CLASS 2 a Technology Strategy

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    Technology-based Industries &

    the Management of Innovation

    Competitive advantage in technology-intensiveIndustries

    Appropriating the returns to innovation

    Strategies to exploit innovation Alternative approaches Timing: to lead or to follow? Managing risk

    Competing for standards

    Implementing technology strategy The conditions for creativity

    From invention to innovation

    OUTLINE

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    The Development of Technology: FromKnowledge Generation to Diffusion

    BasicKnowledge

    Invention Innovation Diffusion

    IMITATION

    ADOPTION

    Supply side

    Demand side

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    The Development of Technology: Lags BetweenKnowledge Generation and Commercialization

    BASIC FIRST PRODUCT IMITATION

    KNOWLEDGE PATENTS LAUNCHXerography late 19th and 1940 1958 1974

    early 20thcenturies

    Jet Engines 17th-- early 1930 1957 195920th centuries

    Fuzzy logic 1960s 1981 1987 1988controllers

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    Appropriation of Value:- How are theBenefits from Innovation Distributed?

    Customers

    Suppliers

    Imitators andother

    followers

    Innovator

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    The Profitability of Innovation

    Legal protectionComplementaryresources

    Imitability of the

    technologyLead time

    Profitsfrom

    Innovation

    Value of theinnovation

    Innovatorsability to

    appropriate thevalue of theinnovation

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    Complementary Resources

    Bargaining power of owners of complementaryresources depends upon whether complementaryresources are g eneric or specialized .

    Manufacturing Distribution

    Service

    Complementarytechnologies

    Other Other

    Marketing

    FinanceCore

    technologicalknow-how

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    Lead Time

    If rivals can imitate-- time lag is the major

    advantage of the innovator.But maintaining lead-time advantage requirescontinuous innovationLead time is reinforced by learning effects

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    U.S. Managers Perceptions of the Effectiveness of

    Different Mechanisms for Protecting Innovation

    P rocesses P roductsPatents to prevent duplication 3.52 4.33

    Patents to secure royalty income 3.31 3.75Secrecy 4.31 3.57Lead time 5.11 5.41Moving quickly down the learning 5.02 5.09curve

    Sales or service efforts 4.55 5.59

    1 = not at all effective 7 = very effective

    Source : Levin, Klevorick, Nelson & Winter. Brookin g s P apers on Economic Activity , 1987.

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    Risk &Return

    Competing

    Resources

    Examples

    LicensingOutsourcing

    certainfunctions

    StrategicAlliance

    JointVenture

    InternalCommercialization

    Small risk, butlimited returnsalso (unlesspatent positionvery strong

    Limits

    investment, butdependence onsuppliers &partners

    Benefits of

    flexibility;risks of informalstructure

    Shares

    investment &risk. Risk of partner conflict &culture clash

    Biggest risks &

    benefits.Allows completecontrol

    Few Allows outsideresources &

    capabilitiesTo be accessed

    Permits pooling of theresources/capabilities of

    more than one firm

    Substantial

    resourcerequirements

    Konicalicensing itsdigitalcamera toHP

    Pixars movies (e.g.Toy Story)marketed &distributed byDisney.

    Apple andSharp buildtheNewtonPDA

    Microsoftand NBCformedMSNBC

    TIsdevelopment of Digital SignalProcessingChips

    Alternative Strategies for Exploiting Innovation

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    The Comparative Success of Leaders andFollowers

    PRODUCT INNOVATOR FOLLOWER WINNERJet Airliners De Havilland (Comet) Boeing (707) Follower Float glass Pilkington Corning Leader X-Ray Scanner EMI General Electric Follower Office P.C. Xerox IBM Follower VCRs Ampex/Sony Matsushita Follower Diet Cola R.C. Cola Coca Cola Follower Instant Cameras Polaroid Kodak Leader Pocket Calculator Bowmar Texas Instruments Follower Microwave Oven Raytheon Samsung Follower

    Plain Paper Copiers Xerox Canon Not clear Fiber Optic Cable Corning many companies Leader Video Games Players Atari Nintendo//Sony FollowersDisposable Diapers Proctor & Gamble Kimberly-Clark Leader Web browser Netscape Microsoft Follower PDA Psion, Apple Palm Follower MP3 music players Diamond Multimedia Sony (&others) Followers

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    The Strategic Management of Technology:-To Lead or to Follow

    K ey considerations :Is innovation appropriable and protectable against

    imitation?If so, advantages in leadership.

    The role of complementary resourcesFollowers may be able to avoid investing incomplementary resources due to better-established industry infrastructureFirms possessing complementary resourceshave the luxury of waiting

    Is owning/ controlling industry standard critical tocompetitive advantage?

    if so, advantage in being a leader.

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    Uncertainty & Risk Management in Tech-based Industries

    Sources of uncertainty

    Technologicaluncertainty

    Selection process for standards anddominant designs emerge is complexand difficult to predict, e.g. future of 3G

    Customer acceptance and adoption ratesof innovations notoriously difficult topredict, e.g. PC, Xerox copier, Walkman

    Marketuncertainty

    Strategies for managing risk

    Cooperating with lead usersearly identification of customer requirements

    assistance in new product development

    Flexibilitykeep options openuse speed of response to adapt

    quickly to new information

    learn from mistakes

    Limiting risk exposureavoid major capital commitments

    (e.g. lease dont buy)outsourcealliances to access other firms

    resources & capabilitieskeep debt low

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    The Emergence of Standards

    Emergence of a dominant design paradigm Model T in autos IBM 360 in mainframes Douglas DC3 in passenger aircraft

    Emergence of technical standards Emerge in industries where there are network

    extremitiesEntrenchment of the dominant designs and technicalstandards

    Learning effects: incremental improvement of thedominant design

    Switching costs Need for coordinated action by multiple players

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    Sources of Network Externalities

    User linkages, e.g. Telephone systemsonly value of telephone is connection to

    other users Video game consolessame platform allows users to

    exchange games and play interactively On-line auctionvalue of auction depends on number of

    buyers and sellers participatingAlso, social identification listening to same music, watching

    same TV shows, wearing same clothes in order to conform

    Availability of complementary products, e.g. Most PC applications software written for Windows, not Mac. In economy autos, easier to get parts and repair for a Ford

    Focus than for a Maruti or Proton

    Economizing on switching costs, e.g. In suites of office software, users of Microsoft Office more

    likely to avoid switching costs that users of Lotus SmartSuitewhen they move jobs

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    Companies that Own Technical Standards

    COMPANY PRODUCT CATEGORY STANDARDMicrosoft/Intel PC operating systems Wintel (Windows

    OS & Intel *86 series

    processorsMatsushita Videocassette recorders VHS systemIomega High capacity PC disk drives Zip drivesIntuit Software for on-line financial

    transactions QuickenRockwell/ 3Com 56K modems V90

    Dolby Laboratories Sound processing systems Dolby sound reductionQualcomm Digital wireless telecom signals CDMAAdobe Systems Common file format for creating

    and viewing documents Acrobat

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    Fighting Standards Wars

    1. Determine the potential for standards emergenceanalyze network externalities2. Building a bandwagonenlist partners (requires licensing

    & sharing returns from the technology)3. Pre-empting the marketBuild user base quickly: May

    require sharing benefits with consumers (penetrationpricing)

    4. Manage expectations (the Microsoft advantage)

    Wh at if youre a loser? (a) ensure compatibility (b) go for niche

    How can t h e winner sustainin g t h e standard? --Dont fall behind on technology--Ensure backward compatibility--Meet threat of disruptive technology by offeringcustomers a migration path

    --Reinforce standard with other resourcese.g. brand

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    The Conditions for Creativity:Operating and Innovating Organizations

    O peratin g O r g anization Innovatin g O r g anization

    Structure Bureaucratic. Specialization anddivision of labor. Hierarchicalcontrol

    Flat organization withouthierarchical control. Task-orientedproject teams.

    P rocesses Operating units controlled andcoordinated by top managementwhich undertakes strategicplanning, capital allocation andoperational planning.

    Processes directed towardgeneration, selection, funding anddevelopment of ideas. Strategicplanning flexible, financial andoperating controls loose.

    Reward

    Systems

    Financial compensation, promotionup the hierarchy, power and statussymbols.

    Autonomy, recognition, equityparticipation in new ventures

    P eople Recruitment and selection basedupon the needs of the organizationstructure for specific skills:

    functional and staff specialists,general managers, and operatives.

    Key need is for idea generatorswhich combine required technicalknowledge with creative

    personality traits. Managers mustact as sponsors and orchestrators.

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    Strategy Implementation:

    Invention to Innovation

    While invention depends upon creativity, successfulinnovation requires integrating new knowledge withmultiple business functions.Need to link R&D departments with other functions (theproblem of Xeroxs PARC)The role of cross-functional new product developmentteams as vehicles for integrationThe role of product champions--in achieving integrationand counteracting organizational inertia.