Bangkok Condominium Market Report Q1/2012

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  • 7/31/2019 Bangkok Condominium Market Report Q1/2012

    1/13

    Q4 2011 - Q1 2012

    new Supply

    lAunCHeS

    pRICeS

    TAKe-up

    THAIlAnd

    .cirs.c.th

    Bangkok Condominium Market

    HIGHlIGHTS

    Nw lnchs in Q1 2012 rmticlly incrs frm Q4 2011, hihst in th pst fr

    qrtrs.

    Within rbn Bn, th Nrthrn Frins l th wy in nw lnchs with rn 20% f

    th whl f Bn. Th Sbrbn r ccnt fr rn 39% f th ttl.

    Therewerearound2,850unitsofnewsupplyinQ12012,asignicantdecreasefromthe

    previousquarter.Sincetherstquarterof2011untilQ12012,thenumberofnew

    cnminim spply cmplt n ristr ps crsin.

    Theoodslastyearcausedmuchpotentialforcondominiumprojectsinthecityareabecause

    thereisnooodinthecityanditismoreconvenienttocommute.

    Nw lnchs fr Q1 2012 incrs

    signicantlycomparedtothepreviousquarter

    by pprximtly 9,000 nits. Mr thn 14,170

    nits wr lnch in Q1 cmpr t rn

    5,157unitsinQ42011.Someprojectsaected

    bytheoodinQ4,2011postponedtheirlaunch

    t Q1, 2012. This ws th hihst nmbr

    recordedinthepastvequarters.

    Q1 2012 | Condominium

    mARKeT IndICAToRS

    newly lAunCHed CondomInIum unITS duRInG THe yeAR 2011 Q1 2012 by QuARTeR

    Src: Cllirs Intrntinl Thiln Rsrch

    BaNgkok CoNdoMINIuMMaRkeT RePoRT

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    Mostnewprojectslaunchedintherstquarterornearly8,700units

    wr -in urbn Bn.

    amnst this nmbr, th Nrthrn Frin r in rbn Bn

    shw th hihst nmbrs with nrly 3,000 nits r 20% frm th

    totalbeingbacked-upbyalarge-scaleproject,SuphalaiWellington.The

    otr City - est r ws scn, with 2,200 nits.

    Rprts shw pprximtly 2,900 nw cnminim nits cmplt

    n ristr t th dprtmnt f Ln in Q1 2012. Th ttl nmbr

    f nits in th ntir Bn rin ws pprximtly 326,700 nits

    t f which mr thn39,500 nits r schl t b cmplt in

    2012.

    Src : Cllirs Intrntinl Thiln Rsrch

    Src: dprtmnt f Ln, Cllirs Intrntinl Thiln Rsrch

    Remark:ThenumberofunitsdoesnotincludeprojectsfromtheNationalHousingAuthority

    newly lAunCHed CondomInIum unITS In Q1 2012 by loCATIon

    AddITIonAl Supply by QuARTeR

    COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 2

    Bangkok Condominium market rePort | Q1 2012

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    ToTAl HISToRICAl Supply by loCATIon To Q1 2012

    COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 3

    Src: dprtmnt f Ln, Cllirs Intrntinl Thiln Rsrch

    Thr r mr thn 195,000 cnminim nits r rn 65% f th

    ttl, lct in Sbrbn Bn r s wll. Within th rbn

    Bn r, th Nrthrn Frin cntins th mst nmbr f nits

    bcs f its prximity t th city cntr, mss trnsit cnnctins n

    rltivly lwr ln prics cmpr t th City r. Th otr City

    rs r pprin n th rr scrn t bcs f th xtnsin f

    th BTS crss th Ch Phry Rivr n ln Shmvit R. This

    is st t cntin.

    Bangkok Condominium market rePort | Q1 2012

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    FuTuRe Supply uRbAn bAnGKoK

    TAKe-up

    COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 4

    apprximtly 30,894 nits r schl t b cmplt in 2012. Th

    Nrthrn Frin r cntins s y plyr in rbn Bn, with

    nrly 11,800 nits schl t cmplt in 2012, fllw by th City

    r with rn 6,200 nits. It is xpct tht th Nrthrn Frin will

    cntin t mint th spply fr th rly prt f th c in rbn

    Bn.

    Th t-p rt in th otr City - Wst r is th hihst, fllw by

    theSuburbanBangkokandEasternFringeareas.Thepositivegures

    fr th otr City - Wst r th rslt f pplr nwly lnch

    projectfrom AnandaDevelopment. Manybuyersare postponingtheir

    cisins frm lst yr t this qrtr, s th vr t-p rt - this

    qrtr will mst lily b hihr thn in th prvis qrtr.

    Src: Cllirs Intrntinl Thiln Rsrch

    Rmr: Spply s nt incl nits in Sbrbn Bn

    Src: Cllirs Intrntinl Thiln Rsrch

    CumulATIve FuTuRe Supply SCHeduled To be CompleTed duRInG 2012 2014 by loCATIon In uRbAn bAnGKoK (AS oF Q1 2012)

    AveRAGe SAleS pRopoRTIon oF newly lAunCHed unITS In Q1 2012 by loCATIon

    Bangkok Condominium market rePort | Q1 2012

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    kPN grp Crprtin Lt lnch

    newprojectonPetchburiRoadintherst

    qrtr f 2012, Th Cpitl emi

    Thnlr. althh thr is hih

    cmptitin in th cnminim mrt nPtchbri R, _Th Cpitl emi

    Thnlr ws sl t within mnth. Th

    project oers high quality product, good

    sin n rt fcilitis s wll s vl

    fr mny t ttrct byrs n ths,

    ws sl t within shrt pri.

    HQ Thonglor by

    Snsiri hs shwn

    n rt prfrmnc in 1Q 2012, sllin 197

    units in one day The project is located on

    Thnlr R in th City r. Mny f thnits r n-brm f rn 40.5 - 55.5 sq

    m. Sm r plx.

    ann dvlpmnt rtrn

    t th cnminim mrt with

    Ideo MoBI lnchin fr

    projects in four dierent

    lctins t th sm tim. alloftheIDEOMOBIprojectshada

    hih t-p rt f mr thn

    80% shrtly ftr th initil lnch. Th rt sllin pint f th Ideo

    brandislocationasalloftheIDEOprojectsareclosetotheBTSorMRT

    sttins.

    City Rsrt Rtch

    Huaykwang by Supalai Plc.

    launched its new project on

    Prchrtbmpn R tht

    rslt in psitiv t-p

    rt f mr thn 80% f th875 nits. Th ttrctin ws

    th strtin pric which ws

    approximatelyTHB48,000persqm.

    lAunCHeS wITH HIGH TAKe-up RATeS In Q1 2012

    COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 5

    Bangkok Condominium market rePort | Q1 2012

    Src : Cllirs Intrntinl Thiln Rsrch

    AveRAGe SellInG pRICeS oF newly lAunCHed pRojeCTS by loCATIon, Q1 2012

    ThehighestaveragepriceintheCityareaismorethanTHB113,500per

    sq m, hwvr this is still lwr thn th vr sllin pric in 2011 by

    approximately 5%.becausemostnewlylaunchedprojectsin theCity

    r nw r lct frthr frm th BTS Th vr sllin pric in

    theOuterCity-Westareasecondsbecausenewprojectsinthisarea

    r lct nly wlin istnc frm th BTS sttin.

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    Src : Cllirs Intrntinl Thiln Rsrch

    CumulATIve CondomInIum unITS lAunCHed AlonG THe bTS exTenSIon lIne (THe blue lIne)

    FRom beFoRe THe yeAR 2005 To 2011 on THe mAIn RoAd

    Duringthelastquarterof2006thegovernmentannouncedocialplans

    forvemasstransitextensionlines,startingwiththeconstructionofthe

    Prpl n Bl Lins in 2009 n 2011, rspctivly. Th Prpl Lin

    will strt frm Bn S Sttin n rn t Nnthbri. Th Bl Lin t

    westernBangkokwillhavetwoextensionlines,therststartingfrom

    BangSueStationandthesecondstartingfromHuaLamphongStation.

    Th Thpr Sttin will b th trmins, bt n lin will cntin n t

    Bn ln Phtsm R.

    ManycondominiumprojectswerelaunchedalongtheBlueLineduring

    th pst six yrs, spcilly n Phtsm, Chrnsnitwn,

    Boromarajonaniandotherroadsinter-connectingwiththesemainroads.

    Nrly 86% f th ttl spply lnch sinc 2009 - 2011 ln th lin

    wr vlp by list cmpnis.

    Theaveragetake-uprateofprojectsalongthislineismorethan70%,

    especiallythoseonPracharat1and2Roads,Phetkasem,Boromarajonani

    n Chrnsnitwn Rs. This is bcs mst ppl frm th

    wstrn si f th Chpry Rivr wr in th City r s ns mr

    cmfrt in trvllin t wr in rr t sv tim.

    Mss trnsit rmins y fctr in ttrctin vlprs n byrs.

    However,thecloseritistotheCitythebetterasmostresidentialprojects

    onthe outskirts of Bangkok are low-rise housing projects selling assimilr prics s cnminims. Sm byrs prfr byin hss

    whn cmpr t cnminim nit.

    COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 7

    Bangkok Condominium market rePort | Q1 2012

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    Th rwth rt f hsin lns incrs nly 0.7% frm Q3 Q4

    2011duetotheoodinginThailand.Thersthomemortgagepolicy

    lnch by th vrnmnt in Q3, 2011 i nt ttrct byrs t

    prchs n trnsfr rsintil nits. It ws -fr blw th trt f

    THB20 billion set for the whole project expiring at the end of 2011

    Mrvr, it int mtch th mn f th mrt hnc th Ministry f

    Financeintendstorevisetherst-homemortgagepolicyonceagain.

    Src: Bn f Thiln n Cllirs Intrntinl Thiln Rsrch

    Note:Excludesnegligibleamountsofnancingfromothersources.Percentagechangeiscomparablequarter-on-quarter.

    HouSInG loAnS FoR peRSonAl ConSumpTIon exTended by FInAnCIAl InSTITuTIonS

    FInAnCInG

    Bangkok Condominium market rePort | Q1 2012

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    Bangkok Condominium market rePort | Q1 2012

    FoReCAST

    Asaresultofoodinginthelastquarterof2011,mostdevelopersin

    Bangkok are focusing more in the rst half of 2012 tn launch new

    projectswithavarietyofmarketingcampaignstoattractbuyers.The

    oodingalsoincreasedcondominiumdemandintheurbanBangkokarea

    s it is mr cnvnint fr victims t cmmt.

    ThenewBangkokTownPlanremainsamajorconcernfordevelopersas

    mst f thm inclin th thr min rl stt sscitins in

    Thiln pps t th nw twn pln. Th rsn bin tht th ltst

    rft f th nw Bn Twn Pln incls rltin inst

    bilin hihr thn 23 mtrs r bir thn 10,000 sq m n rs tht

    r nrrwr thn 16 mtrs. Mst rs n sis in Bn r

    nrrwr thn 16 m, thrfr, if ths nw twn plns r rls in

    thefuture,developerscannotbuildhigh-risecondominiumprojectson

    landinsmallroadsandsoisofBangkokwhichwillalsodirectlyaect

    ln prics. Th dprtmnt f City Plnnin Bn Mtrplitn

    administratorhasstillnotnalisedthenewBangkokTownPlaninthe

    rstquarterof2012astherehasbeenmanycomplaintsfromdevelopers,

    landowners,andpeopletobeaectedbythenewTownPlan.

    Lr, list vlprs with strn rpttin mint thcnminim mrt n thy r fcsin mr n th mil- t lw-

    n mrt tsi th rbn Bn r. Mst f th mn in

    Bangkokisforaordablecondominiumunitswithasellingpriceofless

    thanTHB3millionandalldeveloperscontinuetotargetthisgroupin

    2012.

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    10/13COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 10

    AppendIx

    Bangkok Condominium market rePort | Q1 2012

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    ZonInG

    HISToRICAl Supply by yeAR

    CumulATIve Supply In bAnGKoK

    Bangkok Condominium market rePort | Q1 2012

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    CITY AREA

    Theareacoversfouradjacentbutcompetingsub-markets:theSukhumvit

    sctin cmprisin Shmvit R btwn Si 1 n Si 55 t th

    nrth n Si 2 n Si 38 t th sth; th Cntrl Lmpini sctin

    inclin Phln Chit R, Rm I R, Si Lnsn, Si Srsin,

    Chitlm R, Rtchmri R, Witthy R n Rchprsn

    Road;theSilom/Sathornsection;andtheRiversidesectionfrontingthe

    Ch Phry Rivr ln Chrnrn R n Chrnnrn R,

    whereseveralve-starhotelsarelocated.TheCityareaisconvenient

    fr bsinssprsns, xptrits n trists, bcs f its prximity t

    manyocebuildings,retailingandlocalattractions.

    CITY FRINGE AREA

    This r cvrs thr prts f Bn:

    nrthr Frig:

    This sctin cvrs th BTS rt strtin frm Rtchthwi Sttin t

    M Chit Sttin t th nrth n th MRT rt strtin frm Ptchbristtin t Bns sttin t th nrth.

    Sthr Frig:

    This sctin cvrs Nrthiw Rtchnrin R, Chn R,

    Sthprit R, Chrnrn R n Rm III R ln th Ch

    Phry Rivr.

    eastr Frig:

    This sctin cvrs th BTS rt strtin frm Thn Lr Sttin t on

    Nt Sttin t th st, Rm IV R n Ptchbri R.

    This r cvrs lctins with thir wn lcl infrstrctr n

    convenient transportation. However, commuting is required to have

    ccss t th cntrl bsinss n ntrtinmnt rs.

    OUTER CITY AREA

    Th r cvrs tw prts f Bn:

    otr Cit (east):

    This sctin strts frm th xtnsin f th BTS rt t on Nt Sttin

    t th Bn bnry t th st.

    otr Cit (wst):

    This sctin strts frm th xtnsin f th BTS rt t Tsin Sttin

    t Bn W sttin, which incls th r frm krn Thnbri R

    t Rtchphr R nr Ptchsm intrsctin.

    SUBURBAN BANGKOK

    Ths r th nvirns tsi th rs lry mntin. expnsin

    f th mss trnsit systm is th min trminnt fr incrsin ftr

    spply in prticlr r. Th xpnsin frm on Nt t Smt Prrn

    is schl t b cmplt in 2011. Th xpnsin f th BTS will

    benet directlythesurroundingcondominiums,as itwill considerably

    rc trnsprttin csts n tim. This will ncr th vlpmnt

    f nw cnminims in this r. Sbrbn Bn rprsnts th

    bist r n fr th prpss f this rprt n incls Bn

    citys l twn (kh Rttnsin r n bnry r). This lctin

    hs cmprhnsiv twn plnnin cntrls rstrictin bilin hiht, s

    therearenocondominiumprojectsinthearea.

    COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 12

    Bangkok Condominium market rePort | Q1 2012

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    Bangkok Condominium market rePort | Q1 2012

    CollIeRS InTeRnATIonAl THAIlAnd

    mAnAGemenT TeAm

    PRoJeCT SaLeS & MaRkeTINg

    Mnchi orwnpisn | Snir Mnr

    ReSIdeNTIaL SaLeS & LeaSINg

    Npswn Chtphr | Mnr

    RESEARCH

    Tny Picn | asscit dirctr

    Srcht knchp | Snir Mnr

    oFFICe & INduSTRIaL SeRVICeS

    Nrmn Rsirvrpht | asscit dirctr

    ReTaIL SeRVICeS

    ashrwn Wchnnnt | asscit dirctr

    ADVISORYSERVICES|HOSPITALITY

    Jn Mrc grrt | dirctr

    adVISoRY SeRVICeS

    Nptr Tinchtim | asscit dirctr

    ReaL eSTaTe MaNageMeNT SeRVICeS

    Prsrt Siphrwn | Snir Mnr

    INVeSTMeNT SeRVICeS

    Nrn Swtil | asscit dirctr

    WasanRattanakijjanukul|SeniorManager

    VaLuaTIoN & adVISoRY SeRVICeS

    Phchsnn Phrmthnnnt | dirctr

    Wni Sswn | Mnr

    PaTTaYa oFFICe

    Mr Bwlin | Snir Sls Mnr

    SupanneeStarojitski|SeniorBusinessDevelopment

    Manager/OceManager

    HUAHINOFFICE

    Snchi kchi | Snir Mnr

    ReSeARCHeR:

    ThilnSrcht knchpSnir Mnr | Rsrch

    emAIl [email protected]

    522ocesin62countriesn 6 cntinnts

    This rprt n thr rsrch mtrils my b fn n r wbsit t www.cllirs.c.th. Qstins rlt t

    infrmtin hrin shl b irct t th Rsrch dprtmnt t th nmbr inict bv. This cmnt hs

    bn prpr by Cllirs Intrntinl fr vrtisin n nrl infrmtin nly. Cllirs Intrntinl ms n

    rnts, rprsnttins r wrrntis f ny in, xprss r impli, rrin th infrmtin inclin, bt

    nt limit t, wrrntis f cntnt, ccrcy n rlibility. any intrst prty shl nrt thir wn

    inqiris s t th ccrcy f th infrmtin. Cllirs Intrntinl xcls nqivclly ll infrr r impli

    trms, cnitins n wrrntis risin t f this cmnt n xcls ll libility fr lss n ms risin

    therefrom.ColliersInternationalisaworldwidealiationofindependentlyownedandoperatedcompanies.

    a lr in rl stt cnsltncy wrlwi

    2ndmostrecognizedcommercialrealestatebrandglobally2n lrst prprty mnr

    1.25 billin sqr ft nr mnmnt

    ovr 12,300 prfssinls

    CoLLierS internationaL thaiLand:

    Bangkok Ofce17/FPloenchitCenter, 2 Shmvit R, klnty,Bn 10110 Thiln

    Tel +662 656 7000

    FAx +662 656 7111

    emAIl [email protected]

    Pattaya Ofce519/4-5,PattayaSecondRoad(OppositeCentralFestivalPtty Bch), Nnpr, Bnlmn, Chnbri 20150

    Tel +6638 427 771

    FAx +6638 427 772

    emAIl [email protected] Hin Ofce27/7,PetchakasemRoad,HuaHin, Prchp khiri khn 77110 Thiln

    Tel +6632 530 177FAx +6632 530 677

    emAIl [email protected]

    acclrtin sccss.