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Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Chief, Population Sciences Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal Cancer Center Dana-Farber Cancer Institute Professor of Medicine, Harvard Medical School

Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

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Page 1: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

Deb Schrag, MD, MPHChief, Population Sciences Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal Cancer CenterDana-Farber Cancer InstituteProfessor of Medicine, Harvard Medical School

Page 2: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

• Personal fees from JAMA for editorship

• Research support from:• GRAIL• Pfizer

• Collaboration on RWD with:• AACR GENIE• FDA• Cancer-LINQ• Flatiron• NCI-SEER

Page 3: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

• Reasons for intense interest in RWD/RWE

• Use cases for RWD/RWE

• Challenges in using RWD/RWE

• Expanding capacity for RWD/RWE use

Page 4: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

• Act passed by US Congress in 2016• Intensive lobbying by patients and industry• Focuses on improving access to medicines and accelerating research• The Cures Act requires FDA to establish a program to evaluate RWE to:

• Support the approval of a new indications for a drug approved under section 505(c) of the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act

• Support or satisfy post-approval study requirements

• FDA released draft framework with guidance for industry in December 2018

Page 5: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

• RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine health care delivery

• RWD come from a variety of sources including:• Billing claims and encounter records• Population-level registries • Disease and device registries• Electronic health records• Patient-reported data• Electronic surveillance data (activity trackers, implants, wearables)• Large pragmatic trials—eg cluster RCTs

• RWD is defined by what it is not----data from prospective RCTs

• RWD’s purpose is to generate Real World Evidence

Page 6: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

Drug Development is lengthy and Failure Rates are High

Page 7: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

Public demand for accelerated progress

Problems with the traditional paradigm

Too few participants means that RCT results:

• Have high internal validity

• Often lack external validity

• Do not generalize to typical patients

Page 8: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

Genomic Data

What features?

Outcomes Data

Achieve best results?

Therapeutic Data

Which treatments?

• <5% of patients are treated on a clinical trial• To learn from the other 95%, we need to focus on

strengthening the RWD ecosystem

Page 9: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

Venook et al JAMA 2017

• Take a long time

• Require many patients

• Fail to detect small subsets that derive benefit

Page 10: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine
Page 11: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine
Page 12: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

• Growth and dissemination of Electronic Health Records

• International data standards that facilitate meaningful data sharing

• Growth in computational power• Fast computers• Declining costs for data storage

Page 13: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

• Reasons for intense interest in RWD/RWE

• Use cases for RWD/RWE

• Challenges in using RWD/RWE

• Expanding capacity for RWD/RWE use

Page 14: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

• To support drug development, testing and regulatory approval

• Relatively new• Controversial

• After a drug receives regulatory approval from FDA/EMA or other regulatory authority

• Quite standard • Use cases are expanding

Page 15: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

• RWD in the Post Drug Approval Space

• Meet post-marketing commitments

• Pharmacovigilance

• Identify exceptional subgroups

• Monitor dissemination

• Measure efficacy-effectiveness gap and public health impact

• Expand drug label to new indications

Page 16: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

TRADITIONAL APPROACH

• Commitments often not met• Expensive for industry• Often have low scientific yield• Often in select populations• Capture pre-specified outcomes on

case report forms

RWD APPROACH

• Use standardized EHRs to:• Evaluate treatment experience for all

drug recipients• Capture outcomes that can be

extracted from the EHR• Dosing, dose modifications• Major or lab toxicities• Health system use-ER/Hospitalizations• Measure time to treatment discontinuation• Measure overall survival• Challenging to measure response, DFS

Page 17: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

TRADITIONAL APPROACH

• Rely on voluntary reports from users—difficult to sift through and inconsistently submitted

• Rely on firms to meet post-marketing commitments in timely fashion

• Minimal patient reported data

RWD APPROACH

• Use standardized EHRs to

• Interrogate lab data for all users• Measure standardized outcomes including

hospitalizations, dose delays, dose reductions

• Use Patient Reported Outcomes• Measure toxicity from patient perspective• Understand the patient experience

Page 18: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

TRADITIONAL APPROACH

• Extensive analysis of RCT patient data subsequent to drug approval to identify “exceptional responders” or “exceptional resistance” as well as severe and/or mild toxicity

• Focus on select subgroups in Phase IV trials at select study sites

RWD APPROACH

• Use standardized EHRs combined with routinely performed molecular profiles to identify very small molecular subsets

• Measure outcomes in all patients with available EHR data

• Creative and strategic data partnerships• Foundation Medicine-genomic data• Flatiron Health-EHR data curation

Page 19: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

TRADITIONAL APPROACH

• New drug labeling indication requires new clinical trial demonstrating benefit

• Many trials in niche populations never performed

• Clinicians left to extrapolate and make decisions to the extent permissible by regulatory authorities

• Decisions get made but knowledge not captured for use in future cases

• Appendix cancer?• Duodenal cancer?• Her2+ colorectal cancer?

RWD APPROACH

• Capture “off label” use and measure outcomes in consistent fashion from EHR data

• Use data to expand/contract the label

• Label then used to dictate coverage and/or reimbursement levels

Page 20: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

• FDA expanded palbociclib label to include men with HER2+/ER- breast cancer in 2019

• ~2700 cases of male breast cancer per year in US• RCTs would be challenging• PALOMA2 and PALOMA3 excluded men

• Multiple data sources• Data from company registry (Pfizer)• EHR data from Flatiron• Insurance claims data from IQVIA

Page 21: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

• RWD in the Pre-Approval Space• Identifying clinical need• Selecting optimal sites to conduct study• Informing study design• Inclusion/exclusion criteria• Realistic timeline for accrual• Realistic target endpoints and appropriate sample size

• Clinical trial execution• Simplifying case report forms• Decreasing burden and expense of data collection• Facilitate interoperability across studies

• Support applications for accelerated approval based on uncontrolled studies• Avoid the need for randomization by using “synthetic control” arm from RWD

Page 22: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

• Blinatumomab received approval for Philadelphia chromosome-negative relapsed and refractory B-cell precursor acute lymphoblastic leukemia based on a single phase II trial

• The results were compared with historical data from 694 comparable patients extracted from 2,000 patient records in the U.S. and E.U

Page 23: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

• Avelumab was approved by the FDA in 2017 for treatment of metastatic Merkel Cell Carcinoma (~1600 cases per year in the USA)

• Phase II data demonstrated significant and durable response

• RWD describing outcomes in historical cohorts of patients were included in the application

• Ideal use case for RWD:• Very rare cancer• No previous effective treatment• Very clear strong signal from phase II• Very homogeneous treatment in RWD• Clear reproducible endpoint (Overall Survival)

Page 24: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

• Extremely challenging to use “synthetic controls” for common cancers• Validity traps abound• Unlikely to be acceptable to regulators absent very strong signal• Observational data cannot control for confounding by unmeasured factors• Trials with endpoints other than survival are especially challenging• RCTs will remain the backbone of progress• Strategies to improve execution and conduct of RCTs must be prioritized

Page 25: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

• Reasons for intense interest in RWD/RWE

• Use cases for RWD/RWE

• Challenges in using RWD/RWE

• Integrating Clinical Trials and RWD/RWE

Page 26: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

• Data privacy and security concerns

• Many obstacles to data sharing

• Poor interoperability across and within systems

• Lack of international standards for measuring the most salient outcomes• RECIST is a standard for measuring PFS in RCTs• RECIST isn’t workable in real world contexts• No standards for measuring DFS, PFS, response from unstructured EHR data

Page 27: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

• Observational data from study of MSI vs MSS patients treated with or without chemotherapy

• Appears that MSI patients obtain greater benefit from chemotherapy

• Misleading because MSI patients are younger and healthier

• Very difficult to remove selection bias

Elsaleh Lancet 2000

Page 28: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

THEN: Paper Records NOW: 100% EHRs

Page 29: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

Same old problem:Uninterpretable by computers;Unusable for research

Page 30: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

Unstructured Data

Immense information to be gleaned from unstructured data but it requires intelligence to analyze and interpret

Page 31: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

Structured DataUnstructured Data

Page 32: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

Even in the best EHRs, only a small % of “big data” is structured

WE NEED TO UNLOCK THE BLACK BOX

Today, EHRs are a black box Most of the information they contain is not structured and therefore not interpretable

Page 33: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

PRISSMM is a standard taxonomy for classification and communication of structured information about cancer status and treatment outcomes following the assignment of TNM stage for patients with solid tumors

Each letter in PRISSMM corresponds to a dimension of cancer status or treatment response.

Page 34: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

PRISSMM: A Taxonomy for Defining Cancer Outcomes

Pathologic evidence of locoregional or distant evidence of tumor

Radiographic evidence of locoregional recurrent or persistent tumor

Imaging evidence of distant/disseminated tumor beyond the primary site

Signs of cancer on physical exam or symptoms that can be attributed to tumor

Symptoms of tumor on physical exam or symptoms that can be attributed to tumor

Tumor Marker evidence of persistent or recurrent tumor

Oncology Medical Provider assessment

Each curation effort may focus on some or all of the PRISSMM componentsSigns may be relevant for melanoma outcomesMarkers may not be relevant for lung outcomes

Page 35: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

D. Schrag

• Expedites structuring unstructured data (gold standard)• Enables interoperability and data sharing across sites• Streamline EHR abstraction by research staff/registrars• Facilitates “computer assisted” abstraction• Breaks abstraction/annotation into discrete tasks for machines• Creates a “lingua franca” that is understood by the clinical and

research community• Allows customized definitions of PFS/DFS from “real world” data• Data standard works for all solid tumors

What Problems Does PRISSMM Aim to Solve?

Page 36: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

PRISSMM: Curation of Individual Patient TrajectoryColon Cancer Stage IV, First Treatment [℞1]

Page 37: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

PRISSMM: Curation of Individual Patient TrajectoryReal World Progression-Free Survival [Anchored from Diagnosis: Dx]

PFSI: Dx-13

PFSMD: Dx-16

PFSI or MD: Dx-13

Page 38: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

PRISSMM: Curating Patient OutcomesReal World Progression-Free Survival: Anchored from Treatment [℞]

PFSI: ℞1-12

PFSMD: ℞1-15

PFSI or MD: ℞1-12

Page 39: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

PRISSMM CurationStage IV Colon Cancer

Page 40: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

• Reasons for intense interest in RWD/RWE

• Use cases for RWD/RWE

• Challenges in using RWD/RWE

• Integrating Clinical Trials and RWD/RWE

Page 41: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

West H, JAMA Oncology 2017

Novel designs mandate strategic use of RWD

Impossible to execute these trials without a robust data ecosystem that efficiently permits access to RWD

Page 42: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine
Page 43: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

Just because vemurafenib has efficacy for BRAF+ melanoma doesn’t mean it will have efficacy for

BRAF+ colorectal cancer

Page 44: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

Drillion et al NEJM 2018

Page 45: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

Genomic Data Phenomic DataTherapeutic

Data

Knowledge Integration to Accelerate Discovery

Important Strategies:• Engaging patients directly: PROs• Artificial intelligence and Machine Learning

ProteomicsEpigenetics

Germline DNAPatient Reported

Data

Page 46: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine

• RCTs will:

• Become more varied in design

• Innovative designs depend on nimble data ecosystem

• Will rely on RWD to become more strategic across the life cycle

• RWD will:

• Grow and expand rapidly

• Depend on ability to overcome non-technical barriers

• Never completely replace RCTs

Page 47: Deb Schrag, MD, MPH Senior Physician, Gastrointestinal ... · •RWD is defined as: data relating to any aspect of patient health status that are collected in the context of routine