Commercial

Aviation

Safety

Team

In the United States, our focus was set by the White House Commission on Aviation Safety, and The National Civil Aviation Review Commission (NCARC)

1.1 . . . Reduce Fatal Accident Rate . . .

• . . . Strategic Plan to Improve Safety . . . • . . . Improve Safety Worldwide . . .

CAST brings together key stakeholders to cooperatively develop and implement a prioritized safety agenda.

* Representing P&W and RR ** Observer

A4A AIA Airbus ALPA ACI-NA CAPA IATA** NACA Boeing GE* RAA FSF

DOD FAA NASA ICAO** TCCA NATCA NTSB** EASA**

Industry Government

Commercial Aviation Safety Team

CAST Goal

CAST came together in 1997 to form an unprecedented Industry-Government partnership… Voluntary commitments, Consensus decision-making, Data-driven risk

management, Implementation-focused. Goal:

Reduce the U.S. commercial aviation fatality risk by at least 50 percent from 2010 to 2025.

New

Reduce the US commercial aviation fatal accident rate 80% by 2007.

Original

CAST Safety Strategy

Influence Safety Enhancements -

Worldwide

Data Analysis

Set Safety Priorities

Achieve consensus on Priorities

Integrate into existing work and distribute

Implement Safety Enhancements –

United States

Agree on problems and interventions

APPROVED PLAN

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

10000

Res

ourc

e C

ost (

$ M

illio

ns)

Risk Reduction Total Cost in $ (Millions)

2007 2020

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

Ris

k El

imin

ated

by

Safe

ty E

nhan

cem

ents

CAST-050

Dol

lars

/Flt.

Cyc

Part 121 Aviation Industry Cost Due to Fatal/Hull Loss Accidents

100

80

60

40

20

0

Historic cost of accidents/flt. cyc

Savings ~ $58/Flt. Cyc

Or

~ $540 Million Dollars/Yr.

Cost of Accident fatalities following implementation of the CAST plan @ 2007 levels

2002 2007

Lives Lost

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Fata

litie

s Predicted vs. Actual Part 121 Onboard Fatalities

Actual Predicted

Net reduction of 2,251 fatalities 1998-2015

CAST Safety Enhancements

CAST Established

Voluntary Safety Reporting Programs

Six-Axis Simulator FDR

Safety Management Systems

ASIAS Established

International Aviation Safety Collaboration World Regional Accident Rates* / Million Landings (10-year rolling average)

United States & Canada

0.6 0.4

Latin America and Caribbean

3.4 2.0

Regional Aviation Safety Groups

Regional Aviation Safety Teams

Regional Expert Safety Team

Information Analysis Team Safety Enhancement Working

Group

Europe 0.7

0.5

Africa 7.7

6.3

World 1.4

1.0

Asia 1.7

1.2 Middle East

2.1 1.4

Russia / C.I.S. 1.4

2.3

Annual Safety Report Team Annual Safety Training Team

Accident Investigation Group

Regional Coordination Group

Planning and Implementation Regional Group

*Western-built transports, hull loss accidents, by airline domicile

2001–2010 2007–2016

Commercial Aviation Safety Team

Study Prioritization(Fleet Risk)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1% 10% 100%Fatality Risk - (Severity)

Yrs

to 1

or m

ore

expe

cted

acc

iden

ts

Risk Level Appropriate for Study

1 accident in 20 yrs

RR SEs Risk Levels

Fatality Accident Expectation @ Current Accident Rate

Risk Level Appropriate for Monitoring

Safety Plan Development Accident

JSATs Accident

JSITs Safety

Enhancements CAST Plan

Incident Analysis Process

Metrics JIMDAT Process

Emerging Risk

Changing Risk

Safety Enhancements

Aviation System

Changes Present

In Master Factors

Yes

No Demographic

Changes Identify Hazards

Identify Factors

Develop Contributing

Factors (new or

emerging)

Safety Enhancements

Identify Hazards

Identify Factors

Master Contributing

Factors

CAST Plan Rev.

FAST Hazards

Metrics

Metrics

CAST Process Flow

Training & support

R&D

CAST approves

Revised tactical/ strategic

Plan “G”

Approve analysis

plan

Conduct analysis

Initiate/ approve

Implementation development

“C”

Report Review/ Approve analysis

report “B””

Modified Strategic

& Tactical

Plans

Define Safety enhancements,

develop schedule, resources and scores

CAST reviews

to approve concepts

“D”

CAST integrates

Into tactical

and strategic plans

CAST reviews modified

plans

JIMDAT • Scoring process • Implementation tracking • Future work plan

PLANS ARE IMPLEMENTED

DIPs developed

Score – Sensitivity analysis

Comments

Training & support Future work plan recommendations

CAST coordinates

With stakeholders

Comments Plans

Yes

No CAST approves

Preparation of DIP or R&D/

Study Plans “E”

No

R&D/ Study plan developed

DIP

Study

Guidance

Comments CAST

Area of interest

Plans

CAST approves

R&D/Study plans

No

R&D/ Study

conducted

Yes Results CAST

reviews to approve concepts

CAST approves

Preparation of DIP for

implementation of R&D/Study

results “F”

No Team develops

DIP

Yes

Comments

[CATEGORY NAME] [VALUE]

[CATEGORY NAME] [VALUE]

Underway, 25

Underway (R&D), 11

CAST – Safety Enhancements

Safety Portfolio Monitoring

SE Title Output Lead Organization Due Date

SE 127 Cargo - Cargo Fire Management Output 5 JIMDAT 8/31/2017

SE 186 TCAS - Sensitivity Level Command Output 4 FAA AJI 12/31/2017

SE 199 ASA - Training - Enhanced Crew Resource Management Training Output 2 A4A 8/31/2017

SE 213 RNAV - Safe Operating and Design Practices for STARs and RNAV Departures Output 2 FAA AFS/A4A 8/31/2017

SE 213 RNAV - Safe Operating and Design Practices for STARs and RNAV Departures Output 3 FAA ATO 8/31/2017

SE 213 RNAV - Safe Operating and Design Practices for STARs and RNAV Departures Output 4 FAA ATO 8/31/2017

SE 217 RE - Airline Operations and Training - Takeoff Procedures and Training Output 2 A4A 7/31/2017

SE 218 RE - Design - Overrun Awareness and Alerting Systems Output 3 A4A 6/30/2017

SE 219 RE - Air Traffic Operations - Policies, Procedures, and Training to Prevent Runway Excursions Output 1 FAA ATO 6/30/2017

SE 219 RE - Air Traffic Operations - Policies, Procedures, and Training to Prevent Runway Excursions Output 2 FAA ATO 6/30/2017

SE 227 TOMC - Air Carrier Procedures for Takeoff Configuration Output 1 A4A 4/30/2017

SE 227 TOMC - Air Carrier Procedures for Takeoff Configuration Output 3 FAA AFS-200 8/1/2017

SE 227 TOMC - Air Carrier Procedures for Takeoff Configuration Output 4 AIA 4/30/2017

SE 228 TOMC - Airplane Design Features to Facilitate Proper Takeoff Configuration Output 1 AIA 10/31/2017

SE 229 TOMC - Takeoff Configuration Warning System Maintenance and Operational Assurance Output 1 AIA 10/31/2017

Summary

Unprecedented partnership and positive impact

Long-term industry and government commitment

Committed to continue to drive future safety improvements.