15
Creating an AIDS-Free Generation The beginning of the end of AIDS Center for Strategic & International Studies Washington, DC March 22, 2012 Thomas R. Frieden, MD, MPH Director Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Creating an AIDS-Free Generation The beginning of the end of AIDS Center for Strategic & International Studies Washington, DC March 22, 2012 Thomas R

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Creating an AIDS-Free Generation The beginning of the end of AIDS Center for Strategic & International Studies Washington, DC March 22, 2012 Thomas R

Creating an AIDS-Free Generation

The beginning of the end of AIDS

Center for Strategic & International StudiesWashington, DC

March 22, 2012

Thomas R. Frieden, MD, MPHDirector

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Page 2: Creating an AIDS-Free Generation The beginning of the end of AIDS Center for Strategic & International Studies Washington, DC March 22, 2012 Thomas R

2012 is a tipping point for the global HIV epidemic

• Increasing coverage, decreasing costs

• Recognition of global shared responsibility and accountability

• New evidence that• Treatment is prevention

• PMTCT and voluntary male medical circumcision can be scaled up for population reach and impact

• Infection rates and deaths can be driven down

Page 3: Creating an AIDS-Free Generation The beginning of the end of AIDS Center for Strategic & International Studies Washington, DC March 22, 2012 Thomas R

CDC provides assistancethroughout the world

CDC Direct Assignees

Global DiseaseDetection Centers

DoDCollaborations

CDC InfluenzaInternational Assignees

CDC Global AIDSProgram

CDC Malaria Assignees

CDC Field EpidemiologyTraining Program (FETP)

Global Immunizations Assignees

Nearly 400 assignees in 50+ countries 1,500 host country national staff

Page 4: Creating an AIDS-Free Generation The beginning of the end of AIDS Center for Strategic & International Studies Washington, DC March 22, 2012 Thomas R

Global Sub-Saharan Africa

1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008

5

3

2

1

0

Nu

mb

er (

mill

ions

)

4

Source: UNAIDS/WHO

HIV incidence is decreasingNumber of people newly infected with HIV,globally and in Sub-Saharan Africa, 1990-

2008

Page 5: Creating an AIDS-Free Generation The beginning of the end of AIDS Center for Strategic & International Studies Washington, DC March 22, 2012 Thomas R

2.5

2.0

1.5

0.5

1.0

3.0

0

Nu

mb

er (

mill

ions

)

1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 20081997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007

HIV-related mortality is also decliningNumber of AIDS-related deaths, globally and in

Sub-Saharan Africa, 1996-2008

Source: UNAIDS/WHO

Global Sub-Saharan Africa

Page 6: Creating an AIDS-Free Generation The beginning of the end of AIDS Center for Strategic & International Studies Washington, DC March 22, 2012 Thomas R

U.S. government calls for anAIDS-free generation

AIDS-free generation• Virtually no children born with HIV infection

• Adults living with HIV don’t develop AIDS

• Accelerated declines in HIV incidence

Combination prevention• Antiretroviral treatment as prevention

• Prevention of mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT)

• Voluntary medical male circumcision

• Correct & consistent condom use

Page 7: Creating an AIDS-Free Generation The beginning of the end of AIDS Center for Strategic & International Studies Washington, DC March 22, 2012 Thomas R

National HIV/AIDS Strategy for the United States

• Reduce new HIV infections

• Increase access to care and improve health outcomes for people living with HIV

• Reduce HIV-related disparities andhealth inequities

• Achieve a more coordinatednational response to the HIV epidemic

Page 8: Creating an AIDS-Free Generation The beginning of the end of AIDS Center for Strategic & International Studies Washington, DC March 22, 2012 Thomas R

New CDC approach to HIV preventionin the U.S.

Funding to places most in need, for populations most in need, for programs that work• Funding determined by number of people living

with HIV• Supports innovative demonstration programs by

Health Departments• 75% of proposed activities in 4 program areas

• HIV testing and linkage to care

• Comprehensive HIV Prevention with Positives

• Condom distribution

• Initiatives to promote prevention and accountability, particularly viral load

Page 9: Creating an AIDS-Free Generation The beginning of the end of AIDS Center for Strategic & International Studies Washington, DC March 22, 2012 Thomas R

Effective prevention interventionsCoverage of these evidence-based interventions

remains limited

Intervention Efficacy Coverage

PMTCT With effective PMTCT programs, HIV transmission can be reduced to 2-4% 48%

Antiretroviral Treatment as Prevention

96% reduction in HIV transmission 47%

Male Circumcision >60% efficacy4.6%

(14 priority countries)

HIV Vaccine ?31% efficacy

Vaginal Microbicide 39% efficacy; 54% among high adherers

Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis

Trial #1: MSM (44% efficacy; 74% among high adherers)

Trial #2: High-risk women (no evidence of efficacy)

Page 10: Creating an AIDS-Free Generation The beginning of the end of AIDS Center for Strategic & International Studies Washington, DC March 22, 2012 Thomas R

Adult male circumcision provides long-lasting protection against HIV infection

Rakai, Uganda

Page 11: Creating an AIDS-Free Generation The beginning of the end of AIDS Center for Strategic & International Studies Washington, DC March 22, 2012 Thomas R

PEPFAR has driven down costs of HIV treatment

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

3,500,000

4,000,000

4,500,000

$-

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

PEPFAR Per-Patient Annual Treatment Cost No. of PEPFAR Direct ART Patients

Note: Per-patient budget allocation is estimated as lagged treatment allocation divided by end-of-reporting direct patients.

Page 12: Creating an AIDS-Free Generation The beginning of the end of AIDS Center for Strategic & International Studies Washington, DC March 22, 2012 Thomas R

Modeling combination prevention and reductions in HIV incidence

Incidence in Swaziland in 2014 by scenarioC

urre

ntLo

w A

RT,

No

MC

Low

AR

T, M

C 8

0%C

onst

ant A

RT,

No

MC

Con

stan

t AR

T, M

C 8

0%H

igh

AR

T, n

o M

CH

igh

AR

T, M

C 8

0%M

id A

RT,

mid

MC

AR

T<50

0A

RT<

500,

MC

Test

&Tr

eat

Test

&Tr

eat,

MC

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Modeled scenarios

An

nu

al i

nc

ide

nc

e(p

er

10

0 p

ers

on

/ye

ars

)

ART = antiretroviral treatmentMC = male circumcision

Page 13: Creating an AIDS-Free Generation The beginning of the end of AIDS Center for Strategic & International Studies Washington, DC March 22, 2012 Thomas R

Sustainable public health progressCDC helps develop local capacity domestically & globally

• Guidance, technical assistance, direct funds

• Applied epidemiology

• US direct hires and host country national staff

• Labs systems and quality

• Health security

Page 14: Creating an AIDS-Free Generation The beginning of the end of AIDS Center for Strategic & International Studies Washington, DC March 22, 2012 Thomas R
Page 15: Creating an AIDS-Free Generation The beginning of the end of AIDS Center for Strategic & International Studies Washington, DC March 22, 2012 Thomas R

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 1600 Clifton Road NE, Atlanta, GA 30333

Phone: 1-800-CDC-INFO (232-4636)/TTY: 1-888-232-6348E-mail: [email protected] Web: www.cdc.gov