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THE CITY OF NEW YORK
OFFICE OF THE COMPTROLLER
December 15, 2016
COMMON INVESTMENT MEETING
Public Session
PERFORMANCE REPORTING
Total Fund Performance Overview
Third Quarter 2016
Asset Class IndexThird
Quarter 2016
Fiscal Year
Ending 6-163 Year 5 Year Expected*
Equities - U.S. Russell 3000 4.4% 2.1% 10.4% 16.4% 7.8%
Equities - Developed Intl MSCI EAFE 6.4% -10.2% 0.5% 7.4% 8.9%
Equities - Emerging Intl MSCI EMF 9.0% -12.1% -0.6% 3.0% 11.0%
Debt - US Government NYC Treas/Agency +5 -0.5% 12.0% 6.6% 3.8% 2.8%
Debt - Investment Grade NYC IG Credit 1.4% 7.3% 5.3% 4.8% 3.4%
Debt - High Yield Citigroup BB & B 5.1% 0.8% 5.0% 7.6% 6.1%
3
Market Returns: Q3-2016
Source: State Street
*Average of consultant long-term arithmetic expected returns, as of 2016
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
4
Continuation of Rally
Themes in Q3:
- Post-Brexit response – seamless transition of government, Bank of England lowers rates
and resumes QE, expansionary fiscal policy promised.
- Historic lows in yields – Federal Reserve remains dovish, ECB and BOJ QE programs
continues, dollar slightly weaker.
- Emerging Market assets rally – China concerns remain low, Brazil political issue resolved,
coup in Turkey repelled, oil and commodities stable to higher. EM currencies rally.
- US Presidential Election – Clinton ahead in polls, consensus is Clinton victory positive for
equities, both candidates promise large infrastructure spending plans.
- Equity volatility low – plunges post Brexit vote, remains low despite several terrorist
attacks, European bank concerns and political risks in US and Europe.
- Credit and equity rally continues.
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
UST 10YR Yield - Change in bps 12.4 Germany 10Yr Yield - Change in bps 0.9
JPY 10YR Yield - Change in bps 12.8 UK 10YR Yield - Change in bps -12.1
Nov-16Aug-16May-
15
Feb-15Nov-15
5
Global Yields - 1 Year
Source: Bloomberg
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
SPX Volatility Index FTSE 100 Volatility Index Euro Stoxx 50 Volatility Index
6
SPX VIX, FTSE 100 & Euro VIX - YTD
Source: BloombergPrepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Investment Grade : Q3 Return 1.37% High Yield : Q3 Return 5.13%
7
Investment Grade & High Yield Spreads - YTD
Source: Bloomberg
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
1350
1400
1450
1500
1550
1600
1650
1700
1750
1800
Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
1200
1300
1400Equity Indices
Russell 3000 Index : Q3 Return: 4.40%
MSCI Emerging Markets Index: Q3 Return 9.03%
MSCI EAFE Index: Q3 Return: 6.43%
8
Equity Indices - YTD
Source: Bloomberg
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
Gross of fees in public asset classes
(SSB N p.22; T, F p.23; P p.25 ; B p.27)
NYC Pension SystemPortfolio Std
Dev - 1 yrThird Quarter FYE 2016 One Year Three Year
BERS 8.8% 4.7% 0.4% 11.7% 6.8%
TRS 7.8% 3.8% 1.9% 11.1% 6.9%
POLICE 7.4% 3.9% 1.4% 10.5% 7.1%
FIRE 7.2% 3.9% 1.7% 10.3% 6.9%
NYCERS 7.2% 3.8% 1.8% 10.6% 6.9%
Median Fund - TUCS 3.5% 1.3% 9.6% 6.9%
9
Total NYC Pension Fund Performance: 9/30/16
Source: State Street
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
10
Asset Allocation Third Quarter 2016
Source: State Street
Relative Mix to Adjusted Old Policy Weights (SSB F, T, N, B p.8; P, p.10)
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
11
Asset Allocation Third Quarter 2016 - Fixed Income
Relative Mix to Adjusted Old Policy Weights (SSB F, T, N, B p.8; P, p.10)
Source: State Street
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
12
Asset Allocation Third Quarter 2016
Source: State Street
Relative Mix to Adjusted New Policy Weights (SSB F, T, N, B p.8; P, p.10)
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
13
Asset Allocation Third Quarter 2016 - Fixed Income
Relative Mix to Adjusted New Policy Weights (SSB F, T, N, B p.8; P, p.10)
Source: State Street
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
14
FYTD Return – Total Portfolio
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
FYTD Portfolio FYTD Benchmark FYTD Excess
bp
s
TRS
NYCERS
Police
Fire
BERS
FISCAL YEAR TO DATE September 30, 2016 (SSB N p.22; T, F, p.23; P p.25; B p.27)
Source: State Street
171 bps
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
15
Excess Return – Total Portfolio
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
FYTD Total Excess Return FYTD Qtr Asset Allocation FYTD Qtr Manager Value Added
bp
s
TRS
NYCERS
Police
Fire
BERS
Source: State Street
FYTD 3rd Quarter 2016 Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T, N,F p.10 ; P p.12 ; B p.14)
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
16
Manager Value Added- Total Portfolio
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
FYTD FY 2016
TRS
NYCERS
Police
Fire
BERS
bp
sBasis Points of Excess Return (SSB T, N,F p.10 ; P p.12 ; B p.14)
Source: State Street
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
17
Value Added – Total U.S. Equities
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
FYTD 2 Year Trailing
TRS - 33.19%
NYCERS - 33.46%
Police - 36.03%
Fire - 31.22%
BERS - 37.41%
Source: State Street
Weights as of
9/30/2016
bp
sBasis Points of Excess Return (SSB T, F, N p.23; P p.25; B p.27)
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
18
Value Added – U.S. Equities – Small Cap
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
FYTD 2 Year Trailing
TRS - 1.33%
NYCERS - 3.20%
Police - 2.62%
Fire - 1.67%
BERS - 1.50%
Source: State Street
Weights as of
9/30/2016
bp
sBasis Points of Excess Return (SSB N p.22; T,F, p.23; P p.25; B p.27)
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
19
Value Added – U.S. Equities – Mid Cap
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
FYTD 2 Year Trailing
TRS - 1.44%
NYCERS - 2.46%
Police - 2.01%
Fire - 1.94%
BERS - 3.11%
Source: State Street
Weights as of
9/30/2016
bp
sBasis Points of Excess Return (SSB N p.22; T,F, p.23; P p.26; B p.27)
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
20
Value Added – Emerging Manager Program
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
FYTD 2 Year Trailing
TRS - 0.60%
NYCERS - 1.90%
Police - 0.58%
Fire - 1.49%
BERS - 3.38%
Source: State Street
Weights as of
9/30/2016
bp
sBasis Points of Excess Return (SSB T,F, N p.24; P p.26; B p.28)
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
21
Value Added – Total International Equities
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
FYTD 2 Year Trailing
TRS - 18.25%
NYCERS - 17.75%
Police - 16.16%
Fire - 16.59%
BERS - 21.99%
Source: State Street
Weights as of
9/30/2016
bp
sBasis Points of Excess Return (SSB N p.24; T, F, p.25; P p.27; B p.29)
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
22
Value Added – Developed Growth
-1,000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
FYTD 2 Year Trailing
TRS - 3.70%
NYCERS - 3.51%
Police - 3.27%
Fire - 4.12%
BERS - 7.44%
Source: State Street
Weights as of
9/30/2016
bp
sBasis Points of Excess Return (SSB N p.24; T, F, p.25; P p.27; B p.29)
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
23
Value Added – Developed Value
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
FYTD 2 Year Trailing
TRS - 3.06%
NYCERS - 3.13%
Police - 2.95%
Fire - 3.59%
BERS - 7.37%
Source: State Street
Weights as of
9/30/2016
bp
sBasis Points of Excess Return (SSB N p.24; T, F, p.25; P p.27; B p.29)
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
24
Value Added – Structured Fixed Income
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
FYTD 2 Year Trailing
TRS - 16.74%
NYCERS - 16.03%
Police - 15.81%
Fire - 16.61%
BERS - 14.66%
Source: State Street
Weights as of
9/30/2016
bp
sBasis Points of Excess Return (SSB T, N p.28; F, p.29; P, B p.31)
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
25
Value Added – Enhanced Yield
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
FYTD 2 Year Trailing
TRS - 4.99%
NYCERS - 3.95%
Police - 4.15%
Fire - 3.91%
BERS - 5.28%
Source: State Street
Weights as of
9/30/2016
bp
sBasis Points of Excess Return (SSB T, N p.28; F, p.29; P, B p.31)
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
26
Value Added – Bank Loans
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
FYTD 2 Year Trailing
TRS - 2.51%
NYCERS - 1.86%
Police - 1.71%
Fire - 1.67%
BERS - 2.32%
Source: State Street
Weights as of
9/30/2016
bp
sBasis Points of Excess Return (SSB T, N p.28; F p30; B p.31 P p.32)
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
27
Value Added – Economically Targeted Investments
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
FYTD 2 Year Trailing
TRS - 0.92%
NYCERS - 1.38%
Police - 1.09%
Fire - 0.80%
BERS - 0.65%
Source: State Street
Weights as of
9/30/2016
bp
sBasis Points of Excess Return (SSB T, N p.29; F p30; B p.31 P p.32)
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
Value Added- Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
FYTD 2 Year Trailing
TRS - N/A
NYCERS - 1.86%
Police - 4.28%
Fire - 4.03%
BERS - N/A
Source: State Street
Weights as of
9/30/2016
28
bp
s
Value Added - Hedge Funds
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB F p.53; N p.54; P p.57)
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
PRIVATE MARKET DATA
30
Value Added – Private Equity
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception PME Benchmark: PME is the Russell 3000 Total Return Index as of 6/30/16
TRS - 07/08/99
NYCERS - 03/29/99
Police - 03/29/99
Fire - 03/29/99
BERS - 07/20/06
Inception Date
300bps Target
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME Benchmark.
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
Source: StepStone
Group, Hamilton Lane
31
Value Added – Opportunistic Fixed Income (OFI)
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception; PME Benchmark: JP Morgan Global High Yield as of 9/30/16
TRS - 10/24/2007
NYCERS - 10/24/2007
Police - 10/24/2007
Fire - 10/24/2007
BERS - N/A
Inception Date
300bps Target
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentb
ps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME Benchmark.
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
Source: State Street
32
Value Added – Private Real Estate - Core
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Excess Return Since Inception; Core = 40% Equities- Russell 3000 /60% BarcAgg as of 6/30/16
TRS - 12/6/2002
NYCERS - 12/6/2002
Police - 12/6/2002
Fire - 12/6/2002
BERS - 12/13/2010
Inception Date
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentb
ps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME Benchmark.
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
Source: State Street
33
Value Added – Private Real Estate – Non-Core
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Excess Return Since Inception; Non-core = 60% Equities- Russell 3000/40% BarcAgg as of 6/30/16
TRS - 12/6/2002
NYCERS - 12/6/2002
Police - 12/6/2002
Fire - 12/6/2002
BERS - 12/13/2010
Inception Date
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentb
ps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME Benchmark.
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
Source: State Street
34
Value Added - Infrastructure
0
200
400
600
800
Excess Return Since Inception; PME Benchmark: 50% R3000 & 50% Barclays Agg. as of 6/30/16
TRS - 11/19/2013
NYCERS - 11/19/2013
Police - 11/19/2013
Fire - 11/19/2013
BERS - 11/19/2013
Inception Date
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentb
ps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME Benchmark.
Prepared by the Office of New York City Comptroller Scott M. Stringer - Bureau of Asset Management
Source: StepStone
Group, State Street