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Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh Experience and Expectation Organised by BIISS 17 September 2015

Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh

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Page 1: Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh

Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs

Mahfuz Kabir, PhD

Senior Research Fellow, BIISS

Presented in the Special Seminar on

Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh Experience and Expectation

Organised by BIISS

17 September 2015

Page 2: Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh

Nominal Experience Endorsed by the heads of state and government in

the UNHQ in 2000 Based on numbers and targets (20 Targets and 60

indicators; in 2008) Champions of the people who are deprived Where does Bangladesh stand? – commendable

despite manifold vulnerabilities and predicaments Impressive growth and pro-poor growth Challenge is to attain inclusive growth Quantitative parameters – hope not complacency –

long way to go

Page 3: Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh
Page 4: Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh

Goal 1: Eradicate Extreme Poverty and Hunger

Commendable progress in eradication of poverty and hunger Incidence of poverty HCR has declined on an average 1.74

percentage points between 2000-2010 against the MDG target of 1.20 percentage points

Met one of the indicators of target 1 by bringing down poverty Poverty gap ratio to 6.5 against 2015 target of 8.0 Hunger reduced significantly in the pockets, e.g., monga-

prone, char and haor, and CHT areas Unemployment is a big challenge

56.7%

Baseline UHCR (1991-92)

26.2%

24.8%

UHCR 2013 Est. UHCR 2015Target UHCR 2015

29.0%

Page 5: Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh

Projected Head Count Ratio for 2015

Page 6: Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh

Regional Distribution of Poverty

Page 7: Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh
Page 8: Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh

Goal 2: Achieve Universal Primary Education

Significant progress in increasing equitable access in education (NER: 97.7%),

reduction of dropouts (currently 81%)

improvement in completion of the cycle, and

implementation of a number of quality enhancement measures in primary education

Achieved gender parity in primary and secondary enrolment

Challenges – quality and retention

Page 9: Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh

Gender Parity Index in Education SecondaryPrimary

Tertiary

Page 10: Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh

Female adult (15 years and above) literacyrate by upazila, Bangladesh, 2011

Page 11: Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh

Out-of-school children aged 6-10 years byupazila, Bangladesh, 2011

Page 12: Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh

Goal 3: Promote Gender Equality and Empower Women

Improvement in the social and political empowerment of women

Committed to attaining the objective of CEDAW, Beijing Platform for Action

Increase in the number of women parliamentarians elected (20% percent of total seats)

Wage employment for women is still low – 1/5th engaged in wage employment in the non-agricultural sector

Page 13: Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh

Participation of Labour in Mainstream Economic Activities

Source: MDG Progress Report 2015

Indicator 1990

2005 2010 2013

Share of women in wage employment in agricultural sector

45.5 66.54 40.84

Share of women in wage employmentin non-agricultural sector

19.1 14.6 19.87 31.6

Labour force participation rate 23.9 29.2 36 33.5

Unemployment rate 7.8(3.4)

7.04(3.35)

5.8(4.1)

7.3(3)Numbers in the parentheses imply the figures for males.

Page 14: Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh

Proportion of Female Members in the Parliament

Source: MDG Progress Report 2015

Page 15: Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh

Goal 4: Reduce Child Mortality

On track in meeting the target U-5 mortality rate, infant mortality rate and immunization against measles

Successful programs for immunization, control of diarrhoeal diseases and Vitamin A supplementation

Challenges Inequalities among the population segments Childhood injuries

146

Baseline U-5MR (1990-91)

46

U-5MR, 2014 Target U-5MR 2015

48

Page 16: Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh

MDG 4: Targets with indicatorsTargets and indicators(as revised)

Base year1990/91

Current status(source)

Target by2015

U-5 mortality rate (per 1,000 live births)

146 41 (2013) 48

Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births)

92 32 (2013) 31

Proportion of 1 year old children immunizedagainst measles, %

54 86 (2013) 100

Source: MDG Progress Report 2015

Page 17: Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh

Goal 5: Improve Maternal Health

Maternal mortality declined from 322 in 2001 to 194 in 2010, a 40% decline in nine years

Average annual rate of decline from 1990 has been about 3.3%, while MDG requirement is 3%

43.5% of women age 15-49 years with a live birth in the last 2 years were attended by skilled health personnel in 2012-2013, which was 24.4% in 2009

Major SSNPs – maternal voucher schemes

Page 18: Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh

MDG 5: Targets with indicatorsTargets and indicators(as revised)

Base year1990/91

Current status(source)

Target by2015

Maternal mortality ratio(per 100,000 live births)

574 170 (2013) 143

Proportion of birthsattended by skilled healthpersonnel (%)

5.0 42.1 (2014) 50

Contraceptive prevalencerate (%)

39.7 62.4 (2014) 72

Antenatal care coverage(at least one visit), (%)

27.5(1993-94)

78.6 (2014) 100

Antenatal care coverage(at least four visits), (%)

5.5(1993-94)

31.2 (2014) 50

Unmet need for familyplanning (%)

21.6(1993-94)

12 (2014) 7.6

Source: MDG Progress Report 2015

Page 19: Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh

Goal 6: Combat HIV/AIDS, Malaria and Other Diseases

Prevalence of HIV/AIDS in Bangladesh currently is less than 0.1% and thus is still below an epidemic level

Prevalence of malaria per 100,000 population was 441.5 in 2005, which came down to 202 in 2013

Children U-5 with fever who are treated with appropriate anti-malarial drugs was 80% in 2008, which was recorded at 89.50% in 2013 and the target is to achieve 90% in 2015 is almost achieved

The death rate associated with TB was 61 per 100,000, populations in 1990. The status is 45 in 2012 on track

Page 20: Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh

MDG 6: Targets with indicatorsTargets and indicators (as revised)

Base year1990/91

Current status (source)

Target by2015

HIV prevalence amongpopulation, %

0.005 <0.1 (2013) Halting

Prevalence of malaria per100,000 population

776.9(2008)

433.91(2014) 310.8

Deaths of Malaria per100,000 population

1.4(2008)

0.34 (2014) 0.6

Treatment Success RateNew Smear Positive TBunder DOTS, %

73(1994)

92 (2014) Sustain >90

Source: MDG Progress Report 2015

Page 21: Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh

Goal 7: Ensure Environmental Sustainability

Only 13.4% of land tree cover with density of 30% and above and the area having tree cover is much lower than the target set for 2015 (20%)

Steady increase in CO2 emission in Bangladesh because of increasing development interventions and activities. In 2012, the emission was 0.32 MT per capita

97.9% of the population of Bangladesh is using improved drinking water source

55.9% of population is using improved sanitation in 2012-2013

Challenge - arsenic and salinity intrusion Access to safe water – challenge of inequality

Page 22: Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh

MDG 7: Targets with indicatorsTargets and indicators(as revised)

Base year1990/91

Current status(source)

Target by2015

Proportion of land area covered by forest, % (tree coverage)

9.0 13.40 (2014)(density>30%)

20.0(density 70%)

Consumption of ozone depleting substances inODP MT

202.1ODP MT

64.88 65.39ODP tonnes

Proportion of terrestrialand marine areas protected

0.91 1.81% terrestrial 1.34% marine marine (2013)

5.0

Proportion of population using an improved drinking water source

78 97.9 100

Proportion of population using an improved sanitation facility

39 55.9 100

Source: MDG Progress Report 2015

Page 23: Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh

Proportion of households having no sanitarytoilet by district, Bangladesh, 2011

Page 24: Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh

Goal 8: Develop a Global Partnership for Development

Disbursed ODA as a proportion of Bangladesh’s GDP has declined from 5.59% in FY 90-91 to 1. 78% in 2013-14; annual average of 2.62%

80% people use mobile phone ‘Digital inclusion’ Challenge – texfer and making trade useful for

development International community failing to meet the pledges

1,732

Baseline US$ (1990-91)

3,084

US$ 2014 Target US$ 2015

4,175

Page 25: Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh

Real Experience Comfortable Convincing Easy to understand, interpret and memorize Ownership Smooth transmission to policies, strategies,

plans and programs Retain with the positive development

trajectory Bangladesh emerged as a ‘role model’

Page 26: Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh

Lessons Celebrate the achievements Bangladesh did not wait for others despite

international commitments (ODA) South-South cooperation as powerful force Setting the tone for showcasing

Bangladesh on how to build on successes and show the way for others

Promote development enterprise Catching up the well-performers

Page 27: Bangladesh’s Experience with MDGs Mahfuz Kabir, PhD Senior Research Fellow, BIISS Presented in the Special Seminar on Moving from MDGs to SDGs: Bangladesh

SGDsDeath of MDGs?

Just the beginning for 2030