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Bài giảng Xác suất Thống kê và ứng dụng Tác giả: Phan Thanh Hồng, Trường Đại học Thăng Long, 2009

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    128/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    129/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    130/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    131/824

    55%

    22%

    11%

    10%

    2%

    http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    132/824

    55%

    22%

    11%

    10%

    2%

    than da

    55%

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    133/824

    55%

    22%

    11% 10%

    2%

    55%

    nang luong hat nhan

    22%khi ga tu nhien

    11%

    thuy dien

    10%

    dau hoa

    2%

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    134/824

    100

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    135/824

    do thi thanh

    2

    5

    energy

    http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    136/824

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    gyindustrialretailhealth carefinancialtechnologyother

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    137/824

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    0 5 10 15 20 25

    energyindustrialretailhealth care

    financialtechnologyother

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    138/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    139/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    140/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    141/824

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    142/824

    http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    143/824

    http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    144/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    145/824

    200

    1.0

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    146/824

    value

    0

    50

    100

    150

    0.5

    0.6

    0.7

    0.8

    0.9

    T

    an

    suattich

    luy

    nhua do day vo quai nhan bac mau khac

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    147/824

    y

    y

    y

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    148/824

    http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    149/824

    33.5

    http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    150/824

    10.0 10.5 11.0 11.5 12.0

    32.0

    32.5

    33.0

    3

    LuongXB135

    Donhot

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    151/824

    y

    x

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    152/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    153/824

    http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    154/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    155/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    156/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    157/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    158/824

    http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    159/824

    http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    160/824

    http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    161/824

    http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    162/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    163/824

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

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    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    164/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    165/824

    , , . . . ,

    http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    166/824

    . . . . .

    .

    http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    167/824

    ,

    , . . . ,

    ,

    , . . . ,

    http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    168/824

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    169/824

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    170/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    171/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    172/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    173/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    174/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    175/824

    Hinh a Hinh b Hinh c

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    176/824

    Mo=Md=TB Mo

  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    177/824

    Mo=Md=TB Mo

  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    178/824

    Trung tam A

    Thoi gian sua (ngay)

    tan

    so

    0 2 4 6 8

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    Trung tam B

    Thoi gian sua (ngay)

    tan

    so

    0 2 4 6 8

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    179/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    180/824

    http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    181/824

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    182/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    183/824

    .

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    184/824

    . .

    . .

    . .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    185/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    186/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    187/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    188/824

    .

    .

    .

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    189/824

    .

    .

    .

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    190/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    191/824

    %

    %

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    192/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    193/824

    .

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    194/824

    %

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    195/824

    .

    .

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    196/824

    .

    .

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    197/824

    %

    Bieu do hop va rau cua mau 65 tgtt

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    198/824

    10 15 20 25 30

    %

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    199/824

    %

    %

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    200/824

    %

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    201/824

    %

    %

    ,

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    202/824

    %

    ,

    .

    %

    ,

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    203/824

    68%

    ++

    95%

    2 ++ 2

    99.7%

    3 ++ 3

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    204/824

    . .

    ,

    . ,

    .

    %

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    205/824

    ,

    . ,

    .

    %

    ,

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    .

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    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    206/824

    %

    ,

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    207/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    208/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    209/824

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    210/824

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    211/824

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    212/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    213/824

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    214/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    215/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    216/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    217/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    218/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    219/824

    http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    220/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    221/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    222/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    223/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    224/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    225/824

    0, 1 1

    0

    0

    1

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    226/824

    1

    A P A

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    227/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    228/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    229/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    230/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    231/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    232/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    233/824

    S, N

    1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

    0, 1, 2, . . . , 100

    0, 1, 2 . . .

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    234/824

    S, N

    1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

    0, 1, 2, . . . , 100

    0, 1, 2 . . .

    A 2, 4, 6

    T

    G

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    235/824

    G

    TT,TG,GT,GG

    B

    B GT,TG,GG

    A 2, 4, 6

    T

    G

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    236/824

    G

    TT,TG,GT,GG

    B

    B GT,TG,GG

    A 2, 4, 6

    T

    G

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    237/824

    TT,TG,GT,GG

    B

    B GT,TG,GG

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    238/824

    A A

    A

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    239/824

    A A

    A

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    240/824

    n

    A

    A A

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    241/824

    P

    A

    P S P N 1

    2 0.5

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    242/824

    52 A

    A

    P A 4

    52

    P S P N 1

    2 0.5

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    243/824

    52 A

    A

    P A 4

    52

    A

    A

    0

    1

    52

    A 2

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    244/824

    C252

    A C24

    P A C2

    4

    C252

    0.0045

    A

    A

    0

    1

    52

    A

    C2

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    245/824

    C252

    A C24

    P A C2

    4

    C252

    0.0045

    A

    A

    0

    1

    52

    A

    C2

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    246/824

    C252

    A C24

    P A C2

    4

    C252

    0.0045

    A m

    n

    n

    m A

    A

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    247/824

    A n

    m

    n

    A

    10 100 10000 6 47

    5067

    S

    6 10 0.6 47 100 0.47 5067 10000 0.5067

    S

    0.5 P S 0.5

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    248/824

    10 100 10000 6 47

    5067

    S

    6 10 0.6 47 100 0.47 5067 10000 0.5067

    S

    0.5 P S 0.5

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    249/824

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    250/824

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    251/824

    A A

    A A A

    P A A

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    252/824

    A A

    P A 1 P A

    A

    A

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    253/824

    A A

    P A C2

    3

    C27

    0.143

    P A 1 P A 0 857

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    254/824

    P A 1 P A 0.857

    A B

    A B A

    B A B A B P A B

    A B

    A

    B

    A

    B A B A B P A B A

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    255/824

    A B AB A B A B P A B A

    B

    A

    B

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    256/824

    A B A

    B

    P A B P A P B P A B A

    B

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    257/824

    A

    B

    P A B

    P A 4

    52 P B

    26

    52 P A B

    2

    52

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    258/824

    P A B P A P B P A B 4

    52

    26

    53

    2

    52

    28

    52 0.538

    A

    B

    P A B

    P A 4

    52 P B

    26

    52 P A B

    2

    52

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    259/824

    P A B P A P B P A B 4

    52

    26

    53

    2

    52

    28

    52 0.538

    A B

    A B

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    260/824

    A B

    A B

    P A B P A P B

    A B

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    261/824

    A1, A2, . . . , An

    A1, A2, . . . , An A1 A2 An

    A1 A2 An

    Ai i 1, n

    A1, A2, . . . , An A1 A2 An

    A1A2 . . . An Ai i 1, n

    A A A

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    262/824

    A1, A2, . . . , An

    i j Ai Aj

    A1, A2, . . . , An

    A1, A2, . . . , An A1 A2 An

    A1 A2 An

    Ai i 1, n

    A1, A2, . . . , An A1 A2 An

    A1A2 . . . An Ai i 1, n

    A A A

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    263/824

    A1, A2, . . . , An

    i j Ai Aj

    A1

    A2

    A3

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    264/824

    n

    A1, A2, . . . , An

    P A1 A2 An P A1 P A2 P An

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    265/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    266/824

    A B

    A B P AB

    A B

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    267/824

    35 10

    15 6 4

    P T C

    19

    15

    P T C 15 19 0.789

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    268/824

    P T C 15 19 0.789

    P T C 15 19 15 35

    19 35

    P T C

    P C

    35 10

    15 6 4

    P T C

    19

    15

    P T C 15 19 0.789

    http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    269/824

    P T C 15 19 15 35

    19 35

    P T C

    P C

    35 10

    15 6 4

    P T C

    19

    15

    P T C 15 19 0.789

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    270/824

    P T C 15 19 15 35

    19 35

    P T C

    P C

    35 10

    15 6 4

    P T C

    19

    15

    P T C 15 19 0.789

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    271/824

    P T C 15 19 15 35

    19 35

    P T C

    P C

    35 10

    15 6 4

    P T C

    19

    15

    P T C 15 19 0.789

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    272/824

    P T C 15 19 15 35

    19 35

    P T C

    P C

    A B

    P AB P

    A

    B

    P B

    P B 0

    B A

    AP A B

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    273/824

    P B A P A B

    P A

    P A 0

    P AB

    A B

    P A B P AB P B

    P B A P A

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    274/824

    1000

    68.3%

    62%

    85%

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    275/824

    1000

    68.3%

    62%

    85%

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    276/824

    1000

    68.3%

    62%

    85%

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    277/824

    1000

    68.3%

    62%

    85%

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    278/824

    1000

    C1

    C2

    S

    V

    P C1 0.683 P S 0.62 P C1 S 0.85

    P C1 S P S P C1 S 0.62 0, 85 0.527

    527 1000

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    279/824

    1000

    C1

    C2

    S

    V

    P C1 0.683 P S 0.62 P C1 S 0.85

    P C1 S P S P C1 S 0.62 0, 85 0.527

    527 1000

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    280/824

    1000

    C1

    C2

    S

    V

    P C1 0.683 P S 0.62 P C1 S 0.85

    P C1 S P S P C1 S 0.62

    0, 85

    0.527

    527 1000

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    281/824

    1000

    C1

    C2

    S

    V

    P C1 0.683 P S 0.62 P C1 S 0.85

    P

    C1

    S

    P

    S

    P

    C1

    S

    0.62

    0, 85

    0.527

    527 1000

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    282/824

    1000

    C1

    C2

    S

    V

    P C1 0.683 P S 0.62 P C1 S 0.85

    P

    C1

    S

    P

    S

    P

    C1

    S

    0.62

    0, 85

    0.527

    527 1000

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    283/824

    S V

    C1

    C2

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    284/824

    S V

    C1

    C2

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    285/824

    A B

    P AB P A P B A P B

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    286/824

    A B P A B P A P B

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    287/824

    n

    A1, A2, . . . , An

    n

    A1, A2, . . . , An

    P A1A2 . . . An P A1 P A2 . . . P An

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    288/824

    3

    0.01 0.02 0.03

    Ai i i 1, 2, 3

    A

    A1A2A3

    A1A2A3

    A1A2A3

    A1 A2 A3

    P A P

    A1A2A3 A1A2A3 A1A2A3

    P A1A2A3 P A1A2A3 P A1A2A3

    P A1 P A2 P A3 P A1 P A2 P A3

    P A1 P A2 P A3

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    289/824

    1 2 3

    0.99 0.02 0.03 0.01 0.98 0.03

    0.01 0.02 0.97

    0.0011

    3

    0.01 0.02 0.03

    Ai i i 1, 2, 3

    A

    A1A2A3

    A1A2A3

    A1A2A3

    A1 A2 A3

    P A P

    A1A2A3 A1A2A3 A1A2A3

    P A1A2A3 P A1A2A3 P A1A2A3

    P A1 P A2 P A3 P A1 P A2 P A3

    P A1 P A2 P A3

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    290/824

    1 2 3

    0.99 0.02 0.03 0.01 0.98 0.03

    0.01 0.02 0.97

    0.0011

    A1, A2. . . . , An

    A1 A2 An

    Ai Aj i j

    A, A

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    291/824

    Ai i A1, A2, A3

    A1, A2. . . . , An H

    P H

    n

    i 1

    P HAi P Ai

    P HA1 P A1 P HA2 P A2 P HAn P An

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    292/824

    A1, A2. . . . , An H A1, H A2, . . . , H An

    H H H A1 H A2 H An

    P

    H

    P

    H

    A1

    H

    A2

    H

    An

    P H A1 P H A2 P H An

    P H A P A P H A P A P H A P A

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    293/824

    P HA1 P A1 P HA2 P A2 P HAn P An

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    294/824

    32%

    Ai i i 1, 2

    T

    P T 0.32 P A1 P A2 0.5 P T A1 0.5

    P T A2

    A1 A2

    P T P T A1 P A1 P T A2 P A2

    0 5 0 5 P T A 0 5 0 32

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    295/824

    0.5 0.5 P T A2 0.5 0.32

    P T A2 0.32 0.25 0.5 0.14

    A1, A2, . . . , An H

    i 1, n

    P Ai H P HAi P Ai

    P H

    P HAi P Ai

    P HA1 P A1 P HA2 P A2 P HAn P An

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    296/824

    P HAi P Ai P Ai H P H

    P

    Ai

    H

    P HAi P Ai

    P H

    P H P HA1 P A1 P HA2 P A2 P HAn P An

    P Ai H P HAi P Ai

    P H A P A P H A P A P H A P A

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    297/824

    P Ai HP HA1 P A1 P HA2 P A2 P HAn P An

    1

    6

    8

    2 10 12

    1

    Ai

    i

    i

    1, 2

    X

    P A1 X

    P A1 H P

    H

    A1

    P

    A1

    P HA1 P A1 P HA2 P A2

    6 14 0 5

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    298/824

    6 14 0.5

    6 14 0.5 10 22 0.5 0.485

    1

    6

    8

    2 10 12

    1

    Ai

    i

    i

    1, 2

    X

    P A1 X

    P A1 H P

    H

    A1

    P

    A1

    P HA1 P A1 P HA2 P A2

    6 14 0.5

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    299/824

    6 14 0.5

    6 14 0.5 10 22 0.5 0.485

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    300/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    301/824

    SS,SN,NS,NN

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    302/824

    X X

    SS,SN,NS,NN

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    303/824

    X X

    X

    X

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    304/824

    X

    X

    X

    X

    X

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    305/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    306/824

    X

    X

    X pX x p x

    p x X

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    307/824

    X

    X

    X

    X

    p x

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    308/824

    X

    P(x)

    0.0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    309/824

    X

    0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5

    0

    0 p x 1

    xp x 1

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    310/824

    X X

    X X X X

    2X X

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    311/824

    X

    x

    x

    xp x

    X

    2x

    x

    x X2p x

    x

    x2p x 2X

    X X X

    2

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    312/824

    X 2x

    X

    X

    p x

    X 1 0.2 0 0.1 3 0.6 4 0.1 2

    2X 1 2

    0.2 02 0.1 32 0.6 42 0.1 22 3.2

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    313/824

    f x

    X X X

    a, b

    X a, b

    P a X b

    b

    a

    f x dx

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    314/824

    X x P X x 0

    f x

    X X X

    a, b

    X a, b

    P a X b

    b

    a

    f x dx

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    315/824

    X x P X x 0

    f x X

    f x 0 x

    f x 1

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    316/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    317/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    318/824

    n

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    319/824

    n

    p

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    320/824

    X

    X n

    X

    X B n, p x

    n

    P X x p x Cxnpxqn x n!

    x! n x !pxqn x

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    321/824

    3

    0.51 X X

    X B 3, 0.51

    P X 2 3!

    2!1!0.5120.491 0.382

    P X 1 P X 1 P X 2 P X 3 0.88

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    322/824

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    0

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    323/824

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    324/824

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    P X x

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    325/824

    X

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    326/824

    X

    X P

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    P X 3 e 553

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    Y Y P 2.5

    2

    P Y 2 1 P Y 0 P Y 1 0.712

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    327/824

    P Y 2 1 P Y 0 P Y 1 0.712

    X X P 5

    P X 3 e 553

    3! 0.14

    Y Y P 2.5

    2

    P Y 2 1 P Y 0 P Y 1 0.712

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    328/824

    0 0 7

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    329/824

    X

    X , 2

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    330/824

    X P

    P X x

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    331/824

    a b a b X

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    X a, b X U a, b

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    332/824

    x

    f(x)

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    333/824

    X a, b

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    334/824

    X

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    f x

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    P X 2.5 P 2.5 X 4 4 2.54 0

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    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    335/824

    X

    0 4

    2.5

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    f x

    1

    4 0 x 4

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    2.5

    P X 2.5 P 2.5 X 4 4 2.54 0

    0.375

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    336/824

    X U a, b

    P X x

    x P X x

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    337/824

    X

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    X X N , 2

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    338/824

    x

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    Trung binh thay doi

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    339/824

    X X

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    340/824

    a b

    X

    Z X

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    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    341/824

    P a X b

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    P 5 X 6.5 P 5 64

    X 6

    4

    6.5 6

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    P

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    .552

    P 5 X 6.5 0.552 0.4 0.152

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    342/824

    P a X b

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    P 5 X 6.5 P 5 64

    X 6

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    P

    Z 0

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    .552

    P 5 X 6.5 0.552 0.4 0.152

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    343/824

    P a X b

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    P 5 X 6.5 P 5 64

    X 6

    4

    6.5 6

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    P

    Z 0

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    .552

    P 5 X 6.5 0.552 0.4 0.152

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    344/824

    Z

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    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    345/824

    X N , 2

    P X x

    x P X x

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    346/824

    X

    f x

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    X 1

    , X

    1

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    347/824

    x

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    =1 =4 =0.6

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    348/824

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    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    349/824

    f((x)) == e((x))

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    350/824

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    3

    0.5 1 e2 3 0.487

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    351/824

    1

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    X 1 1 2 0.5

    P X 1 3 1 e1

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    0.5 1 e2 3 0.487

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    352/824

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    X 1 1 2 0.5

    P X 1 3 1 e1

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    0.5 1 e2 3 0.487

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    353/824

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    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    354/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    355/824

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    3.536 P 0.42 Z 0.14 0.11

    P X 24 0.11

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    356/824

    P

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    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    357/824

    X

    5 X

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    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    358/824

    X

    5 X

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    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    359/824

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    360/824

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    361/824

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    362/824

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    363/824

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    364/824

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    365/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    366/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    367/824

    http://find/
  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    368/824

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    369/824

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    370/824

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    371/824

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    373/824

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    374/824

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

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  • 8/21/2019 Bi ging Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Tc gi: Phan Thanh Hng, Trng i hc Thng Long, 2009

    495/824

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