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ALCATEL-LUCENT — PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL

COPYRIGHT © 2015 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

1

THE FUTURE X NETWORK AND THE NEW TECHNOLOGICAL REVOLUTION

Claudio Saes

Director, Bell Labs Consulting Brazil



2

HOW HARD IS TO PREDICT THE FUTURE?

Illustrations by Jean-Marc Côté circa 1890´s



3

Perspective

Technological Revolution

=

Interconnectedness and Interdependence of

participating systems and technologies

+

The capacity to profoundly transform the

economy and eventually society



4

Tech. Revolution Enabling Technology Connectivity

Financial (1600 − 1740) Stocks & Bonds Banking & Stock Market Infrastructure

1st Industrial (1780 − 1840) Steam Engine & Iron Production Rail and Shipping Networks

2nd Industrial (1880 − 1920) Steel & Chemicals Extended transportation Networks

Electricity & Telecom Networks

Scientific-Technical (1940 − 1970) Analog & digital signal processing Digital communications networks

Information (1985 − 2015) The Web, Cloud computing & Mobile

devices Internet & Broadband Access

Automation (2015 −) Digital interfaces & Data analysis Cloud Integrated Network

Future X Network: The Past, Present & Future

40

40

20

15

0



5 ALCATEL-LUCENT — PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL

COPYRIGHT © 2015 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. 5

Future X Network: A New Networking & Connectivity Era

Source: The Future X Network



6


“The Future of the Cloud”

Future X Network: Peak Demand Matters …



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Future X Network: Latency Matters …


“The Future of the Cloud”



8

TCP window size (bits)

Round-trip latency (seconds)

Maximum TCP Throughput

(bits/second) =

Future X Network: Latency and Throughput Matters ….

New technology enablers: G.Fast, Vectoring, TWDM-PON, Small Cells & 5G



9

Analog Needs

…with Trust (in Privacy &

Security)

Create Time (by Prediction &

Automation)

Future X Network: New Digital Currencies

Free Wifi

Digital Needs



10

Future X Network: Driven by an Enterprise Revolution

After Mary Meeker, Internet Trends 2015



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Future X Network: Global-Local is the New Normal

Global Forces Local Forces

Ubiquitous Access to

Digital Content

Brand Power

Omniscient Perspective &

Analytics

Economies of Scale

Low Latency & High

Bandwidth

Brand Relationship

Personalization &

Contextualization

Economies of Delivery



12

Global/Local: Webscale Providers Go Global Faster

Webscale providers have demonstrated a significant advantage over telcos in expanding their global reach

Country Presence

584

130

211 199

338

206

89 123

480

625

807

270 254 308

411

257

155

800

1.200

1.300

-

200

400

600

800

1.000

1.200

1.400

China Mobile Amazon Telefónica Bharti Airtel Vodafone América Móvil eBay Apple Google Facebook

Millions

of

subsc

ribers

/use

rs

2010 2 6 22 20 34 17 10 23 100 60

2014 2 10 20 21 29 30 31 115 195 195

Webscale 2010

Webscale 2014

Service Provider 2010

Service Provider 2014



13

Future X Network: A New Business Era

GSP

LSP

http://www.google.ie/url?url=http://www.lawyersandsettlements.com/settlements/16915/18m-settlement-awarded-fo-ex-ups-supervisor-in.html&rct=j&frm=1&q=&esrc=s&sa=U&ei=fzpaVIKLMYep7Aby7YDoAw&ved=0CBQQ9QEwAA&usg=AFQjCNHDob6393n0o5xdjcN69pmvxFCNTg

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:UPS_PackageCar_2344949376_74be4af25f_o_cropped.jpg



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Future X Network: The New Global Local Manufacturing



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THE FUTURE X

NETWORK: DEFINING FABRIC OF THE

DIGITAL WORLD

MASSIVE

DEVICE

SCALING IN

THE CLOUD

PEOPLE

&

THINGS

CLOUD MOVES

INTO THE

NETWORK

ENTERPRISE

&

CONSUMER

@ ANALYSIS

@ CONTENT

@ SERVICES

HIGHEST PERFORMANCE

LOWEST COST PER BIT

MOST PERSONALIZED

Future X Network: A New Value Paradigm



16

GLOBAL

LOCAL

ENTERPRISE

CONSUMER

CONTENT

CONTROL

CLOUD

CONNECTIVITY

Future X Network: The Competitive Dimensions



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Future X Network: The Target Architecture and Value Vectors

CONTENT

CONTROL

CLOUD

CONNECTIVITY

ENERGY FEDERATION



18

Access Transformation

Access Domain Topics

• VDSL (V+B)* • G.Fast* • VPlus

• DOCSIS 3.1 • CCAP • uCMTS • R-MAC/PHY

• EPON/GPON* • P2P • TWDM-PON*

• Market analysis • New solutions

• Outdoor SCs • Indoor SCs • Wi-Fi offload

• Refarming • New spectrum • Valuation

• LTE for fixed BB

• SCAA service

• Wi-Fi strategy

• vRAN, vEPC, VoLTE • LTE-Adv., 5G

Spectrum

strategy

Cable

evolution

Fixed

wireless

convergence

Copper

evolution

HETNET

strategy

Fiber

evolution

Rural

deployment

RAN

evolution

Access

evolution strategy

and

economics

* Alcatel-Lucent Projects 2015-2016



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Transport Transformation

Transport Domain Topics

IP

network

architecture

IP /MPLS

network

evolution

IP/MPLS

cost

reduction

Optical

network

architecture

Optical

network

evolution

Optical

cost

reduction

IP-MPLS*

Optimized

multilayer

protection

Converged

IP/optical

design

E2E

reliability

Optical Transport*

• Optimized cost

• Protection & QoS

• Performance analysis

• Network optimiz.

• NG routers

• Network consolidation

• Converged edge

• Distrib. BNG

• CDN

• NG routers

• DWDM

• OTN

• GMPLS

• Network optimization

• Express routes

• Retire SONET/SDH

• Evolution to

IP over DWDM

• 100G, OTN,

• Protection

mechanisms

• End-to-End IP &

optical paths

• MTTR, MTBF,..

• GMPLS/UNI




20

Service Platforms Transformation

Service Platforms Domain Topics

Network

Resiliency

• Caching

• Peering/Transit

• Economics

• Fixed

• VoLTE

• OTT services

• WebRTC and APIs

• Services B2B/B2C

• CapEx, OpEx savings

• Road-map

• PSTN to VoIP, Centrex

• VoLTE

• TDM switch-off

• Business case

New services

monetization

strategy

PSTN services

migration

IMS

Architecture*

Switch

consolidation

CDN &

peering

architecture

PSTN

migration

business case

Service

platforms




21

SDN-NFV Transformation

SDV-NFV Domain Topics

• pNF vs. vNF

- Revenues

- Capex, Opex

• SDN

• Market opportunity/services portfolio • Technology assessment • Revenue potential • Business cases

• IaaS, SaaS, NFV, DC IT, DC LAN and WAN • Build vs. Use Public cloud • Distributed vs. Centralized • Greenfield/Brownfield • TCO optimization

Deployment

strategy

VNF

economics

Impact

analysis

SDN/NFV

strategy

and

economics

vIMS vEPC

vCPE

vDNS

vAAA SD-VPN*




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For the book: http://bit.ly/blbook-order or visit www.bell-labs.com

For the interactive infographic:

http://bit.ly/FutureXguide

Future X Network: The Guidebook

http://bit.ly/blbook-order




http://www.bell-labs.com/



http://bit.ly/FutureXguide

Documents

Claudio Saes - networkeventos.com.br€¦ · •LTE-Adv., 5G Spectrum strategy ... ALCATEL-LUCENT — PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL ... architecture Optical network evolution Optical