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2011 VOL 3
eacon
Sector Special
Beacon this time is a sort of companion piece
to the Summers Edition. We’ve dubbed this
one the Sector Special and the name is indica-
tive of what lies inside. Sector Reports. Pick
that which suits your fancy and read on!
Any bit of reading on these industries, each
one here bearing immediate relevance to SIRP,
should hold the first years in good stead dur-
ing their GDs and PIs.
As for MBA II whose rhythms and beats speak
of a languorous existence, the writer here
does not wish to call upon the imminence of
final placements.
Nay. This is more of an appeal to the part of us
that acknowledges a good body of work.
Credit where credit is due, as they say.
Happy Reading !
2
z
Contents
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INTRODUCTION: India's automobile industry, currently estimated to have a turnover of US$ 73 billion, accounts for 6 per cent of its GDP, and is expected to double its turnover to US $ 145 billion by 2016. Currently the 7th largest in the world, the industry has grown significantly over the last ten years during which industry volumes have increased more than three-fold from 4.7 million to 14.9 million. The industry, by virtue of its deep connects with several key segments of the economy, occupies a prominent place in the country’s growth canvas. A robust transportation system plays a key role in a country's rapid economic and industrial development, and the well-developed Indian automotive industry justifies this catalytic role by producing a wide variety of vehicles, which include passenger vehicles, commercial vehicles, two wheelers and three wheelers.
HISTORY: The history of the Indian automobile industry has four distinct phases. Phase 1 – The Reign of the Ambassador (Till 1983) This phase of Indian car industry lasted till the early 80s when cars used to be a status symbol and belonged to those segments that were financially well to do. This was the age of the HM’s Ambassador and the Premier Padmini. Very few other imported cars were seen on the roads. Low levels of urbanization meant that there was little awareness about the automobiles in the country and owning a car was a costly affair right from the purchase to the car to operation and maintenance. Phase 2 – 800 (Mid 1980s to Early 1990s) The second phase began with the advent of the hatchback Maruti 800, based on the Suzuki Motors’ Alto. Sanjay Gandhi’s efforts towards establishing a company that aimed at developing India’s first affordable car came to fruition in 1983 when production began at the Gurgaon facility. The advent of this small iconic car in India triggered the first wave of sentiment where car buyers across the nation aspired to something that was within their reach. Phase 3 – Entry of Foreign Players (Mid 1990s to Early 2000) The next phase was marked by the opening up of the Indian automobile industry for the foreign players with liberalization in 1991. These foreign players like Honda, Hyundai, Toyota, GM and Ford built the foundation upon which the industry as we know it today was built. This was primarily characterized by influx of advanced technology and production techniques along with the best practices they adopted across the world. While the small car segment was dominated, with few exceptions, by Maruti, foreign players
AUTOMOTIVE
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along with Tata Motors and Mahindra & Mahindra tasted success in other segments. Honda City was a game-changer in the premium mid-size sedan segment and has been the car to buy for years now. Toyota brought the reliability it was renowned for across the world into vehicles like Qualis and Corolla. The luxury carmakers like BMW, Mercedes and Porsche found a niche for themselves in the Indian market. In all, the diversity in product offering increased significantly. Among the few failure stories of this period include the shutdown and exit of Daewoo Motors from the passenger cars segment. Phase 4 – Rise of the middle class, Rise of consumerism and Fast paced growth (Mid 2000 to Modern Automobile Industry) In this phase, carmakers took advantage of the burgeoning middle class and the changing pattern of consumerism in India. Indians saw an upsurge in their income and spending. Increasing urbanization and purchasing power of the middle class provided the companies with the space to flourish. The Indian auto industry has doubled in the last five years.
TRENDS: Booming Small Cars Segment The compact segment has grown into leaps and bounds during the last 6-8 years and currently boasts of a wide range of cars (Alto, Swift, i10, Santro, WagonR, Zen, Spark, Indica etc). The Indian car industry is still dominated by the small car segment with contribution of over 65% to overall sales. Modern small cars are equipped with advanced technology and safety features. The segment has evolved into the premium hatch back segment which is dominated by the i20, Swift, Fabia, Ritz and Figo. TATA’s Indica has made its place in the people mover segment. Other notable small cars that have made their entry are Micra and Polo. The segment is still growing and many new models are in the pipeline. Toyota has already launched its Liva and Honda will make an entry to this segment with Brio. New Development in Form of Mid Size Cars Segment The mid size segment has also seen a flurry of new models in India and has registered consistent growth. Honda City, Ford Ikon, Hyundai Accent and Maruti Esteem have been the front runners in lower end of this segment. The luxury sedan segment is dotted with models such as Accord, Civic, Laura, Corolla Altis and Camry. Growing Utility Vehicle Market Scorpio, Bolero, Safari, Innova, Fortuner, Pajero, Endeavour, Land Rover and Outlander including others have made significant mark in MUV and SUV segment making it the fastest growing segment. However, this segment is still limited to around 5% of the market in India.
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Alternate Fuels, Hybrid Cars and Electric Cars Thanks to skyrocketing fuel prices, global warming and changing technologies, that triggered the need of alternate fuels, hybrid cars and electric cars. Barring the unsuccessful stint by Honda Civic Hybrid, the market has not seen any initiative for hybrid technologies in India. Though the Toyota Hybrid option is available as an import, it is quite costly due to government trade policies. There is lot of scope in development of electric car segment in India which is currently limited to the Reva, the only electric vehicle available in India. The Government needs to take measures to promote this segment given that the concern of rising fuel prices is ever present. GM is planning to make an entry in electric car segment with the upcoming electric Chevrolet Beat which may change the market dynamics largely. Increasing Demand for Diesel Cars Gone are the days when diesel cars used to be noisy, vibrating and a maintenance worry. Technology has a come a long way in making diesel vehicles more refined and easy to maintain. Currently diesel cars contribute to 30% of total sales, which is expected to be around 45 to 50% in next decade time. Today, Fiat’s multi-jet engine (1.3 Litre) powers Maruti, TATA and Fiat cars and several other CRD engines available in the market. The growing demand for diesel cars has forced Honda to consider bringing diesel cars in India. Other successful models have been the Ford Fiesta, Hyundai Verna and Maruti Swift Dzire to name a few. Micro Cars TATA has been the front runner in starting the era of micro cars with its ambitious Nano, which debuted in the Indian market in 2010 after a chequered development effort. It added a new term in automobile dictionary, The Nanolution, a new segment altogether. Several others are set to follow including Hyundai's mini car (to be launched in late 2011), Maruti's Servo and Bajaj's small car very shortly. The development of ultra-small cars is aimed at the Bottom of Pyramid and has the potential to change the shape of automobile industry in India. Changing Approach towards Customer Service Increasing number of cars in the market has evolved the requirement of improved in customer service standards. Customers are becoming cautious about the total ownership cost (including maintenance, insurance, finance options, etc.) of the vehicle. Carmakers today offer value added services, maintenance package, emergency assistance and extended warranties on the vehicle to lure customers who want a hassle free ownership and good resale value for the car. New Technologies Today, car manufacturers offer a complete range of advanced features in car and also offer
6
automatic transmission option. Cruise control, air bags, anti-locked braking system (ABS), parking sensors, blue tooth connectivity, steering mounted controls, climate control, navigation system, etc. have become regular features now days leaving behind the era when technology was limited to power steering and power windows.
Used Car Market One of the major characteristics of the modern automobile industry in India is the evolution of the used car market which is all set to surpass the new car market in couple of years. Car companies have set up a separate division of used car sales to fulfil the used car demands, which also help in assisting customer get good resale value of their cars. (Example - Maurti's True Value, Hyundai's Advantage, Mahindra's First Choice, TATA Motor's Assured, etc.) The above is a short summary of how the Indian car industry has come a long way from exploring the Top of the Pyramid to hitting the Bottom of the Pyramid. The outlook remains strong in next couple of decades seeing the low penetration of cars in India (10 cars per 1000 people) and the consumption boom. Several changes can be witnessed along with the handling challenges of increasing lending rates, infrastructure limitations and rapidly swinging consumer behaviour.
CURRENT STATUS:
Macro and Micro Economic Status:
RBI raised its key policy rates 50 basis points on 26th July. This has been 11th increase in 15
months and the repo rate now stands at 8%. The 50 bps hike in the interest rates announced
by RBI could hit passenger vehicle sales very hard. The growth rate of the PV sales has already
dropped from about 33% last year to about 9% during the last quarter. Although some
moderation in the growth rates was expected, the moderation has been far more than
forecasted, to a large part due to the successive increases in the interest rates that have made
it more expensive for the customers to purchase vehicles. High interest rates lead to
postponement of vehicle purchase which will have a negative impact on the short to medium
term sales.
SIAM has already scaled down it passenger vehicle sales forecast for this year from 16-18%
to10-12%. But rising cost of finance is definitely not the only reason for revision of forecasts.
Inflation figures for July 2011 are estimated to be 9.22%. Though it is less as compared to June
2011 figures of 9.44% and also the lowest in past six months, it is still substantial. Also
revisions of figures or May 2011 have given us 9.56% inflation as compared to earlier
7
estimated figure of 9.06%. This would be worrisome as 9.44% figure estimated for June 2011
might be quite close to a double digit on rivision. Further inflation in the manufacturing sector
stood at 7.49% in July year on year as compared to 7.43% in June. These are combined
ingredients for another rate hike in Mid-September 2011, which will further affect auto sales.
Since UPA returned to power in May 2009, petrol prices have gone up by over 50%. In the last
one year alone the increase is of the order of 30%. With rise in raw material prices on
production side and rise in fuel prices and lack of finance due to credit crunch policy adopted
by government, on sales side, Automobile sector seems to be in a fix in the short term at least.
MAJOR SEGMENTS
The Indian two-wheeler (2W) industry reported a strong double-digit volume growth of 17%in
Q1, 2011-12 (YoY), even as several other automobile segments showed signs of a cyclical dip in
growth during this period. While the northward movement in macro-economic variables
including inflation, fuel prices and interest rates has been the nemesis of the automobile
industry at large, the 2W industry has been relatively less impacted so far. ICRA believes that
the resilience shown by the 2W industry volumes is likely to persist, a large base
notwithstanding, with the industry looking on course to record yet another year of double-
8
digit growth. However, the situation may change in the event of higher than expected decline
in India’s GDP growth or persistent inflationary pressures over a longer period.
INDUSTRY DRIVERS AND CHALLENGES Steady economic growth and favourable demographic profile
Barring marginal blips during the last couple of years, the Indian economy has moved into higher growth (8.5%+) trajectory which is likely to be sustained over the medium term. In addition to steady economic growth, the automobile industry is also benefitting from India’s favourable demographic profile, which is reflected by its very young population (50% of population under the age of 25), steadily improving dependency ratio, growing urbanization and trend towards smaller, nuclear families. These trends in turn results in higher savings and increased ability to purchase vehicles, as well as explaining the preference for smaller-cars. In addition to favourable demographic profile, rising per capita GDP levels is also resulting in improvement in vehicle affordability in India, which is estimated to amongst the lowest when compared to other major automotive market. In India, the per capita GDP has almost doubled to US$ 3,270 between 2000 and 2009, while car prices (adjusting for the decline in duties) have remained almost at the same level as they were five years back, thereby increasing flexibility to own cars.
Favourable demand scenario from smaller towns and rural areas –
In addition to demand from urban areas, smaller towns and rural India have been
incrementally driving demand for vehicles in India. For instance, the share of sales from top-10
cities has fallen to 40-45% from 60%-65% over the last five-to-six years. Maruti Suzuki, also for
instance now generates nearly 19% of its sales from non-urban areas compared to just 4-5%
about five years back. This has largely been prompted by rising disposable income levels in
smaller towns and rural areas, improving road connectivity and higher number of earning
members in the family. Industry estimates suggest that approximately 60% of the rural
economy now depends on non-agricultural income such as trading, remittances from cities,
employment in manufacturing sector etc. That apart, substantial increase in crop prices, which
has been moving up over the past three years, has also resulted in higher disposable income.
Additionally, the increase in land prices across the country, and the implementation of the
sixth pay commission has collectively helped in supporting the growth in the rural and semi-
urban cities/tier III cities. The OEMs have also helped expand demand by targeting these
markets with greater financing availability and better service & distribution reach.
9
CHALLENGES
Rising interest rates and Fuel Prices
After reporting strong growth over the past two fiscals, the domestic passenger vehicle
industry has started witnessing slowdown with Q1 FY12 reporting a relatively modest 8.7%
growth on YoY basis. Within the industry, the cars segment grew by 7.2%, while UVs and Multi
-Purpose Vehicles (MPVs) reported a growth of 5.1% and 29.2%, respectively. Successive rise
in interest rates on back of RBI’s monetary tightening stance coupled with rise in fuel prices
are key factors affecting consumer sentiment, leading deferment of purchases. While April
and May were relatively better months, partly helped by increase in inventory position at the
dealer level; June and July sales have been significantly weaker given the destocking done by
dealers.
Among segments, the small car segment, which account for over 80% of the volumes have
been impacted the most, while mid-size segment owing to new product launches has been
somewhat insulated from the slowdown so far. The premium & luxury end segment of both
cars and UVs also continue to post steady growth due to low-base effect and by virtue of being
relatively inelastic to rise in ownership cost. Rising interest rates coupled with rising inflation
and increasing petrol prices are major challenges that the sector faces.
INDUSTY CAPACITY: In India, automotive is one of the largest industries showing impressive growth over the years
and has been significantly making increasing contribution to overall industrial development in
the country. Presently, India is the world's second largest manufacturer of two wheelers, fifth
largest manufacturer of commercial vehicles as well as largest manufacturer of tractors. It is
the fourth largest passenger car market in Asia as well as a home to the largest motor cycle
manufacturer. The installed capacity of the automobile sector has been 9,540,000 vehicles,
comprising 1,590,000 four wheelers (including passenger cars) and 7,950,000 two and three
wheelers. The sector has shown great advances in terms of development, spread, absorption
of newer technologies and flexibility in the wake of changing business scenario.
Major Players, market share and competitive analysis
The competitive pressures in the Indian vehicle industry continue to intensify given the
momentum with which new entrants are increasing their presence in the domestic market.
10
The strong growth prospects and growing size has attracted most manufacturers in the Indian
markets and with favourable response to multiple launches, the market share of new players
continues to rise.
According to ICRA reports incumbents will continue to derive competitive advantage on back
of their strengths in low-cost manufacturing (especially in the small car segment), established
vendor base strong brand identity and wide-spread distribution & servicing reach, such an
advantage is likely to diminish in the long-run as new players with global experience gain
brand recognition and expand their product offerings and network.
Presence in the small car segment (with superior product offerings), a spread out dealership
and servicing network and competitive pricing on back of locally sourced auto components are
going to be key factors in determining market share gains
Passenger Vehicles:
Maruti is clearly a market leader in small and mid-car segment. However, its market share has
fallen below 50% in small car segment for the first time. The credit for this goes to a slew of
cars that stormed the market at highly competitive prices from the worlds cheapest car Tata
Nano to GM beat and Hyndai i20. As can be seen from the table below, Nissan Micra,
Volkswagen Polo, Ford Figo and Tata Motors have eaten into the share of Maruti. Being the
oldest in the sector, Maruti still has an edge over other players, owing to its well established
manufacturing facilities and distribution network.
Trend in Market share in Small Car segment
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Trend In Market share in Mid-size car segment
Trend in market share in Executive car segment
Trend in market share in Premium and luxury car segment
12
Trend in Market share in UV segment
Two Wheeler segment:
There are no drastic changes in the market share of two-wheelers since Quarter 1 2010.
However, market share of Hero Motocorp has been on a rise as opposite to that of Honda
Motorcycles which is on a decline fractionally.
Commercial Vehicles:
Market share in commercial vehicle segment too does not signify any game changing events
except that of Force Motors whose share fluctuated between 16.3% to 27% from Q1 2010 to
date in LCV Passenger car segment.
13
Trend in market share in domestic M&HCV-Goods segment
Trend in market share in domestic M&HCV-Passenger segment
Trend in market share in domestic LCV- Goods segment
Trend in market share in domestic LCV-Passenger segment
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FINANCIAL ANALYSIS:
WHAT LIES AHEAD? The medium to long term outlook for the domestic CV industry remains robust, given the
expectations of strong economic activity and infrastructure development, besides the inter-
segmental shift. However, the sharp growth in volumes that was witnessed during the last 6-7
quarters may moderate to an extent in the short term. The contributing factors include,
among others; expected increase in interest rates; increase in vehicle prices following the
successive price revisions (upward) made by the manufacturers following the rise in input
material costs; and the absence of the pre-buying that happened ahead of implementation of
BS III norms. While the long-term growth prospects for the domestic automobile industry
remain favourable, pricing flexibility for the makers is likely to remain constrained mainly
because of the entry of new players in the industry and the capacity additions taking place.
Besides, the industry would also have to cope with the cost pressures arising from the
tightening of regulatory norms on safety and emission.
Over the medium term, the growth is likely to be higher in the upper end of the M&HCV
segment (that is 16T and above) and in the lower band of the LCV segment (that is less than
3.5T segment). As per ICRA reports the domestic M&HCV segment is expected to grow in the
range of 9.5%-11.5% over the next five years and the LCV segment to grow in the range of 10-
13% with growth in the (less than 3.5T) estimated to be higher at 13- 15% during the same
period.
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According to ICRA reports the entry segment volumes in the domestic market is epected to
grow at a much slower pace than the overall 2W industry and volume growth in this segment
to be driven mainly by exports. This is because the segment is no longer a key focus area of
manufacturers due to limited scope for margin expansion and high interest-rate sensitivity.
While the executive segment is expected to maintain its steady growth, competition is likely to
intensify following aggressive model refurbishment and new model launch plans. The
premium segment is expected to remain the fastest growing over the medium term, given the
strong growth in purchasing power in the hands of middle-class urbanites, especially in the
age group of 20-30 years. This should also translate into superior profit margins for players
that are stronger in the premium segment.
The passenger vehicle market size in India is now comparable to some of the developed
economies of the world and ranks seventh globally. The presence of global players,
introduction of global platforms/technologies and stricter emission norms indicate that the
market is gradually attaining maturity. A buoyant economic growth, growing middle class
population, rising disposable income levels, relatively low penetration of cars and adequate
availability of financing are likely to provide an ideal backdrop for a sustained long term
demand growth for the sector. However, with increasing interest from foreign players,
competitive intensity is likely to become a key challenge with most major markets facing
excess capacity and demand saturation, the Indian market is likely to remain a key destination
for global majors over the medium term.
With most of the international players eyeing the small car market, the competitive intensity is
expected to increase in this segment resulting in greater fragmentation of market share,
especially over the long-term. The Indian passenger vehicle industry is expected to reach 4.86
million in annual sales by FY16, representing a growth of 10.8% CAGR. With global demand
shifting to smaller cars, global players are likely focus on strategies of producing cars of the
same platforms in low-cost countries like India, Thailand and Mexico. In terms of cost
competitiveness, India has built up the scale and significant competencies and cost advantages
in the production of small cars. It benefits from lower development and labour costs, and
improving auto component manufacturing base.
Maruti Suzuki and Hyundai have already established meaningful presence in exports out of
India, and now many other global players including Renault-Nissan, VW, Ford have either
adopted strategy or are in the process of exploring opportunities to develop India as part of
their global manufacturing hub. Interestingly, China despite being known for its low-cost
16
manufacturing capabilities and large automotive market supported by presence of
international players is yet to establish a meaningful presence in exporting cars, though the
situation may change over the medium term, especially considering rising capabilities and
aspirations of its large local players. With most of the global players targeting the most
competitive, small car segment, increasing localization remains critical for OEMs to establish
profitable business given the competitive intensity in the small car segment. As a result, most
OEMs are focused on increasing localization content to reduce costs and thereby compete
with market leaders. Additionally, auto ancillaries will have to ramp-up their capital
investment as OEMs continue to develop new platforms and increase their localization
contents. Besides localisation of components, key challenges facing new entrants would be
establishing a strong service/ distribution network, which has become increasingly prohibitive
due to rising real estate costs in many markets. Going forward sharing and co-operation on
distribution network and service facilities could play a significant role in rationalising cost
structures. In terms of product launch, while most global majors are likely to choose from their
existing portfolio for launch in India, key to success would be the ability to incorporate
changes necessary to meet Indian preferences and market conditions.
RECOMMENDED READING:
Websites : siamindia.com , acmainfo.com,
Research reports: ICRA, Ernst & Young Auto Track, CRISIL.
COMPANY PROFILES
Hero MotoCorp:
Hero MotoCorp Ltd. (Formerly Hero Honda Motors Ltd.) is the world's largest manufacturer of
two - wheelers, based in India. In 2001, the company achieved the coveted position of being
the largest two-wheeler manufacturing company in India and also, the 'World No.1' two-
wheeler company in terms of unit volume sales in a calendar year. Hero MotoCorp Ltd.
continues to maintain this position till date.
Operating Profit Margins (OPM): Hero MotoCorp’s OPM declined to 14.4% in Q1, 2011-
12, lower by 37 basis points (bps) QoQ in the wake of commodity price escalation which could
not be fully neutralized through price increases; even as the margins during the quarter were
17
150 bps higher on a YoY basis. However, excluding the company’s estimated royalty payments
to HMC till Q3, 2010-11, HHML’s OPM in Q1, 2011-12 was 228 bps lower even on a YoY basis.
This highlights the adverse impact of commodity price movement on the company’s profit
margins over the last several quarters, mirroring the declining margin trend for the
automobile industry in general.
Net Profits: Hero MotoCorp’s Q1, 2011-12 PAT at Rs. 557.9 Crore grew by 11.2% QoQ and
13.5% YoY. Still, the company’s PAT was lower than the highs achieved in 2009-10 particularly
due to the benign raw material price scenario prevailing during that period.
Products: Achiever, CBZ Extreme, CD Dawn, CD Deluxe, Glamour, Hunk, Karizma, Passion,
Pleasure, Splendour
Bajaj Auto:
The Bajaj Group is amongst the top 10 business houses in India. Its footprint stretches over a
wide range of industries, spanning automobiles (two-wheelers and three-wheelers), home
appliances, lighting, iron and steel, insurance, travel and finance. The group's flagship
company, Bajaj Auto, is ranked as the world's fourth largest two- and three- wheeler
manufacturer and the Bajaj brand is well-known across several countries in Latin America,
Africa, Middle East, South and South East Asia. Founded in 1926, at the height of India's
movement for independence from the British, the group has an illustrious history. The
integrity, dedication, resourcefulness and determination to succeed which are characteristic of
the group today, are often traced back to its birth during those days of relentless devotion to a
common cause. Jamnalal Bajaj, founder of the group, was a close confidant and disciple of
Mahatma Gandhi. In fact, Gandhiji had adopted him as his son. This close relationship and his
deep involvement in the independence movement did not leave Jamnalal Bajaj with much
time to spend on his newly launched business venture.
His son, Kamalnayan Bajaj, then 27, took over the reins of business in 1942. He too was close
to Gandhiji and it was only after Independence in 1947, that he was able to give his full
attention to the business. Kamalnayan Bajaj not only consolidated the group, but also
diversified into various manufacturing activities. The present Chairman of the group, Rahul
Bajaj, took charge of the business in 1965. Under his leadership, the turnover of the Bajaj Auto
the flagship company has gone up from INR.72 million to INR. 120 billion, its product portfolio
has expanded and the brand has found a global market. He is one of India’s most distinguished
18
business leaders and internationally respected for his business acumen and entrepreneurial
spirit.
Operating Profit Margins (OPM): Although there was a marked increase in Bajaj Auto’s
Raw Material Expenses as a proportion of Revenues during Q1, 2011-12, the decline in the
company’s OPM was not as sharp. The company’s OPM declined to 19.1% in Q1, 2011-12,
lower by 73 bps QoQ and 9 bps YoY contributed by commodity price escalation. However,
Bajaj Auto’s higher sales volumes, focus on higher-end motorcycles and greater proportion of
3W sales (which are more profitable relative to 2W) allowed it to largely neutralize the input
cost headwinds. While the company management’s outlook on exports remains robust with its
focus on African and South-East Asian markets, the company’s ability to sustain its margins
would hinge on its pricing strategy post discontinuation of DEPB benefits after September
2011.
Net Profits: The healthy OPBITDA growth recorded by Bajaj Auto in Q1, 2011-12 also
translated into a strong PAT growth which increased to Rs. 711.1 Crore, reflecting a growth of
20.5% YoY
Products:
Two Wheelers: Avenger 220 DTS-I, Pulsar 135 LS, Pulsar 220 DTS-I, Pulsar 180 DTS-I,
Pulsar 150 DTS-I, Discover 150, Discover 125, Discover 100, Platina 125, Platina 100 cc,
Ninja 250R, Ninja 650R
Commercial Vehicles: GC Max Diesel, GC Max CNG, RE600, RE 2S, RE4S, Mega Max
Maruti Suzuki:
Maruti Suzuki is India and Nepal's number one leading automobile manufacturer and the
market leader in the car segment, both in terms of volume of vehicles sold and revenue
earned. Until recently, 18.28% of the company was owned by the Indian government, and
54.2% by Suzuki of Japan. The BJP-led government held an initial public offering of 25% of the
company in June 2003. As of 10 May 2007, Govt. of India sold its complete share to Indian
financial institutions. With this, Govt. of India no longer has stake in Maruti Udyog.
19
Maruti Udyog Limited (MUL) was established in February 1981, though the actual production
commenced in 1983 with the Maruti 800, based on the Suzuki Alto kei car which at the time
was the only modern car available in India, its only competitors- the Hindustan
Ambassador and Premier Padmini were both around 25 years out of date at that point.
Through 2004, Maruti Suzuki has produced over 5 Million vehicles. Maruti Suzukis are sold in
India and various several other countries, depending upon export orders. Models similar to
Maruti Suzukis (but not manufactured by Maruti Udyog) are sold by Suzuki Motor
Corporation and manufactured in Pakistan and other South Asian countries
Operating results and profits:
MSIL’s operating income grew by 2.6% on YoY basis in Q1FY12 driven 4.0% improvement in
realisations even as volumes declined by 0.6% during the quarter. Driven by weakening
underlying demand and shutdown at Manesar, the company’s domestic volumes grew
marginally by 3.2% during the quarter, while export sales declined on back of slowdown in
demand from European markets
Despite rising input material prices, the company maintained its OPBDIT margins at 9.5% on
YoY basis driven by cost containment measures; improvement in realizations (price hike &
impact of higher diesel car sales), lower royalty outgo and selling & distribution spend. The
company’s net profit grew by 18.0% to Rs. 549 crore on back of higher non-operating income.
Products: Maruti 800, Alto, Omni, Gypsy, Estilo, WagonR, Eeco, A-star, Ritz, Swift, SX4,
Dzire, Grand Vitara
Mahindra and Mahindra
In 1947, Mahindra’s introduced India to the utility vehicle. More than 65 years later, they are
still India's premier utility vehicle (UV) company, at the same time they have also grown quite
a bit. In addition to making groundbreaking UVs like the Scorpio and Bolero, Mahindra offers
cars, pickups, and commercial vehicles that are rugged, reliable, environmentally friendly, and
fuel-efficient. Their global presence means you can find Mahindra vehicles on the roads—both
paved and unpaved—of Australia, Europe, Latin America, Malaysia, and South Africa.
Operating results and profits:
Net income of the Company grew by 26.60% to Rs. 23,803 crores in the year under review
from Rs.18,801 crores in the previous year. Consequent to this remarkable performance, the
20
Profit for the year before Depreciation, Interest, Exceptional items and Taxation recorded an
increase of 19.37% at Rs. 3,766 crores as against Rs. 3,155 crores in the previous year.
Similarly, Profit after tax clocked an increase of 27.51% at Rs. 2,662 crores as against Rs. 2,088
crores in the previous year.
Products:
Passenger Vehicles: Bolero, REVA Electric Cars, Scorpio, Thar, Verito, Xylo, Actyon,
Actyon Sports, Chairman W, Korando, Kyron Rexton II, Rodius
Commercial Vehicles:, Alfa, Gio, Mahindra Navistar Trucks, Bolero Maxi Truck, Genio,
Loadking, Maxximo, Tourister Buses
Tata Motors:
Established in 1945, Tata Motors' presence indeed cuts across the length and breadth of India.
Over 5.9 million Tata vehicles ply on Indian roads. The Company's manufacturing base in India
is spread across Jamshedpur (Jharkhand), Pune (Maharashtra), Lucknow (Uttar Pradesh),
Pantnagar (Uttarakhand), Sanand (Gujarat) and Dharwad (Karnataka). Following a strategic
alliance with Fiat in 2005, it has set up an industrial joint venture with Fiat Group Automobiles
at Ranjangaon (Maharashtra) to produce both Fiat and Tata cars and Fiat powertrains. The
Company's dealership, sales, services and spare parts network comprises over 3500 touch
points; Tata Motors also distributes and markets Fiat branded cars in India.
OPERATING RESULTS AND PROFITS:
The Company recorded a turnover of Rs.52,136 crores, a growth of 35.9% over the previous
year. While the Company maintained a strong focus on cost control and market
pricing, the increase in raw -material cost and fixed marketing expenses resulted in a lower
EBITDA margin of 9.9% as compared to 11.7% in the previous year. The Profit Before Tax and
Profit After Tax for 2010-11 was Rs.2,197 crores and Rs.1,812 crores respectively, as compared
to Rs.2,830 crores and Rs.2,240 crores in the previous year. It may be noted that the previous
year Profit included a net positive impact of Rs.958 crores, mainly on account of Profit on
certain divestments which was partly set off by a loss on redemption of preference shares in a
subsidiary company.
21
Jaguar Land Rover results for 2010-11 showed a significant improvement with increase, both
in volumes and revenue, better product mix, favourable exchange rates and higher margins.
The introduction of the new Jaguar XJ, growing momentum of the Range Rover and Range
Rover Sport and, in particular, the strengthening of the Jaguar Land Rover business in China,
where it opened a National Sales Company (NSC) in mid 2010, were the main drivers. In
addition, Jaguar Land Rover continued to benefit from cost efficiencies and effective cash
Management initiatives adopted in response to the challenging operating conditions in 2008
and 2009.
As the global markets recovered coupled with a strong focus on product and market
initiatives, particularly at Jaguar and Land Rover, the Tata Motors Group turnover in 2010-11
grew by 33.1% to Rs.1,23,133 crores. Tata Motors Group recorded its highest ever
Consolidated Profit Before Tax of Rs.10,437 crores (Rs.3,523 crores in 2009-10) and the
Consolidated Profit for the Year of Rs.9,274 crores (Rs.2,571 crores in 2009-10).
Products: Nano, Indica, Vista, Manza, Indigo, Xenon XT, Aria, Sumo, Safari, Grande,
Venture, Land Rover Freelander, Land Rover Discovery, Range Rover, Jaguar XJ, , Jaguar
XF, Jaguar XK
22
BANKING SECTOR
INTRODUCTION Banking in general terms is the business activity of accepting and safeguarding money owned
by other individuals and entities, and then lending out this money in order to earn a profit. A
strong banking sector is a must for any economy to flourish be it developing or developed.
Origin and Evolution
In India, an informal system of banking has prevailed since ancient times wherein wealthy
businessmen would act as depositories and lenders to the general public. The remittance of
money through Hundies, an indigenous credit instrument, was very popular. The Hundies were
issued by bankers known as Shroffs, Sahukars, Shahus or Mahajans in different parts of the
country. However, organised commercial banking as we know it today originated in the last
decades of the 18th century after the establishment of the Rule of East India Company. The first
banks were The General Bank of India, which started in 1786, and Bank of Hindustan, which
started in 1790. Later on the East India Company established Bank of Bengal (1809), Bank of
Bombay (1840) and Bank of Madras (1843) as independent units and called them Presidency
Banks. During the second half of the 19th century the presidency banks dominated banking in
India but there were also some exchange banks and a number of Indian joint stock banks. Of
the total deposits of Rs 3146 lakh in 1900, the share of these types of banks were respectively
40.94%, 33.38% and 25.68%. The slow growth rate of the banking business till the beginning of
the present century was due to a) a high rate of failure of banks, because most of them had
been created in speculative rush; b) stagnant economic conditions during this period; c) a
decline in prices; and d) the passing of the Currency Act1861, which took away the power of
banks to issue notes.
During the first half of the 20th century, the banking system progressed rapidly. The deposits
increased from Rs 82 crore in 1910 to Rs 957 crore in 1948. Except during the depression of the
1930s, the rate of economic progress was quite high in this period. The world wars contributed
to raising the level of economic activity and monetary resources in the economy. In 1921 the
three presidency banks were amalgamated to form the Imperial Bank of India (IBI). Although
the IBI functioned as quasi-central bank, India did not have an official central bank till 1935
when the Reserve Bank of India was established as the central bank of the country.
The RBI (Reserve Bank of India) was established in 1935 as the Central Bank of the Country.
Still banking activity continued in India in a largely unregulated manner. The banks were mostly
joint stock and concentrated on providing financial assistance to certain factions or ethnic
23
groups. The partition of India in 1947 adversely impacted the economies of Punjab and West
Bengal, paralyzing banking activities for months. India's independence marked the end of a
regime of the Laissez-faire for the Indian banking. The Government of India initiated measures
to play an active role in the economic life of the nation, and the Industrial Policy Resolution
adopted by the government in 1948 envisaged a mixed economy. This resulted into greater
involvement of the state in different segments of the economy including banking and finance.
The Reserve Bank of India was nationalised on January 1, 1949 through the RBI Act 1948 which
empowered it “to regulate, control, and inspect the banks in India" and no new bank or
branch could be opened without a license from the RBI.
Despite the provisions, control and regulations of Reserve Bank of India, banks in India except
the State Bank of India or SBI, continued to be owned and operated by private persons. By the
1960s, the Indian banking industry had become an important tool to facilitate the
development of the Indian economy. The Government of India issued an ordinance and
nationalised the 14 largest commercial banks with effect from the midnight of July 19, 1969
each bank with deposits of 50 crore or more. Later the Government Nationalized six more
commercial private sector banks with deposit liability of not less than Rs. 200 crores on 15th
April 1980. With nationalization the Government of India controlled around 91% of the
banking business of India.
Post Nationalisation
The performance of the banking sector since nationalisation has been impressive, however by
1990 it was realised that this performance was nowhere near sufficient enough to meet the
needs of the economy. Development oriented policy of the RBI for the nationalised banks
completely eroded their profitability. Some recommendations were made by the Chakravarty
Committee in 1985 to address this issue however, the government lacking initiative did not
carry out these measures. The Narsimham Committee Report 1991 argued that the directed
investment and directed credit programmes together with mounting expenditures were
responsible for the fact that Non Performing Loans as a percentage of total advances as well
as total assets were very high and many banks had lost their financial viability by the end of
1980s.
The major reforms suggested by the Narsimham Committee 1991 included a) discouraging use
of Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR) and Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) as economic policy
enforcement measures; b) reducing priority sector lending mandate to 10% of aggregate bank
credit; c) freeing interest rates and allowing market forces to determine them; and d) allowing
24
banks greater autonomy and making them realise that the environment was becoming
challenging and they needed to redefine their position within the financial industry. To
improve their risk absorption capacity Indian banks were directed to follow the Capital
Adequacy Norms suggested by the Basel committee in 1992. Another spate of reforms was
proposed by the Committee on the Banking Sector Reforms in 1998 which emphasised the
need for a stronger banking system especially in the context of capital account convertibility
which would involve large capital inflows and outflows. It also advised raising of the prescribed
capital adequacy ratio limit to manage risk better and setting up of an Asset Reconstruction
Fund to bad debts of banks.
OVERVIEW OF INDIA’S BANKING SECTOR Banking and financial system of a country plays an important role in promoting the long term
growth of the economy. A weak banking sector not only jeopardizes the long-term
sustainability of an economy, it can also be a trigger for a financial crisis which can lead to
economic crises. An underdeveloped or ill functioning banking system can not only distress the
credit portfolio of the country and cause a general slowdown of the economic activities but
can also spill-over and have a contagion effect on other countries in the region or the whole
world considering the current level of global integration.
Macro and Micro Environment
Global financial markets witnessed turbulent conditions during the most part of 2007-08 as
losses on US sub-prime mortgage loans escalated into widespread financial stress, raising fears
about stability of banks and other financial institutions. According to estimates of the CIA
world factbook, real GDP growth has decelerated from 5.2 per cent in 2007 to 3.1 per cent in
2008 and further to -0.7 per cent in 2009.
In the face of slowing down of the global economy in 2007-08, India and China remained the
main drivers of global growth backed by strong productivity gains and progressive integration
into the global economy. The Indian financial sector remained resilient and functioning,
despite some volatility. There was no material stress on the balance sheets of banks and non-
banking financial companies on account of toxic financial instruments. There were no solvency
issues with any of the financial institutions requiring direct financial support from the
Government. Banking as an industry is also affected by global investor sentiment, which has
taken a beating in most of the major markets of the world. ‘Credit risk’ is the new buzz word of
economies world-wide. Concerns about sovereign credit risk have also intensified in the light
25
of the fiscal woes of Greece and some other Euro zone nations.
Advanced economies are facing challenges in tackling high
public debt which may not be addressed with just unwinding of
existing stimulus measures. Spill-over effects of these concerns
have already manifested themselves in increased sovereign
credit spreads with knock-on effects on other asset
classes. Shortening of the maturity profiles of bank liabilities
during the crisis has created large refinancing needs during the
coming few years. International banks will need to take
advantage of every opportunity to lengthen the maturity profile
of their liabilities and to diversify their liability structure to
include more customer deposits.
The Indian banking sector is adequately capitalised, the
dominant component being loss absorbing common equity. In
fact, the migration to Basel II (Standardised Approach for credit
and market risk and Basic Indicator Approach for operational
risk) resulted in an increase in the capital adequacy ratio of the
banking system, on similar lines good things can be expected of
BASEL III. Credit quality continues to remain robust. The share
of low cost current and savings account deposits in total
deposits is high. Banks are required to hold a minimum
percentage of their liabilities in risk free government securities.
This, to a large extent, takes care of liquidity and solvency
issues.
At the micro level the Reserve Bank of India as the apex
financial institution is the biggest influencer of banking
operations. The high CPI of 12.4 for the year 2008-09 was
anything but an anomaly and has lead to a dedicated tight money policy on RBI’s behalf. Since
21st April 2010 the repo and the reverse repo rates have been hiked 11 times each time
crushing the supply of liquidity with the banks. The banks have been forced to raise deposit
rates to get their hands on more funds. Especially with the government’s current resolve to
control inflation there doesn’t seem to be any relief for banks in the near future.
Evolving Institu-
tional Frame-
work for Finan-
cial Stability
Preserving financial stability over the long term requires implementing care-fully designed framework that is effec-
tive and gains public support over time.
In India The Securities and Insurance Laws (Amendment and Validation) Bill
was passed in August 2010, enabling the Government to constitute an apex Fi-
nancial Stability and Development Council (FSDC) headed by the Finance
Minister for the purpose of nstitutional-izing the mechanism for maintaining financial stability and resolving inter-
regulatory disputes. A sub- committee of the Council with the mandate to look
after financial stability and inter-regulatory coordination would be
headed by the Reserve Bank Governor. The subcommittee would be the first
stop for resolving any disagreement among regulators.
Source- RBI report on trends in global banking.
26
MAJOR SUB-SEGMENTS If recent statistics on consumer finance are any indication, the last few years have been trend
setting. The traditional debt-averse, middle-class Indians who lived within their thrifty means,
never to venture beyond their means, seem to have given way to a new middle-class that is
free from all inhibitions regarding conspicuous consumption. Major product segments of retail
credit include housing finance, auto finance, personal loans, consumer durable loan and credit
cards to name a few.
Total banking credit stood at close to Rs. 39 trillion as on March 25, 2011 and reported a
strong 21.4% growth in 2010-11, led by credit to the infrastructure sector and to NBFCs. In
2011-12, although the pace of credit growth has been subdued in the first two months (up
just 0.2% from March 2011 levels), it is in line with the pattern noticed in the previous years
(0.1% in 2010-11 and 0.4% in 2009-10). The credit portfolio composition of Indian scheduled
commercial banks is given below.
During 2010-11, the infrastructure sector, particularly power, and NBFCs were the key drivers
of the credit growth achieved by the banking sector. Credit to the power sector reported a
growth of 43%, while other infrastructure credit grew by 34% during 2010-11, against an
overall credit growth of 21%. As in March 2011, the infrastructure sector (including power)
accounted for 14% of the total credit portfolio of banks. Within the power sector, historically
banks have been taking exposure to State power utilities as well as independent power
producers (IPPs). Going forward, with many banks approaching the exposure cap on lending to
the power sector and given the concerns hovering over the prospects of the sector itself, the
pace of growth of credit to this segment could slow down. However, in the short to medium
term, the undisbursed sanctions to power projects are likely to provide for a moderate
growth.
As for bank credit to NBFCs, the same increased by 55% in 2010-11 and accounted for around
5% of the banks‟ total credit portfolio as in March 2011. Moreover, around half of this went to
infrastructure related entities, and the rest mainly to NBFCs engaged in retail financing. Most
of the NBFCs are focused on secured assets classes, have reported low NPA percentages, and
are well-capitalised.
Housing loan sub-segment Banks are increasing their dominance in housing finance and capturing the market share of the
housing finance companies. During 2004-05, the market share of banks stood at 62%, against
the 33% by Housing finance companies; Rs2-5 lakh margins constitutes almost a third of the
27
loan size. All the players in this market are adopting an aggressive attitude and the housing
loan availability is playing into the players hands. Despite this phenomenal growth in India, the
housing loan as a percentage of GDP at 4.91% indicates low penetration when compared to
other countries like Malaysia (17%) and Thailand (9%). But again this coupled with the
population growth indicates good future prospects.
Car loan sub-segment Following the housing loans, it is the auto loan which is also giving the growth of retail credit
the necessary boost. In Asia Pacific, India has emerged as the third largest market for cars and
MUVs i.e. only after Japan and China. Low interest rates, easy finance, up-gradation of rider
from two- wheeler to 4-wheeler and opening up of second hand car finance are growth drivers
of this segment.
Consumer Durable loan sub-segment The consumer durable loan follows the auto loan market in the third position. Metro centres
continue to dominate the market with 29% of total retail credit, closely followed by the rural
market at 27% of total retail market. Urban and Semi Urban centres contribute around 22%
each. The rural market uprising is a recent phenomenon, which has immense growth
potential. While private sector banks have dominance in metropolitan areas, nationalized
banks have their hold in the urban and semi-urban areas. The rural areas are dominated by RRBs.
Education loan sub-segment The last few years have witnessed a high increase in students aspiring for management and
professional courses, leading to a spurt in educational loans. Banks are now having a direct tie-
up with the educational institutions to cash in on the opportunity. Public sector banks (PSBs)
are more focused on the educational loans segment.
TRENDS AND RECENT PERFORMANCE Historically, the banking sector’s credit portfolio has been growing at over 20% per annum
over the last several years (except in 2009-10, when the growth rate moderated to 17% mainly
because of the decline in ICICI Bank’s credit portfolio). Over the years, credit growth has
outpaced deposits growth; the credit portfolio reported a CAGR of 24% over the last eight
years, while deposits achieved a CAGR of 19% and the investment portfolio of 14% over the
same period. The higher growth in credit could be achieved because of the slower growth in
investments and the increase in capital. In 2010-11, while deposits growth for SCBs slowed
down to 17%, credit growth was maintained at 21% with the growth in investments being just
28
13%. The higher credit growth versus deposits growth led to an increase in the credit deposits
ratio (CD ratio) from 72.2% as in March 2010 to 75.7% as in March 2011, although the CD ratio
moderated to 74.2% as on May 27, 2011, largely because of the slow credit growth in
comparison with deposits during the first two months of 2011-12.
Trend in Growth of Bank Assets
In the banking system, historically, there has been a positive correlation between growth in
deposits base and increase in interest rates; periods with high interest rates have seen
relatively high deposits growth, as in a high interest rate regime bank fixed deposits become
more attractive than many other instruments. At present, it appears that given the outlook on
interest rates, banks may be able to mobilise retail deposits at a higher pace in 2011-12 than
in the previous year. In 2010-11, according to ICRA‟s estimates, the overall deposits of private
banks increased by 22%, while that of PSBs increased by 18%. Within deposits, low cost
deposits (CASA, current and saving accounts) increased by 27% for private sector banks, and
by 15% for PSBs. CASA deposits represented 41% of the total deposits for private banks, and
for a lower 33% for PSBs. For banks, having significant low cost deposits (CASA) as a
proportion of total deposits could help them keep their cost of funds under control even in a
scenario of rising interest rates in the system.
DRIVERS OF GROWTH The demand drivers for banking services can be broadly classified into the following heads:
29
Market Dynamics According to a study conducted by FICCI, the penetration of banking services stands at 35% in
India, which is much lesser than other countries. Thus, with the background of lower
penetration level when compared to other developing/developed nations, India has a
significant potential for improvement given the vibrant economy. According to Ernst & Young,
Banks aim at achieving a penetration level of 74% and 81.5% in 2013 and 2018 respectively.
Financial inclusion is the next big thing when it comes to Indian financial services. Truly there
does lie a fortune at the bottom of the pyramid. Out of six lakh villages only 30,000 have
commercial bank branches and that too with a very much skewed distribution as there are less
than three branches per 100sq.km. To address this banks have started following a ‘life cycle’
approach which starts with offering deposit products like savings bank accounts and extends
to credit products for earning one’s livelihood or improving standard of living. Banks are
developing a ‘Mobile bank’ facility under which an authorised vehicle with officials of a
particular bank, reaches a particular village at particular time and offers services like deposits
and withdrawal. Under ‘Financial Inclusion’ programme of RBI plans are afoot to cover all
villages through mobile banking by 2015.
The recent turmoil in the Microfinance sector has thrown another opportunity towards banks
to carry forward financial inclusion by appointing Business Correspondents (BCs) in villages. A
recent decision by RBI to allow banks to appoint corporates as BCs will help the banks in
providing better stability and continuity of services than through individual BCs due to the
organisational skill, financial resources and strong retail networks of corporates.
Mergers and Acquisitions are also being seen as a way ahead for Banks to unlock their full
potential. Consolidation through mergers and acquisitions are being done reduce the
operating cost of banks which has increased at an annual growth rate of 21% during 2008.
On the international front, deregulation of key sectors and easing of international trade
barriers has to led to increasing trade between India and the world. Exports grew at a rate of
36.4% and imports at 61.6% in Q1 of the year 2010-11. Growth of trade is bound to be a major
driver of growth for the banking sector.
Technology Technology has proven to be an important growth factor for the banking industry. Besides the
low level of penetration another driver for the growth of banking industry in India is the
growing number of internet users. Banks have identified net-banking as the area where they
need to build their expertise in order to keep up with the expectations of their increasingly net
30
-savvy customers. Banks have to provide low-cost and convenient banking services to their
customers especially if they want to hang on to the huge consumer base which is expected to
grow to 120 million households by 2020. Number of consumers who use non-traditional
banking services such a net banking, mobile and phone banking, ATM / Credit cards etc is
increasing day by day. Banks like ICICI are adopting six-sigma to reduce the transaction time to
almost one third of the current transaction time.
In addition to the computerization of their front-office operations, the banks have moved
towards back-office centralization. Banks are also implementing “Core Banking” or
“Centralized Banking”, which provides connectivity between branches and helps offer a large
number of value-added products, benefiting a larger number of customers. A number of banks
have joined together in small clusters to share their ATM networks.
According to PricewaterhouseCoopers, banking sector spends about 46% of its technology
budget in business continuity, 32% for adding product functionality and new products and the
remaining 22% in technology which can change the business process.
Household Savings Bank deposits have been the mainstay of the saving process in the Indian economy and banks
have played an increasingly important role in stepping up the financial savings rate. Physical
savings, nevertheless, have tended to grow in tandem with the financial savings. The salaries
in India have seen a 13-14 per cent growth in recent years and the number of millionaires in
India has crossed the 100,000 mark. All these things point to more money in the hands of
people which needs to be managed well.
The table below shows that household savings have been growing healthily over the past
years thus giving banks an enormous opportunity to attract deposits and increase their
reserves.
Changes in Deposits of Household Sector (at current prices)
31
Source- RBI
CHALLENGES While banks in India face a huge market and untapped potential, the changing economic,
social and political conditions pose major challenges before them as well.
With the popularization of online banking, low-cost banking is no longer a technology
challenge but more of an HR challenge. Manning new bank branches is one of the highest cost
components of setting up a new branch for a bank, especially Public sector banks. Besides it
has become important for banks to fill the competency gap between their employees and the
expectations of customers profitably to maintain their market shares in a fast and dynamic
scene.
Year Bank deposits Non-banking deposits
1990-91 18777 1286
1991-92 17848 2218
1992-93 29518 6035
1993-94 36236 11654
1994-95 55835 11547
1995-96 39941 13198
1996-97 50902 25980
1997-98 74099 6733
1998-99 79433 7670
1999-00 82892 3844
2000-01 94703 6911
2001-02 112936 7912
2002-03 123462 8788
2003-04 141967 3803
2004-05 158259 3370
2005-06 274864 6130
2006-07 311347 1516
2007-08 360993 3751
2008-09 409811 13453
32
Deregulation and easing of entry norms have made it easy for foreign players to enter India
which poses a threat to Indian Banks. The threat of mergers and megamergers of foreign
banks hangs over Indian banks perpetually but even without megamergers foreign banks have
the potential to improve their market share given their use of sophisticated technology and
capability of introducing innovative products.
Asset Quality Stress: Liquidity shortage faced by small and leveraged companies might
translate into a solvency crisis and uncertainty on personal incomes of the borrower has
increased the risk of banks. With greater deposits and credit portfolios over the years Non
Performing Assets of banks have increased as well. The increasing inflation and the stress it puts on
the repaying capacity of people is bound to adversely affect the performance of banks.
Non-Performing Assets of Banks - Sector-wise
33
KEY PLAYERS The Indian financial sector (including banks, non-banking financial companies, or NBFCs, and
housing finance companies, or HFCs) reported a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of
19% over the last three years and their credit portfolio stood at close to Rs. 49 trillion (around
62% of 2010-11 GDP) as on March 31, 2011. Banks accounted for nearly 86% of the total
credit, NBFCs for around 10%, and HFCs for around 4%. Within banks, public sector banks
(PSBs), on the strength of their country-wide presence, continued to be the leader, accounting
for around 76% of the total credit portfolio.
While the Indian banking sector features a large number of players competing against each
other, the top 10 banks accounted for a significant 57% share of the total credit as on March
31, 2011.
Name of the Bank Priority Sector NPAs
Of which, Agricul-ture
Of which, Small Scale Industries
Of which, Others Public Sector NPAs
Non-Priority Sector NPAs
Total NPAs
Amount Per cent to total
Amount Per cent to total
Amount Per cent to total
Amount Per cent to total
Amount Per cent to total
Amount Per cent to total
Amount 15 = (3+ 11+13)
Public Sec-tor Banks 30,848 53.8 8,330 14.5 11,537 20.1 10,981 19.2 524 0.9 25,929 45.3
57,301
Nationalised Banks 19,908 56.1 5,741 16.2 8,668 24.4 5,499 15.5 280 0.8 15,283 43.1
35,470
Private Sec-tor Banks 4,792 27.6 2,023 11.6 1,139 6.6 1,630 9.4 - - 12,592 72.4
17,384
Foreign Banks 1170 16.4 - - 299 4.2 871 12.2 - - 5956 83.6 7,125
34
State Bank of India (SBI)
SBI is India’s Largest Bank which is majorly owned by the Government. The Company has a
number of subsidiaries and has been a market outperformer in recent times. It achieved
revenues of $22 Billion. The SBI has 7 subsidiaries of which 2 have been merged and 5 remain:
State Bank of Bikaner Jaipur
State Bank of Hyderabad
State Bank of Mysore
State Bank of Patiala
State Bank of Travancore
35
Key Financial Indicators of SBI
ICICI Bank
It is the largest Indian Private Bank with operations in all Financial Services Sectors. The
Company faced a bad time during the Lehman downturn but has recovered well. It achieved
revenues of $12.5 Billion. ICICI Bank is also strong in almost all sectors of the financial industry
and has one of the strongest management teams in the country. Like HDFC Bank majority of
the shareholding for ICICI bank is with foreign investors. The company which overextended
itself in the 2007-2008 boom, has now reduced the size of its risky segments and is again back
on the growth trajectory.
Key Financial Ratios of ICICI Bank
HDFC Bank
HDFC Bank like Axis Bank has shown remarkable growth in the last few years. It was founded
by India’s largest housing finance company HDFC and has assets of around $22 billion. It is one
of the best rated banks in terms of service quality and growth.
The bank at present has an enviable network of 535 branches spread over 312 cities across the
country. All branches of the bank are linked on an online real time basis. Its customers in 189
March '11 March '10 Growth
Deposits 3,68,283 3,18,580 1560.00%
Capital Adequacy Ratio 11.98 13.39 -10.5%
Advances / Loans Funds(%) 77.19 74.22 4.0%
Credit Deposit Ratio 79.9 75.96 5.2%
Investment Deposit Ratio 33.45 36.33 -7.9%
March '11 March '10
Capital Adequacy Ratio 19.54 19.41
Advances / Loans Funds(%) 64.96 58.57
Credit Deposit Ratio 87.81 90.04
Investment Deposit Ratio 59.77 53.28
36
locations are also serviced through phone banking. The banks expansion plans take into account
the need to have a presence in all major industrial and commercial centres where its corporate
customers are located as well as the need to build a strong retail customer base for both
deposits and loans products. Being a clearing settlement bank to various leading stock
exchanges, the bank has branches in centres where the NSE/BSE have a strong and active
member base.
Key Financial Ratios of HDFC Bank
AXIS Bank
Axis Bank has been the best performing private bank along with HDFC Bank showing excellent
growth in top-line and bottom-line. The Bank has been expanding into insurance and investment
banking. It recently acquired Enam to this end. Axis Bank was formerly UTI Bank that began its
operations in 1994. The Bank was promoted jointly by UTI, LIC and other state owned general
insurers.
The bank operates 827 branches and extension counters, as on 31 March 2009. Axis Bank has
operations in 29 States and 3 Union Territories in India. The bank has a network of 3595 ATM
machines and is the third largest ATM network provider in India.
Key Financial Ratios of Axis Bank
March '11 March '10
Deposits (in Rs crore) 2,22,980.50 1,80,320.10
Capital Adequacy Ratio 16.22 17.44
Advances / Loans Funds(%) 79.34 77.24
Credit Deposit Ratio 76.02 72.44
Investment Deposit Ratio 34.45 37.85
March '11 March '10 Growth
Deposits (in Rs crore) 1,89,237.80 1,41,300.22 33.9%
Capital Adequacy Ratio 12.65 15.8 -19.9%
Advances / Loans Funds(%) 76.16 72.96 4.4%
Credit Deposit Ratio 74.65 71.87 3.9%
Investment Deposit Ratio 38.71 39.55 -2.1%
37
INTRODUCTION Fast Moving Consumer goods (FMCG) are alternatively known as consumer packaged goods
(CPG). These products that have a quick turnover, are relatively low cost, are generally
consumed on a regular basis, and are replaced within a year as compared to durable goods
which are replaced over a period of years. FMCG sector has a market size of USD 29 bn
roughly and is poised to become a USD 47 bn industry by 2013 and USD 74 bn by 2018,
growing annually at 10-12%. The FMCG industry is the fourth largest sector in the Indian
economy. Its principal segments are Household Care, Personal Care and Food & Beverages
with the food segment being the largest consumption segment occupying 43% of total FMCG
share. Of this, the health beverage industry is valued at USD 230 million and semi-processed/
ready-to-eat food segment is over $1.1 billion. With food and food products showing largest
portion of Indian consumer’s spending - more than 31% share of wallet, the future prospects
of food and beverage segment seem positive.
Key Products in Food and Beverages Category
HISTORY OF FMCG INDUSTRY IN INDIA:
Origin Today what we call as fast moving consumer goods industry was initially kick started by Dabur
some 115 years ago much before MNC’s came in the scene in the Indian market. But it was
with the advent of multinational companies in India that FMCG sector started evolving. After
gaining independence from the early fifties MNC’s were allowed to operate in India with only
Hindustan Lever having a manufacturing base in India. Indian market at that time had small
urban-driven demand and was cumbersome with complex regulatory policies of government
Category
Products
Food and Beverages
Health beverages; soft drinks; staples/cereals/bakery products (biscuits, bread, cakes); snack food; chocolates; ice cream; tea; coffee; soft drinks; processed fruits; vegetables; dairy products; meat & poultry; bottled wa-ter; branded flour; branded rice; branded sugar; juices etc.
FMCG Food &
Beverages
38
which prevented most of the global companies from setting their manufacturing base in India,
e.g. Colgate and Nestle were there but they were mainly into trading.
Growth & Evolution
In the sixties though the Indian market was still plagued by the protectionist regulatory
environment many MNCs started setting up their manufacturing base in India. It was in 1978
that the new government specified several product categories for the small-scale sector. The
MNCs were then asked to choose between slashing their equity to 40% or leave. As a result
IBM and Coca Cola quit India. Only Unilever stayed put with HLL around. In the food products
category there were only three major players – Pillsbury, Annapurna and Captain Cook. During
this time Indian FMCG industry was witnessing lopsided growth as most MNCs were
unrepresented, were largely dominated by unorganised players, were not able to penetrate in
the rural market and suffered from high product prices driven by high costs of manufacturing,
distribution and taxation and so started drifting away from Indian market.
The Dramatic Nineties In 1991 the economic reforms of Liberalization, Privatisation and Globalisation gave a huge
facelift to Indian FMCG sector. It led to rise in income levels of consumer thereby
spearheading and pushing up the demand for goods and creating a huge market. It was also
the same time that market for FMCG had stagnated in Europe and US and the focus of FMCG
companies thereby shifted to developing markets. In the post reform era it became relatively
easy to set up business in India leading to increased investment and participation from MNC’s.
The Indian FMCG industry changed dramatically with increase in product offerings, emergence
of customer centric culture and with rise of competition among companies to grab a larger
share of market. Categories within categories were created and companies started looking for
ways to expand their product portfolios making acquisitions the order of the day. HLL for
instance unleashed brands and in just four years gobbled up Tomco, Kwality and Kissan. Also it
became imperative for companies to connect with more and more consumers to know their
preferences in terms of taste and price to offer more localized products. It seemed that the
excitement had just begun in the Indian FMCG industry.
39
CURRENT STATE:
Macro and Micro Environment Food Inflation – During the week ended July 20 on the back of costlier onions, fruits,
vegetables food inflation surged to a four and a half month high of 9.90 %. Food Inflation, as
measured by Wholesale Price Index (WPI), stood at 8.04 %. A study by CRISIL Research shows
that growth of private consumption expenditure in nominal terms increased to nearly 17% per
year during 2008-09 to 2010-11 from 14% in the preceding 3 years mainly due to rise in food
inflation. But still the Indian consumers’ confidence in spending according to Neilson Report
July 2011 remained positive. Although with heated price inflation and an uncertain global
economy acting as constraint in a positive outlook likely adjustments to the purchase basket
can be seen in context of greater “value-consciousness” along with robust demand but with a
large pull in terms of overall spending on food. In 2010 due to increase in food prices FMCG
industry sprung surprises in the way the consumer responded. Mostly FMCG food industry
was not affected barring few categories like baby cereals, infant food and packaged atta which
witnessed decline while on the other hand impulse driven categories like chocolates and
namkeens saw a good volume growth. Rise in food inflation can at times drive the shift in an
uncertain manner in an attempt to combat inflationary pressures and can put pressure on
volume growth.
Government Policies: Indian government in order to attain international competitiveness in
the food and beverage industry has enacted many policies to boost rural consumption.
Four Pronged Strategy: Government has launched a four pronged strategy to promote agriculture sector.
This strategy includes extending the green revolution to the eastern states, reduction of wastage in produce,
increase in credit support and thrust on food processing sector.
Vision-2015 action plan: Indian government had formulated the Vision-2015 action plan to
help food processing sector to prosper. Through this the government aims to treble the size of
this industry thus increasing the level of perishables from 6% to 20% thereby expanding the
value addition from 20% to 35% as well as strengthening the nation’s share in global
food market from 1.5% to 3%. Further this will help in strengthening the FCMG food
industry.
Central and state initiatives: Many states have started encouraging companies to set up
manufacturing facilities in their regions by providing fiscal incentives. In the Union Budget
2010-11 concessions and exemption of duties on handling and racking equipment in warehouses and mandis
has been given and there are various schemes which have been proposed for rural development which will
40
help improve the living standards in the rural area and help provide FMCG companies better access to the rural
heartland.
Exports: According to the Agriculture and Processed Food Products Export Development Authority (APEDA)
exports of organic food are expected to grow five-fold by 2015. The annual report of APEDA shows that exports
of floriculture, fresh fruits and vegetables, processed fruits and vegetable, animal products, other processed foods
and cereals stood at USD 5.45 billion as on November 2010-2011. According to spice board exports of spices
from India during 2010-11 has registered an all-time high both in quantity and value. But still export levels are low
as compared to other countries and government is framing policies to give a boost to exports.
MAJOR SEGMENTS/SUB SECTORS:
Fruits & Vegetables, Cereals and consumer foods (includes packaged food and packaged
water): According to Opportunities in Food Industry report by Ernst & young as much as 70%
of the current food spending by the Indian consumer is on agricultural products. Additionally,
two-thirds of this spending is on primary and secondary processed products. In agricultural
products fruits and vegetables is the largest consumption category and accounts for over 50%
of the total consumption. The processed food industry in India is at an early stage with low
penetration and high potential. For example only 2.2% of the total production of food and
vegetables is processes, as compared to 65% in the US or 23% in China.
Dairy (Milk and milk based products) : Being the world’s largest producer and consumer of
dairy products, India represents one of most lucrative dairy markets but still it has an
insignificant share in the global market owing to low quality and hygiene standards across
the value chain. IMARC Group, one of the world’s leading research and advisory firms, finds
Segment Key Players
Fruits & Vegetables, Cereals and consumer foods (includes packaged food and packaged water)
Pillsbury, HUL, AgroTech, ITC, Bisleri, Parle Agro
Dairy Products Amul, Britannia, Nestle
Meat & Poultry Hind Agro Industries Ltd, VH Group, Al Kabeer
Snacks & Confectionary Britannia, Parle, ITC
Beverages Glaxo SmithKline, Cadbury, Nestle, Amul, HUL, Tata Tea, Pepsi, Coca Cola
41
that the sales of dairy products in India will nearly double its size from INR 2.6 Trillion (US$ 60
Billion) to around INR 5.1 Trillion (US$ 115 Billion) by 2016.
Meat & Poultry: India has a processing capacity of approximately 25,000 birds per hour with
average utilization of 30%. There are 12 state of the art integrated meat processing units in
India.
Snacks & Confectionary: This segment includes biscuits, breads, cake, snake food and
chocolates. Bread and biscuits constitute USD 1.7 billion of food sector in India. Chocolate
market in India is pegged at Rs 2,000 crore and is growing at the rate of 18 -20 per cent per
annum. Catering to domestic and international needs many confectionary units and starch/
glucose/sorbitol producing units have come up.
Beverages: This segment includes tea, coffee, soft drinks and health beverages. According to
the report by intergovernmental group on tea, tea penetration in India is 95% and branded tea
penetration is 85% and unbranded tea penetration is 50%. In soft drink segment market is
predominantly urban with 25% contribution from rural area. Coca Cola and Pepsi dominate
the Indian soft drink market.
Fig1. Split of spending within the key categories. Source: E&Y analysis
42
INDUSTRY DRIVERS
Increasing disposable Income: Over the last 18 years, per capita urban disposable incomes
have steadily increased at CAGR of 5.4%, significantly ahead of the rural incomes. According to
estimates by McKinsey, over the next few years, growth of urban disposable incomes is likely
to accelerate at CAGR of 6.4%. With steady rising incomes and the culture of consumerism
increasing, we believe that there is significant opportunity in food sector as 31% of the
spending is made on food consumption.
Investments: With growing competition to acquire larger market share the companies are
trying to expand their product portfolio and this has made Mergers & Acquisitions the new
b u z z w o r d .
Industry Infrastructure (shopping malls, hypermarkets): According to IBEF report India has a
well-established distribution network spread across six million retail outlets (including two
million in 5,160 towns and four million in 627,000 villages). Also India has 60 Agri-Export zones
and in the budget 2010-11 the corpus of Rural Infrastructure Development Fund has been
raised from Rs160 billion to Rs180 billion, with the additional allocation dedicated to the
creation of warehousing facilities.
.
Availability of raw materials: India is the largest producer of milk, sugarcane, spices, coconut
and cashew and second largest producer of fruits and vegetables, rice and wheat. The
availability of these raw materials is a quite beneficial for boosting growth of food industry in
India.
43
Emerging food products: Growth in food segment is expected to rise driven from emerging
food products like juices, milk powder, baby foods etc. With more disposable income and
preference or convenience these products are all set to take off especially in urban areas.
According to AC Nielsen report the breakfast cereals are expected to deliver a medium-term
growth rate of 20-25% with currently the breakfast cereal being worth Rs5bn.
INDUSTRY CHALLENGES Food inflation: The demand-supply condition in global food sector keep on undergoing
significant change due to global food inflation. It further leads to the disruption in food supply
creating uncertain market conditions and at times increasingly exerts influences on both sides
of demand supply equation so in current uncertain global economy it becomes a big challenge
to control the food prices. Also in developing countries we can see burgeoning demand for
food products which threatens further rise in food prices.
Huge untapped rural opportunity: Almost one-third of total consumption pie in India is
accounted by rural India. Indian rural market is currently worth $ 9 bn and is expected to
become $100 bn market by 2025. So now the FMCG companies are adopting extensive
marketing techniques especially for rural markets. Robust consumption in the rural economy
is one of the key drivers of sustained growth.
Input cost pressure: With the spearheading rise in inflation, the food and fuel costs have hiked
up to enormous levels. This has led to the increase in transportation costs and in hiking the
price of raw materials thereby raising the manufacturing costs of products. It has led to
increase in product prices leading to reduce in purchase power of consumers.
Wastage: At present wastage of perishable food and vegetable items amount to about Rs1
lakh cr annually due to lack of storage and food processing facilities and poses as one of the
biggest challenge. So, there is a stringent need for agricultural reforms especially in making
large investments in development of post-harvest and cold chain infrastructure in India.
Low Demand: The price gap between farmers’ realization and consumers’ final price is very
big – caused by low productivity, high cost of production, spoilage due to poor infrastructure
and high cost of borrowing.
44
MAJOR PLAYERS – FOOD & BEVERAGES
TRENDS
Consolidation: Indian FMCG companies are trying to focus on certain market segments and
are trying to consolidate their existing business portfolios.
Dabur India Ltd merged its wholly owned subsidiary, Dabus Foods Ltd, with itself.
Agro Tech Foods Ltd, and Indian subsidiary of global food major ConAgra, exited from its
sourcing and institutional business of oil and agricultural raw- material procurement business.
Company Sales Brands Products
Hindustan Unilever Ltd.
Approx $ 3.1 billion
Brooke Bond, Annapurna, Kissan, Knor, Kwality Walls
Tea, coffee, biscuits, ice creams, atta, instant drinks, soups,jams and squash and host of other FMCG products
Nestle India Approx $ 832 million
Nestle, Maggi, Nescafe etc
Chocolates, snack foods, milk, coffee, infant food etc
Britannia Industries Ltd.
Approx $ 556 million
Britannia, Tiger, Bourbon, GoodDay etc.
Biscuits, flavoured milk, dairy whitener, ghee, bread, cheese, cake etc.
Dabur India Ltd Approx.$ 600 million
Dabur, Real, Activ Juice, honey, spices, cooking pastes, coco-nut milk etc.
ITC Kitchens of India, Aashir-vaad, Sunfeast, Bingo
Branded atta, biscuits, packaged food
Gujarat Cooperative Milk Marketing Fed-eration
Amul Ice-cream, skim milk powder, ghee, dairy whitener, paneer, shrikhand, pizza, cheese, butter etc.
Cadbury India Ltd. Approx $ 330 million
Dairy Milk, Perk, Five star, Gems etc.
Chocolates, Malt Food, Cocoa powder etc.
Pepsi Co. Approx$ 729 million
Pepsi, Frito-lays Carbonated drinks, juices, snack foods etc.
Coca Cola Coke Carbonate drinks
Glaxo Smith Kline Horlicks, Maltova, Boost Health beverages
45
Product Innovation – Several companies have now taken to innovation by launching or
customizing their existing product portfolios to meet new customer segments demands and
preferences. Nestle India and Amul have launched pro-biotic products by providing active
ingredients in regular consumable products such as curd/yoghurt and ice cream.
Third-party manufacturing – Many FMCG vendors are outsourcing the manufacturing or
processing of certain range of products to small vendors. Glaxo Smith Kline consumer
Healthcare Ltd outsources the processing of products such as malt-based foods, biscuits and
nutrition bar sweetmeats to third-part vendors. Hindustan Unilever Ltd outsources the
processing of its products such as packaged tea to third-party vendors.
Expanding horizons – Several companies are now looking forward to explore and expand the
business potential of overseas markets and under-penetrated regional markets. Tata Tea
acquired a 30 percent stake in US based energy Brands Inc, a specialty water company.
PRICING POWER/PRICE COMPETITION
Pricing power refers to the bargaining power of buyers. In an environment where inflation is
on a rise and there is an environment of volatile commodity prices where cost is on a rise,
majority of FMCG companies in India are struggling to pass on the price increases to
consumers. The input cost index for FMCG companies has increased over the past 6-12
months as agriculture and crude-linked input prices have increased. Sugar prices have
corrected, tea prices are firm and milk and wheat prices are ruling steady. Competition in the
Indian FMCG sector is increasing with an increase in realization of growth potential but
dominance insures pricing power for a few companies only due to strong category leadership
and inherent characteristics of the category. Market leadership provides for pricing power to
ITC and GSK has pricing power due to its brand equity and lack of price led competition.
MARKET SHARE STABILITY
46
Source – Central Statistics Organisation
Segment wise market share: Agri-products:
Fruits & Vegetables – Predominantly food and vegetables are consumed by Indians in the
primary form but with the evolving lifestyle tertiary sector is increasingly gripping its hold on
the wallets of the consumers. According to Ernst & Young Economic Survey 2007-2008
consumers spent USD 50,849 million on food and vegetables in primary form and USD 9600
million in these products in tertiary form.
Grains & Cereals- Due to wheat flour and rice being a part of the staple dies of Indians a
considerable amount of money is spent on grains and cereals. This category is mostly
dominated by unbranded and unorganised players with very few players organised players like
Aashirvaad wheat flour from ITC and Samrat wheat flour from Pharak Agro Ltd.
47
Beverages- The total size of the Indian beverages industry (including both carbonated & non-
carbonated drinks) is Rs.7,500 crore. In this segment majority is dominated by carbonated
drinks in which the top players are Coca-Cola and PepsiCo. The market for fruit juices is not
much developed with Dabur being the major player with brands like Real and Activ. Fig ---
shows market distribution of beverages.
Dairy Products:
The dairy industry in India is expected to grow at 4-5% per annum with currently being
estimated at 130 million tons. Another significant feature is that still this sector is dominated
by unorganised sector as compared to the organised sector. Fig--- shows us the market share
distribution of dairy sector.
48
COMPETITIVE ANALYSIS
Coca Cola India & PepsiCo
Coca Cola and Pepsi are the two most recognised brands in the carbonated beverages
segment in India.
Product Mix Width
Soft Drinks Drinking Water
Pepsi Coke Pepsi Coke
Pepsi Coca-Cola AquaFina Kinley
7 Up Sprite
Orange Mirinda Fanta
Mountain Dew Thumps Up
Lemon Mirinda Limca
Slice Maaza
Diet Pepsi Diet Coke
Evervess Soda Kinley Soda
49
Pepsi Coke had a small presence in India before pulling out in 1977 after new government
regulations would have forced it to partner with an Indian company and share the drink's
secret formula. In 1988, PepsiCo formed a joint venture with two Indian companies and
introduced products under the Lehar brand. (Lehar Pepsi was introduced in 1990.) Coke re-
entered the market in 1993, after Indian regulations were changed to allow foreign brands to
operate without Indian partners.
Coca-Cola Coca-Cola Company entered the Indian market in 1970s but due to government regulations
left India in 1977. When it returned to the country in 1993, Coke acquired three local brands:
Thums Up cola, a lemon drink called Limca, and an orange drink known as Gold Spot. It has
since added more drinks to its portfolio. Today, Coke's top three products in India by sales
volume are Kinley bottled water, Thums Up, and Sprite, according to Euromonitor.
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In the Spotlight
News & Recent Developments August13, 2011 – Ministry of food processing industries has allocated Rs595 crore for schemes
in food processing sector in 2011-12. The details of the funds allocated scheme-wise are as
under.
Name of Scheme Funds Allocates (2011-12) (Cr)
Scheme for Infrastructure Development 300.00
Scheme for Technology Upgradation / Establishment/ Moderni-zation of Food Processing Industries
98.00
Scheme for Quality Assurance, Codex Standards and Research & Development and Promotional Activities
45.00
Scheme for Human Resource Development 15.00
Strengthening of Institutions 137.00
Lump sum provision of NER *
51
August 9, 2011 – The Indian dairy sector will be grossly impacted by the Union government’s effort to include milk products within the domain of the prposed Free Trade Agreement (FTA) between India and New Zealand. In 2010, the Government of India permitted import of milk powder to the extent of 45,000 tonnes. The Government also banned export of milk powder and casein estimated to be another 75,000 tonnes. The stoppage of exports and encouraging imports has itself created milk surplus in the country. At this juncture, proposal to import another 20,000 tonnes will lead to a dumping situation which is totally avoidable, according to industry sources.
June 30, 2011 – CRISIL Research reveals that surging inflation costs Indian households additional Rs5.8 trillion during 2008-09 to 2010-11. The study shows that growth of private consumption expenditure in nominal terms increased to nearly 17% due to rise in food inflation. The inflation was however not uniform and food items saw a much sharper price increase as compared to non-food items. Food Inflation was at 11.6% during 2008-09 to 2010-11 as compared to non-food inflation of 5.7 %.
Source - http://www.fnbnews.com
WHAT LIES AHEAD
Growth Outlook Growth of FMCG Food & Beverage sector to a large extend depends on the impact that the
Union Budget 2011-12 will have on the food and Beverage Industry.
Key Features of Union Budget 2010-2011 The provision of INR400cr to strengthen green revolution in Eastern India, namely Bihar,
Chattisgarh, Jharkhand, Uttar Pradesh, Bengal and Orissa. The provision of INR300cr for
rain-fed areas to organize 60,000 pulses and oil seed villages and also the provision of
water harvesting watershed management as well as soil health to increase productivity of
dry farming areas. Government will address the issue regarding the opening up of retail
trade that will close the gap between farm gate, wholesale and retail prices. The government
will add another five mega food parks, hence bringing India’s food parks to a total of fifteen.
Cold storage and cold room facilities (including farm level pre-cooling and preservation
or storage of agricultural and allied produce, marine products and meat) will be available
through External Commercial Borrowings.
52
All these features of the Union Budget give a positive outlook towards the FMCG food and
beverage industry in India. Spending on improving warehousing and cold storage facilities will
prove beneficial for farmers and food processing units as food wastage will be decreased. Also
nation’s per capita disposable income is expected to double to a projected USD 1150 by 2015.
Also the consuming population in India was 26% of its total population in 2003 and is
projected to double to reach 54% in 2015 and the consumer base is expected to treble to
become the fifth largest in the world by 2025.
Factors Driving Growth Huge unorganized sector- There is a huge penetration and presence of unorganised sector
across categories which provide a huge potential and opportunity for organized players to
enter and penetrate this market.
Favourable Consumer Trends- With fast evolving lifestyles and with consumers becoming
highly adaptable to new and innovative products demand for high end and tertiary products is
expected to grow thereby creating more opportunities for businesses to tap to. For e.g. the
domestic spending on potato chips is expected to increase by three times by 2015 and reach a
market size of USD 1441 million.
Price Competitiveness – India and multinational FMCG players can leverage India as a strategic
hub for low-cost competitive and product development market. Hence streamlining the supply
chain would help to control product price and improve competitiveness.
53
Geographical Advantage – India being the largest producer of milk holds a unique geographic
advantage of being in close proximity to milk deficient countries like Bangladesh and Sri Lanka
where large quantities of milk is imported and this gives India an opportunity to tap this
market.
FDI in retail- Already the global retail giants like Metro has a retail footprint by over five stores
in India through cash and carry format; the world’s biggest retailer Walmart is into a joint
venture with Bharti and Indian conglomerate and is operating in India as part of “Bharti
Walmart” of “Cash & Carry” retail stores. Once 51% FDI in multi-brand is announced the retail
sector in India will go for a makeover.
Factors that can hinder growth Poor Warehousing facilities - At present wastage of perishable food and vegetable items
amount to about Rs 1 lakh crore annually due to lack of storage and food processing facilities.
Large unorganized sector – In India unorganized sector constitutes 75% of the food processing
industry and is limited to local presence in which it lacks access to knowledge, technology and
marketing network which prevents it from efficient utilization of resources.
Price gap - The price gap between farmers’ realization and consumers’ final price is very big
caused by low productivity, high cost of production, spoilage due to poor infrastructure and
high cost of borrowing.
FUTURE OUTLOOK & CONCLUSION FMCG industry on hand has a huge scope to expand and grow owing to higher disposable
income led by income tax cuts but on the other hand due to increase in inflation the FMCG
prices are expected to hike. FMCG companies like HUL, Nestle, Dabur India have large
manufacturing plants in excise-free zones that are not affected by a hike or cut in excise duty
while higher cost of production will inevitably cause price hike. Establishment of five
additional food parks will boost the food processing industry.
54
INTRODUCTION:
Former U.S president Mr. George W. Bush once famously remarked that the Indians (along
with the Chinese) eat so much that they almost drive the world food prices. The remark was
taken in an offensive way but he had his point. The purchasing power of the Indian middle-
class has increased multiple-fold over the last two decades, resulting in an everyday quest for
increase in standard of living. This has brought about the rise of a number of sectors on the
Indian business front, the first being Fast Moving Consumer Goods. But was his comment
limited to food in particular or the Indian consumption in general? No wonder India is among
the top consumers in the world when it comes to food, owing to its large population. But the
above question, if valid, qualifies the Indian FMCG market to be divided into two parts,
namely:
1) Foods
2) Non– Foods
Fast moving consumer goods are products that are produced at a low cost and sold quickly.
Another important differentiating factor for the sector is that the products are non-durable.
The per-unit cost of production is low. Also, the per unit profit is minimum. Thus, FMCG is a
sector driven by volumes and sales. As the consumption of the products is very rapid, there is
a constant demand for the products as they satisfy the daily needs of consumers. The profit is
visible only on selling the products on a mass scale. But this trend has changed these days and
the profit is said to be a function of both volume and value. Another interesting concept that
characterizes this sector is the change in thought process from ‘Value for Money’ to ‘Money
for Value’, a representation of the change in the centre of the sector as a whole from supplier
to consumer.
FMCG sector is also characterized by the following:
1) Well established distribution network
2) Low penetration levels
3) Low operating cost
4) Low per-capita consumption
5) Intense competition between organized and unorganized segments.
The following are the challenges for the FMCG sector:
FMCG Non-Food
55
1) Complicated Tax Structure
2) Goods and Services Tax implementation
3) Fragmented and weak agricultural supply chain
4) Bureaucratic and regulatory process
HISTORY:
It is very difficult to differentiate the growth of FMCG foods and non-foods separately. The
primary challenges have always been common to both the sister sectors. Though the analysis
is for non-foods sector, most of the points are applicable to foods sector too. They can be
summarized as follows :
1950s to 1970s (Lackluster Stage):
1) Low purchasing power of the Indian population from 1950s to 1980s
2) The government’s intentions to develop the small-scale sector and allocation of a number
of product categories to them
3) License Raj and unstable business environment
4) Companies focusing primarily on the urban sector
5) Difficulty in changing the traditional mindset of the Indian consumer
6) Lack of technological advancement (Both for setting up manufacturing units and
subjecting the consumer to product visibility)
7) Difficulty in running manufacturing units and unavailability of skilled labor
8) Very few companies operating in the market.
1970s and 1990s (Rural Sensitization Stage):
1) Focus on low income group markets. Started with the introduction of Normal Washing
Powder
2) Implementation of the idea using the ‘Value for Money’ idea
3) Wake-up call to companies to realize the potential of the rural and low income group
markets.
4) Tapping of rural markets initiated by not so famous companies. For example, shampoo
56
market got a boost in rural India through the introduction of sachets by Cavinkare for its
Chik brand
1991-2000 (Liberalization Boom and Stabilization Stage):
1) Lowering of trade barriers to facilitate entry of Foreign players
2) Initiation of competition between domestic and imported products
3) Targeting of both rural and urban markets
4) Drastic increase in purchasing power of consumers
5) Importance to the concept of ‘Distribution’ to gain advantage over competitors
6) Upgradation of existing consumers to premium consumers and attempts to add new
consumers to gain market share
7) Capture of market of consumers with high purchasing power but limited choice till then
8) Sales boom for 4-5 years but stabilization reached after that.
2000-2005 (Drop Stage):
1) Entry of many new players. Made it difficult even for HUL and P&G to hold on to their
market share
2) Very less growth rate recorded in the market
3) Double blow to the Indian economy in the form of economic slowdown and very low
agricultural output (Continuous years of famine). Consumer forced to spend less.
Consumer movement from high-end to low end brands to reduce monthly expenditure
4) Drop also attributed to new avenues of expenditure for consumer such as consumer
durables, entertainment, mobiles, motorbikes etc.
5) Indian consumer’s shift towards the new basket of products at the cost of FMCG
6) Problem tackled by offering smaller versions of products at lower prices. Low unit packs
saw robust growth
7) Even high penetration products such as soaps and detergent bars shrunk in value. Only
staple foods such as salt and atta managed to record superior growth rates (Worth
mentioning though they come under foods sector)
57
2005-Present (Boom Revisited Stage):
1) FMCG non-foods started making profits back in 2006. From a loss of 3% in 2004, the FMCG
sector registered a growth of 24% in August, 2006. The following are the reasons:
a. Increased disposable income
b. Organized Retail boom
c. Increased rural penetration
d. Availability of the above mentioned basket of goods for cheaper prices by 2006 due to
cheaper products and EMI culture, thus prompting consumers to revisit FMCG sector at a
larger scale.
CLASSIFICATION: FMCG products in the non-foods category are classified as follows:
1) Household Care: It can be divided into the following categories:
A) Fabric Wash: It can be classified into two types:
Laundry Soaps (Oil-based soaps):
i) Hand wash detergents comprise of more than 52% of the sales
ii) First half of last year witness to an intense price competition between HUL’s Rin and Surf
and P&G’s Tide and Tide Naturals
iii) HUL had to slash its prices by 30% as P&G started building up on its market share due to
Tide Naturals launched in 2009 started building up on its market share
iv) Domestic brands like Nirma and Fena adversely affected
v) HUL remains the market leader with 39% market share
vi) HUL dominates premium and mid-priced segment and Nirma dominates low-priced
segment
Synthetic Detergents:
i) Classified into premium (Surf, Ariel), mid-priced (Rin, Wheel) and popular segments
(Nirma) which account for 15%, 40% and 45% of he market respectively
ii) Market dominated by 2 players HUL and Nirma
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iii) HUL (with Surf Excel) and P&G (with Ariel) constitute 90% of the premium market. The
remain 10% is shared by Henkel and other players
iv) Popular segment almost completely dominated by Nirma.
v) HUL (40%), Nirma (30%) and P&G (12%) are the leading players in the market
Note: India has ample supplies of caustic soda and soda ash, the primary raw materials
required in the production of soaps and detergents, leading to their low costs
B) Household Cleaners: It can be classified into the following categories:
Dish/Utensil Cleaners:
i) Bars account to 60% of the market whereas powders are limited to 32%
ii) Penetration of liquid dishwash products very less in rural areas
iii) 50% of urban population and 80% of rural population still using substitute products like
ash, bricks and other detergents
Floor Cleaners:
i) Reckitt Benckiser’s Lizol leading the market with about 50% of the market share. Market
share falling due to entry of new players
ii) Other players like Domex from HUL and Easy-Off Bang from Reckitt Benckiser too losing
market share due to entry of new players
iii) Mr. Muscle from S C Johnson and Dazzl from Dabur leading the growth of new entrants
Toilet Cleaners:
i) Market estimated at over 60 crores per annum
ii) Very less popular in India
iii) Only 3% of the Indian population use toilet cleaners. Rest use phenyl, acid, bleaching
powder etc.
iv) Harpic from Rectitt Benckiser leading the market with 70% share
v) Competing products include Domex from HUL.
Air Fresheners:
i) Market broken up into aerosols, gels liquids and cakes which evaporate at room
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temperature
ii) Leading brands are Air Wick from Reckitt Benckiser and Ambi Pur from P&G (Belonged to
Godrej Sara Lee Industries earlier)
Insecticides and Mosquito Repellants:
i) Overall growth of 12% triggered by rural India. Decline in urban India
ii) Coils dominate this sector followed by liquid vaporizers and mats.
iii) Seasonal variations in sales
iv) Growth of coils declining. Usage of mats declining due to convenience offered by liquid
vaporizers. Aerosols fastest growing segment.
v) Leading players are Godrej (GoodKnight and Jet brands), S C Johnson (AllOut) and Reckitt
Benckiser (Mortein). Mosquito repellants form a major share of the market.
vi) GoodKnight fast challenging AllOut’s undisputed leadership in liquid vaporizer segment
through GoodKnight Advanced Active Plus
2) Personal Care: It can be divided into the following categories:
A) Oral Care: It can be divided into the following categories
Toothpaste:
i) India’s consumption of toothpaste is one of the lowest in the world
ii) Industry expected to grow at 5.1% next year
iii) Colgate is the market leader with a market share of 51.2% followed by HUL’s Close UP.
Dabur (Dabur Red, Meswak) and GSK(Sensodyne, Aquafresh) are the other major
competitors
iv) Toothpaste market estimated to be Rs. 3200 crore, followed by toothbrush (Rs. 800 crore)
and tooth powder (Rs. 300 crore)
v) Mouth wash category rapidly gaining popularity. Comprises of a Rs. 100 crore market.
Likely to capture a good percentage of the toothpaste market in the coming few years.
B) Skin Care: Growing at a rate of 19%. Awareness about benefits of skin care products and
effective procedures are major contributors to growth. Facial skin-care sub-segment is
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outperforming overall skin-care market. Gender-specific products have registered rapid
growth over the last few years.
a) HUL is the market leader with 56% market share in 2010 with its products Fair and Lovely,
Pond’s and Lakme. Leadership primarily due to extensive distribution, promotion through
free samples and introduction of variants in major brands
b) Garniere is the second leader with a 6% market share
It can be divided into the following categories:
i) Creams
ii) Lotions
iii) Gellies
C) Hair Care: Rs. 10000 crore market growing at a CAGR of 15-20%. One of the most profitable
sectors in India. Forms an eighth of the FMCG sector.
Hair Oils:
i) Very large penetration rate of 88%. Constitutes 52% of hair care market in India
ii) Marico (Parachute) is the market leader with Dabur (Vatika) close behind. Emami
(Navaratna) (hair cooling oil) and Bajaj Corporation (Almond Drops) are the other leading
competitors.
iii) Success primarily due to wider distribution network and conversion of non-branded hair
oil users to branded hair oil users
iv) Coconut oils form 50% of the market. Other brands are generally called premium brands.
They are primarily urban-centric
v) Cooling hair oil is the fastest growing product in the hair oil segment. It is a seasonal
product. 67% of its sales take place in summer.
Shampoos:
i) Market estimated to be Rs. 2500-3000 crore with a penetration power of only 13%
ii) HUL is the market leader with a market share of 44% through its Clinic and Sunsilk brands.
P&G is the second with a market share of 25% through its Head and Shoulders and
Pantene brands. HUL gets 7-8% of its revenue from shampoos. P&G gets 15-17% of its
revenue from shampoos.
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iii) The last year has seen a series of price wars. Price wars in the shampoo segment initiated
by P&G by mean of increasing quantity at no extra cost.
iv) Sachets major contributors to growth.
Hair Gels:
i) Rapidly growing segment in the last decade
ii) Marico is the market leader (20% market share) (Parachute advanced hair cream),
followed by Brylcreem (by Zetra) ans Sunsilk (HUL)
D) Personal Wash: It is divided into the following categories:
Soaps:
i) Rs. 4800 crore market. Penetration of 88.6%(toilet soaps) in India.
ii) Industry growing at 15%
iii) Leading players are HUL(64%) (Lux being their major brand), Nirma (16.8%) and Godrej
(Cinthol)
iv) Many other players in the market.
Cosmetic and Toiletries
Talcums
Deodorants:
i) Market of Rs. 10,543.3 million in 2011. Estimated to grow to Rs. 13,340.7 million in 2012
ii) Divided into Deodorant Roll-Ons and Deodorant Sprays
iii) Deodorant spray market is Rs. 10, 421.7 million. Rollo-Ons have a market of Rs. 121.6
million
iv) Top 5 players are Axe, Set Wet, Wild Stone, Spinz and Fa
v) More emphasis on female deodorants of late due to less choice for them
vi) Increase in market due to increase in incomes and change in lifestyles
vii) Non-seasonal products but sales increase 30-40% in summer
viii) Retail groups like Future Group are rolling out their own range of deodorants
Perfumes:
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a) Increasing by the sentiment of developing personality
b) Market worth Rs. 300 crores. Increasing at a rate of 100%
c) Credit for high revenues gos to marketing strategies. Brands usually endorsed by
celebrities
d) Leading players in order are Christian Dior, Hugo Boss, Kalvin Klein, 10 Corso Como,
Turmeric and Roses, Napthalene and Indole, Fish Auction
e) Market completely divided for men and women
E) Paper Products: It is divided into the following categories:
Tissues:
i) In nascent stage in India
ii) Increase in usage due to increase in disposable income in India
iii) Indian tissue paper market is 30000 tonnes per annum
iv) Entry of new players like BILT would also increase capacity
v) Industry growing at approximately 7-8%
Diapers:
i) Market change from a niche segment to a highly profitable segment
ii) Market had not grown by leaps and bounds in the past due to high prices
iii) Market expected to grow at a CAGR of 16% till 2013
iv) Diaper brands have been trying to correct the price value equation and have been offering
technology-driven products
v) Key players in baby diaper segment are Pampers (P&G) (56%), Huggies (Kimberly Clark)
(32%), Snuggy (Godrej) and Baby Soft (Wipro)
vi) Huggies is the product of the JV between HUL and Kimberly Clark
Sanitary Napkins:
i) Market worth Rs. 1,350 crores in India
ii) Very low penetration
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iii) Market leaders are P&G (Whisper) and Johnson & Johnson (StayFree)
F) Shoe Care:
i) Running by the sentiment of professionalism
ii) 60 crore market in India
iii) Leading players are Kiwi (S C Johnson) (acquired rights to sell it in India from Sara Lee in
March, 2011. Godrej held the license earlier) and Cherry (Reckitt Benckiser)
3) Cigarettes:
i) Market estimated to be Rs. 1700 crores
ii) Characterized by extremely high excise duties in India
iii) Ban on advertisements
iv) Major players are ITC (More than 60% of market share) (brands are Gold Flake, Wills,
Scissors, Capstan, Bristol), Godfrey Philips India Ltd. (market share of 13%) (brands are
Four Square, Red & White and Cavenders) and VST (market sgare of 4%) (brand is
Charminar)
v) FDI in tobacco industry had been banned in April, 2010
4) Alcohol:
i) Market valued at Rs. 97910 crores in 2009 and expected to increase at 12% CAGR to
1,75,950 crores in 2014
ii) United Breweries is the largest player with a market share of more than 48%
RECENT PERFORMANCE AND TRENDS:
India is the fourth largest market for Fast Moving Consumer Goods with a market share of
$13.1 Billion in 2010, growing at a little over 13%. FY11 started off very well for the sector,
showing very high growth and margins. But as the year progresses, inflation became a major
challenge. Input costs continued increase and margins came under pressure. The companies
chose to increase prices judicially due to fear that high product prices would trigger down
trading or demand. Thus, though companies registered topline growth, their margins showed
a downward trend. Another factor that contributed to decreased margins was the increase in
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advertising budgets.
The following aspects of the budget have been favorable to the FMCG non-foods sector:
1) Focus on rural lending and increase in capital of rural banks will help farmers access cheap
loans. Further, extension of repayment of loan and concession for timely repayment helps
reduce the burden on farmers.
2) Various schemes for rural development will help improve the living standards in the rural
area and help provide better access to the rural heartlands.
3) Readjustment of tax slabs will help increase the disposable income in the hands of
consumers.
4) Concessional duties and exemption of service tax will help boost setting up of cold storages,
cold units and refrigeration units.
5) Reduction of excise duty on sanitary napkins and diapers will help reduce prices on these
items.
The following aspects of the budget have been unfavorable to the FMCG non-foods sector:
1) Withdrawal of exemption on excise duty on various ayurvedic and paper items will
increase their prices.
FDI: FDI trends in FMCG sector are similar in both and non-foods sectors and they are looked at in
combination. An analysis of FDI in FMCG sector has been provided in FMCG foods sector.
Following this is an analysis of 3 major players in FMCG non-foods sector: Hindustan Unilever
Limited, Procter & Gamble and Godrej Consumer Products Limited.
Hindustan Unilever Limited
1) History: 1933. Established by Lever Brothers. Came to be known as Hindustan Lever
Ltd. through a merger of Lever Brothers, Hindustan Vanaspati Mfg. Co. Ltd. and United
Traders Ltd. Renamed Hindustan Unilever Limited in 2007.
2) Chairman-Harish Manwani, CEO-Nitin Paranjpe
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3) Revenue-$4.46 billion
4) Parent country of Unilever-Netherlands
5) Brands-Kwality Wall's ice cream, Knorr soups & meal makers, Lifebuoy, Lux, Pears,
Breeze, Liril, Rexona, Hamam and Moti soaps, Pureit water purifier, Lipton tea, Brooke
Bond (3 Roses, Taj Mahal, Taaza, Red Label) tea, Bru coffee, Pepsodent and Close Up
toothpaste and brushes, and Surf, Rin and Wheel laundry detergents, Kissan squashes
and jams, Annapurna salt and atta, Pond's talcs and creams, Vaseline lotions, Fair and
Lovely creams, Lakmé beauty products, Clear, Clinic Plus, Clinic All Clear, Sunsilk and
Dove shampoos, Vim dishwash, Ala bleach, Domex disinfectant, Modern Bread, Axe
deosprays and Comfort fabric softeners.
6) Distribution Channels: Distribution network covers 1,00,000 villages directly in India.
Company claims that two out of every three Indians uses HUL products
7) Project Shakti: Hindustan Unilever's Shakti Entrepreneurial Programme helps
women in rural India set up small businesses as direct-to-consumer retailers. The
scheme equips women with business skills and a way out of poverty as well as
creating a crucial new distribution channel for Unilever products in the large and fast-
growing global market of low-spending consumers. By 2010 the Shakti network
reached 600 million consumers.
8) Project Shakti contributes to 10% of rural turnover nationally. In most Shakti markets,
HUL is dominant and enjoys a market share which is qualitatively better as compared
to non-Shakti markets. The relationship of Shakti entrepreneurs is forged by their
home to home contacts and goes a long way in building brand loyalty.
9) Shakti initiative can be described in many ways – as a sales and distribution initiative
that delivers growth; a communication initiative that builds brands; a micro-
enterprise initiative that creates livelihoods; and a social initiative that improves the
standard of life in rural India by providing quality products. What makes Shakti
scalable and sustainable is the fact that it contributes not only to HUL's business, but
also to the community it is a part of.
10) Controversies of HUL: Advertisements depicting dark women being ignored by
employers for Fair & Lovely created a rage in 2007 and HUL was forced to withdraw
them due to accusations of perpetuating racism
11) Brand Ambassadors:
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a. Priyanka Chopra and Shahid Kapoor-Bru
b. Asin Thottumkal-Lux
Godrej Consumer Products Limited
1) History: Part of the erstwhile Godrej Soaps Limited and demerged into Godrej
Consumer Products Limited in 2001
2) Chairman-Adi Godrej, Managing Director-A Mahendran
3) Revenue: Rs. 3643 crores
4) Manufacturing facilities in Madhya Pradesh, Assam, Himachal Pradesh and Sikkim
5) Products:
a) Cinthol Soap: In this segment, Godrej competes with Lux and Lifebuoy of HUL and
Nirma
b) Godrej No.1: Godrej Powder Hair Dye: In this segment, Godrej competes with Black
Rose, Super Vasmol and L’Oreal
c) Godrej Shaving Cream: Competitors are Gillette, Old Spice and Palmolive
d) GCPL’s talcum powde brands: Primary competitors are Pond’s by HUL and Denim
e) Ezee Liquid Detergent: Competes with Surf Excel of HUL, Safewash-Wipro and Genteel
f) GoodKnight and Jet: Range of mosquito repellants that compete with S C Johnson’s
AllOut, Reckitt Benckiser’s Mortein and a few unorganised players.
6) Mergers and Acquisitions:
a) Sara Lee Corporation (USA): Godrej initially had an nlisted JV with Sara Lee
Corporation and held a 49% stake in it from early 2010. Subsequently, an agreement
was reached and Godrej acquired the remaining 51% in May 2010
b) Acquired Keyline Brands Limited (UK) (2005)
c) Acquired Rapidol (Pty) Limited in 2006
d) Acquired Godrej Global Mid-East FZE in 2007
e) JV with Hygiene Products AB, Sweden in 2007
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f) Acquisition of Megasari (Indonesia)
a. Kareena Kapoor-Lakme
Procter & Gamble
1) History: History: Started by William Procter and James Gamble in 1837. Became
famous by supplying soap and candles to Union Army during Civil War. P&G India
started as a 100% subsidiary of P&G, USA. First Launch: Ariel Super Soaker
2) President and CEO: Bob McDonald
3) Revenue: $78.938 billion
4) Brands in India: Ariel, Crest/Oral B, Duracell, Gillette, Gillette, Head & Shoulders,
Mach 3 (Gillette), Olay, Old Spice, Pampers, Pantene, Pringles, Tide, Vicks
5) P&G’s JV with Godrej and its failure: P&G gaining access to Godrej’s distribution
channels and promoting their Camay soap in India due to which Cinthol Soap of
Godrej suffered. Godrej never had a say in the JV. Thus, the JV failed
6) Mergers and Acquisitions:
a) Gillette: P&G acquired Gillette in 2005. It was after this acquisition that it became the
largest FMCG company, pushing Unilever into second place
b) This merger added Duracell and Oral-B also to their stable
6) Controversies:
a) Price fixing controversy (2011): In April 2011, P&G was fined 211.2m euros by the
European Commission for price fixing cartel in Europe along with Unilever, who
received a fine of 104m euro, and Henkel. Though the fine was set higher at first, it
was discounted by 10% after P&G and Unilever admitted running the cartel. As the
provider of the tip-off leading to investigations, Henkel was not fined.
7) P&G has no manufacturing unit in India. The following are the countries where P&G
has its manufacturing units: US, Canada, Mexico, Latin America, Europe, China, Africa,
Australia
8) P&G also produced radio soaps and TV serials. As of now, The Young and The Restless
is the only TV serial partially sponsored by P&G
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INTRODUCTION Say no to Bangalore, Yes to Buffalo – Barack Obama
This statement used as a last resort by Barack Obama to save the ailing economy, shows the
extent to which Indian IT industry is influencing the global climate. Poised to be a $225 billion
industry by 2020, the IT industry has not only fuelled economic growth, but also improved the
life of people by increasing employment and standards of living. According to NASSCOM, it
played a major role in changing the country’s image from a slow moving bureaucratic
organization to a land of innovative entrepreneurs and a global providing world class
technology solutions and business services. Not only is this sector inviting huge Foreign Direct
Investment (FDI), but also, Indian companies have started looking for opportunities abroad.
HISTORY IT sector can be said to be born with the birth of TCS (then known as Tata Computer Centre) in
1968. Hereafter, with the policies of Jawaharlal Nehru, and the launch of IIT- Kharagpur, we
were able to build a large base of skilled engineers. In the mid 1970’s FERA caused
multinationals like IBM to exit India and the employees were left scrambling for jobs, thus the
trend of looking for jobs abroad, mainly in the US started. In 1984, the Rajiv Gandhi
government brought in the New Computer Policy, reducing the import rates and thereby
inviting foreign companies to come in, and thus India became of supplier of programs and not
of programmers.
Evolution: 1991: India faced with economic crisis decides to introduce major reforms. Software
Technology Parks of India scheme introduced to promote software exports. To the extent that
90% of software exports in 2008-09 were made by STPI registered units.
1993: IT industry targets are determined: $50 billion by 2008
1994: Telecom liberalized which caused birth of the Internet revolution in India.
1995: TCS recognizes how to solve the Y2K problem
1999: Y2K contracts pile to India
2000: reforms in foreign ownership rules, intellectual property protection and venture capital
policy
2002: Indian companies expand hiring, major layoffs registered in US. TCS becomes the
country’s largest exporter.
IT SECTOR
69
2003: Led by services conglomerates TCS, Infosys and Wipro, India becomes primary
destination for offshore outsourcing as companies seek to lower costs.
2005: SEZ act launched to provide an internationally competitive environment for exports.
SEZs are specifically demarked duty-free enclave and shall deemed to be foreign territory (out
of Customs jurisdiction) for the purpose of trade operations and duties and tariffs. It provided
drastic simplification of procedures and a single window clearance policy on matters of the
government.
2008: Subprime crisis in the US affects the order volumes and causes major layoffs in the IT
sector.
2009: Satyam Collapsed after the chairman Ramalinga Raju admitted to falsification of
accounts to the extent of 1.5 Billion US dollars and violating the insider trading norms.
2011: EU (22-26% of IT revenues) sovereign debt crisis is expected to cause problems to the
Indian IT majors because of lower sale cycles. But still IT majors are growing in the region.
CURRENT STATE: This sector has improved its contribution to India’s GDP from 4.1 per cent in 2004-05 to 6.1
per cent in 2009-10 and an estimated 6.4 per cent in 2010-11. The overall Indian IT-ITeS
revenue has grown to US $ 63.7 billion in 2009-10 and an estimated US $ 76.1 billion in 2010-
11, translating into a CAGR of 22.5 per cent from 2004-05 to 2010-11. The industry grew by an
estimated 19.5 percent in 2010-11 compared to the moderate growth of 6.2 per cent in 2009-
10. Exports dominate the IT ITeS industry, and constitute about 77 per cent of total industry
revenue. Total IT-ITeS exports have grown from US$ 17.7 billion in 2004-05 to US $ 58.9 billion
in 2010-11 registering a CAGR of 22.2 per cent from 2004-05 to 2010-11. It now contributes
26% to the exports from India and attracts 8% of the total FDI equity inflows to India. Between
April 2000 and February 2011, the computer software and hardware sector received
cumulative foreign direct investment (FDI) of US$ 10,705 million, according to the Department
of Industrial Policy and Promotion.
Nearly one million jobs were created in India during 2010-11, of which 70 per cent were from
the IT and BPO sectors, according to data released by the Ministry of Labour and Employment
the IT workforce is expected to touch 300 million by 2020. Analysts expect the top IT firms to
grow between 23-27 per cent in the FY2012 on the back of more number of discretionary
projects, improved pricing, and robust business volumes.
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Major Segments The major segments in the IT industry are:
IT services: This includes E-business solutions, Business intelligence and data warehousing,
QA/Testing, Application Development & maintenance, migration and re-engineering,
enterprise portals and content management.
Business Process Outsourcing: It is a subset of outsourcing that involves the contracting of the
operations and responsibilities of specific business functions (or processes) to a third-party
service provider. BPO is typically categorized into back office outsourcing - which
includes internal business functions and front office outsourcing - which includes customer-
related services
Engineering Services: Some services that TCS provides in this area are new product
development, product lifecycle management, plant solutions.
Software products: Software products form the fastest growing segment of the global IT
industry, with the software spends forecast to grow from USD 294 billion in FY 2008 to USD
537 billion in 2015. Over the same period, the addressable market for Indian software product
businesses is estimated to reach USD 290 to 315 billion.
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IT exports growth in the decade
IT-ITeS Revenue and Exports (US $ billion)
Year/ Item 200
1-
02
2002
- 03 2003
- 04 200
4-
05
2005
- 06 2006
- 07 2007-
08 2008-
09 CAG
R
IT Service 5.8 5.5 7.3 10.0
13.3 17.8 23.1 26.5 23.2
ITeS-BPO 1.5 2.5 3.1 4.6 6.3 8.4 10.9 12.7 39.2
Software Prod-ucts, Engineer-ing Services
0.3 1.5 2.5 3.1 4.0 4.9 6.4 7.1 48.5
Total IT-ITeS 7.6 9.5 12.9 17.7
23.6 31.1 40.4 46.3 28.6
Year 2009-2010 2010-2011 (estimated)
Growth Rate CAGR Contribu-tion
Total IT-BPO sevices Reve-nue
63.7 76.1 19.5 22.5 100%
Exports 49.7 58.9 18.5 22.2 78%
Domestic, of which
14.0 17.2 22.8 23.7 21.9%
(i) IT services 8.9 10.9 22.5 20.8 13.97%
(ii) ITes-BPO 2.2 2.8 27.3 29.3 3.4%
(iii) Software Products
2.9 3.5 20.7 30.7 4.55%
BFSI41%
I Tech and Telecom
20%
Manufacturing17% Retail
8%
Healthcare3%
Airline and transportation
3%construction and
utilities3%
Media Publishing and Entertainment
2%
Others3%
Other8%
Industry Verticals in IT and ITeS Sector
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INDUSTRY DRIVERS Since IT is a booming industry it is getting a lot of importance from the government and
initiatives such as NASSCOM, tax protection in form of SEZs and STPI , growth in cloud
computing technologies are all driving the growth of the sector.
Taxation: Clarification of taxation norms on packaged software and establishment of dispute
resolution mechanism for transfer pricing, reduction in the tax on revenues from foreign
subsidiaries of the Indian companies will fuel the growth. The government has also accepted
the request to differentiate the cutoff date for developers and units for purposes of
grandfathering of SEZ benefits post implementation of the Direct Tax Code. So, the dates
for developers are now coincident with the date of launch of Direct Tax code ie 31st March
2012, but those of units have been extended to 1st March 2014. Withholding tax on Software
services, exemption for services wholly consumed in SEZs, Removal of Fringe Benefit Tax on
Employee Stock Options, bringing about clarity in regard to refund of Service Tax issues
will also help the industry grow.
Issue of Employment Visas for skilled foreign workers: Initially the Government accepted
that there was a need to treat skilled and highly skilled workers in the IT-BPO sector on a
different platform and introduced a monetary threshold of salary to determine such
foreign workers. However, subsequently, this very same threshold was extended to all
other sectors of the industry in respect of skilled and highly skilled workers. This would
attract highly skilled employees to India. Growing number of educational institutes such as
IITs, NITs and IIITs and other engineering institutes increase our skilled manpower
dramatically.
KPO as a growth area: Knowledge Process outsourcing is one of the major subsectors where
tremendous growth can be observed. Some of the services such as data analytics, content
management, research and information services, animation, biotech and pharmaceutical
research, medical and health services are already outsourced to India. Global spend on BPO
activities is expected to grow at about 12% till 2012, which will further drive the growth of
BPO sector in domestic context.
Global growth in IT services spending: The global IT spending is expected to grow ar 6.3% in
the next two to three years. India is also poised to increase its share to tap into the global IT
spending.
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As US faces downgrading and EU faces sovereign debt crisis the market there is shrinking,
whereas other markets such as APAC and BRIC will show a high growth in the coming years
and can be a very good potential market.
High GDP Growth Rate and Human Resource and Skill Requirement will fuel growth in
domestic spending. Other initiatives of the government such as UID project(Aadhar) and e-
governace will also increase domestic spending.
Sustaining Cost Competitiveness: according to management consultancy AT Kearney's 2011
Global Services Location Index (GSLI) India occupies the top position as the most preferred
BPO destination.
Challenges:
Foreign Exchange Risk : This is one of the risk that is much higher than the market risk. The
foreign exchange fluctuations hamper the margins as they were hampered the last year. Now
once again the dollar is back on rs. 45.87 per dollar.
Country Risk: Risk is coming from the protectionist attitude of the US & Europe (which account
for close to 60% and 30% of IT exports respectively) governments. This will hamper the
prospects of the IT industries as their operations may get hampered due to this. Variations in
global demand growth would present itself as a significant risk factor as the industry is
predominantly export driven. Revenues from the BFSI segment are exposed to high risk as
evidenced by the recent economic crisis. Ending of tax breaks for STPI by 2010 could result in
reduced PAT levels. The union Budget 2011 did not extend the period of tax exemption for
STPIs beyond 31st March 2011. This will reduce the willingness of IT cos to come in STPI
scheme.
Availability of quality human resource, and ability to innovate would present themselves as
risks. According to IMaCS report on Human resource and Skill requirements in the IT ITeS
Industry for NSDC, the skill gap is very high at all levels in a typical IT organization. It envisages
an optimistic growth of 15.7% CAGR and a likely human resource requirement in the IT and
ITES sector as 5.3 million persons till 2022., which can be fulfilled by developing its talent pool
by expanding in tier II and tier III cities.
Other countries such as Brazil, China, Philippines, Vietnam, Czech Republic, Ireland, and
Malaysia could eat into India’s pie.
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In addition, data theft and information security present themselves as serious reputation
risks for companies in the industry. Additionally, the industry is also prone to regulatory risks
as a result of the need for outsourcing service providers to comply with various regulations
such as Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act (GLBA), Data Protection Act of the UK, and Sarbanes-Oxley
Act.
Trends:
Shift towards markets other than US and EU: As US and EU markets are experiencing a
slowdown, Many Indian companies have started looking for opportunities elsewhere. IBM
signed a 10 year deal with Airtel to provide IT services to the latter’s employee in Africa. Latin
American nations have expressed interest in close ties with Indian IT companies have
indicated Bilateral Trade Pacts and Free Trade Agreements.
Foreign workforce: Not only are we looking at foreign markets for clients, but also for highly
skilled employees. Infosys has gone global in terms of workforce. To avoid the biggest
bottleneck to the growth of a corporation, that is, the availability of good talent, they are
looking for employees from all over the world.
Cloud: Cloud computing is a technique by which you can access all your documents and
applications via the internet. This means that a database system, connected by the internet to
your organization can be used to access all the information that you need. This reduces the
cost dramatically as only one license needs to be brought for each application, and also pay-
per-use is applicable. This is a recent trend that is catching up in the IT industry and promises
to have a great future.
ERP: Enterprise Resource planning has been in the industry for quite some time and
companies like SAP, Oracle, PeopleSoft are the major players in this field and help integrate
any business together.
Global Delivery Model: A global Delivery Model is followed by any company aspiring to be a
face in the international IT market. This understands the needs of the customers more
effectively than one-size-fits-all approach.
Green IT: is an approach to try to make the industry more sustainable
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Industry Capacity:
The sector produced approximately 70% of the total 100 million jobs created in India in 2010-
11 and generated revenue of about $76.1 billion. According to NSDC, rising technology
spending, GDP growth, emerging markets like BRIC, APAC, Japan etc. will be the primary
drivers of growth and that the ‘outsourceable’ market would expand from the current US $
500 billion to about US $ 1.5 to 1.6 trillion by 2020. The growth observed in the sector is so
high that Nasscom and IMaCs expect the revenue to grow to $281 Billion by 2022.
Future outlook IT sector’s contribution to India’s GDP, Currently at 7% is expected to grow till 2022. As
enunciated by NASSCOM’s ‘Perspective 2020’, the success story of the industry would rely on
the following:
Catalysing growth beyond today’s core markets
Establishing India as a trusted global hub for professional services
Harnessing ICT (Information and Communication Technology) for inclusive growth
Developing a high caliber talent pool
Building a pre-eminent innovation hub in India.
Growth will be observed in Tier II and Tier III cities as costs of production in Tier I cities
increase, but this requires more government spending on development of infrastructure to
promote the growth of this industry in these regions.
1 Future IT Hubs, Source: STPI and Tramell Crow
76
In the spotlight Cognizant to acquire CoreLogic India Operations for $50 million cash, adjustment in working
capital and other charges to be decided at closing. July 2011
Infosys and Tata group ahead of Google, Facebook in thought leadership, according to UK
based consulting firm- June 2011
Wikileaks cable offers new insights on Oracle-Sun deal
Cisco acquires Microsoft Office collaboration company Versly
Steve Jobs quits as Apple CEO
Steve Ballmer expects stupendous growth in cloud computing in India, to raise $3bn by 2015
and generate 300,000 jobs in India
Cognizant overtakes Wipro to be the third largest IT company in India
Wipro writes its first Rural BPO
Infosys: Prof. Marti G. Subrahmanyam, Lead Independent Director, will retire from the Board
effective August 23, 2011
Major players in the IT industry The top 10 IT companies in India are:
77
From more recent figures the top four spots, of companies on basis of revenue , are occupied
by: Tata Consultancy, Infosys, Cognizant and Wipro
COMPANY PROFILES
TCS Tata Consultancy Services started as Tata Computer Centre, for the company Tata Group in
the year 1968, became the largest IT organization in India since 2001, and has remained at the
top position since then. It is an IT services, consulting and business solutions organization and
offers a consulting-led, integrated portfolio of IT, BPO, infrastructure, engineering and
assurance services through its unique Global Network Delivery Model™, which is recognized as
the benchmark of excellence in software development. The Company generated consolidated
revenues of US $ 8.2 billion for year ended 31 March, 2011 and is listed on the NSE and BSE.
Services:
78
Financials: Q1 performance
On July 14th 2011, TCS declared a dividend of 3 INR per share.
Cognizant Cognizant Technology Solutions (Cognizant) is a multinational provider of IT services
headquartered in Teaneck, New Jersey, USA. The company is a member of NASDAQ-100,
the S&P 500 and Fortune 500. Cognizant has been named to the 2010 Fortune 100 Fastest-
Growing Companies List for the eighth consecutive year.
Services Offerings
IT Services Custom application development, application management, System integration and testing, etc
IT Infrastructure Services data center management and application management ser-vices.
Enterprise Solutions SCM, CRM, ERP software, and RFID
Consulting cloud advisory services, information risk management, IT proc-ess and service management
BPO Banking and financial services, CIM, Finance and accounting, Human Resource outsourcing, and knowledge process out-sourcing.
Business Intelligence and per-formance management
enterprise data management, knowledge and enterprise con-tent management.
Particulars Value Growth
Revenues $2.41 billion 34.4% Yoy
Net Income (PAT) $532 million 30.6% Yoy
Operating profits $631 million 28% yoy
Increase in workforce in Q1
11,988(gross), 3,576 (net) 6.0%, 1.8%
Increase in clients 24
Operating Margin 26.1%
EPS 12.32 INR, $0.27
BSE (as on 31st Aug 2011) 1040.6
Public share holding 25.93%
79
What started as an IT development and maintenance services arm of The Dun &
Bradstreet Corporation, at Chennai, in 1994, spun off as an independent organization two
years later and moved its headquarters to the US. It is now in excellent financial health,
reporting over $2.2 billion in cash and short term investments for the quarter ending June 30,
2011. It is hiring extensively in the US, but still more than 75% of its 100,000-plus employees
are based in India.
Financial Health:
Wipro Wipro limited, standing for Western India Palm Refined Oils, is a global IT services company
and is the fourth largest software company in India. It was established in 1980 as a subsidiary
of Wipro Limited listed on NYSE by Azim Premji. The company has two major diversifications,
Wipro Infotech and Wipro BPO.
Services Offerings
Business consulting Strategic services, customer solutions, data warehous-ing, business intelligence, testing, advanced solutions.
Application services application development, testing, application value management
IT infrastructure services consulting and professional services, managed ser-vices, integrated solutions.
BPO finance and accounting, procurement, research and analytics
Particulars Value Growth
Revenues $1.48 bn 34.38% Yoy
Net Income (PAT) $208 mn 17% Yoy
Operating Income $269.96 mn 28% yoy
Increase in clients 59
Operating Margin 18.2% -0.4%
EPS $0.68 16%
NASDAQ (as on 31st Aug 2011) $63.45
Employee additions 7100 (Q2)
Cash Reserves $2.27 bn
80
Microsoft
Founded in 1975, Microsoft having headquarters at Raymond, Washington, US is the
worldwide leader in software, services and solutions. It offers a wide range of products and
services mainly related to computing. Standard and Poor's and Moody's have both given a
AAA rating to Microsoft, whose assets were valued at $41 billion as compared to only
$8.5 billion in unsecured debt. Consequently, in February 2011 Microsoft released a corporate
bond amounting to $2.25 billion with relatively low borrowing rates compared to government
bonds.
For the first time in 20 years Apple Inc. surpassed Microsoft in Q1 2011 quarterly profits and
revenues due to a slowdown in PC sales and continuing huge losses in Microsoft's Online
Services Division (which contains its search engine Bing). (Q1 2011 lost $726 mn, $2.5 bn
FY2010). Microsoft recently acquired Skype for $8.5 bn. Microsoft offers a variety of products
from Windows, Office suite,IE etc to Xbox for gaming and windows mobile for telephony, to
CRM and ERP softwares for business.
Services Description
Consulting
Analytics and information management Business analytics, business intelligence, performance management, information management
Business Application Services Enterprise applications, business collabo-ration and customer experience, enter-prise integration, enterprise security solu-tions, testing
Infrastructure Management Services
BPO Enterprise BPO, Domestic BPO
Product and Engineering Services Development of process, products
Integration Application and enterprise systems inte-gration, data centres, disaster recovery
Specialised Services Green IT, Cloud, Technical support
81
Financial Health:
Recommended Reading http://www.nasscom.in/ http://www.nasscom.in/upload/47143/IT_Mid_Caps_The_Untold_Story.pdf http://www.mit.gov.in/content/industry-promotion-activities-dpl-industyactivities http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cloud_computing http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Virtualization http://dl.dropbox.com/u/5973996/Users/Simantik/UNCTAD.pdf http://www.nsdcindia.org/pdf/IT-ITES-Industry.pdf
Particulars Value Growth
Revenues $69.94 bn (17.37 Q4 2011) 11.9% Yoy
Net Income (PAT) $23.15 bn 21% Yoy
Operating Income $26.99 bn 12% yoy
Operating Margin 18.2% -0.4%
EPS $2.73 28%
NASDAQ (as on 31st Aug 2011) $26.60
82
INTRODUCTION The Indian retail industry is divided into organised and unorganised sectors. Organised retailing
refers to trading activities undertaken by licensed retailers, that is those who are registered for
sales tax, income tax etc. These include the corporate-backed hypermarkets and retail chains,
and also the privately owned large retail businesses. Unorganised retailing, on the other hand,
refers to the traditional formats of low cost retailing, for eg. , the local kirana shops, owner
manned general stores, paan/beedi shops, convenience stores, hand cart and pavement
vendors etc. The Indian retail sector is highly fragmented with 97 percent of its business being
run by the unorganised retailers like the traditional family run stores and corner stores. The
organised retail however is at a very nascent stage. The sector is the largest source of
employment after agriculture and has deep penetration in rural India generating more than
10% of India’s GDP. India is the third-most attractive retail market for global retailers among
the 30 largest emerging markets, according to US consulting group AT Kearney’s report
published in June 2010. Indian retail sector accounts for 22 per cent of the country's gross
domestic product (GDP) and contributes to 8 per cent of the total employment. The top five
companies in retail hold a combined market share of less than 2%. More than 80% of the retail
sector in the country is concentrated in the large cities.
History Traditionally retailing in India can be traced to the emergence of the neighbourhood Kirana
stores catering to the convenience of the consumers. Then we had the era of government
support for rural retail: Indigenous franchise model of store chains run by Khadi & Village
Industries Commission. The1980s experienced slow change as India began to open up
economy. The textiles sector with companies like Bombay Dyeing, Raymond's, S Kumar's and
Grasim first saw the emergence of retail chains. Later Titan successfully created an organized
retailing concept and established a series of showrooms for its premium watches. The latter
half of the 1990s saw a fresh wave of entrants with a shift from Manufactures to Pure
Retailers. For e.g. Food World, Subhiksha and Nilgiris in food and FMCG; Planet M and Music
World in music; Crossword and Fountainhead in books. Post 1995 onwards saw an emergence
of shopping centers mainly in urban areas, with facilities like car parking targeted to provide a
complete destination experience for all segments of society. Then there was emergence of
hyper and super markets trying to provide customer with 3 V’s - Value, Variety and Volume.
There was also the expanding target consumer segment: The Sachet revolution - example of
RETAIL SECTOR
83
reaching to the bottom of the pyramid. At year end of 2000 the size of the Indian organized
retail industry is estimated at Rs. 13,000 crore.
Growth/evolution Indian retail is expected to grow 25 per cent annually. Modern retail in India could be worth
US$ 175-200 billion by 2016. The Food Retail Industry in India dominates the shopping basket.
The Mobile phone Retail Industry in India is already a US$ 16.7 billion business, growing at
over 20 per cent per year. The future of the India Retail Industry looks promising with the
growing of the market, with the government policies becoming more favourable and the
emerging technologies facilitating operations.
Major event/landmark One major event which can be stated here is the introduction of FDI of upto 51% in single
brand retail sector in India.
Current state Despite of being one of the hot sectors in India, retail is highly fragmented and organized retail
is just 3% of the total retail market. There are about 12 million retail outlets spread across
India, earning it the epithet of a “nation of shopkeepers.” More than 80% of these 12 million
outlets are run by small family businesses which use only household labour.
Micro/Macro environment The following is the Porter’s five force analysis of the Indian Retail Industry.
84
Overview of Drivers and Constraints of Growth
Rivalry among com-
petitors
• Limited number of competing firms in organized retail
• Similar size of players
• High growth rate
Threat of entrants • International players looking to foray India
• FDI policy not favourable for international players
• Domestic conglomerates looking to start retail chains
Bargaining power of
suppliers
• Large number of suppliers
• Product differentiation is not high
• Suppliers like Godrej and HLL are willing to integrate forward.
Bargaining • Propensity to pay is low. Consumers are price sensitive.
Power of buyers • Rising income level enables large number of buyers.
Threat of substitutes • Unorganized retail.
Growth drivers Constraints
Demand Side • Economic Growth • Diverse customers segment to cater and
changing buying behaviour. • Favourable Demographics
• Urbanization of Tier II and
Tier III cities
Supply Side • Credit availability • High real estate cost
• Lack of human resources
• Inefficient logistics
• Space availability
• Lack of proper infrastructure
85
Major segments/sub-sectors Unorganised sector
Unorganised retailing, on the other hand, refers to the traditional formats of low cost retailing,
for eg the local kirana shops, owner manned general stores, paan/beedi shops, convenience
stores, hand cart and pavement vendors etc.
Organised sector
Retailing format in India:
Malls
The largest form of organized retailing today. Located mainly in metro cities, in proximity to
urban outskirts. Ranges from 60,000 sq ft to 7,00,000 sq ft and above. They lend an ideal
shopping experience with an amalgamation of product, service and entertainment, all under a
common roof. Examples include Shoppers Stop, Pyramid, and Pantaloon.
Specialty Stores:
Discount Stores
As the name suggests, discount stores or factory outlets, offer discounts on the MRP through
selling in bulk reaching economies of scale or excess stock left over at the season. The product
category can range from a variety of perishable/ non-perishable goods.
Department Stores
Large stores ranging from 20000-50000 sq. ft, catering to a variety of consumer needs. Further
classified into localized departments such as clothing, toys, home, groceries, etc.
Departmental stores are expected to take over the apparel business from exclusive brand
showrooms. Among these, the biggest success is K Raheja's Shoppers Stop, which started in
Mumbai and now has more than seven large stores (over 30,000 sq. ft) across India and even
has its own in store brand for clothes called Stop.
Hypermarts/Supermarkets Large self-service outlets, catering to varied shopper needs are termed as Supermarkets. These are located in or near residential high streets. These stores today contribute to 30% of all food & grocery organized retail sales. Super Markets can further be classified in to mini supermarkets typically 1,000 sq ft to 2,000 sq ft and large supermarkets ranging from of 3,500 sq ft to 5,000 sq ft. having a strong focus on food & grocery and personal sales.
86
Convenience Stores
These are relatively small stores 400-2,000 sq. feet located near residential areas. They stock a
limited range of high-turnover convenience products and are usually open for extended
periods during the day, seven days a week. Prices are slightly higher due to the convenience
premium
MBO
Multi Brand outlets, also known as Category Killers, offer several brands across a single
product category. These usually do well in busy market places and Metros.
Major 3 players The major players are Future Group, Shopper’s Stop, Reliance Retail.
Industry Capacity
Trends: The ever evolving formats:
In most emerging retail markets, such as Eastern Europe, Latin America and China,
hypermarkets have been the major high growth format. Supermarkets dominate most cities,
but there has been a clear shift towards hypermarkets, driven by the combination of good
prices, overall shopping convenience and experience, product range and quality. In India, most
hypermarkets are located within city limits as consumers do their shopping more than once a
week. This is primarily because Indian consumers prefer fresh produce, have low car
penetration and limited refrigeration space at home. Hence, there are only about 25
hypermarkets in India, operated by 4 major retailers. The 3 big retailers (Big Bazaar of Future
Group, Star Bazaar of the Tatas and RPG Spencer) out of India’s top 5 retailers, already have
aggressive hypermarket strategies in place. This is going to be one of the most preferred
formats for international retailers entering India.
Size of Retail Size 2004 (Rs. Bn) 2010 (Rs. Bn)
Estimated size of retail in India 9300 14000
Share of Organized retail (%) in India 3 10-12
Size of organized retail in India 280 1400-1500
87
Intense competition will see new innovation in the future. For e.g. The Future Group has
started a new formats called “Central” which they are projecting as destination stores for
entire family. These stores are mammoth in size (in excess of 1,00,000 sq.ft.) and by next year
they are planning to have Kolkata central with size of 4,80,000 sq ft.
The innovation in formats is not limited to food & grocery or apparels but there are several.
Rural India is witnessing different experiments. ITC is experimenting with retailing through its
e-Choupal and Choupal Sagar – rural hypermarkets. HLL is using its Project Shakti initiative –
leveraging women self-help groups – to explore the rural market. Mahamaza is leveraging
technology and network marketing concepts to act as an aggregator and serve the rural
markets. A common theme that emerges is the need for business model innovation to tap
rural retail potential. Big players which usually act as anchor store owners in a mall are tying
up with the developers of the malls to attract crowd by providing special facilities. Mall
management is a new field which is attracting attention of developers. Also new business
models like the revenue shared business model (where revenue is shared between retailer
and mall developer) are on rise. It could be said that new formats will keep on evolving as
competition stiffens and international players arrive in India. However, because of huge
geography and varying demographics multiple formats will survive.
Changing Format
Preference Retailer
Original Format Later Format
RPG Supermarket Hypermarket,
Specialty stores
Piramal’s Departmental stores Discount stores
Future Group Departmental stores Hypermarket
Supermarket
Central
Raheja Group Departmental stores
(Shoppers Stop)
Specialty stores( Cross-
word)
Supermarket (TBA)
Hypermarket (TBA)
Tata Group Departmental stores
(Westside)
Hypermarket
(StarIndia bazaar)
88
E-tailing
Another concept which is slowly but surely gaining popularity is e-tailing or electronic retailing
which provides the consumers the convenience of online shopping. Almost all the big players
in the sector either have or are planning to come up with the online version of the shopping. A
case in point is Lgezbuy.com portal launched by LG electronics. Although price may be higher
in this form of retailing but it gives the consumer convenience and benefits related to online
shopping. Such a format is very popular in developed countries like USA.
Movement towards Tier-II and Tier III cities
With the increase in consumer spending in Tier II cities and urbanization of Tier III cities, these
cities are now attracting lot of retail activities. Players are moving to Tier II and Tier III cities to
gain the first mover advantage. Also, the operational cost at these cities is comparatively low
than the metro cities primarily because of high real-estate cost in the metro cities. A survey by
CRISIL shows that top 60 cities will see the major organized retailing activity.
Use of Private Labels
A key strategy adopted globally and increasingly in India by retailers is the use of private labels
or store brands. Globally private labels contribute to 17 percent of retail sales and are growing
at 5 percent per annum. Private labels provide a higher margin to the retailers while
simultaneously offering lower prices to consumers. A recent survey by AC Nielsen has
identified that 56 percent of their survey respondents in India consider private labels to be
good alternatives to manufacturer brands. In India, private label penetration is on the rise. The
rapid growth of Indian retailers in the coming years will provide the necessary scale for many
to launch an active private label program. In areas like consumer durables, the rapid
development of original design manufacturers would facilitate easy introduction of private
labels soon.
Specialty retailing
Learning from western countries, players are trying to capture the market share by bringing
out formats catering to single verticals. Such chains are called specialty retailers or category
killers. in the West. Many specialized stores have been set up with various food, apparel and
footwear brands (both Indian and foreign) and companies like Godrej have already started
furniture stores. Hindustan Lever Ltd, the FMCG major, is considering a retail chain for laundry
products. Big players such as the Dubai-based Jumbo Group, Tatas and some small players are
89
entering the electronics space. Other categories being explored by retailers are office
products, toys, lingerie, chocolates, electrical products, paper products, stationery and
furnishings. As these stores do not require much space, they will be set up as stores in malls
rather than as standalone stores.
Pricing power/price competition As the retail industry is in the nascent stage it is unlikely that players will play the price war,
which usually takes place in a mature industry. The players will however try to win the
customers by product differentiation or by providing a unique shopping experience. Only basic
daily usage high frequency- low value items would be sold at lower prices and once the market
gets saturated price war may be witnessed in the other product categories also.
Competitive & Financial Analysis
Net Profit Sales Net Revenue Retail
space
added/
No. of
new
stores
opened 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 2011
Panta-
loon
Retail
Rs.
179.56
crore
Rs.
76.67
crore
Rs.
5934.37
crore
Rs.
4097.43
crore
Rs.
9,786.94
crore
Rs.
12,211.7
9 crore
2.26
million
square
feet
Shop-
pers
Stop
Rs. 9.29
crore
Net loss
(1.52
crore)
N/A N/A Rs.
355.27
crore
Rs.
593.31
crore
11
stores
Reli-
ance
Retail
N/A Net loss
(350
crore)
N/A N/A N/A N/A 90
stores
90
Net profit of Pantaloon Retail India declined 57.30% to Rs. 76.67 crore in the year ended June
2011 as against Rs. 179.56 crore during the previous year ended June 2010. Sales declined
30.95% to Rs. 4097.43 crore in the year ended June 2011 as against Rs. 5934.37 crore during
the previous year ended June 2010.
In the consolidated full year results, the company reported net profit after minority interest of
Rs. 141.54 crore in the year ended June 2011 as against Rs. 67.49 crore during the previous
year ended June 2010. Sales reported to Rs. 12211.79 crore in the year ended June 2011 as
against Rs. 9786.94 crore during the previous year ended June 2010 while other income
totaled Rs.154.55 crore, compared with Rs.126.06 crore in 2010. The company reported fiscal
year Core Retail consolidated net profit, before minority interest, of Rs.190 crore, compared
with Rs.230 crore last year--a 17 percent decline. Total revenue, including other income, was
Rs.11,033 crore, up by 22 percent from the Rs.9,012 crore in 2010.
On a per shares basis, earnings for the year was Rs.6.36, up by 103 percent from the Rs.3.13 a
year-ago. For FY11, same-store Sales Growth (SSG) under Value Retailing was ten percent,
Lifestyle Retailing stood at 16 percent and Home Retailing at eight percent. The company
added 2.26 million square feet of retail space during the year. The board of Pantaloon Retail
(India) has recommended dividend at the rate of Re 0.90 per equity share (45%) and at the
rate of Re 1 (50%) per Class B shares (Series 1).
Department store operator Shoppers Stop swung to a consolidated net loss of Rs 1.52 crore in
the first quarter of 2011, compared with a net profit of Rs 9.29 crore in the year ago quarter
due to a sharp rise in total expenses.
Its consolidated total income for the April-June quarter was up 67% year-on-year to Rs 593.31
crore. During the first quarter, the company’s consolidated expenses soared 75% from a year
ago to Rs 592.74 crore. During the three-month period, its expenses towards purchase of
traded goods jumped 92% from a year ago to Rs 429.07 crore, and employee costs were up
89% to Rs 46.95 crore. Its interest and finance costs also rose to Rs 8 crore from Rs 4.91 crore
in April-June. On a standalone basis, Shoppers Stop’s first quarter net profit was up 16.6% year
-on-year to Rs 11.7 crore and total income was up 144% to Rs 393.02 crore.
91
What lies ahead
Growth outlook
The Indian retail industry has grown at a Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 13.3%
for the period FY06-10. The growth in the Indian economy since the last decade and the
change in consumption pattern of the Indian populace in terms of higher proportion of middle
class population, greater proportion of working women etc can unarguably be linked to the
growth of the Indian retailing industry. Of all the segments in retail, the contribution of ‘food
& grocery’ remained the highest at 58% of the total retail sales during FY10, with the ‘clothing
& footwear’ segment remaining the second largest contributor occupying 10% of the total
retail pie during the same period. However in terms of growth figures, the ‘entertainment,
books & sports goods equipment’ segment outperformed the other retail segments registering
a CAGR of 22.5% during the period FY06-10.
In spite of the growth, the industry remains largely fragmented with the organized retailing
still at a nascent stage. In case of overall retailing revenues, the food & grocery segment
accounted for the highest share at 58% of the total retailing pie aggregating Rs.11.49 lakh
crore during FY10. In the organised retailing, the food & grocery segment stood as the second
largest contributor with revenues aggregating Rs.24,273 crore during the same period.
However, the organised retail penetration of other segments such as clothing & footwear,
entertainment & books and furniture & furnishing surpassed that of the food & grocery
segment. The Indian retail industry has witnessed rampant growth over the last decade.
However, during the economic recession since the latter half of FY09, the retailers especially in
the organised segment suffered a set-back in the form of declining revenues and halt in their
capex plans.
The unemployment situation, further aggravating the fear of job losses during the recession,
resulted in muted consumer spending with the consumers choosing to spend on necessities
rather than discretionary items; the industry thus witnessed decline in footfalls, conversion
rate, which was especially apparent in the decline of same store sales. The slowdown in
consumer spending led to the inventory being stacked up resulting in a low inventory
turnaround ratio, registering a decline to 4.3 times during FY09 from 4.8 times during FY08.
Before the onset of recession, the large scale expansion plans of the Indian retailers warranted
an increase in inventory and greater store operating expenses in the form of rentals and staff
expenses thus increasing the working capital requirement. However with the economic
92
recession in effect, the retailers were faced with a liquidity crunch owing to difficulties in
raising funds both from the equity as well as debt markets. Additionally, the funds raised
during the economic boom attracted higher interest rates thereby affecting the retailers’
ability to service the interest as well as principal repayments during the downturn. The total
interest outgo of the retailers as tracked by CARE Research registered a y-o-y growth of 78.6%
during FY09. Even though, post recession, the industry is witnessing a gradual turnaround, it is
met by a few stumbling blocks that constitute the challenges ahead for the Indian retail
industry viz. higher store rentals as compared to retailers globally, taxation & other policy
regulations, inefficiencies in supply chain management and higher rate of shrinkage.
In spite of the said challenges, CARE Research expects the Indian retail industry to grow on the
backdrop of expectant rise in the country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) during the period
FY11-FY13. The rise in income level of the Indian populace, in turn, is expected to fuel the
domestic consumption ultimately resulting in higher revenues for the Indian retailers.
Importantly, CARE Research expects the penetration of organised retail in the total retail pie
to increase by FY13 owing to the expanding reach of the retailers to tier-II & III cities
accompanied by higher consumer spend on discretionary items. Also, in an attempt to
increase margins, CARE Research expects the retailers would restore to adapting measures
such as increasing the share of private labels in the total store sales, reducing store level
operating expenses etc. The report on the Indian retail industry provides a comprehensive
overview of all the above mentioned parameters with detailed forecasts.
Opportunities in the retail sector AT Kearney’s study on global retailing trends found that India is the least competitive as well
as least saturated of all global major markets. This implies that there are significantly low entry
barriers for players trying to setup base in India, in terms of the competitive landscape. The
report further stated that global retailers such as Walmart, Carrefour, Tesco and Casino would
take advantage of the more favourable FDI rules that are likely in India and enter the country
through partnerships with local retailers. Other retailers such as Marks and Spencer and the
Benetton Group, who operate through a franchisee model, would most likely switch to a
hybrid ownership structure.
A good talent pool, unlimited opportunities, huge markets and availability of quality raw
materials at cheaper costs is expected to make India overtake the world’s best retail
economies by 2042, according to industry players.
93
The retail industry in India, according to experts, will be a major employment generator in the
future. Currently, the market share of organised retail is just over 4% of the total retail
industry, thereby leaving a huge untapped opportunity.
The sector is expected to see an investment of over $30 billion within the next 4-5 years,
catapulting modern retail in the country to $175-200 billion by 2016, according to Technopak
estimates. On the total organised retail market of Rs. 550 billion, the business of fashion
accounts for Rs. 300.80 billion, which translates to nearly 55% of the organised retail segment
in the country. Total fashion sector was estimated at Rs. 1,914 billion and forms about 15% of
the country’s retail market of Rs. 12000 billion. Commanding such a large chunk of the
organised retail business in India, fashion retailing has indeed been responsible for single-
handedly driving the business of retail in India.
Challenges in retailing The industry is facing a severe shortage of talented professionals, especially at the middle
management level. Most Indian retail players are under serious pressure to make their supply
chains more efficient in order to deliver the levels of quality and service that consumers are
demanding. Long intermediation chains would increase the costs by 15%.
Lack of adequate infrastructure with respect to roads, electricity, cold chains and ports has
further led to the impediment of a pan-India network of suppliers. Due to these constraints,
retail chains have to resort to multiple vendors for their requirements, thereby raising costs
and prices. The available talent pool does not back retail sector as the sector has only recently
emerged from its nascent phase. Further, retailing is yet to become a preferred career option
for most of India’s educated class.
The system is currently plagued with differential tax rates for various states leading to
increased costs and complexities in establishing an effective distribution network. Stringent
labour laws govern the number of hours worked and minimum wages to be paid leading to
limited flexibility of operations and employment of part time employees. Further, multiple
clearances are required by the same company for opening new outlets adding to the costs
incurred and time taken to expand presence in the country.
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The retail sector does not have an ‘industry’ status yet making it difficult for retailers to raise
finance from banks to fund their expansion plans. Government restrictions on the FDI are
leading to an absence of foreign players resulting into limited exposure to best practices. Non-
availability of government land and zonal restrictions has made it difficult to find a good real
estate in terms of location and size. Also lack of clear ownership titles and high stamp duty has
resulted in disorganised nature of transactions.
Future outlook
Tough times lie ahead for the retail industry as consumers are holding on to their wallets due
to job losses, stock markets are volatile and chances of a prolonged recession are increasing.
Consumer spending is likely to contract further as banks are becoming overcautious in lending
and are also tightening their rules on the credit card issues. Thus the retailers are witnessing
an uphill task in terms of wooing consumers, despite offering big discounts. Also the organised
retailers have been facing a difficult time to wean away customers from traditional kirana
stores, especially in the food and grocery segment. The organised retail segment has to adopt
various best practices to prevail in the current situation. They have to offer more convenience
in terms of superior logistics and pricing or location. Moreover, inadequacies in the existing
retail infrastructure and logistics is also denting the sector’s growth. An efficient retail supply
chain is very critical for the retailers, particularly for agri commodities. Baring few leading big
retail companies, the supply chain is not very efficient for most of the small and medium
retailers. Retailers can therefore enhance their earnings by improving their supply chain with
appropriate expertise. They therefore need to increase their investments in retail ancillaries
and retail logistics to restrict the fall in margins. Moreover, many retailers are negotiating for
better credit terms, boosting their supply chain, cutting inventories. Besides, few of them are
even merging their stores to counter the current slowdown in retail sales.
Furthermore, in the liquidity crunch scenario, retail companies have been expanding their
brands with minimum investments through the franchise route, which has received a major
thrust in the economic downturn scenario. The franchise model constitutes 25-30% of the
current organised retail pie, and is expected to reach 45-50% in the next couple of years.
In view of the changing economic landscape, the retailers are increasingly adopting measures
to boost their top line as well as their bottom line by streamlining their existing supply chain,
especially in terms of inventory control and cost control, and are also raising the share of
private labels in the total revenue map. Globally, private labels constitute around 17% of total
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sales and in India private labels constitute 10-12% of the organised sector’s revenue20.
Henceforth, the Indian retail companies will be looking at increasing the share of private labels
from the current rate to 20-40%. Private labels can act as the saving grace for many retail
companies since margins in this range between 30-40%.
Consumer sentiments will be in a recuperating stage in the current year. As retail companies
have not achieved the expected sales till now, inventory is likely to pile up and to get rid of
this; companies are expected to slash prices by mark down in merchandise. For instance, in
the fashion and accessories category, the product cycle is very short and retailers are expected
to provide deep discounts to consumers to clear the inventory pile-up.
Real estate experienced huge reduction in costs in the third quarter of FY08 and to capitalise
this opportunity, they started expanding their stores to viable locations. The companies are
closing down their under-performing stores and are moving to viable areas to curtail losses.
The real estate costs are expected to rise in the coming quarters due to expansion and
relocation plans of retail companies. Despite the setbacks experienced this year, the retail
sector is likely to flourish in the coming years.
Company profiles
1. Future Group
Future Group, led by its founder and Group CEO, Mr. Kishore Biyani, operates some of India’s
most popular retail formats that include Pantaloons, Big Bazaar, Central, Home Town, Ezone
and Food Bazaar. While retail forms the core business activity of Future Group, the group has
developed significant presence in consumer finance, capital, insurance, brand development,
retail media and logistics.
The group’s retail formats bring in around 250 million customer footfalls every year and
provide a platform for over 30,000 small, medium and large entrepreneurs in India to sell their
products and services to these customers. The group has a retail presence in 85 cities and 65
rural destinations and employs over 35,000 people directly.
The group’s flagship enterprise, Pantaloon Retail India Limited was founded in 1987 and is
listed in the Bombay Stock Exchange and National Stock Exchange since 1991. The company
along with its subsidiaries operates around 16,000,000 square feet (1,500,000 m2) of retail
space in the country. Over the years, the group has also developed successful partnerships
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with Indian and foreign companies. It also operates rural retail chain in partnership with
Godrej Group. The group also has exclusive brand license partnerships with leading global
brands like Lee Cooper, Converse, Callaway, Prince, Spalding and Wilson.
Future Group believes in developing strong insights on Indian consumers and building
businesses based on Indian ideas, as espoused in the group’s core value of ‘Indianness.’ The
group’s corporate credo is, ‘Rewrite rules, Retain values.’
Awards and recognition
Brands
Readers’ Digest Awards 2006 Platinum Trusted Brand Award - Big Bazaar. The Reader’s Digest
awards are based on surveys done among consumers by independent research agency,
Nielsen Media Research.
CNBC Awaaz Consumer Awards 2006 Most Preferred Large Food & Grocery Supermarket – Big
Bazaar conducted in association with AC Nielsen-ORG Marg across 21 major cities, nearly
10,000 consumers were asked to choose their most preferred brands.
Digital
Best Indian Website In The Shopping Category - Futurebazaar.com. PC World, a leading
consumer technology magazine selected the best Indian websites in various categories based
on use of technology for delivering solutions, information being presented in an intuitive and
concise manner and overall experience aided by design.
People Resources
Hewitt Best Employers 2007 Best Employers in India (Rank 14th) – Pantaloon Retail (India) Ltd.
Leading human resources consultancy, Hewitt Associates conducts an annual survey of the
best employers in India, as part of its global initiative. It is based on CEO interview, People
Practices Inventory and Employee Opinion Surveys. Pantaloon Retail became the only retailer
to feature among the twenty-five best employers in India.
2. Shopper’s Stop
Shoppers Stop Limited was founded by K Raheja Corp in 1991 laying the foundation of the
modern retail industry in India. It started operations with the first store in suburban Mumbai
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and is now a multi-channel retailer with 43 large format department stores and online
presence. From its inception, Shoppers Stop has progressed to become a premier Fashion &
Lifestyle destination for the family. Today, Shoppers Stop is known for its superior quality
products, services and above all, for providing a complete shopping experience.
With an immense amount of expertise and credibility, Shoppers Stop has become the highest
benchmark for the Indian retail industry. In fact, the company’s continuing expansion plans
aim to help Shoppers Stop meet the challenges of the retail industry in an even better manner
than it does today. Shoppers Stop invested in and acquired the Crossword Bookstores which
now operates more than 65 stores across the country. It has also invested in HyperCITY, a
hypermarket chain which has been rated as amongst the top 100 stores worldwide.
With exclusive brands as well as domestic and international brands, Shoppers Stop continues
its expansion across the country with the department stores, bookstores and hypermarkets.
Shoppers Stop also operates specialty stores for expectant mothers and children in
arrangement with Mothercare PLC, and cosmetic boutique stores with MAC.
A JV with The Nuance Group of Zurich operates airport retail stores.
Specialties
Retail, Hypermarkets, Department Stores, Bookstore, Airport retailing
3. Reliance Retail
Reliance Retail Limited operates retail outlets in India. Its retail outlets offer foods, groceries,
apparel and footwear, lifestyle and home improvement products, electronic goods, and farm
implements and inputs. The company’s outlets also provide vegetables, fruits, and flowers. It
focuses on consumer goods, consumer durables, travel services, energy, entertainment and
leisure, and health and well-being products, as well as educational products and services. The
company was formerly known as Reliance Petroleum Retail Private Limited and changed its
name to Reliance Retail Limited in January 2006. The company was incorporated in 1998 and
is based in Mumbai, India. Reliance Retail Limited operates as a subsidiary of Reliance
Industries Ltd. It has many subsidiaries under it such as Many brands like Reliance Fresh,
Reliance Footprint, Reliance Time Out, Reliance Digital, Reliance Wellness, Reliance Trendz,
Reliance Autozone, Reliance Super, Reliance Mart, Reliance iStore, Reliance Home Kitchens,
and Reliance Jewel come under the Reliance Retail brand. Reliance Retail, the wholly-owned
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subsidiary of Mukesh Ambani’s Reliance Industries, is all set to open 150 stores by March-end
and double the number of stores across the country in all formats within five years. This will
result in a 10-fold increase in revenue for the chain, from Rs 4,500 crore in 2009-10.
In 2010-11, the retail chain would have opened 350 stores, 150 in the last quarter of the
current financial year. At present Reliance Retail has 1,050 stores in all formats across the
country. As for 2011-12, the plan was to open another 400. According to the company, the
thrust of the expansion drive will be on the value format in the states of eastern India, along
with Uttar Pradesh, where penetration has been relatively low. At present, of the 20 odd
format stores, both food and non-food, half of Reliance Retail’s revenues come from the food
arm.
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RESEARCH AND SCHOLASTIC DEVELOPMENT TEAM
Edited by: I Team Arun Prateek K (Marketing) Bhavik Bhathgara (Finance) Manisha Rana (Human Resources) Priyanka Pandit (Marketing) Snehal Narang (Finance) Vasudha Tripathi (Finance) S Team: Niket Khaitan (Finance) Jaikishore Sharma (Operations) Ketan Agarwal (Operations) Krupesh Shevgaonkar (Marketing) Mridula Muraleedharan (Finance)
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