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DECLARE One Year On John Wilding Obesity & Endocrinology Clinical Research University of Liverpool & Aintree University Hospital Liverpool, UK

DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

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Page 1: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

DECLARE One Year On

John Wilding

Obesity & Endocrinology Clinical Research

University of Liverpool &

Aintree University Hospital

Liverpool, UK

Page 2: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Outline

• SGLT2 inhibitors for diabetes treatment

• Cardiovascular & heart failure risk in diabetes

• DECLARE TIMI-58 – reminder of key results

• DECLARE – outcomes in patients with prior MI and

prior heart failure

• DECLARE – renal outcomes

• DECLARE – efficacy and safety in older patients

• DAPA-HF – CV outcomes in heart failure with and

without diabetes

Page 3: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Increased glucose excretion

Increased sodium excretion

Reduced sodium load

Blood pressure reduction

Loss of energy (calories)

Weight loss

Reduced glycaemia HbA1c reduction

Expected clinical effects of SGLT2 inhibition based on the mode of action

HbA1c, glycated haemoglobin; SGLT2, sodium–glucose co-transporter 2Adapted from: Abdul-Ghani MA, et al. Endocr Rev. 2011;32:515–31.

Page 4: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Ischaemic heart disease is the leading cause of mortality in patients with T2D1

35%

15%10%

40%

1. Low Wang CC et al. Circulation 2016;133:2459–502

Non-cardiovascular causes

Ischaemic heartdisease

Other heart disease(predominantly

congestive)

Stroke

Page 5: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

T2D increases the risk of developing heart failure

1. Nichols GA et al. Diabetes Care 2004;27:1879–84; 2. Faden G et al. Diabetes Res Clin Pract 2013;101:309–16; 3. Ahmed A et al. Heartfail clin 2008;4:387-399; 4. Cubbon RM et al. Diab Vasc Dis Res 2013;10:330; 5. MacDonald MR et al. Eur Heart J 2008;29:1377

2–3 fold increased risk of heart failure vs patients

without T2D1

68% of patients with T2D had evidence of left ventricle

dysfunction 5 years after diagnosis2

~29% of all patients with heart failure also have T2D5

Survival outcomes in patients with diabetes and

HF are worse than those for patients with heart failure

and no diabetes4,5

Over half of all patients with heart failure may have

moderate to severe chronic kidney disease3

Page 6: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Trial Name(SGLT-2 Inhibitor) Target Enrollment Timing

EMPA-REG OUTCOME(empagliflozin)

N=7000All prior CVD

Began 2010; reported Sept 2015

CANVAS

(canagliflozin)

CANVAS-R

(canagliflozin)

N=5700

N=4330

66% prior CVD

Began 2009; reported June 2017

Began 2013; reported June 2017

DECLARE

(dapagliflozin)

N=17,160

41% prior CVD

Began 2013; reported Nov 2018

CREDENCE(canagliflozin)

N=3700Began 2014; Reported April 2019

VERTIS

(ertugliflozin)N=8000 Began 2013- ending 2019

SGLT2i outcome trials in T2DM

Page 7: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

DECLARE-TIMI 58 Study Design

S

Placebo daily

Dapagliflozin 10 mg daily

Event-driven duration: ≥1390 MACE

Median follow-up: 4.2 years

17,160 patients

T2DM

6.5%≤ HbA1c <12%,

CrCl ≥60 ml/min,

≥55 yrs (m) or ≥60 yrs (f)

with ≥1 CV risk factor

OR ≥40 yrs with eASCVDAll other glucose-lowering agents per treating

physician

1:1

do

ub

le-b

lin

d

Study design

Single-blind PBO run-in

(1–2 months)

R

• MACE• Composite of hospitalization for heart

failure or CV death

Dual Primary efficacy

endpoints

Primary safety endpoint• Composite of CV death, nonfatal MI, or

nonfatal ischemic stroke (MACE)

Secondary endpoints

• Cardiorenal composite endpoint

• All-cause mortality

Raz I, et al. Diabetes Obes Metab 2018;20:1102–1110;. Wiviott SD, et al. Am Heart J 2018;200:83–89; 3. Wiviott SD, et al. N Engl J Med 2018 [Epub ahead of print]

Page 8: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation
Page 9: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation
Page 10: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation
Page 11: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

0

5

10

15

20

25

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

Patients with prior cardiac ischaemic event are more likely to have adverse

CV outcomes

Cavender et al. Circulation 2015;132:923

MACE in REACH registry (n = 19,699) across the spectrum of atherothrombotic risk

Adj K-M

(%)

Months

Diabetes + only risk

factors

Diabetes + ASCVD

without prior ischemic

event

Diabetes + ASCVD

with prior ischemic

event

CV

death

, M

I or

str

oke

Page 12: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

10%

5%

0%360 24 36 48

15%

Prior MI – Placebo (N = 1,807) Prior MI – Dapagliflozin (N = 1,777)

No Prior MI – Placebo (N = 6,771) No Prior MI – Dapagliflozin (N = 6,805)

Patients with prior MI

% with events: 17.8 % vs. 15.2 %

Patients without prior MI

% with events: 7.1 % vs. 7.1 %

20%

Months

ARR = 2.6 %

P-int HR = 0.11

P-int ARR = 0.048

CV outcomes with dapagliflozin

MACE – CV death, MI or ischemic stroke

12

ARR = 0.0 %Cu

mu

lati

ve

in

cid

en

ce

HR = 0.84 (95 % CI 0.72 to 0.99)

HR = 1.00 (95 % CI 0.88 to 1.13)

Page 13: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

10%

5%

0%

7.5%

2.5%

12 24 36 48

12.5%

Patients with prior MI

% with events: 10.5 % vs. 8.6 %

Patients without prior MI

% with events: 4.5 % vs. 3.9 %

Months

P-int ARR = 0.01

P-int HR = 0.69

CVD or HF hospitalization

HF outcomes with dapagliflozin by prior MI

ARR = 1.9 %

Prior MI – Placebo (N = 1,807) Prior MI – Dapagliflozin (N = 1,777)

No Prior MI – Placebo (N = 6,771)

No Prior MI – Dapagliflozin (N = 6,805)

ARR = 0.6 %Cu

mu

lati

ve

in

cid

en

ce

HR = 0.81 (95 % CI 0.65 to 1.00)

HR = 0.85 (95 % CI 0.72 to 1.00)

Page 14: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation
Page 15: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Hospitalisation for HF

14

2.5% vs 3.3%HR 0.73 (0.61-0.88)P<0.001

Page 16: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

DECLARE-TIMI-58N=17,160*

HFrEFEF <45% N=671

Not HFrEFN=16,489

Heart Failure: Ejection Fraction analysis - Methods

*EF available in 5202 pts

15

History of HF

No history of HF

HF without known rEF

EF≥45% n=808EF unknown n=508

N=1,316

No HFN=15,173

Page 17: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

20

10

5

0

15

0 1 2 3 4

16

HFrEF:HR 0.64

[0.43, 0.95]

Cu

mu

lati

ve in

cid

ent

rate

(%

) P for interaction: 0.449

HFrEF:HR 0.55

[0.34, 0.90]

HHF

19.0%

13.5%

2.7%

2.1%

yrs

20

10

5

0

15

P for interaction: 0.012

yrs

CV death

12.4%

7.2%

2.5%

2.3%

0 1 2 3 4

Not HFrEF:HR 1.08

[0.89, 1.31]

Not HFrEF:HR 0.76

[0.62, 0.92]

DapagliflozinPlacebo

DapagliflozinPlacebo

Not HFrEF:(N=16,489)

HFrEF:(N=671)

HHF and CV Deathby HFrEF vs not HFrEF subgroups

Not HFrEF defined as pts with HF without known reduced EF and pts without hx of HF

Page 18: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Distribution of eGFR Categories Amongst the DECLARE-TIMI 58 Population

eGFR ≥90 48% (n=8162)

eGFR 60 to <90 45% (n=7732)

eGFR <60 7% (n=1265)

Total # of Patients:

Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. 2019 Jun 10. pii: S2213-8587(19)30180-9

Page 19: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Mean eGFR change with Dapagliflozin vs. Placebo in the Total Population

Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. 2019 Jun 10. pii: S2213-8587(19)30180-9

Page 20: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

The Renal Composite Outcomes and their Components in the DECLARE-TIMI 58 Trial

Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. 2019 Jun 10. pii: S2213-8587(19)30180-9

Renal composite

40% reduction in eGFR to < 60 ml/min/1.73 m2

end-stage renal diseaserenal dealh

Page 21: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

The Renal-Specific Outcome Predefined Sub-Group Analyses (1)

Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. 2019 Jun 10. pii: S2213-8587(19)30180-9

Page 22: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

The Renal-Specific Outcome Predefined Sub-Group Analyses (2)

Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. 2019 Jun 10. pii: S2213-8587(19)30180-9

Page 23: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

The Renal-Specific Outcome Predefined Sub-Group Analyses (3)

Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. 2019 Jun 10. pii: S2213-8587(19)30180-9

Page 24: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials

aProgression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m2, initiation of RRT or renal death; bp value not assessed due to statistical hierarchy; cplus eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m2. CI, confidence interval; CV, cardiovascular; eGFR, estimates glomerular filtration rate; HR, hazard ratio; RRT, renal replacement therapy; SGLT2i, sodium–glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitor. 1. Neal B, et al. N Engl J Med. 2017;377:644–57; 2. Wanner C, et al. N Engl J Med. 2016;375:323–34; 3. Wiviott SD et al. N Engl J Med 2019;380:347–57 2

3

0.2 0.7 1.2

Favours SGLT2i Favours placebo

HR 0.60; 95% CI: 0.47–0.77b

HR 0.73; 95% CI: 0.67–0.79b

HR 0.61; 95% CI: 0.53–0.70; p < 0.001

HR 0.54; 95% CI: 0.40–0.75; p < 0.001

HR 0.53; 95% CI: 0.67–0.79b

Renal composite:1

• 40% reduction in eGFR• requirement for RRT• renal death

Renal composite:2

• doubling of serum creatininec

• requirement for RRT• renal death

Renal composite:3

• 40% reduction in eGFR to < 60 ml/min/1.73 m2

• end-stage renal disease• renal deal

CANVAS Program (canagliflozin)1

Renal composite

Renal composite

Renal composite

Progression of albuminuria

Incident or worsening nephropathya

EMPA-REG (empagliflozin)2

DECLARE-TIMI 58 (dapagliflozin)3

Page 25: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Primary Outcome:ESKD, Doubling of Serum Creatinine, or Renal or CV Death

0

5

10

15

20

25

0 26 52 78 104 130 156 182

Parti

cip

an

ts w

ith

an

even

t (%

)

Months since randomization

Hazard ratio, 0.70 (95% CI, 0.59–0.82)P = 0.00001

6 12 18 24 30 36 42

340 participants

245 participants

Placebo

Canagliflozin

No. at risk

Placebo 2199 2178 2132 2047 1725 1129 621 170

Canagliflozin 2202 2181 2145 2081 1786 1211 646 196

Parti

cip

an

ts w

ith

an

even

t (%

)

Page 26: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Background

• Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM) is a prevalent disorder in the elderly with approximately one quarter of people age >65 with T2DM.

• Limited therapeutic experience and insufficient long-term safety data in very elderly patients, age ≥75 years, led some authorities not to recommend initiation of SGLT2i therapy at this age.

• The DECLARE-TIMI 58 study included 7907 elderly patients (age ≥ 65) of whom 1096 were very elderly (≥75 years).

• We studied the efficacy and safety of dapagliflozin in elderly and very elderly patients with T2DM.

Page 27: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Baseline Characteristics

Characteristic Age < 65 Age ≥65-<75 Age ≥75 P-Trend

(N = 9253) (N = 6811) (N = 1096)

Duration of diabetes

(years), Median (IQR)10.0* (5.0, 15.0) 12.0 (7.0, 18.0) 14.0 (8.0, 20.0) <.0001

Male Sex, N (%) 6203 (67.0) 3873 (56.9) 662 (60.4) <.0001

White, N (%) 7052 (76.2) 5639 (82.8) 962 (87.8) <.0001

Black, N (%) 351 (3.8) 222 (3.3) 30 (2.7) 0.0203

Asian, N (%) 1493 (16.1) 727 (10.7) 83 (7.6) <.0001

BMI, Median (IQR) 31.6* (28.0, 35.9) 31.1* (27.8, 35.0) 30.2* (27.4, 33.9) <.0001

Established ASCVD N (%) 3973 (42.9) 2519 (37.0) 482 (44.0) <.0001

History of HF, N (%) 886 (9.6) 682 (10.0) 156 (14.2) 0.0002

eGFR, Median (IQR) 94.0* (81.0, 100.0) 84.0 (70.0, 92.0) 75.0 (64.0, 84.0) <.0001

HbA1c, Median (IQR) 8.2* (7.5, 9.3) 7.9* (7.3, 8.7) 7.8* (7.2, 8.5) <.0001

*Data missing for up to 4 persons

Page 28: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Baseline Characteristics

Characteristic Age < 65 Age ≥65-<75 Age ≥75 P-Trend

(N = 9253) (N = 6811) (N = 1096)

Metformin, N (%) 7702 (83.2) 5572 (81.8) 794 (72.4) <.0001

SU, N (%) 3962 (42.8) 2882 (42.3) 478 (43.6) 0.9301

Insulin, N (%) 3779 (40.8) 2805 (41.2) 429 (39.1) 0.6789

Statin, N (%) 6772 (73.2) 5164 (75.8) 823 (75.1) 0.001

ACE Inhibitor/ARB, N (%) 7404 (80.0) 5629 (82.6) 917 (83.7) <.0001

Any diuretic, N (%) 3453 (37.3) 3000 (44.0) 514 (46.9) <.0001

Diuretics - loops, N (%) 832 (9.0) 791 (11.6) 183 (16.7) <.0001

Antiplatelet Therapy, N (%) 5605 (60.6) 4171 (61.2) 711 (64.9) 0.0203

Beta Blockers, N (%) 4854 (52.5) 3570 (52.4) 606 (55.3) 0.2689

Page 29: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Metabolic Efficacy

Page 30: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

7.2

7.4

7.6

7.8

8

8.2

8.4

8.6

0 1 2 3 4

Ad

just

ed M

ean

Hb

A1

c (%

)

Years

<65,Placebo<65, Dapa

65-<75,Placebo

HbA1c Changes in the Age Groups

Page 31: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

80

82

84

86

88

90

92

94

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

Ad

just

ed M

ean

Wei

ght

Years

<65, Placebo

<65, Dapa

65-<75,Placebo

Weight Changes in the Age Groups

Page 32: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

129

130

131

132

133

134

135

136

137

138

0 1 2 3 4

Ad

just

ed M

ean

Sys

tolic

Blo

od

P

ress

ure

Years

<65,Placebo<65, Dapa

65-<75,Placebo

Systolic BP in the Age Groups

Page 33: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Cardiovascular and Renal Efficacy

Page 34: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Efficacy Outcomes

CVD – Cardiovascular death; HHF – Hospitalization for heart failure; MACE – Major Adverse Cardiovascular events

Page 35: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Efficacy Outcomes

Page 36: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Safety Outcomes

• The incidence of serious adverse events (SAE’s) was lower with dapagliflozin vs.

placebo in the overall study population with no age based treatment interaction.

• HR (95% CI) for SAE’s:

• 0.93 (0.86, 1.00) in age <65• 0.88 (0.81, 0.95) in age ≥65-<75• 1.02 (0.85, 1.21) in age ≥75

Interaction p value 0.2667

• No heterogeneity across age groups was observed for any of the outcomes

assessed, although the number of events in the very elderly was often quite

small yielding wide confidence intervals in this age category.

Page 37: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Safety Outcomes

96 96 2186 90 310.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

< 65 years ≥65-< 75 years

≥ 75 years

58 56 1180 73 220.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

4.0%

4.5%

< 65 years ≥65-< 75 years

≥ 75 years

HR 0.69 (0.49, 0.97)P=0.03

Volume depletion Acute kidney injury

Interaction P-value0.6922

Interaction P-value0.4046

HR 1.07 (0.80, 1.44)P=0.63

HR 0.70 (0.40, 1.23)P=0.22

HR 1.06 (0.79, 1.41)P=0.71

Dapagliflozin Placebo

HR 0.75 (0.53, 1.07)P=0.11

HR 0.52 (0.25, 1.08)P=0.08

HR 1.00 (0.83, 1.21), p=0.99 HR 0.69 (0.55, 0.87), p=0.002

Page 38: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

166 261 54175 251 600.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

< 65 years ≥65-< 75 years

≥ 75 years

Safety outcomes

205 212 40200 208 320.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

8.0%

9.0%

< 65 years ≥65-< 75 years

≥ 75 years

Fractures Malignancies

Interaction P-value0.7577

Interaction P-value0.5245

HR 1.02 (0.84, 1.24)P=0.86

HR 1.36 (0.85, 2.17)P=0.20

HR 1.02 (0.84, 1.23)P=0.87

Dapagliflozin Placebo

HR 1.03 (0.87, 1.23)P=0.70

HR 0.95 (0.66, 1.38)P=0.79

HR 0.94 (0.76, 1.16)P=0.58

HR 0.99 (0.87, 1.12), p=0.83HR 1.04 (0.91, 1.18), p=0.59

Page 39: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Safety outcomes

28 21 928 41 140.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

< 65 years ≥65-< 75 years

≥ 75 years

15 9 37 3 20.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

1.0%

< 65 years ≥65-< 75 years

≥ 75 years

HR 2.05 (0.84, 5.03)P=0.12

Major hypoglycemia Diabetic ketoacidosis*

Interaction P-value0.8433

Interaction P-value0.2107

HR 0.97 (0.58, 1.64)P=0.91

HR 0.68 (0.29, 1.57)P=0.36

HR 0.50 (0.29, 0.84)P<0.01

Dapagliflozin Placebo

HR 2.89 (0.78, 10.69)P=0.11

HR 1.63 (0.27, 9.81)P=0.59

HR 2.18 (1.10, 4.30), p=0.02HR 0.68 (0.49, 0.95), p=0.02

*Adjudicated as definite or probable

Page 40: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

37 35 46 1 20.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

1.0%

1.2%

1.4%

1.6%

< 65 years ≥65-< 75 years

≥ 75 years

Safety Outcomes

48 63 1655 68 100.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

< 65 years ≥65-< 75 years

≥ 75 years

Urinary tract infections*

Genital infections*

Interaction P-value0.1058

Interaction P-value0.3066

HR 0.84 (0.57, 1.24)P=0.39

HR 1.60 (0.73, 3.54)P=0.24

HR 0.90 (0.64, 1.27)P=0.57

Dapagliflozin Placebo

HR 6.07 (2.56, 14.38)P<0.01

HR 1.99 (0.36, 10.87)P=0.43

HR 34.55 (4.73, 252.17)P<0.01

HR 8.36 (4.19, 16.68), p<0.001HR 0.93 (0.73, 1.18), p=0.54

*Serious or leading to drug discontinuation

Page 41: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Conclusions

• DECLARE-TIMI 58 confirms the efficacy results for the overall

population with cardiovascular and renal benefits regardless of age.

• This sub-analysis also confirms the safety of dapagliflozin which was

consistent across all age groups studied.

• Dapagliflozin provides clinically relevant benefits to patients with

T2DM regardless of age.

Page 42: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Assessing Dapagliflozin in Patients with Chronic HFrEF With or Without T2D1-4

41

CV = cardiovascular; eGFR = estimated glomerular filtration rate; ESRD = end stage renal disease; HbA1c = glycated haemoglobin; HF = heart failure; HFrEF = heart failure with reduced ejection fraction; hHF = hospitalisation for heart failure; KCCQ = Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire; LVEF = left ventricular ejection fraction; NT-proBNP = N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide; NYHA = New York Heart Association; SoC = standard of care; T2D = type 2 diabetes.1. McMurray JJV et al. Article and supplementary appendix. Eur J Heart Fail. 2019;21:665-675; 2. McMurray J. Presentation at: European Society of Cardiology Congress. September 1, 2019; Paris, France; 3. Study NCT03036124. ClinicalTrials.gov website. Accessed August 19, 2019. 4. McMurray JJV et al. Eur J Heart Fail. 2019;doi: 10.1002/ejhf.1548. Accessed July 16, 2019.

Target primary endpoint events: 8441

Median follow-up: 18.2 months2

Completion: July 20193

Placebo + standard of care

Dapagliflozin 10 mg + standard of care

1:1

Do

ub

le-b

lin

d

4744 patients• ≥18 years of age

• With or without T2D

• Diagnosis of symptomatic HFrEF (NYHA class II-IV) for ≥ 2 months

• LVEF ≤40% within last 12 months

• Elevated NT-proBNP

• eGFR ≥30 ml/min/1.73 m2

• Stable SoC HFrEF treatment

Visit 1 (enrollment)

Day -14Visit 2 (randomisation)

Day 0Visit 6, etc.

Every 120 days

Visit 5

Day 120

Visit 3

Day 14Visit 4

Day 60

Secondary Endpoints

• Time to first occurrence of either of the components of the composite: CV death or hHF

• Total number of (first and recurrent) hHF and CV death• Change from baseline measured at 8 months in the total symptom score of

the KCCQ• Time to first occurrence of any of the components of the composite: ≥50%

sustained decline in eGFR or reaching ESRD or renal death• Time to death from any cause

Primary Endpoint

• Time to first occurrence of any of the

components of the composite: CV

death or hHF or an urgent HF visit

Page 43: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

DAPA-HF Key Baseline Characteristics

a Includes 82 dapagliflozin and 74 placebo patients with previously undiagnosed diabetes i.e. two HbA1c ≥6.5% (≥48 mmol/mol).

BP = blood pressure; eGFR = estimated glomerular filtration rate; NT pro BNP = N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide; NYHA = New York Heart Association; LVEF = left ventricular ejection fraction; T2D = type 2 diabetes.

McMurray J. Presentation at: European Society of Cardiology Congress. September 1, 2019; Paris, France.

Characteristic Dapagliflozin

(n=2373)

Placebo

(n=2371)

Mean age (yr) 66 67

Male (%) 76 77

NYHA class II/III/IV (%) 68/31/1 67/32/1

Mean LVEF (%) 31 31

Median NT pro BNP (pg/mL) 1428 1446

Mean systolic BP (mmHg) 122 122

Ischaemic aetiology (%) 55 57

Mean eGFR (mL/min/1.73m2) 66 66

Prior diagnosis T2D (%) 42 42

Any baseline T2D (%)a 45 45

42

Page 44: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Distribution of Patients by Glycaemic Status

43

HbA1c = glycated haemoglobin.

1. McMurray JJV et al. Article and supplementary appendix. Eur J Heart Fail. 2019;doi: 10.1002/ejhf.1548. Accessed July 16, 2019.

42%

3%

37%

18%History of

diabetes

Euglycaemi

c

Prediabete

s

Undiagnosed diabetes

N=4744

Euglycaemic (n=857)

• HbA1c <5.7% at Visits 1 and 2

History of diabetes (n=1983)

• Provided by investigators

Undiagnosed diabetes (n=154)

• HbA1c ≥6.5% at Visits 1 and 2 in patients without diabetes history

Prediabetes (n=1750)

• HbA1c ≥5.7% at Visits 1 and 2 in patients without known or undiagnosed diabetes

3

%

Page 45: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Primary Endpoint: CV Death or hHF or an Urgent HF Visit1

44

DAPA = dapagliflozin; HF = heart failure; hHF = hospitalisation for heart failure; HR = hazard ratio; NNT = number needed to treat.

1. McMurray J. Presentation at: European Society of Cardiology Congress. September 1, 2019; Paris, France.

2105931096147819172075216322582371Placebo

2106121146156020022147222123052373DAPA

32

28

24

20

16

12

8

4

0

242115 18129630No. at Risk Months from Randomisation

Cu

mu

lati

ve

Pe

rce

nta

ge

(%

)

36

HR 0.74 (0.65, 0.85)

p=0.00001

NNT = 21

DAPA

Placebo 26% RRR

Absolute Risk Reduction

[ARR]=4% Event rate/100 patient

years:

11.6 vs 15.6; p=0.00001

Page 46: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Component of Primary Endpoint: Worsening HF Event

DAPA = Dapagliflozin; HF = Heart failure; HR = Hazard ratio.

McMurray J. Presentation at: European Society of Cardiology Congress. September 1, 2019; Paris, France.

2105931096147819172075216322582371Placebo

2106121146156020022147222123052373DAPA

No. at Risk Months from Randomisation

20

15

10

5

0

242115 18129630

Cu

mu

lati

ve

Pe

rce

nta

ge

(%

)

45

DAPA

Placebo

HR 0.70 (0.59,0.83)

p=0.00003

30% RRR

Absolute Risk Reduction

[ARR]=3% Event rate/100 patient

years:

7.1 vs 10.1; p=0.00003

Page 47: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

20

15

10

5

0

242115 18129630

Cu

mu

lati

ve

Pe

rce

nta

ge

(%

)

Component of Primary Endpoint: Cardiovascular Death

DAPA = Dapagliflozin; HR = Hazard ratio.

McMurray J. Presentation at: European Society of Cardiology Congress. September 1, 2019; Paris, France.46

DAPA

Placebo

2346641219163620912230227923302371Placebo

2326711242166421272248229323392373DAPA

No. at Risk Months from Randomisation

HR 0.82 (0.69,0.98)

p=0.029

18% RRR

Absolute Risk Reduction

[ARR]=1.4%

Event rate/100 patient years:

6.5 vs 7.9; p=0.029

Page 48: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Primary Endpoint: Subgroup Analyses

47

*Defined as history of type 2 diabetes or HbA1c ≥6.5% at both enrollment and randomisation visits.

McMurray J. Presentation at: European Society of Cardiology Congress. September 1, 2019; Paris, France.

Characteristics

Dapagliflozin

(n=2373)

Placebo

(n=2371) HR (95% CI) HR (95% CI)

All Patients 386/2373 502/2371 0.74 (0.65, 0.85)

Type 2 Diabetes at Baseline*

Yes 215/1075 271/1064 0.75 (0.63, 0.90)

No 171/1298 231/1307 0.73 (0.60, 0.88)

0.800.50 1.00 1.25Placebo BetterDAPA Better

Characteristics

Dapagliflozin

(n=2373)

Placebo

(n=2371) HR (95% CI) HR (95% CI)

All Patients 386/2373 502/2371 0.74 (0.65, 0.85)

Angiotensin Receptor Neprilysin Inhibitor (ARNI)

Yes 41/250 56/258 0.75 (0.50, 1.13)

No 345/2123 446/2113 0.74 (0.65, 0.86)

0.800.50 1.00 1.25Placebo BetterDAPA Better

Prespecified Subgroup

Post-hoc Subgroup

Page 49: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Safety/Adverse Events

+Volume depletion serious AEs in 29 dapagliflozin patients (1.2%) and 40 placebo patients (1.7%), p=0.23‡Renal serious AEs in 38 dapagliflozin patients (1.6%) and 65 placebo patients (2.7%), p=0.009

McMurray J. Presentation at: European Society of Cardiology Congress. September 1, 2019; Paris, France.

Patients exposed to at least

one dose of study drug

Dapagliflozin

(n=2368)

Placebo

(n=2368) p-value

Adverse events (AE) of interest (%)

Volume depletion+ 7.5 6.8 0.40

Renal AE‡ 6.5 7.2 0.36

Fracture 2.1 2.1 1.00

Amputation 0.5 0.5 1.00

Major hypoglycaemia 0.2 0.2 -

Diabetic ketoacidosis 0.1 0.0 -

AE leading to treatment discontinuation (%) 4.7 4.9 0.79

Any serious adverse event (incl. death) (%) 38 42 <0.01

48

Page 50: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Summary and conclusions

• SGLT2i reduce HbA1c, weight and blood pressure in T2DM

• Three major CV outcome trials show that SGLT2i reduce cardiovascular events,

especially heart failure in T2DM

• There is clear evidence that SGLT2i reduce MACE for those with established

cardiovascular disease

• Heart failure events are reduced independent of baseline ejection fraction, but

those with reduced ejection fraction may have greatest benefit

• SGLT2i improve renal outcomes in T2DM

• Cardiovascular benefit also seen in older people, without an increase in adverse

effects

• DAPA-HF shows SGLT2i also effective in people with HF without diabetes

• SGLT2i should be considered in patients with type 2 diabetes: known

cardiovascular disease and / or heart failure, diabetic nephropathy

Page 51: DECLARE One Year On...Exploratory renal outcomes in SGLT2i CV outcomes trials a Progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine and eGFR ≤ 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , initiation

Future Landscape for SGLT2i

• Ongoing trials in HF including HFpEF with and without

diabetes

• Trials in other chronic kidney disease ongoing

Likely widespread use in HF and kidney disease if

benefits confirmed

• Recent approval for dapagliflozin in type 1 diabetes

Likely more widespread use if renal benefits also

shown in T1DM