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1 CESD SAGES Scottish Alliance for Geoscience, Environment & Society The challenges of geo-simulation data Centre For Earth System Dynamics [email protected]

CESD 1 SAGES Scottish Alliance for Geoscience, Environment & Society The challenges of geo-simulation data Centre For Earth System Dynamics [email protected]

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Page 1: CESD 1 SAGES Scottish Alliance for Geoscience, Environment & Society The challenges of geo-simulation data Centre For Earth System Dynamics m.mineter@ed.ac.uk

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CESD SAGES Scottish Alliance for Geoscience, Environment & Society

The challenges of geo-simulation data

Centre For Earth System Dynamics

[email protected]

Page 2: CESD 1 SAGES Scottish Alliance for Geoscience, Environment & Society The challenges of geo-simulation data Centre For Earth System Dynamics m.mineter@ed.ac.uk

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CESDCESD

This talk: perspectives from CESD’s climate modelling

• How climate modelling is done– Why model the climate?– NetCDF– CF – climate and forecast – Archives and metadata

• Current challenges

• Imminent challenges

Page 3: CESD 1 SAGES Scottish Alliance for Geoscience, Environment & Society The challenges of geo-simulation data Centre For Earth System Dynamics m.mineter@ed.ac.uk

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CESDCESD

What is “the climate”?

• Statistical concepts such as:– Typical seasonal rainfall distribution– Global mean annual outgoing shortwave

radiation– Monthly mean surface temperature

• …arising from physical processes– Fluid dynamics on rotating sphere– Interactions of radiation – ….

Page 4: CESD 1 SAGES Scottish Alliance for Geoscience, Environment & Society The challenges of geo-simulation data Centre For Earth System Dynamics m.mineter@ed.ac.uk

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CESDCESD

Why use a computer model of the climate?

1. Explore the climate:– Test hypotheses about how the climate works– Interpret observations – Express scientific community understanding– Generate possible past and future climates

2. Use climate model output data – To drive other models– To inform mitigation/adaptation– Where observations are sparse at best…

e.g. the future

Page 5: CESD 1 SAGES Scottish Alliance for Geoscience, Environment & Society The challenges of geo-simulation data Centre For Earth System Dynamics m.mineter@ed.ac.uk

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CESDCESD

Karl and Trenberth 2003

Modelling the Climate System

Main Message: Lots of things going on!

Page 6: CESD 1 SAGES Scottish Alliance for Geoscience, Environment & Society The challenges of geo-simulation data Centre For Earth System Dynamics m.mineter@ed.ac.uk

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CESDCESD

A climate model

δ that/δ other = something else

δ this/δ that = something

Initial state Ancillary data can be time series

Files of means: 6hr, daily…decadal

Modelled processes

New process

New “diagnostic”

Toolbox – not a black box!

Page 7: CESD 1 SAGES Scottish Alliance for Geoscience, Environment & Society The challenges of geo-simulation data Centre For Earth System Dynamics m.mineter@ed.ac.uk

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CESDCESD

Data volumes and typical analyses

• Typically we make 1-5GB/model year– 40 model years/day (coarse coupled model (HadCM3)

using 40 cores)

• Our biggest project: 14TB• Researcher selects/slices data• Does

– Global/regional analyses – global means– Comparisons with related runs and observation,….,

….,…– NCL, IDL, NCO,… tools built on data standards

Page 8: CESD 1 SAGES Scottish Alliance for Geoscience, Environment & Society The challenges of geo-simulation data Centre For Earth System Dynamics m.mineter@ed.ac.uk

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CESDCESD

NetCDF

• “NetCDF is a set of software libraries and machine-independent data formats that support the creation, access, and sharing of array-oriented scientific data”.

• File contains dimensions, variables, and attributes.

Ed Hartnett’s talk at: http://www.unidata.ucar.edu/software/netcdf/papers/nasa_data_workshop_2010.pdf

Page 9: CESD 1 SAGES Scottish Alliance for Geoscience, Environment & Society The challenges of geo-simulation data Centre For Earth System Dynamics m.mineter@ed.ac.uk

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CESDCESD

Climate Forecast conventions

• http://cf-pcmdi.llnl.gov/documents/cf-conventions/1.4/cf-conventions.html

• define metadata that provide a definitive description of what the data in each variable represents – E.g. A variable called temp

• Long name (ad hoc): near-surface daily mean• Standard name: air_temperature• Units: K

Page 10: CESD 1 SAGES Scottish Alliance for Geoscience, Environment & Society The challenges of geo-simulation data Centre For Earth System Dynamics m.mineter@ed.ac.uk

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CESDCESD

CF: time – two examples

double time(time) ; time:long_name = "time" ; time:units = "days since 1990-1-1 0:0:0" ;

Days; Hours; Min; Sec

time:units = "days since 1-7-15 0:0:0”time:calendar = "none" ; data: time = 0., 1., 2., ...;

All data are for same date:

Page 11: CESD 1 SAGES Scottish Alliance for Geoscience, Environment & Society The challenges of geo-simulation data Centre For Earth System Dynamics m.mineter@ed.ac.uk

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CESDCESD

How are data made accessible?

• publish data in data centres:– Provide “experiment” metadata– Upload NetCDF data – Metadata are harvested from files into

catalogue

• Web services– E.g ncWMS

Page 12: CESD 1 SAGES Scottish Alliance for Geoscience, Environment & Society The challenges of geo-simulation data Centre For Earth System Dynamics m.mineter@ed.ac.uk

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CESDCESD

Some challenges

Page 13: CESD 1 SAGES Scottish Alliance for Geoscience, Environment & Society The challenges of geo-simulation data Centre For Earth System Dynamics m.mineter@ed.ac.uk

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CESDCESD

Current trends

DataDiversity

Volume

Computation

Legacy analyses (IDL, …,..,..,..)

Collaboration

Cooperation across groups

EnsemblesGlobal + Regional

Publish more than papersBuild research ecosystem

Page 14: CESD 1 SAGES Scottish Alliance for Geoscience, Environment & Society The challenges of geo-simulation data Centre For Earth System Dynamics m.mineter@ed.ac.uk

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CESDCESD

Future Lifecycle of research data

Researcher

Project

Research communityArchives:

BADC

ECDF Tools to capture metadata: instrument current codes + workflow

Easy transitions personal-project-world

Provenance: re-use/modify analyses

PublicWeb services

Page 15: CESD 1 SAGES Scottish Alliance for Geoscience, Environment & Society The challenges of geo-simulation data Centre For Earth System Dynamics m.mineter@ed.ac.uk

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CESDCESD

• Wrap/instrument tools to give Metadata + Provenance in post-model analyses, impact modelling… learn from– SYSMO (Univ. of Manchester)– e-Science Central (Univ. of Newcastle)– Steve!

• Workflow with wrapped legacy tools?

Current challenges

Page 16: CESD 1 SAGES Scottish Alliance for Geoscience, Environment & Society The challenges of geo-simulation data Centre For Earth System Dynamics m.mineter@ed.ac.uk

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CESDCESD

Imminent challenges: impact / adaptation

Socio-economics

Climate

landcrops

……

ecologiesflood

urban

data

NetCDF

Census – sociopolitical area

Regular/nested grids

Triangulated irregular nwks

Dat

a sy

nth

esis

Cli

mat

e d

ow

nsc

alin

gp

oin

t->

area

mo

del

lin

gp

rob

abil

isti

c d

ata

biodiversity