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Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based on Grid Refinement Studies L.Eça (IST/MARIN Academy), G.Vaz (MARIN), M.Hoekstra (Consultant) S.Doebling (LANL), R.L.Singleton, Jr (LANL), G.Srinivasan (LANL) G.Weirs (Sandia National Laboratories), T.Phillips (University of British Columbia), C.J.Roy (Virginia Tech)

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Page 1: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

Assessment of DiscretizationUncertainty Estimators

Based on Grid Refinement Studies

L.Eça (IST/MARIN Academy), G.Vaz (MARIN), M.Hoekstra (Consultant)

S.Doebling (LANL), R.L.Singleton, Jr (LANL), G.Srinivasan (LANL)

G.Weirs (Sandia National Laboratories),

T.Phillips (University of British Columbia), C.J.Roy (Virginia Tech)

Page 2: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

Contents

• Motivation

• Test Cases

• Overview of Methods

• Results

• Final remarks

Page 3: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

Motivation

• Check the performance of procedures basedon grid refinement studies for the determinationof the numerical (discretization) uncertainty inflows with practical interest, i.e. high Reynoldsnumber turbulent flows:

─ Strict geometrically similarity of the grids.

─ Selected flow quantites include functional (force coefficients) and local quantities at theboundaries and in the interior of the domain.

Page 4: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

Test Cases• Steady, two-dimensional flows of an incompressible,

one-phase, Newtonian fluid:

- Flow over a flat plate for Reynolds numbers ofRe=107(I), Re=108 (II) and Re=109 (III).

Page 5: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

Test Cases• Steady, two-dimensional flows of an incompressible,

one-phase, Newtonian fluid:

- Flow around a NACA 0012 foil at angles of attack of α=0o (IV), α=4º(V) and α=10º(VI) with Re=6×106.

Page 6: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

Test Cases

• Time-averaged Navier-Stokes equations (RANS)supplemented with three eddy-viscosity models:

a) Spalart-Allmaras one-equation model (SPAL);

b) SST k-ω two-equation model (SST);

c) � − ��

�two−equation model (KSKL).

• Results have negligible influence of round-off errorsand (almost) negligible influence of iterative errors.

• Extra refined grids to produce an “exact solution”.Finest grids have hi/h1=0.364 for flat plate casesand hi/h1=0.333 for NACA 0012 airfoil. hi/h1=1 isthe finest grid used for the error estimation.

Page 7: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

Test Cases• Selected quantities of interest

Functional (integral) quantities:- Friction resistance/drag coefficient (plate, airfoil).- Pressure drag/coefficient (airfoil).- Friction and pressure lift coefficients (airfoil).

Surface quantities:- Skin friction (plate and airfoil) and pressure (airfoil)coefficients.

Interior quantities:- Horizontal and vertical velocity components andeddy-viscosity.

Page 8: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

Test Cases

ri

CF×

10

3

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 82.6

2.65

2.7

2.75

2.8

2.85

2.9 Flat Plate, Re=107, SST (Case Ib)

ri

CF×

10

3

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 82.6

2.65

2.7

2.75

2.8

2.85

2.9

"Exact"

p= 1.3

Page 9: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

Test Cases

ri

νt/ν

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 815

16

17

18

19

20

ri

νt/ν

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 815

16

17

18

19

20

"Exact"

p= 1.0

Flat Plate, Re=108, KSKL, Case IIc

x/L=1.0, y/L=0.000018

Page 10: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

Test Cases

ri

Cf×

10

3

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 81.25

1.3

1.35

1.4 Flat Plate, Re=109, x/c=0.95

SST, Case IIIb

ri

Cf×

10

3

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 81.25

1.3

1.35

1.4

"Exact"

p= 1.8

Page 11: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

Test Cases

ri

-Cp

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 40.0663

0.06632

0.06634

0.06636

0.06638

0.0664

NACA 0012, α=0o

x*/c=0.775, Lower surfaceSPAL, Case IVa

ri

-Cp

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 40.0663

0.06632

0.06634

0.06636

0.06638

0.0664

"Exact"

p= 1.0

Page 12: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

Test Cases

ri

Vy/V

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4-0.084

-0.0835

-0.083

-0.0825

-0.082

ri

Vy/V

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4-0.084

-0.0835

-0.083

-0.0825

-0.082

"Exact"

p= 2.0

NACA 0012, α=4o, SPAL, Case Va

x/L=0.328, y/L=0.040

Page 13: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

Test Cases

ri

Vx/V

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 40

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.1

ri

Vx/V

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 40

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.1

"Exact"

p= 1.0

NACA 0012, α=10o, SST, Case VIb

x/L=0.994, y/L=-0.175

Page 14: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

Overview of Methods• FS Xing T. and Stern F., “Factors of Safety for

(3) Richardson Extrapolation” J. Fluids Eng.,132,2010.

• FSa Xing T. and Stern F., “Closure to Discussion of

(3) Factors of Safety for Richardson Extrapolation” J. Fluids Eng., 133, 2011

• GCI1 Roache P.J., “Verification and Validation in

(3) Computational Science and Engineering”,Hermosa, 1998.

• GCI2 Standard for Verification and Validation in

(3) Computational Fluid Dynamics and Heat Transfer

ASME 2009/2016

Page 15: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

Overview of Methods• GDU Phillips T. S., Roy C. J., “A New

(3) Extrapolation-Based Uncertainty Estimator

for Computational Fluid Dynamics" Journal of V&V and UQ, Vol 1, 2017.

• LSGCI Eça L., Hoekstra M., “A procedure for the

(5) estimation of the numerical uncertainty of

CFD calculations based on grid refinement

studies” JCP 262, 2014.

• LSGCIr Modified version of the previous method(5) including “robust fits”

• RMR5 Rider, W. J., Witkowski W., Kamm J. R.RMR3 and Wildey T., “Robust Verification Analysis”

JCP 307, 2016.

Page 16: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

Overview of Methods• For most methods, discretization error δφ is defined

as a function of the grid refinement ratio by

δφ = �

.

• Observed order of grid convergence p from a gridtriplet is determined from

�����

�����=

����

���

����

���

.

• FS, FSa, GCI1 and GCI2 do not provide an uncertaintyestimate when � ≤ 0 (apparent divergence).

Page 17: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

Overview of Methods• Uncertainty estimates are obtained from

�� = �� �� .

• For RMR5 and RMR3 ��=1.

• Goal of the estimated uncertainties is to satisfy

� − �� ≤ �exact ≤ � + ��

95 out of 100 times it is tested.

Page 18: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

Results• Uncertainty estimates evaluated using:

Fno is the percentage of cases that lead to apparentdivergence based on a grid triplet;

R is the ratio between estimated uncertaintiesand “exact errors”

R =#$

��"�exact";

FR<1 is the percentage of cases that exhibit an estimated uncertainty smaller than the “exact error”;

Rmed is the median of the R distributions.

Page 19: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

Results• Uncertainty estimates performed for each of the

required quantities of interests were performed withdata from grid refinement levels.

Test Cases SPAL SST KSKL Flat Plate Ia Ib Ic Re=107

IIa IIb IIc Re=108

IIIa IIIb IIIc Re=109

ri FS, Fsa, GCI1, GCI2, GDUand RMR3

LSGCI, LSGCIr and RMR5

1 r1=1., r2=1.455 and r3=2. r1=1. , r2=1.231, r3=1.455, r4=1.6, and r5=2.

2 r1=2., r2=2.909 and r3=4. r1=1. , r2=2.462, r3=2.909, r4=3.2, and r5=4.

4 r1=4., r2=5.818 and r3=8. r1=1. , r2=4.923, r3=5.818, r4=6.4, and r5=8.

Page 20: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

Results• Uncertainty estimates performed for each of the

required quantities of interests were performed withdata from grid refinement levels.

Test Cases SPAL SST KSKL NACA 0012 IVa IVb IVc α=0º

Va Vb Vc α=4º Via VIb VIc α=10º

ri FS, Fsa, GCI1, GCI2, GDUand RMR3

LSGCI, LSGCIr and RMR5

1 r1=1., r2=1.333 and r3=2. r1=1. , r2=1.143, r3=1.333, r4=1.6, and r5=2.

2 r1=2., r2=2.667 and r3=4. r1=1. , r2=2.286, r3=2.667, r4=3.2, and r5=4.

Page 21: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

Results• Percentage of triplets that exhibit � ≤ 0

(apparent divergence) for the selected grid triplets.

Fno ri=1 r

i=2 r

i=4 All

I,II,IIIFlat Plate

16.2 20.3 25.4 20.6

IV, V,VINACA 0012

23.1 22.4 --- 22.8

Page 22: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

Results• Flate plate, Cases I, II, III

FR

<1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

ri=h

i/h

1=2r

i=h

i/h

1=1 All casesr

i=h

i/h

1=4

All quantities SPAL

FR

<1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100FS

FS1

GCI1

GCI2

FR

<1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100GDU

LSGCI

LSGCIr

RMR5

RMR3

Page 23: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

Results• Flate plate, Cases I, II, III

FR

<1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

ri=h

i/h

1=2r

i=h

i/h

1=1 All casesr

i=h

i/h

1=4

All quantities SST

FR

<1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100FS

FS1

GCI1

GCI2

FR

<1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100GDU

LSGCI

LSGCIr

RMR5

RMR3

Page 24: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

Results• Flate plate, Cases I, II, III

FR

<1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

ri=h

i/h

1=2r

i=h

i/h

1=1 All casesr

i=h

i/h

1=4

All quantities KSKL

FR

<1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100FS

FS1

GCI1

GCI2

FR

<1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100GDU

LSGCI

LSGCIr

RMR5

RMR3

Page 25: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

Results• Flate plate, Cases I, II, III

F(R

)%

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9R

All casesri=h

i/h

1=4r

i=h

i/h

1=2

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

ri=h

i/h

1=1

R RR

FS1

FS

F(R

)%

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9R

All casesri=h

i/h

1=4r

i=h

i/h

1=2

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

ri=h

i/h

1=1

R RR

LSGCIr

LSGCI

F(R

)%

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9R

All casesri=h

i/h

1=4r

i=h

i/h

1=2

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

ri=h

i/h

1=1

R RR

GCI2

GCI1

GDU

F(R

)%

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9R

All casesri=h

i/h

1=4r

i=h

i/h

1=2

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

ri=h

i/h

1=1

R RR

RMR5

RMR3

Page 26: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

Results• NACA 0012, Cases IV, V, VI

FR

<1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100All quantities SPAL

All casesri=h

i/h

1=2r

i=h

i/h

1=1

FR

<1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100FS

FS1

GCI1

GCI2

FR

<1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100GDU

LSGCI

LSGCIr

RMR5

RMR3

Page 27: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

FR

<1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100All quantities SST

All casesri=h

i/h

1=2r

i=h

i/h

1=1

FR

<1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100FS

FS1

GCI1

GCI2

FR

<1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100GDU

LSGCI

LSGCIr

RMR5

RMR3

Results• NACA 0012, Cases IV, V, VI

Page 28: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

FR

<1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100All quantities KSKL

All casesri=h

i/h

1=2r

i=h

i/h

1=1

FR

<1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100FS

FS1

GCI1

GCI2

FR

<1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100GDU

LSGCI

LSGCIr

RMR5

RMR3

Results• NACA 0012, Cases IV, V, VI

Page 29: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

F(R

)%

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

R

All casesri=h

i/h

1=2

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

ri=h

i/h

1=1

R R

FS1

FS

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

F(R

)%

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

RR R

LSGCIr

LSGCI

All casesri=h

i/h

1=2r

i=h

i/h

1=1

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

F(R

)%

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

RR R

GCI2

GCI1

GDU

All casesri=h

i/h

1=2r

i=h

i/h

1=1

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

F(R

)%

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

RR R

RMR5

RMR3

All casesri=h

i/h

1=2r

i=h

i/h

1=1

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Results• NACA 0012, Cases IV, V, VI

Page 30: Assessment of Discretization Uncertainty Estimators Based

Final Remarks• Several methods for the estimation of the numerical

(discretization) uncertainty based on grid refinementmethods have been tested.

• Most of the estimates performed for the selected flow quantities were based on data outside the “asymptotic range” including several cases that donot exhibit monotonic convergence.

• There is no technical reason to present numericalsimulations of practical calculations without the indication of the numerical uncertainty.

• All data available athttp://web.tecnico.ulisboa.pt/ist12278/Discretization/Workshop_discretization_2017.htm