CSLI Service Learning – Final Meeting, Fall 2012

Review the processReview the findings

Analyze - Hypotheses

Review the process – 1

• Evaluate the CSLI process– Review – what exactly did CSLI do?

• Generated questionnaire• Oriented students in intro meeting

– Reviewed questionnaire with students– Reviewed nature of surveys/sampling

• Trained students in telephone/marking instructions• Conducted telephone interviews

– Target at least 400 completions– Accomplished – 420 completions

• Post on CSLI Web site – still waiting approval• Expect coverage in major media – pending

Review the process - 2

• Questionnaire issues - questions- Did some questions give you more problems than others?

• Clarity• Public constantly asked for restatement• Vagueness of what is being asked

– Did the respondents seem to think that the questions were generally interesting?

– Did the respondents think that the survey was too long or short?

– Other suggestions?

Review the process - 3

• Public receptivity• Were you surprised by how easy/hard it was to obtain

a completion?• Problems with phone numbers?• Idle chatter from respondents? • Bias among interviewers?• Partial completions?• Other suggestions

County: Right or Wrong Direction? Spring ‘99 to Spring ‘13

Sp '99

Fa '99

Sp '00

Fa '00

Sp '01

Fa '01

Sp '02

Fa '02

Sp '03

Fa '03

Sp '04

Fa '04

Sp '05

Fa '05

Sp '06

Fa '06

Sp '07

Fa '07

Sp '08

Fa '08

Sp '09

Fa '09

Sp '10

Fa '10

Sp '11

Fa '11

Sp '12

Fa '12

Sp '13

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

5754

5855

62

66

60 61 62

51

58 58

53

5755

51 52 51 5052

47

52 5249 50

47

43

50 49

23

2725 24 23

15

26

21

25

3431

24

2927 26

2927

33 32 3128 27 28 28 28

32

41

3633

20 1917

20

15

19

14

18

1315

12

19 1816

1820 21

16 17 17

25

21 2023 22 22

1614

18

Right Wrong Unsure

Right/Wrong Direction – Individual by County, State, Nation

Right Wrong Unsure/Don’t know

County 49 33 18

State 35 55 10

Nation 24 64 13

Respondent 74 14 12

Levels Dem.% “right” Rep. Dem-Rep.

Unaffiliated

County 58 38 20 50State 54 12 32 37Nation 38 8 30 27Respondent 74 72 2 72

Fall '06 Spring '07 Fall '07 Spring '08 Fall '08 Spring '09 Fall '09 Spring '10 Fall '10 Spring '11 Fall '11 Spring '12 Fall '12 Spring '130

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

7

12

8

23

38

48

3336 36 35

48

3027

23

9

1517 16

1210

12 1113

119

17 1719

21

16 16

12

9

5 5 5

24 4 4

32

Economy High taxes GrowthEducation Transportation Crime

Economy

Taxes

Most Important Problem: Fall 2006 to Spring 2013

Economy continues drop as problem in March 2013

Economic Conditions: County vs. Maryland and USA

F '06 S '97 F '07 S '08 F '08 S '09 F '09 S '10 F '10 S '11 F '11 S '12 F '12 S '130

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

5

11 11 11 119

1316

12

2730 31 32

3533

38

3330

71 7169

55

4946

4844 45

49 4851

48 49

County

Maryland

USA

Cost of living indicators

S '08 F '08 S '09 F '09 S '10 F '10 S '11 F '11 S '12 F '12 S '130

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

21

11 12 1315

10

1411

15

912

26

35 34

40

32

21

17

2124

41

30

36

3027

61

5053

4244 43

46

39 39

32 31

58 59 59

6360

63

58

63 63 62

5659

55 55 56 56

63

59

66

59 59

Unable to find affordable housing Received an income increaseHard to afford the cost of transportation Hard to afford the cost of utilities such as electricity or gasTaxes are too high in relation to government services provided Wages or salaries are not rising as fast as the cost of living

Other economic indicators

S '08 F '08 S '09 F '09 S '10 F '10 S '11 F '11 S '12 F '12 S '130

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

64

68 7 7

9 8 8

47

14 1611

1411

15

24 24

1921 20 21

1714

19

35

30 29

33 3234 35

32 32

27

32

71

75

70

56

60

52

60

44

38

32

51

46 4744

47

51

45

38

42

Facing the possibility of house foreclosure or loss Found a new or better job recently

Facing the possibility of unemployment Health care insurance is unavailable, too expensive or inadequate

Significant losses in your stock or retirement accounts Delay in making a major purchase such as a home or car

Economic Conditions over the next 12 Months Spring 2013 Better Same Worse Unsure/

NATotal

Economic growth 31 39 24 6 100Unemployment 24 32 37 7 100Inflation 9 32 52 8 101Your personal financial situation 23 58 16 4 101

Growth Unemployment Inflation Personal Sit.

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

-3-9

-43

-2

22

9

-46

6

2622

-38

14

7

-13

-43

7

Fall '11 Spring '12 Fall '12 Spring '13

Retirement Planning/Age

Age Group % Very important

Age

18-30 46 5931-40 41

41-50 75

51-60 71

61-65 67

66 and over 50 41Overall 62

County Executive: Top Priority

PercentCiting

Examples

Non-policy Institutional improvements 20 “Change the way the county has been run,” “Clean house,” “Build citizen confidence in

government,” “Pay more attention to details,” “Avoid scandal troubles,” “Deal with corruption,” “Ethics/ethical governance,” “Honesty and awareness of what is going on”

Personal improvements 2 “Improving her experience,” “Get more familiar with the county,” “Increase visibility to the

public”Efficiency Improvements 2 “Streamline government,” “Analyze the efficiency of county government”Policy Economy 15 “Jobs,” “Help small businesses,” “Jobs for young people and college students,” “Promoting

businesses” Education 12 “Maintain school funding,” “Build more/better schools,” “Make schools secure,” “Help education”

Budget 10 “Fiscal management,” “Get rid of excess spending,” “Control government expenditures,” “Stop inefficient spending”

Taxes 10 “Get a handle on taxes,” “Lower taxes,” “Change the tax cap to raise taxes,” “Lower property taxes”

Transportation 5 “Fix county roads,” “Deal with traffic congestion”Environment 3 “Clean up the Bay,” “Take care of natural resources,” “Deal with run-off”Service improvements 3 “Improve police and emergency services staffing,” “Increase teacher pay,” “Upgrade county

technology,” “Improve services for the disabled”Growth 2 “Stop excess development,” “Overpopulation”Crime 2 “Lower crime,” “Better police protection,” “Improve public safety”Other policy improvements 7 “Gun control,” “Healthcare,” “Gas prices,” “More frequent trash pickup,” “Improve housing”

General comments 2 “Think of the general welfare of the county,” “Move the county in a positive direction”

Unsure 4 Total 99

Method of Emergency Communications: Favor, Works Best

Landline call; 82

Cell phone call; 49

Text message; 51

Email; 61

Facebook; 19

Twitter; 14

County Web site; 52

Landline call

Cell phone

call

Text message

Email Facebook Twitter County Web site

Other/none

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

39

16

21

15

1 1

5 4

State and Local Issues Support Oppose Unsure No answerRepealing the death penalty and replacing it with life without the possibility of parole

39 52 7 2Having those seeking to purchase a handgun pay a $100 fee at the time of purchase

45 49 4 2Having handgun purchasers be fingerprinted at the time of purchase

78 19 3 0Having handgun purchasers be required to complete a safety course prior to purchase

82 16 2 0Expanding wind energy financed by a monthly $1.50 fee on residential BGE customers

43 53 4 0

Paying an annual fee of $85 to help pay for storm water management and Bay clean-up

36 61 2 1Providing curbside composting pickup 66 27 5 2Allowing county charter schools tap into the same construction funding for building facilities currently used by regular public schools

39 51 9 1

Allowing counties to increase the sales tax on gasoline sales to improve roads.

21 77 3 0

State and Local Issues: By Party Overall Dems Reps UnaffiliatedRepealing the death penalty and replacing it with life without the possibility of parole

39 50 28 36Having those seeking to purchase a handgun pay a $100 fee at the time of purchase

45 57 33 44Having handgun purchasers be fingerprinted at the time of purchase

78 88 63 85Having handgun purchasers be required to complete a safety course prior to purchase

82 91 71 85Expanding wind energy financed by a monthly $1.50 fee on residential BGE customers

43 54 31 39

Paying an annual fee of $85 to help pay for storm water management and Bay clean-up

36 44 26 40Providing curbside composting pickup 66 71 61 64Allowing county charter schools tap into the same construction funding for building facilities currently used by regular public schools

39 33 46 35

Allowing counties to increase the sales tax on gasoline sales to improve roads.

21 27 13 24

Presidential job approvalFall 2007 to Spring 2013

Fall '07 Spring '08 Fall '08 Spring '09 Fall '09 Spring '10 Fall '10 Spring '11 Fall '11 Spring '12 Fall '12 Spring '130

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

35

2824

53

47 4742

47

3742 44 44

32 3025

61

54

4743

47

4045

50 49

CSLI Gallup

Presidential Job Approval by Party RegistrationFall 2009 to Spring 2013

F '09 S '10 F '10 S '11 F '11 S '12 F '12 S '130

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

47 4742

47

3742 44 44

72 70

61

7067

7376 75

17

24 24

18

712 11 9

54 53

33

57

47

34 34

46

Overall Democrats Republicans Unaffiliated

Obama’s Top PriorityPriority PercentageSpending 6Budget 16Taxes 4Debt/deficit 6

Total 32Economy 24Jobs 15

Total 39Bipartisanship/work with Congress 7End foreign wars 4Domestic policies – other 7Foreign policies - other 3Misc. 8Total 100

Trust in Political Parties

Spring Fall Spring Fall Spring Fall Spring Fall Spring Fall Spring2009 2010 2011 2012 2012 2013

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

42

37

33 34

37 37

34

31

37 37 37

3028

31

37

34

38

3230

34

38

32

20

27

31

21 21

17

29

32

21

17

26

87

68

79

4

7 79

4

Democrats Republicans Neither No opinion/other

Exercise: Develop Hypotheses1. Identify a dependent variable – attitude, preference

2. Identify an independent variable – a social/demographic characteristic

3. Specify a likely relationship between the two based on a “theory” or hunch

you have about people and attitudes