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DANUBE SOYA
Significance of GMO-free labelling for economic stakeholders; how to increase the share of GMO-free animal products?
Danube Soya AssociationWiesingerstrasse 6/91010 Wien
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<<<<<<<Soya Beans Imports and Exports
Quelle: USDA
Tausend Tonnen
75.0 – 100.0
50.0-75.0
10.0-50.0
0.0-10.0
95,5
046
Soybean Mio. MT
12
74
0
Soybean Mio. MT
108
148
SoybeanMio. MT
55
0 8
Soybeand Mio. MT
1
12,75
0
Soybean Mio. MT
GMO-free Europe Conference; GMO-free Labeling 2Friday, 8th of May 2015
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<<<<<<<Soya Bean Meal Import and Exports
Tausend Tonnen
75.0 – 100.0
50.0-75.0
10.0-50.0
0.0-10.0
Quelle: USDA
59
0 0
Soybean Meal Mio. MT10,8
19
0
Production Import Export
Soybean Meal Mio. MT
38,8
011,6
Production Export
Soybean Meal Mio. MT
29
0
14
Production Export
Soybean Meal Mio. MT
29
0
27
Production Export
Soybean Meal Mio. MT
GMO-free Europe Conference; GMO-free Labeling 3Friday, 8th of May 2015
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<<<<<<<Cultivation of GM Soya
25,731
6,2
17,513
23
67
90
3,6
28,6
1,4
17,4
1,4
16,2
5,1
69
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
USA 1997 USA 2009 Argentinia1997
Argentinia2009
Brazil 1997 Brazil 2009 World wide1997
World wide2009
Cultivation of GMO-free Soya
Total GMO
GMO Ratio 80 % in 2013
Source: GMO-compass.org
Friday, 8th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference; GMO-free Labeling 4
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Europa imports the cultivated land size of 16 Mio. ha in Soya from Overseas, with over 85% GM
16 Mio. ha
Import Soya
1
12
0
Production Import Export
Soyabean Mio. MT
CO2 emissions per kg pork meat
Closer look at Europe
10
19
0
Production Import Export
Soyabean Meal Mio. MT
Friday, 8th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference; GMO-free Labeling 5
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= 66%
Friday, 8th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference; GMO-free Labeling 6
Closer look at Europe
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<<<<<<<GMO-free Soya Demand in Europe: 5 Mio. To (7 Mio. T Soya beans equivalent )
20%
14%
16%6%
4%
6%4%
Primarily self-sufficient cultivation, some imports
Primarily import need
15% (5 Mio. tons) of Europe Soya demand is GMO-free,
15%
Could be self-sufficient butMain production exportedfor food, import for feed
Turkey potential to be investigated
4%
Friday, 8th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference; GMO-free Labeling 7
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<<<<<<<Main demand drivers for GMO-free Soya in livestock per country
Source: FEFAC 2014
Main drivers for non-GM feed demand
20%
stable
60-75%
stable
30-50%
increasing
10%
increasing
100%
stable
100%
stable
< 10%
stable
75%
stable
< 10%
stable30%
50%
decreasing
80%
growing
100%
stable90%
stable
< 1%
50%
stable
<5%
increasing
100%
stable
90 %
stable 90 %
stable
90 %
stable
• Egg production & poultry meat is the main driver for non-GM at EU level, upon request of retailers.
• Increasing demand for non-GM feed for cows, upon request of dairy companies.
• Smaller demand for non-GM feed for pig production.
Austria, Swiss, Germany, France and Italy: GMO-free claims on animal products • Different rules • This demand can trigger demand for non-GM feed in other countries for export reasons
High-Prot demand in Non-GM even higher than in total feed market
Market share of non-GM
compound feed
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
poultry pigs cattle
rest
non‐GM
Friday, 8th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference; GMO-free Labeling 8
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<<<<<<<Common European Standard on GMO-freeLabeling Situation
REGULATION (EC) No 1829/2003 of the European Parliamentand of the Council of 22 September 2003 on geneticallymodified food and feed
(16) (...) Thus, products obtained from animals fed withgenetically modified feed or treated with genetically modifiedmedicinal products will be subject neither to the authorisationrequirements nor to the labelling requirements referred to in
this Regulation.
Lack of Information (for consumers) about GM in Feed
Labeling of Feed => receiving competitive advantage
Regional agriculture
Friday, 8th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference; GMO-free Labeling 9
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<<<<<<<Solution? How to increase the share of GMO-free animal products?
• Availability of GMO-free products and feed
• Reduced of costs of GMO free products
• Common European Standard on GMO-free if
no GM labeling will be in force
• Information Consumers
Friday, 8th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference; GMO-free Labeling 10
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Put imageover this Text
Danube Soya creating a brand from farmto consumer
Danube Soya beans are....
… from the Danube Region
… GMO free
• EU (ILO) social & labour standards
• EU Pesticide Legislation
• Agricultural Land, only
before January 2008
AREA DEFINITIONS:
GERMANY: Bavaria, Baden Württemberg
ITALY: Trentino Alto Adige, Friuli Venezia Giulia, Veneto, Emilia-Romana, Lombardia, Piemont, Vallée d’Aoste
POLAND: Dolnoslaskie, Opolskie, Slaskie, Swietokrzyskie, Podkarpackie, Malopolske
UKRAINE: Uschgorod, Tschernowzy, Winniza, Odessa, Lwow, Ternopol, Chmelnizkij, Iwano-Frankovsm
Friday, 8th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference; GMO-free Labeling 11
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TraceabilityInspectionEuropean processorsShort TransportConsumers benefit
Danube Soya is...
FEED
FOOD
Danube SoyaCertification
Link Consumer and farmerFriday, 8th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference; GMO-free Labeling12
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<<<<<<<GMO-free Soya Production in Europe (tons)15% of Europe Soya demand (5 Mio. meal / 7 Mio. beans)is GMO-free, estim. 1/3 (2.5 Mio. Tons soya beans )can be currently supplied by European cultivation
By focusing the cultivationIn the Danube region (including Ukraine)The European GMO-free meal demand of 5 Mio. Tons and a general production of 8-10 Miotons soya meal can be provided from Europe by 2020
10%25%
5%
27%5%
0,6%
0,6%
5%
9%
1%
0,6%
1,5%
0,2%
20-40%of 3,9 Mio. t
60-70%of 0,1 Mio. t
Source: USDA, EuroStat, 2014, own work 14
Austria5,2%
Bosnia-Herzegovina0,6%
Bulgaria0,2%
Croa a4,8%
CzechRepublic0,6%Germany0,6%Hungary
5,0%
Italy24,8%
France9,8%
Moldavia6,2%
Poland1,2%
Romania9,2%
Serbia+++27,7%
Slovakia3,4%
EuropeanGMO-FreeSoyaPRODUCTION(tons)byCountry(w/oUKR)
Availability of GMO-free and regional soya
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<<<<<<<Soya production Potential in Europe and Yields
15
By the potential of the Danube Soya countries including Ukraine Europe is able to source their protein demand in soya by 50%(18-20 Mio tons) within 10 years !- Impact factors EU: yield development (Eastern Europe) and more attractive
subsidy framework- Impact factors Ukraine: GMO-free demand EU, geo-political change situation
Ton Volumes Soya Cultivation Actuals &
Forecasts
Average Yield excl. Ukraine
Average Yield incl. Ukraine
Soya tons
2012
Soya tons
2013 Yield
Soya tons
2014 Yield
Soya tons
2015 Estim. Yield
ton ton Avg Yld ton Avg Yld ton Avg Yld
2,3 2,5 2,7
2,1 2,3 2,3
Soya tons
2020 Estim. Yield
ton Avg Yld
2,8
2,6
Soya tons
2025 Estim. Yield
ton Avg Yld
2,9
2,9
Austria 104.100 82.800 1,97 118.000 2,69 134.700 2,69 200.000 3,30 200.000 3,30
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Bulgaria
Croatia
Czech Republic
Germany
Hungary
Italy
France
Moldavia
11.800 10.800 2,40 14.200 2,40 15.800 2,40
4.300 700 2,40 4.800 2,40 30.000 1,50
96.700 113.100 2,40 110.000 2,20 144.000 2,40
13.100 13.500 2,08 13.900 1,93 20.000 2,00
14.400 15.000 2,88 13.300 2,30 27.600 2,30
67.700 78.800 1,86 113.700 2,69 169.500 2,69
422.100 624.800 2,84 564.600 2,35 780.000 3,00
104.200 110.300 2,57 222.000 2,98 259.600 2,95
141.400 100.800 2,40 140.000 2,55 156.000 2,40
31.900 2,40
176.400 2,40
152.200 2,40
16.800 2,80
28.000 2,80
519.100 2,80
1.091.000 3,30
264.000 3,00
235.000 2,40
39.900 3,00
367.500 3,00
225.000 3,00
16.800 2,80
28.000 2,80
692.200 2,80
1.091.000 3,30
3,00
349.500 3,00
Poland 4.600 6.600 2,40 28.200 2,00 38.000 2,00 38.800 2,00 38.800 2,00
Romania
Serbia +++
Slovakia
Slovenia
Spain
Switzerland
104.300 149.900 2,22 209.000 2,42 314.100 2,42
281.000 385.000 2,41 630.000 3,50 648.000 3,00
41.800 39.600 1,36 78.200 2,34 57.000 1,90
500 500 4,50 400 4,00 800 4,00
1.300 1.400 2.600
3.100 3.800 2,70 10.500 2,70 11.200 2,80
884.600 2,40
711.900 3,00
123.500 2,80
800 4,00
11.200 2,80
1.638.000 3,00
711.900 3,00
168.000 3,20
800 4,00
11.200 2,80
Total Danube Soy Region
Total 1 (Danube Soy Region & EU-Rest w/o Ukraine)
Ukraine
Total 2 (DS Region & EU-Rest w Ukraine)
1.310.900 1.625.700 2.048.800 2.546.700
1.416.400 1.737.400 2.273.400 2.806.300
2.405.000 2.774.000 2,05 3.906.000 2,17 4.665.500 2,17
3.821.400 4.511.400 6.179.400 7.471.800
4.221.200
4.485.200
9.180.000 2,55
13.665.200
5.578.600
5.578.600
13.224.000 2,90
18.802.600
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0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
25,0
30,0
35,0
40,0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Noncer fiedGMOSoya 34,0 32,4 30,5 28,0 24,8 20,8 16,2 11,9 8,0 3,1 0,0 0,0
Cer fiedGMOSoya(RTRS) 1,0 1,5 2,0 3,0 4,0 6,0 8,0 9,0 10,0 11,0 11,0 9,7
OverseasGMO-freeSoya(ProTerra) 3,0 3,5 4,0 4,5 5,0 5,5 6,0 6,5 7,0 7,5 8,0 8,0
Poten alEuropeanGMO-freeotherlegumes/be erlanduse 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,1 0,3 0,6 1,0 1,4 1,8 2,2 2,6 3,0
Poten alUkraineGMO-freeSoya(incl.Danube/EuroSoya) 0,0 0,1 0,3 0,6 1,5 2,1 3,2 5,0 6,5 8,7 10,2 11,2
Poten alEuropeanGMO-freeSoya(incl.Danube/EuroSoya) 2,1 2,6 3,0 3,3 3,6 4,0 4,2 4,5 4,7 5,0 5,2 5,6
Sourcing of the european Protein ( Soya) Feed Dem and Scenario unt il 2 0 2 5
Vision 2025. Europe has the potential to become self-sufficient by 50% of current soya meal demand
European protein production is able to fulfil 50% of protein feed (current soya basis).
By pushing also other legumes and better use of land (grass) in a long run even higher self-sufficiency is possible
Current ProTerracertified production from overseas can bridge part of the gap
Current GMO-free demand in Europe is covered 1/3 by European production.
Rest of demand may be covered by certified (RTRS) sourcing
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<<<<<<<GMO-free soya Price Premium situation changes
Source: Austrian Agro Stock Exchange
€-
€100,00
€200,00
€300,00
€400,00
€500,00
€600,00
€700,00
24.10.12
24.01.13
24.04.13
24.07.13
24.10.13
24.01.14
24.04.14
24.07.14
24.10.14
24.01.15
PriceDifferenceDevelopmentGMvs.GMO-freeHPSoyaMeal(AustrianAgrarStockExchange)
ATGMO-freeHPCalc
ATGMOHP
While in the past years GMO and GMO-free premium difference was in favour for imported GMO soya meal the situation changed 2015 the first time ever in Q1! This enables GMO-
free production to become even competitive with GMO soya from overseas.
Reduced of costs of GMO free products
Friday, 8th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference; GMO-free Labeling 17
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<<<<<<<Harmonization of a GMO-free standard
• AT, DE, SL, FR, IT (South Tyrol) – existing comparison
• Existing systems and their experience can be used as a good basis
• Approaches in all the countries similar or even identical
• Remarkable differences in certain details (control, exemptions)
• Regional and/or European harmonization important
• For producers /export, consumers, competition
• Harmonization at a well-balanced high level of reliability (e.g. control)
• Aim: comparable criteria, reliable and transparent control system, one
label, compatible with EU framework and WTO
• The challenge: a fine tuned-balance: scientifically solid, clear, transparent,
understandable, fair, strict but not hindering implementation
18
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<<<<<<<The way forward in the Danube Region
• Project for the development of harmonized draft standards for the wholeDanube region (Danube Soya, funded by German GIZ) Initiated byDanube Soya Declaration and Slovenian Minister in 2013 and support byall regions
• Project lead: Environmental Agency Austria, Dr. Helmut Gaugitsch
• Based on existing examples (AT Codex Alimentarius Austriacus, DE, SI etc.)
• Moderated, expert driven process
• Workable, efficient and inclusive setting:
Technical working group, members selected based on their expertise
Review by the competent authorities (e.g. Ministries of the countries)
• Advantage: scientifically and technically well-designed, inclusive, broad, stakeholder participation, harmonization
• Finalized Standard: Autumn 2015
19
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• Nov. 2013: 80% of all laying hens in Austria (Billa, Penny, Spar, Hofer)
• Dec. 2013: Coop and UFA/fenaco poultry feed mill Sursee (compulsory
for all Coop-Naturafarm-laying hens from 2015)
• Dez. 2014 Poulet Coop
• Jan.2015: Fa. Hütthaler
• Jan. 2015: Fa. Schirnhofer
• Mid of 2015: laying hens Switzerland Coop
Danube Soya Market & Development
Markets: Austria, Switzerland and Germany
Information Consumers
Friday, 8th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference; GMO-free Labeling 22
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Thank you for your attention!
Mag. Ursula Bittner, MBA
[email protected] www.donausoja.org
Find us on Facebook: facebook.com/danubesoya
Friday, 8th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference; GMO-free Labeling 23