BRIC 2020: What will the BRICs Look Like in the Future?

8/15/2019 BRIC 2020: What will the BRICs Look Like in the Future?

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9?9?

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63/109

Yksmur`ks1 Jlmidl _mwkr hf Fdturdl Yksmur`ks, Kfkrjy _rmeu`thmf

Zmrle”s Pk`mfe Nukl Ktcdfml _rmeu`kr … 5tc Ldrjkst Uhbikr _rmeu`kr


64/109

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Pmur`k1 Ykfkwdilk Nukls Dssm`hdthmf

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9fe nukl ktcdfml prmeu`kr

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[fhtke Ptdtks

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5tc thbikr prmeu`kr

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Ump 4? Uhbikr _rmeu`krs(:.4% scdrk, 9??0)

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65/109

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66/109

Irdzhl”s Ptrkfjtckfhfj D/I @hthks

Yksult1 Kbkrjkf`k mn D/I-@hthks (@mf`kftrdtke _mpuldthmf dfe NEH)


67/109

>>@mpyrhjct © 9?40 Kxmlus. Dll rhjcts rkskrvke. .

Pdm _dulm

Pdlvdemr

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Yhm Ek Adfkhrm

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^dluk @cdhf Ekplmybkft1 Pdlks 6 _rmeu`thmf -6 Y&E -6 Pcdrke Pkrvh`ks


68/109

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Hftkrsk`thmf mn Fdturdl Yksmur`ks (Zkst) … D/I @hthks … _kmplk (Kdst)


69/109

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_kr @dphtd Dffudl Hf`mbk([PE, ___-Deaustke)

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_kr @dphtd Ehspmsdilk Hf`mbk Jrmwhfj dt Dvkrdjk >% _kr Dffub


70/109

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71/109

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D``klkrdtke Jrmwtc tcrmujc 488?”s


73/109

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74/109


Pdm _dulm

Pdlvdemr

Iklm Cmrhzmftk

Yhm Ek Adfkhrm

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9. Yksmur`k Pkkgkrs1 Zckrk drk mtckr Gky Hfvkstbkft Fmeks=


75/109


Pdm _dulm

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Iklm Cmrhzmftk

Yhm Ek Adfkhrm

@urhthid

Yk`hnk

NmrtdlkzdBdfdus

Irdzhl Dutmbmthvk _rmeu`thmf

MKBs

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9. Yksmur`k Pkkgkrs1 Pdm _dulm Ptdtk Hbbkfsk, Ldrjkr tcdf tck [G

Pdm _dulm Ptdtk (953,9?8 gb sq) ldrjkr tcdf [fhtke Ghfjemb (950,>4? gb sq)


76/109

:;@mpyrhjct © 9?40 Kxmlus. Dll rhjcts rkskrvke. . Pmur`ks1 _uilh`dlly Dvdhldilk Hfnmrbdthmf

Pdm _dulm (Ptdtk)(953,9?8 gb sq)

[fhtke Ghfjemb (@muftry)(950,>4? gb sq)

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9. Yksmur`k Pkkgkrs1 Bdfdjkbkft Pmur`ke hf Pdm _dulm, Ldimr Lm`dl

Pdm _dulm Irdzhl”s Lkdehfj Nmrkhjf Hfvkstbkft Eksthfdthmf


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:>@mpyrhjct © 9?40 Kxmlus. Dll rhjcts rkskrvke. . Pmur`ks1 _uilh`dlly Dvdhldilk Hfnmrbdthmf

Pdm _dulm Ptdtk(953,9?8 gb sq)

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Yhm ek Adfkhrm Ptdtk (50,>8> gb sq) rmujcly sdbk shzk Pwhtzkrldfe


78/109

::@mpyrhjct © 9?40 Kxmlus. Dll rhjcts rkskrvke. . Pmur`ks1 _uilh`dlly Dvdhldilk Hfnmrbdthmf

Yhm ek Adfkhrm (Ptdtk)(50,>8> gb sq)

Yhm ek Adfkhrm Ptdtk

Yhm ek Adfkhrm @hty

Pwhtzkrldfe (@muftry)(54,93; gb sq)

9. Yksmur`k Pkkgkrs1 Bdfdjkbkft Pmur`ke hf Yhm, Ldimr Lm`dl

Yhm ek Adfkhrm Ykjhmf d Lkdehfj Hfvkstbkft Eksthfdthmf nmr Mhl dfe Jds Pk`tmr


79/109

:3@mpyrhjct © 9?40 Kxmlus. Dll rhjcts rkskrvke. . Pmur`ks1 _uilh`dlly Dvdhldilk Hfnmrbdthmf

Yhm ek Adfkhrm Ptdtk(50,>8> gb sq)

Hffmvdthmf `lustkrs

0. Gfmwlkejk Pkkgkrs1 Zckrk drk Lkdehfj Y&E Hfvkstbkft Fmeks=


80/109


Pdf _dulm

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Yhm Ek Adfkhrm

_mrtm Dlkjrk

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Nmrtdlkzd

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Pdm Luhs

Lmferhfd

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Pmur`ks1 Ghrstkf Imufe, “Irdzhl tck Fdturdl Gfmwlkejk K`mfmby‒7 Hsdikl Imrtdjdrdy, “Hffmvdthmf @lustkrs hf Ldthf Dbkrh`d‒

Df`cmr1 Kbirdkr ‐ Zmrle”s 0re Ldrjkst Dhr`rdnt Bdfund`turkr

0. Gfmwlkejk Pkkgkrs1 Ldrjkst Dkrmspd`k @lustkr hf P. Ckbhspckrk


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Hfstdllke Jrkkf Kfkrjy1 Irdzhl 5;% … MK@E Dvkrdjk :% … Zmrle 49%

0. Gfmwlkejk Pkkgkrs1 Jlmidl Lkdekr hf Jrkkf Kfkrjy - Ihmbdss, Cyerm


82/109

34@mpyrhjct © 9?40 Kxmlus. Dll rhjcts rkskrvke. . Pmur`k1 Hftkrfdthmfdl Kfkrjy Djkf`y, Irdzhl Bhfhstry mn Bhfks dfe Kfkrjy

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83/109


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84/109

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85/109


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86/109

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88/109

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Pmur`k1 HBN

Yksmur`ks1 Zmrle‘s Lkdehfj Kfkrjy Pupkrpmwkr ‐ Mhl dfe Jds

Zmrle”s Ldrjkst (#4) Mhl _rmeu`kr … Zmrle”s Ldrjkst (#4) Jds _rmeu`kr

YusshdZmrle Mhl _rmeu`krsMHL


89/109

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JDP

Yksmur`ks1 Zmrle‘s Lkdehfj Kfkrjy Pupkrpmwkr ‐ Bhfkrdl Nukls

Zmrle”s 9fe Ldrjkst @mdl Ykskrvks … 0re Ldrjkst [rdfhub Ykskrvks

Zmrle @mdl Ykskrvks@MDL


90/109

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4?%

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Ehs`ldhbkr

Hf wrhthfj wk ikfknht nrmb stdfehfj mf tck scmulekrs mn mtckrs dfe, hf tck prm`kss, wk strhvk tm bdgk mur mwf`mftrhiuthmfs tm tck bdrgkt mn hekds. Ds wkll, wk drk dlwdys trkbkfemusly jrdtknul nmr tck bdfy, mntkfsklnlkss, `mftrhiuthmfs tcdt drk dvdhlke hf tck prm`kss.

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4?:@mpyrhjct © 9?40 Kxmlus. Dll rhjcts rkskrvke. .

Uck mphfhmfs rkprkskftke ckrkhf wkrk prkpdrke nmr hfnmrbdthmf purpmsks mfly, dt tck thbk mn puilh`dthmf.

Uck hfnmrbdthmf rkprkskftke ckrkhf hs iklhkvke tm ik rklhdilk, dt tck thbk mn puilh`dthmf, dfe wds mitdhfke iyvdrhmus puilh` smur`ks dlsm iklhkvke tm ik rklhdilk. Uck mphfhmfs wkrk `mfshekrke tm ik d`ùrdtk dt tckpmhft mn `rkdthmf, dfe nurtckr, dfy vhkws, nmrk`dsts, mr ksthbdtks `mftdhfke ckrkhf bdy ik suiak`t tm `cdfjkdt dfythbk whtcmut fmth`k. Uck mphfhmfs kxprksske mr hbplhke ckrkhf bdy fmt ik tck mphfhmfs mn tck dutcmr,dlsm Kxmlus, mr dfy dssm`hdtke dnnhlhdtks.

Uchs rkpmrt dfe tck hfnmrbdthmf `mftdhfke ckrkhf `mllk`thvkly, hs fmt mnnkrke ds, dfe scmule fmt ik rkjdrekeds, uske mr rklhke upmf ds devh`k mf dfy bdttkr. Ht scdll fmt `mfsthtutk mr ik `mfstruke ds d

rk`mbbkfedthmf mr smlh`htdthmf mf ikcdln mn tck dutcmr, dfe fm lkjdl `mbbhtbkft mr milhjdthmf scdll drhsk iyrkdsmf mn tchs emùbkft. Ucus, tck rkdekr scdll bdgk df hfekpkfekft dsskssbkft mn mphfhmf‘s stdtke

ckrkhf tcdt scdll fmt ik `mfshekrke d suisthtutk nmr mitdhfhfj devhsk nrmb tck rkdekrs‘ devhsmrs.

Uck dutcmr scdll fmt d``kpt rkspmfshihlhty, kxprkss mr hbplhke, whtc rkjdres tm tck d`ùrd`y dfe`mbplktkfkss mn tck hfnmrbdthmf ckrkhf, dfe tck dutcmr scdll fmt ik lhdilk wcdtsmkvkr dfe cmwsmkvkrdrhshfj hf `mffk`thmf tm tchs puilh`dthmf. Uck dutcmr scdll fmt d``kpt, dfe ckrkiy ehs`ldhb, dll rkspmfshihlhtydfe lhdihlhty tm dll pkrsmfs, kfththks, mr mrjdfhzdthmfs nmr dll `mfskqukf`ks drhshfj mut mn dfy usk mr rklhdf`k

mf tck wcmlk mr dfy pdrt mn tchs puilh`dthmf.

Uchs puilh`dthmf scmule fmt ik rkprmeu`ke mr ehstrhiutke whtcmut tck dutcmr‘s `mfskft dfe hs fmt hftkfeke nmr

ehstrhiuthmf hf dfy aurhseh`thmf hf wch`c tchs wmule ik prmchihtke.

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