48
Corporate liquidity policy, financing constraints, and financial intermediaries Katsutoshi Shimizu a,* , Weihan Cui b, a Department of Economics, Nagoya University b Graduate school of Economics, Nagoya University Abstract This study investigates whether a constrained financial intermediary affects the degree of financing constraints of its borrower. We model a firm’s demand for liquidity when its lender’s monitoring alleviates its financing constraints. Since a healthier lender makes more monitoring investment to alleviate financing constraints, a firm does not need to hold much cash when its future profitability aggravates. In contrast, since an unhealth- ier lender makes less monitoring investment to aggravate financing constraints, a firm needs to hold more cash when its future profitability improves. Our empirical analysis provides supportive evidence for such model predictions. Our results indicate that con- strained intermediaries affect the intertemporal allocation of investments and liquidity of its borrower in a bank-centered economy like Japan. Keywords: Cash holding, Financial constraint, Monitoring, Japanese banks, Capital ratio JEL classification: G31; G21; G35 1 Sept. 2016 The first author acknowledges funding support from Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research. * Corresponding author: Katsutoshi Shimizu, Department of Economics, Nagoya University. Address: Furo-cho, Chikusa-ku, Nagoya, Aichi, 464-8601, Japan. Tel.: +81-52-789-2378, Fax: +81- 52-789-2378 Email addresses: [email protected] (Katsutoshi Shimizu), [email protected] (Weihan Cui) September 1, 2016

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Page 1: Corporate liquidity policy, nancing constraints, and ...ttokunaga.jp/JFA40/1009-8604-3-1.pdfCorporate liquidity policy, nancing constraints, and nancial intermediaries Katsutoshi Shimizua,,

Corporate liquidity policy, financing constraints, and financialintermediaries ✩

Katsutoshi Shimizua,∗, Weihan Cuib,

aDepartment of Economics, Nagoya UniversitybGraduate school of Economics, Nagoya University

Abstract

This study investigates whether a constrained financial intermediary affects the degree

of financing constraints of its borrower. We model a firm’s demand for liquidity when

its lender’s monitoring alleviates its financing constraints. Since a healthier lender makes

more monitoring investment to alleviate financing constraints, a firm does not need to

hold much cash when its future profitability aggravates. In contrast, since an unhealth-

ier lender makes less monitoring investment to aggravate financing constraints, a firm

needs to hold more cash when its future profitability improves. Our empirical analysis

provides supportive evidence for such model predictions. Our results indicate that con-

strained intermediaries affect the intertemporal allocation of investments and liquidity of

its borrower in a bank-centered economy like Japan.

Keywords: Cash holding, Financial constraint, Monitoring, Japanese banks, Capital ratio

JEL classification: G31; G21; G35

1 Sept. 2016

✩The first author acknowledges funding support from Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research.∗Corresponding author: Katsutoshi Shimizu, Department of Economics, Nagoya University.Address: Furo-cho, Chikusa-ku, Nagoya, Aichi, 464-8601, Japan. Tel.: +81-52-789-2378, Fax: +81-

52-789-2378Email addresses: [email protected] (Katsutoshi Shimizu),

[email protected] (Weihan Cui)

September 1, 2016

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Contents

1 Introduction 1

2 A model analysis 6

2.1 Firm’s optimal decision and borrowing constraint . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6

2.2 Lender’s optimal decision, moral hazard and monitoring investment . . . . 8

2.3 Implications of the model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12

3 Data and empirical methodology 14

3.1 Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14

3.2 Empirical methodology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14

4 Empirical Analysis 19

4.1 Main results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19

4.2 Cash hoarding of non-financial firms and lender’s liquidity . . . . . . . . . 21

4.3 Robustness . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21

4.4 Discussions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22

5 Conclusions 24

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1. Introduction

When a firm is confronted with market frictions, liquidity management becomes an

issue of importance for corporate financial policy. As Almeida et al. (2004) argue, cash

plays a role of efficiently allocating funds between different periods when financing is

constrained. Constrained firms choose optimal cash policy to balance the profitability

of current and future investments. A positive cash flow sensitivity of cash emerges, as a

result of financing constraints. Although there is a large body of cash holdings literature,

the relationship between financial constraints and liquidity management has not been

much researched yet. At least, two questions should be addressed in this area of research.

First, does the degree of financial constraints affect cash policy? In other words, does a

relatively “more constrained” firm save more or less cash than a “less constrained” one?

Second, is a lender able to alleviate financial constraints of its borrower? In other words,

does lender’s capacity of lending become a factor determining the degree of financial

constraints of the borrower?

Our study addresses these two questions theoretically and empirically, with slightly

greater emphasis on empirics. The first question is a familiar one and has been addressed

intensively in the literature that examines the effects of financial constraints on corporate

investment (Fazzari et al. 1988, Kaplan and Zingales 1997, Cleary 1999, Whited and Wu

2006, Lyandres 2007, Almeida and Campello 2007, Guariglia 2008, Hadlock and Pierce

2010, Gatchev et al. 2010, Andren and Jankensgard 2015, Farre–Mensa and Ljungqvist

2016, Chowdhury et al. 2016). However, this issue has been rarely researched in the

literature of liquidity management and financing constraints except for a few studies.1

Denis and Sibilkov (2009) argue that some constrained firms have low cash holdings

because persistently low cash flows prevent them from accumulating cash. Luo (2011)

argue that financial constraints play a disciplinary role in cash dissipation in the presence

of agency problems.

The second question is related to familiar questions: are capital market supply frictions

relevant for capital structure decisions (Faulkender and Petersen 2006, Leary 2009), do

1As we discuss later, Almeida et al. (2004) don’t analyze this issue for a technical reason.

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constrained financial intermediaries lead to inefficiency in investment or not (Paravisini

2008, Allen and Gale 2004), and how financing frictions in the financial intermediation

sector affect lending behavior and economic activity, which has been of concern in the

financial intermediation literature (Peek and Rosengren 1997, Kashyap and Stein 2000,

Calomiris and Mason 2003, Khwaja and Mian 2008).2 In the bank-centered economy

like Japan, the empirical literature also provides evidence that financial intermediaries

influence financial decisions of non-financial firms (Gibson 1995, Weinstein and Yafeh

1998, Kang and Stulz 2000, Hubbard et al. 2002, Iskandar-Datta and Jia 2012). In

particular, Iskandar-Datta and Jia (2012) emphasize that the functioning of the financial

system is crucial to corporate cash policy and find some divergence in cash practices across

countries. They argue that the decelerating cash trend in Japan is ascribed to financial

reforms. Francis et al. (2014) also examine the effects of banking deregulation on the cash

policies of nonbanking firms in the United States. They find a significant and negative

relation between intrastate banking deregulation and corporate cash holdings.

However, there is no study that addresses directly the second issue itself in the lit-

erature of corporate cash holdings, except for Hubbard et al. (2002). Their study is

most related to the empirical part of our study and indicates that high-information-cost

firms hold more cash when they are the loan customers of weak banks. In other words,

such firms have much motives for precautionary savings. However, our efficient allocating

model of liquidity, which is extended model of Almeida et al. (2004, 2011), depicts a dif-

ferent story. Our predictions critically depend on whether the future profitability rises or

declines. If it rises, the firm tends to expand future investment. As the lender is healthier,

the firm can increase both current and future borrowings more. Cash holdings allocate

efficiently funds for investments. More cash is required as the lender is healthier and

the firm can borrow more. In other words, cash holdings is positively related to lender’s

health, unlike Hubbard et al. (2002).

2As Leary (2009) argues, these studies tackled the usual assumption of Modigliani and Miller (1958)that the supply of funds is infinitely elastic, which results in the proposition that the cost of capital isdetermined solely by a firm’s demand. Agca and Mozumdar (2008) argue that the investment-cash flowsensitivity decreases with factors that reduce capital market imperfections.

2

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As the lender becomes unhealthier, the firm becomes “more” constrained and needs to

contract both investments. If the future profitability declines, the firm tends to contract

current investment more than future investment in order to rebalance the profitability.

To do so, the firm needs to hold more cash as the lender is unhealthier. In other words,

cash holdings are negatively related to lender’s health.

In the theoretical part, we demonstrate how a lender’s health alleviates the financing

constraints and how a firm determines cash holdings. As a lender is healthier in terms of

capital ratio, it invests more in its monitoring technology to increase a pledgeable income

in the sense of Holmstrom and Tirole (1997). The greater pledgeable income alleviates the

degree of financial constraint to which its borrowing firm is subject. Constrained financial

intermediaries make worse the degree of financial constraints of the borrower by saving

investment in monitoring technology. Since the direction of the effect of degree of finan-

cial constraint on cash holdings depends on the direction of profitability, the influence

of constrained financial intermediaries also depends on the direction of a change in prof-

itability. A firm becomes “more constrained” when its lender becomes more constrained.

When the profitability of investment aggravates, more constrained financial intermediaries

necessitates its borrower to save more.

After confirming empirically that cash flow sensitivity of cash is positive for financially

constrained firms, our analysis provides empirical evidence that sensitivity of cash is pos-

itively related to its primary lender’s capital ratio and liquidity ratio when a firm grows

investment and vice versa. We employ three approaches suggested by the literature to

identify financially constrained firms: payout policy, firm size, and access to bond mar-

kets. The variable that we empirically examine is not the level of cash, but differences in

the sensitivity of cash holdings to cash, as the model predicts. The evidence suggests that,

in a bank-centered economy, constrained financial intermediaries lead to inefficiency in in-

vestment and affect the intertemporal allocation of investments and allocation of liquidity.

Corporate demands for liquidity depends on the constraints of financial intermediaries.

This study makes contributions to at least three strands of related literature. First,

cash holding literature argue that cash holding is based on transaction motive (Mulligan

3

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1997, Bigelli and Sanchez-Vidal 2012), precautionary motive (Opler et al. 1999, Almeida

et al.2004, Acharya et al. 2007, Han and Qiu 2007, Palazzo 2012, Acharya et al. 2012,

Chang et al. 2014), tax motive (Foley et al. 2007), agency motive (Dittmar et al. 2003,

Dittmar and Mahrt–Smith 2007, Harford et al.2007, Gao et al. 2013), and liquidity in-

surance (Garcia-Appendini and Montoriol-Garriga 2013). Key determinants are leverage

(Opler et al. 1999, Acharya et al. 2007), volatility of cash flow (Opler et al. 1999, Han

and Qiu 2007), R&D investment (Bates et al. 2009), corporate governance (Ozkan and

Ozkan 2004, Dittmar and Mahrt–Smith 2007, Kalcheva and Lins 2007, Fresard and Salva

2010, Kusnadi and Wei 2011, Chen et al. 2012, Jiang and Lie 2016), CEO compensation

(Liu and Mauer 2011), diversification (Duchin 2010, Subramaniam et al. 2011), cost of

carry (Azar et al. 2016), national culture (Chen et al. 2015), tax (Foley et al. 2007), and

crisis(Campello et al. 2010).3 We argue that lender’s performance should be counted as

a determinant of cash holdings. Since cash works as a substitute of external finance, it is

important for borrowers whether their lenders afford to finance when they need.

Secondly, this study contributes to the banking literature emphasizing bank effects on

decisions of non-financial firms. For example, Lemmon and Roberts (2010) argue that

even large firms with access to public credit markets are susceptible to fluctuations in

the supply of capital. Gibson (1995) argues that firm’s investment is sensitive to the

financial health of its main bank. Weinstein and Yafeh (1998) argue that slow growth

rates of bank clients suggest that banks discourage firms from investing in risky profitable

projects. Kang and Stulz (2000) argue that firms whose debt had a higher fraction of bank

loans invested less than other firms did and that exogenous shocks to banks during the

negotiations leading to the Basle Accord affected bank borrowers significantly. Houston

and James (2001) document that bank-dependent firms hold larger stocks of liquid assets

and have lower dividend payout rates. Our study adds the bank effect to the cash holdings

3Denis (2011) provides an excellent survey of the literature. Faulkender and Wang (2006) andPinkowitz et al. (2006) argue that cash holdings are more valuable for constrained firm than uncon-strained firms. Yun (2009), Lins et al.(2010), and Campello et al. (2011) argue that cash works as acomplement to lines of credit. Bliss et al.(2015) argue that a shock to the supply of credit during thefinancial crisis increased the marginal benefit of cash retention.

4

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of non-financial firms. 4

Thirdly, our study contributes the theoretical literature of financing constraints (Whited

1992, Kiyotaki and Moore 1997, Kim et al. 1998, Almeida et al. 2004, Gamba and Tri-

antis 2008,Whited and Wu 2006, Riddick and Whited 2009, Hirth and Viswanatha 2011,

Hugonnier et al. 2015). The aforementioned question of whether constrained financial

intermediaries lead to inefficiency or not has been under-researched. Our analysis is the-

oretically new in answering some aspects of such a question.5 In particular, we add the

analysis on the degree of financial constraint to the notion of cash flow sensitivity of cash

as a measure of financial constraints argued in Almeida et al. (2004). Note that cash

flow sensitivity of cash of constrained firms is not a direct function of the degree of the

financial constraint in Almeida et al.(2004). In our model, the degree of the financial

constraint depends on borrowing capacity and on cash flows. The difference comes from

the difference in the assumption on curvatures of production functions. We argue that a

change in the degree of financial constraints is generally relevant for liquidity policies and

that it has a significant effect on the cash holdings.

Lastly, it is helpful to mention here the studies analyzing cash holdings of Japanese

firms. Pinkowitz and Williamson (2001) argue that firms held greater cash when the

Japanese banks had enormous power in the 1980s than they lost in 1990s. However, as

documented by Nakajima and Sasaki (2016), Japanese firms recently resumed accumu-

lation of cash to the highest cash-holding levels among developed economies. 6 This

evidence casts doubt on the bank power hypothesis of Pinkowitz and Williamson (2001)

because the bank relationship has been recently weakened rather than strengthened, at

least for large listed firms in Japan. We will discuss how Japanese firms accumulated cash

recently at the end of this study.

The organization of this paper is as follows: Section 2 describes the optimal cash

4Chava and Purnanandam (2011) argue that firms that primarily relied on banks for capital sufferedlarger valuation losses during the crisis and subsequently experienced a higher decline in their capitalexpenditure and profitability. Kahle and Stulz (2013) document that the bank-relationship firms havesignificantly higher cash holdings in the last year of the crisis than in the year before the crisis.

5In association with this question, Holmstrom and Tirole (1997) argue that a bank capital tighteninghit poorly capitalized firms the hardest.

6See also table 1 of Kusnadi and Wei (2011).

5

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holdings of non-financial firms and demonstrates how firms behave in the face of aggrava-

tion of lender’s health. Section 3 describes data, empirical methodology, and hypotheses.

Section 4 explains the estimated results of the main empirical analyses and provides the

results of robustness check. Section 5 concludes our study.

2. A model analysis

In this section, we first describe firm’s decision problem of investment and cash holding

when the firm and its lender are financially constrained due to imperfect financial markets.

A borrowing constraint forces the firm to hoard cash to implement optimal investments

at present and in the future as in Almeida et al. (2004). Second, we elaborate the

model by incorporating lender’s optimal decision of lending and monitoring investment.

A moral hazard issue constrains the amount of deposits that the lender affords to take and

thereby the amount of lending. An increase in loans results in lender’s higher monitoring

investment, in turn, alleviates the borrowing constraint of the firm, and finally, weakens

the corporate demands for liquidity.

2.1. Firm’s optimal decision and borrowing constraint

There are three periods t = 0, 1, 2 and two states s = H,L. The state H occurs

with probability pH and L with pL, respectively. At date t = 0, cash flow c0 realizes,

the firm invests I0 that matures at t = 2. At date t = 1, the state realizes, the firm

receives cash flow cs1 and invests Is1 that matures t = 2. Two investments may succeed

or fail. The success probability is denoted by θ and the successes of two investments

are perfectly correlated. The probability distribution of success is independent of the

realization of the state. At date t = 2, if investments succeed, they produce f(I0) + g(Is1)

, and produce nothing otherwise. The production functions f(·) and g(·) have standard

properties: f ′ > 0, g′ > 0, f ′′ < 0, g′′ < 0.

The firm borrows the amount B0 at t = 0 and Bs1 at t = 1, respectively. We assume

that the final returns f and g are not verifiable and cannot be contracted upon. The

firm can pledge the collateralized value of underlying productive assets ( Hart and Moore

6

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1994, Holmstrom and Tirole 1997). Hence, the amounts of borrowing are constrained by

collateralized values of investments. The importance of collateral in Japanese corporate

borrowing is documented in Gan (2007) and Ogawa and Suzuki (2000). The borrowing

capacity, namely the pledgeable amount that the lender is able to seize at date t = 2, is

(1− τ)qI where q ∈ (0, 1) is the unit value of collateralized asset at t = 2 and τ ∈ (0, 1)

is the unit cost of liquidation. The lender is able to capture only the fraction 1− τ of the

collateralized assets. The cost of liquidation is considered to depend on the tangibility of

a firm’s assets, the legal strength of creditor’s right, and the monitoring technology of the

lender, the last of which we will focus on later. The value of the productive asset is zero

when the investments fail.

We assume that the firm is risk-neutral and that a risk-free rate is zero. As Almeida et

al. (2004) argues, the optimal cash holding is indeterminate when the firm is financially

unconstrained. So we focus on the financially constrained firms to save the space. The

decision problem is described as the followings:

maxC,I,z

E(π) = θ

(f(I0)− γB0 +

∑s={H,L}

ps (g(Is1)− γBs

1)

)(1)

subject to I0 = c0 +B0 − C (2)

Is1 = cs1 + zs +Bs1 + C s = H,L (3)

pHzH + pLzL = 1 (4)

γB0 ≤ q(1− τ)I0 (5)

γBs1 ≤ q(1− τ)Is1 s = H,L (6)

Eq. (1) is the expected profit at t = 2. When the projects fail, the firm obtains nothing

due to limited liability. The required rate of return of loans is denoted by γ. Eq. (2) and

Eq. (3) are the budget constraint at t = 0 and t = 1, respectively. The firm hoards cash

C at t = 0 to fund the investment at t = 1 by itself. As in Almeida et al. (2004), the firm

is able to hedge the date 1 risky cash flow by trading zs. By receiving in high cash flow

state and paying in low cash flow state, the firm is able to hedge the risk of cash flow at

t = 1. Eq. (4) represents the fair hedging condition. Eq. (5) and (6) represents financial

7

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constraints at t = 0 and t = 1, respectively.

When both of the financial constraints are binding at the optimum, the investment

amounts become

I0 = (c0 − C)/λ and Is1 = (cs1 + C + zs)/λ (7)

from Eqs. (2) to (6). The denominator that appears in both equations is defined as

λ = 1 − (1 − τ)q/γ, which denotes the unit unpledgeable amount, plays the important

role in the following analysis.

After substituting the above equations into Eq. (1), we obtain the first-order condi-

tions

f ′(I0) = g′(IH1 ) = g′(IL1 ) (8)

The firm optimally chooses the investments to equate the marginal productivities between

date 0 and 1 and between two states. Since the production function is assumed not to

vary across states, the optimal investment is the same in both states (IH1 = IL1 ≡ I1). The

full hedging enables to equate the marginal profitability between states and cash hoarding

to equate those between dates.

Since the future investments in both states are the same, we have the budget constraint

for total investment

I = I0 + I1 = (c0 + E(c1)) /λ (9)

from Eq. (7). Note that the full hedging implies that cs1 + zs = E(c1) at the optimum

in both states. Therefore, the inverse of λ is interpreted as the multiplier of total invest-

ment to total cash flow. Lower λ enhances total investment more. As the unit value of

collateralized asset q becomes higher, or, the unit cost of liquidation τ becomes lower, λ

becomes lower. In this sense, λ represents the degree of financial constraint, which plays

the key role in the following analysis.

2.2. Lender’s optimal decision, moral hazard and monitoring investment

Now we introduce a lender’s decision into the model. The lender lends the amount of

B = B0 + B1 in total to the firm. At t = 0, the lender has equity capital K and collects

deposits D from the perfectly competitive market. The lender lends to n homogeneous

8

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firms whose return is perfectly correlated. The date 0 balance sheet condition is nB =

D +K. The lender obtains the repayment amount of loans nγB at t = 2 and repays rD

to depositors only when the firms succeed to pay nγB to the lender. The depositors are

risk neutral and the deposit rate is denoted by r. The final expected value of the lender

is given by E(V ) = θ (nγB − rD)− ψ(x). To keep the analysis as simple as possible, we

consider that the loan rate γ is exogenously determined outside the model. Usually, we

can consider that there are competitors offering loan rates which are compared to that of

our lender. We do not model such competition and assume that γ is exogenously given.

We make two primary assumptions. First, the unit cost of liquidation τ depends on

lender’s ability to monitor the firm projects. The higher ability the lender has, it is able to

sell the collateral at a higher price. Furthermore, the lender is able to reduce the unit cost

of liquidation τ by making investment x ∈ (0, 1) in monitoring technology. We assume

a linear relationship 1 − τ = ϕx where ϕ ∈ (0, 1] is marginal benefit of the monitoring

investment. It costs ψ(x) for the lender to invest in monitoring technology, where ψ is

an increasing convex function: ψ′ > 0, ψ′′ > 0. The lender makes this investment after it

lends money to the firm and x is unverifiable in the contract.

Second, we introduce the financial constraint of the lender as in Acharya et al. (2010).7

Since it is usual for depositors not to take collateral on lender’s assets, we consider the

moral hazard of Holmstrom and Tirole (1997), instead of the previous assumption that

the lender is able to seize hard assets of the firm as in Hart and Moore (1994). If the

lender exerts effort e, it is able to raise the success probability θ. Otherwise, it enjoys non-

pecuniary private benefit b per lending. We denote the success probability when exerting

effort by θ and by θ − ∆θ otherwise. Since the effort is assumed to be unverifiable, the

incentive compatibility condition θ(nγB − rD) ≥ (θ −∆θ)(nγB − rD) + bnB should be

satisfied. In other words, lender’s return is higher when exerting effort than otherwise.

After rearranging this condition, we have rD ≤ (γ− b/∆θ)nB, where the right-hand side

is the pledgeable income of depositors that is the maximal amount assuring depositors.

In addition, we make three assumptions: First, we assume that the pledgeable income

7Jayaratne and Morgan (2000) provides empirical evidence consistent with this.

9

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per amount of loans is positive, γ−b/∆θ > 0, to make the incentive constraint meaningful

in the contract. Otherwise, no positive amount of deposit satisfying the constraint exists.

Second, exogenously given required rate γ satisfies θγ > 1. In other words, the lender

is able to earn more than the rate that assures risk neutral payoff. This assumption

is required to assure lender’s participation in the contract under the assumption of the

additional cost of investment technology ψ > 0. Third, we assume 1 > θ(γ − b/∆θ). In

other words, the pledgeable income is sufficiently small to assure the lender positive profit.

This assumption is required because, if the expected pledgeable income θ(γ − b/∆θ) is

greater than unity, no profit remains in the hands of the lender.

The timeline is summarized as follows: At date 0, the lender chooses the number

of borrowers and lend B0 to each borrower. The firm chooses investment I0 and cash

hoardings C given cash flow c0. The lender invests x in monitoring technology and exerts

effort e. At date t = 1, the firm borrows B1 and invests I1 after the state and cash flow

realize. At date t = 2, if the projects succeed, the lender repays to depositors after the

firm obtains project returns and repays to the lender.

In this setup, the decision problem of the lender is described as follows:

maxn,x,D

E(V ) = θ (nγB − rD)− ψ(x) (10)

subject to nB = D +K (11)

rD ≤ (γ − b/∆θ)nB (12)

B ≤ γ−1qϕx∗(I0 + I1) (13)

θr = 1 (14)

x∗ = argmaxx

(θγ − 1)n∗γ−1qϕxI +K − ψ(x) (15)

E(V ) ≥ K (16)

Since the lender does not care the amount of lending at each date, the problem is described

in terms of total amount, i.e., B = B0 + B1. Eq. (10) is the final expected value

of the lender. Eq. (11) is the balance sheet condition at date t = 0. Eq. (12) is

the incentive compatibility constraint described above, which means that the amount

10

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of deposit repayments are constrained by the pledgeable income. Eq. (13) represents

the collateral constraint of lending in total, which corresponds to the firm’s constraints

Eq. (5) and (6). Eq. (14) is the participation constraint of depositors. There is no

informational asymmetry on the success probability between depositors and bank. Eq.

(15) ) is the incentive compatibility condition of the monitoring investment, which is

obtained by substituting Eqs. (11) and (13) into Eq. (10). It describes that the lender

optimally chooses monitoring investment x after it lends to n∗ firms and knows total

investment I = I0 + I1. By Eq. (16), we exclude uninteresting situation where the lender

does not participate in the contract.

Solving this problem, we first observe that the assumption θγ > 1 assures the partici-

pation of the lender into the contract (Eq. (16)) and makes the maximization problem of

Eq. (15) well defined together with the assumptions ψ′ > 0 and ψ′′ > 0. The first order

condition for monitoring investment becomes

ψ′(x∗) = (θγ − 1)n∗γqϕI. (17)

and the second order condition is satisfied.

In Eq. (12), from the assumption of positive pledgeable income, γ − b/∆θ > 0, this

constraint can be met by positive amount of deposits. Then, substituting Eq. (11) and

(14), Eq. (12) reduces to

n ≤ K

(1− θ(γ − b/∆θ))B∗ ≡ n∗ (18)

where B∗ is given by Eq. (13) at equality. As long as the previous assumption 1 −

θ(γ − b/∆θ) > 0 holds, the constraint can be met for positive K and nB. From another

assumption θγ > 1, the objective function E(V ) = (θγ− 1)nB∗+K−ψ(x∗) is linear and

increasing in n. Therefore, the optimal number of borrowers n∗ is the maximal number

of integers that satisfies Eq. (18) at equality. We summarize these as a proposition:

Proposition 1 : If the following assumptions: (i) γ > b/θ, (ii) θγ > 1, and (iii) 1 >

θ(γ−b/∆θ) hold, the lender provides each of n∗ borrowers the amount of loans B∗, where

11

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n∗ is given by Eq. (18) and B∗ is given by Eq. (13). The optimal monitoring investment

x∗ is given by Eq. (17).

2.3. Implications of the model

Now we analyze how lender’s capital K affects firm’s cash holdings. Substituting n∗

and B∗ into (17), we have

dx∗

dK=

a

ψ′′x+ ψ′ > 0 (19)

where a = (θγ − 1)/((1 − θ(γ − b/∆θ)). The positive sign comes from the fact that

ψ′′ > 0, ψ′ > 0, and a > 0. As shown in Eq. (18), the greater capital enables the lender

to provide loans with more borrowers. This is because the greater capital alleviates the

financial constraint of the lender, hence enables the lender to increase the total loans. The

greater amount of total loans increases lender’s marginal benefit of monitoring investment,

resulting in higher monitoring investment.

Next, going back to firm’s decision problem, we derive the result on the relationship

between lender’s capital K and firm’s cash holding. Totally differentiating Eq. (8), we

have

dC∗

dx=dC∗

dx=

qϕI0g′′

f ′′ + g′′

(f ′′

g′′− I1I0

)(20)

[Appendix provides the calculations around this equation] The sign of this derivative

depends on the growth rate of investment I1/I0 and the ratio of curvatures of produc-

tion functions. To facilitate the following empirical analysis, we assume Cobb-Douglas

production functions f = Iα00 and g = Iα1

1 hereafter. The sign of the above derivative

becomes

sgn

(dC∗

dx

)= sgn(α1 − α0) (21)

That is, dC∗/dx is negative when α1 < α0 and positive otherwise. In other words, the

firm holds less cash to invest more at present when lender’s monitoring investment is

higher and the future profitability aggravates. The higher monitoring investment allows

the lender to seize more collateral, which reduces the degree of firm’s financial constraint

and enables to hold less cash. Since the optimality requires more current investment when

12

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negative profitability shock occurs, the firm holds further less cash.

Combining Eq. (20) with Eq. (19), we have the following proposition.

Proposition 2 : The sensitivity of cash to lender’s capital is negative when the firm

decreases the future investment, and vice versa.

sgn

(dC∗

dK

)= sgn(I1 − I0) (22)

Note that dC∗/dK = (dC∗/dx∗) (dx∗/dK) and that the inequality α1 < α0 implies that

I1 < I0 and vice versa.

Now we provide the graphical illustration behind this proposition. Figure 1 shows com-

parative statics when the firm becomes more constrained due to lender’s capital change,

assuming that negative technological shock occurs. The upper figure depicts the budget

constraint given by Eq. (9) when the firm is less constrained (λ small) and when it is

more constrained (λ large). Given current investment I0, the firm needs to decrease future

investment I1 when the firm becomes more constrained. This decline in future investment

improves profitability to distort the balance of profitability represented by Eq. (8), as

shown in the lower figure. Since I0 is larger than I1 in this figure, the curvature of g is

greater than f . Therefore, to recover the balance, the firm needs to decrease I0 more than

I1. To decrease current investment more than future one, the firm saves more.8

Figure 2 represents the relationship between simulated optimal cash and exogenous

lender’s capital when the profitability improves (upward sloping curve) and when the

profitability aggravates (downward sloping one). We set parameter values as c0 = 1,

E(c1) = 0.5, q = 0.9, γ = 1.1, θ = 0.95, b = 0.1, ∆θ = 0.1, and ϕ = 0.5. The profitability

parameters are α0 = 0.5, α1 = 0.6 for upward sloping curve and α0 = 0.5, α1 = 0.4 for

downward sloping one. The simulated cash is calculated for lender’s capital from K = 0.1

to K = 0.9.

8This can be shown as follows: From Eq. (7), the change in investments are ∆I0 = (∆λ/λ)I0−∆C/λand ∆I1 = (∆λ/λ)I1 + ∆C/λ. The inequality ∆I0 < ∆I1 reduces to ∆C > (I0 − I1)λ/2 > 0, whichassures that the change in cash becomes positive in this case.

13

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———————————————————–

Insert Figure 1 around here

———————————————————–

———————————————————–

Insert Figure 2 around here

———————————————————–

3. Data and empirical methodology

3.1. Data

Our analysis employs Nikkei NEEDS-Financial QUEST database. The original data

has the sample period 2000–2014. 9 The NEEDS-Financial QUEST database provides

the borrowings amount database by firms. The original data contains 12,861 firm-year

observations with 1,128 firms and 117 lenders at maximum. The sample includes firms

that were listed on existing exchange and firms whose stocks are traded over-the-counter

(JASDAQ). This original data does not include the observations of financial firms, but

they are not restricted to manufacturing firms.10 We eliminate firm-years for which book

liability exceeded book assets. We also exclude the observations whose lender is not an

ordinary bank, which are insurance companies, credit associations, foreign banks and

governmental financial institutions.

3.2. Empirical methodology

Since our model predicts only for financially constrained firms, we select a sample of

financially constrained firms from our original dataset. However, as is well-known, iden-

tifying those firms is a difficult task. Although several indices have been proposed in the

9The sample period starts from 2000 to avoid the period of bank M &A wave in the late 1990s.10Our sample includes the following Nikkei Industry Classification: food, textile, paper, chemical,

drugs, petroleum, rubber, ceramic glass, iron, non-ferrous metal, machinery, electrical equipment, ship-buildings, motor, transportation equipment, other manufacturing company, marine, mining, construction,trade, retail, real estate, railway, land transportation, sea transportation, air transportation, warehousing,communication, electric power, gas, and services.

14

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literature, it seems that the literature has not reached a consensus on the proper defini-

tion of indices (Kaplan and Zingales 1997, Cleary 1999, Whited and Wu 2006, Hadlock

and Pierce 2010, Farre–Mensa and Ljungqvist 2016). In particular, Almeida et al. (2004)

examines Kaplan-Zingales index but find the estimated results very opposite to those of

other measures. In addition, we don’t know whether those coefficients used in indices

hold for Japanese firms. For example, Cleary (2006) reports that Japanese firms exhibit

exceptions in the interrelation between the measures of financial constraints. 11 For these

reasons, we simply use the classical definitions to identify financially constrained firms as

follows:

First, asset-constrained firms are those firms whose asset sizes are in the bottom three

deciles of the original sample on an annual basis, following Gilchrist and Himmelberg

(1995). The rationale behind this is the fact that small firms are typically vulnerable to

imperfections of the financial market due to informational asymmetry. Second, payout-

constrained firms are those firms whose payout ratios are in the bottom three deciles of

the original sample on an annual basis. This criterion follows the classical work of Fazzari

et al. (1988). As the third criterion, we employ access to the bond market. Weinstein

and Yafeh (1998) emphasize that bond issuance has critically influences bank-firm ties.

Access to bond market alleviates the financial constraint and weakens the role of bank

lending.12

Japanese firms usually borrow from multiple banks. As is widely known, a primary

lender has been called main bank which has been supposed to provide information- inten-

sive lending service and oversee the restructuring of the distressed client (Sheard 1989,

Aoki 1990, Hoshi et al. 1991, Weinstein and Yafeh 1998, Morck and Nakamura 1999). As

Gibson (1995) argues, identifying a firm’s main bank is not trivial. There were once at

least four identifiers: 1) the presence of a bank employee on the firm’s board of directors,

2) the largest shareholding in the firm, 3) as the primary reference for the firm identified

11Kadapakkam et al. (1998) also argue that in all countries except for Japan, the cash flow variablecontributes to the explanatory power of the investment regression.

12We examine bond access instead of bond ratings. Although Almeida et al. (2004) examine commercialpaper ratings, we do not because there are relatively small number of firms issuing commercial papers.

15

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in the Japan Company Handbook, and 4) the largest lender in the firm. Although the

role of the main bank has been changing since the 1980s as argued in Weinstein and Yafeh

(1998) and Wu and Yao (2012), it is still considered to have a certain role, at least in

corporate restructuring. As documented in Inoue et al. (2008), banks led 74% of relief

attempts as the main bank in Japan. Therefore, we have a reason to focus on the capital

ratio of the main bank rather than other lenders because it is how the main bank man-

ages a distressed borrower’s restructuring that influences the key notion in our theoretical

prediction, namely collateral value or pledgeable income.

Note that Inoue et al. (2008) argue that private restructurings led by main banks

failed because of delays in implementing fundamental solutions. This result may seem

inconsistent with our model prediction. However, failed restructuring by the main bank

does not mean that such restructuring plan is inferior to other plans from the viewpoint

of lenders. In other words, whether the main bank succeeded to manage the distressed

borrower still remains an empirical question. 13

We simplify our empirical analysis by defining the main bank as the lender that pro-

vides the largest amount of loans and assuming that only a main bank’s decision affects

its borrower’s decision. Hereafter, we call it a primary lender not to invoke confusions

because the role of the main bank has changed since the time when such word was used

in the 1990s and because some articles use this word to mean the notion different from

the past usage.

We consider the following baseline cash holding equation:

∆Cit = β0 + β1yit + βDit2 kit + β3Qit + ϵit (23)

The dependent variable is a change in cash ratio ∆Cit = Cit − Ci,t−1 of the i-th firm at

year t. Cash ratio is the sum of cash and deposit (cash equivalents) divided by book asset.

Cash flow ratio yit is defined as the sum of ordinary income and depreciation divided by

book asset. Capital ratio of the primary lender is denoted by kit. When a firm borrows

13On other favorable aspects of the main bank, Kutsuna et al. (2007) find that main bank relationshipsgive small issuers increased access to equity capital markets.

16

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the same amount from multiple banks, kit is defined as the average of capital ratios of

the banks whose loan amounts are in a tie. We use regulatory capital ratio because the

capital regulation can be regarded more binding constraint than the constraint of deposit

supply.

We also examine liquidity ratio of the primary lender as an alternative of kit. This

additional exercise is motivated by the finding that a bank’s liquidity shock impacts its

loans to the borrower (Khwaja and Mian 2008). As we will discuss later, although the

previous model ignores liquidity holdings by a lender, the lender is able to increase its

loans when it has excess liquidity.

In Eq. (23), the dummy variable Dit takes 1 if the firm investment grows and 0

otherwise. We define Dit = 1 if the investment grows Ii,t+1 > Iit and Dit = 0 otherwise.14

We include Tobin’s Q which is the ratio of market value of the asset to book asset, denoted

by Qit, as a control variable. Cash policy is influenced by the growth opportunity of the

firm represented by Q. Although the future growth opportunity that is available to the

firm is difficult to measure, in principle, we predict that the coefficient of Q is positive.

15 In addition, we include change in short-term debt, asset size, and leverage as control

variables in other specifications, following the existing literature.16 Changes in the ratio of

short-term debt to total assets is predicted to positively influence cash if firms use short-

term debt to build cash reserves. However, it is predicted to negatively influence cash

because cash can be regarded as a negative debt, substitutable for debt. The coefficient

of leverage is predicted negative because firms use cash to pay down leverage. Firm size is

predicted to be negatively related to cash holdings because there exists a scale economy

in holding cash for transactions.

From Proposition 2, we make the main hypothesis as

14This specification precisely follows the two-period setup of the previous model. The deficiency of thisspecification is that actual firms are considered to decide the cash hoardings in a multi-period greaterthan two. To moderate this deficiency of the two-period setup, we tried employing the three-periodsmoving average of investment. The results do not change if we use this alternative specification.

15Almeida et al. (2004) argue that measurement error issue does not arise when we have financialvariable, instead of real variable, as a dependent variable.

16In addition, we examined change in net working capital, capital expenditures, and volatility of cashflow as control variables. We do not provide the results including them in the following section.

17

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H1: A financially constrained firm saves less when its primary lender has a higher

capital ratio as long as its investment growth is negative (β02 < 0). Otherwise, it saves

more when its primary lender has a higher capital ratio (β12 > 0).

Also, we test the second hypothesis:

H2: A financially constrained firm saves more when it has more cash flow (β1 > 0).

By testing this hypothesis, we are able to confirm that our model prediction is also em-

pirically valid in a bank-centered economy, compared to a finding in Almeida et al.(2004).

Riddick and Whited (2009) find contrasting evidence that the cash flow sensitivity of cash

is negative. Bao et al. (2012) argue that the cash flow sensitivity of cash is asymmetric

to cash flow. Cash flow sensitivity of cash is negative when a firm faces a positive cash

flow environment, but it is positive when a firm faces negative cash flows.

———————————————-

Table 1 around here

———————————————-

Table 1 presents the summary statistics for asset-constrained firms, payout-constrained

firms and firms without access to bond market separately. Constrained firms hold on

average 10-14% of their assets in the form of cash equivalents. Mean of cash holdings

is highest for asset-constrained firms and lowest for payout-constrained firms. 17 Mean

of cash flow varies from 5% to 7%, and payout-constrained firms have the lowest mean

among three. Japanese firms hold cash twice as much as cash flow on average. Tobin’s Q

are almost one for each constrained firm. 18 Approximately 60% of constrained firms grow

investment while the others decline investment. Lender’s capital ratio is approximately

12% and its liquidity ratio is 5%. Appendix D provides the number of constrained firms

for each criterion.

17These means are not much different from, but a bit lower than those reported in Almeida et al.(2004).18Change in short-term debt is -0.9% for asset-constrained firms and payout-constrained firms, and is

-0.8% for firms without access to the bond market. These negative mean may indicate that cash holdingsare used to pay down debt, besides of investment. Asset-constrained firms have the lowest leverage of2.211 while payout-constrained firms have the highest, and the highest standard deviation of leverageshows in panel of firms without access to bond market, which is more than twice as the other two criteria.

18

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4. Empirical Analysis

4.1. Main results

In Table 2, we have 3,451 asset-constrained firms in Panel A, 3,144 payout-constrained

firms in Panel B and 6,088 firms without access to bond market in Panel C. In each panel,

we estimate the regression equation (23) by splitting the sample into two subsamples: firms

having positive growth of investment and those of negative growth. We follow a usual

sample splitting method to alleviate the issue of potential endogeneity that choosing

positive or negative growth may bias the coefficient estimates due to the correlation

of error terms. 19 In each panel, the first two columns present the result of baseline

regression, and the latter two columns present the estimation results with a change in

short-term debt, leverage and size being control variables. We estimate these models

by instrumental variable GMM (generalized method of moments) to alleviate the issue

of endogenities of main variables. As instrumental variables, we employ a ratio of the

number of employees to total asset, ratio of sales to total asset, a dummy representing

whether the firm is listed on stock exchange or not, net working capital, year dummies,

and industry dummies, in addition to lags of variables included in equations. Reported

estimates are two-step one and standard errors are Windmeijer bias-corrected one robust

to heteroscedastic errors.

The coefficient of lender’s capital ratio is significantly positive in the model (1) of

Panel A, and it is significantly negative in the model (2). These signs are consistent

with the hypothesis H1. When an asset-constrained firm invests more due to favorable

technological shock, it saves more as its primary lender is healthier. In contrast, when

it invests less due to adverse technological shock, it saves less as its primary lender is

healthier. The estimates are not much different if we include control variables in the

models (3) and (4), respectively.

The cash flow sensitivity of cash in panel A are positive and significant in all esti-

mations, consistent with hypothesis H2 and the existing literature. A constrained firm

19The results are not much different if we use dummy variables method or threshold effects modelwithout splitting the sample. See Barnett and Sakellaris (1998) and Hansen (1999).

19

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tends to save more cash when its cash flow increases. However, we find that the sen-

sitivity is remarkably higher for negative growth than that of positive growth. This is

because the firm that decreases future investment is able to accumulate cash more than

the counterpart.

The coefficients of Tobin’s Q are positive for positive growth firms and negative for

negative growth firms. The existing literature argues that financially constrained firms

tend to increase their cash holdings when they have more growth opportunities ( Opler

et al. 1999, Bates et al. 2009, and Almeida et al. 2004). 20 Almeida et al. (2004) report

that replacing Q with investment growth produces no different results in their analysis. In

our analysis, if we regard Q as investment growth, the result means that a firm decreasing

investment has higher cash. This is consistent with the view, which is prevalent in Japan,

that there are not many profitable opportunities to invest, so such a firm accumulates

cash. However, such a story casts doubt on that those firms declining investment are

really financially constrained.

As shown in panel B and C, the main results for payout-constrained firms and firms

without access to bond markets are similar to asset-constrained firms, respectively. The

coefficients of Tobin’s Q shows similar tendencies in column (1) and (2) of panel B while

they lose significance in other columns. Among control variables, the coefficients of short-

term debt are positive in (4) of Panel B and C, consistently with Almeida et al. (2004)

in that firms with more short-term debt tend to save more cash when facing financial

constraints. Leverage and size mostly show negative but insignificant results. The signs

are consistent with Bates et al. (2009), indicating that constrained firms use cash to pay

down leverage, and Opler et al. (1999), indicating that constrained firms with large book

assets tend to save less cash.

———————————————-

Table 2 around here

20Nakajima and Sasaki (2016) argue that Japanese firms tend to hold less cash when they have growthopportunities. Our finding is consistent with most of existing literature for positive growth firms arewhile it is consistent with Nakajima and Sasaki (2016) for negative growth firms.

20

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———————————————-

4.2. Cash hoarding of non-financial firms and lender’s liquidity

Next, we consider the modified hypothesis of hypothesis 1, using liquidity ratio of

primary lender instead of its capital ratio. As mentioned already, Khwaja and Mian (2008)

find evidence that a bank’s liquidity shock impacts its loans to the borrower. Although

the previous model ignores liquidity holdings by the lender, the lender is possibly able to

increase the loans when it has excess liquidity. The modified hypothesis is

H′1: A financially constrained firm saves less when its primary lender has a higher

liquidity ratio as long as its investment growth is negative. Otherwise, it saves more when

its primary lender has a higher liquidity ratio.

This analysis also complements the previous analysis, in particular stressing that

lenders’ financial constraint plays the key role in determining firms’ cash hoardings. A

cash-rich lender affords to provide more loans using excess cash and benefits from moni-

toring investment, resulting in firm’s higher investment.

———————————————-

Table 3 around here

———————————————-

Table 3 reports the estimation results to examine a lender’s liquidity effect for each

constrained type. Cash flow shows positive and significant estimates again in all panels,

consistently with the hypothesis 2. Also, we find significantly positive and negative effect

of lender’s liquidity for positive growth firms and negative growth firms, respectively. A

financially constrained firm with declining investment saves less when its primary lender

has a higher liquidity ratio while a financially constrained firm with growing investment

saves more when its primary lender has a higher liquidity ratio. The modified hypothesis

H ′1 holds empirically.

4.3. Robustness

Finally, we examine the alternative definition of financing constraints as a robustness

check. Previously, we defined financial constraints on an annual basis. Now we define

21

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financial constraints by ranking firms based on time-series averages of each firm. Then, our

sample becomes firms that are financially constrained, on average, throughout the period.

Since firm size usually does not change greatly year by year, we expect that two definitions

do not produce the different results. Since financially constrained firms may increase or

decrease payouts year by year, we may have different results. In particular, according to

the previous definition of constraints, the firm that is considered financially constrained

in the previous year may become non-constrained after a year, and vice versa. In other

words, some firms are in and out of the sample in panel model, results in missing values.

Although such missing values may not cause any difficulty, the alternative definition has

an advantage in not causing such missing values. As Table 4 reports, the estimated

results are not much different even for payout-constrained firms, again consistent with

our hypothesis 1 and 2. This result suggests that our previous analysis is robust to the

definition of financial constraints.

———————————————-

Table 4 around here

———————————————-

4.4. Discussions

We discuss here our results in terms of several aspects. As argued in Bao et al. (2012),

there is two contrasting evidence on the cash flow sensitivity of cash. Unlike Almeida et al.

(2004), Riddick and Whited (2009) find a negative propensity to save, as their dynamic

investment model predicts. Bao et al. (2012) argue that the cash flow sensitivity of cash

is asymmetric to cash flow. Its sign is dependent on the sign of cash flow. In this sense,

Bao et al. (2012) provide evidence supporting both of Almeida et al. (2004) and Riddick

and Whited (2009). In contrast, our results advocate the positive sensitivity. We find the

asymmetric effect of bank health on cash rather than that of cash flow. Furthermore, our

signs do not depend on signs of cash flow, but signs of investment growth. In our view,

there still remains a room to investigate the issue of the sign of cash flow sensitivity of

cash for several reasons.

First, one of the limitations of our model is that it consists just of two periods. Unlike

22

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the assumptions in Riddick and Whited (2009), we assumed that the profitability changes

from the present to the future. More generally, as in Riddick and Whited (2009), the

technological shock at present may have persistent effects on the future investments,

hence cash holdings.

However, as Lyandres (2007) emphasizes, the more general approach may allow the

timing of investments. The second limitation of our model is the exogenous timing of

investments. If we allow such an endogenous timing, the investment curve may become

U-shaped as in the recent studies, which may result in the non-monotonic relation between

cash and cash flow.

The third point is the relation between Tobin’s Q and financial constraints, as men-

tioned earlier. Ideally, Tobin’s Q contains all the information of future marginal profitabil-

ity. Our assumption here is that the bank ameliorates financial constraints at present and

in the future, uniformly. This assumption can be relaxed by considering a more rich model

where the bank health varies across time. In this case, Tobin’s Q is also dependent on the

future performances of the banks and firms adjust cash holdings expecting future bank

health.

According to Kusnadi and Wei (2011) investigating 39 countries over the period 1995

to 2004, Japanese firms hold the second highest cash ratios. Our analysis provides the

reason for this phenomenon. A firm has high cash holding ratio either because its primary

lender has strong balance sheet and the firm grows investment or because the lender has

the weak balance sheet and the firm declines investment. One side of this polarization

advocates the evidence in Pinkowitz and Williamson (2001) for the different reason. The

other side is consistent with agency view of cash holdings in the literature. The latter

casts doubt on the lending relationship in the sense that the firm finds it better to switch

the relationship with other healthier banks if it has a good opportunity of investments.

Such firm maintains its relationship because it does not have a good growth opportunity.

23

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5. Conclusions

This study investigates whether lender’s health influences cash hoardings of financially

constrained firms. Theoretical prediction is that sign of the sensitivity of cash to lender’s

health depends crucially on a change in profitability. When profitability improves, a

financially constrained firm grows investment and its lender’s health has a positive influ-

ence on cash holdings. Otherwise, it contracts investment and its lender’s health has a

negative influence on cash holdings. In other words, a firm holds greater cash when (i) it

grows investment and its lender is healthy or (ii) it contracts investment and its lender

is not healthy than otherwise. This theoretical result implies that cash holdings move

moderately when its lender keeps its health at a moderate level.

Our empirical analysis provides supportive evidence for our theoretical prediction.

Even in a bank-centered economy like Japan, cash flow sensitivity of cash is positive

for financially constrained firms, supporting evidence of Almeida et al. (2004). And

there exist lender’s effects in corporate cash holdings. This empirical evidence does not

depend on the bank power theory discussed in Pinkowitz and Williamson (2001). Even

during the era which the bank lost their power, financial decisions of non-financial firms

depends on the performance of its lender in a bank-centered economy. This is because the

monitoring investment by such lender affects the collateral value of the productive assets

of the non-financial firm.

Note that, in our analysis, higher capital of financial intermediary is able to make its

borrower “less financially constrained” at the cost of monitoring investment. In this sense,

constrained financial intermediaries have impacts on the inefficiency of investment and

liquidity management of the firm. However, unlike the analysis in Hubbard et al. (2002),

the effect is not one way. Higher cash holdings itself does not necessarily mean that the

firm is “more constrained”. It means so only in the case of weak capital or shortage of

liquidity on the side of the lender.

Lastly, although Nakajima and Sasaki (2016) argue that bank-dependent firms accu-

mulate cash for reasons other than precautionary demands, our evidence does not support

their argument. Rather, we argue that precautionary demands theory, two combinations

24

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above (growing firm with the healthier lender and declining firm with the unhealthier

lender), is able to explain that accumulation.

25

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Figure 1: Lender’s effect on the corporate investments

Notes: Upper figure depicts the budget constraint when the firm is less constrained (λsmall) and when it is more constrained (λ large). Lower figure depicts that the optimalpoint changes from A to B. The optimality condition is given by Eq. (8). These figuresassume that the profitability aggravates.

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Figure 2: Simulated results: Lender’s capital and corporate cash holdings

Notes: Upward sloping curve represents the simulated optimal cash and lender’s capitalwhen the profitability improves. Downward sloping curve corresponds to when the prof-itability aggravates. Parameters are: c0 = 1, E(c1) = 0.5, q = 0.9, γ = 1.1, θ = 0.95,b = 0.1, ∆θ = 0.1, and ϕ = 0.5. α0 = 0.5, α1 = 0.6 for upward curve and α0 = 0.5,α1 = 0.4. Left vertical axis is for downward sloping curve and right one for upward slopingone.

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Table 1: Summary statisticsAsset-constrainedfirms

Payout-constrainedfirms

Firms withoutaccess to bondmarkets

Firm variablesCash holdings (%) 13.47 10.41 11.61

(8.364) (6.990) (7.658)Cash flow (%) 5.873 4.563 6.730

(5.219) (4.353) (5.148)Tobin’s q 0.961 0.959 0.972

(0.337) (0.220) (0.300)Short-term debt (%) -0.921 -0.903 -0.751

(8.089) (6.979) (7.174)Leverage 2.211 3.627 3.084

(5.175) (9.382) (22.73)Size 9.453 10.99 10.48

(0.518) (1.506) (1.080)Investment growth dummy 0.609 0.596 0.617

(0.488) (0.491) (0.486)Lender variablesCapital ratio (%) 12.08 12.71 12.52

(2.707) (2.979) (2.965)Liquidity ratio (%) 4.877 4.819 4.838

(1.910) (1.837) (1.874)

Number of obs. 3,451 3,144 6,088

Notes: This table presents means and standard deviations of the variables for asset-constrained firms, payout-constrained firms and firms without access to bond markets,respectively. Definition of variables are in Appendix. Asset-constrained firms are definedas the firms with asset size in the bottom three deciles of the original sample. Payout-constrained firms are defined as the firms with payout ratios in the bottom three deciles.Five variables (Cash holdings, Cash flow, Short-term debt, Lender’s capital ratio, andLender’s cash ratio) are represented as percentages only in this table. Standard deviationsare in parentheses.

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Table 2: Lender’s effects in cash holdings of non-financial firms: IV-GMMestimation Panel A: Asset-constrained firmsDependent variable: ∆Cashholdings ratio of non-financial firmsModel (1) (2) (3) (4)Subsample ( Investment growth ) positive negative positive negative

Main variablesCash flow 0.118*** 0.353*** 0.101** 0.331***

(0.040) (0.099) (0.051) (0.084)Lender’s capital ratio 0.087* -0.097* 0.092* -0.113**

(0.048) (0.049) (0.049) (0.051)Control variables

Q 0.020** -0.016* 0.017* -0.019**(0.008) (0.009) (0.010) (0.008)

Short-term debt -0.041 0.004(0.049) (0.073)

Leverage -0.001 -0.002(0.001) (0.001)

Size -0.006 -0.002(0.006) (0.007)

Constant -0.035*** 0.004 0.028 0.033(0.011) (0.010) (0.058) (0.071)

Observations 2,101 1,533 2,101 1,533Number of firms 652 545 652 545Sargan test 434.6 312.1 271.3 313.1

p-value 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000Hansen test 225.4 157.1 128.6 151.9

p-value 0.146 0.371 0.347 0.419Chi squared test (all coeffs are zero) 21.73 13 19.63 30.57

p-value 0.000 0.005 0.003 0.000

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Table 2 (Continued)Panel B: Payout-constrained firmsDependent variable: ∆Cashholdings ratio of nonfinancial firmsModel (1) (2) (3) (4)Subsample ( Investment growth ) positive negative positive negative

Main variablesCash flow 0.149*** 0.203** 0.115*** 0.182*

(0.043) (0.093) (0.043) (0.110)Lender’s capital ratio 0.060* -0.252*** 0.067* -0.209**

(0.034) (0.093) (0.040) (0.096)Control variables

Q 0.020** -0.020* 0.019 -0.015(0.010) (0.012) (0.012) (0.011)

Short-term debt -0.045 0.088***(0.039) (0.031)

Leverage -0.000 -0.001(0.001) (0.001)

Size -0.001 0.000(0.001) (0.001)

Constant -0.034*** 0.039** -0.023 0.034**(0.011) (0.016) (0.014) (0.015)

Observations 1,875 1,369 1,875 1,369Number of firms 767 651 767 651Sargan test 330.9 297.1 212.1 273.5

p-value 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000Hansen test 183.5 184.6 125.9 181.5

p-value 0.052 0.710 0.031 0.714Chi squared test (all coeffs are zero) 19.52 11.65 14.92 13.95

p-value 0.000 0.009 0.021 0.030

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Table 2 (Continued)Panel C: Firms without bond market accessDependent variable: ∆Cashholdings ratio of nonfinancial firmsModel (1) (2) (3) (4)Subsample ( Investment growth ) positive negative positive negative

Main variablesCash flow 0.122*** 0.164*** 0.113*** 0.161***

(0.021) (0.038) (0.023) (0.041)Lender’s capital ratio 0.043** -0.220*** 0.060** -0.233***

(0.021) (0.071) (0.025) (0.076)Control variables

Q 0.003 -0.001 0.004 0.001(0.004) (0.007) (0.004) (0.007)

Short-term debt -0.074* 0.061***(0.044) (0.018)

Leverage -0.000 0.000(0.000) (0.000)

Size -0.002 -0.000(0.001) (0.001)

Constant -0.016*** 0.015 0.003 0.017(0.005) (0.011) (0.013) (0.011)

Observations 3,754 2,335 3,754 2,335Number of firm 1,248 930 1,248 930Sargan test 237.8 397.3 208.2 384.5

p-value 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000Hansen test 131.5 249.3 121 244.7

p-value 0.019 0.554 0.050 0.582Chi squared test 43.97 28.42 50.28 37.61

p-value 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

Notes for Table 2: Each panel uses the different sample. The sample of panel A isasset-constrained firms, payout-constrained firms in panel B, and firms without bond marketaccess in panel C. Asset-constrained firms are defined as the firms with asset size in thebottom three deciles of the original sample. Payout-constrained firms are defined as the firmswith a payout ratio in the bottom three deciles. In each panel, odd columns show the resultsfor positive growth of investment and even columns show the results for the negative growth ofinvestment. Definitions of variables are in Appendix. The models are estimated by two-stepGMM. Heteroscedastic robust standard errors are in parentheses. ***, ** , and * indicatesignificance at 1%, 5%, and 10% level respectively. Chi-squared statistics testing that allcoefficients are zero are reported.

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Table 3: Lender’s liquidity effects in cash holdings of non-financial firms: IV-GMM estimationDependent variable: ∆Cashholdings ratio of non-financial firmsModel (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)

Financial constraints Asset-constrained Payout-constrainedFirms without

bond market accessSubsample positive negative positive negative positive negative

( Investment growth )

Main variablesCash flow 0.108** 0.204*** 0.098*** 0.158*** 0.096** 0.118***

(0.053) (0.077) (0.034) (0.049) (0.045) (0.045)Lender’s liquidity ratio 0.148* -0.165* 0.140* -0.149** 0.180* -0.162*

(0.089) (0.086) (0.075) (0.064) (0.105) (0.086)Control variables

Q 0.022** 0.008 0.007 -0.008 0.002 0.005(0.011) (0.011) (0.010) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)

Short-term debt 0.058 0.098*** 0.047*** 0.096*** -0.034 0.022(0.036) (0.024) (0.018) (0.029) (0.034) (0.040)

Leverage -0.000 -0.002 -0.000 -0.001 0.000 -0.001(0.001) (0.001) (0.000) (0.001) (0.000) (0.001)

Size -0.003 -0.005* -0.001 0.000 -0.011** -0.009(0.006) (0.003) (0.001) (0.001) (0.005) (0.007)

Constant -0.005 0.037 -0.006 0.007 0.094* 0.090(0.059) (0.027) (0.011) (0.012) (0.049) (0.070)

Observations 2,101 1,350 1,875 1,270 3,754 2,335Number of firms 652 486 767 614 1,248 930Sargan test 236.2 490.2 302.5 425.3 470.5 156.9

p-value 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000Hansen test 129.5 365.6 149.8 298.6 194.6 103.7

p-value 0.167 0.466 0.138 0.201 0.015 0.154Chi squared test 23.32 32.88 27.19 23.10 25.49 27.90

p-value 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

Notes for table 3: The sample is asset-constrained firms in columns (1) and (2),payout-constrained firms in columns (3) and (4), and firms without bond market access incolumns (5) and (6). Asset-constrained firms are defined as the firms with asset size in thebottom three deciles of the original sample. Payout-constrained firms are defined as the firmswith a payout ratio in the bottom three deciles. The subsamples are firms with positive growthof investment in odd columns and those of negative investment growth in even columns.Definitions of variables are in Appendix. The models are estimated by two-step GMM.Heteroscedastic robust standard errors are in parentheses. ***, ** , and * indicate significanceat 1%, 5%, and 10% level respectively. Chi-squared statistics testing that all coefficients arezero are reported.

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Table 4: Robustness check: Alternative definition of constraintsDependent variable: ∆Cashholdings ratio of nonfinancial firmsModel (1) (2) (3) (4)Financial constraints Asset-constrained Payout-constrainedSubsample positive negative positive positive( Investment growth )

Main variablesCash flow 0.201*** 0.433*** 0.141*** 0.180*

(0.060) (0.130) (0.052) (0.105)Lender’s capital ratio 0.094* -0.388*** 0.075** -0.198**

(0.051) (0.134) (0.034) (0.094)Control variables

Q 0.026*** -0.021* 0.012 -0.028(0.009) (0.012) (0.011) (0.021)

Constant -0.046*** 0.038** -0.028** 0.040*(0.011) (0.019) (0.013) (0.023)

Observations 2,078 1,561 2,074 1,526Number of firms 584 506 500 453Sargan test 394.4 333.7 331.3 170.4

p-value 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000Hansen test 185.6 157.9 208.4 103.2

p-value 0.259 0.236 0.002 0.367Chi squared test 36.04 15.76 14.43 6.447

p-value 0.000 0.001 0.002 0.092

Notes for table 4: In this table, constrained firms are identified based on time-series averages ofeach firm by each criterion. The sample is asset-constrained firms in columns (1) and (2) andpayout-constrained firms in columns (3) and (4). Asset-constrained firms are defined as thefirms with asset size in the bottom three deciles of the original sample. Payout-constrainedfirms are defined as the firms with a payout ratio in the bottom three deciles. The subsamplesare firms with positive growth of investment in odd columns and those of negative investmentgrowth in even columns. Definitions of variables are in Appendix. The models are estimatedby two-step GMM. Heteroscedastic robust standard errors are in parentheses. ***, ** , and *indicate significance at 1%, 5%, and 10% level respectively. Chi-squared statistics testing thatall coefficients are zero are reported.

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Appendix A: Definitions of variables

Table A1: Definition of variables

Firm variablesCash holdings Sum of cash and deposit (cash equivalents)

scaled by book assetCash flow Sum of ordinary income and depreciation

scaled by book assetTobin’s Q Ratio of market value to book assetShort-term debt Change in short-term debt scaled by book

assetLeverage Ratio of liability minus cash to asset minus

liabilitySize Logarithm of book assetInvestment growth dummy takes 1 if the firm’s investment grows and 0

otherwisePayout ratio Sum of dividends of common equities and

share repurchase scaled by book asset

Lender’s variablesCapital ratio Regulatory capital ratio of the primary

lender of the firmLiquidity ratio Sum of cash and deposit ratio of the primary

lender of the firm

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Appendix B: Comparative statics results[Not to be published]

This appendix provides calculations around Eq. (20). First, from the definition of

λ = 1− qϕx, dλ/dx = −qϕ. Second, totally differentiating Eq. (8), we have

dC∗

dλ= − I0g

′′

f ′′ + g′′

(f ′′

g′′− I1I0

)(24)

From these two, we have Eq. (20). This equation reduces to

dC∗

dλ=

I1g′′

f ′′ + g′′α1 − α0

α1 − 1

> 0 if α1 < α0

< 0 if α1 > α0

(25)

Third, from the first order condition with respect to investments, we have

α0Iα0−10 = α1I

α1−11 (26)

Rewriting this, we have

ln(Iα0−10 /Iα1−1

1

)= ln(α1/α0) > lne 1 if α1 > α0 (27)

Then, we have

ln(I1)

ln(I0)>α1 − α0

1− α1

> 1 if α1 > α0 (28)

The opposite inequality holds if α1 < α0. Therefore, I1 > I0 holds if and only if α1 > α0

holds, vice versa. Lastly, we combine these three and derive

dC∗

dx

> 0 if α1 > α0

< 0 if α1 < α0

(29)

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Appendix C: Numerical example of theoretical model

This appendix demonstrates the model in a numerical example. We assume that the

cost of monitoring investment is quadratic, i.e., ψ = x2/2, in addition to Cobb-Douglas

production function assumption in the text.

A firm’s first order condition (8) becomes

α0

(c0 − C

λ

)α0−1

= α1

(E(c1) + C

λ

)α1−1

(30)

Since Eq. (13) is binding at the optimum,

B∗ = γ−1qϕx∗I (31)

Substituting this into Eq. (18), we have

n∗ =γK

(1− θ(γ − b/∆θ)) qϕxI(32)

The first order condition for lender’s monitoring investment Eq. (17) becomes

x∗ = (θγ − 1)n∗γqϕI. (33)

Substituting Eq. (32) into this, we have

x∗ = γ

√(θγ − 1)K

1− θ(γ − b/∆θ)(34)

Therefore x∗ is increasing in K if θγ > 1 and 1 > θ(γ − b/∆θ). From the definition of λ,

we have

λ∗ = 1− ϕq

√(θγ − 1)K

1− θ(γ − b/∆θ)(35)

Substituting this into Eq. (30), we derive the optimal cash holdings C∗.

Now we set parameter values as follows: c0 = 1, E(c1) = 0.5, q = 0.9, γ = 1.1,

θ = 0.95, α0 = 0.5, α1 = 0.9, b = 0.1, ∆θ = 0.1, and ϕ = 0.5. The following table

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provides the values of endogenous variables when lender’s capital is K = 0.4 and 0.5.

K 0.400 0.800C∗ 0.696 0.703λ∗ 0.937 0.910I∗0 0.324 0.326I∗1 1.278 1.322B∗

0 0.021 0.029B∗

1 0.081 0.119n∗ 4.348 5.977x∗ 0.155 0.219

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Appendix D: Distribution of financially constrained firms

Asset-constrained

Payout-constrained

Firms withoutaccess to bondmarket

Others

Asset-constrained 934 2,431 86Payout-constrained 934 1,645 566Firms without access tobond market

2,431 1,645 2,013

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