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Results of VCD: Do we have any? Making the connection, Addis Ababa, 6 Nov. 2012 www.Enterprise-Development.org Jim Tanburn [email protected]

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Results of VCD: Do we have any?, by Jim Tanburn (DCED)

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Results of VCD:

Do we have any?

Making the connection, Addis Ababa, 6 Nov.

2012

www.Enterprise-Development.org

Jim Tanburn

[email protected]

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Outline

www.Enterprise-Development.org

• Introduction and overview, with Jim Tanburn

• Cocoa Livelihood Improvement Project (CLIP), the Solomon Islands, with Moses Pelomo

• Seeds and Markets Project (SAMP), Southern Africa, with Mihaela Balan

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There is pressure to measure ...

“Without being hard-hearted, we will also be hard-headed, and make sure our aid money is directed at those things which are quantifiable and measureable … so we really know we are getting results... That quantifiable, measurable outcome shows people back in Britain the true value of our aid commitment..”

David Cameron, UK PM, Lagos, 19 July 2011

www.Enterprise-Development.org

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... but not much measurement going on ...

“The project reports provide a substantial amount of anecdotal evidence for the positive outcomes and impacts of value chain initiatives. Some of the outcomes appear to be very positive. Beyond this, there was little systematic impact evaluation evidence across the 30 projects... This lack of systematic impact assessment is understandable ... but it is a problem”

Value Chains, Donor Interventions and Poverty Reduction, Humphrey and Navas-Alemán, IDS, 2010

www.Enterprise-Development.org

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... so what is the problem?

• Many bright and committed people work in development – yet evidence remains elusive

• We aim to solve problems that are not linear but ‘wicked’ (each is a symptom of others; multiple possible solutions; numerous stakeholders etc.)

• VCD focuses on systems – so can our own systems cope with ‘wicked problems’?

• Key is adaptation – more than up-front planning

www.Enterprise-Development.org

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We need Adaptive Management ...

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Owen Barder, CGD, September 2012

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... which in theory is simply good

monitoring.

“A continuing function that uses systematic collection of data on specified indicators to provide management and the main stakeholders of an ongoing development intervention with indications of the extent of progress and achievement of objectives“

OECD DAC Working Party on Aid Evaluation

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The DCED Standard

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1. Articulating the theory of change/results chain

2. Defining the indicators of change

3. Good measurement practices

4. Handling attribution

5. Wider change in the system or market

6. Relating to programme costs

7. Reporting results (internal/external)

8. Managing the system

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... and how it is different

www.Enterprise-Development.org

• The framework gives structure and incentives to implement good monitoring practice – as a process rather than as a one-off event

• Participating programmes need to keep a paper trail, that can then be audited

• Reminder to look for market-wide effects

• Projections favour systemic interventions

The Standard provides a framework of accepted good practice, with some distinctive features:

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Applications of the Standard

www.Enterprise-Development.org

• Mainly VCD, plus challenge funds, trade, vocational training...

• 11+ member agencies

• 6+ international NGOs

• 25+ field programmes

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At the DCED Seminar in January...

www.Enterprise-Development.org

Programmes published their (estimated) results, for example:

• 1,033,000 farmers and SMEs in Bangladesh have increased their income by a total of US$133m through a mix of interventions (Katalyst)

• 8,000 tofu enterprises in Indonesia have increased their income by 15% through improved management (VIP)

• 1,070,000 farmers in Nigeria have increased their income by US$7.2m by using fertilisers appropriately (PropCom)

• 15,630 farmers and SMEs in Nicaragua have increased their sales by US$67m (PyMERural)

• 3,000 smallholder farmers in Thailand have increased their income by US$9.5m (GTZ)

More information: www.enterprise-development.org/page/seminar