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Bottleneck Identification and Calibration for Corridor Management
Planning
Xuegang (Jeff) Ban
Lianyu Chu
Hamed Benouar
California Center for Innovative Transportation (CCIT)
University of California – Berkeley
January 22, 2007
2
Outline Introduction Bottleneck Identification Bottleneck Calibration A Real World Example Concluding Remarks
3
Introduction Corridor Management
Corridor Management Planning Integrated Corridor Management
Micro-simulation in Corridor Management Performance Evaluation Improvement Scenario Evaluations
Bottleneck Analysis Definition: Locations that capacity less or demand greater than other
locations. Identification: Queue length and duration Calibration in Micro-simulation
4
Bottleneck Identification Current Practice
HICOMP, PeMS
Proposed Method Binary Speed Contour Map (BSCM) via Percentile Speeds Assumption: bottleneck area if v<=vth
Why are Percentile Speeds?
Probability of a location being a bottleneck Flexibility of identifying bottlenecks Reliability compared with single “typical” day or average speeds
TtNiptivtivP p ,,1,,,1,)),(),(( p-th percentile speed
5
Bottleneck Identification (Cont.) Speed Contour Map
Represented as S(i, t)
IncidentAverage
No-Incident 15%
50% 85%
6
Bottleneck Identification (Cont.) Binary Speed Contour Map (BSCM)
BS(i, t) = 1, if S(i, t) <= vth,
0, otherwise
Bottleneck(s) can be identified automatically via BSCM
Vth = 35mph
7
Bottleneck Calibration Current Practice
FHWA Micro-Simulation Guideline: Visual Assessment
Proposed Method - A Three Step-Process 1. Visual Assessment 2. Area Matching 3. Actual Speed Matching
Three Levels of Details for Calibrating Bottlenecks
8
Step 1. Visual Assessment Purpose
Make sure the number of bottlenecks, their locations and areas roughly match
Qualitative and no quantitative measures can be defined
Observed Data Simulation Data
9
Step 2: Bottleneck Area Matching Purpose
Match bottleneck locations and areas using BSCMs
Quantitative Measure C1
Area Matching Criteria:
Overlapping Area Union Area
N
iii
T
trs
N
iii
T
trs
xxtiBStiBS
xxtiBStiBSC
1 1
1 11
)}())],(),([{(
)}())],(),([{(
11 C
C1 = 90.5%
10
Step 3: Actual Speeds Matching Purpose
Match Detailed Bottleneck Speeds using both SCMs and BSCMs
Quantitative Measure C2
Actual Speed Matching Criteria:
N
iii
T
trsrs
N
iii
T
trsrs
xxtiStiStiBStiBS
xxtiStiStiBStiBSC
1 1
1 12
)}())],(),([)],(),([{(
)}()|),(),(|)],(),([{(21
Observed Data
Simulation Data
C2 = 64.2%
22 C
Union Area
11
A Real World Example I-880 in the San Francisco Bay Area
One of the series of studies for Corridor Management Planning On-going project and the results presented here are interim
The Example I-880 NB, AM Peak hours (6:30 AM – 9:30 AM) Observed data: 20 typical weekdays (Tuesday – Thursday) Double loop detectors with spacing ¼ mile
Simulation Tool Paramics
12
The Study Area
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Calibration Results – Flow and Travel Time
Calibration is satisfactory for matching flow and travel times
14
Calibration Results – Bottlenecks Bottlenecks?
Observed Data
Simulation Data
15
Calibration Results – Bottlenecks Bottlenecks? C1= 24.2%, C2 =42.5%
Observed Data
Simulation Data
16
Concluding Remarks Conclusions
Percentile speeds was used to conduct bottleneck analysis Proposed an automatic bottleneck identification method based on
binary speed contour maps Developed a three-step process for bottleneck calibration: visual
assessment, area matching, and actual speed matching Defined quantitative measures for bottleneck calibration Enhancement to current micro-simulation calibration practice
Future Study Using data from single loops (occupancy) Procedure for calibration