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Children and South Africa’s Budget

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Page 1: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Children and South Africa’s Budget

Page 2: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Children and South Africa’s Budget

1. Macro context

2. Health

3. Education

4. Social Development

Page 3: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

1. MACRO CONTEXT

South Africa

Page 4: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Key message 1

The nearly 20 million children in South Africa account for more

than a third of the country’s population of approximately 55

million.

Population growth is about 1.6% per year.

With GDP per capita of R73,061 in 2015, South Africa is an upper

middle income country.

GDP is growing at less than 1% per year – lower than both

inflation (6%) and population.

Page 5: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Key Message 2

South Africa does not have a single official poverty line.

However, all measures indicate that children are more

likely than adults to live in poor households.

Food inflation is higher than overall inflation.

Page 6: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Poverty lines (2011 Rand)

20.8

36.2

53.2

45.5

55.7

21.0

38.7

62.8

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Food poverty Lower bound Upper bound Upper bound population Upper bound children

Rebased 2015 estimates 2014 estimates

%

Statistics South Africa University Cape Town

Page 7: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Key Message 3

The main source of government revenue is taxation.

In 2015/16, taxation stood at 27% of GDP.

If government had fully adjusted tax brackets for inflation

every year since 1990, the tax: GDP ratio would now be

about 29% because more people would be paying tax,

and the income of the wealthiest has increased faster

than inflation.

Page 8: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Key Message 4

Provincial budgets are especially important for children because

provinces bear the main responsibility for delivery of education

(other than tertiary), health and social development services.

In 2016/17 provinces receive 42.9% of all nationally collected

revenue.

Provinces receive a block grant (the equitable share)

determined by a formula, and conditional grants for specified

purposes.

Page 9: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

National transfers to provinces

58060

22995

79600

87898

48709

33450

10863

28062

41062

10243

6816

18839

17489

7120

6987

3749

7043

10749

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

EC FS GT KZN LIM MPU NC NW WC

R m

illio

n

Equitable share Conditionalgrants

Page 10: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Key Message 5

The three social sectors – education, health & social protection

– each receive a substantial share of the consolidated (national

and provincial) budget.

However, debt service costs require almost as much funding as

social development, with each at about 10% of the combined

national and provincial budgets.

It will cost government R148 billion to pay interest on its debt in

2016/17.

Page 11: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Composition of consolidated budget, 2016/17

Function R bn % of total

Basic education 228.8 16%

Health 168.4 12%

Social development 167.5 11%

Defence, public order & safety 181.5 12%

Other 563.4 39%

Allocated expenditure 1309.6 89%

Debt service costs 147.7 10%

Contingency 6.0 0%

Consolidated expenditure 1463.3 100%

Page 12: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

2. HEALTH

Page 13: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Key Message 1

The primary health care share of combined provincial budgets

has increased steadily over time, and inequities in allocations

between provinces are smaller than ten years ago.

However, in 2016/17 primary health care still accounts for less

than a third (29%) of total provincial health budgets.

Page 14: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Provincial primary health care budgets

29%

27%26%

31% 30%

33%32%

40%

25%

29%

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

EC FS GT KZN LIM MPU NC NW WC RSA

2016/17 PHC per uninsured

Page 15: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Key Message 2

The health component of the formula for the equitable share

may not adequately reflect the needs of the poorest children.

The weights used in the formula are based on use of health

care by children from wealthier households with medical aid

cover.

The health needs of children from poor households who are

the target of public health are likely to differ from those of

children in wealthier households.

Page 16: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Key Message 3

In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public

health facilities when ill.

The percentage was 96% for the poorest children but only

14% for children in the wealthiest households.

A quarter of children who use public health facilities have

travel time of half an hour or more to reach the facility, rising to

40% in rural areas.

Page 17: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Distance of children from health facilities

75%

89%

22%

9%

3%1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Public Private

< 30 min 30-89 min 90+ min

Page 18: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Key Message 4

For the nine provinces combined, the HIV and AIDS sub-

programme allocation increased from R9 277 million in

2012/13 to R15 684 in 2016/17.

Children, alongside adults, have benefited enormously from

the roll-out of antiretrovirals and prevention of mother-to-child

transmission

However, in 2016 more than half of HIV-infected children

under 15 years of age are still not receiving treatment.

Page 19: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

HIV prevalence & ART coverage

0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.9%2.4%

4.6%

8.2%

12.8%

18.8%

25.4%

33.0%

38.9%

43.5%

46.2%

1.5%

1.8%

2.1%

2.3%

2.5%

2.7%

2.8%2.9% 3.0% 3.0%

2.9%2.8%

2.7%2.6%

2.4%

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

ART coverage HIV prevalence

Page 20: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Key Message 5

If all children under five years of age without medical aid

made four visits to clinics and all pregnant women made four

antenatal visits, the costs would account for 39% of the total

primary health care budget excluding funds for HIV and AIDS.

In reality, young children make more than four visits on

average to public health services.

Page 21: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

4 visits per annum as % of PHC-HIV

43%41%

31%

41%39%

37%

29%32%

29%

36%

3%4%

4%

3%

4%3%

2%

3%

3%

3%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

EC FS GT KZN LIM MPU NC NW WC RSA

Child health Antenatal

Page 22: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Mean visits per year to clinics, 2015

3.12.8

2.3

3.3

2.82.6

3.1

2.6

3.02.8

4.5 4.5

5.6

5.35.4

4.7

5.0

4.54.7

5.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

EC FS GP KZN LIM MPU NC NW WC RSA

All <5 years

Page 23: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Key Message 6

In 2012, 26.9% of boys and 25.9% of girls aged 0-3 years

were found to be stunted.

Health’s dedicated funding for nutrition is equivalent to only

4% of education’s funding for the National School Nutrition

Programme.

However, health is responsible for the youngest children, for

whom nutrition has the most severe and long-lasting

negative impact.

Page 24: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

3. EDUCATION

Page 25: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Key Message 1

Significant investment in education: 16% of 2016/17

consolidated budget expenditure goes to basic education.

High enrolment rate in primary and secondary schools, but

poor learning outcomes: 58% of Grade 4 leaners could not

read for meaning and 29% could not read at all.

In 2016, per learner allocations are:

• R12 231 for primary

• R15 718 for secondary.

Page 26: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Per learner allocations for public schools

11886 12087

13230

12051

13335

12048

12985

12081

14595

15794

12844

14529

12512

15274

12096

14630

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

18000

FS GT KZN LIM MPU NC NW WC

Primary Secondary

Page 27: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Key Message 2

Many educators in South Africa lack the necessary skills and

knowledge.

Available evidence suggests that spending per educator on

teacher development averaged only R1 625 in 2015/16.

However, provinces record spending on teacher development

in different ways. Also, a range of donors fund teacher

development off-budget.

Page 28: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Teacher development per educator

1870

1372

2516

560451

2652

3201

2236

2554

1625

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

EC FS GT KZN LIM MPU NC NW WC RSA

Page 29: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Key Message 3

National government’s records suggest that in 2016/17

provinces allocated less for learner and teacher support

materials (LTSM) than in 2013/14, even before adjusting for

inflation.

In some provinces the amount for LTSM is included in the

transfers to public schools that manage their own funds. For

these schools the LTSM spending is hidden, because it is not

recorded separately from the rest of the transfer to the

school.

Page 30: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Allocation for LTSM per learner, 2015/16

155 157

247 244

209

370

129

479

139

235

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

EC FS GT KZN LIM MPU NC NW WC RSA

Page 31: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Key Message 4

There is substantial variation across provinces in funding of

Grade R.

North West allocates more than double what Limpopo does.

For the country as a whole, the Grade R per learner amount

is only about two-fifths of the primary school amount.

Page 32: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Grade R per learner and % enrolled

4143

3410

6325

3630

958

3994

4575

9227

5810

4275

85%

70%

53%

72%

99%

68%

87%

68%

61%

72%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

10000

EC FS GT KZN LIM MPU NC NW WC RSA

Amount per learner % enrolled

Page 33: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Key Message 5

There are two grants for school infrastructure.

2012/-

13

2013/-

14

2014/-

15

2015/-

16

2016/-

17

2017/-

18

2018/-

19

Education

infrastructure 5802 6643 7327 9354 9614 12780 13512

School

infrastructure

backlogs 1277 1956 2541 2047 2375

There has been some progress in funding school

infrastructure, but more than half of Eastern Cape schools

remain without adequate sanitation.

Page 34: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

% of schools with basic utilities, 2009 & 2015

18%

22%20%

16%

50%

29%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

2009 2015 2009 2015 2009 2015

No/unreliable water No/unreliable electricity Pit/bucket/no sanitation

EC FS GT KZN LIM MPU NC NW WC RSA

Page 35: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

4. SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT

Page 36: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Key Message 1

Spending on social grants accounts for 84% of the annual

consolidated national and provincial social development

budget. The three child grants together account for 36% of

the consolidated amount.

Welfare services are budgeted mainly by the provinces.

Page 37: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Key Message 2

The share of DSD provincial budgets allocated for services

for children and families increased substantially, from 21% in

2009/10 to 38% in 2016/17.

The share increased in all provinces except Free State.

Page 38: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Children & families as share of DSD budgets

15%

38%

19%20%

22%

18%

15%

17%

30%

21%

27%

37%

49%

39%

43%

37%

32%

27%

31%

38%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

EC FS GT KZN LIM MPU NC NW WC RSA

2009/10 2016/17

Page 39: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Children & families per child

245

484

573

265320

349

609

297324

362307

758

1360

349

410

551

965

434

780

564

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

EC FS GT KZN LIM MPU NC NW WC RSA

Per child Per poor child

Page 40: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Key Message 3

For all provinces combined, prevention and early

intervention services account for only 18% of the children

and families budget.

All provinces except Gauteng plan decreases in the share

going to these services over the period 2016/17 to 2018/19.

Page 41: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Prevention & early intervention allocations

2,384

1,145

4,235

2,778

1,634

1,455

774

1,415

1,961

648

429

2,081

1,076

704 544

249 384

615

95 34

544

146 209 67 46 58 44

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

EC FS GT KZN LIM MPU NC NW WC

R m

illio

n

DSD Children & families PEI services PEI % of children & families

Page 42: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Key Message 4

In 2016/17, the combined allocations for ECD across the nine

provinces amounted to R2 285 million.

This is almost as much as the total for prevention and early

intervention services.

Nevertheless, the ECD allocation is only just over a quarter of

a reasonable measure* of need in the poorest households.

*100% 4-years;75% 3-years; 50% 1-2 years; 25% <1 year

Page 43: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

ECD as % of need

17%

55%

42%

16%

22%

37%

43%

17%

48%

27%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

EC FS GT KZN LIM MPU NC NW WC Total

Page 44: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

Key Message 5

The amount spent on child grants – at R60 149 million in

2016/17 – is nearly ten times as large as the R6 086 million

spent on welfare services for children.

In 2005, 5 648 800 children benefited from the child support

grant (CSG) and 256 949 from the foster child grant (FCG).

In 2015, the comparable numbers were 11 703 165 and

499 774 respectively.

Page 45: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

% of children with grants by province

66%68%

42%

62%

75%

64%

72%

61%

48%

59%

4% 4%1%

3% 3% 2%4% 3%

2% 3%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

EC FS GT KZN LIM MPU NC NW WC RSA

% with CSG % with FCG

Page 46: Children and South Africa’s Budget › wp-content › uploads › children … · In 2014, 78% of children were likely to be treated at public health facilities when ill. The percentage

For more information, please contact

Yulia Privalova Krieger

Deputy Representative

[email protected]

United Nations Children’s Fund

Equity House

659 Pienaar street, Brooklyn, Pretoria, 0181,

P.O. Box 4884, Pretoria, 0001, South Africa

www.unicef.org/southafrica

© United Nations Children’s Fund

October, 2016