CMC Markets Singapore Harnessing Volatility

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  • 8/13/2019 CMC Markets Singapore Harnessing Volatility

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    Harnessing Volatility with Bollinger Bands

    THE CMC MARKETS TRADING SMART SERIES

  • 8/13/2019 CMC Markets Singapore Harnessing Volatility

    2/9CMC Markets | Harnessing Volatility with Bollinger Bands 2

    As a trader, you need to have a good

    understanding of the nature of marketvolatility and the way it impacts your

    positions. One of the most popular

    and one of the most reliable tools that

    traders have at their disposal is Bollinger

    Bands, developed in the 1980s and

    named after its creator, John Bollinger.

    Proudly No. 1 for CFD education

    Results from Investment Trends September 2010 Singapore

    CFD Report, based on ratings given by 8,900 investors

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    3/9CMC Markets | Harnessing Volatility with Bollinger Bands 3

    In chart 1, you can see a distribution, or bell, curve. This tells you

    that based on the number of observations that have been taken

    (for example, index prices over the last 20 days), 95% will occur

    within +/2 standard deviations of the moving average.

    -4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0

    68 95 99

    CHART 1 Two standard deviations covers 95% of expected distribution.

  • 8/13/2019 CMC Markets Singapore Harnessing Volatility

    4/9CMC Markets | Harnessing Volatility with Bollinger Bands 4

    CHART 2 Bollinger Bands adapt to changing market conditions.

  • 8/13/2019 CMC Markets Singapore Harnessing Volatility

    5/9CMC Markets | Harnessing Volatility with Bollinger Bands 5

    CHART 3 Price movements outside the bands are statistically significant.

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    6/9CMC Markets | Harnessing Volatility with Bollinger Bands 6

    CHART 4 The beginnings of a trade setup.

    CHART 5 Overlay the pattern onto the Bollinger Bands.

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    7/9CMC Markets | Harnessing Volatility with Bollinger Bands 7

    Buy

    Second trough in the W. Note that the

    candle low is inside the lower BollingerBand and surrounded by two higher lows.

    CHART 6 The formation of the second trough is the key signal.

    CHART 7 The same pattern reversed can give a good short trade.

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    8/9CMC Markets | Harnessing Volatility with Bollinger Bands 8

    1st stop2nd stop

    3rd stop

    4th stop

    Final stop

    CHART 8 Place your stop at the first point you know a reversal has occurred.

    Bollinger Bands and stop loss

    As with any trade you make, you should have a very clear picture of

    where you place your stop loss. As something of a side note, you

    will likely find all of your trading becomes much more relaxing when

    you take on a sensible stop loss strategy, because you have then

    quantified your risk. Trading can be stressful for traders who have

    no plan as to when they will exit a losing trade. Sensible traders will

    know up front where they will place their stop and how much they

    will have at risk before they even enter the trade rather than trying

    to make their strategy up on the fly.

  • 8/13/2019 CMC Markets Singapore Harnessing Volatility

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