Daily Trade Journal - 14.03.2013

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  • 7/29/2019 Daily Trade Journal - 14.03.2013

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    p

    p

    Today's Turnover (LKR mn)

    Annual Average Daily Turnover (LKR mn)

    Volume (mn)

    Annual Average Daily Volume (mn)

    Market Capitalization (LKR bn)

    Net Foreign Inflow / (Outflow) [LKR mn]

    - Foreign Buying (LKR mn)

    - Foreign Selling (LKR mn)

    YTD Net Foreign Inflow / (Outflow) [LKR bn]

    YTD Performance

    S&P SL 20 Index

    38.4

    261.2

    3.3

    368.2

    107.0

    Thursday, March 14, 2013

    863.7

    % ChangePoint ChangeToday

    25.4

    609.2

    0.06 %

    0.18 %

    2,186.6

    ASPI

    S&P SL 20 Index

    + 3.16

    + 5.79

    5,688.98

    3,241.03

    ASPI 0.8%

    5.0%

    Level 23, East Tower, World Trade Centre,

    Colombo 01

    Tel: +94 11 727 7000,

    Fax: +94 11 727 7099

    Email: [email protected]

    CSE Diary for 14.03.2013

    Indices ended flat with marginal gains:The Colombo

    Stocks endured yet another ranging day with

    lackluster performances on benchmark index. The

    index witnessed a range play of 20 basis points

    throughout the day before closing at 5,688.98 with a

    marginal gain of 3 points. The gains recorded in

    Lanka Orix Leasing (+5.5%) and John Keells Holdings

    (+0.6%) and the losses denoted in Nestle Lanka (-

    1.4%) and Ceylon Tobacco (-0.6%) weighted heavily

    on the consolidation of the benchmark index. S&P

    SL20 index too concluded with a marginal gain of 5

    points at 3,241.03.JKH and Banking counters spearhead the daily

    turnover: John Keells Holdings attracted notable

    investor interest during trading and closed at a 52-

    week high of LKR.239.0 (0.8%). Furthermore the

    counter spearheaded the daily turnover led by four

    off-board parcels of 555k shares dealt at a price ofLKR238.0. Sampath Bank and National Development

    Bank made noteworthy contributions to the daily

    turnover where the former recorded two off-the-floor

    deals of 270k shares which were transacted at

    LKR235.0. The latter which attracted considerable

    interest during the last few trading sessions reached a

    52-week high and ended at LKR.158.5 (+1.3%) while

    recording a single crossing of 128k shares at a price of

    LKR.158.0.

    ODEL attracted heavy investor participation:The retail

    fashion chain, ODEL, attracted significant investor

    participation during the day. Interestingly, the

    counter recorded four on-board transactions of

    2.0mn shares traded at a price of LKR23.0 during the

    morning session. ODEL ended flat at LKR.23.0.

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    Statistical Look Up

    Treasury Bill (%) 15.03.2013

    9.16

    10.15

    11.19

    14.00

    Inflation (%) Feb-13 9.8

    8.6

    All Share Price Index p

    S&P SL20 Index p

    Turnover (LKR mn)

    Turnover (USD mn)Volume (mn shares)

    Traded Entities

    Market Capitalization (LKR bn)

    Foreign Purchases (LKR mn)

    Foreign Sales (LKR mn)

    Net Foreign Inflow (LKR mn)

    Market PER (X)

    Market PBV (X)

    Market Dividend Yield

    SECTOR INDICES

    Banks, Finance & Insurance p

    Beverage, Food & Tobacco q

    Construction & Engineering p

    Diversified p

    Healthcare q

    Hotels & Travels p

    Land & Property p

    Manufacturing q

    Plantation p

    Telecom q

    -0.76%

    2.1

    136.3

    2,176.3

    12,885.0

    % Change

    0.06%2.1

    305.75%

    15.4

    -0.96%

    0.58%

    -0.51%

    -0.04%

    % WoW

    ChangeLast Week

    0.18%

    -84.08%

    -21.50%

    -88.00%

    2,312.6

    2,185.3

    18.0

    -76.05%

    -76.05%

    % WoW

    ChangeLast Week

    2,543.6

    20.1

    1.71%

    -0.58%

    0.06%

    Today

    261.2

    2.1

    107.0

    15.4

    5,689.0

    0.18%

    2,186.6

    2.3

    368.2

    36.29%

    36.29%41.36%

    -1.75%

    4.825.4

    225

    3,241.0

    447.0

    3.5

    229

    609.2

    0.06%

    89.68%

    -17.52%

    Week ending

    0.49%

    -45.02%

    -1.32%

    0.18%

    0.64%

    0.16%

    228

    2,182.7

    5,680.0

    3,220.4

    46.2

    0.18%

    0.00%

    194.1

    129.7

    64.4

    Change %

    5,685.8

    3,235.2

    2.3

    0.06% 15.4

    Pre Day

    12,728.5

    16,198.9

    1,859.4

    3,303.6

    463.8

    0.70%

    2,716.5

    1,855.4

    0.48%

    -0.71%

    1.06%

    0.36%

    2,701.3

    16,177.5

    464.7

    166.9 168.4-0.12%166.7

    2.3

    2,558.8

    16,083.6

    2,729.9

    1,866.1

    12,946.5

    Pre Day

    0.00%

    3 months

    6 months

    12 months

    YoY Change

    Annual Avg

    AWPLR

    Excess Liquidity (LKR 'bn) as at 14.03.2013

    Today

    -22.26

    601.9 612.9 -1.79% 585.9 2.73%

    775.9 775.6 0.04% 784.4 -1.08%

    2,578.5

    3,343.9

    0.16%

    3,326.8

    464.5

    -0.73%2,577.6

    5500

    5600

    5700

    5800

    5900

    Index

    ASPI

    3140

    3160

    3180

    3200

    3220

    3240

    3260

    3280

    3300

    Index

    S&P SL20

    0.0

    10.0

    20.0

    30.0

    40.0

    50.0

    60.0

    70.0

    0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    Volume('mn)

    TurnoverLKR('mn)

    Turnover Volume

    Page | 2.

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    High Index Calibre USD350 Mn

    Price Gainers Price Losers

    Top 05 Performers for the Day

    JKH

    SAMPATH

    ODEL PLC

    NAT. DEV. BANK

    LOLC

    Most Active

    Close

    238.60

    805.00

    237.00

    825.00

    154.30

    118.30

    708.40

    9.00

    Volume (mn)

    0.7%

    Turnover

    (LKR)

    2.1%

    169,045,559

    41,189,816

    34,944,423

    106,183,240

    46,050,269

    1.31

    0.45

    0.60

    1.2% 25,182,001

    14,265,334

    4.9%

    23.00

    158.00

    58.00

    ODEL PLC 23.00

    FREE LANKA 2.50

    % Change

    CITRUS LEISURE

    COMM LEASE & FIN 4.50

    2.00

    3.72

    2.35

    4.40

    0.00%234.00

    2.00

    0.260.96%

    1.12

    0.00%

    4.17%

    0.00%

    1.9%

    1.6%

    0.3%

    Contribution to

    Total T/O

    5,026,504

    5.45%

    19.10

    5,874,457

    46,050,269

    70.78

    TALAWAKELLE

    C.W.MACKIE

    Pre Day

    0.63%237.10 7.7%0.71

    Volume (mn)% Change

    9.13%

    + 4.50 12.82%

    238.60

    CompanyContribution to

    Total T/O

    120.00

    2.1%

    0.2%

    Turnover

    (LKR)

    150.00

    4.92

    0.36

    110.00

    55.00

    150.00

    41.80

    106,183.24

    70.00

    234.00

    153.00

    42.00

    707.50

    68.50

    4.10

    2.30

    TodayCompany

    150.00

    MALWATTE [X]

    63.10

    840.52

    0.000.21

    15.06

    1,578.93

    621.20

    276.61

    Today

    9.01%

    Turnover

    USD ('000)

    235.5021.21%

    Intraday

    Low (LKR)

    Turnover

    LKR ('000)

    1,826.22

    34,944.42

    14.46

    12.50

    805.00

    169,045.56

    Intraday

    High (LKR)

    239.00

    0.15

    117.70

    233.20

    118.00

    170.00

    42.80

    8.90

    % Change

    JOHN KEELLS HOLDINGS 710,511

    SAMPATH BANK

    ASIAN HOTELS & PROPERTIES 3

    1.5%

    2,524491

    8,953

    9.3%

    6.9%CEYLON TOBACCO

    CARSON CUMBERBATCHNESTLE LANKA

    SRI LANKA TELECOM

    COMMERCIAL BANK [V]

    4.0%

    3.3%BUKIT DARAH

    DIALOG AXIATA

    HNB [V]

    DFCC BANK

    CARGILLS

    7.27

    1,620.00

    111.00

    18.69

    3.01

    LOLC

    AITKEN SPENCE 119.00

    2.3% 7.06

    380.30

    156.90

    1,110.56800.24

    8.796.33

    440.00

    725.00

    9.10

    1,620.80

    110.40

    443.501,640.00

    1,902.23

    892.22

    3.9%

    2.2%

    1.3%

    2,229

    69,020

    12,380

    158

    4.0%

    174.00

    58.50

    3.4%

    170.30

    58.00

    440.00

    3.5%

    234.00

    0.00%

    1.7%

    2.2%

    Change

    - 27.50

    - 6.30

    - 0.40

    - 0.20

    % Change

    235.00

    156.50

    55.00

    23.00

    CEYLON LEATHER [W 0013]

    + 2.20

    ASIRI CENTRAL

    70.00

    119.80

    Volume

    1,338.12

    0.00%

    2.27%

    16,572

    8,941.10

    45.75

    1,141 918.68

    1.4%

    Change

    2,197.00

    Company% of

    Mkt Cap

    19.10

    Today Pre Day

    4.00

    2.40

    23.00

    + 384.50

    DISTILLERIES

    75,662

    451,873

    PC HOUSE 4.00

    Company

    5,210

    603,585

    305

    ROYAL PALMS

    KALAMAZOO

    Company Today

    1.5%

    HARISCHANDRA

    S M B LEASING [X] 0.40 + 0.10 33.33% ENVI. RESOURCES [W 0006] 2.10 - 0.40 -16.00%

    -8.00%

    -8.89%

    -10.46%

    -9.08%

    2,410.80

    26.30

    39.60

    + 199.30

    Page | 3.

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    Currency Board Announcements

    Local - Indicative Rate against LKR Dividends

    Dollar Ceylinco Insurance PLC

    Yuan Talawakelle Tea Estates PLC

    Euro 0

    Rupee 0

    Yen 0

    Ringgit 0

    Rouble 0

    Riyal 0

    Dollar Rights Issues / Scrip Dividend / Sub division / Capitalization

    Franc Company

    Baht No Announcements

    Pound 0

    Dollar 0Source: www.cbsl.gov.lk

    Global Markets

    p

    p

    p

    p

    p

    p

    * Time is as at ET Source: www.bloomberg.com

    Commodit Markets

    Crude Oil (Brent) p

    Crude Oil (WTI) q

    ICE Cotton #2 p

    CBOT Wheat p

    COMEX Gold q

    COMEX Silver q

    COMEX Copper p

    * Time is as at ET Source: www.bloomberg.com

    00-Jan-00

    19-04-2013

    02-05-2013

    1/0/1900

    00-Jan-00

    Description

    0.00

    0.00

    0 1/0/1900

    0

    XR Date

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-0000-Jan-00

    Renunciation

    00-Jan-00

    0.00

    Time*

    USd/bu.

    89.05

    Price

    109.00

    92.31

    USD/bbl.

    101.23

    AGRICULTURE

    Hong Kong Hang Seng Index

    Nikkei 225

    ASIA

    FTSE 100 Index

    EU

    188.81

    12.50

    2.50 23-04-2013

    10-04-2013

    126.33

    0.0033.69

    Malaysia

    4.10

    130.97

    20.32

    2.33

    1.32

    40.62

    India

    Currency

    163.78

    Indicative Rate

    14.03.2013

    China

    0

    Payment DateDPS (LKR) XD Date

    6,497.2

    Singapore

    Switzerland

    Thailand

    UK

    0.20

    62.5

    0

    2,725.4

    132.72

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    4.26

    USA

    02:28

    16.8

    1/0/1900

    Change

    0.75%

    141.5

    04:01

    0

    00-Jan-00

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    07:08

    07:08

    0.24%

    07:08

    Company

    07:06

    07:03

    07:08

    0-Jan

    0-Jan

    07:04

    07:03

    Time*

    07:08

    0.07%

    Change %

    0.21%

    -0.79%

    0.44%

    -0.28%

    1.16%

    0.28%

    -0.36%

    2.0

    Change

    0.50%0.44

    0

    -0.09

    Change %

    352.80

    USD/t oz.

    USD/t oz. -0.19

    711.50

    0.70

    28.75

    Index

    Dow Jones Industrial Average

    S&P 500 Index

    EUROPE

    EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR

    12,381.2

    Value

    14,455.3

    1,554.5

    USD/bbl.

    USd/lb.

    USd/lb.

    AMERICA

    1.50

    METALS

    ENERGY

    Commodity

    22,619.2

    Units

    0

    18.6

    Proportion

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-00

    0.00

    0.00

    0.04%

    0.13%

    5.2

    Russia

    Saudi Arabia

    Japan

    1,583.30 -4.40

    Australia

    Page | 4.

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 5

    CSE Announcements

    PC House [PCH: LKR4.0]: The Board of Directors at its Board Meetingheld on the 13th March 2013 decided to offer shares by way of a Rights Issue to

    the existing Shareholders of PCH, as per the details set out below. Purpose of

    the proceeds is to meet the working capital requirements.

    Kegalle Plantations [KGAL:LKR110.0]: RPC Plantation Management Services Private Limited increased theirstake in KGAL to 71.77% via purchasing 10,000 shares at a consideration of LKR1,112,320.

    Local News

    Sri Lanka faces growth and external pressures: Moodys: Moodys Investors Service said that Sri Lankaseconomy faces slower growth and elevated external pressure in the year ahead. Although the Government

    will likely continue to make gradual progress in reducing its deficit, the debt burden will remain high. The

    absence of a new funding program is credit negative from the perspectives of external payments and

    growth, the rating agency said. Moodys views were contained in a just-released report, titled Sri Lanka

    The Post-IMF Backdrop: Downward Growth Pressures and Elevated External Pressures. The special comment

    examines the credit implications of Sri Lankas (B1/Positive) decision on 12 February to not seek a new

    funding program from the IMF, following the successful completion of a USD2.6 bn Stand-by Arrangement in

    2012. The B1 rating on Sri Lanka takes into account the notable progress that the country has made over the

    last three years, since the civil war ended in May 2009. However, given the challenging macroeconomicbackdrop, the reports conclusion is that a follow-up funding program would have augmented international

    reserves directly through borrowed IMF resources. Through enhanced policy certainty under an IMF funding

    program, investor confidence would likely have been bolstered. And in doing so, it would have provided

    additional support to the balance of payments and economic growth prospects.

    [Source: www.ft.lk]

    Sri Lanka court order arrest of Vietnam flagged tanker: Vinalines Glory, a Vietnam flagged oil productstanker had been ordered to be arrested by a court in Sri Lanka in a dispute over a cargo of contaminated

    diesel which was refused by the importer. The vessel carried a cargo of 26,000 metric tonnes of petrol and

    5,000 tonnes of diesel for Lanka IOC [LIOC: LKR20.6], a unit Indian Oil Corporation which has a petroleum

    distribution operation in Sri Lanka. A part of petrol consignment was discharged in Colombo and the balance

    at the Eastern port of Trincomalee. The diesel which was found to be off specification in colour was denied

    permission for unloading following tests by a common user facility operator. The cargo had to be returned to

    the supplier in Singapore, who had said the diesel was according to specifications when it was loaded. A

    Lanka IOC official said they had sought a court order to recover freight and other costs from the ship.

    [Source: www.lbo.lk]

    January tourist arrivals up 13.4%: Sri Lankas tourist arrivals rose 13.4% year on-year (YoY) to 97,411 inJanuary, the unusually delayed data issued by the Sri Lanka Tourism Development Authority showed. Arrivals

    from Western Europe rose 13.7% YoY to 41,484 visitors, with tourists from Germany and the UK accounting

    for nearly 17,000. Tourists from Eastern European countries including Russia and Ukraine rose 18.2% YoY to

    8,083, while the number of Middle Eastern tourists who arrived in Sri Lanka in January rose to 4,077 from

    3,950 in the same month of 2012. Arrivals from East Asia, which includes China rose 7.6% YoY to 10,039

    visitors, while visitors from neighbouring India rose 7% YoY to 15,631. Arrivals hit a record high of over one

    Number of shares Proportion Price ConsiderationCurrent Stated

    Capital (LKR)

    114,466,667 1 for 2 LKR10.0 343,400,001 801,266,674

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 6

    million last year with annual revenue from tourism also jumping to an all-time peak of USD1.04 bn,

    exceeding government estimates.

    [Source: www.dailymirror.lk]

    Lanka-Iraq JEC advanced to July: As trade between Sri Lanka and Iraq reported a huge tenfold rise, bothbilateral trade partners are advancing the next joint sessions to as early as July 2013. I am pleased to inform

    you that we have had several successful outcomes from my recent official visit to Iraq. The eighth JointEconomic Commission between Sri Lanka and Iraq is now scheduled to take place in the first week of July

    2013 in Baghdad, announced Rishad Bathiudeen, Minister of Industry and Commerce while addressing a

    special session held at the EDB premises to brief exporters on the outcome of his visit to Baghdad on 25-26

    February. Surging Iraq is billed to be a very promising marketas it is now projected to become the second

    largest global oil supplier by 2020 by the international oil industry. According to the Department of

    Commerce of Sri Lanka, Sri Lankas trade with Iraq has been increasing over the past several years. The value

    of total trade between the two countries, which stood at USD8.72 mn in 2003, has increased tenfold to

    USD87.28 mn in 2012.

    [Source: www.lbo.lk]

    Global News

    Indian Inflation Unexpectedly Quickens in Dent to Rate-Cut Case: Indias inflation unexpectedly acceleratedin February from a three-year low, limiting scope for the central bank to cut interest rates as the authority

    prepares to review monetary policy next week.Todays data adds to signs of persistent price pressures in

    Asias No. 3 economy, after a separate report this week showed consumer -price gains accelerated to a

    record 10.9% last month. Inflation and risks from the current-account deficit may limit Reserve Bank of India

    Governor Duvvuri Subbarao to a quarter-point reduction in the benchmark rates next week, according to a

    Bloomberg News survey.

    [Source: www.bloomberg.com]

    US retail sales beat forecasts: US consumers shrugged off higher taxes to boost retail spending by 1.1% inFebruary from the month before. It was the biggest rise in five months. About half the increase was due to

    higher petrol prices, but consumers also increased spending on a range of other goods, from cars to clothing

    to homeware and furniture. The government figures surprised economists, who thought payroll tax

    increases - which went into effect in January - would hurt spending. A separate government release showed

    that businesses are also optimistic, with inventories increasing by 1% in January. Growing inventories

    indicate that businesses expect demand to pick up in the future, and sluggish inventory growth was one of

    the contributors to tepid economic growth in the last quarter.

    [Source: www.bbc.co.uk]

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 7

    Softlogic Equity ResearchDimantha Mathew

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277030

    Kavindu Ranasinghe

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277031

    Imalka Hettiarachchi

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277032

    Softlogic Equity SalesBranches

    Horana

    Madushanka Rathnayaka

    No. 101, 1/1, Aguruwathota Road, Horana

    [email protected]

    +94 34 7451000, +94 77 3566465

    Negambo

    Krishan Williams

    No. 121, St. Joseph Street Negambo

    [email protected]

    +94 31 2224714-5, +94 77 3569827

    Kurunegala

    Bandula Lansakara

    No.13, Rajapihilla Mawatha, Kurunegala

    [email protected]

    +94 37 2232875, +94 77 3615790

    Matara

    Lalith Rajapaksha

    No.8A, 2nd Floor, FN Building, Station Road, [email protected]

    +94 41 7451000, +94 77 3031159

    Dihan Dedigama

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277010, +94 77 7689933

    Chandima Kariyawasam

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277058, +94 77 7885778

    Shafraz Basheer

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277054, +94 77 2333233

    Sonali Abayasekera

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277059, +94 77 7736059

    Thanuja De Silva

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277053, +94 77 3120018

    The report has been prepared by Softlogic Stockbrokers (Pvt) Ltd. The information and opinions contained herein has been compiled or arrived at based upon

    information obtained from sources believed to be reliable and in good faith. Such information has not been independently verified and no guaranty, representation

    or warranty, express or implied is made as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. All such information and opinions ar e subject to change without notice. This

    document is for information purposes only, descriptions of any company or companies or their securities mentioned herein are not intended to be complete and

    this document is not, and should not be construed as, an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments.

    Softlogic Stockbrokers (Pvt) Ltd may, to the extent permissible by applicable law or regulation, use the above material, conclusions, research or analysis in which

    they are based before the materialized disseminated to their customers. Not all customers will receive the material at the same time. Softlogic Stockbrokers, their

    respective directors, officers, representatives, employees, related persons and/or Softlogic Stockbrokers, may have a long or short position in any of the securities or

    other financial instruments mentioned or issuers described herein at any time and may make a purchase and/or sale, or offer t o make a purchase and/or sale of any

    such securities or other financial instruments from time to time in the open market or otherwise, in each case either as principal or agent. Softlogic Stockbrokers

    may make markets in securities or other financial instruments described in this publication, in securities of issuers described here in or in securities underlying or

    related to such securities. Softlogic Stockbrokers (Pvt) Ltd may have recently underwritten the securities of an issuer mentioned herein. This document may not bereproduced, distributed, or published for any purposes.