0

    div_lastyear -0.469 0.655

    14 Investment services 0.759 pat 2.009 0.091

    div_lastyear 0.218 0.834

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    15 Machinery 0.98 pat 3.851 0.008

    div_lastyear 5.687 0.001

    16 Non mettalic mineral products 0.987 pat 9.897 0

    div_lastyear -2.311 0.06

    17 recreational services 0.708 pat -2.482 0.048

    div_lastyear 1.202 0.275

    18 transport equipment 0.982 pat 7.581 0

    div_lastyear 1.686 0.143

    19 Transport services 0.724 pat 1.41 0.208

    div_lastyear 4.766 0.003

    APPENDIX

    Asset financing

    Model Summaryb

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of the

    Estimate

    1 .968a

    .937 .916 223.249

    a. Predictors: (Constant), div_last_year, pat

    b. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

    Coefficientsa

    Model

    Unstandardized Coefficients

    Standardized

    Coefficients

    t Sig.

    95% Confidence Interva

    B Std. Error Beta Lower Bound Upper

    1 (Constant) 437.966 226.566 1.933 .101 -116.421

    pat .142 .060 .611 2.357 .056 -.005

    div_last_year .440 .303 .376 1.449 .198 -.303

    a. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

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    Bank

    Model Summaryb

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of

    the Estimate

    1 .998a

    .995 .994 219.971

    a. Predictors: (Constant), div_last_year, pat

    b. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

    Coefficientsa

    Model

    Unstandardized

    Coefficients

    Standardized

    Coefficients

    t Sig.

    95% Confidence Interval

    for B

    B Std. Error Beta

    Lower

    Bound

    Upper

    Bound

    1 (Constant) 137.163 159.274 .861 .422 -252.567 526.893

    Pat .132 .019 .720 6.909 .000 .085 .179

    div_last_year .351 .128 .285 2.733 .034 .037 .665

    a. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

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    Communication

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    Model Summaryb

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of

    the Estimate

    1 .375a

    .141 -.146 813.097

    a. Predictors: (Constant), div_last_year, pat

    b. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

    ANOVAb

    Model

    Sum of

    Squares df Mean Square F Sig.

    1 Regression 649327.579 2 324663.789 .491 .635a

    Residual 3966763.852 6 661127.309

    Total 4616091.431 8

    a. Predictors: (Constant), div_last_year, pat

    b. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

    Coefficientsa

    Model

    Unstandardized

    Coefficients

    Standardized

    Coefficients

    t Sig.

    95% Confidence Interval

    for B

    B Std. Error Beta

    Lower

    Bound

    Upper

    Bound

    1 (Constant) 1517.806 799.727 1.898 .106 -439.056 3474.667

    Pat .053 .058 .347 .915 .395 -.089 .196

    div_last_year -.141 .334 -.160 -.422 .688 -.957 .676

    a. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

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    Construction

    Model Summaryb

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of

    the Estimate

    1 .993a

    .987 .983 143.038

    a. Predictors: (Constant), div_last_year, pat

    b. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

    Coefficientsa

    Model

    Unstandardized

    Coefficients

    Standardized

    Coefficients

    t Sig.

    95% Confidence Interval

    for B

    B Std. Error Beta

    Lower

    Bound

    Upper

    Bound

    1 (Constant) 337.918 69.158 4.886 .003 168.695 507.141

    Pat .174 .012 1.168 14.072 .000 .144 .204

    div_last_year -.226 .085 -.219 -2.645 .038 -.435 -.017

    a. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

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    Electricity

    Model Summaryb

    Model R R SquareAdjusted R

    SquareStd. Error ofthe Estimate

    1 .983a

    .967 .956 459.905

    a. Predictors: (Constant), div_last_year, pat

    b. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

    Coefficientsa

    Model

    Unstandardized Coefficients

    Standardized

    Coefficients

    t Sig.

    95% Confidence Interval for B

    B Std. Error Beta Lower Bound Upper Bound

    1 (Constant) 140.008 423.695 .330 .752 -896.737 1176.753

    Pat .122 .069 .246 1.762 .128 -.047 .292

    div_last_year .780 .142 .766 5.491 .002 .432 1.127

    a. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

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    food beverages

    Model Summaryb

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of

    the Estimate

    1 .997a

    .993 .991 90.501

    a. Predictors: (Constant), div_last_year, pat

    b. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

    ANOVAb

    Model

    Sum of

    Squares df Mean Square F Sig.

    1 Regression 7357849.591 2 3678924.795 449.170 .000a

    Residual 49142.973 6 8190.496

    Total 7406992.564 8

    a. Predictors: (Constant), div_last_year, pat

    b. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

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    health services

    Model Summaryb

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of

    the Estimate

    1 .964a

    .929 .906 6.354

    a. Predictors: (Constant), div_last_year, pat

    b. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

    Coefficientsa

    Model

    Unstandardized Coefficients

    Standardized

    Coefficients

    t Sig.

    95% Confidence Interval for B

    B Std. Error Beta Lower Bound Upper Bound

    1 (Constant) 1.385 7.774 .178 .864 -17.636 20.406

    Pat -.013 .085 -.043 -.157 .881 -.220 .194

    div_last_year 1.170 .322 1.004 3.633 .011 .382 1.959

    a. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

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    Information technology

    Model Summaryb

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of

    the Estimate

    1 .939a

    .882 .842 1059.615

    a. Predictors: (Constant), div_last_year, pat

    b. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

    Coefficientsa

    Model

    Unstandardized

    Coefficients

    Standardized

    Coefficients

    t Sig.

    95% Confidence

    Interval for B

    B Std. Error Beta

    Lower

    Bound

    Upper

    Bound

    1 (Constant) -467.227 722.492 -.647 .542 -2235.102 1300.648

    pat .526 .129 1.621 4.088 .006 .211 .840

    div_last_year -.743 .381 -.774 -1.950 .099 -1.675 .189

    a. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

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    metal product

    Model Summaryb

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of

    the Estimate

    1 .984a

    .967 .957 422.825

    a. Predictors: (Constant), div_last_year, pat

    b. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

    Coefficientsa

    Model

    Unstandardized Coefficients

    Standardized

    Coefficients

    t Sig.

    95% Confidence Interval for B

    B Std. Error Beta Lower Bound Upper Bound

    1 (Constant) 757.529 242.142 3.128 .020 165.029 1350.028

    Pat .091 .016 .678 5.649 .001 .052 .131

    div_last_year .367 .124 .357 2.972 .025 .065 .670

    a. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

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    Mining

    Model Summaryb

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of

    the Estimate

    1 .996a

    .992 .990 451.319

    a. Predictors: (Constant), div_last_year, pat

    b. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

    Coefficientsa

    Model

    Unstandardized Coefficients

    Standardized

    Coefficients

    t Sig.

    95% Confidence Interval for B

    B Std. Error Beta Lower Bound Upper Bound

    1 (Constant) 228.539 353.992 .646 .542 -637.648 1094.726

    pat .447 .047 1.089 9.457 .000 .331 .563

    div_last_year -.095 .111 -.098 -.852 .427 -.366 .177

    a. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

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    Textile

    Model Summaryb

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of

    the Estimate

    1 .935a

    .875 .833 78.620

    a. Predictors: (Constant), div_last_year, pat

    b. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

    Coefficientsa

    Model

    Unstandardized Coefficients

    Standardized

    Coefficients

    t Sig.

    95% Confidence Interval for B

    B Std. Error Beta Lower Bound Upper Bound

    1 (Constant) 432.247 162.871 2.654 .038 33.716 830.778

    pat .038 .017 .699 2.191 .071 -.004 .080

    div_last_year .245 .304 .257 .807 .451 -.498 .988

    a. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

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    Wholesale retail

    Model Summaryb

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of the

    Estimate

    1 .966a

    .933 .911 64.748

    a. Predictors: (Constant), div_last_year, pat

    b. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

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    Coefficientsa

    Model

    Unstandardized Coefficients

    Standardized

    Coefficients

    t Sig.

    95% Confidence Interval for B

    B Std. Error Beta Lower Bound Upper Bound

    1 (Constant) 233.592 65.717 3.555 .012 72.789 394.3

    pat .080 .025 .538 3.200 .019 .019 .1

    div_last_ye

    ar.465 .160 .487 2.899 .027 .072 .8

    a. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

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    chemical

    Model Summaryb

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of the

    Estimate

    1 .881a

    .775 .700 1556.716

    a. Predictors: (Constant), div_last_year, pat

    b. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

    Coefficientsa

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    Model

    Unstandardized Coefficients

    Standardized

    Coefficients

    t Sig.

    95% Confidence Interval for

    B Std. Error Beta Lower Bound Upper Bou

    1 (Constant) 6003.833 2128.454 2.821 .030 795.693 11211

    pat .213 .110 1.104 1.941 .100 -.056

    div_last_year -.215 .505 -.242 -.425 .686 -1.451 1

    a. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

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    Hotel

    Model Summaryb

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of the

    Estimate

    1 .995a

    .991 .988 19.920

    a. Predictors: (Constant), div_last_year, pat

    b. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

    Coefficientsa

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    Model

    Unstandardized Coefficients

    Standardized

    Coefficients

    t Sig.

    95% Confidence Interval for

    B Std. Error Beta Lower Bound Upper Bou

    1 (Constant) 141.438 13.281 10.650 .000 108.941 173

    pat .221 .014 1.020 15.464 .000 .186

    div_last_year -.031 .065 -.031 -.469 .655 -.190

    a. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

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    Investment services

    Model Summaryb

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of the

    Estimate

    1 .905a

    .819 .759 236.859

    a. Predictors: (Constant), div_last_year, pat

    b. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

    Coefficientsa

    Model

    Unstandardized

    Coefficients

    Standardized

    Coefficients

    t Sig.

    95% Confidence

    Interval for B

    B Std. Error Beta Lower Bound

    Upper

    Bound

    1 (Constant) 533.344 233.852 2.281 .063 -38.871 1105.559

    pat .110 .055 .823 2.009 .091 -.024 .244

    div_last_year .089 .409 .089 .218 .834 -.912 1.091

    a. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

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    Machinery

    Model Summaryb

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of the

    Estimate

    1 .993a

    .985 .980 174.803

    a. Predictors: (Constant), div_last_year, pat

    b. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

    Coefficientsa

    Model

    Unstandardized Coefficients

    Standardized

    Coefficients

    t Sig.

    95% Confidence

    Interval for B

    B Std. Error Beta Lower Bound

    Upper

    Bound

    1 (Constant) 393.812 135.756 2.901 .027 61.628 725.996

    pat .078 .020 .412 3.851 .008 .028 .127

    div_last_year .688 .121 .609 5.687 .001 .392 .984

    a. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

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    Non-metallic mineral products

    Model Summaryb

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of the

    Estimate

    1 .995a

    .990 .987 91.282

    a. Predictors: (Constant), div_last_year, pat

    b. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

    Coefficientsa

    Model

    Unstandardized Coefficients

    Standardized

    Coefficients

    t Sig.

    95% Confidence

    Interval for B

    B Std. Error Beta Lower Bound

    Upper

    Bound

    1 (Constant) 446.122 55.308 8.066 .000 310.789 581.455

    pat .217 .022 1.272 9.897 .000 .164 .271

    div_last_year -.314 .136 -.297 -2.311 .060 -.646 .019

    a. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

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    Recreational services

    Model Summaryb

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of the

    Estimate

    1 .884a

    .781 .708 63.424

    a. Predictors: (Constant), div_last_year, pat

    b. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

    Coefficientsa

    Model

    Unstandardized

    Coefficients

    Standardized

    Coefficients

    t Sig.

    95% Confidence

    Interval for B

    B Std. Error Beta

    Lower

    Bound

    Upper

    Bound

    1 (Constant) 97.527 38.070 2.562 .043 4.373 190.680

    pat -.196 .079 -.643 -2.482 .048 -.388 -.003

    div_last_year .298 .248 .311 1.202 .275 -.309 .906

    a. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

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    Transport equipment

    Model Summaryb

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of the

    Estimate

    1 .993a

    .987 .982 153.124

    a. Predictors: (Constant), div_last_year, pat

    b. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

    Coefficientsa

    Model

    Unstandardized Coefficients

    Standardized

    Coefficients

    t Sig.

    95% Confidence

    Interval for B

    B Std. Error Beta Lower Bound

    Upper

    Bound

    1 (Constant) 652.947 102.462 6.373 .001 402.231 903.663

    pat .186 .025 .825 7.581 .000 .126 .246

    div_last_year .172 .102 .183 1.686 .143 -.078 .422

    a. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

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    Transport services

    Model Summaryb

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of the

    Estimate

    1 .891a

    .793 .724 239.269

    a. Predictors: (Constant), div_last_year, pat

    b. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

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    Coefficientsa

    Model

    Unstandardized Coefficients

    Standardized

    Coefficients

    t Sig.

    95% Confidence

    Interval for B

    B Std. Error Beta

    Lower

    Bound

    Upper

    Bound

    1 (Constant)239.513 181.578 1.319 .235

    -

    204.793683.8

    pat .034 .024 .266 1.410 .208 -.025 .0

    div_last_year .816 .171 .900 4.766 .003 .397 1.2

    a. Dependent Variable: div_this_year

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    IT industry (company wise analysis)

    Model Summaryb

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of the

    Estimate

    1 .921a

    .847 .844 159.730

    a. Predictors: (Constant), Previous_DIvidend, PAT

    b. Dependent Variable: Current_Dividend

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    Coefficientsa

    Model

    Unstandardized Coefficients

    Standardized

    Coefficients

    t Sig.B Std. Error Beta

    1 (Constant) 1.710 19.030 .090 .929

    PAT 4.031 .324 1.070 12.428 .000

    Previous_DIvidend -.239 .118 -.175 -2.030 .045

    a. Dependent Variable: Current_Dividend

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    Residuals Statisticsa

    Minimum Maximum Mean Std. Deviation N

    Predicted Value -82.70 1731.18 209.84 372.185 93

    Residual -467.260 525.909 .000 157.985 93

    Std. Predicted Value -.786 4.088 .000 1.000 93

    Std. Residual -2.925 3.292 .000 .989 93