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December 2, 2021

December 2, 2021

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December 2, 2021

COVID-19 Cases in the Canada, Ontario, andWindsor-Essex

2021-12-02

Epidemic Curve by Reported Date in Canada

2021-12-02

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

3/11

/202

0

4/11

/202

0

5/11

/202

0

6/11

/202

0

7/11

/202

0

8/11

/202

0

9/11

/202

0

10/1

1/20

20

11/1

1/20

20

12/1

1/20

20

1/11

/202

1

2/11

/202

1

3/11

/202

1

4/11

/202

1

5/11

/202

1

6/11

/202

1

7/11

/202

1

8/11

/202

1

9/11

/202

1

10/1

1/20

21

11/1

1/20

21

# of

con

firm

ed C

OVI

D-19

case

s

New Cases 7-day average

Epidemic Curve by Reported Date in Ontario

2021-12-02

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

3/11

/202

0

4/11

/202

0

5/11

/202

0

6/11

/202

0

7/11

/202

0

8/11

/202

0

9/11

/202

0

10/1

1/20

20

11/1

1/20

20

12/1

1/20

20

1/11

/202

1

2/11

/202

1

3/11

/202

1

4/11

/202

1

5/11

/202

1

6/11

/202

1

7/11

/202

1

8/11

/202

1

9/11

/202

1

10/1

1/20

21

11/1

1/20

21

# of

con

firm

ed C

OVI

D-19

case

s

New Cases 7-day average

Epidemic Curve by Reported Date in Windsor-Essex

2021-12-02

0

50

100

150

200

250

3003/

24/2

020

4/24

/202

0

5/24

/202

0

6/24

/202

0

7/24

/202

0

8/24

/202

0

9/24

/202

0

10/2

4/20

20

11/2

4/20

20

12/2

4/20

20

1/24

/202

1

2/24

/202

1

3/24

/202

1

4/24

/202

1

5/24

/202

1

6/24

/202

1

7/24

/202

1

8/24

/202

1

9/24

/202

1

10/2

4/20

21

11/2

4/20

21

# of

con

firm

ed C

OVI

D-19

case

s

Date Reported

Case Count 7-day average

Windsor-Essex Rate by Reported Week

2021-12-02

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

300.0

350.0

400.0

17 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50 53 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45

# of

CO

VID-

19 ca

ses

Rate

per

100

,000

pop

ulat

ion

Reported Week

Weekly Comparison of Rates in Ontario

2021-12-02

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

300.0

350.0

400.0

17 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50 53 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45

Rate

per

100

,000

pop

ulat

ion

Reported Week

Windsor-Essex Rate Southwestern Ontario Ontario

Week 47 Case Rates by Public Health Unit(November 21 to November 27, 2021)

2021-12-02

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

Tim

iska

min

gAl

gom

aW

inds

or-E

ssex

Sudb

ury

KFL&

AHa

ldim

and-

Nor

folk

Sout

hwes

tern

Bran

tSi

mco

e M

usko

kaHP

ECTh

unde

r Bay

Chat

ham

-Ken

tEa

ster

n O

ntar

ioLa

mbt

onW

ater

loo

Huro

n Pe

rth

Durh

am York

Ott

awa

Halto

nG

rey

Bruc

ePe

terb

orou

ghN

iaga

raHa

milt

onM

iddl

esex

-Lon

don

Toro

nto

Renf

rew

WD

GPe

elHK

PRN

orth

wes

tern

LGLD

NBP

SPo

rcup

ine

Rate

per

100

,000

pop

ulat

ion

PHU Ontario

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

Wee

k01-

08 F

eb29

Wee

k12

Mar

28W

eek1

6 Ap

r25

Wee

k20

May

23W

eek2

4 Ju

n20

Wee

k28

Jul1

8W

eek3

2 Au

g15

Wee

k 36

Sep

12W

eek

40 O

ct10

Wee

k 44

Nov

7W

eek

48 D

ec5

Wee

k 52

Jan2

Wee

k 4

Jan3

0W

eek

8 Fe

b27

Wee

k 12

Mar

27W

eek

16 A

pr24

Wee

k 20

May

22W

eek

24 Ju

n19

Wee

k 28

Jul1

7W

eek

32 A

ug14

Wee

k 36

Sep

11W

eek

40 O

ct9

Wee

k 44

Nov

6 # of

peo

ple

test

ed/#

of t

ests

com

plet

ed

% p

ositi

vity

Week

Weekly test completed % positivity (all WEC tests)

Percent Positivity by Week by All Tests

2021-12-02

% Positivity in Ontario: 7-Day Average

2021-12-02

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

8.0%

Hald

iman

d-N

orfo

lkSo

uthw

este

rnTi

mis

kam

ing

Win

dsor

-Ess

exBr

ant C

ount

yAl

gom

aSu

dbur

ySi

mco

e M

usko

kaHu

ron

Pert

hW

ater

loo

Chat

ham

-Ken

tHP

ECTh

unde

r Bay

KFL&

ALa

mbt

onN

iaga

raEa

ster

n O

ntar

ioDu

rham

LGLD

York

Mid

dles

ex-L

ondo

nHa

lton

Peel

Pete

rbor

ough

Renf

rew

Cou

nty

Ott

awa

Toro

nto

WD

GHa

milt

onG

rey

Bruc

eN

BPS

HKPR

Porc

upin

eN

orth

wes

tern

% p

ositi

vity

: 7-d

ay a

vera

ge

PHU Ontario

% Positivity in Windsor-Essex by Age: 7-Day Average

2021-12-02

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

01Ap

r202

0

01M

ay20

20

01Ju

n202

0

01Ju

l202

0

01Au

g202

0

01Se

p202

0

01O

ct20

20

01N

ov20

20

01De

c202

0

01Ja

n202

1

01Fe

b202

1

01M

ar20

21

01Ap

r202

1

01M

ay20

21

01Ju

n202

1

01Ju

l202

1

01Au

g202

1

01Se

p202

1

01O

ct20

21

01N

ov20

21

% p

osiv

itiy

-7-d

ay a

vera

ge

Date

0 to 17 18 to 34 35 to 64 65+

Rate per 100,000 by Municipality (November 2021to Present)

2021-12-02

469434

400

219250

549

461

263

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Rate

per

100

,000

pop

ulat

ion

Municipality

Distribution of COVID-19 Cases by Municipalityin last 30 days (November 1 to November 30)

2021-12-02

Amherstburg8%

Essex7%

Kingsville7%

Lakeshore6%

LaSalle6%

Leamington12%

Tecumseh8%

Windsor46%

Distribution of COVID-19 Cases by Municipalityin last 7 days (November 17 to November 30)

2021-12-02

Amherstburg9%

Essex6%

Kingsville8%

Lakeshore6%

LaSalle6%

Leamington13%

Tecumseh6%

Windsor46%

Age & Sex Distribution

2021-12-02

23%

10%

17%

16%14%

10%

6%

3%

47%

52%

16%

22%

16%14% 13%

9%5% 6%

52%

48%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

0 to 19years

20 to 29years

30 to 39years

40 to 49years

50 to 59years

60 to 69years

70 to 79years

80+years

Male Female

% o

f CO

VID-

19 ca

ses

Last Two Weeks Overall

Source of Acquisition (November to Present)

2021-12-02

31.6%

28.6%

20.4%

7.3%

1.5%

10.6%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

Community HouseholdContact

Close Contact Outbreak Travel UnderInvestigation

% o

f cas

es

Exposure Type

Epidemic Curve of School-Aged Cases

2021-12-02

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

3/22

/202

0

4/22

/202

0

5/22

/202

0

6/22

/202

0

7/22

/202

0

8/22

/202

0

9/22

/202

0

10/2

2/20

20

11/2

2/20

20

12/2

2/20

20

1/22

/202

1

2/22

/202

1

3/22

/202

1

4/22

/202

1

5/22

/202

1

6/22

/202

1

7/22

/202

1

8/22

/202

1

9/22

/202

1

10/2

2/20

21

11/2

2/20

21

# of

CO

VID-

19 ca

ses

Reported Date

# School-Aged Cases School-aged 7-day average

7-Day Average Comparison Between School-Aged Children & Overall Windsor-Essex

Population

2021-12-02

024681012141618

0

50

100

150

200

250

3/22

/202

0

4/22

/202

0

5/22

/202

0

6/22

/202

0

7/22

/202

0

8/22

/202

0

9/22

/202

0

10/2

2/20

20

11/2

2/20

20

12/2

2/20

20

1/22

/202

1

2/22

/202

1

3/22

/202

1

4/22

/202

1

5/22

/202

1

6/22

/202

1

7/22

/202

1

8/22

/202

1

9/22

/202

1

10/2

2/20

21

11/2

2/20

21

# of

SCH

OO

L-AG

ED c

ases

: 7-d

ay a

vera

ge

# of

OVE

RVAL

L cas

es: 7

-day

ave

rage

Reported Date

Overall 7-day average School-aged 7-day average

COVID-19 In-Patient Hospitalizations

2021-12-02

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

26/M

ar/2

0

26/A

pr/2

0

26/M

ay/2

0

26/J

un/2

0

26/J

ul/2

0

26/A

ug/2

0

26/S

ep/2

0

26/O

ct/2

0

26/N

ov/2

0

26/D

ec/2

0

26/J

an/2

1

26/F

eb/2

126

/Mar

/21

26/A

pr/2

1

26/M

ay/2

1

26/J

un/2

1

26/J

ul/2

1

26/A

ug/2

1

26/S

ep/2

1

26/O

ct/2

1

26/N

ov/2

1 # of

CO

VID-

19 ca

ses h

ospi

taliz

ed (W

inds

or-E

ssex

)

# of

CO

VID-

19 ca

ses h

ospi

taliz

ed (O

ntar

io)

Ontario Windsor-Essex

COVID-19 ICU

2021-12-02

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

29/M

ar/2

0

29/A

pr/2

0

29/M

ay/2

0

29/J

un/2

0

29/J

ul/2

0

29/A

ug/2

0

29/S

ep/2

0

29/O

ct/2

0

29/N

ov/2

0

29/D

ec/2

0

29/J

an/2

1

28/F

eb/2

1

31/M

ar/2

1

30/A

pr/2

1

31/M

ay/2

1

30/J

un/2

1

31/J

ul/2

1

31/A

ug/2

1

30/S

ep/2

1

31/O

ct/2

1

# of

CO

VID-

19 ca

ses i

n IC

U (W

inds

or-E

ssex

)

# of

CO

VID-

19 ca

ses i

n IC

U (O

ntar

io)

Ontario Windsor-Essex

Weekly Vaccination Case Rates (November 22 toNovember 28, 2021)

2021-12-02

Relative risk = 3.4. Unvaccinated cases are 3.4 times more likely to acquire COVID-19compared to those fully vaccinated

244.3

72.3

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

300.0

Unvaccinated Fully Vaccinated

Rate

per

100

,000

pop

ulat

ion

Weekly Vaccination Rates of In-PatientHospitalized Cases (November 22 to November

28, 2021)

2021-12-02

Relative risk = 6.0. Unvaccinated cases are 6.0 times more likely to be hospitalized forCOVID-19 compared to those fully vaccinated

19.2

3.2

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

Unvaccinated Fully Vaccinated

Rate

per

100

,000

pop

ulat

ion

2021-12-02

Weekly Vaccination Rate of ICU Cases(November 22 to November 28, 2021)

Relative risk = 4.8. Unvaccinated cases are 4.8 times more likely to be hospitalized inthe ICU for COVID-19 compared to those fully vaccinated

3.0

0.6

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

Unvaccinated Fully Vaccinated

Rate

per

100

,000

pop

ulat

ion

Doubling Time (Day over Day Comparison)

2021-12-02

1

20

400

800028

-Mar

28-A

pr

28-M

ay

28-J

un

28-J

ul

28-A

ug

28-S

ep

28-O

ct

28-N

ov

28-D

ec

28-J

an

28-F

eb

31-M

ar

30-A

pr

31-M

ay

30-J

un

31-J

ul

31-A

ug

30-S

ep

31-O

ct

Doub

ling

Tim

e (lo

g10)

Reported Date

ONT Doubling TimeWECHU Doubling TimeCanada Doubling Time

Median R0 (Effective)

2021-12-02

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3/24

/202

0

4/24

/202

0

5/24

/202

0

6/24

/202

0

7/24

/202

0

8/24

/202

0

9/24

/202

0

10/2

4/20

20

11/2

4/20

20

12/2

4/20

20

1/24

/202

1

2/24

/202

1

3/24

/202

1

4/24

/202

1

5/24

/202

1

6/24

/202

1

7/24

/202

1

8/24

/202

1

9/24

/202

1

10/2

4/20

21

11/2

4/20

21

Mea

n R0

Date of Symptom Onset

COVID-19 Vaccine Status

2021-12-02

Number of Vaccine Doses Administered Daily toWindsor-Essex Residents (October to Present)

2021-12-02

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000#

of d

oses

adm

inist

ered

dai

ly

Dose 1 Dose 2 Dose 3

WEC Residents Vaccinated With At Least OneDose by Age Group

2021-12-02

12.8%

78.6%73.8%

79.7%

88.3% 89.0% 88.1%91.4%

94.7% 99.9%

86.8%80.9%

77.2%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

100.0%

% o

f age

gro

up v

acci

nate

d w

ith a

t lea

st 1

dos

e

WEC Residents Fully Vaccinated by Age Group

2021-12-02

0.0%

73.8%69.8%

75.2%

83.7% 85.7% 85.8%89.8%

93.3%97.3%

83.7%77.0%

73.5%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

100.0%%

of W

EC re

side

nts f

ully

vac

cina

ted

Vaccine Coverage in WEC by Forward Sortation AreaWith at Least 1 Dose Administered (all residentsincluding children)

2021-12-02

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

N0P

N0R

N8H

N8M N8N N8P

N8R N8S

N8T

N8W N8X N8Y

N9A N9B N9C N9E

N9G

N9H N9J

N9K

N9V N9Y

Hots

pot

Ove

rall

% o

f pop

ulat

ion

vacc

inat

ed w

ith a

t lea

st 1

dose

Fully Vaccinated Coverage Rates by ForwardSortation Area in Windsor-Essex County (all residentsincluding children)

2021-12-02

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%N

0PN

0RN

8HN

8M N8N N8P

N8R N8S

N8T

N8W N8X N8Y

N9A N9B N9C N9E

N9G

N9H N9J

N9K

N9V N9Y

Hots

pot

Ove

rall

% o

f pop

ulat

ion

fully

vac

cina

ted

with

2 d

oses

Percentage of Residents 5+ With At Least 1 Doseby Public Health Unit

2021-12-02

70.0%72.0%74.0%76.0%78.0%80.0%82.0%84.0%86.0%88.0%90.0%92.0%

LGLD

Nor

thw

este

rnKF

L&A

Ott

awa

Mid

dles

ex-L

ondo

nDu

rham

Halto

nTo

ront

oTh

unde

r Bay

Peel

WD

GW

ater

loo

York

Sudb

ury

Algo

ma

HKPR

East

ern

Pete

rbor

ough

Nia

gara

NBP

SBr

ant

Ham

ilton

Sim

coe

Mus

koka

Porc

upin

eW

inds

or-E

ssex

HPEC

Huro

n-Pe

rth

Chat

ham

-Ken

tTi

mis

kam

ing

Renf

rew

Lam

bton

Hald

iman

d-N

orfo

lkSo

uthw

este

rnG

rey

Bruc

e

% o

f pop

ulat

ion

5+ w

ith a

t lea

st 1

dos

e

PHU Ontario

Percentage of Residents 5+ Fully Vaccinated byPublic Health Unit

2021-12-02

68.0%

70.0%

72.0%

74.0%

76.0%

78.0%

80.0%

82.0%

84.0%

86.0%

88.0%

LGLD

Nor

thw

este

rnKF

L&A

Ott

awa

Halto

nM

iddl

esex

-Lon

don

Durh

amTo

ront

oPe

elW

DG

York

HKPR

Thun

der B

ayPe

terb

orou

ghW

ater

loo

Sudb

ury

East

ern

Nia

gara

Algo

ma

NBP

SSi

mco

e M

usko

kaHa

milt

onBr

ant

Huro

n-Pe

rth

Win

dsor

-Ess

exHP

ECPo

rcup

ine

Chat

ham

-Ken

tTi

mis

kam

ing

Renf

rew

Lam

bton

Sout

hwes

tern

Gre

y Br

uce

Hald

iman

d-N

orfo

lk

% o

f res

iden

ts 5

+ fu

lly v

acci

nate

d

PHU Ontario

Summary:• Case rates in WEC have increased this week• Wastewater surveillance data highlights

COVID-19 levels have increased recently• Disproportionately higher cases among

children and youth• COVID-19 related hospitalization remain

unchanged but ICU admissions haveincreased

• Number of doses administered has increaseddue to 5-11 year olds and 3rd doses/booster.

2021-12-02

Summary of Monitoring Indicators for WEC• Most recent completed weekly case rate = 113.4

cases/100,000 population• Most recent 7-day rate = 123.1 cases/100,000

population• Percent positivity = 7.0% (full week)• Most recent 7-days percent positivity = 5.4%

• R0 (effective) = 1.34• Outbreaks remain high in our region• 80.9% of Windsor-Essex residents 5+ have

received with at least 1 dose• 77.0% of Windsor-Essex residents 5+ are fully

vaccinated

2021-12-02