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university of copenhagen Københavns Universitet Biorefined proteins from rapeseed Bagger, C.; Pedersen, Søren Marcus; Gylling, Morten Publication date: 2004 Document Version Publisher's PDF, also known as Version of record Citation for published version (APA): Bagger, C., Pedersen, S. M., & Gylling, M. (2004). Biorefined proteins from rapeseed: economic assesment and system analysis. København: Fødevareøkonomisk Institut, Københavns Universitet. FOI Working Paper, No. 3, Vol.. 2004 Download date: 19. Apr. 2018

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u n i ve r s i t y o f co pe n h ag e n

Københavns Universitet

Biorefined proteins from rapeseed

Bagger, C.; Pedersen, Søren Marcus; Gylling, Morten

Publication date:2004

Document VersionPublisher's PDF, also known as Version of record

Citation for published version (APA):Bagger, C., Pedersen, S. M., & Gylling, M. (2004). Biorefined proteins from rapeseed: economic assesment andsystem analysis. København: Fødevareøkonomisk Institut, Københavns Universitet. FOI Working Paper, No. 3,Vol.. 2004

Download date: 19. Apr. 2018

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Biorefined proteins from rapeseed

- economic assessment and system analysis

Christian Bagger1 Søren Marcus Pedersen2

Morten Gylling2

E-mail: [email protected] E-mail: [email protected]

Abstract

Enhanced biorefining are based on concepts using solvents and enhanced rapeseed extraction and aqueous extraction to separate proteins, refined oil and other by-products from rapeseed. Different protein and oil products from the extraction proc-esses have the potential to substitute a number of well-known market products as well as it provides an opportunity to enter new markets with new product functionalities. The aim of this study was to assess the cost structure in enhanced extraction and bio-refining and to identify areas of special economic interest in terms of processing costs and end-product functionality. The analysis also focuses on market potentials, price and economic viability of the two production processes. The proposed production schemes are based on basic research and the products have only been preliminary commercial tested, it is still too early to conclude about the quality of the end-products and about final market opportunities.

1 Bioraf Denmark Foundation. 2 Danish Research Institute of Food Economics.

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Contents

Preface .......................................................................................................................... 3

1. Introduction............................................................................................................ 4

2. Production flow...................................................................................................... 6

3. Scale of production ................................................................................................ 8

4. Product inputs and sales prices............................................................................... 9

5. Capacity and investments..................................................................................... 15

6. Economic viability ............................................................................................... 16

7. Sensitivity analysis............................................................................................... 19

8. Perspectives and conclusions ............................................................................... 21

References .................................................................................................................. 23

Appendix .................................................................................................................... 25

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Preface

Rapeseed is the most important oil seed crop in EU-15. The large majority is mainly extracted into oils for human consumption, non-food purposes and feed meal. As a measure to improve value added from agricultural production this working paper analyses the economic viability and cost structure of enhanced extraction and green biorefining of rape seed to various high value commodities, such as protein isolates, protein concentrates and rape seed oils. This report are conducted by Søren Marcus Pedersen and Morten Gylling, Danish Re-search Institute of Food Economics and Christian L. Bagger, Bioraf Denmark Foun-dation. As a subtask in the EU ENHANCE project this project has received financial support from the 5th framework programme: Quality of Life and Management of Living Re-sources: QLK5 CT 1999 01442. We appreciate the assistance from all the European project partners for providing technical and economic data for the economic system analysis. Danish Research Institute of Food Economics Farm Management and Production Systems Division April 2004

Johannes Christensen

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1. Introduction

European crop farmers produce mainly cereals, oil- and protein crops and tubers. A large share of the European crop production is delivered on the bulk market resulting in low market prices and value added to the farmers. In this respect, product and mar-ket development has received increasing attention in research projects to establish high value products from agricultural production. The concept of using bio-refineries is to develop sustainable processing systems for decentralised productions with increased value added. A biorefinery system is tailored to handle and fractionate the agricultural output of the region and to make a full and optimal utilisation of the biomas, in this case oil seed rape. Rapeseed is one of the most cultivated oilseed crops in the world (38 mill tons) after soy (160 mill tons). Biorefineries can consist of one or several processing lines, which opens up for syn-ergies in relation to investment and labour costs, flexibility in production output and market as well as benefits in relation to transportation of bulky biomass materials. The overall objective of the ENHANCE-project3 was to develop and design produc-tion systems to extract oilseed rape protein products tailored to meet functional re-quirements within products such as paper coating, binders in thermal isolating materi-als, adhesives and cosmetics (Guéguen 2003). Besides being used for their nutritional benefits, plant proteins (e.g. concentrates and isolates) can be used as functional ingredients to improve texture, viscosity, aroma stability among other things. Until now most functional protein products have origi-nated from soya, wheat proteins (e.g. gluten), milk proteins (casein) and gelatine (Natsch and Wäsche 2003). This study is based on system analysis and seeks to assess and optimise the produc-tion economy in each link of two oil and protein production systems. The system analysis is based on a production facility for each system with an overall capacity of 17,216 tons oil seed rape per year, processed according to the two scenarios devel-oped during the ENHANCE project. 3 ENHANCE “Green Chemicals and Biopolymers from Rapeseed Meal with Enhanced End-uses

Performance”: EU-funded project: Quality of Life and Management of Living Resources: QLK5 CT 1999 01442.

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The objective of this subproject has been to assess the economic structure in the proc-ess and to identify areas of special economic interest; sales revenue, investments and economic viability.

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2. Production flow

The economic model is based on results and developments made during the project lifetime. The model covers four scenarios where scenario 1a (green biorefining proc-ess) and 2a (enhanced solvent extraction) covers two evaluated and developed rape-seed oil extraction methods. Moreover, scenario 2a and 2b covers two adapted meth-ods for extraction of proteins from the resulting oil meals of respectively scenario 1a and 2a. The principal technical production flow process, which forms the basis for the economic models, are shown in figure 1 for both production systems. Appendix A1 gives further details about indicative measures of the variation in protein solubility, protein and oil content, and yields in percent of protein I and II based on oil meal in-puts. The variations indicated are generic estimates based on results from different pilot plant processing methods applied on the different rapeseed meals prepared in scenario 1a and 2 a. Oil seed rape is the primary input in both production processes. The green biorefining process (scenario 1a) is based on cold pressing of de-hulled whole rape seed, whereas the enhanced solvent process (scenario 2a) is based on solvent extraction of whole rape seed, before protein extraction. Process 1a involves de-hulling, cold pressing and oil refining. The protein content in the oil meal from this process varies between 31-34% with a dry matter yield of 40-45% of the oil meal. The obtained protein solubility at pH 7 by applying this process is 69%. In scenario 1b, the rape seed meal is then further processed by aqueous ex-traction, precipitation, purification and drying to produce protein concentrates and isolates in which the protein I (20% of dm) and protein II (15% of dm) are extracted from the rape seed meal. For each protein, their emulsifying properties were analysed at different pH levels, kinetics of creaming was determined and resistance to coalescence was evaluated by conductimetric and centrifugation as described in Schönweitz et. al. (2003). In scenario 2a the rape seed enters a process with extrusion cooking, hexane extrac-tion and mild desolventation. The rape meal share from this process is about 35-40% dm with a protein content be-tween 48-50%.

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Rape seed oil yield is higher in process 2a than 1a but the protein solubility in the rape seed meal is lower in process 2a (55-65%) hence the oil content is lower in the rape seed meal from scenario 2a. The protein content in the rape seed meal from process 2a is between 48 and 50% compared to 31-24% in scenario 1a. Hereafter in scenario 2b, rape seed meal from process 2a is further treated with aque-ous extraction, precipitation and purification as in scenario 1b in order to extract pro-tein concentrates and isolates. The protein content from this process is slightly higher compared with process 1b, but the protein solubility is lower at pH 7. Figure 1. Production flow diagram for scenario 1: Green biorefining process and

scenario 2: Enhanced rape seed extraction

Rape seed

Carbohydrates24 % dm

Hulls15-20 % dm

DehullingCold pressingOil refining

Oil30-35 % dm

Hexane extraction via percolation 2-stage flash desolventation

Scenario 1bAqueous extraction

PrecipitationPurification

Drying

Rape seed meal40-45 % dm

Protein content 31-34 %

Hulls/fibres40 % dm

Protein II15 % dm

Protein I20 % dm

Protein I27 % dm

Protein II17 % dm

Carbohydrates10 % dm

Hulls/fibres36 % dm

Scenario 2bAqueous extraction

PrecipitationPurification

Drying

Rape seed

Hulls15-20 % dm

Rape seed meal35-40 % dm

Protein content 48-50 %

Oil40-45 % dm

Scenario 1aGreen biorefining process

DehullingExtrusion cooking

Scenario 2aEnhanced rape seed extraction

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3. Scale of production

The scale of production used in the models, as presented in the production flow dia-gram, are based on an estimated market of protein II of about 1,000 tons per year. A total production of 1000 tons of protein II, with a protein content between 81 and 96%, corresponds to approximately 17,000 tons of oilseed processed per year. Protein II is regarded as a substitute for casein (milk protein) and a production at this scale accounts for 6-12,5% of the present estimated casein used in EU for adhesive pur-poses. The production system is running for about 7,326 hours per year, corresponding to a capacity of 2.4 tons of oilseed per hour and about 1 ton oil meal per hour for prepara-tion of protein concentrates and isolates. Key data are based on pilot scale trials car-ried out in a scale of 25-100 kg/h resulting in scale up factors of 25-100. The economic feasibility study, is based on data and recommendations from the tech-nical and biological partners in the EU-financed ENHANCE project. An overall sales revenue and gross margin analysis is conducted for both production scenarios and supplemented with sensitivity analysis regarding changes in investments. In addition, the economic viability at different price levels of proteins has been calculated. The analysis has also focused on the price trends for the various output products in the production process.

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4. Product inputs and sales prices

The oil seed protein end-products developed during the ENHANCE-project have the potential to substitute a number of well known oil and protein products and to enter both well known and possibly new markets. The input in the process, however, is based on only one single raw material, oilseed rape. Table 1. Sales prices Input prices EUR/tons Oilseed rape 243 Sales product Substitute Grad rest/hulls/fibres Wheat bran 133 Crude oil Crude edible oil 700 Refined oil Refined rape seed oil 800 Oil meal Rape seed meal 185 Protein I Fish meal 800 Protein II Casein 3,300 Carbohydrates Molasses 140

Source: Danish Statistics and own calculations, 1 EUR = 7.5 DKK.

Oilseed rape is the primary input in the production system and covers about 50 per-cent of the variable costs in both production systems. The future price of rapeseed will depend on the world market price for other oilseed crops such as soy bean and the general subsidies within the Common Agricultural Policy in EU. The current pro-duction of rape seed in EU make a total of about 9 mill tons in year 2001/02 and the production of rapeseed oil is about 3.5 mill. tons (FAO, 2003). Germany (3.8 mill tons), France (3.3 mill. tons) and UK (1.5 mill. tons) are the main rape seed producers in Europe. Rape seed is primarily processed to rape seed cake for feed purposes and rape seed oil for human consumption and non-food production (biodiesel). The mar-ket regime for rape seed production shifted in 1992/93 from indirect market price support to direct payments per hectare. Currently, rape seed is either grown as a food crop in competition with cereals or as a non-food crop on set-aside land. Since 1999 the hectare subsidy for rapeseed has declined significantly compared to crops like wheat and barley and subsidies are now similar for all crops. In this matter, the gross margins for producing rapeseed has declined since 1998 (Cartrysse and Falise 2003). Slightly increased prices of oil rapeseed has however compensated for income reduc-tions.

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Figure 2. Production of rape seed in EU-15

Source: FAO agricultural statistics, www.fao.org.

Figure 3. Price of refined rapeseed oil, meal and pellets from rapeseed and pro-

tein1)

1) The application of protein I is comparable to pellets, meal and powder from fish and shellfish. Source: Danish Statistics.

0

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Rapeseed meal/cakeRape seed oil

-

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1999

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pr.

kg Meal from oil seed rape (cake)Refined rapeseed oil1) Protein IOil seed rape

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The main outputs from the biorefining processes are refined rapeseed oil and proteins. Prototype proteins have been produced in pilot scale. They have been evaluated and their functional properties have been enhanced during the project. The ENHANCE proteins consist of two different protein products: Protein I and II. Protein I and II account for about 20% of the total output in the system and almost 50 percent of the total revenue in the system. In this respect they are vital products in both systems and only small changes in the output price will have a major impact on the overall economy. Protein I and II In Europe, more focus has been put on replacing animal proteins with plant proteins. The reason is to reduce further risk of transmission of diseases from animal proteins in light of the complications with BSE in some European countries. A total of 14 mill. tons of “animal waste”, not eaten by humans, was processed to meat and bone meals in EU in 1996. These protein bone meals have a monetary value similar to soy bean meal. A total replacement of animal proteins with plant proteins will create an addi-tional demand of 2 mill. tons of plant protein per annum, which may lead to increases in plant protein prices (Milne 1997). Fish meal can be regarded as a substitute for protein I. The price of fish meal has slightly increased since 1999 and the import price is currently at about 0.7 EUR per kg. Worldwide, the total fish catch is about 130 mill. tons. of which about 1/3 is used for fish meal and fish oil production (Aquamedia 2003). In EU-15 the total fish catch is about 7 mill. tons (FAO, 2003). The availability of fishmeal protein in EU depends on the EU fishery policy and quota system. The most important sales product in the system is the enhanced protein isolates (pro-tein II). The price of casein4 has been relatively unstable during recent years – e.i. price variation between 1 EUR in 1999 and 6 EUR in 2001. Casein is a by-product from the milk and dairy sector and closely linked to the milk production in Europe.

4 Casein can be regarded as a comparable product to ENHANCE protein II

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Figure 4. Casein production and exports in EU-15

Source: European Commission, Directorate General for Agriculture.

Figure 5. Protein II, comparable to casein price

Source: Danish Statistics.

The consumption of casein is very low compared with traditional bulk commodities and probably negotiated by very few buyers. In this respect it is difficult to predict the future price of casein and hence protein II.

020406080

100120140160180

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

1000

tons

ProductionExports

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The European production of casein has slightly increased in the period between 1994 and 1999 but fell again in 2000. The total production is about 160,000 tons per year (2000) and about 50,000 tons are exported. Soya protein and wheat gluten are among the most important vegetable protein sources. On the world market is consumed about 185,000 tons of soy isolates (protein content > 90%) and about 220,000 tons of soy concentrates (protein content: 64-90%) for food and non-food purposes. Furthermore, it is assumed that the European con-sumption (incl. Africa) of soya protein isolates and concentrates is about 85.000 tons per year (Pedersen and Gylling 2001). The market price of soy isolate is about 18-25 DKK/kg, (2.4-3.3 EUR/kg) whereas the market price of soy concentrate is about 10-16 DKK/kg (1.3-2.1 EUR/kg) (1999). Wheat gluten is also produced in large amounts as a by-product in the wheat starch industry. In the late eighties and beginning of the nineties the world gluten production increased considerably and was about 475,000 tons per annum in 1996. The gluten price is currently a little less than 1 EUR per kg. In the eighties the price has been about 2 EUR per kg. The current price of gluten has forced the industry to develop new applications of this protein within the food industry (baking, meat products, des-serts etc) as well as the non-food industry. From the green biorefining process and the enhanced rapeseed extraction process it is possible to obtain proteins that are similar to soy isolates/casein and soy concen-trates/fish meal). The protein content in protein I is 50% (scenario I) and 70% (sce-nario II) with a protein solubility ph7 at 48 and 25, respectively. The protein content in protein II is 81% for scenario I, and 96% for scenario II with a protein solubility (ph 7) at 96 and 90 respectively. Since it is possible to reach relatively concentrated/pure proteins for protein I and II that are about the same protein contents as soy concentrates and isolates it is assumed that an average price of protein I of 0.80 EUR pr. kg and protein II of 3.3 EUR/ pr. kg is a reasonable estimate (see table 1). Refined rapeseed oil Refined rapeseed oil is the second most important sales product in the system. The price of refined oil has been relatively stable within the last years. It is assumed that

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the price of refined oil from both biorefining systems is about 0.8 EUR/kg, which is a little above the average price in recent years. Carbohydrates The price of carbohydrates are similar to the price of molasses from sugar production. Molasses is a typical by-product from sugar-beet production and the carbohydrates from the ENHANCE-project is likewise regarded as a by-product. The price is as-sumed to be 0.14 EUR/kg. Although there have been a slight tendency of a reduced price for this commodity. Carbohydrates are however low value products and there-fore less vital in the overall economic system. Hulls and dietary fibres Wheat bran is like carbohydrates a low value product. The price is currently about 0.08 EUR/kg. Other variable costs A minor share of the variable costs is related to the use of water and pH, chemistry. The energy costs in both processes adds to about 1. mill. EUR for energy, either from electricity, gas or fuel oil. In this respect, significant increases in fuel prices may have some impact on the economic viability for both production systems.

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5. Capacity and investments

The processing and investment costs are estimated for each scenario and for the com-bined system per unit of oilseed rape (tons) in a production set-up with a capacity of about 2,35 ton seed/hour. The running time at the plant is 22 hours per day and 333 days per year, which corresponds to an annual input of 17.216 tons rape seed. Total investments adds up to 11,2 mill. EUR for the enhanced rapeseed extraction (incl. stationary machinery, processing equipment and buildings) and total investments for the green process are about 7,3 mill. EUR. The period of depreciation is 20 years for buildings and 10 years for machinery. Capital costs are assessed by using the current real interest (5%). Table 2. Investments EUR

Scenario 1Aqueous extraction

(green biorefining process)

Scenario 2 Enhanced rapeseed extraction

(traditional process) 1A 2A Machinery storage 200,000 200,000 Dehulling 100,000 100,000 Extrusion 500,000 Pressing 500,000 Oilprocessing 200,000 Oilrefining 300,000 Cold solvent extraction 3,000,000 Hexane distillation 1,350,000 Buildings 1,000,000 1,000,000 1B 2B Machinery 4,000,000 4,000,000 Buildings 1,000,000 1000,000 Total investments 7,300,000 11,150,000

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6. Economic viability

As previously indicated, this system analysis is based on 2 production scenarios: 1) A green biorefining process and 2) Enhanced mild solvent extraction process. The overall sales revenue in both systems are about the same since both systems pro-duces nearly the same products. However the yield of refined oil is a little higher in the enhanced mild solvent extraction process although the end product quality is slightly better in the green biorefining process. In this case the price of refined oil is assumed to be slightly higher in the biorefining process. The protein content in pro-tein II is higher from process 2b compared with 1b. The most severe differences be-tween the two systems are related to investment costs, which are significantly lower in the green biorefining process. An important item in the cost structure is product development and marketing activi-ties. If the production facility should be regarded as an ongoing concern these activi-ties should be included as yearly expenses. An estimate is 10 percent of the revenue, which corresponds to about 1 mill. EUR in both scenarios. These expenditures cover laboratory facilities, engineers for product development and research, laboratory technician, marketing and salesmen. The cost of marketing and product development is at the same level as similar biotechnological companies. It is however difficult at this stage to estimate the exact expenditures. Miscellaneous costs covers packing and other expenditures in connection to the pro-duction and sales activities. In this study, expenses related to approval and testing of the end products are not in-cluded.

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Table 3. Sales revenue and gross margins EUR

Scenario 1Aqueous extraction

(green biorefining process)

Scenario 2 Enhanced rapeseed extraction

(traditional process) Sales revenue Grad rest 103,038 103,038 Hulls 309,115 309,115 Refined oil and crude oil 3,718,678 4,338,457 Fibres 372,205 298,154 Protein II 3,463,183 3,493,403 Protein I 1,119,413 1,345,054 Carbohydrates 232,628 82,820 Sales revenue, total 9,457,179 9,964,620 Variable costs 1 Oil seed rape 4,183,512 4,183,512 Acid 10,467 4,187 Electricity 312,098 272,159 Energy for steam 706,068 69,.264 Energy fuel and gas 16,786 92,967 Chemistry. Ph 87,912 87,912 Water 14,234 14,077 Total 5,331,077 5,353,077 Gross margin 1 4,126,102 4,611,543 Variable costs 2 Labour and machinery (fixed costs) 1,221,500 1,938,250 Gross margin 2 2,904,602 2,673,293 Other fixed costs, buildings, in-surance, administration and mar-keting etc. 1,720,925

1,908,849 Profit (revenue-costs) 1,183,677 764,443

Note: Real interest rate 5%. Inflation: 2 percent. Period of depreciation: Machinery 10 years, Buildings 20 years.

The total sales revenue in the system is about 9.5-10 mill. EUR/year and the overall yearly profit is 1.2 mill. EUR for the biorefing process and 0.8 mill. EUR for the en-hanced mild solvent extraction. The results of the preliminary feasibility study indicate that a combined production can be a viable investment if the assumptions about processing costs, investments, yields and product functionality can be realised on a commercial market.

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The calculations in the basic scenario are based on average 2002 prices. A sensitivity analysis has been conducted with respect to a change in the price level. An initial investment of 7.3 mill EUR for scenario 1 and 11 mill for scenario 2 will then create an internal rate of return of 25% and 14% respectively. The pay back time for the investment is 3.8 years and 5.6 years. The net present value is 13.2 mill EUR for the green biorefining process and 8.1 mill EUR for the enhanced extraction process. In this analysis it is assumed that the NPV is based on yearly profits (before capital costs) over a period of 20 years. Table 4. Profit, Internal rate of return (IRR) and pay back time Scenario 1

Aqueous extraction (green biorefining process)

Scenario 2 Enhanced rapeseed extraction

(traditional process) Profit (yearly) (income minus costs) 1.2 mill EUR 0.76 mill EUR Internal rate of return 25% 14% Net present value (20 years) 13.2 mill EUR 8.1 mill EUR Pay back time 3.8 years 5.6 years

Note: Real interest rate 5%.

The calculation above shows that the basic economic scenario is viable based on the mass balance mentioned in the appendix, and given that the quality of the end prod-ucts are accepted by the end users. It should be stressed that the economic results are based on a going concern hence some unforeseen expenses could have an impact on the economic viability. Further-more, a basic assumption is that the current market price will not be influenced by the production increase from these processes although the total amount of proteins (about 2,500 tons) may be relatively high on a local scale. It is a prerequisite that the production process is technical possible. However, as the technical process has not been tested in a continuous flow, it is plausible that some variations in investment and costs for testing and labelling may occur.

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7. Sensitivity analysis

Scenario 1 In table 5 and 6 is presented a sensitivity analysis for the green aqueous extraction process. Table 5 shows that a raise in investments of 3 mill. EUR imply a reduction of the internal rate of return (IRR) to 12.5% over a 20 years period. In this case it is economic viable to shift from the aqueous extraction green process to the solvent en-hanced extraction process. Table 5. Green biorefining process: Increased investments (1-3 mill. EUR) Basic scenario --------- Increase in machinery investment ---------- Total investments, Mill EUR 7.3 8.3 9.3 10.3 Net present value 1), Mill EUR. 13.2 10.9 8.5 6.2 Internal rate of return, % 2) 25 20 16 12.5 Pay back time, years 3.8 4.4 5.1 5.9

1) Real interest rate 5%. 2) 20 years period.

Table 6 indicates the effect on economic viability by raising or reducing the price of protein II, which is the most important product in the process. The table establishes that the green process is the best alternative even with 20% price reductions. As indi-cated above, the price of casein has fluctuated significantly in previous years. Table 6. Green biorefining process: Increased protein II prices Basic scenario ---- Change in price of protein II ---- Total investments, Mill EUR 7.3 + 20% - 20% Net present value 1), Mill EUR. 13.2 20.9 5.4 Internal rate of return, % 2) 25 35 14.1 Pay back time, years 3.8 2.8 5.7

1) Real interest rate 5%. 2) 20 years period.

Scenario 2 Table 7 and 8 shows are presented a sensitivity analysis for the enhanced rapeseed extraction process.

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The basic economic calculations are based on the assumption that the production sys-tem is established and running for a period of 20 years. In this respect the system analysis describes a going concern company, which in principal can operate indefi-nitely and stays in business. However, the company has to raise enough resources to stay in business and to continue after the run-in period. The initial erection costs (in-cluding costs of machinery and buildings) may vary according to unforeseen costs and start up costs in the first years. In this case it is relevant to assess the sensitivity of these investment costs. Table 7 shows that a raise in investments of 3 mill. EUR im-ply a reduction of the internal rate of return (IRR) to 1.1%, which is well below eco-nomic viability. Table 7. Enhanced rapeseed extraction: Increased investments (1-3 mill EUR) Basic scenario --------- Increase in machinery investment ---------- Total investments, Mill EUR 11.2 12.2 13.2 14.2 Net present value 1), Mill EUR. 8.1 5.8 3.5 1.1 Internal rate of return, % 2) 14 11.1 8.5 6 Pay back time, years 5.6 6.3 7 7.9

1) Real interest rate 5%. 2) 20 years period.

Table 8 shows the effect on economic viability by raising or reducing the price of pro-tein II. The table shows that the enhanced rapeseed extraction process is just at a breakeven level if the price of protein II is reduced by 20%. The internal rate of return is just above the discount rate. Table 8. Enhanced rapeseed extraction: Increased protein II prices Basic scenario ---- Change in price of protein II ---- Total investments, Mill EUR 11.2 + 20% - 20% Net present value 1), Mill EUR. 8.1 15.9 0.3 Internal rate of return, % 2) 14 21.3 5.36 Pay back time, years 5.6 4.2 8.3

1) Real interest rate : 5%. 2) 20 years period.

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Biorefined proteins from rapeseed, FØI 21

8. Perspectives and conclusions

This study indicates that both ENHANCE production system (i.e. green biorefining process and enhanced extraction) could be economically viable based on the assump-tions and technologies presented above. The green biorefining process is the most economic viable system due to lower investment costs. However, for both processes it is vital that the price and demand for proteins are stable in the years to come. Green biorefining and enhanced mild extraction should enable us to create a potential production of oilseed rape proteins, as a compliment to other plant and animal prote-ins. Irrespective of the green process or the enhanced extraction process is chosen, it is possible to increase value added with about 150-200 EUR per. tons rapeseed input compared with traditional oil processing. Figure 6 indicate the change in value added by refining 1 tons of oil seed rape. Figure 6. Change in sales revenue (value added) from bioerefining, based on a

production unit of 17,216 tons oil seed rape

The potential end-products from these processes have the potential to substitute a number of well known products and to enter well known and new markets even though that the process is based on only one single raw material.

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Oil seedrape

Traditionalprocess

Scenario 1,(Green

biorefiningprocess)

Scenario 2(Enhancedextraction)

EUR

pr t

ons.

CarbohydratesProtein IIProtein IHulls and fibresRape seed mealRefined oilOil seed rape

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22 Biorefined proteins from rapeseed, FØI

This approach could be a model for creation of other new production systems and making a better utilisation of biomass material. The production system may also enable the farmer and agro-industry to increase value added in the whole production chain. However, as the production is based on basic research and pilot scale produc-tions and since it has solely been submitted for preliminary commercial testing it is still too early to conclude about the quality of the end-products and the final market possibilities. A production facility as described above could be organised as a joint stock company. In this case where the primary input is a standard bulk commodity it is hardly neces-sary to organise a formal contractual agreement between the farmers and the produc-tion unit. Likewise it may not be relevant to establish a co-operative with contractual delivery agreements among farmers. Rapeseed is a conventional crop, which is avail-able from most of the European regions. In this case it is important that the company can receive a relatively large amounts of long-term external capital and this is probably best done through shares and by estab-lishing a joint stock company. However, it could be relevant to create a more formalised contractual delivery agree-ment of seeds if the final trials indicate that special species of rapeseed are a prerequi-site for a commercial production of the various end products from these two proc-esses.

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References

Aquamedia (2003): Where does the fish meal and fish oil for feeds come from? www.feap.info.

Cartrysse C. and Falisse A (2003): Evolution of costs structure and micro-economic

profitability of food and non food winter oil seed rape production in Belgium, proceedings 11th International rapeseed congress, Copenhagen Denmark 2003, pp 1195-1199.

Danmarks Statistik (flere årgange): Udenrigshandelen fordelt på varer og lande. Danmarks Statistik (flere årgange): Varestatistik for industrien. De Danske Landboforeninger (2002): Landøkonomisk Oversigt 2002., Axelborg. ENHANCE (2000): Green Chemicals and Biopolymers From Rapeseed meal with Enhanced End-uses Performance. EU FAIR programme QLRT 1999 - 01442. European Commision (several years): Directorate General for Agriculture, world ex-

ports and production of butter, cheese and casein - www. Europa.eu.int., 2003. FAO (2003): FAO, Agricultural statistics, www.fao.org. Guéguen J. (2003): ENHANCE: An European programme on: Green chemicals and

biopolymers from rapeseed meal with enhanced end-uses performance. Proceed-ings, 11th International rapeseed congress, Copenhagen Denmark 2003, p 534.

Gylling M, Pedersen S. M. and Boon A. (1999): Non-food production fra landbrugs-

afgrøder, rapport nr. 112., Fødevareøkonomisk Institut. Milne J. A. (1997): Reports of the plenary sessions, ecological and economic aspects,

report of the third session of the international Scientific Conference of meat and bone meal, Brussels 1-2, 1997.

Natsch A. and Wäsche A. (2003): Rape protein products as food ingredients, Proceed-

ings, 11th International rapeseed congress, Copenhagen Denmark 2003, p 532.

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Pedersen S. M. Gylling M. and Bagger C. (2003): Enhanced extraction of rape seed proteins for non-food products – an economic comparison between traditional and “green” rape seed, processing. Proceedings, 11th International rapeseed con-gress, Copenhagen Denmark 2003, p 499.

Pedersen S. M. and Gylling M. (2001): The economics of producing quality oils, pro-

teins and bioactive products for food and non-food purposes based on biorefin-ing, SJFI-working Paper no. 4/2001.

Schönweitz C., Bagger C., Evrard J., Popineau, Larré C. and Guéguen J. (2003):

Emulsifying properties of tailored rapeseed isolates, proceedings 11th Interna-tional rapeseed congress, Copenhagen Denmark 2003, p 447.

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Appendix

Table A1. OIL EXTRACTION Scenario I Scenario 2 Traditional Dehulling Dehulling Flaking Cold pressing Extrusion cooking Hot pressing Hexane extraction via

percolation Hexane extraction via percolation

2-stage Flash desolventisation

Desolventisation live stream

Oil yield % dm. 30-35 Oil yield % dm. 40-45 Oil yield % dm. 40-45 Hulls etc. 15-20 Hulls etc. 15-20 Oilmeal yield % dm. 40-45 Oilmeal yield % dm. 35-40 Oilmeal yield % dm. 50-55 Protein solubility pH 7 69 Protein solubility pH 7.4 55-65 Protein solubility pH 7.4 Protein content 31-34 Protein content 48-50 Protein content Oil content 10-15 Oil content 4-5 Oil content PROTEIN EXTRACTION Scenario 1 b Scenario 2 b Aqueous extraction Aqueous extraction Precipitation Precipitation Purification Purification Drying Drying Protein I Protein I Protein solubility pH 7 48 Protein solubility pH 7 25 Protein content 50 Protein content 70 Oil content 35 Oil content 7 Yield in % dm. of meal 20 Yield in % dm. of meal 27 Protein II Protein II Protein solubility pH 7 96 Protein solubility pH 7 90 Protein content 81 Protein content 96 Oil content <5 Oil content <1 Yield in % dm. of meal 15 Yield in % dm. of meal 17 Carbohydrates Carbohydrates Yield in % dm. of meal 24 Yield in % dm. of meal 10 Hulls/fibre Hulls/fibre Yield in % dm. of meal 40 Yield in % dm. of meal 36

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Working Papers Fødevareøkonomisk Institut

03/04 April 2004 Christian Bagger, Søren

Marcus Pedersen og Morten Gylling

Biorefined proteins from rapeseed – economic assessment and sys-tem analysis

02/04 April 2004 Lars Otto, Niels Peter

Baadsgaard og Charlotte Sonne Kristensen

Sundhedsrådgivning og økonomi inden for svineproduktion. Hvilke redskaber bruger rådgiverne og hvad er deres behov?

01/04 Januar 2004 Divya Das Landmænds adfærd i teori og

praksis Et regionalt casestudie 16/03 December 2003 Janus Søndergaard,

Jesper Graversen og Mogens Lund

Analyse af fødevarekæder - cen-trale begreber og metoder

15/03 December 2003 Paul Rye Kledal Analysis of Organic Supply

Chains – A theoretical framework 14/03 December 2003 Niels Mellerup og Mo-

gens Lund Konstruktion af et Balanced Sco-

recard til en mælkekvægsbedrift 13/03 December 2003 Jens Abildtrup og

Morten Gylling Driftsmæssige konsekvenser af

afstandskrav mellem GM og ikke-GM afgrøder

12/03 November 2003 Morten L. Bonefeld og

Jesper T. Graversen Økonomisk organisering af svi-

nekødssektoren 11/03 November 2003 H.G. Jensen and

S.E. Frandsen Impacts of the Eastern European

Accession and the 2003-reform of the CAP Consequences for Indi-vidual Member Countries

10/03 Oktober 2003 Mogens Lund, Lars Ot-

to, Janus Søndergaard og Jens Erik Ørum

Videndeling og kompetenceud-vikling – en modelstrategi for Af-deling for Jordbrugets Driftsøko-nomi

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09/03 Oktober 2003 Lars-Bo Jacobsen and Hans G. Jensen

Sector- and Economy-wide Ef-fects of Terminating the Use of Anti-microbial Growth Promoters in Denmark

08/03 Oktober 2003 Jørgen Dejgaard Jensen

og Martin Andersen Marginale producenter af udvalg-

te landbrugsprodukter 07/03 September 2003 Channing Arndt and

Finn Tarp Trade Policy Reform and the

Missing Revenue: A Gendered Analysis for Mo-zambique

06/03 September 2003 Henning Porskrog,

Mona Kristoffersen, Karsten Larsen and Ole Olsen

SGM-calculation of cost in Denmark

05/03 Juli 2003 Max Nielsen Beregningsgrundlag for prisud-viklingen for uforarbejdet fisk i Danmark: Arbejdspapir til Fiske-riets Økonomi 2003

04/03 June 2003 Wusheng Yu and Trine

Vig Jensen Tariff Preferences, WTO Negotia-

tions and the LDCs The case of the "Everything But Arms" Initia-tive

03/03 Maj 2003 Henning Tarp Jensen

and Finn Tarp Trade Liberalisation and Spatial

Inequality: Methodological Inno-vations in Vietnamese Perspective

02/03 Maj 2003 Peter Vig Jensen Sammenligning af udvalgte sven-

ske og danske landbrugsbedrifter 01/03 Maj 2003 Hans G. Jensen and

Søren E. Frandsen Implications of EU Accession of

Ten New Members The Copenhagen Agreement