CF Estimation

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    Capital Budgeting

    Capital Budgeting is the process of identifying, analyzing and selectinginvestment projects whose returns areexpected to extend beyond one year.

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    Capital Budgeting involves-

    Generating investment projects consistent with thefirms strategic objectives

    Estimating after tax incremental operating cash flow Evaluating incremental operating cash flow Selecting projects based on value maximizing

    criterion

    Reevaluating implemented projects continually andperforming postaudits for completed projects

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    Types of Projects

    New product or expansion of existing products Replacement of equipment or building

    Research and Development Exploration Other9safety related or pollution control

    devices)

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    Characteristics of project flows

    Cash flow (not accounting flow) Operating cash flow (not financing)

    After tax flow Incremental flow

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    Basic principles in estimating projectflow

    Ignore sunk cost Include opportunity cost

    Include project driven changes in NWC Include effects of inflation

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    Calculating incremental CF

    Initial Cash Outflow Interim incremental cash flow

    Terminal cash flow

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    Basic format for estimating ICO

    Cost of new asset+ Capitalized exp. (installation/shipping cost)

    +(-) Increase (decrease) in NWC- Proceed from the sale of old asset

    (Replacement)

    + (-) Tax (tax advantage) due to sale of old asset(Replacement)= ICO

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    Basic format for estimating InterimIncremental CF

    Inc. (dec.) in operating revenue less (plus) inc.(dec.) in operating exp.

    - (+) Inc. (dec.) in depreciation charges= Net change in income before tax- (+) Inc. (dec.) in tax= Net change in income after tax+(-) Increase (decrease) in depreciation charges= Interim Incremental CF

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    Basic format for estimating TerminalCF

    Inc. (dec.) in operating revenue less (plus) inc. (dec.) in operatingexp.

    - (+) Inc. (dec.) in depreciation charges= Net change in income before tax- (+) Inc. (dec.) in tax= Net change in income after tax+(-) Increase (decrease) in depreciation charges= terminal CF before wind up consideration+ Final salvage value-(+) tax (tax advantage) due to sale of asset= Terminal CF

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    Asset expansionNew asset price= Tk. 100000Useful life= 4 years3 year property classInstallation cost= Tk. 15000Salvage= Tk. 15000Tax rate= 35%Depreciation basis= Tk.100000

    Net operating revenueyr. 1- Tk. 34267

    yr. 2- Tk. 38260yr. 3- Tk. 57372yr. 4- Tk. 32358

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    Asset Replacement

    New asset price= Tk. 18000Useful life= 4 years3 year property classInstallation cost= Tk. 2000

    Salvage of new equipment= Tk. 2500Old equip wont have any salvage Old equip remaining life = 2 yr.Old equip original life 4yrs.

    3 year property classOld equip depreciation basis= Tk. 8000Tax rate= 35%Net operating revenue Tk. 7100