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Class 12
Unrealistic Optimism, Depression, & Hostility
Announcements:
Midterm postponed to 10/26; Review on 10/21
Read Kriegel Falling Into Life for Next Class
Health Outcomes Questions1. Compared to most other college students, what is your risk of an alcohol-
related injury?
2. Compared to most other college students, what is your risk of getting into a car accident?
Much Below
Average
Below Average
Slightly Below
Average
Average for
Rutgers students
SlightlyAbove
Average
Above Average
Much Above
Average
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3
Much Below
Average
Below Average
Slightly Below
Average
Average for
Rutgers students
SlightlyAbove
Average
Above Average
Much Above
Average
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3
02468
101214161820
Much Below Below SlightlyBelow
Average SlightlyAbove
Above Much Above
"Rational" Expected Results
02468
101214161820
Much Below Below SlightlyBelow
Average SlightlyAbove
Above Much Above
Risk of Alcohol Injury, Compared to Most Students
n = 48 Mean = 2.46 Median = 2.00 Mode = 1 SD = 1.64
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Much Below Below SlightlyBelow
Average SlightlyAbove
Above Much Above
Risk of Auto Injury, Compared to Most Students
n = 48 Mean = 3.15 Median = 3.00 Mode = 4 SD = 1.58
Defined: Belief that one is immune from bad events, or that one will not be injured or harmed even when taking risks.
Arises from:
1. Easier to think up things that reduce risk than things that increase risk.
2. Lack of info about others' risk prevention efforts.
3. Egocentric dismissal of other's efforts to reduce risk.
Illusion of Invulnerability
GROUP 1 COMPLETE INFO.: ABOUT ME AND ABOUT OTHERSYour Risk Factor for Heart Attack Me Others
1. Cigarettes smoked per week _____ ( 8 )2. # Family members with heart ailments _____ ( 2 )3. Hours of exercise per week _____ ( 3 )
GROUP 2PARTIAL INFO: ABOUT ME ONLY, NO COMPARISON TO OTHERSYour Risk Factor for Heart Attack Me Others
1. Cigarettes smoked per week _____ ? 2. # Family members with heart ailments _____ ?3. Hours of exercise per week _____ ?
GROUP 3NO INFO: NO TRACKING OF SELF, NO COMPARISON TO OTHERS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Weinstein Unrealistic Optimism Study
Represents actual average
All subjects next answer the following question:
Compared to other Rutgers students of my sex, my chances of having a heart attack are:
Much Below
Average
Below Average
Slightly Below
Average
Average for Rutgers students
SlightlyAbove
Average
Above Average
Much Above
Average
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3
Weinstein Unrealistic Optimism Study
-2
-1
0
1
2
Heart Attack Tooth Decay
Re
lativ
e D
eg
ree
of R
isk Self and Others Info
Self Only Info
No Info
Results of Weinstein Study
Severe Risks Mild/Mod Risks
1. 15% of all people suffer depression
2. Chronic depression --> brain damage
* Poorer Memory* Failed concentration
3. ____ Men / ____ Women 2 X more likely to get depressed.
Depression: The High Costs of Being Low
X
Hypercortisolemia and Hippocampus DamageHippocampus functions include:
a. Long term memoryb. Spatial navigation
Hippocampus in depressed women smaller than in non-depressed women.
Rats given cortisol show atrophied hippocampus.
Depression --> increased cortisol (cortisolemia).
What does this add up to? Depression --> cortisolemia --> hippocampus atrophy --> memory loss
Linking Depression to Hippocampus AtrophyDepressed people have smaller hippocampus, therefore depression hippocampus atrophy, right???
Why doesn’t this clear association between depress. & hippo. atrophy establish depression as cause?
Depression Hippo. Atrophy
Brain Virus, for example
What kind of study would allow us to determine causality?
Confirming that Depression Hippocampus AtrophyExperiment: Make some people depressed, others not depressed, check on hippocampus in 3 yrs. Problems?
Cross-Sectional Study: Look at people of different ages, with or w/o depression, and look at hippocampus.
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
20 40 60 80
Age
Hip
po
cam
pu
s R
em
ain
ing
Depressed
Not Depressed
Prospective Study: Look at people at same starting age (e.g., 20), diagnosed as depressed/not depressed, and monitor hippo. size as they age.
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
2000 2010 2020 2030
Year
Hip
po
cam
pu
s R
em
ain
ing
Depressed
Not Depressed
Artificial Data
Hostility as a Health ThreatSelye: A person confronted with major stressor goes into one of two modes: Fight FlightOR
Anxious, pessimistic, low efficacy will tend to which response? Flight
Imagine someone in chronic “fight” mode, always ready for attack or defense
How would he/she appraise situations? Other people?
More threatening, as self-serving, un-trustworthy, dog-eat-dog world
How would this person respond to others?
Socially abrasive, smaller social network, avoid others when in need
Hostility is considered to be an attitudinal set—perhaps a personality trait—which stems from an absence of trust in the basic goodness of others and centers around the belief that others are generally mean, selfish, and undependable.
Williams, Barefoot, & Shekelle, 1985
Hostility Defined
http://fawlty.towers.videowall.sytes.org/?p=bXYwb25YaHlMbEUvQmFzaWwgdGhyYXNoZXMgaGlzIGNhciAtIEZhd2x0eSBUb3dlcnMgLSBCQkOvK6y9
Case Study of Hostile Personality
YES NO
1 No one cares much what happens to you
2 I have often met people who were supposed to be experts who were no better than I.
3 Some of my family have habits that bother and annoy me very much.
4 I often have to take orders from someone who did not know as much as I did.
5 It makes me feel like a failure when I hear of the success of someone I know well.
6 People often disappoint me.
7 It is safer to trust nobody.
8 I have often felt that strangers were looking at me critically.
9 I tend to be on my guard with people who are somewhat more friendly than I expected.
10 My way of doing things is apt to be misunderstood by others.
Hostility Scale(Cook and Medley, 1954)
1. Hostile
2. Competitive
3. Work-a-holic
4. time-pressed
Qualities of Type A Personality
Which component the most important?
X
Blockage of blood vessels
Coronary Heart Disease (CHD) (1.5 time greater odds)
20-year increased risk of death due to:
* CHD* Malignant Neoplasms (cancer)* All causes of death combined
Health Correlates of Hostility
Is Relation Between Hostility and Heart Disease Linear or Catastrophic?
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
None VeryLittle
Little Moderate Mod Plus A Lot A GreatDegree
Hostility Score
Hea
rt D
isea
se
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
None VeryLittle
Little Moderate Mod Plus A Lot A GreatDegree
Hostility Score
Hea
rt D
isea
se
Linear Catastrophic
-1
1
3
5
7
9
11
13
15
0 TO 8 9 TO 13 14 TO 17 18 TO 31
Hostility Score
CH
D E
ve
nts
Hostility and Coronary Heart Disease Among MDsBarefoot, et al., 1983
0.85
0.87
0.89
0.91
0.93
0.95
0.97
0.99
1960- 1965- 1970- 1975- 1980-
Pe
rce
nt
Su
rviv
ing
Low HostileHigh Hostile
MD Survival Rates Over 25 Years:Low Hostile vs. High Hostile