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Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates 2000, Prentice Hall, In

Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates 2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

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Page 1: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Ch. 2 - The Financial Marketsand Interest Rates

2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Page 2: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Q: What are SECURITIES?

A:A: Financial Assets that Financial Assets that Investors purchase hoping to Investors purchase hoping to

earn a earn a high rate of return.high rate of return.

Page 3: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Types of Securities

Treasury Bills and Treasury BondsTreasury Bills and Treasury Bonds Municipal BondsMunicipal Bonds Corporate BondsCorporate Bonds Preferred StocksPreferred Stocks Common StocksCommon Stocks

Which of these are Which of these are RISKYRISKY??

Which promise Which promise HIGH RETURNSHIGH RETURNS??

Is there a relationship betweenIs there a relationship between RISKRISK and and RETURNRETURN??

Page 4: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Corporate FinancingSources

In 1996, over $500 billion in external In 1996, over $500 billion in external corporate financing was raised.corporate financing was raised.

From 1981 through 1996, capital has been From 1981 through 1996, capital has been raised through the following sources:raised through the following sources:

Corporate Bonds and NotesCorporate Bonds and Notes 75.6%75.6% Preferred StockPreferred Stock 4.2%4.2% Common StockCommon Stock 20.2%20.2%

Page 5: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Movement of Savings

Direct Transfer of FundsDirect Transfer of Funds

Page 6: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Movement of Savings

Direct Transfer of FundsDirect Transfer of Funds

saver

Page 7: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Movement of Savings

Direct Transfer of FundsDirect Transfer of Funds

saverfirm

Page 8: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Movement of Savings

Direct Transfer of FundsDirect Transfer of Funds

cashcash

saverfirm

Page 9: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Movement of Savings

Direct Transfer of FundsDirect Transfer of Funds

cashcash

securitiessecurities

saverfirm

Page 10: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Movement of Savings

Indirect Transfer using Investment BankerIndirect Transfer using Investment Banker

Page 11: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Movement of Savings

Indirect Transfer using Investment BankerIndirect Transfer using Investment Banker

investmentbanker

Page 12: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Movement of Savings

Indirect Transfer using Investment BankerIndirect Transfer using Investment Banker

investmentbanker firm

Page 13: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Movement of Savings

Indirect Transfer using Investment BankerIndirect Transfer using Investment Banker

fundsfunds

investmentbanker firm

Page 14: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Movement of Savings

Indirect Transfer using Investment BankerIndirect Transfer using Investment Banker

fundsfunds

securitiessecurities

investmentbanker firm

Page 15: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Movement of Savings

Indirect Transfer using Investment BankerIndirect Transfer using Investment Banker

fundsfunds

securitiessecurities

saver

investmentbanker firm

Page 16: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Movement of Savings

Indirect Transfer using Investment BankerIndirect Transfer using Investment Banker

fundsfundsfundsfunds

securitiessecurities

saver

investmentbanker firm

Page 17: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Movement of Savings

Indirect Transfer using Investment BankerIndirect Transfer using Investment Banker

securitiessecurities

fundsfundsfundsfunds

securitiessecurities

saver

investmentbanker firm

Page 18: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Movement of Savings Indirect Transfer using a Financial IntermediaryIndirect Transfer using a Financial Intermediary

Page 19: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Movement of Savings Indirect Transfer using a Financial IntermediaryIndirect Transfer using a Financial Intermediary

financialintermediary

Page 20: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Movement of Savings Indirect Transfer using a Financial IntermediaryIndirect Transfer using a Financial Intermediary

financialintermediary firm

Page 21: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Movement of Savings Indirect Transfer using a Financial IntermediaryIndirect Transfer using a Financial Intermediary

fundsfunds

financialintermediary firm

Page 22: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Movement of Savings Indirect Transfer using a Financial IntermediaryIndirect Transfer using a Financial Intermediary

fundsfunds

firmfirmsecuritiessecurities

financialintermediary firm

Page 23: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Movement of Savings Indirect Transfer using a Financial IntermediaryIndirect Transfer using a Financial Intermediary

fundsfunds

firmfirmsecuritiessecurities

financialintermediary firm

saver

Page 24: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Movement of Savings Indirect Transfer using a Financial IntermediaryIndirect Transfer using a Financial Intermediary

fundsfunds fundsfunds

firmfirmsecuritiessecurities

financialintermediary firm

saver

Page 25: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Movement of Savings Indirect Transfer using a Financial IntermediaryIndirect Transfer using a Financial Intermediary

fundsfunds

intermediaryintermediarysecuritiessecurities

fundsfunds

firmfirmsecuritiessecurities

financialintermediary firm

saver

Page 26: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Financial Market Components

Public OfferingPublic Offering

Page 27: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Financial Market Components

Public OfferingPublic Offering Firm issues securities, which are Firm issues securities, which are

made available to both individual made available to both individual and institutional investors.and institutional investors.

Page 28: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Financial Market Components

Public OfferingPublic Offering Firm issues securities, which are Firm issues securities, which are

made available to both individual made available to both individual and institutional investors.and institutional investors.

Private PlacementPrivate Placement

Page 29: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Financial Market Components

Public OfferingPublic Offering Firm issues securities, which are Firm issues securities, which are

made available to both individual made available to both individual and institutional investors.and institutional investors.

Private PlacementPrivate Placement Securities are offered and sold to a Securities are offered and sold to a

limited number of investors.limited number of investors.

Page 30: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Financial Market Components

Primary MarketPrimary Market

Page 31: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Financial Market Components

Primary MarketPrimary Market Market in which new issues of a Market in which new issues of a

security are sold to initial buyers.security are sold to initial buyers.

Page 32: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Financial Market Components

Primary MarketPrimary Market Market in which new issues of a Market in which new issues of a

security are sold to initial buyers.security are sold to initial buyers.

Secondary MarketSecondary Market

Page 33: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Financial Market Components

Primary MarketPrimary Market Market in which new issues of a Market in which new issues of a

security are sold to initial buyers.security are sold to initial buyers.

Secondary MarketSecondary Market Market in which previously issued Market in which previously issued

securities are traded.securities are traded.

Page 34: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Financial Market Components

Money MarketMoney Market

Page 35: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Financial Market Components

Money MarketMoney Market Market for short-term debt Market for short-term debt

instruments (maturity periods of instruments (maturity periods of one year or less).one year or less).

Page 36: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Financial Market Components

Money MarketMoney Market Market for short-term debt Market for short-term debt

instruments (maturity periods of instruments (maturity periods of one year or less).one year or less).

Capital MarketCapital Market

Page 37: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Financial Market Components

Money MarketMoney Market Market for short-term debt Market for short-term debt

instruments (maturity periods of instruments (maturity periods of one year or less).one year or less).

Capital MarketCapital Market Market for long-term securities Market for long-term securities

(maturity greater than one year).(maturity greater than one year).

Page 38: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Financial Market Components

Organized ExchangesOrganized Exchanges

Page 39: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Financial Market Components

Organized ExchangesOrganized Exchanges Buyers and sellers meet in one central Buyers and sellers meet in one central

location to conduct trades.location to conduct trades.

Page 40: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Financial Market Components

Organized ExchangesOrganized Exchanges Buyers and sellers meet in one central Buyers and sellers meet in one central

location to conduct trades.location to conduct trades.

Over-the-Counter (OTC)Over-the-Counter (OTC)

Page 41: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Financial Market Components

Organized ExchangesOrganized Exchanges Buyers and sellers meet in one central Buyers and sellers meet in one central

location to conduct trades.location to conduct trades.

Over-the-Counter (OTC)Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities dealers operate at many Securities dealers operate at many

different locations across the country.different locations across the country.

Page 42: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Financial Market Components

Organized ExchangesOrganized Exchanges Buyers and sellers meet in one central Buyers and sellers meet in one central

location to conduct trades.location to conduct trades.

Over-the-Counter (OTC)Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities dealers operate at many Securities dealers operate at many

different locations across the country.different locations across the country. Connected by Connected by NasdaqNasdaq system (National system (National

Association of Securities Dealers Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation system).Automated Quotation system).

Page 43: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Investment Banking

How do investment bankers help How do investment bankers help firms issue securities?firms issue securities?

Underwriting the issue.Underwriting the issue.

Distributing the issue.Distributing the issue.

Advising the firm.Advising the firm.

Page 44: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Distribution Methods Distribution Methods

Negotiated PurchaseNegotiated Purchase

Page 45: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Distribution Methods Distribution Methods

Negotiated PurchaseNegotiated Purchase Issuing firm selects an investment Issuing firm selects an investment

banker to underwrite the issue.banker to underwrite the issue.

Page 46: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Distribution Methods Distribution Methods

Negotiated PurchaseNegotiated Purchase Issuing firm selects an investment Issuing firm selects an investment

banker to underwrite the issue.banker to underwrite the issue. The firm and the investment banker The firm and the investment banker

negotiate the terms of the offer.negotiate the terms of the offer.

Page 47: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Distribution Methods Distribution Methods

Negotiated PurchaseNegotiated Purchase Issuing firm selects an investment Issuing firm selects an investment

banker to underwrite the issue.banker to underwrite the issue. The firm and the investment banker The firm and the investment banker

negotiate the terms of the offer.negotiate the terms of the offer. Competitive BidCompetitive Bid

Page 48: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Distribution Methods Distribution Methods

Negotiated PurchaseNegotiated Purchase Issuing firm selects an investment Issuing firm selects an investment

banker to underwrite the issue.banker to underwrite the issue. The firm and the investment banker The firm and the investment banker

negotiate the terms of the offer.negotiate the terms of the offer. Competitive BidCompetitive Bid

Several investment bankers bid for the Several investment bankers bid for the right to underwrite the firm’s issue.right to underwrite the firm’s issue.

Page 49: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Distribution Methods Distribution Methods

Negotiated PurchaseNegotiated Purchase Issuing firm selects an investment Issuing firm selects an investment

banker to underwrite the issue.banker to underwrite the issue. The firm and the investment banker The firm and the investment banker

negotiate the terms of the offer.negotiate the terms of the offer. Competitive BidCompetitive Bid

Several investment bankers bid for the Several investment bankers bid for the right to underwrite the firm’s issue.right to underwrite the firm’s issue.

The firm selects the banker offering The firm selects the banker offering the highest price. the highest price.

Page 50: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Distribution Methods Distribution Methods

Best EffortsBest Efforts

Page 51: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Distribution Methods Distribution Methods

Best EffortsBest Efforts Issue is not underwritten.Issue is not underwritten.

Page 52: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Distribution Methods Distribution Methods

Best EffortsBest Efforts Issue is not underwritten.Issue is not underwritten. Investment bank attempts to sell the Investment bank attempts to sell the

issue for a commission. issue for a commission.

Page 53: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Distribution Methods Distribution Methods

Best EffortsBest Efforts Issue is not underwritten.Issue is not underwritten. Investment bank attempts to sell the Investment bank attempts to sell the

issue for a commission. issue for a commission. Privileged SubscriptionPrivileged Subscription

Page 54: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Distribution Methods Distribution Methods

Best EffortsBest Efforts Issue is not underwritten.Issue is not underwritten. Investment bank attempts to sell the Investment bank attempts to sell the

issue for a commission. issue for a commission. Privileged SubscriptionPrivileged Subscription

Investment banker helps market the Investment banker helps market the new issue to a select group of investors.new issue to a select group of investors.

Page 55: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Distribution Methods Distribution Methods

Best EffortsBest Efforts Issue is not underwritten.Issue is not underwritten. Investment bank attempts to sell the Investment bank attempts to sell the

issue for a commission. issue for a commission. Privileged SubscriptionPrivileged Subscription

Investment banker helps market the Investment banker helps market the new issue to a select group of investors.new issue to a select group of investors.

Usually targeted to current Usually targeted to current stockholders, employees, or customers.stockholders, employees, or customers.

Page 56: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Distribution Methods Distribution Methods

Direct SaleDirect Sale

Page 57: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Distribution Methods Distribution Methods

Direct SaleDirect Sale Issuing firm sells the securities directly Issuing firm sells the securities directly

to the investing public.to the investing public.

Page 58: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Distribution Methods Distribution Methods

Direct SaleDirect Sale Issuing firm sells the securities directly Issuing firm sells the securities directly

to the investing public.to the investing public. No investment banker is involved. No investment banker is involved.

Page 59: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Stock Issue Example:

Our firm needs to raise approximately Our firm needs to raise approximately $100 million for expansion. Our stock $100 million for expansion. Our stock price is $20. We Select Merrill Lynch to price is $20. We Select Merrill Lynch to underwrite the issue for a 2% underwrite the issue for a 2% underwriting spread.underwriting spread.

What type of issue is this?What type of issue is this? It’s a It’s a negotiated purchasenegotiated purchase..

Page 60: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Stock Issue Example:

Our firm needs to raise approximately Our firm needs to raise approximately $100 million for expansion. Our stock $100 million for expansion. Our stock price is $20. We Select Merrill Lynch to price is $20. We Select Merrill Lynch to underwrite the issue for a 2% underwrite the issue for a 2% underwriting spread.underwriting spread.

How many shares will be sold?How many shares will be sold?

Page 61: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Stock Issue Example:

Our firm needs to raise approximately Our firm needs to raise approximately $100 million for expansion. Our stock $100 million for expansion. Our stock price is $20. We Select Merrill Lynch to price is $20. We Select Merrill Lynch to underwrite the issue for a 2% underwrite the issue for a 2% underwriting spread.underwriting spread.

How many shares will be sold?How many shares will be sold? $100,000,000 / $20 = $100,000,000 / $20 = 5 million5 million new new

shares of common stock.shares of common stock.

Page 62: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Stock Issue Example:

Our firm needs to raise approximately Our firm needs to raise approximately $100 million for expansion. Our stock $100 million for expansion. Our stock price is $20. We Select Merrill Lynch to price is $20. We Select Merrill Lynch to underwrite the issue for a 2% underwrite the issue for a 2% underwriting spread.underwriting spread.

What are the flotation costs?What are the flotation costs?

Page 63: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Stock Issue Example:

Our firm needs to raise approximately Our firm needs to raise approximately $100 million for expansion. Our stock $100 million for expansion. Our stock price is $20. We Select Merrill Lynch to price is $20. We Select Merrill Lynch to underwrite the issue for a 2% underwrite the issue for a 2% underwriting spread.underwriting spread.

What are the flotation costs?What are the flotation costs? Underwriting spreadUnderwriting spread: 2% of $100 : 2% of $100

million = $2 million.million = $2 million.

Page 64: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Stock Issue Example:

Our firm needs to raise approximately Our firm needs to raise approximately $100 million for expansion. Our stock $100 million for expansion. Our stock price is $20. We Select Merrill Lynch to price is $20. We Select Merrill Lynch to underwrite the issue for a 2% underwrite the issue for a 2% underwriting spread.underwriting spread.

What are the flotation costs?What are the flotation costs? Underwriting spreadUnderwriting spread: 2% of $100 : 2% of $100

million = $2 million.million = $2 million. Issuing costsIssuing costs: printing and engraving : printing and engraving

costs; legal, accounting and trustee fees.costs; legal, accounting and trustee fees.

Page 65: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Stock Issue Example:

Our firm needs to raise approximately Our firm needs to raise approximately $100 million for expansion. Our stock $100 million for expansion. Our stock price is $20. We Select Merrill Lynch to price is $20. We Select Merrill Lynch to underwrite the issue for a 2% underwrite the issue for a 2% underwriting spread.underwriting spread.

What are the risks?What are the risks?

Page 66: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Stock Issue Example:

Our firm needs to raise approximately Our firm needs to raise approximately $100 million for expansion. Our stock $100 million for expansion. Our stock price is $20. We Select Merrill Lynch to price is $20. We Select Merrill Lynch to underwrite the issue for a 2% underwrite the issue for a 2% underwriting spread.underwriting spread.

What are the risks?What are the risks? The investment bank accepts the risk of The investment bank accepts the risk of

being able to sell the new stock issue for being able to sell the new stock issue for $20 per share. If the stock price falls, $20 per share. If the stock price falls, the investment bank could lose money.the investment bank could lose money.

Page 67: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Regulations:Regulations:The Primary MarketThe Primary Market

The Securities Act of 1933The Securities Act of 1933 Firms register with the Securities Firms register with the Securities

Exchange Commission (SEC).Exchange Commission (SEC). SEC has 20 days to review.SEC has 20 days to review.

Page 68: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Regulations:Regulations:The Primary MarketThe Primary Market

The Securities Act of 1933The Securities Act of 1933 Firms register with the Securities Firms register with the Securities

Exchange Commission (SEC).Exchange Commission (SEC). SEC has 20 days to review.SEC has 20 days to review.

SEC may ask for more information.SEC may ask for more information.

Page 69: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Regulations:Regulations:The Primary MarketThe Primary Market

The Securities Act of 1933The Securities Act of 1933 Firms register with the Securities Firms register with the Securities

Exchange Commission (SEC).Exchange Commission (SEC). SEC has 20 days to review.SEC has 20 days to review.

SEC may ask for more information.SEC may ask for more information. The firm can not solicit buyers during The firm can not solicit buyers during

the review period but can advertise.the review period but can advertise.

Page 70: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Regulations:The Secondary Market

The Securities Exchange Act of 1934The Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Established the SEC.Established the SEC. Exchanges must register with SEC.Exchanges must register with SEC. Company information must be Company information must be

available to the public.available to the public. Insider trading is regulatedInsider trading is regulated..

Page 71: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Regulations:Recent Developments

Securities Acts Amendments of 1975Securities Acts Amendments of 1975 Created National Market System.Created National Market System. Eliminated fixed brokerage Eliminated fixed brokerage

commissions.commissions.

SEC Rule 415SEC Rule 415 Allows Shelf RegistrationAllows Shelf Registration

Page 72: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Interest Rate Determinants

InterestRates

Page 73: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Interest RatesConceptuallyConceptually::

Page 74: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Interest RatesConceptuallyConceptually::

NominalNominalrisk-freerisk-freeInterestInterest

Rate Rate

kkrfrf

Page 75: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Interest RatesConceptuallyConceptually::

NominalNominalrisk-freerisk-freeInterestInterest

Rate Rate

kkrfrf

==

Page 76: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Interest RatesConceptuallyConceptually::

NominalNominalrisk-freerisk-freeInterestInterest

Rate Rate

kkrfrf

==

RealRealrisk-freerisk-freeInterestInterest

Rate Rate

k*k*

Page 77: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Interest RatesConceptuallyConceptually::

NominalNominalrisk-freerisk-freeInterestInterest

Rate Rate

kkrfrf

==

RealRealrisk-freerisk-freeInterestInterest

Rate Rate

k*k*

++

Page 78: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Interest RatesConceptuallyConceptually::

NominalNominalrisk-freerisk-freeInterestInterest

Rate Rate

kkrfrf

==

RealRealrisk-freerisk-freeInterestInterest

Rate Rate

k*k*

++

Inflation-Inflation-riskrisk

premiumpremium

IRPIRP

Page 79: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

ConceptuallyConceptually::

NominalNominalrisk-freerisk-freeInterestInterest

Rate Rate

kkrfrf

==

RealRealrisk-freerisk-freeInterestInterest

Rate Rate

k*k*

++

Inflation-Inflation-riskrisk

premiumpremium

IRPIRP

MathematicallyMathematically::

Interest Rates

Page 80: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

ConceptuallyConceptually::

NominalNominalrisk-freerisk-freeInterestInterest

Rate Rate

kkrfrf

==

RealRealrisk-freerisk-freeInterestInterest

Rate Rate

k*k*

++

Inflation-Inflation-riskrisk

premiumpremium

IRPIRP

MathematicallyMathematically::

(1 + k(1 + krfrf) = (1 + k*) (1 + IRP)) = (1 + k*) (1 + IRP)

Interest Rates

Page 81: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

ConceptuallyConceptually::

NominalNominalrisk-freerisk-freeInterestInterest

Rate Rate

kkrfrf

==

RealRealrisk-freerisk-freeInterestInterest

Rate Rate

k*k*

++

Inflation-Inflation-riskrisk

premiumpremium

IRPIRP

MathematicallyMathematically::

(1 + k(1 + krfrf) = (1 + k*) (1 + IRP)) = (1 + k*) (1 + IRP)

This is known as the This is known as the ““Fisher EffectFisher Effect””

Interest Rates

Page 82: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Term Structure of Interest Rates The pattern of rates of return for debt The pattern of rates of return for debt

securities that differ only in the length of securities that differ only in the length of time to maturity.time to maturity.

Page 83: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Term Structure of Interest Rates The pattern of rates of return for debt The pattern of rates of return for debt

securities that differ only in the length of securities that differ only in the length of time to maturity.time to maturity.

yieldyieldto to

maturitymaturity

time to maturity (years)time to maturity (years)

Page 84: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Term Structure of Interest Rates The pattern of rates of return for debt The pattern of rates of return for debt

securities that differ only in the length of securities that differ only in the length of time to maturity.time to maturity.

yieldyieldto to

maturitymaturity

time to maturity (years)time to maturity (years)

Page 85: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Term Structure of Interest Rates

yieldyieldto to

maturitymaturity

time to maturity (years)time to maturity (years)

The yield curve may be downward The yield curve may be downward sloping or “inverted” if rates are sloping or “inverted” if rates are expected to fall.expected to fall.

Page 86: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Term Structure of Interest Rates

yieldyieldto to

maturitymaturity

time to maturity (years)time to maturity (years)

The yield curve may be downward The yield curve may be downward sloping or “inverted” if rates are sloping or “inverted” if rates are expected to fall.expected to fall.

Page 87: Ch. 2 - The Financial Markets and Interest Rates  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc

Term Structure Theories

Unbiased Expectations TheoryUnbiased Expectations Theory the term structure is determined by the term structure is determined by

expectations of future rates.expectations of future rates. Liquidity Preference TheoryLiquidity Preference Theory

investors require maturity premiums to investors require maturity premiums to invest in longer term securities .invest in longer term securities .

Market Segmentation TheoryMarket Segmentation Theory there are separate markets for long and there are separate markets for long and

short term investments.short term investments.