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Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER, University of Wisconsin- Madison Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a Field Experiment on the Temporal Allocation of Schooling IRP Seminar, September 2013

Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

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Page 1: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak

Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER, University of Wisconsin-Madison

Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a Field Experiment on

the Temporal Allocation of Schooling

IRP Seminar, September 2013

Page 2: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

CHECC

• Large-scale randomized field experiment – how to improve outcomes for children from disadvantaged households – 3-4 year-old children and parents – New preschools, children from SD170 and surrounds – Longitudinal

• Implementation of CHECC – Years 1-2 (2010-2012) Fryer, Levitt, List – Year 3 (2012-2013) Results just in – Year 4 (2013-2014) Just started

Page 3: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Motivation: Human Capital • Early life conditions can have persistent effects

later in life • Early childhood investment may matter more than

later childhood investment – Self-productivity – higher investment in one period

leads to greater productivity in next period (Heckman, 2007)

• Characteristics measured as of age 7 can explain a great deal of variation in later life (Currie, 2010) – High school completion (NLSY) – College completion – Earnings

Page 4: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Literature - Preschool • Perry Preschool Project

– PK and home visits, T=58, C=65 – Decrease in arrests – Non-cognitive skills extremely important (Heckman et al., 09)

• Carolina Abecedarian Project – Full-day preschool: T=57, C=54 – Positive effects at 21-yr follow up on grades, school

completion • Head Start Impact Study (2002-2006)

– Children from wait list randomly assigned to one of 383 centers

– T=2,783, C=1884 – Improvement in PPVT, social skills; no improvement in math,

behavior

Page 5: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Literature – Teaching Parents

• Home visiting programs (Howard and Brooks-Gunn, Olds et al., 1999, 2007) – Teaching mothers who may be at risk – Document small effects on early childhood

cognition, but large behavioral effects for teens • Many programs not effective, hard to get

parents to participate – Solutions: home visits by nurses; our program

with incentives

Page 6: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Background

Page 7: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Chicago Heights: Laboratory for Urban School Reform

Chicago Heights High Schools

(Bloom Township)

Chicago Heights Elementary

Schools

City of Chicago Elementary and

High Schools

Enrollment 3,387 3,229 409,055 % Black % Hispanic % White

57% 22 % 17%

42% 49% 5%

46% 41% 9%

% Low Income 72% 92% 83%

Expenditure Per Pupil $13,537 $10,214 $11,536 % Meet or Exceed Elementary Standards High School Standards

N/A 20%

63% N/A

68% 28%

Graduation Rate 47%* N/A 54%**

*Source: Chicago Heights Promise Working Group **Source: Chicago Public School Office or Research, Evaluation and Accountability

Source: Illinois Report Card

Page 8: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Income Distribution of Sample

Poverty Guidelines, 2013: $15,510 or below for family of 2 $19,530 or below for family of 3

Page 9: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Racial Makeup of Sample

African-American

Hispanic

Other

White

Page 10: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Years 1-2 • Comparisons of investing in parents vs. children (Fryer,

Levitt, List) – Parent Academy (Cash vs. College) – Preschool (Cognitive vs. Executive Function)

• Findings: – Preschool – Literacy Express significantly increases

academic skills – Preschool – Tools of the Mind does not affect academics – Parent Academy most effective with cash rewards –

increases executive function – Children at lower cognitive abilities most improved – Most improvement occurs in first 4 months

Page 11: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Implementation

Page 12: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Years 3-4

• Investigate a Preschool program combined with Parent Involvement component

• Two different timings: – 9 month academic year – 2 month summer program

Page 13: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

CHECC Experimental Design – Year 3

774 + 48 Children = 822

Group 1: 9 month Preschool Plus Cog X n=80, 78 Group 2: Preschool Plus

KinderPrep (Summer) Cog X N=78 N=24

Group 3: Control N = 538 N=24

Randomization

Page 14: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

‘Matched Pairs’ • Block on gender, race, age on Sep 1, SD170 or

not • Match as closely as possible on age, test

scores • Create several twin / triplet pairs • Within each pair – randomize to control,

treatment • Check for balance on parent education level,

hh. Income, distance to school, etc.

Page 15: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Summary of Years 3-4 • Preschool Plus, invest in parents & children,

Investigate timing (Fryer, Levitt, List, Samak) Preschool 9-month Preschool KinderPrep

Meetings Half day instruction, half day daycare – 9 months (170 days – 510 hours)

Half day summer instruction – 2 months (31 days = 124 hours)

Instruction Morning: PK Teachers, who also instruct parents at PA sessions. Afternoon: PK Teacher assistants & PA support staff.

Curriculum CogX – new curriculum developed by PIs, incorporating Academic Achievement, Executive Function and STEM approaches

Parent Involvement | 9-month & KinderPrep

Meetings 2x per month, 1 hour each. $50 incentive for class attendance

Instruction Child’s own PK teacher

Curriculum Based on Cog-X, theory driven, focused on intentional parental involvement

Child Involvement

30 min per month child/parent “workshops” in class; ‘Home extension’ activities for parents/children

Page 16: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Assessment Internal Assessment • Cognitive Achievement

– Peabody Picture Vocabulary Test – Woodcock-Johnson

• Letter-Word, Spelling, Applied Problems, Quantitative Concepts • Executive Function

– Blair and Willoughby Tasks (not normed) • Impulsivity, attention shifting

– Preschool Self-Regulation Assessment (PSRA) Additional Assessment

– SD170 DRA – SD170 Head, Toes, Knees Shoulders

Page 17: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Cognitive Assessment What letter is this?*

Can you draw a line like this one?*

How many dogs are in this picture?*

Can you write the letter A?*

Show me “bus”**

* WJ Letter-Word, Spelling, Applied Problems ** PPVT

Page 18: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Executive Function Assessment “What color WAS in this house?” “Look where the arrow is pointing.

Which button should you touch?”

“Which of these pictures Is the same as this one?”

Blair, C.B., & Willoughby, M.T. (2006). Measuring Executive Function in Young Children: Item Selection. Chapel Hill, NC: The Pennsylvania State

University and The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.

Page 19: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Assessment Schedule

MAY-JUNE JANUARY MAY AUGUST

PRESCHOOL KINDERPREP

Lottery Lottery

APRIL

Assessment each year in Spring ISTEP (Starts in 3rd Grade) Additional Outcome Measures • Attendance • Grades • Graduation rates • Suspensions, arrests

K-12

K

CHECC Returners

Page 20: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Preliminary Results

Page 21: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Data Collected

• Cognitive Index (YES) – PPVT, WJ-III

• Executive Function Index (YES) – Clancy Blair Assessments

• PSRA - Attention and Emotion (YES) • SD 170 Assessment (NOT YET)

– DRA, Head-toes-knees, Teacher CBQ

Page 22: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Summary of Results – Exec. Fn. Index

Page 23: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Result Overview – Executive Function

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

July of 12 Jan of 13 April of13

May of13

August of13

Perc

ent C

orre

ct

Control Preschool

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

July of12

Jan of 13 April of13

May of13

Augustof 13

Perc

ent C

orre

ct

Control Preschool Kinderprep

3 year olds 4 year olds

Page 24: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

PSRA

• 0 to 3 measure; 3 is better

Page 25: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Summary of Results – Cognitive Index

Result 1: Preschool significantly improves cognitive index relative to control in January, immediately at the end of the treatment and at K entry (Ranksum tests: p-values<0.01, <0.01; <0.10)

Page 26: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

July of 12 Jan of 13 April-May 2013 August of 13

Perc

entil

e Sc

ore

Control

Kinderprep

Preschool

PRESCHOOL KP

Result Overview – Cognitive Scores

Page 27: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Improvement • Must be present at both beginning and end of intervention • Preschool: Pre to Post • Kinderprep: Post to Summer End

Page 28: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Improvement Summary

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

Pre to Post Pre to Summer End Post to Summer End

Perc

entil

e Ch

ange

Control

Kinderprep

Preschool

Result 2: Kinderprep improves relative to control and Preschool between May and August (when treatment occurs) (p-value<0.10). Kinderprep & PK not different when controlling for kids who are in both assessments.

Page 29: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Regressions of Pre to Post Cognitive Index

Page 30: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Regressions of Post to Summer End Cognitive Index

Page 31: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Regressions of Post to Summer End Cognitive Index

Page 32: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Split by Starting Score

Mean=38

Page 33: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Split by Starting Score Results • Children below 38th percentile at start (Pre to Post Treat)

Page 34: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Split by Starting Score Results • Children above 38th percentile at start (Pre to Post Treat)

Page 35: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Additional Experiments

• Time preferences • Mischel ‘Marshmallow’ Experiment • Risk preferences • Social preferences

Page 36: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Future Work

• Collect SD170 data (no selection problem) – TOT – ITT

• Collect data from Year 4 (additional 100s of students)

• Continue collecting data for 18 years!

Page 37: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Charitable Giving

Children/Education

• Using econ motivated interventions to investigate behavior change

• Focus on children, health, financial literacyS

LAB EXPERIMENTS FIELD EXPERIMENTS

Recognition Social cues

Altruism Competitiveness Time Preference Risk Preference

Effects of social information/im

age?

How do preferences develop?

Visualization & Behavioral

Finance Information Search Choice under Risk Financial Literacy

Financial Decisions

Information overload and effects of decision

support tools?

Health Behavior

Food Choice Food insecurity

Incentives and information effect

on change behavior and habits?

Page 38: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Lunchroom Studies: Peer Influence, Prompts and Incentives

Page 39: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Thank you!

Page 40: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Balance Table – All

Page 41: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Balance Table – Kinderprep Lottery

Page 42: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Parent Involvement Attendance Histogram

19

5 5 5

2 2

10

18

31

18

3

1

5

3

11

14

17

28

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Num

ber o

f Hou

seho

lds

(Eith

er p

aren

t)

Number of Sessions Attended

12 month 9 month

Page 43: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Preschool Attendance Histogram

22

2 2 0 0 0

2 3

6

28

32

26

0 2

0 0 1

3 2

8

37

21

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Never >10% 10 to20%

20 to30%

30 to40%

40 to50%

50 to60%

60 to70%

70 to80%

80 to90%

90 to100%

Num

ber o

f Chi

ldre

n

Portion of Classes Attended

12 month 9 month

Page 44: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Daily structure & learning Tools of the Mind

Literacy Express Cog X

Small group and one-on-one conversations Intentional engagement in classroom discussions

Morning meeting Integrates both STEM & literacy activities

Language & Literacy Teacher-led reading, phonics, and letter activities

Language & Literacy Independent work

Math Collaborative small-group activities

Math One-on-one instruction *

Play Imaginative play based that promotes executive function

Integrated social studies and science thematic units Strong STEM emphasis in all daily activities Integrated parent lessons

• A supplemental curricula (PreK Math) provided one-on-one lessons for all Literacy Express classrooms.

Page 45: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Pre to Post Noncog

Page 46: Chicago Heights Early Childhood Center: Early Results from a … · 2018-10-03 · Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List & Anya Samak Harvard University, University of Chicago, NBER,

Post to KP Noncog