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Dealerships Are Far Too Valuable To Be Sold Any Other Way
©2016 Martinrea International Inc. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute or copy.
Kerrigan Advisors’ Transactions
The Success of a Confidential, Client-Focused Approach
Sell-Side Transactions since 2015 – 60 Dealerships SoldThe Most Active, Licensed Sell-Side Advisor in Auto Retail Nationwide
Sold To
Kendall Auto Group
Sold To
Lithia Motors Sold To
AMSI
Sold To
Gee Automotive Companies &
O’Brien Auto Group
3
Sold To
Bakhtiari Auto Group
Sold To
Lithia Motors
Sold To
McManes Auto Group
MERCEDES-BENZ OF
EDMONTON WEST
Sold To
KDW Automotive
Sold To
AutoNation
Sold To
CarPros
Sold To
Victory Auto Group
Sold To
Pendragon
©2016 Martinrea International Inc. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute or copy.
400+ Contacts
35 Countries
Kerrigan Advisors’ Blue Sky Report® is now sent to over 35 countries and 323 individuals outside of the US,
a testament to the growing interest in North American dealership values in today’s active M&A market.
Boost of International Interest in Auto Retail
Cross-Border Buy/Sell Activity is Increasing
©2016 Martinrea International Inc. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute or copy.
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
The Kerrigan IndexTM S&P 500 (rebased)
584.7
Source: Yahoo Finance
The Kerrigan Auto Retail Index – Historic Appreciation
©2016 Martinrea International Inc. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute or copy.
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
AutoCanada – Up Nearly 700% Since 2010
Source: Yahoo Finance
AutoCanada Market Cap in Millions2010-2018
629.952018.01.31
©2016 Martinrea International Inc. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute or copy.
Public Dealership Groups’ Price to Earnings Ratio
Based on Last Four Quarters Earnings
Growth is Rewarded & Higher Valuation Multiples Drives More Acquisition Activity
Source: SEC Filings, Yahoo Finance
15.1x
13.9x
11.4x10.8x
10.2x 9.8x 9.5x
AutoCanada Lithia Penske AutoNation Asbury Sonic Group 1
©2016 Martinrea International Inc. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute or copy.
Sellers See Risks
©2016 Martinrea International Inc. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute or copy.Source: Automotive News
Canadian Auto Sales at Peak Levels
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
110%
120%
130%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Canadian Sales Index US Sales Index
Canada vs. US Auto Sales
Indexed to 2007
©2016 Martinrea International Inc. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute or copy.
$594
$1,649
$3,176
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017e
Canadian Dealership Net Income After Tax2003 – 2017e, $ in Millions
Source: Scotiabank
Canadian Auto Retail at Peak Profit Levels
©2016 Martinrea International Inc. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute or copy.Source: Scotiabank
Canadian Dealerships at Peak Profit Levels
0.69%
2.63%
2.43%
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Q32017
Canadian Dealership Pre-Tax Margins2003 – 2017, $ in Millions
©2016 Martinrea International Inc. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute or copy.
Fear Factor from Industry Disruption – Driving More Sellers to Market
Source: ReThink X
$0.65 $0.62
$0.38
$0.16
Combustion Engine Electric Vehicle Transportation as aService Combustion
Engine
Transportation as aService Electric Vehicle
Vehicle Costs per Mile
Autonomous vehicles lower costs
and potentially drive consumers to
choose transportation as a service.
©2016 Martinrea International Inc. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute or copy.Source: Deloitte, Automotive News
80%
15%
5%
71%
22%
7%
Gas/Diesel Hybrid Other
United States Canada
Fear Factor from Industry Disruption – Driving More Sellers to Market
Consumer Preference for Type of
Engine in Next Vehicle
2018
©2016 Martinrea International Inc. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute or copy.Source: Deloitte, Automotive News
Fear Factor from Industry Disruption – Driving More Sellers to Market
Types of Companies Consumers Trust Most to Bring
Fully Autonomous Vehicle Technology to Market
2018
47%
28%25%
43%
33%
24%
Traditional car manufacturer New AV company/other Existing tech company
United States Canada
©2016 Martinrea International Inc. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute or copy. 23323644506068687070
101110120
138160160168171
187190
220250
400400
Ralph Lauren****
Gander Mountain
Eastern Outfitters
Lucy Activewear
Chico's
Guess
MC Sports
Macy's***
CVS
Staples
Gordmans Stores Inc.
American Apparel
BCBG
JCPenney
Sears and Kmart**
Crocs Inc.
Bebe Stores Inc*
Wet Seal
RadioShack
GameStop
hhgregg
The Limited
Payless Inc
Rue 21
Total: 3,296
Announced Store Closings
97% YoY
Major U.S. Retail Store Closings Announced2017 YTD
Retail Real Estate – Vacancies on the Rise
Source: Fung Global Retail and Technology
©2016 Martinrea International Inc. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute or copy.
26
51
40
72
2014 2015 2016 2017 YTD
Estimated Number of US Dealerships
Which Sold a Minority or Majority Stake2014 to 2017 YTD
Dealers More Open to Partnership Model
Source: The Banks Report, Automotive News, Kerrigan Advisors Analysis
©2016 Martinrea International Inc. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute or copy.
Buyers See
Opportunity to Score Big
©2016 Martinrea International Inc. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute or copy.
31% 33%
36%
Top 88 DealershipGroups
Small DealershipGroups and
Individual Dealers
Canada Dealership Market Share
Individual Dealerships
2-5 Store Groups
Over 2/3rds of the Canadian
market is owned by small groups
or single-store owners69%
Canadian Auto Retail Market – Highly Fragmented
©2016 Martinrea International Inc. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute or copy.
Average Dealership SG&A Expenses
as a Percentage of Gross Profit2017
Consolidation Provides Economies of Scale and Scope
Source: SEC Filings, NADA, Kerrigan Advisors Analysis
88.1%
78.2%74.3%
Average PrivateDealership
AutoCanada Average US Public
©2016 Martinrea International Inc. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute or copy.
8.8%
15.8%
47.3%
New Vehicle Used Vehicle Fixed Operations
Average Dealership Gross
Profit Margin by Department
5.4x
Auto Retail – Still a Highly Profitable Hedged Business Model
Source: NADA
©2016 Martinrea International Inc. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute or copy.Source: Bank of Canada
Low Cost of Capital Drives Equity and Asset Values
1.25%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Bank of Canada Interest Rate2007 – 2017
©2016 Martinrea International Inc. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute or copy.
Source: Yahoo Finance and Kerrigan Advisors Analysis - analysis assumes average multiples and
no improvement in earnings or leverage – working capital and assets represent 2 times earnings.
Auto Dealerships Still Highest Return Opportunity for Dealers
2.0% 2.2% 2.9%
4.1%
6.0%
7.8%
13.6%
19.2%
22.1%
FloorplanFinancing
Canada 10-Year Treasury
CanadaCorporate
Bonds
MSCI WorldReal Estate
10-Yr
Canada HighYield
CorporateBonds
S&P 50010-Year Avg
Top LuxuryFranchise ROI
Top Non-luxuryImport
Franchise ROI
DomesticFranchise ROI
©2016 Martinrea International Inc. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute or copy.
Factors Affecting Franchise Multiple Variability
Average
Blue Sky
Multiple
Adjusted
Blue Sky
Multiple
Lower Multiple
Higher Multiple
High
CSI & SSIHigh
Demand
Franchise
Highly
Suitable
Low Rent/
Image
Compliant
Low
CSI & SSILow
DemandFranchise
Unsuitable
High Rent/
Building
Project
Customer
RelationsBuyer
Demand
Market
Vehicle
Preference
Real
Estate
Single-
Point
Market
Over
Franchised
Market
Repres-
entation
High
Growth
Low
Growth
Earnings
Growth
Expectations
©2016 Martinrea International Inc. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute or copy.
Securities offered through Bridge Capital Associates, Inc. Member FINRA, SIPC
Recent Transactions
Sold To
Kendall Auto Group
Sold To
Lithia Motors Sold To
AMSI
Sold To
Gee Automotive Companies &
O’Brien Auto Group
25
Sold To
Bakhtiari Auto Group
Sold To
Lithia Motors
Sold To
McManes Auto Group
MERCEDES-BENZ OF
EDMONTON WEST
Sold To
KDW Automotive
Sold To
AutoNation
Sold To
CarPros
Sold To
Victory Auto Group
Sold To
Pendragon